1.Correlation of mitochondrial genetic differentiation and spatial variables of Oncomelania hupensis robertsoni in Yunnan Province
Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Jing SONG ; Yuwan HAO ; Zaogai YANG ; Xinping SHI ; Siqi NING ; Hongqiong WANG ; Chunhong DU ; Jihua ZHOU ; Zongya ZHANG ; Kai LI ; Shizhu LI ; Yi DONG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(1):54-59
Objective Objective To analyze the potential spatial factors affecting the genetic differentiation of Oncomelania hupensis robertsoni in Yunnan Province. Methods A total of 13 administrative villages were selected from schistosomiasis-endemic areas of Yunnan Province as O. hupensis snail sampling sites. At least 200 snails were collected in each site, and the spatial variable data of each site were recorded, including longitude, latitude and altitude. Thirty active and Schistosoma japonicum uninfected O. hupensis snails were selected from each sampling site by means of the crawling method and the cercarial shedding method. Genomic DNA was extracted from O. hupensis snails. Following PCR amplification, purification of PCR amplification products and sequencing, the gene sequences of O. hupensis snail samples were spliced and edited using the DNAstar software and the NCBI database to yield the complete mitochondrial sequences of O. hupensis snails at each sampling site, and the mitochondrial genetic distance matrix of O. hupensis robertsoni was calculated at each sampling site. The geographical coordinates of each sampling site were marked using the software ArcGIS 10.2, and the straight-line geographical distance between each sampling site was calculated. The altitude difference, longitude difference and latitude difference between each sampling site were calculated using the Excel software, and the correlation between the mitochondrial genetic distance matrix of O. hupensis robertsoni and each spatial variable matrix was examined by using the Mantel test at 13 sampling sites in Yunnan Province. Results Among the 13 O. hupensis snail sampling sites in Yunnan Province, the largest mitochondrial genetic distance of O. hupensis robertsoni snail populations was seen between Anding Village, Nanjian Yi Autonomous County and Caizhuang Village, Midu County (26.244 2), and the largest geographical distance was seen between Dongyuan Village, Gucheng District and Cangling Village, Chuxiong County (272.64 km). The highest altitude difference was seen between Anding Village, Nanjian Yi Autonomous County and Dongyuan Village, Gucheng District (1 086.10 m), and the largest longitude difference was found between Qiandian Village, Eryuan County and Cangling Village, Chuxiong County (1.86°), while the largest latitude difference was measured between Leqiu Village, Nanjian Yi Autonomous County and Dongyuan Village, Gucheng District (1.81°). In addition, the mitochondrial genetic distance of O. hupensis robertsoni snail populations was positively correlated with altitude at 13 snail sampling sites in Yunnan Province (r = 0.542 8, P < 0.001), and showed no significant correlations with geographical distance (r = 0.093 4, P > 0.05), longitude (r = −0.199 5, P > 0.05) or latitude (r = 0.205 7, P > 0.05). Conclusion Altitude may be a potential spatial factor affecting the genetic differentiation of O. hupensis robertsoni in Yunnan Province.
2.Screening of diagnostic markers for endothelial cell Senescence in mice with radiation-induced heart disease and analysis of immune infiltration
Jiaming LAI ; Yuling SONG ; Zixi CHEN ; Jinghuan WEI ; Hao CAI ; Guoquan LI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(6):1450-1463
BACKGROUND:Radiotherapy significantly improves survival rates in patients with various malignant tumors.However,with prolonged post-treatment survival,many patients face the risk of radiation-related cardiac toxicity.This is especially true after chest radiotherapy,where the risk of radiation-induced heart disease significantly increases,becoming one of the most severe complications affecting prognosis survival.OBJECTIVE:To identify diagnostic markers of endothelial cellular senescence in radiation-induced heart disease through systematic transcriptomic analysis.METHODS:Firstly,genes associated with cellular senescence were screened from the CellAge database and intersected with the transcriptomic training dataset of a mouse model of radiation-induced heart disease to identify differentially expressed senescence-related genes.Secondly,weighted gene co-expression network analysis and machine learning were used to identify key hub genes that play critical roles in radiation-induced heart disease.The expression of these genes was validated using a dataset of radiation-induced endothelial injury.Additionally,the quanTlseq method was employed to assess the immune infiltration status related to radiation-induced heart disease.The expression levels of key genes and their association with survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients receiving chest radiotherapy were explored through the analysis of The Cancer Genome Atlas database.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Systematic transcriptomic analysis identified CCND1 as the core gene of endothelial cellular senescence in radiation-induced heart disease,and this finding was validated in the mouse model of radiation-induced heart disease.(2)The diagnostic model constructed from these data indicated that CCND1 had high specificity and sensitivity for diagnosing radiation-induced heart disease.(3)Immune infiltration analysis revealed significant immune response dysregulation in the mouse model of radiation-induced heart disease,and CCND1 was closely related to various immune cells.(4)Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that CCND1 was associated with poorer disease-specific survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients receiving chest radiotherapy.This study systematically uncovers,for the first time,the pivotal role of CCND1 in endothelial cell senescence associated with radiation-induced heart disease.CCND1,a gene integral to cell cycle regulation,can induce cellular senescence when abnormally expressed.Furthermore,the findings highlight its potential as an early diagnostic marker.
