1.Predictive value of a model based on clinical features and plasma biomarkers for AF after pacemaker implantation surgery
Mengchao JIN ; Hui LI ; Siliang PENG ; Xinru GUO
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2025;27(6):742-746
Objective To construct a prediction model for atrial fibrillation(AF)after pacemaker implantation based on clinical features and plasma atrial natriuretic peptide(ANP)and brain na-triuretic peptide(BNP).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 242 patients under-going pacemaker implantation in our department from January 2020 to October 2023.According to the occurrence of postoperative AF or not,they were divided into an AF group(61 cases)and a non-AF group(181 cases).The risk factors of AF after pacemaker implantation were analyzed,and a risk prediction model of AF after pacemaker implantation was constructed based on clinical features and plasma ANP and BNP levels.Results The AF group had significantly advanced age,larger proportions of hypertension and coronary heart disease,larger left ventricular diameter,and higher ANP,BNP,IL-6 and IL-8 levels,but lower proportion of using calcium antagonists when compared with the non-AF group(P<0.01).Binary logistic regression analysis showed that hy-pertension,coronary heart disease,ANP,BNP and IL-6 were risk factors(P<0.05,P<0.01),and taking calcium antagonists was protective factor for AF after pacemaker implantation(P<0.05).Hosmer Lemeshow fitting test indicated the model had a good fitness(x2=7.264,P=0.508).ROC curve analysis showed that the area under curve(AUC)value of the risk model for AF after pacemaker implantation in the training set was 0.826(95%CI:0.768-0.884),with an accuracy of 79.3%(192/242),and the AUC value of the model in the validation set was 0.835(95%CI:0.733-0.938).Conclusion Our AF prediction model based on clinical features and plasma ANP and BNP had good performance,and can provide auxiliary reference in predicting AF in patients undergoing pacemaker implantation.
2.Predictive value of a model based on clinical features and plasma biomarkers for AF after pacemaker implantation surgery
Mengchao JIN ; Hui LI ; Siliang PENG ; Xinru GUO
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2025;27(6):742-746
Objective To construct a prediction model for atrial fibrillation(AF)after pacemaker implantation based on clinical features and plasma atrial natriuretic peptide(ANP)and brain na-triuretic peptide(BNP).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 242 patients under-going pacemaker implantation in our department from January 2020 to October 2023.According to the occurrence of postoperative AF or not,they were divided into an AF group(61 cases)and a non-AF group(181 cases).The risk factors of AF after pacemaker implantation were analyzed,and a risk prediction model of AF after pacemaker implantation was constructed based on clinical features and plasma ANP and BNP levels.Results The AF group had significantly advanced age,larger proportions of hypertension and coronary heart disease,larger left ventricular diameter,and higher ANP,BNP,IL-6 and IL-8 levels,but lower proportion of using calcium antagonists when compared with the non-AF group(P<0.01).Binary logistic regression analysis showed that hy-pertension,coronary heart disease,ANP,BNP and IL-6 were risk factors(P<0.05,P<0.01),and taking calcium antagonists was protective factor for AF after pacemaker implantation(P<0.05).Hosmer Lemeshow fitting test indicated the model had a good fitness(x2=7.264,P=0.508).ROC curve analysis showed that the area under curve(AUC)value of the risk model for AF after pacemaker implantation in the training set was 0.826(95%CI:0.768-0.884),with an accuracy of 79.3%(192/242),and the AUC value of the model in the validation set was 0.835(95%CI:0.733-0.938).Conclusion Our AF prediction model based on clinical features and plasma ANP and BNP had good performance,and can provide auxiliary reference in predicting AF in patients undergoing pacemaker implantation.
