1.Paediatric one-day admission: why and is it necessary?
Jing Zhan LOCK ; Zi Xean KHOO ; Jen Heng PEK
Singapore medical journal 2025;66(1):15-19
INTRODUCTION:
Paediatric patients admitted to the inpatient units from the emergency department (ED) are increasing, but the mean length of stay has fallen significantly. We aimed to determine the reasons behind paediatric one-day admissions in Singapore and to assess their necessity.
METHODS:
A retrospective study involving paediatric patients who were admitted from a general ED of an adult tertiary hospital to a paediatric tertiary hospital between 1 August 2018 and 30 April 2020. One-day admission was defined as an inpatient stay of less than 24 h from the time of admission to discharge. An unnecessary admission was defined as one with no diagnostic test ordered, intravenous medication administered, therapeutic procedure performed or specialty review made in the inpatient unit. Data were captured in a standardised form and analysed.
RESULTS:
There were 13,944 paediatric attendances - 1,160 (8.3%) paediatric patients were admitted. Among these, 481 (41.4%) were one-day admissions. Upper respiratory tract infection (62, 12.9%), gastroenteritis (60, 12.5%) and head injury (52, 10.8%) were the three most common conditions. The three most common reasons for ED admissions were inpatient treatment (203, 42.2%), inpatient monitoring (185, 38.5%) and inpatient diagnostic investigations (32, 12.3%). Ninety-six (20.0%) one-day admissions were unnecessary.
CONCLUSION
Paediatric one-day admissions present an opportunity to develop and implement interventions targeted at the healthcare system, the ED, the paediatric patient and their caregiver, in order to safely slow down and perhaps reverse the trend of increased hospital admissions.
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Singapore
;
Child
;
Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data*
;
Patient Admission/statistics & numerical data*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Child, Preschool
;
Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data*
;
Infant
;
Adolescent
;
Tertiary Care Centers
;
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data*
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Gastroenteritis/therapy*
;
Respiratory Tract Infections
2.COVID-19 vaccine acceptance among kidney transplant recipients in Singapore.
Ian Tatt LIEW ; Hanis Abdul KADIR ; Sobhana THANGARAJU ; Quan Yao HO ; Eleanor NG ; Fiona FOO ; Terence KEE
Singapore medical journal 2025;66(2):73-80
INTRODUCTION:
A successful vaccination programme forms the cornerstone of controlling coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The unprecedented speed of COVID-19 vaccine development and lack of long-term data have raised fears regarding its safety and efficacy. Vaccine hesitancy can undermine the uptake, and hence success of the vaccination programme. Given the high complication rates of COVID-19 infections in kidney transplant recipients, it is particularly important to identify and address vaccine hesitancy in this population.
METHODS:
We conducted a cross-sectional survey among kidney transplant recipients attending transplant clinic between 5 April and 5 May 2021. The survey assessed attitudes towards COVID-19, willingness/hesitancy towards COVID-19 vaccination, vaccination concerns and prompts to vaccination. This was scored on a Likert scale with scores ranging from 'strongly disagree' - 1 point to 'strongly agree' - 5 points.
RESULTS:
One hundred and one completed responses were captured. Of these, 86% respondents reported to agree or strongly agree to vaccination. This was despite significant concerns of allograft rejection (mean score 4.12, standard deviation [SD] 0.97) and decreased immunosuppressant efficacy (mean score 4.14, SD 0.96) with vaccination. Multivariable model showed a positive association with transplant vintage of ≥ 5 years (median 2.41), lower educational levels of secondary school or less (median 5.82) and healthcare provider advocacy (median 1.88) in predicting vaccine acceptance.
CONCLUSIONS
Vaccine acceptance rate was high among kidney transplant recipients. Vaccine hesitancy remains a concern in those with a transplant vintage of less than 5 years and those with tertiary educational level. Healthcare provider advocacy is important in improving vaccine acceptance rates.
Humans
;
Kidney Transplantation
;
Singapore/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Cross-Sectional Studies
;
Female
;
COVID-19 Vaccines
;
COVID-19/epidemiology*
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Transplant Recipients/psychology*
;
Patient Acceptance of Health Care/statistics & numerical data*
;
Vaccination Hesitancy/psychology*
;
Surveys and Questionnaires
;
Vaccination/psychology*
;
Aged
;
SARS-CoV-2
3.Oncology-related emergencies discharged from the emergency department.