3.Isometric exercise reduces resting blood pressure:a meta-analysis of moderating factors and dose effects
Yang JIANG ; Hao PENG ; Yanping SONG ; Na YAO ; Yueyu SONG ; Xingxiao YIN ; Yanqi LI ; Qigang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(4):975-986
OBJECTIVE:Elevated blood pressure increases the risk of cardiovascular diseases.Isometric exercise training has been shown to significantly reduce resting blood pressure,but the factors influencing its effectiveness remain unclear,and specific application guidelines are yet to be established.This study aims to evaluate the impact of isometric exercise training on resting blood pressure through meta-analysis,explore its moderating factors,and provide evidence-based recommendations based on its dose-response relationship.METHODS:Following the PRISMA guidelines,a systematic search was conducted in PubMed,Embase,Cochrane Library,Scopus,and Web of Science databases using keywords"Isometric exercise training,""Systolic blood pressure,"and"Diastolic blood pressure,"covering literature up to September 2024.Randomized controlled trials involving isometric exercise training and resting blood pressure were included.Three independent researchers performed literature screening and data extraction,assessing bias risk and quality grades using the Risk of Bias 2.0 tool and GRADE framework.Main effect pooling,publication bias assessment,subgroup,and regression analysis were conducted using R software(version 4.3.4).RESULTS:A total of 28 articles(comprising 32 randomized controlled trials)involving 977 participants were included.(1)Meta-analysis results indicated that isometric exercise training significantly reduced resting systolic blood pressure(MD=-8.01,95%CI=-9.22 to-6.80,P<0.01,I2=18.20%,low evidence grade)and diastolic blood pressure(MD=-3.46,95%CI=-4.64 to-2.28,P<0.01,I2=0%,moderate evidence grade)compared to no exercise.(2)Subgroup analysis results revealed significant influences of gender,health status,exercise modality,frequency,intensity,duration,sets per session,rest duration,and baseline blood pressure on the main effects for both systolic(P<0.01)and diastolic blood pressure(P<0.05).(3)Regression analysis results did not show any significant influencing factors,but body mass index(β=-4.11,P=0.091)showed a significant negative trend on the main effect for systolic blood pressure.(4)No significant publication bias was observed in the meta-analysis results(P>0.05).CONCLUSION:(1)Isometric exercise training significantly lowers systolic(low evidence grade)and diastolic(moderate evidence grade)blood pressure with clinically meaningful thresholds.(2)Participant characteristics(gender,health status,baseline blood pressure,and body mass index)and isometric exercise training protocols(modality,frequency,intensity,duration,cycle,sets per session,and rest duration)influence its antihypertensive effects.(3)The article recommends the optimal blood pressure management prescription:three sessions per week,with four sets per session,each set lasting 2 minutes with a 2-minute rest,at an intensity of 95%HRpeak using isometric wall squat exercises;the intervention period can be adjusted around a 6-week node.Future high-quality research is urgently needed to further validate and support these conclusions.
