1.Statistical approaches to causal inference in environmental epidemiology: Methodological introductions and R implementations
Guiming ZHU ; Wanying LIU ; Yanchao WEN ; Simin HE ; Qian GAO ; Tong WANG
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2026;43(2):253-260
Environmental pollution is a significant public health challenge worldwide, and investigating the causal relationship between environmental exposure and population health outcomes is a key objective of environmental epidemiology research. In recent years, the complexity of environmental exposures has increasingly come to the forefront, making it challenging for observational studies that dominate environmental epidemiology to accurately estimate causal effects. Causal inference methods are particularly advantageous in controlling for confounding factors, thus holding great potential in environmental epidemiology research. Researchers can use appropriate causal inference methods to simulate the process of randomization, providing strong support for revealing the causal relationship between environmental exposure and health outcomes. However, there is a lack of reviews on the application of causal inference methods in environmental epidemiology studies in China. Therefore, this study introduced the basic principles of common causal inference statistical methods in environmental epidemiology, summarized the applicable conditions, advantages and disadvantages of various methods, and provided R software implementation codes for these methods, aiming to offer guidance for optimizing research design and practicing causal inference statistical methods.
2.Risk prediction models of recurrence after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy:a systematic review and meta-analysis
Weijie YU ; Dongdong CAO ; Tianci GUO ; Puyu NIU ; Jialin YANG ; Simin WANG ; Aifeng LIU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):749-759
OBJECTIVE:Postoperative recurrence is a common complication of percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy for lumbar disc herniation,which can significantly increase the risk of reoperation.A well-performing risk prediction model can help identify high-risk groups early and prevent postoperative recurrence.This study systematically evaluated the risk prediction model for postoperative recurrence after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy to provide a reference for surgical decision-making.METHODS:The PubMed,Embase,Web of Science,CNKI,WanFang Data,VIP,and CBM were electronically searched to collect studies on the recurrence risk prediction models after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy from inception to July 1,2024.Two reviewers independently screened the literature and extracted data.The models' risk of bias,applicability,and report quality were assessed using prediction model risk of bias assessment tool(PROBAST)and Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis(TRIPOD)tools,respectively.Meta-analysis of postoperative recurrence rate of percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy and related predictors was performed using Revman 5.4 software.RESULTS:(1)A total of 15 studies were included,all of which were retrospective studies,including 24 models for predicting the risk of recurrence after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy.(2)The PROBAST evaluation results indicated that all 15 studies exhibited a high risk of bias.Regarding applicability,two studies demonstrated a low risk,while 13 presented a high risk.(3)Regarding the TRIPOD reporting quality,the overall quality across the 15 studies was low.The primary reasons for this low compliance included the failure to report blinding,a lack of explanation for the sample size calculation method,lack of detailed description of missing data processing methods,and lack of information such as introduction to the model used.(4)Furthermore,the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the model ranged from 0.684 to 0.972,with the number of potential predictor variables varying from 15 to 28.(5)The results of meta-analysis showed that the postoperative recurrence rate of lumbar disc herniation patients treated with percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy was 12%(95%CI=9.0%-15.0%),Modic changes(OR=6.72,95%CI=3.90-11.59),body mass index(OR=1.28,95%CI=1.10-1.49),work intensity(OR=3.22,95%CI=1.85-5.59),age(OR=2.28,95%CI=1.50-3.48),and smoking history(OR=2.65,95%CI=1.75-4.00)were independent influencing factors for postoperative recurrence of percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy(all P<0.05).CONCLUSION:The overall predictive performance of the recurrence risk prediction models after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy is satisfactory;however,the model exhibits a high overall risk of bias and applicability,coupled with low reporting quality.Additionally,there is a lack of prospective research and external validation.Future,risk prediction models should consider factors such as Modic changes,body mass index,work intensity,age,and smoking history as potential predictors.