Si-Hua Yvonne GOH ; Juin Jie NG ; Shi-En Joanna CHAN ; Wei-Lin Tallie CHUA ; Venkataraman ANANTHARAMAN
Singapore medical journal 2025;66(2):97-101
INTRODUCTION:
Cancer patients attending emergency departments (EDs) often present with acute symptoms and are frequently admitted. This study aimed to characterise the profile of oncology patients who were discharged from the ED.
METHODS:
This was a retrospective audit of patients with cancer-related diagnoses who presented to the ED at the Singapore General Hospital (SGH) over a 6-month period from 1 October 2018 to 31 March 2019 and were directly discharged from the ED. Data was extracted from the hospital's electronic medical record system.
RESULTS:
Of the 492 participants included in the study, the majority were triaged as Priority 2 (61.4%), while 30.7% were triaged as Priority 3, 6.9% as Priority 1 and 1.0% as Priority 4. There was no statistical difference between the National Early Warning scores across the different triage categories in these patients. The most common complaint was (44.3%), followed by genitourinary symptoms (19.5%) and those related to devices, catheters or stomas (17.3%). More investigations of all types were done for patients being managed in Priority 1 (57.6%) than in the other triage categories (40.1% for Priority 2, 23.2% for Priority 3 and 12.0% for Priority 4). Treatment procedures carried out were mainly symptomatic (analgesics, antiemetics, proton pump inhibitors) for 79.8% of the patients. There were no significant differences in the proportion of patients requiring various treatment modalities among the triage categories.
CONCLUSION
Selected oncological patients may potentially be managed in an ambulatory setting.
Humans
;
Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Female
;
Neoplasms/diagnosis*
;
Male
;
Singapore
;
Patient Discharge/statistics & numerical data*
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Triage
;
Adult
;
Emergencies
;
Aged, 80 and over
4.Association of COVID-19 'circuit breaker' with higher rates of elderly trauma admissions.
Yee Har LIEW ; Zhenghong LIU ; Mian Jie LIM ; Pei Leng CHONG ; Norhayati Bte Mohamed JAINODIN ; Teng Teng PEH ; Jing Jing CHAN ; Sachin MATHUR ; Jeremy Choon Peng WEE
Singapore medical journal 2025;66(2):91-96
INTRODUCTION:
In December 2019, the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2) virus emerged and caused a worldwide pandemic, leading to measures being imposed by many countries to reduce its transmission. Singapore implemented the 'circuit breaker', which restricted all movements except for access to necessities and healthcare services. We aimed to investigate the impact of lockdown measures on the pattern of trauma and its effects.
METHODS:
An observational, retrospective, single-centre descriptive study was conducted using the trauma registry in Singapore General Hospital. It included patients above 18 years old who presented to the emergency department with trauma and were subsequently admitted. Patients admitted from 1 February 2020 to 31 July 2020 and those admitted during the same timeframe in 2019 were studied. Subgroup analyses were performed for patients aged ≥65 years and those <65 years.
RESULTS:
A total of 1,037 patients were included for analysis. A 17.6% increase in trauma presentations was seen from 2019 to 2020. Patients aged ≥65 years accounted for the rise in admissions. The predominant mechanism of injury was falls at home for older patients and vehicular accidents in patients <65 years. There were no significant differences in injury severity score, intensive care/high-dependency unit admission rates, length of stay, mortality rate, and subsequent need for inpatient rehabilitation.
CONCLUSION
Our study provided information on differences in trauma presentations before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Further studies are required to better inform on additional precautionary measures needed to reduce trauma and improve safety during future lockdowns and pandemics.
Humans
;
COVID-19/prevention & control*
;
Aged
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Singapore/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology*
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Middle Aged
;
SARS-CoV-2
;
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data*
;
Adult
;
Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data*
;
Registries
;
Accidental Falls/statistics & numerical data*
;
Pandemics
;
Patient Admission/statistics & numerical data*
;
Length of Stay
;
Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data*
5.Association between spontaneous abortion and chromosomal abnormalities of products of conception from spontaneous and ART-conceived pregnancies.
