1.Construction and evaluation of a predictive model for mortality risk factors in patients with multiple trauma complicated with thoracic injuries
Sitong MOU ; Xiaoling ZHU ; Shixiong YANG ; Heyue YANG ; Ke LUO ; Xian WU ; Zhiqun ZHAN ; Hongli TENG ; Li YE ; Ming LI ; Huamin TANG
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(1):72-81
Objective:To construct a predictive model for mortality in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries and evaluate its predictive value.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 184 patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries admitted to the International Zhuang Medicine Hospital Affiliated to Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine from April 2019 to December 2023, including 129 males and 55 females, aged 19-85 years [(46.1±13.7)years]. According to the prognostic outcomes at 3-month follow-up after discharge, the patients were divided into survival group ( n=145) and death group ( n=39). Data were recorded in both groups at admission, including gender, age, and cause of injury, laboratory tests such as systolic blood pressure, oxygen saturation (SaO 2), hemoglobin (Hb), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and lactate, combined injuries such as the number of combined injuries, number of rib fracture, bilateral rib fracture, first-rib fracture, sternum fracture, thoracic vertebral fracture, bilateral pulmonary contusion, bilateral pneumothorax, subarachnoid hemorrhage, subdural hematoma, epidural hematoma, skull fracture, skull base fracture, cervical vertebral fracture, brain herniation, cerebral contusion, lumbar vertebral fracture, pelvic and abdominal cavity hematoma, liver injury, kidney injury, spleen injury, clavicle fracture, scapular fracture, femoral fracture, and pelvic fracture, and injury scores such as shock index (SI), modified shock index (MSI), injury severity score (ISS), revised trauma score (RTS), Glasgow coma score (GCS), and thoracic trauma severity (TTS) score. Univariate binary logistic regression analysis was used to screen for risk factors of death in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries. LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression analysis were employed to identify predictive variables and independent risk factors for mortality in those patients and to construct a regression equation. A nomogram prediction model based on the regression equation was developed using R language. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to evaluate the discrimination of the model. The ROC curves were internally validated using the Bootstrap method with 1 000 resamples. The calibration of the model was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) goodness-of-fit test. The clinical application value of the model was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC) analysis. Results:There were statistically significant differences between the survival group and the death group in systolic blood pressure, SaO 2, NLR, lactate, number of combined injuries, subarachnoid hemorrhage, subdural hematoma, skull fracture, skull base fracture, brain herniation, liver injury, SI, MSI, ISS, RTS, GCS, and TTS ( P<0.05 or 0.01). The results of the univariate binary logistic regression analysis showed that the above-mentioned related variables except for systolic blood pressure were all significantly associated with death in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries ( P<0.05 or 0.01). Five predictive variables, TTS, GCS, brain herniation, ISS, and lactate were obtained in LASSO regression analysis. The results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that GCS ( OR=0.70, 95% CI 0.58, 0.83), brain herniation ( OR=46.18, 95% CI 4.27, 499.26), TTS ( OR=1.71, 95% CI 1.30, 2.24), and lactate ( OR=1.35, 95% CI 1.01, 1.80) were independent risk factors for death in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries ( P<0.05 or 0.01). Based on the aforementioned independent risk factors, a regression formula was constructed as follows: P=e x/(1+e x), with the x=-0.36×"GCS"+3.83×"brain herniation"+0.53×"TTS"+0.30×"lactate levels"-11.03. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the predictive model for mortality in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries based on the equation was 0.97 (95% CI 0.93, 1.00). The AUC was internally validated using the Bootstrap method with 1 000 samples, resulting in an AUC of 0.97 (95% CI 0.91, 1.00). The results of the H-L goodness-of-fit test showed that the bias-corrected calibration curve of the model was in good consistence with the actual curve and both of them were close to the ideal curve. In the evaluation of the clinical application value of the predictive model, the DCA results showed that the predictive model could achieve good clinical net benefit. The CIC results showed that when the threshold probability was greater than 0.7, the model-identified high-risk patients for death highly matched the patients who actually died. Conclusion:The predictive model for mortality in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries based on GCS, brain herniation, TTS, and lactate has good predictive performance and clinical application value.
