Attributable fraction (AF) measures, including AF and population attributable fraction (PAF), quantify the potential reductions in disease burden if specific risk factors were eliminated. Although relative risk describes the strength of association, it does not directly address the clinically and policy-relevant question of how much disease is preventable. This article presents an integrated framework for interpreting AF and PAF across clinical and population contexts, focusing on applications to cancer prevention.Current concepts: AF, defined at the level of exposed individuals, helps explain causal contribution and the preventable proportion in clinical settings. PAF that is based on exposure prevalence among those with the disease (Pc) reflects the causal composition of disease among patients, whereas PAF based on exposure prevalence in the population (Pe) estimates potential impacts of population-level interventions. These measures are grounded in a counterfactual framework and require causal interpretation. This review presents key formulations, including Levin’s and Miettinen’s approaches, together with their underlying assumptions. By distinguishing target populations and question types—causation, prevention, and prioritization—AF and PAF provide complementary insights at the individual, patient group, and population levels.Discussion and conclusion: AF measures offer a unified framework linking causal inference with clinical decision-making and public health policy. AF supports patient-level counseling and intervention prioritization, whereas PAF informs population-level prevention and resource allocation. Appropriate interpretation requires careful consideration of causal assumptions, target populations, and the presence of multiple risk factors. Overall, AF and PAF are essential tools for translating epidemiologic evidence into actionable clinical and policy decisions.

Background: Active surveillance (AS) has emerged as a viable management strategy for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC), following pioneering trials at Kuma Hospital and the Cancer Institute Hospital in Japan. Numerous prospective cohort studies have since validated AS as a management option for low-risk PTMC, leading to its inclusion in thyroid cancer guidelines across various countries. From 2016 to 2020, the Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study of Active Surveillance on Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma (MAeSTro) enrolled 1,177 patients, providing comprehensive data on PTMC progression, sonographic predictors of progression, quality of life, surgical outcomes, and cost-effectiveness when comparing AS to immediate surgery. The second phase of MAeSTro (MAeSTro-EXP) expands AS to low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) tumors larger than 1 cm, driven by the hypothesis that overall risk assessment outweighs absolute tumor size in surgical decision-making. Methods: This protocol aims to address whether limiting AS to tumors smaller than 1 cm may result in unnecessary surgeries for low-risk PTCs detected during their rapid initial growth phase. By expanding the AS criteria to include tumors up to 1.5 cm, while simultaneously refining and standardizing the criteria for risk assessment and disease progression, we aim to minimize overtreatment and maintain rigorous monitoring to improve patient outcomes. Conclusion This study will contribute to optimizing AS guidelines and enhance our understanding of the natural course and appropriate management of low-risk PTCs. Additionally, MAeSTro-EXP involves a multinational collaboration between South Korea and Australia. This cross-country study aims to identify cultural and racial differences in the management of low-risk PTC, thereby enriching the global understanding of AS practices and their applicability across diverse populations.

Background: Active surveillance (AS) has emerged as a viable management strategy for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC), following pioneering trials at Kuma Hospital and the Cancer Institute Hospital in Japan. Numerous prospective cohort studies have since validated AS as a management option for low-risk PTMC, leading to its inclusion in thyroid cancer guidelines across various countries. From 2016 to 2020, the Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study of Active Surveillance on Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma (MAeSTro) enrolled 1,177 patients, providing comprehensive data on PTMC progression, sonographic predictors of progression, quality of life, surgical outcomes, and cost-effectiveness when comparing AS to immediate surgery. The second phase of MAeSTro (MAeSTro-EXP) expands AS to low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) tumors larger than 1 cm, driven by the hypothesis that overall risk assessment outweighs absolute tumor size in surgical decision-making. Methods: This protocol aims to address whether limiting AS to tumors smaller than 1 cm may result in unnecessary surgeries for low-risk PTCs detected during their rapid initial growth phase. By expanding the AS criteria to include tumors up to 1.5 cm, while simultaneously refining and standardizing the criteria for risk assessment and disease progression, we aim to minimize overtreatment and maintain rigorous monitoring to improve patient outcomes. Conclusion This study will contribute to optimizing AS guidelines and enhance our understanding of the natural course and appropriate management of low-risk PTCs. Additionally, MAeSTro-EXP involves a multinational collaboration between South Korea and Australia. This cross-country study aims to identify cultural and racial differences in the management of low-risk PTC, thereby enriching the global understanding of AS practices and their applicability across diverse populations.

