1.Analysis on incidence trend of brucellosis based on age-period-cohort model in Shandong Province, 2004-2023
Xiaolin YU ; Ming FANG ; Maowen LIN ; Lixiao CHENG ; Yan LI ; Shujun DING
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(7):1175-1179
Objective:To understand the incidence trend of brucellosis over time in Shandong Province from 2004 to 2023, and provide evidence for the prevention and control of brucellosis.Methods:The incidence data of brucellosis in Shandong from 2004 to 2023 were collected from China Disease Prevention and Control Information System. The annual change percentage (APC) and annual average change percentage (AAPC) of the incidence rate were calculated by using Joinpoint regression model. A age-period-cohort model was used to analyze changes in brucellosis incidence with age, period, and birth cohort.Results:The average annual incidence of brucellosis was 1.76/100 000 in Shandong from 2004 to 2023. The Joinpoint regression analysis results showed that the reported incidence of brucellosis increased by an average of 92.0% and 18.9% each year from 2004 to 2010 and from 2010 to 2014, respectively, and decreased by an average of 0.2% each year from 2014 to 2023. The results of APC model showed that the incidence of brucellosis increased first and then decreased with age ( χ2=176.92, P<0.001), and incidence of brucellosis showed slow increase and rapid increase first, then decrease ( χ2=2 921.03, P<0.001) over time. The risk for brucellosis reached peak in 2016 ( RR=5.29, 95% CI: 4.96-5.65) and became the lowest in 2006 ( RR=0.24, 95% CI: 0.21-0.28). The incidence increased in later birth cohort ( χ2=348.88, P<0.001), the AAPCs of all the age groups were between 15.0% and 40.0%, and the older the age, the greater the risk ( χ2=348.77, P<0.001). Conclusions:From 2004 to 2023, the reported incidence of brucellosis in Shandong showed a significant age-period-cohort effect, which increased first and then decreased, first increased and then decreased with age, increased slowly and rapidly first, then decreased over time, and increased in later birth cohort. It is necessary to conduct targeted prevention and control, health education to reduce the risk for brucellosis.
2.Analysis on incidence trend of brucellosis based on age-period-cohort model in Shandong Province, 2004-2023
Xiaolin YU ; Ming FANG ; Maowen LIN ; Lixiao CHENG ; Yan LI ; Shujun DING
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(7):1175-1179
Objective:To understand the incidence trend of brucellosis over time in Shandong Province from 2004 to 2023, and provide evidence for the prevention and control of brucellosis.Methods:The incidence data of brucellosis in Shandong from 2004 to 2023 were collected from China Disease Prevention and Control Information System. The annual change percentage (APC) and annual average change percentage (AAPC) of the incidence rate were calculated by using Joinpoint regression model. A age-period-cohort model was used to analyze changes in brucellosis incidence with age, period, and birth cohort.Results:The average annual incidence of brucellosis was 1.76/100 000 in Shandong from 2004 to 2023. The Joinpoint regression analysis results showed that the reported incidence of brucellosis increased by an average of 92.0% and 18.9% each year from 2004 to 2010 and from 2010 to 2014, respectively, and decreased by an average of 0.2% each year from 2014 to 2023. The results of APC model showed that the incidence of brucellosis increased first and then decreased with age ( χ2=176.92, P<0.001), and incidence of brucellosis showed slow increase and rapid increase first, then decrease ( χ2=2 921.03, P<0.001) over time. The risk for brucellosis reached peak in 2016 ( RR=5.29, 95% CI: 4.96-5.65) and became the lowest in 2006 ( RR=0.24, 95% CI: 0.21-0.28). The incidence increased in later birth cohort ( χ2=348.88, P<0.001), the AAPCs of all the age groups were between 15.0% and 40.0%, and the older the age, the greater the risk ( χ2=348.77, P<0.001). Conclusions:From 2004 to 2023, the reported incidence of brucellosis in Shandong showed a significant age-period-cohort effect, which increased first and then decreased, first increased and then decreased with age, increased slowly and rapidly first, then decreased over time, and increased in later birth cohort. It is necessary to conduct targeted prevention and control, health education to reduce the risk for brucellosis.