3.Risk prediction models of recurrence after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy:a systematic review and meta-analysis
Weijie YU ; Dongdong CAO ; Tianci GUO ; Puyu NIU ; Jialin YANG ; Simin WANG ; Aifeng LIU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):749-759
OBJECTIVE:Postoperative recurrence is a common complication of percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy for lumbar disc herniation,which can significantly increase the risk of reoperation.A well-performing risk prediction model can help identify high-risk groups early and prevent postoperative recurrence.This study systematically evaluated the risk prediction model for postoperative recurrence after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy to provide a reference for surgical decision-making.METHODS:The PubMed,Embase,Web of Science,CNKI,WanFang Data,VIP,and CBM were electronically searched to collect studies on the recurrence risk prediction models after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy from inception to July 1,2024.Two reviewers independently screened the literature and extracted data.The models' risk of bias,applicability,and report quality were assessed using prediction model risk of bias assessment tool(PROBAST)and Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis(TRIPOD)tools,respectively.Meta-analysis of postoperative recurrence rate of percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy and related predictors was performed using Revman 5.4 software.RESULTS:(1)A total of 15 studies were included,all of which were retrospective studies,including 24 models for predicting the risk of recurrence after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy.(2)The PROBAST evaluation results indicated that all 15 studies exhibited a high risk of bias.Regarding applicability,two studies demonstrated a low risk,while 13 presented a high risk.(3)Regarding the TRIPOD reporting quality,the overall quality across the 15 studies was low.The primary reasons for this low compliance included the failure to report blinding,a lack of explanation for the sample size calculation method,lack of detailed description of missing data processing methods,and lack of information such as introduction to the model used.(4)Furthermore,the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the model ranged from 0.684 to 0.972,with the number of potential predictor variables varying from 15 to 28.(5)The results of meta-analysis showed that the postoperative recurrence rate of lumbar disc herniation patients treated with percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy was 12%(95%CI=9.0%-15.0%),Modic changes(OR=6.72,95%CI=3.90-11.59),body mass index(OR=1.28,95%CI=1.10-1.49),work intensity(OR=3.22,95%CI=1.85-5.59),age(OR=2.28,95%CI=1.50-3.48),and smoking history(OR=2.65,95%CI=1.75-4.00)were independent influencing factors for postoperative recurrence of percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy(all P<0.05).CONCLUSION:The overall predictive performance of the recurrence risk prediction models after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy is satisfactory;however,the model exhibits a high overall risk of bias and applicability,coupled with low reporting quality.Additionally,there is a lack of prospective research and external validation.Future,risk prediction models should consider factors such as Modic changes,body mass index,work intensity,age,and smoking history as potential predictors.
4.Effect of Wei's Huoxue Tongluo Formula(韦氏活血通络方)on Visual Function and Fundus Blood Flow in Treating Atrophic-Stage Non-Arteritic Anterior Ischemic Optic Neuropathy with Qi Deficiency and Blood Stasis
Yan WANG ; Linlin CAO ; Meiling HAO ; Xiaoding SHUI ; Simin SONG ; Kun DING ; Rilong ZHOU ; Yu LUO ; Yize HUANG ; Xiaoyu LIANG ; Liang LIAO
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(10):1062-1070
ObjectiveTo evaluate the efficacy and possible mechanism of Wei's Huoxue Tongluo Formula (韦氏活血通络方,WHTF) in treating atrophic-stage non-arteritic anterior ischemic optic neuropathy (NAION) with qi deficiency and blood stasis. MethodsA total of 82 atrophic-stage NAION patients with qi deficiency and blood stasis were randomly divided into a treatment group and a control group, with 41 cases in each group. The treatment group was given oral administration of WHTF twice a day plus acupoint injection of distilled water 2 ml at Taiyang (EX-HN5) once daily, while the control group received injection of compound anisodine injection 2 ml at Taiyang (EX-HN5) once daily and oral administration of WHTF placebo twice a day. Both groups received treatment for a course of 14 days. The best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA), optic disc perfusion density (PD), flux index (FI), macular superficial PD, vascular density (VD), and traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) syndrome scores were compared between groups before treatment and on day 7 and day 14 of treatment. Additionally, mean defect (MD) and mean sensitivity (MS) of visual fields were measured before treatment and on day 14, along with safety evaluation. ResultsAfter treatment, both groups showed significant improvement in BCVA, visual field MD and MS, and TCM syndrome scores (P<0.05 or P<0.01). On day 14 of treatment, the TCM syndrome score in the treatment group was significantly lower than that in the control group (P<0.05). There was no significant improvement in optic disc PD and FI, and macular superficial PD and VD after treatment in either group (P>0.05) except that on day 7 the macular superficial foveal PD in the control group was significantly better than that in the treatment group (P<0.05). During the treatment period, no serious adverse events occurred in either group. ConclusionWHTF can improve the visual function indicators including visual acuity and visual field, as well as TCM syndrome scores in atrophic-stage NAION patients with qi deficiency and blood stasis. It shows clinical safety, although it does not appear to have a significant effect on optic disc or macular blood flow.
