1.Practicability of Suicide Reduction Target in Korean Suicide Prevention Policy: Insights From Time Series Analysis
Seunghyong RYU ; Seon-Hwa BAEK ; Min JHON ; Honey KIM ; Ju-Yeon LEE ; Jae-Min KIM ; Sung-Wan KIM
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2025;40(19):e59-
Background:
This study evaluated the practicability of the suicide rate reduction target set by the current national suicide prevention policy in Korea, the fifth Master Plan for Suicide Prevention (2023–2027). This policy aims to lower the suicide rate from 26/100,000 in 2021 to 18.2/100,000 by 2027.
Methods:
We utilized monthly suicide statistics data from 2011 onwards. Using Bayesian regression and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models, we conducted interrupted time series analyses to estimate the effect of the previous policy, the National Action Plan for Suicide Prevention (2018–2022), on suicide rates. We assumed this as the additional suicide reduction expected from the current policy. We generated point predictions and simulations for suicide rates from 2023 to 2027 using Bayesian regression and ARIMA models.
Results:
The interrupted time series analyses did not reveal a significant reduction in suicides attributable to the previous policy. Point predictions from the two models indicated that the suicide rate would remain approximately 24/100,000 in 2027. Almost all of the simulations of the 2027 suicide rate did not meet the policy target of 18.2/100,000.
Conclusion
The findings suggest that the Korean government’s suicide rate reduction target for 2027 is likely unattainable based on current trends and the limited effectiveness of previous policies. The objectives of suicide prevention policies should be evidence-based, attainable, and accountable.
2.Practicability of Suicide Reduction Target in Korean Suicide Prevention Policy: Insights From Time Series Analysis
Seunghyong RYU ; Seon-Hwa BAEK ; Min JHON ; Honey KIM ; Ju-Yeon LEE ; Jae-Min KIM ; Sung-Wan KIM
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2025;40(19):e59-
Background:
This study evaluated the practicability of the suicide rate reduction target set by the current national suicide prevention policy in Korea, the fifth Master Plan for Suicide Prevention (2023–2027). This policy aims to lower the suicide rate from 26/100,000 in 2021 to 18.2/100,000 by 2027.
Methods:
We utilized monthly suicide statistics data from 2011 onwards. Using Bayesian regression and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models, we conducted interrupted time series analyses to estimate the effect of the previous policy, the National Action Plan for Suicide Prevention (2018–2022), on suicide rates. We assumed this as the additional suicide reduction expected from the current policy. We generated point predictions and simulations for suicide rates from 2023 to 2027 using Bayesian regression and ARIMA models.
Results:
The interrupted time series analyses did not reveal a significant reduction in suicides attributable to the previous policy. Point predictions from the two models indicated that the suicide rate would remain approximately 24/100,000 in 2027. Almost all of the simulations of the 2027 suicide rate did not meet the policy target of 18.2/100,000.
Conclusion
The findings suggest that the Korean government’s suicide rate reduction target for 2027 is likely unattainable based on current trends and the limited effectiveness of previous policies. The objectives of suicide prevention policies should be evidence-based, attainable, and accountable.
3.Practicability of Suicide Reduction Target in Korean Suicide Prevention Policy: Insights From Time Series Analysis
Seunghyong RYU ; Seon-Hwa BAEK ; Min JHON ; Honey KIM ; Ju-Yeon LEE ; Jae-Min KIM ; Sung-Wan KIM
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2025;40(19):e59-
Background:
This study evaluated the practicability of the suicide rate reduction target set by the current national suicide prevention policy in Korea, the fifth Master Plan for Suicide Prevention (2023–2027). This policy aims to lower the suicide rate from 26/100,000 in 2021 to 18.2/100,000 by 2027.
Methods:
We utilized monthly suicide statistics data from 2011 onwards. Using Bayesian regression and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models, we conducted interrupted time series analyses to estimate the effect of the previous policy, the National Action Plan for Suicide Prevention (2018–2022), on suicide rates. We assumed this as the additional suicide reduction expected from the current policy. We generated point predictions and simulations for suicide rates from 2023 to 2027 using Bayesian regression and ARIMA models.
