1.Explainable machine learning model for predicting septic shock in critically sepsis patients based on coagulation indexes: A multicenter cohort study.
Qing-Bo ZENG ; En-Lan PENG ; Ye ZHOU ; Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Nian-Qing ZHANG ; Jing-Chun SONG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):404-411
PURPOSE:
Septic shock is associated with high mortality and poor outcomes among sepsis patients with coagulopathy. Although traditional statistical methods or machine learning (ML) algorithms have been proposed to predict septic shock, these potential approaches have never been systematically compared. The present work aimed to develop and compare models to predict septic shock among patients with sepsis.
METHODS:
It is a retrospective cohort study based on 484 patients with sepsis who were admitted to our intensive care units between May 2018 and November 2022. Patients from the 908th Hospital of Chinese PLA Logistical Support Force and Nanchang Hongdu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were respectively allocated to training (n=311) and validation (n=173) sets. All clinical and laboratory data of sepsis patients characterized by comprehensive coagulation indexes were collected. We developed 5 models based on ML algorithms and 1 model based on a traditional statistical method to predict septic shock in the training cohort. The performance of all models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration plots. Decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the net benefit of the models. The validation set was applied to verify the predictive accuracy of the models. This study also used Shapley additive explanations method to assess variable importance and explain the prediction made by a ML algorithm.
RESULTS:
Among all patients, 37.2% experienced septic shock. The characteristic curves of the 6 models ranged from 0.833 to 0.962 and 0.630 to 0.744 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The model with the best prediction performance was based on the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, which was constructed by age, tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio, white blood cells, and platelet counts. The SVM model showed good calibration and discrimination and a greater net benefit in decision curve analysis.
CONCLUSION
The SVM algorithm may be superior to other ML and traditional statistical algorithms for predicting septic shock. Physicians can better understand the reliability of the predictive model by Shapley additive explanations value analysis.
Humans
;
Shock, Septic/blood*
;
Machine Learning
;
Male
;
Female
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
ROC Curve
;
Cohort Studies
;
Adult
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Algorithms
;
Blood Coagulation
;
Critical Illness
2.Glucocorticoid Discontinuation in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis under Background of Chinese Medicine: Challenges and Potentials Coexist.
Chuan-Hui YAO ; Chi ZHANG ; Meng-Ge SONG ; Cong-Min XIA ; Tian CHANG ; Xie-Li MA ; Wei-Xiang LIU ; Zi-Xia LIU ; Jia-Meng LIU ; Xiao-Po TANG ; Ying LIU ; Jian LIU ; Jiang-Yun PENG ; Dong-Yi HE ; Qing-Chun HUANG ; Ming-Li GAO ; Jian-Ping YU ; Wei LIU ; Jian-Yong ZHANG ; Yue-Lan ZHU ; Xiu-Juan HOU ; Hai-Dong WANG ; Yong-Fei FANG ; Yue WANG ; Yin SU ; Xin-Ping TIAN ; Ai-Ping LYU ; Xun GONG ; Quan JIANG
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2025;31(7):581-589
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the dynamic changes of glucocorticoid (GC) dose and the feasibility of GC discontinuation in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients under the background of Chinese medicine (CM).
METHODS:
This multicenter retrospective cohort study included 1,196 RA patients enrolled in the China Rheumatoid Arthritis Registry of Patients with Chinese Medicine (CERTAIN) from September 1, 2019 to December 4, 2023, who initiated GC therapy. Participants were divided into the Western medicine (WM) and integrative medicine (IM, combination of CM and WM) groups based on medication regimen. Follow-up was performed at least every 3 months to assess dynamic changes in GC dose. Changes in GC dose were analyzed by generalized estimator equation, the probability of GC discontinuation was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curve, and predictors of GC discontinuation were analyzed by Cox regression. Patients with <12 months of follow-up were excluded for the sensitivity analysis.
RESULTS:
Among 1,196 patients (85.4% female; median age 56.4 years), 880 (73.6%) received IM. Over a median 12-month follow-up, 34.3% (410 cases) discontinued GC, with significantly higher rates in the IM group (40.8% vs. 16.1% in WM; P<0.05). GC dose declined progressively, with IM patients demonstrating faster reductions (median 3.75 mg vs. 5.00 mg in WM at 12 months; P<0.05). Multivariate Cox analysis identified age <60 years [P<0.001, hazard ratios (HR)=2.142, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.523-3.012], IM therapy (P=0.001, HR=2.175, 95% CI: 1.369-3.456), baseline GC dose ⩽7.5 mg (P=0.003, HR=1.637, 95% CI: 1.177-2.275), and absence of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs use (P=0.001, HR=2.546, 95% CI: 1.432-4.527) as significant predictors of GC discontinuation. Sensitivity analysis (545 cases) confirmed these findings.
