1.Impact of Triglyceride-Glucose Index on the Risk of Inflammatory Bowel Disease.
Acta Academiae Medicinae Sinicae 2025;47(2):251-258
Objective To investigate the impact of the triglyceride-glucose(TyG)index on the risk of inflammatory bowel disease(IBD).Methods Based on the data from UK Biobank,participants were allocated into three groups,TyG1(≤4.564),TyG2(4.564-4.808),and TyG3(≥4.808),according to tertiles of the TyG index.Kaplan-Meier curves were established to analyze the cumulative incidence of IBD.Further,Cox proportional hazard regression was employed to analyze the hazard ratio(HR)and its 95% confidential interval(95%CI)of each group.The same analysis was conducted for different subtypes(ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease)of IBD.Sensitive analysis based on the competing risk model was performed after excluding participants who were diagnosed within one year.Results A total of 116 423 participants were included in this study,with the median follow-up time of 12.56 years.The incidence densities of IBD in the TyG1,TyG2,and TyG3 groups were 4.47,5.94,and 6.50 per 10 000 person-year,respectively.The cumulative incidence of IBD increased with the rise in TyG,and Log-rank test results showed differences in cumulative incidence between groups(P<0.001).After adjusting the confounding factors,the HR(95%CI)of IBD in the TyG2 and TyG3 groups was 1.50(1.21-1.85)and 1.71(1.36-2.16),respectively.The results of the subgroup analysis after adjusting the confounding factors revealed that the HR(95%CI)of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease in the TyG3 group was 1.48(1.16-1.74)and 2.27(1.51-3.42),respectively.The sensitive analysis yielded similar results after excluding participants who were diagnosed within one year.Conclusion A high TyG index indicates an increased risk of IBD and its subtypes.
Humans
;
Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/blood*
;
Triglycerides/blood*
;
Incidence
;
Blood Glucose/analysis*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Risk Factors
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Crohn Disease/epidemiology*
2.Association Between Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease and the Risk of Incident Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.
Ye LIAO ; Yun-Feng ZHOU ; Xiao-Rui ZHOU ; Xin HU ; Juan LIAO ; Lu LONG
Acta Academiae Medicinae Sinicae 2025;47(3):402-407
Objective To investigate the association between gastroesophageal reflux disease(GERD)and the risk of incident chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)and explore potential effect modifiers influencing this association.Methods Clinical data from 476 175 participants in the UK Biobank(2006-2010)were collected.A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the relationship between GERD and the risk of incident COPD.Subgroup analyses were conducted to examine potential modifiers of the primary findings.Results A total of 11 587(2.43%)new COPD cases were diagnosed.The Cox proportional hazards model revealed that GERD was associated with an increased risk of incident COPD(HR=1.59,95%CI=1.46-1.74,P<0.001).GERD was linked to a higher risk of incident COPD in individuals aged<60 years(P<0.001)and non-smokers(P=0.011).No association was observed between GERD and the risk of incident COPD in current smokers with a daily cigarette consumption<10 cigarettes(P=0.261).Conclusion GERD may increase the risk of incident COPD.
Humans
;
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology*
;
Gastroesophageal Reflux/epidemiology*
;
Middle Aged
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Incidence
;
Male
;
Risk Factors
;
Female
;
Aged
3.Relationship Between Cognitive Impairment and Death in Menopausal Women With Hypertension.
Ling-Juan ZHU ; Tao WANG ; Chao YU ; Wei ZHOU ; Hui-Hui BAO ; Xiao-Shu CHENG
Acta Academiae Medicinae Sinicae 2025;47(4):527-534
Objective To explore the relationships of cognitive impairment with cardiovascular death and all-cause death in menopausal women with hypertension.Methods A total of 4 595 natural-menopausal women with hypertension screened in Wuyuan County of Jiangxi Province from July to August 2018 were selected as the research subjects,and a follow-up investigation of death information was completed from June to August 2022.According to the baseline mini-mental state examination(MMSE)score,all subjects were allocated into a normal cognitive function group and a cognitive impairment group.The basic characteristics and the cumulative risk of death evaluated by the Kaplan-Meier curve were compared between two groups.The multivariate Cox regression model was adopted to analyze the effect of cognitive function on death,and the relationship between MMSE score and death was fitted by the restricted cubic spline.Results A total of 4 595 subjects with the mean age of(65.1±8.4)years were included in this study,in which and 1 859(40.5%)patients with cognitive impairment were detected.During a mean follow-up period of(3.9±0.4)years,199 all-cause deaths were collected,including 102 cardiovascular deaths.The normal cognitive function group and the cognitive impairment group had the cumulative all-cause death rates of 2.6%and 6.9%and the cumulative cardiovascular death rates of 1.0%and 4.0%,respectively.The Kaplan-Meier curve showed that the cumulative risks of all-cause death(χ2=47.287,P<0.001)and cardiovascular death(χ2=45.169,P<0.001)in the cognitive impairment group were higher than those in the normal cognitive function group.The results of multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that compared with the normal cognitive function group,the cognitive impairment group had increased risks of all-cause death(HR=1.75,95%CI=1.28-2.39,P<0.001)and cardiovascular death(HR=2.56,95%CI=1.61-4.09,P<0.001).The results of the restricted cubic spline curve fitting showed that the MMSE score had linearly negative correlations with the risk of all-cause death(Pall<0.001, P n o n - l i n e a r i t y=0.519)and cardiovascular death(Pall<0.001, P n o n - l i n e a r i t y=0.195).Conclusion Cognitive impairment is an independent risk factor for all-cause death and cardiovascular death in menopausal women with hypertension,and early identification of cognitive impairment in this population is essential for timely intervention.
Humans
;
Female
;
Cognitive Dysfunction
;
Hypertension/complications*
;
Aged
;
Middle Aged
;
Menopause
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Risk Factors
;
Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality*
;
Cause of Death
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
4.Carcinoma buccal mucosa treated with definitive hypofractionated accelerated radiotherapy: a retrospective analysis of treatment outcomes.
Geethu BABU ; Rejnish RAVIKUMAR ; Malu RAFI ; Zuzaki SHARAFUDDIN ; Arun SHANKAR S ; Preethi Sara GEORGE ; Cessal Thommachan KAINICKAL ; Ramadas KUNNAMBATH
Singapore medical journal 2025;66(7):368-372
INTRODUCTION:
Oral cancer is a major public health concern in India. Both conventional and altered fractionation radiotherapy schedules have been used in curative treatment of oral cancer. This study aimed to retrospectively evaluate the clinical profile and treatment outcomes of patients with carcinoma buccal mucosa who underwent treatment with definitive hypofractionated accelerated radiotherapy.
METHODS:
A total of 517 patients treated from January 2011 to December 2016 were eligible for the analysis. All patients were treated with definitive hypofractionated accelerated radiotherapy schedule of 5,250 cGy in 15 fractions over 3 weeks. Survival estimates were generated using the Kaplan-Meier method.
RESULTS:
At a median follow-up of 77.4 months, 473 (91.5%) patients attained complete remission with radiation therapy. The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were 69% and 80.5%, respectively. The 5-year OS for stage I, II, III and IVa tumours was 80.3%, 84.4%, 81.4% and 73.7%, respectively, and the DFS was 75.7%, 73.2%, 69.6% and 60.2%, respectively. Age >50 years was found to be a significant factor affecting DFS ( P = 0.026) and OS ( P = 0.048) in multivariate analysis. Fifty-three (10.3%) patients developed osteoradionecrosis of the mandible.
CONCLUSION
Excellent outcome could be achieved in less-aggressive, low-volume carcinoma of the buccal mucosa with radical accelerated hypofractionated radiotherapy. A radiotherapy schedule over a 3-week period is useful in high-volume centres.
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Mouth Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Mouth Mucosa/radiation effects*
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Radiation Dose Hypofractionation
;
Disease-Free Survival
;
India
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
Dose Fractionation, Radiation
;
Aged, 80 and over
5.Clinical and echocardiographic differences between rheumatic and degenerative mitral stenosis.
Ryan LEOW ; Ching-Hui SIA ; Tony Yi-Wei LI ; Meei Wah CHAN ; Eng How LIM ; Li Min Julia NG ; Tiong-Cheng YEO ; Kian-Keong POH ; Huay Cheem TAN ; William Kf KONG
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2025;54(4):227-234
INTRODUCTION:
Degenerative mitral stenosis (DMS) is frequently cited as increasing in prevalence in the developed world, although comparatively little is known about DMS in comparison to rheumatic mitral stenosis (RMS).
METHOD:
A retrospective observational study was conducted on 745 cases of native-valve mitral stenosis (MS) with median follow-up time of 7.25 years. Clinical and echocardiographic parameters were compared. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed for a composite of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalisation.