Results:
The interrupted time series analyses did not reveal a significant reduction in suicides attributable to the previous policy. Point predictions from the two models indicated that the suicide rate would remain approximately 24/100,000 in 2027. Almost all of the simulations of the 2027 suicide rate did not meet the policy target of 18.2/100,000.
Conclusion
The findings suggest that the Korean government’s suicide rate reduction target for 2027 is likely unattainable based on current trends and the limited effectiveness of previous policies. The objectives of suicide prevention policies should be evidence-based, attainable, and accountable.
4.Practicability of Suicide Reduction Target in Korean Suicide Prevention Policy: Insights From Time Series Analysis
Seunghyong RYU ; Seon-Hwa BAEK ; Min JHON ; Honey KIM ; Ju-Yeon LEE ; Jae-Min KIM ; Sung-Wan KIM
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2025;40(19):e59-
Background:
This study evaluated the practicability of the suicide rate reduction target set by the current national suicide prevention policy in Korea, the fifth Master Plan for Suicide Prevention (2023–2027). This policy aims to lower the suicide rate from 26/100,000 in 2021 to 18.2/100,000 by 2027.
Methods:
We utilized monthly suicide statistics data from 2011 onwards. Using Bayesian regression and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models, we conducted interrupted time series analyses to estimate the effect of the previous policy, the National Action Plan for Suicide Prevention (2018–2022), on suicide rates. We assumed this as the additional suicide reduction expected from the current policy. We generated point predictions and simulations for suicide rates from 2023 to 2027 using Bayesian regression and ARIMA models.
Results:
The interrupted time series analyses did not reveal a significant reduction in suicides attributable to the previous policy. Point predictions from the two models indicated that the suicide rate would remain approximately 24/100,000 in 2027. Almost all of the simulations of the 2027 suicide rate did not meet the policy target of 18.2/100,000.
Conclusion
The findings suggest that the Korean government’s suicide rate reduction target for 2027 is likely unattainable based on current trends and the limited effectiveness of previous policies. The objectives of suicide prevention policies should be evidence-based, attainable, and accountable.
5.Bone Loss after Solid Organ Transplantation: A Review of Organ-Specific Considerations
Kyoung Jin KIM ; Jeonghoon HA ; Sang Wan KIM ; Jung-Eun KIM ; Sihoon LEE ; Han Seok CHOI ; Namki HONG ; Sung Hye KONG ; Seong Hee AHN ; So Young PARK ; Ki-Hyun BAEK ;
Endocrinology and Metabolism 2024;39(2):267-282
This review article investigates solid organ transplantation-induced osteoporosis, a critical yet often overlooked issue, emphasizing its significance in post-transplant care. The initial sections provide a comprehensive understanding of the prevalence and multifactorial pathogenesis of transplantation osteoporosis, including factors such as deteriorating post-transplantation health, hormonal changes, and the impact of immunosuppressive medications. Furthermore, the review is dedicated to organ-specific considerations in transplantation osteoporosis, with separate analyses for kidney, liver, heart, and lung transplantations. Each section elucidates the unique challenges and management strategies pertinent to transplantation osteoporosis in relation to each organ type, highlighting the necessity of an organ-specific approach to fully understand the diverse manifestations and implications of transplantation osteoporosis. This review underscores the importance of this topic in transplant medicine, aiming to enhance awareness and knowledge among clinicians and researchers. By comprehensively examining transplantation osteoporosis, this study contributes to the development of improved management and care strategies, ultimately leading to improved patient outcomes in this vulnerable group. This detailed review serves as an essential resource for those involved in the complex multidisciplinary care of transplant recipients.
6.Effects of Endocrine-Disrupting Chemicals on Bone Health
So Young PARK ; Sung Hye KONG ; Kyoung Jin KIM ; Seong Hee AHN ; Namki HONG ; Jeonghoon HA ; Sihoon LEE ; Han Seok CHOI ; Ki-Hyun BAEK ; Jung-Eun KIM ; Sang Wan KIM ;
Endocrinology and Metabolism 2024;39(4):539-551
This comprehensive review critically examines the detrimental impacts of endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs) on bone health, with a specific focus on substances such as bisphenol A (BPA), per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs), phthalates, and dioxins. These EDCs, by interfering with the endocrine system’s normal functioning, pose a significant risk to bone metabolism, potentially leading to a heightened susceptibility to bone-related disorders and diseases. Notably, BPA has been shown to inhibit the differentiation of osteoblasts and promote the apoptosis of osteoblasts, which results in altered bone turnover status. PFASs, known for their environmental persistence and ability to bioaccumulate in the human body, have been linked to an increased osteoporosis risk. Similarly, phthalates, which are widely used in the production of plastics, have been associated with adverse bone health outcomes, showing an inverse relationship between phthalate exposure and bone mineral density. Dioxins present a more complex picture, with research findings suggesting both potential benefits and adverse effects on bone structure and density, depending on factors such as the timing and level of exposure. This review underscores the urgent need for further research to better understand the specific pathways through which EDCs affect bone health and to develop targeted strategies for mitigating their potentially harmful impacts.
7.Risk Factors for the Mortality of Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019Requiring Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation in a Non-Centralized Setting: A Nationwide Study
Tae Wan KIM ; Won-Young KIM ; Sunghoon PARK ; Su Hwan LEE ; Onyu PARK ; Taehwa KIM ; Hye Ju YEO ; Jin Ho JANG ; Woo Hyun CHO ; Jin-Won HUH ; Sang-Min LEE ; Chi Ryang CHUNG ; Jongmin LEE ; Jung Soo KIM ; Sung Yoon LIM ; Ae-Rin BAEK ; Jung-Wan YOO ; Ho Cheol KIM ; Eun Young CHOI ; Chul PARK ; Tae-Ok KIM ; Do Sik MOON ; Song-I LEE ; Jae Young MOON ; Sun Jung KWON ; Gil Myeong SEONG ; Won Jai JUNG ; Moon Seong BAEK ;
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2024;39(8):e75-
Background:
Limited data are available on the mortality rates of patients receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) support for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We aimed to analyze the relationship between COVID-19 and clinical outcomes for patients receiving ECMO.
Methods:
We retrospectively investigated patients with COVID-19 pneumonia requiring ECMO in 19 hospitals across Korea from January 1, 2020 to August 31, 2021. The primary outcome was the 90-day mortality after ECMO initiation. We performed multivariate analysis using a logistic regression model to estimate the odds ratio (OR) of 90-day mortality. Survival differences were analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier (KM) method.
Results:
Of 127 patients with COVID-19 pneumonia who received ECMO, 70 patients (55.1%) died within 90 days of ECMO initiation. The median age was 64 years, and 63% of patients were male. The incidence of ECMO was increased with age but was decreased after 70 years of age. However, the survival rate was decreased linearly with age. In multivariate analysis, age (OR, 1.048; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.010–1.089; P = 0.014) and receipt of continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) (OR, 3.069; 95% CI, 1.312–7.180; P = 0.010) were significantly associated with an increased risk of 90-day mortality. KM curves showed significant differences in survival between groups according to age (65 years) (log-rank P = 0.021) and receipt of CRRT (log-rank P = 0.004).
Conclusion
Older age and receipt of CRRT were associated with higher mortality rates among patients with COVID-19 who received ECMO.
8.Psychosocial and digital intervention for patients with schizophrenia
Sung-Wan KIM ; Seon-Hwa BAEK ; Chul-Hyun CHO
Journal of the Korean Medical Association 2024;67(2):103-114
Schizophrenia is a severe mental disorder that significantly impairs the daily functioning of patients that causes substantial societal and economic burden. While drug therapy is crucial for schizophrenia treatment, relying solely on antipsychotic drugs does not yield the most favorable therapeutic outcomes.Current Concepts: Integrating psychosocial interventions could result in maximized therapeutic effects for individuals living with schizophrenia. Evidence-based psychosocial interventions for schizophrenia management include cognitive behavioral therapy, family involvement, psychoeducation, supported employment programs, lifestyle adjustments for physical health, and coordinated and comprehensive early intervention services. Incorporating peer support, allowing both service users and care providers to share knowledge and their illnessrelated personal experiences, facilitates mutual assistance along the path to recovery. Moreover, growing interest follows in using digital interventions, such as wearable technology and smartphone applications, as effective therapeutic tools for illness management.Discussion and Conclusion: The above-mentioned psychosocial interventions empower individuals with schizophrenia, helping them improve their functioning, enhance their life quality, and adapt more effectively to society. Combining early medication with comprehensive psychosocial interventions, including digital technology, is crucial for the best outcomes. This approach should begin as soon as schizophrenia is diagnosed, aiming to promote recovery and overall well-being in affected individuals.
9.Comparisons of Genetic Architecture Using Polygenic Risk Scores Derived From Large-Scale Genome-Wide Association Study Data Between Patients With Schizophrenia, Bipolar Disorder and Healthy Controls
Dong Eun LEE ; Min Jun CHOI ; Eun Young CHO ; Yong Min AHN ; Hyunju LEE ; Woojae MYUNG ; Tae Hyon HA ; Sung-Wan KIM ; Heon-Jeong LEE ; Kyooseob HA ; Kyung Sue HONG ; Ji Hyun BAEK
Korean Journal of Schizophrenia Research 2024;27(2):57-62
Objectives:
In this study, we aimed to compare the genetic architecture of schizophrenia (SCZ) and bipolar disorder (BD) in a Korean population by analyzing polygenic risk scores (PRS) derived from large-scale psychiatric disorder genome-wide association study data, based on genetic information collected from SCZ, BD, and healthy control groups.
Methods:
The study included 713 Korean patients with SCZ, 1,317 with BD, 526 healthy controls. Genotyping was performed using the Korean Biobank Array. PRS-continuous shrinkage method was used to calculate the PRS. Analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) was conducted to determine the association between SCZ or BD disorder and PRS after adjusting for sex.
Results:
ANCOVA revealed significant differences in PRS values by diagnosis for PRS for SCZ (F=215.281, p<0.001), PRS for BD (F=13.811, p<0.001), and PRS for major depressive disorder (F=6.042, p=0.002). Post-hoc analysis showed that PRS for SCZ was highest in SCZ, followed by BD, and healthy controls. PRS for BD was elevated in both BD and SCZ compared to healthy controls.
Conclusion
Our study revealed quantitative differences in genetic architecture between SCZ and BD compared to healthy controls, while also suggesting a shared genetic background between the two disorders.
10.Changes in Suicide Rate Trend After Implementation of Suicide Prevention Policy: An Interrupted Time Series Study on the Fifth Master Plan for Suicide Prevention
Seunghyong RYU ; Seon-Hwa BAEK ; Min JHON ; Honey KIM ; Ju-Yeon LEE ; Jae-Min KIM ; Sung-Wan KIM
Journal of Korean Neuropsychiatric Association 2024;63(4):237-245
Objectives:
This study examined the shifts in the suicide trends in Korea during the initial phase of the Fifth Master Plan for Suicide Prevention, using interrupted time series analyses.
Methods:
Interrupted time series analyses were performed using the monthly suicide data from January 2011 to April 2024. Quasi-Poisson regression models were applied to evaluate the changes in the level and slope of the suicide trend before and after policy implementation. The Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Prophet models were used to compare the actual and predicted counterfactual numbers of suicides during the policy period.
Results:
The quasi-Poisson regression model revealed a significant change in the trend of suicides among men, with an increasing slope during the policy period. For total suicides, the ARIMA and Prophet models suggested that the actual number of suicides was significantly higher than the counterfactual number during the policy period, with excess suicides averaging between 113 and 150 per month. The actual number of suicides among men was significantly higher than the counterfactual number during the policy period, with excess suicides averaging between 86 and 92 per month. No significant changes in the suicide trends among women were observed.
Conclusion
These findings suggest that the initial effects of the Fifth Master Plan for Suicide Prevention were inadequate to curb the rising suicide trends, particularly among men. This study underscores the need for timely policy responses to reverse the current increasing trend in suicides, with particular focus on the male population.

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