3.Prevention and treatment of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: Progress and challenges
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2025;39(2):133-135
Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS), caused by caused by Bandavirus dabieense(formerly known as severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome Bunyavirus, SFTSV), is a tick-borne emerging infectious disease first identified in China in 2009. Since its discovery, the epidemic has expanded to 27 provinces nationwide. This article systematically reviews the epidemiological evolution, clinical treatment and prevention challenges of SFTS in China over the past 15 years. By integrating international case studies such as Nipah virus and monkeypox, we propose strategies including adopting orphan drug development incentive policies, standardizing clinical protocols, and implementing the " One Health" concept. These recommendations aim to provide actionable pathways for SFTS prevention, treatment, and reduction of disease burden.
4.Association between greenspace morphology and the risk of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Shandong province
Xirui WANG ; Xueying TIAN ; Guoao LI ; Yingying CAO ; Shujun DING ; Wei MA
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2025;39(2):142-148
Objective:To explore the association between greenspace morphology and the risk of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) in Shandong Province.Methods:The SFTS cases data and land use data in Shandong province from 2018 to 2022 were collected, 6 landscape indices were calculated through Fragstats 4.2 software, and a negative binomial regression model was used to quantitatively evaluate the effect. Meteorological and socioeconomic factors during the same period were controlled as covariates. Subgroup analysis were conducted by age, gender and occupation. The percentage of relative risk[(RR-1)×100%] with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was used as effect estimates. Results:There was a significant association between greenspace morphology and the risk of SFTS. Every 1% increase in the percentage, the mean area, fragmentation, aggregation, connectedness, and complexity of the shape of greenspace will lead to an increase in the risk of SFTS by 4.28% (95% CI: 2.88%-5.68%), 3.56% (95% CI: 1.06%-6.12%), 2.43% (95% CI: 1.38%-3.61%), 2.22% (95% CI: 1.39%-3.11%), 0.41% (95% CI: 0.26%-0.56%), 0.26% (95% CI: 0.10%-0.41%), respectively. There were statistically significant differences in the association between greenspace morphology and the risk of SFTS among different age and occupational subgroups. The elderly and farmers were the more susceptible to the changes in the percentage of greenspace and the complexity of the shape of greenspace. Conclusions:Greenspace morphology is related to the risk of SFTS. The elderly and farmers are vulnerable populations.
5.Disease burden analysis of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Shandong province, 2010- 2022
Xueying TIAN ; Qing DUAN ; Xiaomei ZHANG ; Bo PANG ; Yuwei ZHANG ; Zilong LU ; Chunhong YIN ; ZengQiang KOU ; Shujun DING
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2025;39(3):294-302
Objective:To understand the epidemiological characteristics of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) in Shandong province from 2010 to 2022, analyze the trends in morbidity and mortality, and provide a scientific basis for the prevention, control, diagnosis, and treatment of SFTS.Methods:The data on SFTS cases and deaths were retrospectively collected through the China Disease Control and Prevention Information System′s infectious disease surveillance system and the Shandong province all-cause mortality surveillance system. Descriptive epidemiological method was used for epidemiological analysis, and the Joinpoint regression model was applied to analyze trends in morbidity and mortality.Results:From 2010 to 2022, 6 714 SFTS cases were reported in Shandong, with an average crude incidence rate (CIR) and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of 0.52/100 000 and 0.43/100 000, respectively. Among these, 1, 064 cases died within 30 days of onset, with an average crude mortality rate (CMR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of 0.08/100, 000 and 0.06/100 000, respectively, and an average case fatality rate of 15.85%. The average incidence rates for males and females were 0.52/100 000 and 0.53/100 000, respectively, with no statistically significant difference ( P>0.05). The average annual mortality rate for males (0.09/100 000) was higher than that for females (0.08/100 000), and the average annual case fatality rate for males (17.21%) was higher than that for females (14.48%), with statistically significant differences ( P<0.05); 93.95% of the cases were over 45 years old, and 86.56% of the deaths were over 60 years old. Both cases and deaths were primarily among farmers, accounting for over 85% of the total. From 2010 to 2022, the incidence rate of SFTS in Shandong showed an overall upward trend, with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) in CIR of 23.58% and an AAPC in ASIR of 19.97%, P<0.05. The mortality rate of SFTS cases in Shandong from 2010 to 2022 showed a continuous and significant upward trend, with a CMR AAPC of 27.64% and an ASMR AAPC of 22.70%, P<0.05. SFTS incidence and mortality in Shandong exhibited clear seasonality, with high occurrence from May to October, primarily concentrated in the Jiaodong Peninsula and the hilly areas of central Shandong. The number of affected counties increased in a wave-like pattern, expanding from 6 in 2010 to 79 in 2021 for cases and from 2 in 2010 to 53 in 2022 for deaths. Conclusions:From 2010 to 2022, the incidence and mortality of SFTS in Shandong showed an upward and expanding trend, with a particularly heavy disease burden among middle-aged and elderly farmers.