Xu JIANG ; Di YAO ; Ye SHEN ; Lingcen GUO ; Hehua TAO ; Xin ZHAO ; Lan YANG
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(1):36-44
OBJECTIVES:
Chromosomal abnormalities are the most common cause of spontaneous abortion (SA). This study aims to analyze the association between SA and chromosomal abnormalities in products of conception, and to compare the impact of different pregnancy modes and different numbers of previous abortions on chromosomal abnormalities, providing clinical consulting references.
METHODS:
A total of 1 345 SA patients treated at the Affiliated Women's Hospital of Jiangnan University (Wuxi Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital) between January 2019 and December 2023 were enrolled. According to the mode of conception, patients were divided into 2 groups: a spontaneous pregnancy group (S group, n=1242) and an assisted reproductive technology (ART)-conceived group (ART group, n=103). Based on the number of miscarriages, the S group was further subdivided into a spontaneous sporadic abortion group (S-1 group, n=780) and a spontaneous recurrent abortion group (S-2 group, n=462); the ART group was subdivided into an ART sporadic abortion group (ART-1 group, n=68) and an ART recurrent abortion group (ART-2 group, n=35). Chromosomal microarray analysis (CMA) was performed on products of conception.
RESULTS:
The incidence of numerical chromosomal abnormalities was 56.79% (443/780) in the S-1 group and 52.38% (242/462) in the S-2 group, while the incidence of structural abnormalities was 4.36% (34/780) and 7.36% (34/462), respectively. There was a statistically significant difference in structural abnormalities between the 2 groups (P<0.05). Among the spontaneous pregnancy SA cases, the incidence of numerical abnormalities decreased with increasing numbers of miscarriages, and was significantly lower in the group with ≥4 miscarriages compared to those with 1 or 2 miscarriages (both P<0.05). The incidence of structural abnormalities in groups with 1, 2, 3, and ≥4 miscarriages was 3.46%, 5.65%, 5.88%, and 4.35%, respectively, with no statistically significant differences among groups (all P>0.05). The incidence of pathogenic copy number variants (pCNVs) plus likely pathogenic copy number variants (LP-CNVs) gradually increases in the group with 1-3 miscarriages, and there was a statistically significant difference between the group with 1 miscarriage and the group with 2 miscarriages (P<0.05). In the ART group, the incidence of numerical abnormalities was 47.06% (32/68) in ART-1 and 37.14% (13/35) in ART-2, while structural abnormalities occurred in 2.94% (2/68) and 11.43% (4/35), respectively, with no significant differences between the groups (both P>0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in the incidence of numerical or structural abnormalities between the S-1 and ART-1 groups, or between the S-2 and ART-2 groups (all P>0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
Chromosomal numerical and structural abnormalities are common in SA patients from both spontaneous and ART-conceived pregnancies. Attention should be paid to patients with recurrent miscarriage in genetic investigation.
Humans
;
Female
;
Pregnancy
;
Chromosome Aberrations/statistics & numerical data*
;
Abortion, Spontaneous/epidemiology*
;
Adult
;
Reproductive Techniques, Assisted/adverse effects*
;
Abortion, Habitual/genetics*
;
Fertilization
6.Distribution characteristics and influencing factors of overweight and obesity among urban and rural primary and secondary school students in Hunan Province.
Lixi QIN ; Miyang LUO ; Kexin LI ; Yang ZHOU ; Yanhua CHEN ; Yaqing TAN ; Fei WANG
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(4):684-693
OBJECTIVES:
The prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents continues to rise, becoming one of the most serious global public health issues of the 21st century. Given the differing growth and development environments between urban and rural children, associated risk factors also vary. This study aims to explore the distribution characteristics and influencing factors of overweight and obesity among urban and rural primary and secondary school students in Hunan Province, providing scientific evidence for targeted interventions.
METHODS:
A stratified, randomized cluster sampling method was used to select participants. A total of 197 084 students from primary and secondary schools across 14 prefectures in Hunan Province underwent physical examinations and questionnaire surveys. Population and spatial distribution characteristics of overweight and obesity were analyzed. Spatial distribution maps and spatial autocorrelation analyses were conducted using ArcGIS. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to identify influencing factors for overweight and obesity.