3.Analysis of bone strength in ankylosing spondylitis patients with radiographic hip involvement
Wei LIU ; Hui SONG ; Siliang MAN ; Hongchao LI ; Peng DONG
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2021;25(4):241-246
Objective:To analyze bone strength index, osteoporosis and fracture in ankylosing spondylitis (AS) patients with radiologic hip involvement and explore the characteristics of bone strength in these patients.Methods:According to bath ankylosing spondylitis radiology hip index (BASRI-hip) score, 339 AS patients were divided into two groups. The differences of bone strength in each group were analyzed by t-test, Mann-Whitney U test and χ2 test. Logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors of bone strength index. The correlation between quantitative ultrasound and dualenergy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) (total hip, g/cm 2) was analyzed. Pearson correlation analysis was used. Results:①Bone strength index of quantitative ultrasound was positively correlated with bone mineral density of DXA (total hip, g/cm 2), r=0.553, P<0.01. ② The age of 27(23, 37) years old in radiographic hip involvement was lower than 37(28, 48) years old in non-radiographic hip involvement, and the difference was statistically significant ( Z=-5.986, P<0.01). There were no differences in gender and course of disease between the two groups ( P>0.05).③ The radiographic hip involvement in AS patients whose ages were younger than 50, when compared with non-radiographic hip involvement patients, the bone strength index was lower (78±18 vs 84±16), while bone strength was lower than patients at the same age (41.0% vs 18.4%), however, the incidences of osteoporosis (42.7% vs 28.8%) and fragility fracture (3.7% vs 0%) were significantly higher ( t=3.028, P<0.01; χ2=16.758, P<0.01; χ2=5.886, P=0.019; χ2=4.67, P=0.038). For AS patients whose ages were ≥50, there were no significant differences between the two groups ( P>0.05). ④ Multivariate analysis showed that radiographic hip involvement [ OR (95% CI)=1.912(1.05, 3.48)], age [ OR (95% CI)=0.94(0.911, 0.97)] and body mass index (BMI) (kg/m 2) [ OR (95% CI) =0.875(0.807, 0.948)] were associated with lower bone strength. Conclusion:There is positive correlation between the bone strength index of quantitative ultrasound and bone mineral density of DXA. AS patients with radiographic hip involvement are characterized by decreased bone strength and are more likely to develop osteoporosis and fragile fractures. The risk factors of low bone strength are radiographic hip involvement, age and BMI.
4.Clinical characteristics of juvenile-onset ankylosing spondylitis
Wei LIU ; Hui SONG ; Siliang MAN ; Shumin YAN ; Hongchao LI ; Peng DONG ; Siming GAO
Chinese Journal of General Practitioners 2020;19(12):1147-1151
Objective:To explore the clinical characteristics of juvenile-onset ankylosing spondylitis.Methods:Clinical data of 350 cases of ankylosing spondylitis diagnosed in Beijing Jishuitan Hospital from January 2014 to December 2019 were collected. There were 75 cases with the symptom onset in age ≤16 years (juvenile-onset ankylosing spondylitis, JoAS), and 275 cases with the symptom onset in age>16 years (adult-onset ankylosing spondylitis, AoAS). The clinical characteristics of two groups were analyzed.Results:Compared with AoAS, JoAS had a higher proportion of males [98.7% (74/75) vs. 79.6% (219/275); χ 2=15.65, P<0.01] and longer course of disease [11(8,15) vs. 8(4,15) years; Z=-3.09, P<0.01]. Compared with AoAS, JoAS was more prone to have peripheral joint swelling and pain [45.3%(34/75) vs. 18.9%(52/275), χ 2=22.20, P<0.01], hip pain [26.7%(20/75) vs. 15.3%(42/275), χ 2=5.25, P=0.03] or heel pain [9.3%(7/75) vs. 2.9%(8/275), χ 2=5.93, P=0.02] as the first clinical manifestation. Compared with AoAS, JoAS had a higher incidence of radiological hip involvement [77.3%(58/75) vs. 43.3%(119/275), OR=4.71, Wald=25.60, P<0.01], lower bone mineral density than peers [34.7%(26/75) vs. 23.3%(64/275), OR=2.23, Wald=7.20, P<0.01], higher incidence of malnutrition [25.3%(19/75) vs. 13.8%(38/275), OR=2.16, Wald=5.84, P=0.02] and higher incidence of acute uveitis [17.3%(13/75) vs. 6.5%(18/275), OR=2.72, Wald=6.24, P=0.01] after adjusting the course of disease. Conclusion:Compared with adult-onset ankylosing spondylitis, juvenile-onset ankylosing spondylitis is more prone to have peripheral joint swelling or hip pain as the first clinical manifestation; the radiological hip involvement, lower bone mineral density than peers, malnutrition and uveitis are more likely to occur.
