1.Predicting Mortality and Cirrhosis-Related Complications with MELD3.0: A Multicenter Cohort Analysis
Jihye LIM ; Ji Hoon KIM ; Ahlim LEE ; Ji Won HAN ; Soon Kyu LEE ; Hyun YANG ; Heechul NAM ; Hae Lim LEE ; Do Seon SONG ; Sung Won LEE ; Hee Yeon KIM ; Jung Hyun KWON ; Chang Wook KIM ; U Im CHANG ; Soon Woo NAM ; Seok-Hwan KIM ; Pil Soo SUNG ; Jeong Won JANG ; Si Hyun BAE ; Jong Young CHOI ; Seung Kew YOON ; Myeong Jun SONG
Gut and Liver 2025;19(3):427-437
Background/Aims:
This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) 3.0 for predicting mortality and liver-related complications compared with the Child-Pugh classification, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, the MELD, and the MELD sodium (MELDNa) score.
Methods:
We evaluated a multicenter retrospective cohort of incorporated patients with cirrhosis between 2013 and 2019. We conducted comparisons of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the MELD3.0 and other models for predicting 3-month mortality. Additionally, we assessed the risk of cirrhosis-related complications according to the MELD3.0 score.
Results:
A total of 3,314 patients were included. The mean age was 55.9±11.3 years, and 70.2% of the patients were male. Within the initial 3 months, 220 patients (6.6%) died, and the MELD3.0had the best predictive performance among the tested models, with an AUROC of 0.851, outperforming the Child-Pugh classification, ALBI grade, MELD, and MELDNa. A high MELD3.0score was associated with an increased risk of mortality. Compared with that of the group with a MELD3.0 score <10 points, the adjusted hazard ratio of the group with a score of 10–20 pointswas 2.176, and that for the group with a score of ≥20 points was 4.892. Each 1-point increase inthe MELD3.0 score increased the risk of cirrhosis-related complications by 1.033-fold. The risk of hepatorenal syndrome showed the highest increase, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.149, followed by hepatic encephalopathy and ascites.
Conclusions
The MELD3.0 demonstrated robust prognostic performance in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Moreover, the MELD3.0 score was linked to cirrhosis-related complications, particularly those involving kidney function, such as hepatorenal syndrome and ascites.
2.Core Needle Biopsy May Predict Prognosis Preoperatively in Parotid Cancer
Jeong-Yeon JI ; Wonjae CHA ; Young Ho JUNG ; Soon-Hyun AHN ; Woo-Jin JEONG
Clinical and Experimental Otorhinolaryngology 2025;18(1):57-63
Objectives:
. Salivary gland tumors present a diagnostic challenge, with preoperative false-negative results frequently leading to an unexpected diagnosis of malignancy after parotidectomy. This study was conducted to explore the clinical utility of preoperative core needle biopsy (CNB) in diagnosing malignancies before primary parotidectomy and to assess the prognostic implications of CNB for parotid gland cancers.
Methods:
. This retrospective cohort study included 615 patients who underwent preoperative CNB and parotidectomy for primary parotid tumors from 2003 to 2023 at a tertiary referral hospital. Among these patients, 102 who were diagnosed with primary parotid malignancy following parotidectomy were examined regarding survival outcomes. Disease-free survival (DFS) and predictive factors were assessed through univariable and multivariable analyses. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and diagnostic accuracy of CNB were determined. These metrics were then compared to those of a separate cohort of 547 patients who underwent ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration (FNA) and parotidectomy within the same timeframe.
Results:
. In the CNB group, the 5-year predicted DFS was 86.9% (95% CI, 79.2%–95.3%). Multivariable analysis identified male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 8.48; 95% CI, 1.05–68.76) and a CNB finding of malignancy (HR, 8.20; 95% CI, 1.01–66.15) as factors significantly associated with decreased DFS. CNB demonstrated significantly higher sensitivity (89.0%; 95% CI, 81.2%–94.4%) and NPV (97.6%; 95% CI, 95.7%–98.8%) compared to FNA, which had a sensitivity of 45.2% (95% CI, 33.5%–57.3%) and an NPV of 90.8% (95% CI, 87.7%–93.3%).