RESULTS:
The overall overweight and obesity rates among students in Hunan Province were 14.7% and 10.9%, respectively. Both rates were higher in urban areas than in rural counties (16.0% vs 13.9% for overweight; 12.1% vs 10.2% for obesity). Among both urban and rural students, boys had higher rates of overweight and obesity than girls. Higher-grade students had a higher overweight rate but a lower obesity rate than lower-grade students. In urban areas, the overweight and obesity rates of Han Chinese primary and secondary school students are lower than those of ethnic minority students (both P<0.05). In rural areas, the obesity rate of Han primary and secondary school students is lower than that of ethnic students (P<0.05). Across cities and prefectures, urban overweight and obesity rates ranged from 14.7% to 18.7% and 8.4% to 20.6% respectively, while rural rates ranged from 10.9% to 17.2% and 6.6% to 13.7% respectively. Spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed high-value clusters of overweight/obesity in urban areas of Changde and Zhangjiajie, and in rural areas of Loudi, Huaihua, and Shaoyang. Multivariate Logistic regression showed that gender, school stage, ethnicity, frequency of fresh vegetable intake, and sleep duration were associated with overweight and/or obesity in both urban and rural students. In urban students, frequency of fried food and fresh fruit intake, breakfast habits, physical activity on weekdays and holidays, and screen time on computers were also significant. In rural students, TV viewing time and sedentary duration were additional relevant factors.
CONCLUSIONS
The situation of overweight and obesity among primary and secondary school students in Hunan Province remains concerning. Greater attention should be paid to regions with high-value clusters of overweight/obesity, and targeted interventions should be developed based on urban-rural differences in influencing factors.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Adolescent
;
Male
;
Female
;
Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
;
Child
;
Overweight/epidemiology*
;
Students/statistics & numerical data*
;
Urban Population/statistics & numerical data*
;
Risk Factors
;
Prevalence
;
Obesity/epidemiology*
;
Surveys and Questionnaires
;
Pediatric Obesity/epidemiology*
;
Schools
7.Prevalence and influencing factors of scoliosis among primary and secondary school students in Hunan Province, 2023.
Yang ZHOU ; Miyang LUO ; Jiayou LUO ; Shujuan XIAO ; Yanhua CHEN ; Yaqing TAN ; Fei WANG
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(7):1202-1213
OBJECTIVES:
The detection rate of scoliosis among school-aged children has been rising annually, varying by region, and has become a major public health concern affecting both physical and mental health. Its onset is multifactorial, and early screening combined with targeted interventions can alter disease progression. This study aims to investigate the prevalence and influencing factors of scoliosis among primary and secondary school students in Hunan Province, providing scientific evidence for targeted prevention strategies.
METHODS:
A stratified, randomized cluster sampling method was used to select 281 401 students from 14 prefecture-level cities in Hunan Province for scoliosis screening, physical examination, and questionnaire survey. The chi-square test was used for group comparisons, and trend chi-square test analyzed differences in screening positive rate by age. A multilevel regression model was applied to identify influencing factors, and ArcGIS was used to visualize spatial distribution patterns of scoliosis.
RESULTS:
The overall screening positive rate for scoliosis among Hunan students was 1.61%. Urban areas had a significantly higher rate than rural counties (2.81% vs 0.98%; P<0.01). The rate was equal between boys and girls (1.61% each). Underweight students had a higher rate than those with normal weight, overweight, or obesity (P<0.01). Stratified by age, urban students aged 6-18 years consistently showed higher positive rates than rural peers (P<0.001). No significant gender differences were observed at most ages (all P>0.05), except at age 11, where the females had a higher rate (1.28% vs 1.02%; P=0.048). After age 11, underweight students exhibited significantly higher positive rates than those with normal or higher BMI(all P<0.05). Across all groups, urban/rural, male/female, underweight/normal/overweight/obese, the scoliosis rate increased with age. By region, the screening positive rate ranged from 0.38% to 3.36%, with the top three being Chenzhou (3.36%), Xiangtan (2.78%), and Hengyang (2.71%), while the lowest was Xiangxi Tujia and Miao Autonomous Prefecture (0.38%). Multilevel regression analysis revealed that age (OR=1.160, 95% CI 1.135 to 1.186) and urban residence (OR=2.497, 95% CI 1.946 to 3.205) were positively associated with scoliosis risk (both P<0.01). Conversely, female gender (OR=0.931, 95% CI 0.874 to 0.993), normal nutritional status (OR=0.751, 95% CI 0.671 to 0.840), overweight (OR=0.513, 95% CI 0.447 to 0.590), obesity (OR=0.418, 95% CI 0.358 to 0.489), and engaging in ≥ 60 minutes of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity 2 to 4 days (OR=0.928, 95% CI 0.865 to 0.996) or 5 to 7 days per week (OR=0.912, 95% CI 0.833 to 0.998) were negatively associated with scoliosis risk (all P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
The prevalence of scoliosis among primary and secondary school students in Hunan Province is relatively high and is significantly associated with age, gender, urban-rural status, nutritional condition, and physical activity frequency. Targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring in high-risk regions and populations are essential to prevent and control scoliosis.