5.Comparison of the curative effect of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt with expanded polytetrafluoroethylene-covered stent and drug combined with gastroscopy as the secondary prevention of esophageal -gastric variceal bleeding in portal hypertension
Zhipeng LIN ; Siliang CHEN ; Jiangyun WANG ; Fang LIU ; Qing TAN ; Qifeng PENG ; Jianbo ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2020;28(8):672-678
Objective:To compare the clinical efficacy of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) with expanded polytetrafluoroethylene (ePTFE)-covered stent and drug combined with gastroscopy as the secondary prevention of esophageal-gastric variceal bleeding in portal hypertension.Methods:Patients with esophageal-gastric variceal bleeding who received TIPS treatment (ePTFE covered stent) or gastroscopy for the first time as the secondary prevention for portal hypertension at Nanfang Hospital of Southern Medical University through March to July 2017 were selected. One year after the operation, liver function changes, ascites remission rates, incidence of hepatic encephalopathy, re-bleeding rate, average hospitalization frequency and expenses, survival time, as well as the TIPS patency conditions were analyzed in the two groups of patients. 2 test, Kaplan-Meier method and Mann-Whitney U test were used to analyze the data.Results:There were 74 and 66 cases in the TIPS and the drug combined gastroscopy group and the follow-up duration (14.57 ± 0.79) was 12-16 months. One year after surgery, the remission rate of ascites in the TIPS group was higher 57.1% (32/56) than that of the drug combined gastroscopy group (0), and the difference was statistically significant (χ 2 = 2 = 36.73, P < 0.01). The cumulative incidence of hepatic encephalopathy at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months after surgery in the TIPS group was 32.4% (24/74), 37.8% (28/74), 40.5% (30/74), and 40.5% (30/74), respectively. The cumulative incidence of hepatic encephalopathy in the drug combined gastroscopy group was 3.0% (2/66), 3.0% (2/66), 3.0% (2/66), and 6.1% (4/66), respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the cumulative incidence of hepatic encephalopathy in the TIPS group was higher than that of the drug combined gastroscopy group (χ 2 = 11.29, P < 0.01). The incidence of severe hepatic encephalopathy ( grade III to IV) at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months after surgery in the TIPS group was 2.7% (2/74), 0, 0, and 0, respectively. The incidence of severe hepatic encephalopathy in drug combined gastroscopy group was 0, and there was no statistically significant difference in development of hepatic encephalopathy between the two groups ( P > 0.05). The re-bleeding rates of TIPS group and drug combined gastroscopy group were 0 and 27.3% (18/66), respectively, and the difference was statistically significant (χ 2 = 22.42, P < 0.01). There was no death reported during the follow-up period between both groups. The hospitalization frequency times (1.45 ± 0.80) in TIPS group was lower than that of the drug combined gastroscopy group times (3.24 ± 1.80), and the difference was statistically significant ( U = -4.52, P < 0.01). Conclusion:In the prevention of esophageal-gastric variceal bleeding, TIPS (ePTFE-covered stent) treatment has the advantages of reducing re-bleeding rate, high ascites remission rate and hospitalizations frequency. In addition, patients treated with TIPS have a higher incidence of hepatic encephalopathy than that of drugs combined with gastroscopy. However, TIPS did not exacerbate the incidence of hepatic encephalopathy, and there was no significant difference in the 1-year survival rate after TIPS and drugs combined with gastroscopy treatment.

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