1.Establishment of Risk Prediction Model for Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Connective Tissue Disease
Yilu SHI ; Yaxi WANG ; Dan ZHANG ; Xiaoxiao LIU ; Shurong YUN ; Ting SONG ; Xiaoshan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging 2025;33(10):1104-1112
Purpose To assess the utility of echocardiographic parameters in predicting adverse cardiovascular in patients with connective tissue disease.Materials and Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical and echocardiographic records of patients with connective tissue disease from the Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University(June 1st,2020 to June 1st,2023)who had complete medical data and at least twelve months of follow-up.Variables were screened based on univariate analysis,combined with clinical expertise and XGBoost feature weight analysis;this information was used to construct a Cox proportional hazards regression model designed to predict composite endpoint events of adverse cardiovascular outcomes.Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap resampling method,and the model's performance was evaluated.Results The study included 123 participants.The incidence of positive events reached 39.02%(48/123).Mitral valve early diastolic annular velocity(reflecting left heart function)(HR=0.79,P=0.041)and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion(reflecting right heart function)(HR=0.92,P=0.044)emerged as significant predictors for adverse cardiovascular outcomes.Compared with the clinical model,the model combined with left heart function parameters showed significant improvements in both risk classification and absolute accuracy for short-term and medium-term adverse prognosis(NRI365=0.054,IDI365=0.060,NRI730=0.064,IDI730=0.079,all P<0.05)and optimized risk classification for long-term adverse prognosis(NRI1 095=0.256,P<0.05).In contrast,the model combined with right heart function parameters improved risk classification at all time points(NRI365=0.054,NRI730=0.000,NRI1 095=0.135,all P<0.05).Conclusion Mitral valve early diastolic annular velocity and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion,which reflect cardiac function,are factors for predicting adverse cardiovascular outcomes among individuals diagnosed with connective tissue disease.Multi-parameter combined models incorporating echocardiographic variables can provide incremental predictive value compared with clinical models.
2.Construction of a cardiovascular disease risk prediction model for patients with rheumatic immune diseases based on echocardiography combined with clinical laboratory tests
Ting SONG ; Yilu SHI ; Shasha DUAN ; Dan ZHANG ; Ying JIANG ; Yaxi WANG ; Shurong YUN ; Xiaoshan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2025;34(8):701-707
Objective:To investigate the incidence and high-risk pathogenic factors of cardiovascular disease(CVD)in patients with rheumatic and autoimmune diseases,and to construct and validate a predictive model for the risk of CVD occurrence in these patients.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 239 patients with rheumatic and autoimmune diseases who underwent treatment and echocardiography at the Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University between June 2020 and June 2023. General patient data,laboratory test results,and echocardiographic findings were collected. Follow-up was performed via electronic medical records or telephone surveys until December 2024 to determine the incidence of CVD,starting from the date of the first echocardiographic examination. Predictive factors were screened using univariate analysis and Lasso regression,and a Logistic regression model was constructed. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method. The model's accuracy and clinical utility were assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test,calibration curve,and decision curve analysis.Results:Among the 239 patients,111 developed CVD. Logistic regression analysis identified age,diastolic blood pressure,use of immunosuppressants,lymphocyte count(LYM),α-hydroxybutyrate dehydrogenase(α-HBDH)level,serum cystatin C(CysC),and right ventricular fractional area change(RVFAC)as independent predictive factors for CVD in these patients(all P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve(AUC)for the prediction model was 0.895(95% CI = 0.856 - 0.935),and after Bootstrap validation,it was 0.894(95% CI = 0.861-0.925). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test,calibration curve,and decision curve analysis all indicated that the model had good accuracy and clinical utility. Conclusions:Age,diastolic blood pressure,use of immunosuppressants,LYM,α-HBDH,CysC,and RVFAC may serve as independent risk factors for CVD in patients with rheumatic and autoimmune diseases. The prediction model based on echocardiography combined with laboratory indicators can,to some extent,predict the risk of CVD occurrence in these patients.