2.Construction and evaluation of a predictive model for mortality risk factors in patients with multiple trauma complicated with thoracic injuries
Sitong MOU ; Xiaoling ZHU ; Shixiong YANG ; Heyue YANG ; Ke LUO ; Xian WU ; Zhiqun ZHAN ; Hongli TENG ; Li YE ; Ming LI ; Huamin TANG
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(1):72-81
Objective:To construct a predictive model for mortality in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries and evaluate its predictive value.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 184 patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries admitted to the International Zhuang Medicine Hospital Affiliated to Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine from April 2019 to December 2023, including 129 males and 55 females, aged 19-85 years [(46.1±13.7)years]. According to the prognostic outcomes at 3-month follow-up after discharge, the patients were divided into survival group ( n=145) and death group ( n=39). Data were recorded in both groups at admission, including gender, age, and cause of injury, laboratory tests such as systolic blood pressure, oxygen saturation (SaO 2), hemoglobin (Hb), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and lactate, combined injuries such as the number of combined injuries, number of rib fracture, bilateral rib fracture, first-rib fracture, sternum fracture, thoracic vertebral fracture, bilateral pulmonary contusion, bilateral pneumothorax, subarachnoid hemorrhage, subdural hematoma, epidural hematoma, skull fracture, skull base fracture, cervical vertebral fracture, brain herniation, cerebral contusion, lumbar vertebral fracture, pelvic and abdominal cavity hematoma, liver injury, kidney injury, spleen injury, clavicle fracture, scapular fracture, femoral fracture, and pelvic fracture, and injury scores such as shock index (SI), modified shock index (MSI), injury severity score (ISS), revised trauma score (RTS), Glasgow coma score (GCS), and thoracic trauma severity (TTS) score. Univariate binary logistic regression analysis was used to screen for risk factors of death in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries. LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression analysis were employed to identify predictive variables and independent risk factors for mortality in those patients and to construct a regression equation. A nomogram prediction model based on the regression equation was developed using R language. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to evaluate the discrimination of the model. The ROC curves were internally validated using the Bootstrap method with 1 000 resamples. The calibration of the model was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) goodness-of-fit test. The clinical application value of the model was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC) analysis. Results:There were statistically significant differences between the survival group and the death group in systolic blood pressure, SaO 2, NLR, lactate, number of combined injuries, subarachnoid hemorrhage, subdural hematoma, skull fracture, skull base fracture, brain herniation, liver injury, SI, MSI, ISS, RTS, GCS, and TTS ( P<0.05 or 0.01). The results of the univariate binary logistic regression analysis showed that the above-mentioned related variables except for systolic blood pressure were all significantly associated with death in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries ( P<0.05 or 0.01). Five predictive variables, TTS, GCS, brain herniation, ISS, and lactate were obtained in LASSO regression analysis. The results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that GCS ( OR=0.70, 95% CI 0.58, 0.83), brain herniation ( OR=46.18, 95% CI 4.27, 499.26), TTS ( OR=1.71, 95% CI 1.30, 2.24), and lactate ( OR=1.35, 95% CI 1.01, 1.80) were independent risk factors for death in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries ( P<0.05 or 0.01). Based on the aforementioned independent risk factors, a regression formula was constructed as follows: P=e x/(1+e x), with the x=-0.36×"GCS"+3.83×"brain herniation"+0.53×"TTS"+0.30×"lactate levels"-11.03. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the predictive model for mortality in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries based on the equation was 0.97 (95% CI 0.93, 1.00). The AUC was internally validated using the Bootstrap method with 1 000 samples, resulting in an AUC of 0.97 (95% CI 0.91, 1.00). The results of the H-L goodness-of-fit test showed that the bias-corrected calibration curve of the model was in good consistence with the actual curve and both of them were close to the ideal curve. In the evaluation of the clinical application value of the predictive model, the DCA results showed that the predictive model could achieve good clinical net benefit. The CIC results showed that when the threshold probability was greater than 0.7, the model-identified high-risk patients for death highly matched the patients who actually died. Conclusion:The predictive model for mortality in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries based on GCS, brain herniation, TTS, and lactate has good predictive performance and clinical application value.
3.Clinical observation of rimazolom for painless gastroscopy sedation in outpatients
Yi ZHANG ; Gang YE ; Liang ZHANG ; Sitong LI ; Jun XIANG ; Junying MOU ; Nana YAO ; Xianlin ZHU
China Pharmacy 2022;33(4):492-496
OBJECTIVE To obser ve the efficacy and safety of rimazo lom for painless gastroscopy sedation in outpatients. METHODS Totally 84 patients who underwent painless gastroscopy were collected from the outpatient department of the Central Hospital of Enshi Tujia and Miao Autonomous Prefecture from March to June in 2021. By random number table method combined with envelope allocation concealment method ,they were randomly divided into observation group and control group ,with 42 cases in each group. The patients in the observation group were slowly injected with Sufentanil citrate injection 0.1 μg/kg+Rimazole toluenesulfonate for injection 0.2 mg/kg. Patients in the control group were slowly injected with Sufentanil citrate injection 0.1 μg/kg+ Propofol emulsion injection 2 mg/kg. Gastroscopy was performed after the patient ’s consciousness disappeared. The sedative efficiency,sedative onset time ,recovery time and the occurrence of adverse drug reaction were observed in 2 groups. The heart rate(HR),mean arterial pressure (MAP),pulse oxygen saturation (SpO2),modified observer ’s assessment of alertness/sedation (MOAA/S)score and Narcotrend score were recorded in 2 groups after entering the room (T0),after anesthesia induction (T1), when gastroscope entered the throat (T2),at the end of gastroscope withdrawal (T3),5 min after gastroscopy (T4). RESULTS There was no significant difference in the effective rate of sedation (100%),the incidence of respiratory depression , nausea and vomiting between the two groups (P>0.05). The qq.com onset time of sedation in the observation group was longer than control group ,and the recovery time and the incidence ofhypotension,hypotension to be tre ated,injection pain and bradycardia in observation group were significantly shorter or lower than control group (P<0.05). At T 0,there was no significant difference in HR ,MAP,SpO2,MOAA/S score or Narcotrend score between two groups (P>0.05). From T 1 to T 4,the HR of control group was significantly lower than that of the same group at T 0,and significantly lower than observation group at the same time(P<0.05). From T 1 to T 3,the MAP of two groups were significantly lower than the same group at T 0(P<0.05),but there were no significant differences between two groups and between T 4 and T 0(P>0.05). There was no significant difference in SpO 2 at different time points between two groups and HR at different time points in observation group (P>0.05). From T 1 to T 3,MOAA/S score and Narcotrend score of two groups were significantly lower than the same group at T 0,while the MOAA/S score and Narcotrend score at T 1 and T 3 and Narcotrend score at T 3 of observation group were significantly higher than control group at the same time (P<0.05),and the Narcotrend score of observation group at T 2 was significantly lower than control group at the same time(P<0.05);at T 4,there were no significant differences in MOAA/S score and Narcotrend score between two groups (P> 0.05). CONCLUSIONS Remazolam shows good sedative effect and safety for painless gastroscopy.

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