6.Prevention and treatment of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: Progress and challenges
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2025;39(2):133-135
Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS), caused by caused by Bandavirus dabieense(formerly known as severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome Bunyavirus, SFTSV), is a tick-borne emerging infectious disease first identified in China in 2009. Since its discovery, the epidemic has expanded to 27 provinces nationwide. This article systematically reviews the epidemiological evolution, clinical treatment and prevention challenges of SFTS in China over the past 15 years. By integrating international case studies such as Nipah virus and monkeypox, we propose strategies including adopting orphan drug development incentive policies, standardizing clinical protocols, and implementing the " One Health" concept. These recommendations aim to provide actionable pathways for SFTS prevention, treatment, and reduction of disease burden.
7.Association between greenspace morphology and the risk of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Shandong province
Xirui WANG ; Xueying TIAN ; Guoao LI ; Yingying CAO ; Shujun DING ; Wei MA
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2025;39(2):142-148
Objective:To explore the association between greenspace morphology and the risk of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) in Shandong Province.Methods:The SFTS cases data and land use data in Shandong province from 2018 to 2022 were collected, 6 landscape indices were calculated through Fragstats 4.2 software, and a negative binomial regression model was used to quantitatively evaluate the effect. Meteorological and socioeconomic factors during the same period were controlled as covariates. Subgroup analysis were conducted by age, gender and occupation. The percentage of relative risk[(RR-1)×100%] with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was used as effect estimates. Results:There was a significant association between greenspace morphology and the risk of SFTS. Every 1% increase in the percentage, the mean area, fragmentation, aggregation, connectedness, and complexity of the shape of greenspace will lead to an increase in the risk of SFTS by 4.28% (95% CI: 2.88%-5.68%), 3.56% (95% CI: 1.06%-6.12%), 2.43% (95% CI: 1.38%-3.61%), 2.22% (95% CI: 1.39%-3.11%), 0.41% (95% CI: 0.26%-0.56%), 0.26% (95% CI: 0.10%-0.41%), respectively. There were statistically significant differences in the association between greenspace morphology and the risk of SFTS among different age and occupational subgroups. The elderly and farmers were the more susceptible to the changes in the percentage of greenspace and the complexity of the shape of greenspace. Conclusions:Greenspace morphology is related to the risk of SFTS. The elderly and farmers are vulnerable populations.
8.Disease burden analysis of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Shandong province, 2010- 2022
Xueying TIAN ; Qing DUAN ; Xiaomei ZHANG ; Bo PANG ; Yuwei ZHANG ; Zilong LU ; Chunhong YIN ; ZengQiang KOU ; Shujun DING
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2025;39(3):294-302
Objective:To understand the epidemiological characteristics of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) in Shandong province from 2010 to 2022, analyze the trends in morbidity and mortality, and provide a scientific basis for the prevention, control, diagnosis, and treatment of SFTS.Methods:The data on SFTS cases and deaths were retrospectively collected through the China Disease Control and Prevention Information System′s infectious disease surveillance system and the Shandong province all-cause mortality surveillance system. Descriptive epidemiological method was used for epidemiological analysis, and the Joinpoint regression model was applied to analyze trends in morbidity and mortality.Results:From 2010 to 2022, 6 714 SFTS cases were reported in Shandong, with an average crude incidence rate (CIR) and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of 0.52/100 000 and 0.43/100 000, respectively. Among these, 1, 064 cases died within 30 days of onset, with an average crude mortality rate (CMR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of 0.08/100, 000 and 0.06/100 000, respectively, and an average case fatality rate of 15.85%. The average incidence rates for males and females were 0.52/100 000 and 0.53/100 000, respectively, with no statistically significant difference ( P>0.05). The average annual mortality rate for males (0.09/100 000) was higher than that for females (0.08/100 000), and the average annual case fatality rate for males (17.21%) was higher than that for females (14.48%), with statistically significant differences ( P<0.05); 93.95% of the cases were over 45 years old, and 86.56% of the deaths were over 60 years old. Both cases and deaths were primarily among farmers, accounting for over 85% of the total. From 2010 to 2022, the incidence rate of SFTS in Shandong showed an overall upward trend, with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) in CIR of 23.58% and an AAPC in ASIR of 19.97%, P<0.05. The mortality rate of SFTS cases in Shandong from 2010 to 2022 showed a continuous and significant upward trend, with a CMR AAPC of 27.64% and an ASMR AAPC of 22.70%, P<0.05. SFTS incidence and mortality in Shandong exhibited clear seasonality, with high occurrence from May to October, primarily concentrated in the Jiaodong Peninsula and the hilly areas of central Shandong. The number of affected counties increased in a wave-like pattern, expanding from 6 in 2010 to 79 in 2021 for cases and from 2 in 2010 to 53 in 2022 for deaths. Conclusions:From 2010 to 2022, the incidence and mortality of SFTS in Shandong showed an upward and expanding trend, with a particularly heavy disease burden among middle-aged and elderly farmers.
9.Effect of microwave on adenovirus capsid integrity and antigenicity of hexon protein in simulated infectious wastes
Kuo WANG ; Shujun DING ; Dandi LI ; Xiaobin YANG ; Zeming QIN ; Li ZHAO ; Liuying TANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2024;38(3):247-251
Objective:To investigate the effect of microwave on human adenovirus type 2 (HAdV-2) capsid protein in simulated infectious wastes.Methods:Droplets of HAdV-2 virus suspension were added to medical disposable gloves to simulate infectious waste, irradiated under different microwave conditions, the temperature change was recorded, and the irradiated viral supernatant was treated with Dnase I and detected by PCR and qPCR to determine the effect of microwave on the integrity of the viral capsid. ELISA was used to detect the effect of microwave irradiation on the structure of viral hexon protein. The virus was treated alone at the highest temperature during microwave irradiation to investigate whether there were non-thermal effects during microwave disinfection.Results:The maximum temperature during microwave irradiation was 76 ℃, and the PCR and qPCR result showed that Dnase I could significantly damage the viral nucleic acid after microwave irradiation, while the virus control group and heat treatment group were not significantly affected, indicating that microwave irradiation could destroy the integrity of the viral capsid. The result of ELISA showed that microwave irradiation could significantly weaken the binding ability of Hexon protein and antibody, and the result of heat treatment group were similar.Conclusions:Microwave irradiation can destroy the integrity of the HAdV-2 capsid and the structure of Hexon protein, in which the damage to the integrity of the capsid is mainly due to non-thermal effects, and the structural changes of hexon protein are mainly due to thermal effects.
10.Research and surveillance on population of post-exposure prophylaxis for rabies in Shandong province
Xiaomei ZHANG ; Xueying TIAN ; Qing DUAN ; Bo PANG ; Yuwei ZHANG ; Zengqiang KOU ; Wenji ZHAI ; Shujun DING
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2024;38(4):378-382
Objective:To analyze the surveillance data of population in rabies exposure and post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) clinics in Shandong province from 2019 to 2023, explore risk factors for exposure, and provide a basis for further standardizing PEP.Methods:Based on surveillance data from the rabies exposure treatment clinic vaccination information system, population, and spatial administrative division data in Shandong province from 2019 to 2023, descriptive epidemiological methods were applied to analyze using SPSS 18.0.Results:The number of individuals receiving post-exposure treatment at PEP clinics in Shandong province from 2019 to 2023 was over 1 million annually and showed an increasing trend year by year, with the highest number of visits occurring from May to August each year. The number of female patients is increasing year by year. The 15-year-old and younger age group accounted for 31.69%-36.86% of clinic visits. Grade Ⅲ exposures accounted for 53.40%, and limbs accounted for approximately 89.81% of exposed areas. Approximately 1.94% is multi site exposure. The main injuring animals were dogs, followed by cats, and the proportion of cats is increasing year by year. The proportion of doctor′s office visitors who self-treated wounds increased from 32.32% to 45.46%, while the proportion of outpatient wound treatment decreased from 76.07% to 66.24%. The whole course vaccination rate after initial exposure is 63.79%. The whole course vaccination rate for the 15-29-year-old age group was lower than that for other age groups. The usage rate of passive immune preparations among grade Ⅲ exposed individuals is 35.66%. From 2019 to 2023, 8 cases of rabies were reported, none of whom received standard post-exposure treatment.Conclusions:The epidemic characteristics and exposure risk of people exposed to suspected rabies animals in Shandong province have changed. It is necessary to pay attention to the female population, the population with low vaccination rate between 15 to 29 years of age, cat bitten people, and carry out continuous monitoring on the exposed population, and timely adjust the prevention and control strategies.

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