RESULTS:
Patients with DMS compared to RMS were older (age, mean ± standard deviation: 69.6 ± 12.3 versus [vs] 51.6 ± 14.3 years, respectively; P<0.001) and a greater proportion had medical comorbidities such as diabetes mellitus (78 [41.9%] vs 112 [20.0%], P<0.001). The proportion of cases of degenerative aetiology increased from 1.1% in 1991-1995 to 41.0% in 2016-2017. In multivariate analysis for the composite outcome, age (hazard ratio [HR] 95% confidence interval [CI] of 1.032 [1.020-1.044]; P<0.001), diabetes mellitus (HR 1.443, 95% CI 1.068-1.948; P=0.017), chronic kidney disease (HR 2.043, 95% CI 1.470-2.841; P<0.001) and pulmonary artery systolic pressure (HR 1.019, 95% CI 1.010- 1.027; P<0.001) demonstrated significant indepen-dent associations. The aetiology of MS was not independently associated with the composite outcome.
CONCLUSION
DMS is becoming an increasingly common cause of native-valve MS. Despite numerous clinical differences between RMS and DMS, the aetiology of MS did not independently influence a composite of mortality or heart failure hospitalisation.
Humans
;
Mitral Valve Stenosis/etiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Rheumatic Heart Disease/mortality*
;
Echocardiography
;
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data*
;
Heart Failure/epidemiology*
;
Singapore/epidemiology*
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology*
6.Omicron SARS-CoV-2 outcomes in vaccinated individuals with heart failure and ischaemic heart disease.
Liang En WEE ; Enoch Xueheng LOY ; Jue Tao LIM ; Yew Woon CHIA ; Shir Lynn LIM ; Jonathan YAP ; Khung Keong YEO ; Derek J HAUSENLOY ; Mark Yan Yee CHAN ; David Chien Boon LYE ; Kelvin Bryan TAN
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2025;54(5):270-282
INTRODUCTION:
Outcomes after SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection in patients with heart failure (HF) and ischaemic heart disease (IHD) remain poorly defined.
METHOD:
In a highly vaccinated cohort of adult Singapore citizens and permanent residents, we used Cox proportional hazards models (adjusted for sociodemographic variables and comorbidities) to compare the risks of Omicron infection, COVID-19- related hospitalisation, and severe COVID-19 between indivi-duals with HF or IHD and matched controls without these conditions.
RESULTS:
From national databases, we identified 15,426 HF patients matched 1:∼3 to 41,221 controls, and 110,442 IHD patients matched 1:∼2 to 223,843 controls. Over 80% of HF and IHD patients had received at least 3 vaccine doses. During the Omicron-predominant period, both HF and IHD cohorts demonstrated higher adjusted risks of COVID-19 hospitalisation compared with matched controls (HF: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.65-1.90; IHD: aHR 1.21, 95% CI 1.17-1.26). Among those with at least 1 HF-or IHD-related admission in the prior year, hospitalisation risk was further elevated (HF: aHR 1.27, 95% CI 1.13-1.42; IHD: aHR 1.11, 95% CI 1.01-1.23). Receipt of ≥3 vaccine doses was associated with substantially lower risk of severe COVID-19 versus only 2 doses (HF: aHR 0.35, 95% CI 0.28-0.43; IHD: aHR 0.27, 95% CI 0.23-0.32). A fourth dose conferred additional reductions in infection and adverse outcomes, though CIs for infection overlapped with those for 3 doses.
CONCLUSION
During Omicron predominance, HF and IHD patients experienced greater risk of COVID-19 hospitalisation and severe COVID-19 versus matched controls. Booster vaccinations attenuated these risks. Individuals with recent HF/IHD admissions should be prioritised for receipt of booster vaccine doses.
Humans
;
COVID-19/complications*
;
Male
;
Heart Failure/complications*
;
Myocardial Ischemia/complications*
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data*
;
Aged
;
COVID-19 Vaccines/administration & dosage*
;
Singapore/epidemiology*
;
SARS-CoV-2
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Adult
;
Case-Control Studies
;
Vaccination/statistics & numerical data*
7.Surviving the year: Predictors of mortality in conservative kidney management.
Swee Ping TEH ; Boon Cheok LAI ; Ivan Wei Zhen LEE ; Shashidhar BAIKUNJE ; Sye Nee TAN ; Lee Ying YEOH
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2025;54(9):524-530
INTRODUCTION:
Conservative kidney management (CKM) is a recognised treatment option for selected patients with chronic kidney disease stage 5 (CKD G5), but prognostic indicators for mortality and optimal timing for palliative care transition remain uncertain.