3.Establishment of Risk Prediction Model for Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Connective Tissue Disease
Yilu SHI ; Yaxi WANG ; Dan ZHANG ; Xiaoxiao LIU ; Shurong YUN ; Ting SONG ; Xiaoshan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging 2025;33(10):1104-1112
Purpose To assess the utility of echocardiographic parameters in predicting adverse cardiovascular in patients with connective tissue disease.Materials and Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical and echocardiographic records of patients with connective tissue disease from the Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University(June 1st,2020 to June 1st,2023)who had complete medical data and at least twelve months of follow-up.Variables were screened based on univariate analysis,combined with clinical expertise and XGBoost feature weight analysis;this information was used to construct a Cox proportional hazards regression model designed to predict composite endpoint events of adverse cardiovascular outcomes.Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap resampling method,and the model's performance was evaluated.Results The study included 123 participants.The incidence of positive events reached 39.02%(48/123).Mitral valve early diastolic annular velocity(reflecting left heart function)(HR=0.79,P=0.041)and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion(reflecting right heart function)(HR=0.92,P=0.044)emerged as significant predictors for adverse cardiovascular outcomes.Compared with the clinical model,the model combined with left heart function parameters showed significant improvements in both risk classification and absolute accuracy for short-term and medium-term adverse prognosis(NRI365=0.054,IDI365=0.060,NRI730=0.064,IDI730=0.079,all P<0.05)and optimized risk classification for long-term adverse prognosis(NRI1 095=0.256,P<0.05).In contrast,the model combined with right heart function parameters improved risk classification at all time points(NRI365=0.054,NRI730=0.000,NRI1 095=0.135,all P<0.05).Conclusion Mitral valve early diastolic annular velocity and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion,which reflect cardiac function,are factors for predicting adverse cardiovascular outcomes among individuals diagnosed with connective tissue disease.Multi-parameter combined models incorporating echocardiographic variables can provide incremental predictive value compared with clinical models.
4.Construction of a cardiovascular disease risk prediction model for patients with rheumatic immune diseases based on echocardiography combined with clinical laboratory tests
Ting SONG ; Yilu SHI ; Shasha DUAN ; Dan ZHANG ; Ying JIANG ; Yaxi WANG ; Shurong YUN ; Xiaoshan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2025;34(8):701-707
Objective:To investigate the incidence and high-risk pathogenic factors of cardiovascular disease(CVD)in patients with rheumatic and autoimmune diseases,and to construct and validate a predictive model for the risk of CVD occurrence in these patients.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 239 patients with rheumatic and autoimmune diseases who underwent treatment and echocardiography at the Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University between June 2020 and June 2023. General patient data,laboratory test results,and echocardiographic findings were collected. Follow-up was performed via electronic medical records or telephone surveys until December 2024 to determine the incidence of CVD,starting from the date of the first echocardiographic examination. Predictive factors were screened using univariate analysis and Lasso regression,and a Logistic regression model was constructed. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method. The model's accuracy and clinical utility were assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test,calibration curve,and decision curve analysis.Results:Among the 239 patients,111 developed CVD. Logistic regression analysis identified age,diastolic blood pressure,use of immunosuppressants,lymphocyte count(LYM),α-hydroxybutyrate dehydrogenase(α-HBDH)level,serum cystatin C(CysC),and right ventricular fractional area change(RVFAC)as independent predictive factors for CVD in these patients(all P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve(AUC)for the prediction model was 0.895(95% CI = 0.856 - 0.935),and after Bootstrap validation,it was 0.894(95% CI = 0.861-0.925). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test,calibration curve,and decision curve analysis all indicated that the model had good accuracy and clinical utility. Conclusions:Age,diastolic blood pressure,use of immunosuppressants,LYM,α-HBDH,CysC,and RVFAC may serve as independent risk factors for CVD in patients with rheumatic and autoimmune diseases. The prediction model based on echocardiography combined with laboratory indicators can,to some extent,predict the risk of CVD occurrence in these patients.