5.Sexual behaviors, HIV/AIDS knowledge awareness, and novel synthetic drug use among young students in Guangdong Province
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(8):1102-1105
Objective:
To assess the status of sexual behaviors, HIV/AIDS knowledge awareness, and novel synthetic drug use among school attending young students in Guangdong Province, so as to provide evidence base for formulating targeted intervention strategies.
Methods:
From September to December 2024, a convenience sampling method was employed to conduct an anonymous online survey among 41 119 students from 20 higher education institutions and vocational colleges in Guangdong Province. Chi square test was utilized for rate comparisons and univariate analysis, and a multivariate Logistic regression model was applied to analyze factors associated with novel synthetic drug use.
Results:
The self reported rate of sexual behavior was 5.2%. Among sexually active students, the rates of unprotected sexual intercourse, having temporary sexual partners, and having commercial sexual partners were 32.4%, 34.5%, and 26.3%, respectively. The awareness rate of HIV related knowledge was 75.7%. The overall use rate of novel psychoactive substances(NPS) was 1.0%, and among sexually active students it was 6.5%. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that students with sexual experience ( OR =4.15) and those with HIV testing history ( OR =9.38) had higher risks of NPS use; among sexually active students, those with unprotected sexual intercourse ( OR =6.83) and those with commercial sexual partners ( OR = 4.68 ) had higher risks of NPS use (all P <0.05).
Conclusions
The HIV/AIDS knowledge level among surveyed students needs further improvement, and high risk sexual behaviors are cross linked with novel synthetic drug use. It is recommended to carry out integrated health education for all students and implement comprehensive targeted interventions for sexually active students.
6.Quality Appraisal of Clinical Practice Guidelines and Expert Consensus Statements for Knee Osteoarthritis Based on AGREE Ⅱ (2019—2025)
Yifan LU ; Zhuo YANG ; Hui XIONG ; Gonghui JIAN ; Xiaolong LU ; Pei CHEN ; Wenjie SU ; Zebing MA ; Tianxiao CHEN ; Simin TANG ; Tao WANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(23):186-195
ObjectiveTo evaluate the quality of clinical practice guidelines and expert consensus statements on knee osteoarthritis (KOA) based on the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research & Evaluation Ⅱ (AGREE Ⅱ), thus providing a new perspective for clinical selection as well as guideline development and updating. MethodsA systematic search was conducted for KOA-related guidelines and consensus statements published from November 1, 2019 to December 31, 2025. The databases and platforms searched included CNKI, VIP, Wanfang Data, PubMed, Web of Science, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE), SinoMed, Yimaitong, and relevant official websites. Two researchers independently screened the literature, and four researchers used AGREE Ⅱ to score the included documents and completed the quality appraisal after reaching a unified understanding. Subgroup analyses were further performed according to developing organization, document type, medical approach, funding status, and region of development, and longitudinal comparisons were conducted by year of publication. ResultsA total of 23 guidelines and consensus statements were included. The standardized scores of the six AGREE Ⅱ domains, from the highest to the lowest, were clarity of presentation [(70.36±8.13)%], scope and purpose [(67.46 ± 11.44)%], editorial independence [(64.50±20.01)%], rigor of development [(62.24±15.26)%], stakeholder involvement [(55.73±10.29)%], and applicability [(53.89±13.17)%]. In terms of overall recommendation, 6 documents were rated as grade A and 17 as grade B. Stratified analyses showed that professional organizations scored higher than comprehensive organizations. The overall scores of traditional Chinese medicine/integrative medicine and Western medicine guidelines (or consensus statements) were similar. Guidelines scored higher than consensus statements. The overall scores were similar between documents with reported funding and those without reported funding. International guidelines scored higher than domestic guidelines. Longitudinal comparisons showed that the largest number of documents was published in 2021. The overall scores were higher in 2021—2022, and some domain scores declined in 2023—2024. Overall, the quality of recent guidelines and consensus statements for KOA showed slight fluctuations, without a clear linear trend. ConclusionThe included guidelines and consensus statements for KOA can generally serve as references for clinical practice. However, the quality across domains remains uneven, and stakeholder involvement and applicability are still weak domains. Future guideline development and updating should further improve methodological standardization and transparency in reporting.