METHOD:
This is a single-centre, prospective cohort study of CKD G5 patients who opted for CKM, conducted between April 2021 and September 2024, with longitudinal monitoring of Edmonton Symptom Assessment System Revised: Renal; Palliative Perfor-mance Scale (PPS); Resources Utilisation Group.Activities of Daily Living (RUG-ADL) scale; Clinical Frailty Score; Karnofsky Performance Score; and clinical and laboratory data. Primary outcomes included identifying baseline mortality predictors and validating the PPS for survival estimation. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify independent predictors of mortality.
RESULTS:
Among 109 patients (mean age 79.8±7.3 years, 64.2% female), 62 (56.9%) died during follow-up. Multivariate analysis identified baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08.1.68, P<0.01) and serum albumin (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.08.1.43, P<0.01) as predictors of 1-year mortality. Median survival varied by eGFR: 3.0 months (95% CI 0.6.2) for eGFR .5 mL/min/1.73 m2, 13.0 months (95% CI 9.1.16.9) for eGFR 6.10 mL/ min/1.73 m2, and 20.0 months (95% CI 16.5.23.5) for eGFR >10 mL/min/1.73 m2 (P<0.01). Subsequent PPS correlated strongly with survival, with median survival of 1.8 months for PPS <50, 5.3 months for PPS 50.60, and 7.9 months for PPS 70.80 (P=0.03).
CONCLUSION
Baseline eGFR and serum albumin predict 1-year mortality in CKM patients. PPS offers a practical tool for identifying patients requiring palliative care transition, supporting personalised care pathways and timely integration of palliative care.
Humans
;
Female
;
Male
;
Aged
;
Prospective Studies
;
Glomerular Filtration Rate
;
Palliative Care/methods*
;
Conservative Treatment/methods*
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Prognosis
;
Serum Albumin/analysis*
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Activities of Daily Living
;
Singapore/epidemiology*
8.Effect of Huaier granule on prognosis of breast cancer: A single-center propensity score matching retrospective study.
Qianqian GUO ; Yuting PENG ; Ge ZHANG ; Huan LIN ; Qianjun CHEN
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(1):93-98
BACKGROUND:
Huaier granule is an important medicinal fungus extract widely used in cancer treatment. Previous retrospective studies have reported its effectiveness in breast cancer patients, but the imbalanced baseline characteristics of participants could have biased the results. Therefore, this retrospective study aimed to examine the efficacy of Huaier granule on the prognosis of breast cancer patients.
METHODS:
In this single-center cohort study, breast cancer patients diagnosed and treated at the Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine between 2009 and 2017 were selected. The data were retrospectively analyzed and divided into two groups according to whether the patients received Huaier granules. The propensity score matching (PSM) method was used to eliminate selection bias. The disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) for these groups were compared using the Kaplan-Meier method and the Cox regression.
RESULTS:
This study included 214 early invasive breast cancer patients, 107 in the Huaier group and 107 in the control group. In the Kaplan-Meier analysis, the 2-year and 5-year DFS rates were significantly different in the Huaier group and control group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.495; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.257-0.953; P = 0.023). The 2-year and 5-year OS rates were also significantly different (HR, 0.308; 95% CI, 0.148-0.644; P = 0.001). On multivariable Cox regression, Huaier granule was associated with improved DFS (HR, 0.440; 95% CI, 0.223-0.868; P = 0.018) and OS (HR, 0.236; 95% CI, 0.103-0.540; P = 0.001).
CONCLUSION
In this retrospective study, Huaier granules improved the DFS and OS of early invasive breast cancer patients, providing real-world evidence for further prospective studies on treating breast cancer with Huaier granules.
Humans
;
Breast Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Female
;
Propensity Score
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Prognosis
;
Disease-Free Survival
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
Aged
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Complex Mixtures/therapeutic use*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
;
Trametes
9.Neoadjuvant therapy with immune checkpoint inhibitors in combination with chemotherapy vs . chemotherapy alone in HER2(-) locally advanced gastric cancer: A propensity score-matched cohort study.
Gehan XU ; Tianjiao LIU ; Jingyi SHEN ; Quanlin GUAN
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(4):459-471
BACKGROUND:
This study aims to compare the efficacy between neoadjuvant immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) plus chemotherapy vs . chemotherapy, and neoadjuvant triplet vs . doublet chemotherapeutic regimens in locally advanced gastric/esophagogastric junction cancer (LAGC).