4.Screening of diagnostic markers for endothelial cell Senescence in mice with radiation-induced heart disease and analysis of immune infiltration
Jiaming LAI ; Yuling SONG ; Zixi CHEN ; Jinghuan WEI ; Hao CAI ; Guoquan LI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(6):1450-1463
BACKGROUND:Radiotherapy significantly improves survival rates in patients with various malignant tumors.However,with prolonged post-treatment survival,many patients face the risk of radiation-related cardiac toxicity.This is especially true after chest radiotherapy,where the risk of radiation-induced heart disease significantly increases,becoming one of the most severe complications affecting prognosis survival.OBJECTIVE:To identify diagnostic markers of endothelial cellular senescence in radiation-induced heart disease through systematic transcriptomic analysis.METHODS:Firstly,genes associated with cellular senescence were screened from the CellAge database and intersected with the transcriptomic training dataset of a mouse model of radiation-induced heart disease to identify differentially expressed senescence-related genes.Secondly,weighted gene co-expression network analysis and machine learning were used to identify key hub genes that play critical roles in radiation-induced heart disease.The expression of these genes was validated using a dataset of radiation-induced endothelial injury.Additionally,the quanTlseq method was employed to assess the immune infiltration status related to radiation-induced heart disease.The expression levels of key genes and their association with survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients receiving chest radiotherapy were explored through the analysis of The Cancer Genome Atlas database.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Systematic transcriptomic analysis identified CCND1 as the core gene of endothelial cellular senescence in radiation-induced heart disease,and this finding was validated in the mouse model of radiation-induced heart disease.(2)The diagnostic model constructed from these data indicated that CCND1 had high specificity and sensitivity for diagnosing radiation-induced heart disease.(3)Immune infiltration analysis revealed significant immune response dysregulation in the mouse model of radiation-induced heart disease,and CCND1 was closely related to various immune cells.(4)Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that CCND1 was associated with poorer disease-specific survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients receiving chest radiotherapy.This study systematically uncovers,for the first time,the pivotal role of CCND1 in endothelial cell senescence associated with radiation-induced heart disease.CCND1,a gene integral to cell cycle regulation,can induce cellular senescence when abnormally expressed.Furthermore,the findings highlight its potential as an early diagnostic marker.
5.Isometric exercise reduces resting blood pressure:a meta-analysis of moderating factors and dose effects
Yang JIANG ; Hao PENG ; Yanping SONG ; Na YAO ; Yueyu SONG ; Xingxiao YIN ; Yanqi LI ; Qigang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(4):975-986
OBJECTIVE:Elevated blood pressure increases the risk of cardiovascular diseases.Isometric exercise training has been shown to significantly reduce resting blood pressure,but the factors influencing its effectiveness remain unclear,and specific application guidelines are yet to be established.This study aims to evaluate the impact of isometric exercise training on resting blood pressure through meta-analysis,explore its moderating factors,and provide evidence-based recommendations based on its dose-response relationship.METHODS:Following the PRISMA guidelines,a systematic search was conducted in PubMed,Embase,Cochrane Library,Scopus,and Web of Science databases using keywords"Isometric exercise training,""Systolic blood pressure,"and"Diastolic blood pressure,"covering literature up to September 2024.Randomized controlled trials involving isometric exercise training and resting blood pressure were included.Three independent researchers performed literature screening and data extraction,assessing bias risk and quality grades using the Risk of Bias 2.0 tool and GRADE framework.Main effect pooling,publication bias assessment,subgroup,and regression analysis were conducted using R software(version 4.3.4).RESULTS:A total of 28 articles(comprising 32 randomized controlled trials)involving 977 participants were included.(1)Meta-analysis results indicated that isometric exercise training significantly reduced resting systolic blood pressure(MD=-8.01,95%CI=-9.22 to-6.80,P<0.01,I2=18.20%,low evidence grade)and diastolic blood pressure(MD=-3.46,95%CI=-4.64 to-2.28,P<0.01,I2=0%,moderate evidence grade)compared to no exercise.(2)Subgroup analysis results revealed significant influences of gender,health status,exercise modality,frequency,intensity,duration,sets per session,rest duration,and baseline blood pressure on the main effects for both systolic(P<0.01)and diastolic blood pressure(P<0.05).(3)Regression analysis results did not show any significant influencing factors,but body mass index(β=-4.11,P=0.091)showed a significant negative trend on the main effect for systolic blood pressure.(4)No significant publication bias was observed in the meta-analysis results(P>0.05).CONCLUSION:(1)Isometric exercise training significantly lowers systolic(low evidence grade)and diastolic(moderate evidence grade)blood pressure with clinically meaningful thresholds.(2)Participant characteristics(gender,health status,baseline blood pressure,and body mass index)and isometric exercise training protocols(modality,frequency,intensity,duration,cycle,sets per session,and rest duration)influence its antihypertensive effects.(3)The article recommends the optimal blood pressure management prescription:three sessions per week,with four sets per session,each set lasting 2 minutes with a 2-minute rest,at an intensity of 95%HRpeak using isometric wall squat exercises;the intervention period can be adjusted around a 6-week node.Future high-quality research is urgently needed to further validate and support these conclusions.