CONCLUSIONS
RA patients receiving CM face difficulties in following guideline-recommended GC discontinuation protocols. IM can promote GC discontinuation and is a promising strategy to reduce GC dependency in RA management. (Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, No. NCT05219214).
Adult
;
Aged
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Arthritis, Rheumatoid/drug therapy*
;
Glucocorticoids/therapeutic use*
;
Medicine, Chinese Traditional
;
Retrospective Studies
3.Synthesis of ornithine peptidomimetic efflux pump inhibitors and synergistic antibiotic activity against Pseudomonas aeruginosa
Xi ZHU ; Xi-can MA ; Xin-tong ZHANG ; Yi-shuang LIU ; Ning HE ; Yun-ying XIE ; Dan-qing SONG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2024;59(6):1720-1729
In order to solve the problem of resistance of
4.Comparative Study on the Immunogenicity and Efficacy of Different Post-exposure Intramuscular Rabies Vaccination Regimens in China
Yun SONG ; Ying HE ; Xin Xue LU ; Mei Xiao ZHANG ; Lin XIAO JIANG ; Qing SONG ; Yong Xue HUANG ; Xia Hong MA ; Cheng Peng YU ; Yang Wu ZHU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(2):178-186
Objective This study aimed to compare the current Essen rabies post-exposure immunization schedule(0-3-7-14-28)in China and the simple 4-dose schedule(0-3-7-14)newly recommended by the World Health Organization in terms of their safety,efficacy,and protection. Methods Mice were vaccinated according to different immunization schedules,and blood was collected for detection of rabies virus neutralizing antibodies(RVNAs)on days 14,21,28,35,and 120 after the first immunization.Additionally,different groups of mice were injected with lethal doses of the CVS-11 virus on day 0,subjected to different rabies immunization schedules,and assessed for morbidity and death status.In a clinical trial,185 rabies-exposed individuals were selected for post-exposure vaccination according to the Essen schedule,and blood was collected for RVNAs detection on days 28 and 42 after the first immunization. Results A statistically significant difference in RVNAs between mice in the Essen and 0-3-7-14 schedule groups was observed on the 35th day(P<0.05).The groups 0-3-7-14,0-3-7-21,and 0-3-7-28 showed no statistically significant difference(P>0.05)in RVNAs levels at any time point.The post-exposure immune protective test showed that the survival rate of mice in the control group was 20%,whereas that in the immunization groups was 40%.In the clinical trial,the RVNAs positive conversion rates on days 28(14 days after 4 doses)and 42(14 days after 5 doses)were both 100%,and no significant difference in RVNAs levels was observed(P>0.05). Conclusion The simple 4-dose schedule can produce sufficient RVNAs levels,with no significant effect of a delayed fourth vaccine dose(14-28 d)on the immunization potential.
5.Development of microsatellite markers and analysis of genetic characteristics of laboratory Apodemus peninsulae population
Qing ZHANG ; Xiwen ZHANG ; Song HE ; Bao YUAN ; Jian CHEN ; Wenzhi REN ; Fushi QUAN ; Jinping HU ; Yu DING
Acta Laboratorium Animalis Scientia Sinica 2024;32(4):468-476
Objective Polymorphic microsatellite markers developed for Apodemus peninsulae can enrich its genetic data and lay a foundation for genetic quality control and gene mapping.Methods Microsatellite loci were screened based on the genome sequence of Apodemus peninsulae,and microsatellite primers were identified.The genetic diversity of the population was analyzed by multiplex PCR.Results Thirty microsatellite markers were successfully developed and evaluated using 60 samples of Apodemus peninsulae.A total of 152 alleles were detected,with an average of 5.067 alleles per locus.The average observed heterozygosity was 0.592.The average Shannon index was 1.265.The average polymorphism information content was 0.598.Conclusions Based on the microsatellite loci developed in this study,the genetic diversity of Apodemus peninsulae can be effectively analyzed,laying a foundation for establishing genetic quality standards and detection method.