7.Therapeutic effect of Rhizoma Corydalis on ulcerative colitis induced by dextran sodium sulfate and its mechanism:a study based on metabolomics
Chentao XIE ; Jialing LIU ; Yangyang GAO ; Haoran XU ; Hui WANG ; Yuanjing ZHAO ; Ruyi FAN ; Simin CHEN
Journal of Chongqing Medical University 2025;50(7):879-888
Objective:To investigate the interventional effect of Rhizoma Corydalis on mice with ulcerative colitis(UC)induced by dextran sulfate sodium(DSS),as well as the potential mechanism of Rhizoma Corydalis in the treatment of UC based on metabolomics and inflammation biomarkers.Methods:A mouse model of UC was established,and then the mice were divided into model group,high-dose group(1.517 g/kg crude drug),middle-dose group(0.986 g/kg crude drug),low-dose group(0.455 g/kg crude drug),and positive drug group(5-aminosalicylic acid at a dose of 718.8 mg/kg),while the mice without modeling were selected as normal group(0.9%NaCl by gavage).The mice in each group were administered for 7 consecutive days,and phenotypic parameters were dynamically moni-tored,such as body weight change,disease activity index(DAI),mean daily food intake,and daily water intake.The mice were sacri-ficed after 7 days to collect serum and colon tissue samples;ELISA was used to measure the serum levels of the proinflammatory fac-tors interleukin-6(IL-6),interleukin-17A(IL-17A),C-reactive protein(CRP),and tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α),and ultra-performance liquid chromatography-quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry(UPLC-Q-TOF/MS)was used to perform the non-targeted metabolomics analysis and compare the differences in se-rum metabolite profiles between groups.The mice were selected for modeling and validation with the same method,and glutathione(GSH)was selected as the positive drug.Colon length and mucosal damage were assessed,and quantitative real-time PCR was used to measure the relative mRNA expression levels of the key genes in the glutathione synthesis pathway(γ-glutamylcysteine synthetase[γ-GCS]and oxidative stress regulators yap1p and skn7)and mito-chondrial GSH transporter protein(Slc25a39)in colonic tissue.Results:Rhizoma Corydalis significantly improved weight loss,DAI,and colon length in a dose-dependent manner in the model animals,and there were reductions in the serum levels of IL-6,CRP,and TNF-α,while it had no significant effect on IL-17A.The metabolomics analysis revealed 21 potential biomarkers associated with amino acid and lipid metabolism,which were significantly regulated by Rhizoma Corydalis.In the verification experiment,both Rhi-zoma Corydalis and GSH exerted a significant protective effect against colonic mucosal damage without affecting colon length.Rhizoma Corydalis upregulated the expression of genes associated with glutathione synthesis,especially γ-GCS,suggesting that Rhizoma Co-rydalis could enhance intestinal antioxidant defenses.Conclusion:Rhizoma Corydalis has a therapeutic potential in a mouse model of DSS-induced UC and can alleviate symptoms,reduce the serum levels of inflammatory markers,and regulate metabolic pathways,and upregulation of the genes associated with glutathione synthesis suggests that the drug can enhance intestinal antioxidant defenses.
8.Relationship of peripheral blood PCⅢ and HPX levels with blood lipid and liver fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis
Liangyu SHI ; Tingting JI ; Lei LEI ; Lingling WANG ; Simin WEN
International Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2025;46(2):175-179
Objective To investigate the relationship between the levels of type Ⅲ procollagen(PCⅢ)and heme-binding protein(HPX)in peripheral blood,blood lipid and liver fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis(NASH).Methods Totally 126 patients with NASH admitted to the hospital from January 2021 to December 2023 were selected as NASH group,and they were divided into 3 subgroups according to the degree of liver fibrosis:no liver fibrosis group(22 cases),mild group(63 cases),moderate and severe group(41 cases).In addition,150 healthy subjects in the same period were selected as the control group.Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA)was used to detect and compare the levels of PC Ⅲ and HPX in periph-eral blood of all groups,and Pearson correlation analysis was used to explore the correlation between peripher-al blood PC Ⅲ and HPX levels and related indexes of blood lipids in NASH patients.The predictive value of peripheral blood PC Ⅲ and HPX for liver fibrosis in NASH patients was evaluated by receiver operating char-acteristic(ROC)curve.Results The levels of PC Ⅲ and HPX,as well as total cholesterol(TC),triglyceride(TG)and low density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C)in NASH group were higher than those in control group,and the levels of high density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C)were lower than those in control group,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).Pearson correlation analysis showed that the lev-els of PCⅢ and HPX in peripheral blood of NASH patients were positively correlated with TC,TG and LDL-C(P<0.05),while negatively correlated with HDL-C(P<0.05).The levels of PC Ⅲ and HPX in peripheral blood of the non-fibrosis group were lower than those of the mild and moderate severe groups,and the mild group was lower than that of the moderate and severe group,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).The area under the curve(AUC)of peripheral blood PC Ⅲ and HPX in predicting liver fibrosis in NASH patients were 0.757 and 0.861,respectively,and the cut-off values were 135.51 ng/mL and 804.86 mg/L,respectively.The AUC of the combined prediction for liver fibrosis was 0.905,which was higher than that predicted by the two alone.Conclusion The level of PC Ⅲ and HPX in peripheral blood is closely related to the level of blood lipids and the degree of liver fibrosis in NASH patients,which can be used as potential bi-omarkers to predict liver fibrosis in NASH patients.