Conclusion
. Preoperative CNB may be predictive of parotid cancer prognosis. Patients receiving a diagnosis of malignancy on preoperative CNB demonstrated a worse prognosis compared to those with a “less-than-malignant” diagnosis. Additionally, CNB exhibited higher sensitivity than FNA in identifying malignancies of the parotid gland.
3.Predicting Mortality and Cirrhosis-Related Complications with MELD3.0: A Multicenter Cohort Analysis
Jihye LIM ; Ji Hoon KIM ; Ahlim LEE ; Ji Won HAN ; Soon Kyu LEE ; Hyun YANG ; Heechul NAM ; Hae Lim LEE ; Do Seon SONG ; Sung Won LEE ; Hee Yeon KIM ; Jung Hyun KWON ; Chang Wook KIM ; U Im CHANG ; Soon Woo NAM ; Seok-Hwan KIM ; Pil Soo SUNG ; Jeong Won JANG ; Si Hyun BAE ; Jong Young CHOI ; Seung Kew YOON ; Myeong Jun SONG
Gut and Liver 2025;19(3):427-437
Background/Aims:
This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) 3.0 for predicting mortality and liver-related complications compared with the Child-Pugh classification, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, the MELD, and the MELD sodium (MELDNa) score.
Methods:
We evaluated a multicenter retrospective cohort of incorporated patients with cirrhosis between 2013 and 2019. We conducted comparisons of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the MELD3.0 and other models for predicting 3-month mortality. Additionally, we assessed the risk of cirrhosis-related complications according to the MELD3.0 score.
Results:
A total of 3,314 patients were included. The mean age was 55.9±11.3 years, and 70.2% of the patients were male. Within the initial 3 months, 220 patients (6.6%) died, and the MELD3.0had the best predictive performance among the tested models, with an AUROC of 0.851, outperforming the Child-Pugh classification, ALBI grade, MELD, and MELDNa. A high MELD3.0score was associated with an increased risk of mortality. Compared with that of the group with a MELD3.0 score <10 points, the adjusted hazard ratio of the group with a score of 10–20 pointswas 2.176, and that for the group with a score of ≥20 points was 4.892. Each 1-point increase inthe MELD3.0 score increased the risk of cirrhosis-related complications by 1.033-fold. The risk of hepatorenal syndrome showed the highest increase, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.149, followed by hepatic encephalopathy and ascites.
Conclusions
The MELD3.0 demonstrated robust prognostic performance in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Moreover, the MELD3.0 score was linked to cirrhosis-related complications, particularly those involving kidney function, such as hepatorenal syndrome and ascites.
4.Core Needle Biopsy May Predict Prognosis Preoperatively in Parotid Cancer
Jeong-Yeon JI ; Wonjae CHA ; Young Ho JUNG ; Soon-Hyun AHN ; Woo-Jin JEONG
Clinical and Experimental Otorhinolaryngology 2025;18(1):57-63
Objectives:
. Salivary gland tumors present a diagnostic challenge, with preoperative false-negative results frequently leading to an unexpected diagnosis of malignancy after parotidectomy. This study was conducted to explore the clinical utility of preoperative core needle biopsy (CNB) in diagnosing malignancies before primary parotidectomy and to assess the prognostic implications of CNB for parotid gland cancers.
Methods:
. This retrospective cohort study included 615 patients who underwent preoperative CNB and parotidectomy for primary parotid tumors from 2003 to 2023 at a tertiary referral hospital. Among these patients, 102 who were diagnosed with primary parotid malignancy following parotidectomy were examined regarding survival outcomes. Disease-free survival (DFS) and predictive factors were assessed through univariable and multivariable analyses. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and diagnostic accuracy of CNB were determined. These metrics were then compared to those of a separate cohort of 547 patients who underwent ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration (FNA) and parotidectomy within the same timeframe.