5.Status quo of screen exposure and its determinants in 3- to 6-year-old children in Minhang district, Shanghai
Min CHEN ; Hongmei ZHANG ; Shurong KANG ; Yun LI
Chinese Journal of Child Health Care 2024;32(1):26-30
【Objective】 To investigate the screen exposure status in 3- to 6-year-old children in Minhang district and to analyze its determinants, so as to provide a basis for scientific intervention of screen exposure in children. 【Methods】 A total of 1 035 children aged 3 to 6 years were selected from 30 classes in 10 kindergartens in Minhang district by multi-stage cluster sampling in October 2022. An online questionnaire survey was conducted by their parents. Screen exposure was difined as spending more than one hour on video products per day. Multivariate Logistic regression model was adopted to analyze the determinants of children screen exposure. 【Results】 Among 1 035 children, 730 experienced screen exposure (70.53%). The average time of daily screen exposure was (1.67±0.98)h. The daily screen exposure time of children aged 3, 4, 5 and 6 years at weekends was (1.77±1.13), (1.76±1.04), (1.98±1.10)h and(2.08±1.22)h, respectively, and the difference was statistically significant (F=3.98, P<0.01). Multivariate Logistic analysis showed that age group of 5 years old (OR=1.79, 95%CI:1.19 - 2.68), the caregivers using video products for 1 - 2hours/day (OR=2.61, 95%CI:1.90 - 3.60) and >2hours/day (OR=2.10, 95%CI:1.35 - 3.27) when accompanying children, parents supporting children using video products(OR=1.59, 95%CI:1.17 - 2.15), children using video products before bedtime(OR=1.94, 95%CI:1.32 - 2.86), and unsupervised use of video products for children(OR=1.94, 95%CI:1.36 - 2.77) were independent risk factors for children′s screen exposure(P<0.05). Father′s education level of bachelor(OR=0.61,95%CI:0.43 - 0.89), master and above(OR=0.49, 95%CI:0.34 - 0.73) was a protective factor for children′s screen exposure(P<0.05). 【Conclusions】 Attention should be paid to the problem of screen exposure of 3 -to 6 - year-old children. Targeted efforts should be made to popularize the knowledge of the harm of early screen exposure to children among caregivers, caregivers are advocated for the rule formulation of screen behavior, scientifically regulate children′s screen exposure behaviors, and increase parent-child communication, so as to reduce the adverse effects of screen exposure on children′s health.
6.Effects of different feeding patterns on physical and nutritional status of infants aged 6‒12 months
Chunhua JIANG ; Jun HUANG ; Yun LI ; Ying ZHANG ; Shurong KANG ; Jing ZHANG ; Wenxian LI ; Hong JIANG ; Xiaoxi XU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(2):164-168
ObjectiveTo analyze the effects of different feeding patterns on the physical and nutritional status of children aged 6‒12 months, so as to provide reference for promoting scientific feeding and health development of infants and young children. MethodsChildren born between December 2019 and February 2020 and who had completed three follow-up visits at 6‒, 9‒ (8‒10 months) and 12‒ (11‒14 months) months old in all of the 13 communities of Minhang, Shanghai were selected. The subjects’ basic information was investigated by questionnaires. The indicators including feeding pattern, physical development (body weight, body length, head circumference) and nutritional status (the detection rate of overweight, obesity, low body weight, growth retardation, emaciation and iron deficiency anemia) were followed up in the outpatient department, with iron deficiency anemia only monitored at the 6‒ and 12‒ months old. According to different feeding patterns, the groups of 6‒ months old were divided into three groups of exclusive breast feeding (EBF), mixed feeding (MF) and artificial feeding (AF), while 9‒ and 12‒ months old were divided into MF and AF groups. The differences of basic information and follow-up results among the groups were analyzed. ResultsA total of 470 children were included, including 130 (27.66%), 288 (61.28%) and 52 (11.06%) respectively in EBF, MF and AF groups at the 6‒ months old,and 319 (67.87%) and 196 (41.70%) in MF group at the 9‒ and 12‒ months old. There was no significant difference in the other follow-up results among the groups. The detection rate of iron deficiency anemia in 6‒ months old EBF (13.08%) was higher than that in MF group (5.90%) and AF group (1.92%) (χ2=8.40, P=0.010), while it was still higher in 12‒ months old MF group (9.69%) than in AF group (2.92%) (χ2=9.68, P=0.002). ConclusionThere is no significant difference in body weight,body length, head circumference, and the detection rates of overweight, obesity, low body weight, growth retardation and emaciation among the groups of different feeding patterns in the children aged 6‒12 months. The detection rate of iron deficiency anemia in the EBF and MF groups is significantly higher than that in the AF groups of children aged 6‒ and 12‒ months old.