9.Discussion on the biological connotations of the pathogenesis of "earth congestion and wood depletion" in anxiety based on "intestinal flora-bile acid metabolism"
Yanan WANG ; Yuehan SONG ; Simin CHEN ; Jiayi CHEN ; Xinyi LYU ; Jiahui HE ; Kaiyue RU ; Zijie CHEN
International Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;47(10):1347-1352
In recent years, the relationship between intestinal flora dysbiosis and abnormal bile acid metabolism and anxiety has received widespread attention. This article discussed the biological mechanism of the pathogenesis of anxiety from the perspective of intestinal flora and bile acid metabolism, in order to provide new ideas and theoretical basis for the TCM prevention and treatment of anxiety. According to TCM, spleen and stomach belong to earth, liver and gallbladder belong to wood, when spleen qi is healthy, the normal distribution of water and grain essence can be achieved, so that the liver can be nourished, qi and blood is sufficient, and its excretory function is normal, and the bile is sufficient. Once the spleen is not healthy, the distribution of water and grain essence is good, affecting the metabolism of fluids, resulting in phlegm and dampness, the qi is not smooth, can affect the liver's excretory function; liver and wood depression for a long time, transgressing the spleen and earth, qi and blood lack of biochemical sources, the formation of soil congestion and wood depression of the pathological phenomenon will appear. From the viewpoint of modern medicine and molecular biology, changes in the structure of intestinal flora affect the organism through neurological, endocrine, immune and metabolic pathways, which is consistent with the pathogenesis of "congestion of the earth"; disorders in the metabolism of bile acids can lead to changes in neurotransmitters and synaptic structure in the brain, causing anxiety symptoms, which is consistent with the characteristics of "wood depression". The bile acid metabolism disorder can cause neurotransmitter and synaptic structure changes in the brain, causing anxiety symptoms, which is consistent with the characteristics of "wood depression". It is important to regulate the intestinal flora and bile acid metabolism pathway to ease the liver and strengthen the spleen to improve anxiety.
10.Drug target discovery for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis via druggable genome-wide Mendelian randomization
Xueyang LIN ; Simin LANG ; Yufeng YANG ; Chen YANG ; Ziqi CUI ; Yuan LUO ; Yongan WANG
Military Medical Sciences 2025;49(5):356-363
Objective To identify potential drug target genes associated with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis(IPF)and predict therapeutic candidates using a two-sample Mendelian randomization(MR)approach across the druggable genome.Methods Druggable genome data from the DGIdb database and Finan were integrated to identify overlapping genes.A two-sample MR analysis was performed to infer causal relationships between genes and IPF.Functional enrichment analyses,including Gene Ontology(GO)and Kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes(KEGG),were conducted to explore biological pathways.Drug-target interactions were predicted via DSigDB database screening,followed by molecular docking simulations to evaluate binding affinities.Results Among the 2588 overlapping druggable genes,thirty exhibited significant causal associations with IPF(P<0.05).Four hub genes(NOD2,LATS2,LTA,and TCF7L2)were enriched in IPF-related pathways,notably Hippo and TNF signaling.Six potential therapeutics were identified:oxyphenbutazone,moexipril,α-galactosylceramide,GSK429286A,CGP74514A,and JW-7-24-1.Molecular docking confirmed strong binding affinities between these drugs and their targets.Conclusion This study has identified thirty druggable gene targets and six candidate drugs for IPF.The enrichment of hub genes in key pathways and validated drug-target interactions provide insights into IPF therapies.


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