Results:
. In the CNB group, the 5-year predicted DFS was 86.9% (95% CI, 79.2%–95.3%). Multivariable analysis identified male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 8.48; 95% CI, 1.05–68.76) and a CNB finding of malignancy (HR, 8.20; 95% CI, 1.01–66.15) as factors significantly associated with decreased DFS. CNB demonstrated significantly higher sensitivity (89.0%; 95% CI, 81.2%–94.4%) and NPV (97.6%; 95% CI, 95.7%–98.8%) compared to FNA, which had a sensitivity of 45.2% (95% CI, 33.5%–57.3%) and an NPV of 90.8% (95% CI, 87.7%–93.3%).
Conclusion
. Preoperative CNB may be predictive of parotid cancer prognosis. Patients receiving a diagnosis of malignancy on preoperative CNB demonstrated a worse prognosis compared to those with a “less-than-malignant” diagnosis. Additionally, CNB exhibited higher sensitivity than FNA in identifying malignancies of the parotid gland.
5.Predicting Mortality and Cirrhosis-Related Complications with MELD3.0: A Multicenter Cohort Analysis
Jihye LIM ; Ji Hoon KIM ; Ahlim LEE ; Ji Won HAN ; Soon Kyu LEE ; Hyun YANG ; Heechul NAM ; Hae Lim LEE ; Do Seon SONG ; Sung Won LEE ; Hee Yeon KIM ; Jung Hyun KWON ; Chang Wook KIM ; U Im CHANG ; Soon Woo NAM ; Seok-Hwan KIM ; Pil Soo SUNG ; Jeong Won JANG ; Si Hyun BAE ; Jong Young CHOI ; Seung Kew YOON ; Myeong Jun SONG
Gut and Liver 2025;19(3):427-437
Background/Aims:
This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) 3.0 for predicting mortality and liver-related complications compared with the Child-Pugh classification, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, the MELD, and the MELD sodium (MELDNa) score.
Methods:
We evaluated a multicenter retrospective cohort of incorporated patients with cirrhosis between 2013 and 2019. We conducted comparisons of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the MELD3.0 and other models for predicting 3-month mortality. Additionally, we assessed the risk of cirrhosis-related complications according to the MELD3.0 score.
Results:
A total of 3,314 patients were included. The mean age was 55.9±11.3 years, and 70.2% of the patients were male. Within the initial 3 months, 220 patients (6.6%) died, and the MELD3.0had the best predictive performance among the tested models, with an AUROC of 0.851, outperforming the Child-Pugh classification, ALBI grade, MELD, and MELDNa. A high MELD3.0score was associated with an increased risk of mortality. Compared with that of the group with a MELD3.0 score <10 points, the adjusted hazard ratio of the group with a score of 10–20 pointswas 2.176, and that for the group with a score of ≥20 points was 4.892. Each 1-point increase inthe MELD3.0 score increased the risk of cirrhosis-related complications by 1.033-fold. The risk of hepatorenal syndrome showed the highest increase, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.149, followed by hepatic encephalopathy and ascites.
Conclusions
The MELD3.0 demonstrated robust prognostic performance in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Moreover, the MELD3.0 score was linked to cirrhosis-related complications, particularly those involving kidney function, such as hepatorenal syndrome and ascites.
6.Core Needle Biopsy May Predict Prognosis Preoperatively in Parotid Cancer
Jeong-Yeon JI ; Wonjae CHA ; Young Ho JUNG ; Soon-Hyun AHN ; Woo-Jin JEONG
Clinical and Experimental Otorhinolaryngology 2025;18(1):57-63
Objectives:
. Salivary gland tumors present a diagnostic challenge, with preoperative false-negative results frequently leading to an unexpected diagnosis of malignancy after parotidectomy. This study was conducted to explore the clinical utility of preoperative core needle biopsy (CNB) in diagnosing malignancies before primary parotidectomy and to assess the prognostic implications of CNB for parotid gland cancers.
Methods:
. This retrospective cohort study included 615 patients who underwent preoperative CNB and parotidectomy for primary parotid tumors from 2003 to 2023 at a tertiary referral hospital. Among these patients, 102 who were diagnosed with primary parotid malignancy following parotidectomy were examined regarding survival outcomes. Disease-free survival (DFS) and predictive factors were assessed through univariable and multivariable analyses. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and diagnostic accuracy of CNB were determined. These metrics were then compared to those of a separate cohort of 547 patients who underwent ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration (FNA) and parotidectomy within the same timeframe.
Results:
. In the CNB group, the 5-year predicted DFS was 86.9% (95% CI, 79.2%–95.3%). Multivariable analysis identified male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 8.48; 95% CI, 1.05–68.76) and a CNB finding of malignancy (HR, 8.20; 95% CI, 1.01–66.15) as factors significantly associated with decreased DFS. CNB demonstrated significantly higher sensitivity (89.0%; 95% CI, 81.2%–94.4%) and NPV (97.6%; 95% CI, 95.7%–98.8%) compared to FNA, which had a sensitivity of 45.2% (95% CI, 33.5%–57.3%) and an NPV of 90.8% (95% CI, 87.7%–93.3%).
Conclusion
. Preoperative CNB may be predictive of parotid cancer prognosis. Patients receiving a diagnosis of malignancy on preoperative CNB demonstrated a worse prognosis compared to those with a “less-than-malignant” diagnosis. Additionally, CNB exhibited higher sensitivity than FNA in identifying malignancies of the parotid gland.
7.Predicting Mortality and Cirrhosis-Related Complications with MELD3.0: A Multicenter Cohort Analysis
Jihye LIM ; Ji Hoon KIM ; Ahlim LEE ; Ji Won HAN ; Soon Kyu LEE ; Hyun YANG ; Heechul NAM ; Hae Lim LEE ; Do Seon SONG ; Sung Won LEE ; Hee Yeon KIM ; Jung Hyun KWON ; Chang Wook KIM ; U Im CHANG ; Soon Woo NAM ; Seok-Hwan KIM ; Pil Soo SUNG ; Jeong Won JANG ; Si Hyun BAE ; Jong Young CHOI ; Seung Kew YOON ; Myeong Jun SONG
Gut and Liver 2025;19(3):427-437
Background/Aims:
This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) 3.0 for predicting mortality and liver-related complications compared with the Child-Pugh classification, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, the MELD, and the MELD sodium (MELDNa) score.
Methods:
We evaluated a multicenter retrospective cohort of incorporated patients with cirrhosis between 2013 and 2019. We conducted comparisons of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the MELD3.0 and other models for predicting 3-month mortality. Additionally, we assessed the risk of cirrhosis-related complications according to the MELD3.0 score.
Results:
A total of 3,314 patients were included. The mean age was 55.9±11.3 years, and 70.2% of the patients were male. Within the initial 3 months, 220 patients (6.6%) died, and the MELD3.0had the best predictive performance among the tested models, with an AUROC of 0.851, outperforming the Child-Pugh classification, ALBI grade, MELD, and MELDNa. A high MELD3.0score was associated with an increased risk of mortality. Compared with that of the group with a MELD3.0 score <10 points, the adjusted hazard ratio of the group with a score of 10–20 pointswas 2.176, and that for the group with a score of ≥20 points was 4.892. Each 1-point increase inthe MELD3.0 score increased the risk of cirrhosis-related complications by 1.033-fold. The risk of hepatorenal syndrome showed the highest increase, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.149, followed by hepatic encephalopathy and ascites.
Conclusions
The MELD3.0 demonstrated robust prognostic performance in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Moreover, the MELD3.0 score was linked to cirrhosis-related complications, particularly those involving kidney function, such as hepatorenal syndrome and ascites.