Humans
;
Scoliosis/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Adolescent
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Prevalence
;
Child
;
Students/statistics & numerical data*
;
Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
;
Urban Population/statistics & numerical data*
;
Surveys and Questionnaires
;
Risk Factors
;
Thinness/epidemiology*
8.Gallstones, cholecystectomy, and cancer risk: an observational and Mendelian randomization study.
Yuanyue ZHU ; Linhui SHEN ; Yanan HUO ; Qin WAN ; Yingfen QIN ; Ruying HU ; Lixin SHI ; Qing SU ; Xuefeng YU ; Li YAN ; Guijun QIN ; Xulei TANG ; Gang CHEN ; Yu XU ; Tiange WANG ; Zhiyun ZHAO ; Zhengnan GAO ; Guixia WANG ; Feixia SHEN ; Xuejiang GU ; Zuojie LUO ; Li CHEN ; Qiang LI ; Zhen YE ; Yinfei ZHANG ; Chao LIU ; Youmin WANG ; Shengli WU ; Tao YANG ; Huacong DENG ; Lulu CHEN ; Tianshu ZENG ; Jiajun ZHAO ; Yiming MU ; Weiqing WANG ; Guang NING ; Jieli LU ; Min XU ; Yufang BI ; Weiguo HU
Frontiers of Medicine 2025;19(1):79-89
This study aimed to comprehensively examine the association of gallstones, cholecystectomy, and cancer risk. Multivariable logistic regressions were performed to estimate the observational associations of gallstones and cholecystectomy with cancer risk, using data from a nationwide cohort involving 239 799 participants. General and gender-specific two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was further conducted to assess the causalities of the observed associations. Observationally, a history of gallstones without cholecystectomy was associated with a high risk of stomach cancer (adjusted odds ratio (aOR)=2.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.50-4.28), liver and bile duct cancer (aOR=2.46, 95% CI 1.17-5.16), kidney cancer (aOR=2.04, 95% CI 1.05-3.94), and bladder cancer (aOR=2.23, 95% CI 1.01-5.13) in the general population, as well as cervical cancer (aOR=1.69, 95% CI 1.12-2.56) in women. Moreover, cholecystectomy was associated with high odds of stomach cancer (aOR=2.41, 95% CI 1.29-4.49), colorectal cancer (aOR=1.83, 95% CI 1.18-2.85), and cancer of liver and bile duct (aOR=2.58, 95% CI 1.11-6.02). MR analysis only supported the causal effect of gallstones on stomach, liver and bile duct, kidney, and bladder cancer. This study added evidence to the causal effect of gallstones on stomach, liver and bile duct, kidney, and bladder cancer, highlighting the importance of cancer screening in individuals with gallstones.
Humans
;
Mendelian Randomization Analysis
;
Gallstones/complications*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Cholecystectomy/statistics & numerical data*
;
Middle Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Neoplasms/etiology*
;
Stomach Neoplasms/epidemiology*
9.Global, regional and national burden and trends of congenital musculoskeletal and limb deformities among under-5 children from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.
Qinglin YANG ; Zhuanmei JIN ; Yongping WANG
Frontiers of Medicine 2025;19(5):807-819
Congenital musculoskeletal and limb deformities (CMLD) seriously affect the physical and mental health of patients, and pose great challenges to healthcare systems worldwide. We explored the specific situation and changes of incidence, prevalence, disability-adjusted life years rates, and mortality of CMLD in under-5 children from 1990 to 2021 in different groups, including different regions, periods, genders and socio-demographic indices (SDI), through corresponding analytical models. Overall, the global disease burden of CMLD in under-5 children has decreased from 1990 to 2021. The disease burden of CMLD in under-5 children varied significantly among different regions and countries, and there was a strong correlation between the corresponding burden of disease and the level of SDI. In addition, cross-country inequality analysis showed that while absolute inequalities in the disease burden of CMLD in under-5 children have improved, relative inequalities have worsened. It is essential to reduce the global health impact of CMLD by implementing targeted interventions to improve health care in underdeveloped areas.