METHODS:
We included LAGC patients from 47 hospitals in China's National Cancer Information Database (NCID) from January 2019 to December 2022. Using propensity score matching (PSM), we retrospectively analyzed the efficacy between neoadjuvant ICIs plus chemotherapy vs . chemotherapy alone, and neoadjuvant triplet vs . doublet chemotherapeutic regimens. The primary study result was the pathologic complete response (pCR) rate. The secondary study results were disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).
RESULTS:
A total of 1205 LAGC patients were included. After PSM, the ICIs plus chemotherapy and the chemotherapy cohorts had 184 patients each, while the doublet and triplet chemotherapy cohorts had 246 patients each. The pCR rate (14.13% vs . 7.61%, χ2 = 4.039, P = 0.044), and the 2-year (77.60% vs . 61.02%, HR = 0.67, 95% con-fidence interval [CI] 0.43-0.98, P = 0.048) and 3-year (70.55% vs . 61.02%, HR = 0.58, 95% CI 0.32-0.93, P = 0.048) DFS rates in the ICIs plus chemotherapy cohort were improved compared to those in the chemotherapy cohort. No significant increase was observed in the OS rates at both 1 year and 2 years. The pCR rates, DFS rates at 1-3 years, and OS rates at 1-2 years did not differ significantly between the doublet and triplet cohorts, respectively. No differences were observed in postoperative complications between any of the group comparisons.
CONCLUSIONS
Neoadjuvant ICIs plus chemotherapy improved the pCR rate and 2-3 years DFS rates of LAGC compared to chemotherapy alone, but whether short-term benefit could translate into long-term efficacy is unclear. The triplet regimen was not superior to the doublet regimen in terms of efficacy. The safety after surgery was similar between either ICIs plus chemotherapy and chemotherapy or the triplet and the doublet regimen.
Humans
;
Stomach Neoplasms/metabolism*
;
Female
;
Neoadjuvant Therapy/methods*
;
Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/therapeutic use*
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Propensity Score
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Aged
;
Receptor, ErbB-2/metabolism*
;
Adult
;
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use*
;
Disease-Free Survival
;
Cohort Studies
10.Risk factors for positive post-transplantation measurable residual disease in patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia.
Yuewen WANG ; Guomei FU ; Lanping XU ; Yu WANG ; Yifei CHENG ; Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Xiaohui ZHANG ; Yanrong LIU ; Kaiyan LIU ; Xiaojun HUANG ; Yingjun CHANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(9):1084-1093
BACKGROUND:
The level of measurable residual disease (MRD) before and after transplantation is related to inferior transplant outcomes, and post-hematopoietic stem cell transplantation measurable residual disease (post-HSCT MRD) has higher prognostic value in determining risk than pre-hematopoietic stem cell transplantation measurable residual disease (pre-HSCT MRD). However, only a few work has been devoted to the risk factors for positive post-HSCT MRD in patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). This study evaluated the risk factors for post-HSCT MRD positivity in patients with ALL who underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT).
METHODS:
A total of 1683 ALL patients from Peking University People's Hospital between January 2009 and December 2019 were enrolled to evaluate the cumulative incidence of post-HSCT MRD. Cox proportional hazard regression models were built for time-to-event outcomes. Multivariable analysis was performed to determine independent influencing factors from the univariable analysis.
RESULTS:
Both in total patients and in T-cell ALL or B-cell ALL, pediatric or adult, human leukocyte antigen-matched sibling donor transplantation or haploidentical SCT subgroups, positive pre-HSCT MRD was a risk factor for post-HSCT MRD positivity ( P <0.001 for all). Disease status (complete remission 1 [CR1] vs . ≥CR2) was also a risk factor for post-HSCT MRD positivity in all patients and in the B cell-ALL, pediatric, or haploidentical SCT subgroups ( P = 0.027; P = 0.003; P = 0.035; P = 0.003, respectively). A risk score for post-HSCT MRD positivity was developed using the variables pre-HSCT MRD and disease status. The cumulative incidence of post-HSCT MRD positivity was 12.3%, 25.1%, and 38.8% for subjects with scores of 0, 1, and 2-3, respectively ( P <0.001). Multivariable analysis confirmed the association of the risk score with the cumulative incidence of post-HSCT MRD positivity and relapse as well as leukemia-free survival and overall survival.
CONCLUSION
Our results indicated that positive pre-MRD and disease status were two independent risk factors for post-HSCT MRD positivity in patients with ALL who underwent allo-HSCT.
Humans
;
Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/pathology*
;
Neoplasm, Residual
;
Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/methods*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Risk Factors
;
Adolescent
;
Adult
;
Child
;
Child, Preschool
;
Young Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Infant
;
Transplantation, Homologous
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Retrospective Studies

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