9.The risk of insomnia by work schedule instability in Korean firefighters
Saebomi JEONG ; Jeonghun KIM ; Sung-Soo OH ; Hee-Tae KANG ; Yeon-Soon AHN ; Kyoung Sook JEONG
Annals of Occupational and Environmental Medicine 2024;36(1):e24-
Background:
Firefighters are exposed to shift work, as well as unpredictable emergency calls and traumatic events, which can lead to sleep problems. This study aimed to investigate the risk of insomnia by work schedule instability in Korean firefighters.
Methods:
This study used the Insomnia Severity Index to assess the insomnia in firefighters. The work schedule stability was classified with the frequency of the substitute work and the timing of notification for work schedule changes. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess the adjusted odds ratio of insomnia by work schedule stability with covariates including sex, age, education, smoking, alcohol, caffeine intake, shift type, job, and underlying conditions.
Results:
Of the 8,587 individuals, 751 (8.75%) had moderate to severe insomnia (Insomnia Severity Index ≥ 15). The prevalence of insomnia was statistically significantly higher as the frequency of substitute work increased: <1 time per month (6.8%), 1–2 times (9.5%), 3–5 times (13.4%), and more than 5 times (15.7%) (p < 0.001). Additionally, the prevalence of insomnia was statistically significantly higher when the timing of the schedule change notification was urgent or irregular: no change or several weeks before (5.4%), several days before (7.9%), one day before or on the day (11.2%), irregularly notification (11.6%) (p < 0.001). In comparison to the group with good frequency of the substitute work/good timing of schedule change notification group, the adjusted odds ratios of insomnia were 1.480 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.237–1.771) for Good/Bad group, 1.862 (95% CI: 1.340–2.588) for Bad/Good group, and 1.885 (95% CI: 1.366–2.602) for Bad/Bad group.
Conclusions
Work schedule instability was important risk factor of insomnia in firefighters. It suggests that improving the stability of work schedules could be a key strategy for reducing sleep problems in this occupational group.
10.The risk of insomnia by work schedule instability in Korean firefighters
Saebomi JEONG ; Jeonghun KIM ; Sung-Soo OH ; Hee-Tae KANG ; Yeon-Soon AHN ; Kyoung Sook JEONG
Annals of Occupational and Environmental Medicine 2024;36(1):e24-
Background:
Firefighters are exposed to shift work, as well as unpredictable emergency calls and traumatic events, which can lead to sleep problems. This study aimed to investigate the risk of insomnia by work schedule instability in Korean firefighters.
Methods:
This study used the Insomnia Severity Index to assess the insomnia in firefighters. The work schedule stability was classified with the frequency of the substitute work and the timing of notification for work schedule changes. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess the adjusted odds ratio of insomnia by work schedule stability with covariates including sex, age, education, smoking, alcohol, caffeine intake, shift type, job, and underlying conditions.
Results:
Of the 8,587 individuals, 751 (8.75%) had moderate to severe insomnia (Insomnia Severity Index ≥ 15). The prevalence of insomnia was statistically significantly higher as the frequency of substitute work increased: <1 time per month (6.8%), 1–2 times (9.5%), 3–5 times (13.4%), and more than 5 times (15.7%) (p < 0.001). Additionally, the prevalence of insomnia was statistically significantly higher when the timing of the schedule change notification was urgent or irregular: no change or several weeks before (5.4%), several days before (7.9%), one day before or on the day (11.2%), irregularly notification (11.6%) (p < 0.001). In comparison to the group with good frequency of the substitute work/good timing of schedule change notification group, the adjusted odds ratios of insomnia were 1.480 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.237–1.771) for Good/Bad group, 1.862 (95% CI: 1.340–2.588) for Bad/Good group, and 1.885 (95% CI: 1.366–2.602) for Bad/Bad group.
Conclusions
Work schedule instability was important risk factor of insomnia in firefighters. It suggests that improving the stability of work schedules could be a key strategy for reducing sleep problems in this occupational group.

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