A fundamental objective of public health is to identify the causes of diseases and associated risk factors to develop effective prevention strategies. In this regard, the population attributable fraction (PAF) has become a key epidemiological measure for quantifying the proportion of disease incidence in a population attributable to specific risk factors.Current Concepts: The concept of PAF is widely applied in epidemiological and public health research, playing a crucial role in prioritizing disease prevention and management strategies. Estimating the PAF of cancer risk factors based on national data provides essential evidence for the formulation of government-led cancer control policies and prevention strategies. In particular, these estimates serve as critical indicators for evaluating cancer control programs and informing policy decisions. Given the variations in risk factor prevalence across different populations, it is crucial to estimate PAF using country-specific data to ensure the development of tailored and effective public health interventions.Discussion and Conclusion: This study underscores the importance of PAF as a foundational tool for evidencebased policymaking and highlights the need for periodic reassessment to enhance the effectiveness of cancer prevention and control efforts.

Background: Active surveillance (AS) has emerged as a viable management strategy for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC), following pioneering trials at Kuma Hospital and the Cancer Institute Hospital in Japan. Numerous prospective cohort studies have since validated AS as a management option for low-risk PTMC, leading to its inclusion in thyroid cancer guidelines across various countries. From 2016 to 2020, the Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study of Active Surveillance on Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma (MAeSTro) enrolled 1,177 patients, providing comprehensive data on PTMC progression, sonographic predictors of progression, quality of life, surgical outcomes, and cost-effectiveness when comparing AS to immediate surgery. The second phase of MAeSTro (MAeSTro-EXP) expands AS to low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) tumors larger than 1 cm, driven by the hypothesis that overall risk assessment outweighs absolute tumor size in surgical decision-making. Methods: This protocol aims to address whether limiting AS to tumors smaller than 1 cm may result in unnecessary surgeries for low-risk PTCs detected during their rapid initial growth phase. By expanding the AS criteria to include tumors up to 1.5 cm, while simultaneously refining and standardizing the criteria for risk assessment and disease progression, we aim to minimize overtreatment and maintain rigorous monitoring to improve patient outcomes. Conclusion This study will contribute to optimizing AS guidelines and enhance our understanding of the natural course and appropriate management of low-risk PTCs. Additionally, MAeSTro-EXP involves a multinational collaboration between South Korea and Australia. This cross-country study aims to identify cultural and racial differences in the management of low-risk PTC, thereby enriching the global understanding of AS practices and their applicability across diverse populations.

A fundamental objective of public health is to identify the causes of diseases and associated risk factors to develop effective prevention strategies. In this regard, the population attributable fraction (PAF) has become a key epidemiological measure for quantifying the proportion of disease incidence in a population attributable to specific risk factors.Current Concepts: The concept of PAF is widely applied in epidemiological and public health research, playing a crucial role in prioritizing disease prevention and management strategies. Estimating the PAF of cancer risk factors based on national data provides essential evidence for the formulation of government-led cancer control policies and prevention strategies. In particular, these estimates serve as critical indicators for evaluating cancer control programs and informing policy decisions. Given the variations in risk factor prevalence across different populations, it is crucial to estimate PAF using country-specific data to ensure the development of tailored and effective public health interventions.Discussion and Conclusion: This study underscores the importance of PAF as a foundational tool for evidencebased policymaking and highlights the need for periodic reassessment to enhance the effectiveness of cancer prevention and control efforts.

Background: Active surveillance (AS) has emerged as a viable management strategy for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC), following pioneering trials at Kuma Hospital and the Cancer Institute Hospital in Japan. Numerous prospective cohort studies have since validated AS as a management option for low-risk PTMC, leading to its inclusion in thyroid cancer guidelines across various countries. From 2016 to 2020, the Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study of Active Surveillance on Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma (MAeSTro) enrolled 1,177 patients, providing comprehensive data on PTMC progression, sonographic predictors of progression, quality of life, surgical outcomes, and cost-effectiveness when comparing AS to immediate surgery. The second phase of MAeSTro (MAeSTro-EXP) expands AS to low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) tumors larger than 1 cm, driven by the hypothesis that overall risk assessment outweighs absolute tumor size in surgical decision-making. Methods: This protocol aims to address whether limiting AS to tumors smaller than 1 cm may result in unnecessary surgeries for low-risk PTCs detected during their rapid initial growth phase. By expanding the AS criteria to include tumors up to 1.5 cm, while simultaneously refining and standardizing the criteria for risk assessment and disease progression, we aim to minimize overtreatment and maintain rigorous monitoring to improve patient outcomes. Conclusion This study will contribute to optimizing AS guidelines and enhance our understanding of the natural course and appropriate management of low-risk PTCs. Additionally, MAeSTro-EXP involves a multinational collaboration between South Korea and Australia. This cross-country study aims to identify cultural and racial differences in the management of low-risk PTC, thereby enriching the global understanding of AS practices and their applicability across diverse populations.