6.Mechanism of Chaijin JieYu Anshen formula regulating synaptic plasticity of hippocampal neurons in insomnia-concomitant depression rats based on HDAC5/MEF2C pathway
Ting-Ting REN ; Yu-Hong WANG ; Ying-Juan TANG ; Song YANG ; Hai-Peng GUO ; Ting-Ting WANG ; Ying HE ; Ping LI ; Hong-Qing ZHAO ; Zi-Yang ZHOU ; Man-Shu ZOU
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(7):1248-1257
Aim To investigate the mechanisms of Chaijin JieYu Anshen formula modulating the depres-sive behaviors and the synaptic plasticity of hippocam-pal neurons in insomnia-concomitant depression rats based on the histone deacetylase 5(HDAC5)/myocyte enhancer factor 2C(MEF2C)pathway.Methods A rat model of insomnia-concomitant depression was es-tablished by PCPA injection combined with chronic un-predictable mild stress(CUMS),and the experiment was divided into the control group,the model group,the high,medium and low dose group of Chaijin JieYu Anshen formula,and the positive drug group.The de-pression of rats was evaluated by sugar-water prefer-ence test,open field test and morris water maze.The levels of 5-hydroxytryptamine(5-HT)and dopamine(DA)in serum were measured by enzyme linked im-munosorbent assay(ELISA).The pathological damage of hippocampal neurons was observed by HE staining and Nissl staining.The damage of dendritic spines of hippocampal neurons was observed by Golgi staining,and the levels of HDAC5,MEF2C,postsynaptic densi-ty-95(PSD-95)and synaptophysin 1(SYN1)in hip-pocampus were measured by Western blot,immunohis-tochemistry and immunofluorescence.Results Com-pared with the model group,the Chaijin JieYu Anshen formula could increase the sugar-water preference rate of the model rats,reduce the immobility time in the open field experiment,increase the total activity dis-tance,shorten the evasion latency in the localization navigation experiment,and prolong the residence time in the quadrant where the platform was located in the space exploration experiment(P<0.05,P<0.01).Moreover,the Chaijin JieYu Anshen formula improved the hippocampal neuron and dendritic spine damage and increase the dendritic branch length and dendritic spine density of hippocampal neurons(P<0.01,P<0.01),restore the serum levels of 5-HT and DA in insomnia-concomitant depression rats(P<0.05,P<0.01),down-regulate the HDAC5 protein,and up-regulate the expression of MEF2C,PSD-95,and SYN1 protein(P<0.05,P<0.01 or P<0.001).Conclusions Chaijin JieYu Anshen formula may alle-viate the depression-like behavior of model rats by re-ducing the expression of HDAC5 protein,thus deregu-lating the inhibition of transcription factor MEF2C,promoting the expression of PSD-95 and SNY1 protein,and exerting a protective effect on hippocampal neurons and synapses.
7.Expert consensus on irrigation and intracanal medication in root canal therapy
Zou XIAOYING ; Zheng XIN ; Liang YUHONG ; Zhang CHENGFEI ; Fan BING ; Liang JINGPING ; Ling JUNQI ; Bian ZHUAN ; Yu QING ; Hou BENXIANG ; Chen ZHI ; Wei XI ; Qiu LIHONG ; Chen WENXIA ; He WENXI ; Xu XIN ; Meng LIUYAN ; Zhang CHEN ; Chen LIMING ; Deng SHULI ; Lei YAYAN ; Xie XIAOLI ; Wang XIAOYAN ; Yu JINHUA ; Zhao JIN ; Shen SONG ; Zhou XUEDONG ; Yue LIN
International Journal of Oral Science 2024;16(1):26-35
Chemical cleaning and disinfection are crucial steps for eliminating infection in root canal treatment.However,irrigant selection or irrigation procedures are far from clear.The vapor lock effect in the apical region has yet to be solved,impeding irrigation efficacy and resulting in residual infections and compromised treatment outcomes.Additionally,ambiguous clinical indications for root canal medication and non-standardized dressing protocols must be clarified.Inappropriate intracanal medication may present side effects and jeopardize the therapeutic outcomes.Indeed,clinicians have been aware of these concerns for years.Based on the current evidence of studies,this article reviews the properties of various irrigants and intracanal medicaments and elucidates their effectiveness and interactions.The evolution of different kinetic irrigation methods,their effects,limitations,the paradigm shift,current indications,and effective operational procedures regarding intracanal medication are also discussed.This expert consensus aims to establish the clinical operation guidelines for root canal irrigation and a position statement on intracanal medication,thus facilitating a better understanding of infection control,standardizing clinical practice,and ultimately improving the success of endodontic therapy.