6.Influenza A virus infection activates TLR3-mediated necroptosis
Weijie LI ; Congying HUANG ; Ziling ZENG ; Xiang LI ; Jia XU ; Tian GONG ; Hao ZHANG ; Xinyan ZHANG ; Ping WANG ; Yuanjia HU ; Haiyu XU ; Lijuan SONG
Science of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;4(1):40-49
Background: Influenza A virus (IAV) is a negative-sense RNA virus of the Orthomyxoviridae family and is the etiological agent of a highly contagious acute respiratory disease that can lead to acute lung injury. Objective: To elucidate the molecular mechanisms of IAV infection, an integrative research approach combining gene expression profiling, multinetwork analysis, and in vivo experimental validations was employed. Methods: First, a series of network-based analyses were performed, including protein-protein interaction network construction, weighted gene co-expression network analysis, and subsequent gene set enrichment analysis, to identify the major underlying mechanisms of IAV infection. Following gene expression analysis, core targets, both direct and indirect regulators, were screened. An IAV (H1N1) strain A/PR/8/34-induced acute lung injury mouse model was constructed for in vivo validations. Batch one included two groups to evaluate findings from the multi-network analysis: Mock (n = 10; 5 males and 5 females) and IAV (n = 10; 5 males and 5 females). Batch two included three groups to assess the role of toll-like receptor 3 (TLR3) in IAV infection: Mock (n = 6; 3 males and 3 females), IAV (n = 6; 3 males and 3 females), and TLR3 inhibitor (n = 6; 3 males and 3 females). Body weight was measured on days 0, 3, and 5 after infection. On day 5, lung tissues were collected to assess viral load and histopathological changes. Key targets were examined using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, Western blotting, and immunofluorescence staining, both in sera and lung tissues. Results: IAV infection was significantly associated with dysregulation of the immune-inflammation system, such as the LTR, nucle-otide-binding oligomerization domain-(NOD) like receptor, retinoic acid-inducible gene I-like receptor, and nuclear factor kappa-B signaling pathways. Gene set enrichment analysis further indicated that the TLR and necroptosis signaling pathways played crucial roles in the progression of IAV infection (TLR signaling pathway normalized enrichment score = 2.3941, P = 1.00 × 10 −10; necroptosis normalized enrichment score = 1.9421, P = 6.21 × 10 −7). Among the core targets, TLR3 and mixed lineage kinase domain-like protein (MLKL) may regulate gene expression at the transcriptional level (all P < 0.05). In vivo validation using an IAV (PR8) infected acute lung injury mouse model demonstrated increased viral load and lung index, alveolar structural damage, and inflammatory cell infiltration. Immunofluorescence staining exhibited large gaps in Lamin B1 staining and breaches in Emerin signals following IAV-PR8 infection. Expression levels of TLR3, p-receptor-interacting serine/threonine-protein kinase 3 (RIPK3)/RIPK3, and p-mixed lineage kinase domain-like protein (MLKL)/MLKL proteins in lung tissues, as well as proinflammatory factors and mediators in sera, were significantly elevated after IAV infection. Moreover, enhanced neutrophil infiltration (myeloperoxidase) and citrullinated histone H3 (a neutrophil extracellular trap-specific marker), both established indicators of neutrophil extracellular trap formation, were observed. Notably, treatment with a TLR3 inhibitor significantly ameliorated IAV-induced acute lung injury by regulating necroptosis-related targets. Conclusion: Our study provides network-based in vivo evidence that TLR3-receptor-interacting serine/threonine-protein kinase 3-MLKL-mediated necroptosis may underlie IAV-induced acute lung injury and could serve as a potential therapeutic target in severe influenza cases.
7.Efficacy of MitraClip in functional versus degenerative mitral regurgitation: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Xuhua LI ; Qiyuan BAI ; Zhili WEI ; Shidong LIU ; Hao CHEN ; Yang CHEN ; Bing SONG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(05):807-814
Objective To systematically evaluate the differences in outcomes between functional mitral regurgitation (FMR) and degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR) in patients treated with transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (TEER) using the MitraClip device. Methods A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, Web of Science, the CNKI, Wanfang Database, VIP Database, and the CBM from their inception to January 2024. Two researchers independently performed study selection, data extraction, and risk of bias assessment. The quality of cohort studies was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). A meta-analysis was performed using Stata 18.0 software. Results A total of 13 cohort studies involving 6 402 patients were included, comprising 4 161 patients in the FMR group and 2 241 in the DMR group. All included studies had NOS scores of ≥6 points. The meta-analysis revealed that compared to the DMR group, the FMR group had a higher 1-year all-cause mortality rate [OR=1.53, 95%CI (1.30, 1.81), P<0.01] and a higher 1-year rehospitalization rate for heart failure [OR=1.90, 95%CI (1.60, 2.26), P<0.01]. Conversely, the FMR group had a lower post-procedural mean transmitral gradient [SMD=–0.47, 95%CI (–0.65, –0.30), P<0.01] and a lower rate of subsequent mitral valve surgery [OR=0.41, 95%CI (0.20, 0.83), P=0.01]. Conclusion Following MitraClip therapy, patients with FMR exhibit favorable short-term outcomes, but their mid- to long-term outcomes are inferior to those of patients with DMR. When determining the treatment strategy with MitraClip, the specific etiology of mitral regurgitation should be considered for a more accurate prediction of therapeutic efficacy and prognosis.
8.Risk factors for postoperative recurrence and metastasis and the impact of surgical approaches on the prognosis of T1 stage Ⅲ/Ⅳ clear cell renal cell carcinoma
Jianbo JI ; Haonan CHEN ; Tiantian YUAN ; Zhaokui QU ; Guoxin SONG ; Meiling BAO ; Xiaodong LIANG ; Bo JIANG ; Yiyang WANG ; Hao JI ; Pengchao LI
Journal of Modern Urology 2026;31(1):12-16
Objective To investigate the risk factors for postoperative recurrence and metastasis in patients with T1 stageⅢ/Ⅳ clear cell renal cell carcinoma(ccRCC), and to analyze the influence of surgical methods on prognosis, so as to provide prognostic evaluation and treatment guidance for clinical practice. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 398 patients diagnosed with T1 stage Ⅲ/Ⅳ ccRCC who underwent either partial nephrectomy(PN)or radical nephrectomy(RN)at Jiangsu Province Hospital during Jan. 2008 and Sep. 2022. The patients were divided into recurrence group(n=49)and non-recurrence group(n=349)according to whether the tumor recurred during the follow-up period. The general, clinical data and prognosis were compared between the two groups. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to explore the factors influencing disease-free survival(DFS)and overall survival(OS)after surgery. Subgroup analysis using Kaplan-Meier curves was performed for T1a and T1b patients. Results During the median follow-up of 67(42, 98)months, the recurrence group was characterized by older age, larger tumor diameter, higher proportion of T1b stage, and more complex tumor anatomy. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that age ≥55 years and R.E.N.A.L. score ≥7 were independent risk factors for poorer DFS and OS(P<0.05). Subgroup analysis revealed that PN or RN did not significantly affect DFS or OS in T1a patients and OS in T1b patients, while RN significantly improved DFS in T1b patients(P<0.05). Conclusion Age ≥55 years and R.E.N.A.L. score ≥7 are independent risk factors for poor DFS and OS in highgrade T1 ccRCC patients. For T1b patients, RN may improve DFS.