7.Effects of video teaching combined with scenario simulation teaching on PICC maintenance skills of nursing interns
Yun XIE ; Shurong YU ; Xiaolan YUAN
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2021;20(7):853-855
Objective:To explore the effects of video teaching combined with scenario simulation teaching on the maintenance skills of peripherally inserted central venous catheter (PICC) in nursing interns.Methods:A total of 70 nursing interns from June 2019 to March 2020 in our hospital were selected and randomly divided into study group and control group, with 35 cases in each group. The control group was given scenario simulation teaching, and the research group was given scenario simulation combined with video teaching. The evaluation of interns in the two groups on the teaching mode (expanding learning ideas, and improving learning initiative, communication ability, learning efficiency and operation ability), PICC catheter maintenance assessment results (theoretical scores, operational scores and comprehensive scores) and teaching satisfaction were compared between the two groups. SPSS 19.0 was used for t test and chi-square test. Results:The evaluation of the teaching mode in the research group was significantly better than that in the control group in terms of expanding learning ideas and improving learning initiative, communication ability, learning efficiency and operation ability ( P<0.05); the theoretical scores, operational scores and comprehensive scores were significantly higher than those in the control group ( P<0.05); teaching satisfaction of the research group (91.43%) was significantly higher than that (68.57%) of the control group ( P<0.05). Conclusion:Video teaching combined with scenario simulation teaching in PICC maintenance skills training of nursing interns can effectively expand learning ideas and improve learning initiative, communication ability, learning efficiency, operation ability, examination results and teaching satisfaction.
8.Efficacy and Safety of Selective Janus Kinace 1 Inhibitor Upadacitinib and Filgotinib in the Treatment of Rheumatoid Arthritis : A Meta-analysis
Shiqin LI ; Yaling LI ; Yilan HUANG ; Yun YE ; Shan GAO ; Zhirong ZHONG ; Shurong WANG
China Pharmacy 2019;30(15):2130-2135
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the therapeutic efficacy and safety of 2 kinds of selective Janus kinase 1 (JAK-1) inhibitor Upadacitinib and Filgotinibfor in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis, and to provide evidence-based reference for clinical treatment. METHODS: Retrieved from PubMed, Medline, Embase, the Cochrane library, CBM, CJFD, Wanfang database and VIP, RCTs about placebo (control group) versus Upadacitinib or Filgotinibfor (trial group) in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis on the basis of methotrexate or other antirheumatic drugs were collected during the establishment of the database to Jan. 2019. Meta-analysis of therapeutic efficacy [the proportion of patients with remission rate of 20% (ACR20), ACR50, ACR70 according to the criteria of American Rheumatism Association, the proportion of patients with 28-joint disease activity score (DAS28)<3.2] and safety [the incidence of adverse event (AE), severe adverse event (SAE), infection, severe infection, herpes zoster, liver injury] were conducted by using Rev Man 5.3 software after data extraction and quality evaluation with Cochrane system evaluator manual 5.1.0. RESULTS: A total of 8 RCTs were included, involving 2 738 patients. Meta-analysis showed that the proportion of patients with ACR20 [OR=3.37,95%CI(2.80,4.05),P<0.001], ACR50 [OR=3.78,95%CI(2.98,4.78),P<0.001] and ACR70 [OR=4.31,95%CI(3.05,6.09),P<0.001], the proportion of patients with DAS28<3.2 [OR=3.86,95%CI(2.98,5.00),P<0.001], the incidence of AE [OR=1.33,95%CI(1.11,1.61), P=0.002], the incidence of infection [OR=1.43,95%CI(1.12,1.81),P=0.004] in trial group were significantly higher than control group; there was no statistical significance in other indexes (P>0.05). CONCLUSIONS: JAK-1 inhibitors Upadacitinib and Filgotinib can improve the effect indexes of ACR20, ACR50 and ACR70 and the proportion of patients with DAS28<3.2 of rheumatoid arthritis patients; it can not increase the incidence of SAE, severe infection, herpes zoster, liver injury, but can increase the risk of AE and infection.