8.Construction and application of an advanced pulmonary rehabilitation programme for patients undergoing high-flow nasal cannula oxygen therapy
Dan LÜ ; Ying ZHAO ; Yan HE ; Qing LIU ; Fujuan SONG ; Meng LI ; Xinyue ZHANG ; Xiaoping WANG
Chinese Journal of Nursing 2024;59(17):2053-2061
Objective To explore the application effect of advanced lung rehabilitation programs in patients un-dergoing high flow nasal cannula oxygen therapy(HFNC).Methods Convenience sampling method was used to se-lect 40 HFNC patients admitted to the respiratory department,ICU,coronary heart disease monitoring unit,and other departments of a tertiary A comprehensive hospital in Tianjin from January to June 2023 as the experimental group,and 40 HFNC patients admitted from June to December 2022 as the control group.Both groups of patients received HFNC treatment during hospitalization and continued at home,while the experimental group adopts the information-motivation-behavioral skills(IMB)model as the theoretical basis,implements advanced pulmonary rehabili-tation during the stable condition period,discharge preparation period,and home rehabilitation period,and imple-ments compliance management of home pulmonary rehabilitation through cloud follow-up,and the control group re-ceived routine lung rehabilitation and home follow-up.The degree of respiratory distress,6-minute walking distance,exercise self-efficacy,quality of life were compared between the 2 groups before intervention,2 months and 6 months after intervention,and compliance with home pulmonary rehabilitation was compared between the 2 groups 6 months after intervention.Results The repeated measures analysis of variance showed that there was an interaction effect between time and the 2 groups in terms of difficulty in breathing,6-minute walking distance,exercise self-ef-ficacy,and quality of life(P<0.05).Simple effect analysis showed that after 2 and 6 months of intervention,the ex-perimental group performed better than the control group in the respiratory distress,6-minute walking distance,exer-cise self-efficacy,and quality of life(P<0.05).Within 6 months of intervention,the compliance of home pulmonary rehabilitation in the experimental group was better than that in the control group,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).Conclusion The application of advanced pulmonary rehabilitation programme based on IMB can improve respiratory symptoms and improve exercise self-efficacy and adherence to pulmonary rehabilitation,en-hance activity endurance and improve quality of life.
9.Investigation and control of a pseudo-outbreak of suspected Mycobacterium abscessus infection due to contamination of fiberbronchoscope in department of pulmonary and critical care medicine
Hui-Fang ZHOU ; Yan-Ling LIANG ; Jin-Zhou WEI ; Cong HE ; Hui-Qing LU ; Qing-Song ZHANG ; Zhong-Sheng WEI
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(9):1167-1172
Objective To investigate a suspected outbreak event of Mycobacterium abscessus(Mab)infection in department of pulmonary and critical care medicine in a hospital,provide basis for the precise prevention and control of healthcare-associated infection(HAI).Methods On-site epidemiological investigation and environmental hygienic detection were carried out in patients with Mab infection following fiberbronchoscopic bronchoalveolar lavage in the department of pulmonary and critical care medicine in this hospital,and targeted intervention measures were pro-posed.Results From September 7 to October 20,2022,a total of 344 cases of bronchoalveolar lavage were per-formed for patients in fiberbronchoscopy room of department of pulmonary and critical care medicine.Mab was de-tected from bronchoalveolar lavage fluid(BALF)of 10 patients.Through on-site and follow-up investigation,the initial case was defined as community-associated infection,and the other 9 cases were due to the contamination of specimens.A total of 33 environmental hygienic specimens were collected,and no Mab was detected.The event was effectively controlled after standardizing the process of bronchoscope decontamination,strengthening the infection management of ward and bronchoscopy room,and strictly implementing the certificate system of bronchoscopy de-contamination personnel.Conclusion This pseudo-outbreak is due to the contamination of fiberbronchoscope by Mab.Timely identifying risk factors as well as taking targeted prevention and control measures can effectively con-trol the spread and prevalence of Mab infection.
10.The relationship between the status of infarct-related artery occlusion and thrombus types in patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction
Qing HE ; Shu-Juan DONG ; Jing-Chao LI ; Hai-Jia YU ; Hui-Hui SONG ; Lu-Qian CUI ; Ying-Jie CHU
Chinese Journal of Interventional Cardiology 2024;32(4):203-210
Objective To explore the relationship between the status of infarct related artery(IRA)occlusion and thrombus types in patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction(NSTEMI)using optical coherence tomography(OCT).Methods A total of 170 NSTEMI patients who underwent emergency percutaneous coronary intervention at Henan Provincial People1s Hospital from October 2021 to August 2023 and underwent OCT examination were included in the study.Among them,83 cases were in the total occlusion group and 87 cases were in the non-total occlusion group.The baseline characteristics,coronary angiography findings,and OCT results of the patients were compared and analyzed.Results Compared with the non-total occlusion group,the patients in the total occlusion group were more younger(P=0.013),the proportion of male was higher(P=0.026),and the proportion of patients with hypertension(P=0.010)and diabetes(P=0.033)was lower.In the total occlusion group,left circumflex artery(LCX)served as the main IRA,whereas in the non-total occlusion group,left anterior descending(LAD)was the predominant IRA(P=0.012);In addition,there was a significantly higher occurrence of rentrop grade Ⅱ~Ⅲ in the total occlusion group compared to the non-total occlusion group(P=0.022).The OCT results showed that in most cases,the total occlusion group was caused by plaque rupture events(P=0.014),mainly red/mixed thrombus(P<0.001);The non-total occlusion group was more commonly associated with plaque erosion events(P=0.014),with white thrombus being the main cause(P<0.001).Conclusions Total occlusion of infarct-related artery in NSTEMI patients often occurs in the LCX,and the patient is more younger,the thrombus type is mainly red/mixed thrombus,while non-total occlusion lesions are mainly white thrombus.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail