1.Construction and Validation of A Combination of Disease and Syndrome Prediction Model for Radiation Pneumonitis in Intensity-modulated Radiation Therapy
Xinying ZHENG ; Huiyong ZHANG ; Lei WANG ; Xing HUANG ; Lei QIU ; Shunxian ZHANG ; Qingliang FANG ; Zhenhui LU
World Science and Technology-Modernization of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;27(4):1064-1071
Objective To establish,evaluate and validate the Nomogram prediction model of radiation pneumonitis(RP)in intensity modulated radiotherapy(IMRT)with TCM syndrome elements.Methods 257 patients with locally advanved non-small cell lung cancer receiving IMRT were analyzed retrospectively.The total population was randomly divided into a training set and a validation set by 7:3.A prediction model was established by Lasso-Logistic regression analysis,and then visualized by Nomogram to evaluate and validate the model.Results Independent risk factors included in the prediction model included tumor stage(OR=6.576;P=0.003),position(OR=2.935;P=0.016),MLD of the affected lung(OR=1.001;P<0.001)and Yin deficiency(OR=3.861;P=0.003).Based on the above factors,the prediction model was constructed and visualized.The C-index of the training set and the validation set were 0.865 and 0.867,respectively.The calibration curves of the two sets had a good fit and had certain clinical usefulness.Conclusion Based on the clinical elements of Chinese and Western medicine,tumor stage,position,lung MLD and Yin deficiency,the model can accurately predict the occurrence of≥grade 2 RP,and provide a reference for clinical screening of high-risk patients and further improvement of treatment plan.
2.Trends in global burden due to visceral leishmaniasis from 1990 to 2021 and projections up to 2035
Guobing YANG ; Aiwei HE ; Yongjun LI ; Shan LÜ ; Muxin CHEN ; Liguang TIAN ; Qin LIU ; Lei DUAN ; Yan LU ; Jian YANG ; Shizhu LI ; Xiaonong ZHOU ; Jichun WANG ; Shunxian ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2025;37(1):35-43
Objective To investigate the global burden of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) from 1990 to 2021 and predict the trends in the burden of VL from 2022 to 2035, so as to provide insights into global VL prevention and control. Methods The global age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates of VL and their 95% uncertainty intervals (UI) were captured from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) data resources. The trends in the global burden of VL were evaluated with average annual percent change (AAPC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) from 1990 to 2021, and gender-, age-, country-, geographical area- and socio-demographic index (SDI)-stratified burdens of VL were analyzed. The trends in the global burden of VL were projected with a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model from 2022 to 2035, and the associations of age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs rates of VL with SDI levels were examined with a smoothing spline model. Results The global age-standardized incidence [AAPC = -0.25%, 95% CI: (-0.25%, -0.24%)], prevalence [AAPC = -0.06%, 95% CI: (-0.06%, -0.06%)], mortality [AAPC = -0.25%, 95% CI: (-0.25%, -0.24%)] and DALYs rates of VL [AAPC = -2.38%, 95% CI: (-2.44%, -2.33%)] all appeared a tendency towards a decline from 1990 to 2021, and the highest age-standardized incidence [2.55/105, 95% UI: (1.49/105, 4.07/105)], prevalence [0.64/105, 95% UI: (0.37/105, 1.02/105)], mortality [0.51/105, 95% UI: (0, 1.80/105)] and DALYs rates of VL [33.81/105, 95% UI: (0.06/105, 124.09/105)] were seen in tropical Latin America in 2021. The global age-standardized incidence and prevalence of VL were both higher among men [0.57/105, 95% UI: (0.45/105, 0.72/105); 0.14/105, 95% UI: (0.11/105, 0.18/105)] than among women [0.27/105, 95% UI: (0.21/105, 0.33/105); 0.06/105, 95% UI: (0.05/105, 0.08/105)], and the highest mortality of VL was found among children under 5 years of age [0.24/105, 95% UI: (0.08/105, 0.66/105)]. The age-standardized incidence (r = -0.483, P < 0.001), prevalence (r = -0.483, P < 0.001), mortality (r = -0.511, P < 0.001) and DALYs rates of VL (r = -0.514, P < 0.001) correlated negatively with SDI levels from 1990 to 2021. In addition, the global burden of VL was projected with the BAPC model to appear a tendency towards a decline from 2022 to 2035, and the age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality and DALYs rates were projected to be reduced to 0.11/105, 0.03/105, 0.02/105 and 1.44/105 in 2035, respectively. Conclusions Although the global burden of VL appeared an overall tendency towards a decline from 1990 to 2021, the burden of VL showed a tendency towards a rise in Central Asia and western sub-Saharan African areas. The age-standardized incidence and prevalence rates of VL were relatively higher among men, and the age-standardized mortality of VL was relatively higher among children under 5 years of age. The global burden of VL was projected to continue to decline from 2022 to 2035.
3.Study on the quality evaluation index system for specialized disease cohort database
Wenwen LV ; Xuxu YANG ; Ying QIAN ; Weitu ZHANG ; Shunxian ZHANG ; Yuming YANG ; Rong ZHAO ; Xingpeng WANG ; Biyun QIAN
Chinese Journal of Medical Science Research Management 2025;38(4):306-313
Objective:This study aims to construct a quality evaluation index system for specialized disease databases. Through systematic assessment and optimization, it seeks to comprehensively enhance the quality and standardization of specialized disease cohort data. This initiative will provide more precise and reliable data support for disease research, the development of innovative drugs and medical devices, as well as policy formulation.Methods:By conducting a thorough analysis of domestic and international literature and policies related to clinical research data quality evaluation systems, preliminary quality evaluation indicators for specialized disease databases were established. Utilizing the Delphi method in two rounds, a quality evaluation system for specialized disease databases was constructed. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and YAAHP 7.5 software were then employed to calculate the relative weights of indicators at various levels and their composite weights.Results:The two rounds of expert consultation achieved a 100.00% valid response rate, with an expert authority coefficient of 0.81 in both rounds. In the second round, the Kendall′s coordination coefficients for the first-level and second-level indicators reached 0.311 and 0.218, respectively ( P<0.05), indicating a good level of consensus among experts. The final specialized disease database quality evaluation system consists of 3 first-level indicators, 10 second-level indicators, and 32 third-level indicators. The first-level indicators include database construction, data quality, and cohort development, with weight coefficients of 31.82%, 41.49%, and 26.69%, respectively. The scientific validity of the indicator system was confirmed through reliability and validity analyses. When applied to assessing 58 specialized disease database projects from 36 medical institutions in a certain city, the results showed significant improvements in scores for database construction, data quality, and cohort development, with the most notable improvement observed in database construction. Conclusions:This study successfully developed a scientific, practical, and rationally weighted quality evaluation system for specialized disease databases, demonstrating high expert consensus and broad applicability.Validation studies have shown that this system effectively enhances the standardization and data quality of databases, providing robust technical support and assurance for specialized disease research and data resource sharing.
4.Construction and Validation of A Combination of Disease and Syndrome Prediction Model for Radiation Pneumonitis in Intensity-modulated Radiation Therapy
Xinying ZHENG ; Huiyong ZHANG ; Lei WANG ; Xing HUANG ; Lei QIU ; Shunxian ZHANG ; Qingliang FANG ; Zhenhui LU
World Science and Technology-Modernization of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;27(4):1064-1071
Objective To establish,evaluate and validate the Nomogram prediction model of radiation pneumonitis(RP)in intensity modulated radiotherapy(IMRT)with TCM syndrome elements.Methods 257 patients with locally advanved non-small cell lung cancer receiving IMRT were analyzed retrospectively.The total population was randomly divided into a training set and a validation set by 7:3.A prediction model was established by Lasso-Logistic regression analysis,and then visualized by Nomogram to evaluate and validate the model.Results Independent risk factors included in the prediction model included tumor stage(OR=6.576;P=0.003),position(OR=2.935;P=0.016),MLD of the affected lung(OR=1.001;P<0.001)and Yin deficiency(OR=3.861;P=0.003).Based on the above factors,the prediction model was constructed and visualized.The C-index of the training set and the validation set were 0.865 and 0.867,respectively.The calibration curves of the two sets had a good fit and had certain clinical usefulness.Conclusion Based on the clinical elements of Chinese and Western medicine,tumor stage,position,lung MLD and Yin deficiency,the model can accurately predict the occurrence of≥grade 2 RP,and provide a reference for clinical screening of high-risk patients and further improvement of treatment plan.
5.Study on the quality evaluation index system for specialized disease cohort database
Wenwen LV ; Xuxu YANG ; Ying QIAN ; Weitu ZHANG ; Shunxian ZHANG ; Yuming YANG ; Rong ZHAO ; Xingpeng WANG ; Biyun QIAN
Chinese Journal of Medical Science Research Management 2025;38(4):306-313
Objective:This study aims to construct a quality evaluation index system for specialized disease databases. Through systematic assessment and optimization, it seeks to comprehensively enhance the quality and standardization of specialized disease cohort data. This initiative will provide more precise and reliable data support for disease research, the development of innovative drugs and medical devices, as well as policy formulation.Methods:By conducting a thorough analysis of domestic and international literature and policies related to clinical research data quality evaluation systems, preliminary quality evaluation indicators for specialized disease databases were established. Utilizing the Delphi method in two rounds, a quality evaluation system for specialized disease databases was constructed. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and YAAHP 7.5 software were then employed to calculate the relative weights of indicators at various levels and their composite weights.Results:The two rounds of expert consultation achieved a 100.00% valid response rate, with an expert authority coefficient of 0.81 in both rounds. In the second round, the Kendall′s coordination coefficients for the first-level and second-level indicators reached 0.311 and 0.218, respectively ( P<0.05), indicating a good level of consensus among experts. The final specialized disease database quality evaluation system consists of 3 first-level indicators, 10 second-level indicators, and 32 third-level indicators. The first-level indicators include database construction, data quality, and cohort development, with weight coefficients of 31.82%, 41.49%, and 26.69%, respectively. The scientific validity of the indicator system was confirmed through reliability and validity analyses. When applied to assessing 58 specialized disease database projects from 36 medical institutions in a certain city, the results showed significant improvements in scores for database construction, data quality, and cohort development, with the most notable improvement observed in database construction. Conclusions:This study successfully developed a scientific, practical, and rationally weighted quality evaluation system for specialized disease databases, demonstrating high expert consensus and broad applicability.Validation studies have shown that this system effectively enhances the standardization and data quality of databases, providing robust technical support and assurance for specialized disease research and data resource sharing.
6.CT radiomics for diagnosis and treatment of pulmonary tuberculosis:Status and prospects of clinical application
Yaxin FAN ; Huiyong ZHANG ; Ben SU ; Shaoyan ZHANG ; Shijie ZHANG ; Lei ZHOU ; Shunxian ZHANG ; Zhenhui LU ; Lei QIU
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2024;40(12):1957-1960
Chest CT manifestations of pulmonary tuberculosis(PTB)are characterized by multi-temporal and multi-morphological,which could guide clinical diagnosis of PTB and evaluating therapeutic efficiency.Radiomics has important clinical value for diagnosing and differentiating PTB,evaluating disease status,predicting drug resistance and assessing treatment efficacy.The status and prospects of clinical application of CT radiomics for diagnosis and treatment of PTB were reviewed in this article.
7.CT radiomics for diagnosis and treatment of pulmonary tuberculosis:Status and prospects of clinical application
Yaxin FAN ; Huiyong ZHANG ; Ben SU ; Shaoyan ZHANG ; Shijie ZHANG ; Lei ZHOU ; Shunxian ZHANG ; Zhenhui LU ; Lei QIU
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2024;40(12):1957-1960
Chest CT manifestations of pulmonary tuberculosis(PTB)are characterized by multi-temporal and multi-morphological,which could guide clinical diagnosis of PTB and evaluating therapeutic efficiency.Radiomics has important clinical value for diagnosing and differentiating PTB,evaluating disease status,predicting drug resistance and assessing treatment efficacy.The status and prospects of clinical application of CT radiomics for diagnosis and treatment of PTB were reviewed in this article.
8.Epidemiological characteristics of Nontyphoidal Salmonella infection in children with diarrhea in Guangzhou
Hongli WANG ; Ruitao LIU ; Guanhua CHEN ; Huiwen LI ; Peiyu CHEN ; Lanlan GENG ; Sitang GONG ; Shunxian ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Applied Clinical Pediatrics 2021;36(10):744-747
Objective:To discover the epidemiological characteristics and clinical manifestations of Nontyphoidal Salmonella(NTS) infection in children suffering from diarrhea in Guangzhou, and to provide references for the prevention and treatment of salmonella infection. Methods:A total of 570 diarrhea children and 296 non-diarrhea controls were collected with stratified sampling from three districts of Guangzhou Women and Children′s Medical Center from January 2019 to December 2019. Through bacterial culture, corresponding colonies were selected and Salmonella diagnostic serum was applied for preliminary serum diagnosis, and then systemic biochemical method was adopted for diagnosis. A structured questionnaire was conducted to record the demographic information and clinical symptoms from each subject. Results:The detection rate of NTS was 6.67% (38/570 cases, 95% CI: 4.90%-9.02%) in children with diarrhea, and 1.01% (3/296 cases, 95% CI: 0.34%-2.93%) in children without diarrhea. There were statistically differences in NTS detection rate between children with diarrhea and the control ( χ2=13.805, P<0.05, OR=6.976, 95% CI: 2.135-22.796). There were no significant differences in NTS detection rate between male and female children with diarrhea ( χ2=0.395, P>0.05, OR=1.254, 95% CI: 0.619-2.541). The detection rate of NTS was 5.30% (22/416 cases, 95% CI: 3.52%-7.88%) in children younger than 2 years old, and was 10.40% (16/154 cases, 95% CI: 6.50%-15.21%) in children over 2 years old. There were statistically differences ( χ2=4.700, P<0.05, OR=2.076, 95% CI: 1.060-4.068) between the younger and the older groups.The detection rate of NTS was 5.40% (25/460 cases, 95% CI: 3.70%-7.89%) for children with diarrhea in outpatient department and 11.80% (13/110 cases, 95% CI: 7.04 %-19.18%) for children with diarrhea in inpatient department, with statistically significant differences ( χ2=5.813, P<0.05, OR=2.332, 95% CI: 1.152-4.721). The detection rate of NTS diarrhea in children was 4.60% (10/217 cases, 95% CI: 2.52%-8.28%) in spring, 8.50% (12/141 cases, 95% CI: 4.93%-14.29%) in summer, 9.60% (15/144 cases, 95% CI: 6.41%-16.48%) in autumn and 1.50% (1/168 cases, 95% CI: 0.11%-3.30%) in winter, respectively, with statistically differences among the four seasons( χ2=9.404, P<0.05). There were significant differences in most common clinical symptoms of fever, vomiting, abdominal pain, bloody stool and pasty stool between NTS positive and negative children(all P<0.05). Salmonella enteritis is the main type, and Salmonella typhimurium is the second type. Conclusions:NTS is one of the most important bacterial pathogens and leads to diarrhea in children in Guangzhou city, without differences in gender.Children over 2 years old are more likely to suffer from NTS infection.High incidence is in autumn.The most common clinical symptoms include fever, vomiting, abdominal pain, bloody stool and pasty stool. Salmonella enteritis is the main type, and Salmonella typhimurium is the second type.Laboratory tests can provide references for the diagnosis and treatment of NTS-related diarrhea.
9.Effect of inhaled budesonide on the prevention of bronchopulmonary dysplasia in premature infants and its impact on the development of intelligence at 1 year old
Qian XYU ; Shunxian ZHANG ; Lirong LUO ; Hongli WANG ; Minhong XU ; Shaowei YU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2021;32(2):77-80
Objective To evaluate potential protective effects of inhaled budesonide on bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) in premature infants and its impact on the intelligence development at 1 year of age. Methods A total of 82 preterm infants admitted to the neonatal intensive care center from January 2017 to January 2018 were selected as research subjects. The enrolled subjects were divided into a study group (Budesonide) and a control group (saline) by random number table method, with 41 cases in each group. The incidence of BPD, mortality, hospitalization time, time of withdrawal and oxygenation, and complications were compared between the two groups. The patients were regularly followed up to 1 year old after discharge. The physical growth and Gesell intelligence development of the two groups were compared. Results The incidence of BPD in the study group was significantly lower than that in the control group, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). There was no significant difference in mortality between the two groups. The hospitalization time, weaning and oxygenation time, and 1-week re-intubation rate in the study group were significantly lower than those in the control group (P<0.05). There was no significant difference between the two groups in the incidence of adverse reactions and physical growth at 1 year old and Gesell intelligence evaluation. Conclusion Budesonide aerosol inhalation reduced the incidence of BPD in premature infants, shortened hospitalization and weaning time, and there were no near-term and long-term adverse reactions.
10.System analysis of clinical features of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome
Gaixia MA ; Xiaoyan GUO ; Shaoyan ZHANG ; Shunxian ZHANG ; Lei QIU ; Jing WU ; Shibo LI ; Zhenhui LU ; Peiyong ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Infectious Diseases 2020;38(7):432-436
Objective:To systematically analyze the clinical features of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) and to provide evidence for the prevention and treatment of SFTS.Methods:Relevant studies of SFTS from six databases, including China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Database, Chongqing VIP, PubMed, Cochrane Library and Embase from January 2009 to May 2019 were systematically searched and identified. The literatures were screened and the data of patients′ epidemiology, clinical manifestations, laboratory examinations and prognosis were obtained. Revman 5.2 software was used for meta analysis.Results:Sixty-eight Chinese literatures and fourteen English literatures encompassing 6 780 patients with SFTS were included in the final analysis. Of these patients, 845 cases (12.46%) died. SFTS mostly occurred in mountainous and hilly areas, and farmers (3 637 cases) were the usual victims. The onset season was mostly in summer and the peak was from May to August each year. There were 1 434 patients had a clear history of tick bites, and 21 cases were human-to-human transmitted.There were 6 071 cases (89.54%) presented with fever, 5 407 cases (79.75%) presented with fatigue, 3 140 cases (46.31%) presented with muscle soreness, and 2 300 cases (33.92%) presented with chills.Using random effects model for meta analysis, the levels of creatine kinase (CK) (mean difference ( MD)=500.40, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 380.51-620.28, P<0.01) and lactic acid dehydrogenase (LDH)( MD=442.81, 95% CI 152.85-732.78, P=0.003) in severe patients were both higher than those in mild patients, and the difference were both statistically significant. The risk of death increased in patients aged>60 years( MD=8.19, 95% CI 4.03-12.36, P<0.01). The levels of CK( MD=530.92, 95% CI 29.27-1 032.56, P=0.040), LDH( MD=609.28, 95% CI 80.25-1 138.31, P=0.020), urea nitrogen ( MD=4.67, 95% CI 3.05-6.30, P<0.01) and creatinine ( MD=43.05, 95% CI 23.49-62.62, P<0.01) of patients in the death group were all higher than those in the survival group. The differences were all statistically significant. Conclusions:During the course of SFTS, the patients may show impaired blood system, heart, liver and kidney functions with high mortality. Clinicians should timely monitor the changes of blood routine, myocardial enzyme spectrum, liver and kidney functions and other indicators, so as to find cardiovascular and other system complications as early as possible. Timely treatment could not only reduce liver, heart and other organ injuries, but also reduce mortality.


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