Humans
;
Global Burden of Disease/trends*
;
Child, Preschool
;
Global Health/statistics & numerical data*
;
Infant
;
Male
;
Prevalence
;
Limb Deformities, Congenital/mortality*
;
Musculoskeletal Abnormalities/mortality*
;
Female
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Incidence
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Cost of Illness
;
Socioeconomic Factors
10.Early lactate/albumin ratio combined with quick sequential organ failure assessment for predicting the prognosis of sepsis caused by community-acquired pneumonia in the emergency department.
Xinyan ZHANG ; Yingbo AN ; Yezi DONG ; Min LI ; Ran LI ; Jinxing LI
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(2):118-122
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the predictive value of early lactate/albumin ratio (LAR) combined with quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) for the 28-day prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by emergency community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).
METHODS:
The clinical data of patients with sepsis caused by CAP admitted to the department of emergency of Beijing Haidian Hospital from June 2021 to August 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, including gender, age, comorbidities, lactic acid (Lac), serum albumin (Alb), LAR, procalcitonin (PCT) within 1 hour, and 28-day prognosis. Patients were divided into two groups based on 28-day prognosis, and risk factors affecting patients' prognosis were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression methods. Patients were divided into two groups according to the best cut-off value of LAR, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to analyze the 28-day cumulative survival of patients in each group. Time-dependent receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) were plotted to analyze the predictive value of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), and qSOFA+LAR score on the prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by CAP at 28 days. The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated and compared.
RESULTS:
A total of 116 patients with sepsis caused by CAP were included, of whom 80 survived at 28 days and 36 died, 28-day mortality of 31.0%. There were no statistically significant differences in age, gender, comorbidities, pH, platelet count, and fibrinogen between the survival and death groups, and there were significantly differences in blood urea nitrogen (BUN), white blood cell count (WBC), hemoglobin, Lac, Alb, PCT, D-dimer, LAR, as well as qSOFA score, SOFA score, and APACHE II score. Univariate Cox regression analyses showed that BUN, WBC, pH, Lac, Alb, PCT, LAR, qSOFA score, SOFA score, and APACHE II score were associated with mortality outcome. Multifactorial Cox regression analysis of the above variables showed that BUN, WBC, PCT, and APACHE II score were independent risk factors for 28-day death in the emergency department in patients with sepsis caused by CAP [hazard ratio (HR) were 1.081, 0.892, 1.034, and 1.135, respectively, all P < 0.05]. The best cut-off value of early LAR for predicting the 28-day prognosis of sepsis patients was 0.088, the Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the 28-day cumulative survival rate of sepsis patients in the LAR ≤ 0.088 group was significantly higher than that in the LAR > 0.088 group [82.9% (63/76) vs. 42.5% (17/40), Log-Rank test: χ2 = 22.51, P < 0.001]. The qSOFA+LAR score was calculated based on the LAR cut-off value and qSOFA score, and ROC curve analysis showed that the AUCs of SOFA score, APACHE II score, and qSOFA+LAR score for predicting 28-day death of patients with sepsis caued by CAP were 0.741, 0.774, and 0.709, respectively, with the AUC of qSOFA+LAR score slightly lower than those of SOFA score and APACHE II score, but there were no significantly differences. When the best cut-off value of qSOFA+LAR score was 1, the sensitivity was 63.9% and the specificity was 80.0%.
CONCLUSION
The qSOFA+LAR score has predictive value for the 28-day prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by CAP in the emergency department, its predictive value is comparable to the SOFA score and the APACHE II score, and it is more convenient for early use in the emergency department.
Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data*
;
Sepsis/etiology*
;
Prognosis
;
Community-Acquired Pneumonia/mortality*
;
Organ Dysfunction Scores
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Lactic Acid/blood*
;
Serum Albumin, Human/analysis*
;
Biomarkers/blood*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
APACHE
;
Procalcitonin/blood*
;
ROC Curve
;
Area Under Curve
;
Humans

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail