1.Research on the Spatio-temporal Evolution and Trend Prediction of the Coupling and Coordinated Development of Medical Resource Allocation and Economic Society
Liqing LI ; Sule YANG ; Zhensheng CHEN
Chinese Health Economics 2025;44(1):40-46
Objective:To explore the temporal characteristics,spatial effects,spatial correlation patterns and dynamic evolution laws of the coordinated development of medical resource allocation and economic society in China from 2010 to 2021,and to provide scientific references for promoting the coordinated and orderly development of medical and health services and economic society.Methods:The coupling coordination theory is introduced to construct a"time+space"dual-dimensional dynamic coupling coordination degree model,and the spatial correlation analysis method is used to analyze the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of China's medical resource allocation and economic and social coupling coordination level from 2010 to 2021.On this basis,the grey prediction model is used to dynamically predict the future development and changes of the coupling coordination level of 31 provinces from 2024 to 2028.Results:From 2010 to 2021,the level of coupling and coordination between medical resource allocation and economic and social development has been steadily increased,but the overall coordination level is low,the regional gap is large,and the benign resonance coupling and coordinated and orderly development have not been fully realized;there is a significant spatial positive correlation and spatial agglomeration effect between the allocation of medical resources and the level of economic and social coupling and coordination,mainly based on the spatial correlation mode of high-high agglomeration and low-low agglomeration.From 2024 to 2028,the gap of interregional coupling coordination level will be narrowed,and the western region will still be in the stage of imbalance.Conclusion:We should focus on regional geospatial differences,improve the cross-regional multilateral coordinated development mechanism,promote mutual assistance and sharing of medical resources,technology,capital and management experience,establish and improve the investment mechanism suitable for the level of economic and social development,and promote the coordinated and orderly development of medical and health undertakings and economic society.
2.The Mechanism and Promotion Path of the Coupling and Coordinated Development of Medical Resource Allocation and Economic Society from the Perspective of New Quality Productive Forces
Liqing LI ; Sule YANG ; Ke SUN ; Qiao LIU
Chinese Health Economics 2025;44(4):32-38
Objective:Accelerating the cultivation and development of new quality productive forces is an inherent requirement for the coordinated development of health care industry and economic society in the new era.Methods:Based on the technology-organization-environment framework,it explores the complex causal mechanism of multi-factor synergy affecting the allocation of medical resources and the coordinated development of economy and society driven by new quality productive forces.By constructing the"time+space"two-dimensional dynamic coupling coordination degree model and grey prediction model,the specific improvement path of the allocation of medical resources and the coordinated development of economy and society in the"13th Five-Year Plan","14th Five-Year Plan"and"15th Five-Year Plan"periods are explored from the perspective of configuration.Results:During the period from the"13th Five-Year Plan"to the"15th Five-Year Plan",the degree of coordination between medical resource allocation and economic and social coupling 31 provinces(cities)generally showed an upward trend,but there were large regional disparities.From the grouping results,it can be seen that the grouping path of the coordinated development of medical resource allocation and economy and society in the"13th Five-Year Plan"and"14th Five-Year Plan"periods shows significant differences.It is expected that technology-organization-driven,technology-environment-driven and organization-environment-driven paths will be formed in the"15th Five-Year Plan"period.Conclusion:It is necessary to accelerate the formation of the agglomeration advantage of technology and talent factors,appropriately increase the financial support for the western region,and achieve coordinated development of regional integration.
3.The Mechanism and Promotion Path of the Coupling and Coordinated Development of Medical Resource Allocation and Economic Society from the Perspective of New Quality Productive Forces
Liqing LI ; Sule YANG ; Ke SUN ; Qiao LIU
Chinese Health Economics 2025;44(4):32-38
Objective:Accelerating the cultivation and development of new quality productive forces is an inherent requirement for the coordinated development of health care industry and economic society in the new era.Methods:Based on the technology-organization-environment framework,it explores the complex causal mechanism of multi-factor synergy affecting the allocation of medical resources and the coordinated development of economy and society driven by new quality productive forces.By constructing the"time+space"two-dimensional dynamic coupling coordination degree model and grey prediction model,the specific improvement path of the allocation of medical resources and the coordinated development of economy and society in the"13th Five-Year Plan","14th Five-Year Plan"and"15th Five-Year Plan"periods are explored from the perspective of configuration.Results:During the period from the"13th Five-Year Plan"to the"15th Five-Year Plan",the degree of coordination between medical resource allocation and economic and social coupling 31 provinces(cities)generally showed an upward trend,but there were large regional disparities.From the grouping results,it can be seen that the grouping path of the coordinated development of medical resource allocation and economy and society in the"13th Five-Year Plan"and"14th Five-Year Plan"periods shows significant differences.It is expected that technology-organization-driven,technology-environment-driven and organization-environment-driven paths will be formed in the"15th Five-Year Plan"period.Conclusion:It is necessary to accelerate the formation of the agglomeration advantage of technology and talent factors,appropriately increase the financial support for the western region,and achieve coordinated development of regional integration.
4.Research on the Spatio-temporal Evolution and Trend Prediction of the Coupling and Coordinated Development of Medical Resource Allocation and Economic Society
Liqing LI ; Sule YANG ; Zhensheng CHEN
Chinese Health Economics 2025;44(1):40-46
Objective:To explore the temporal characteristics,spatial effects,spatial correlation patterns and dynamic evolution laws of the coordinated development of medical resource allocation and economic society in China from 2010 to 2021,and to provide scientific references for promoting the coordinated and orderly development of medical and health services and economic society.Methods:The coupling coordination theory is introduced to construct a"time+space"dual-dimensional dynamic coupling coordination degree model,and the spatial correlation analysis method is used to analyze the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of China's medical resource allocation and economic and social coupling coordination level from 2010 to 2021.On this basis,the grey prediction model is used to dynamically predict the future development and changes of the coupling coordination level of 31 provinces from 2024 to 2028.Results:From 2010 to 2021,the level of coupling and coordination between medical resource allocation and economic and social development has been steadily increased,but the overall coordination level is low,the regional gap is large,and the benign resonance coupling and coordinated and orderly development have not been fully realized;there is a significant spatial positive correlation and spatial agglomeration effect between the allocation of medical resources and the level of economic and social coupling and coordination,mainly based on the spatial correlation mode of high-high agglomeration and low-low agglomeration.From 2024 to 2028,the gap of interregional coupling coordination level will be narrowed,and the western region will still be in the stage of imbalance.Conclusion:We should focus on regional geospatial differences,improve the cross-regional multilateral coordinated development mechanism,promote mutual assistance and sharing of medical resources,technology,capital and management experience,establish and improve the investment mechanism suitable for the level of economic and social development,and promote the coordinated and orderly development of medical and health undertakings and economic society.
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