9.Analysis of the influencing factors for the cognitive deficits in schizophrenic patients with diabetes
Baohua ZHANG ; Xiaole HAN ; Zhiren WANG ; Shurong JIANG ; Xiaoyu ZHU ; Limin XIN ; Yun BIAN ; Xingjie YANG ; Qingyan YANG ; Fude YANG ; Yunlong TAN
Chinese Journal of Behavioral Medicine and Brain Science 2018;27(3):246-251
Objective To investigate the influencing factors of the cognitive deficits in schizophrenic patients with diabetes.Methods 578 inpatients with schizophrenia and 400 healthy adults were collected.578 schizophrenic patients were divided into schizophrenia group with type 2 diabetes (combined group,n=277) and schizophrenia without type 2 diabetes (single disease group,n=301).The cognitive function of all subjects were examined by the Repeatable Battery for the Assessment of Neuropsychological Status (RBANS).The clinical symptoms of patients with schizophrenia were measured with the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS).Fasting glucose,lipids,hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and insulin levels were measured.Results The total score and factor scores of RBANS in the combined group were lower than those in the healthy control group (total score (70.51 ± 14.43) vs (80.04 ± 15.14),immediate memory (62.65 ± 16.81) vs (75.66± 17.33),visual span(83.60±20.81) vs (87.61 ± 15.61),verbal function(85.58± 14.64) vs (93.88± 13.10),attention function (73.66± 17.52) vs (87.42±20.37),delayed memory(75.27± 17.80) vs (86.27± 15.27),all P<0.05).The total score of RBANS,immediate memory and attention function factor were lower in the combined group than that in the single disease group ((70.51±14.43) vs (75.02±15.25),(62.65±16.81) vs (67.37±19.12),(73.66±17.52) vs (84.17±15.22),all P<0.05).Multiple linear stepwise regression analysis showed that education,negative symptoms,positive symptoms,BMI,HbAc 1,course of disease and antipsychotic type were the influencing factors of cognitive impairment in schizophrenic patients with diabetes.Conclusion The cognitive impairment of schizophrenic patients with diabetes is more serious and affected by many factors.Targeted early intervention can help reduce cognitive impairment.
10.Efficacy and tolerance of methotrexate in maintenance of remission in 49 patients with Crohn′s disease
Tianyu ZHANG ; Jie ZHONG ; Zhengting WANG ; Shurong HU ; Mengmeng CHENG ; Maochen ZHANG ; Yun LIN ; Jie ZHOU ; Lei WANG ; Rong FAN
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2016;36(7):466-470
Objective To analyze the efficacy and tolerance of methotrexate(MTX)in remission maintenance of Crohn′s disease (CD).Methods From June 2012 to August 2015 ,49 CD patients who received MTX as mainly treatment medication to maintain remission were enrolled.The pre-medication history,efficacy,dosage and side effects of MTX were analyzed.The effects of inducing strategy on disease recurrence were analyzed.Chi-square test and t test were used for statistical analysis.Results Among the 49 patients,34 (69.4%)received steroids for remission inducing,nine (18.4%)received infliximab for remission inducing and six (12.2%)achieved remission after operation.In the 44 patients treated with azathioprine (AZA)before,the median treatment time was one month and the dosage for withdrawal of AZA was (42.0 ± 14.8)mg/d.The most common reason was leucopenia (81 .8%, 36/44).Till the time point of follow-up,46 of the 49 CD patients still took MTX orally with a median treatment time of 16 months,and the weekly dosage was (12.7 ±2.0)mg.Thirty-one cases (67.4%) achieved clinical stability,while 15 cases (32.6%)underwent clinical recurrence.The median Crohn′s disease activity index (CDAI)was 123.5 ± 66.6.The weekly dosage of clinical stability group was (12.5 ±2.1)mg,and that of clinical recurrence group was (13.0 ±1 .7 )mg,there was no statistically significant difference between the two groups (t =0.802,P =0.426 ).The recurrence rate of steroids-induced remission group was 41 .2% (14/34 ),which was higher than that of infliximab and surgery-induced remission group (1/15),and the differnce was statistically significant (χ2 =5 .177,P =0.023 ). The common side effects were gastrointestinal reaction (26.5 %, 13/49 ), impaired liver function (20.4%,10/49)and leukopenia (12.2%,6/49).Only three cases could not tolerate the side effects and underwent medication withdrawal.Conclusions As a second-line immunosuppressant for maintanence remission in CD,MTX is effective and well-tolerated in patients.So it can be an important option during the long course of CD.

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