9.Effect of virtual reality-based exergaming on multidimensional outcomes in individuals with cognitive impairment: a three-level meta-analysis based on the ICF framework
Yang JIANG ; Hao PENG ; Xingxiao YIN ; Yanqi LI ; Yanping SONG ; Na YAO ; Zhen SHEN ; Qigang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2026;32(9):1003-1015
ObjectiveTo systematically quantify the multidimensional effect of virtual reality-based exergaming (VREG) on health outcomes among individuals with cognitive impairment under the framework of the International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health (ICF). MethodsMeta-analysis was conducted in accordance with the PRISMA statement. PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang Data and VIP were researched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating VREG for cognitive impairment, with the search deadline set on February 1, 2026. The Cochrane Risk of Bias 2.0 tool was adopted to evaluate the methodological quality of included studies. A three-level meta-analytic model was implemented with R 4.4.2. The GRADE framework was further used to rate the certainty of pooled evidence. ResultsA total of 22 RCTs were included. VREG might improve global cognitive function (SMD = 0.69, 95%CI 0.11 to 1.28, P = 0.022), memory (SMD = 0.47, 95%CI 0.07 to 0.87, P = 0.023), attention (SMD = 0.62, 95%CI 0.23 to 1.01, P = 0.004), executive function (SMD = 0.42, 95%CI 0.09 to 0.75, P = 0.013), balance (SMD = 0.54, 95%CI 0.07 to 1.00, P = 0.027), muscle strength (SMD = 0.63, 95%CI 0.37 to 0.88, P = 0.001), mobility (SMD = 0.29, 95%CI 0.04 to 0.54, P = 0.024) and quality of life (SMD = 0.29, 95%CI 0.03 to 0.56, P = 0.029). No significant effect was observed for depressive symptoms, comprehensive physical fitness and fall risk (all P > 0.05). Subgroup and meta-regression analyses indicated that session duration < 45 minutes produced the largest improvement in attention (SMD = 0.95, 95%CI 0.55 to 1.34, P < 0.001); intervention cycles of twelve to 24 weeks were optimal for mobility (SMD = 0.85, 95%CI 0.44 to 1.25, P < 0.001); age negatively correlated to balance improvement (β = -0.11, 95%CI -0.20 to -0.02, P = 0.020), suggesting less intervention benefits among older participants. ConclusionVREG is an effective non-pharmacological intervention to improve multidimensional physical and mental health in people with cognitive impairment. Protocols featuring short single sessions with long-term duration should be prioritized.
10.Construction and evaluation of a risk prediction model for low Apgar score in very preterm infants based on different machine learning algorithms
Huiying FAN ; Anran LIANG ; Hao SONG ; Jingyue XING ; Yaxuan LIU ; Jingjing ZHAO ; Wenli LI ; Falin XU
Chinese Journal of Neonatology 2026;41(11):665-671
Objective To construct and evaluate the risk prediction models for low Apgar score in very preterm infants (VPIs) using different machine learning algorithms. Methods From June 2023 to December 2024, a retrospective case‑control study was conducted among VPIs born in the Department of Obstetrics of our hospital. The patients were randomly assigned into a training set and a validation set with a ratio of 3:1. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was used to select the risk factors of low Apgar score in the training set. 1‑min Apgar score ≤7 was defined as the outcome indicator. Four machine learning algorithms: Logistic regression (LR), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM) were used to construct the prediction model. Model performance was evaluated in the validation set using area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), accuracy, precision, sensitivity, specificity and F1 score. The optimal model was further studied using Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method. Results A total of 544 cases were enrolled, including 408 in the training set and 136 in the validation set. There were 126 cases with low Apgar scores and 282 cases with normal Apgar scores in the training set. LASSO regression identified 9 predictive factors: gestational age, maternal anemia, antenatal fever, cervical insufficiency, abnormal umbilical artery blood flow, fetal malpresentation, fetal distress, premature rupture of membranes (PROM) and placental abruption. There were 42 cases with low Apgar scores and 94 cases with normal Apgar scores in the validation set. The ROC curve analysis showed that AUCs of LR, XGBoost, RF and SVM were 0.804 (95%CI 0.759‑0.845), 0.795 (95%CI 0.715‑0.868), 0.817 (95%CI 0.730‑0.890) and 0.802 (95%CI 0.750‑0.840), respectively. RF had most balanced sensitivity (0.798, 95%CI 0.665‑0.845) and specificity (0.786, 95%CI 0.628‑0.891) with highest F1 score (0.843). SHAP analysis showed that the influencing factors in the model were ranked by importance as follows: fetal malpresentation, cervical insufficiency, fetal distress, maternal anemia, antenatal fever, gestational age, abnormal umbilical artery blood flow, PROM and placental abruption. Conclusions The model based on RF algorithm has a good predictive efficacy for low Apgar score in VPIs and maybe a useful tool for prenatal risk assessment.

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