1.Cost-effectiveness of angiographic quantitative flow ratio-guided coronary intervention: A multicenter, randomized, sham-controlled trial.
Yanyan ZHAO ; Changdong GUAN ; Yang WANG ; Zening JIN ; Bo YU ; Guosheng FU ; Yundai CHEN ; Lijun GUO ; Xinkai QU ; Yaojun ZHANG ; Kefei DOU ; Yongjian WU ; Weixian YANG ; Shengxian TU ; Javier ESCANED ; William F FEARON ; Shubin QIAO ; David J COHEN ; Harlan M KRUMHOLZ ; Bo XU ; Lei SONG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(10):1186-1193
BACKGROUND:
The FAVOR (Comparison of Quantitative Flow Ratio Guided and Angiography Guided Percutaneous Intervention in Patients with Coronary Artery Disease) III China trial demonstrated that percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) lesion selection using quantitative flow ratio (QFR) measurement, a novel angiography-based approach for estimating fractional flow reserve, improved two-year clinical outcomes compared with standard angiography guidance. This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of QFR-guided PCI from the perspective of the current Chinese healthcare system.
METHODS:
This study is a pre-specified analysis of the FAVOR III China trial, which included 3825 patients randomized between December 25, 2018, and January 19, 2020, from 26 centers in China. Patients with stable or unstable angina pectoris or those ≥72 hours post-myocardial infarction who had at least one lesion with a diameter stenosis between 50% and 90% in a coronary artery with a ≥2.5 mm reference vessel diameter by visual assessment were randomized to a QFR-guided strategy or an angiography-guided strategy with 1:1 ratio. During the two-year follow-up, data were collected on clinical outcomes, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), estimated costs of index procedure hospitalization, outpatient cardiovascular medication use, and rehospitalization due to major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). The primary analysis calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) as the cost per MACCE avoided. An ICER of ¥10,000/MACCE event avoided was considered economically attractive in China.
RESULTS:
At two years, the QFR-guided group demonstrated a reduced rate of MACCE compared to the angiography-guided group (10.8% vs . 14.7%, P <0.01). Total two-year costs were similar between the groups (¥50,803 ± 21,121 vs . ¥50,685 ± 23,495, P = 0.87). The ICER for the QFR-guided strategy was ¥3055 per MACCE avoided, and the probability of QFR being economically attractive was 64% at a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥10,000/MACCE avoided. Sensitivity analysis showed that QFR-guided PCI would become cost-saving if the cost of QFR were below ¥3682 (current cost: ¥3800). Cost-utility analysis yielded an ICER of ¥56,163 per QALY gained, with a 53% probability of being cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥85,000 per QALY gained.
CONCLUSION:
In patients undergoing PCI, a QFR-guided strategy appears economically attractive compared to angiographic guidance from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system.
TRIAL REGISTRATION
ClinicalTrials.gov , NCT03656848.
Humans
;
Cost-Benefit Analysis
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/methods*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Coronary Angiography/methods*
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Coronary Artery Disease/surgery*
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
;
Fractional Flow Reserve, Myocardial/physiology*
2.Tenecteplase versus alteplase in treatment of acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: A randomized non-inferiority trial
Xingshan ZHAO ; Yidan ZHU ; Zheng ZHANG ; Guizhou TAO ; Haiyan XU ; Guanchang CHENG ; Wen GAO ; Liping MA ; Liping QI ; Xiaoyan YAN ; Haibo WANG ; Qingde XIA ; Yuwang YANG ; Wanke LI ; Juwen RONG ; Limei WANG ; Yutian DING ; Qiang GUO ; Wanjun DANG ; Chen YAO ; Qin YANG ; Runlin GAO ; Yangfeng WU ; Shubin QIAO
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(3):312-319
Background::A phase II trial on recombinant human tenecteplase tissue-type plasminogen activator (rhTNK-tPA) has previously shown its preliminary efficacy in ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients. This study was designed as a pivotal postmarketing trial to compare its efficacy and safety with rrecombinant human tissue-type plasminogen activator alteplase (rt-PA) in Chinese patients with STEMI.Methods::In this multicenter, randomized, open-label, non-inferiority trial, patients with acute STEMI were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive an intravenous bolus of 16 mg rhTNK-tPA or an intravenous bolus of 8 mg rt-PA followed by an infusion of 42 mg in 90 min. The primary endpoint was recanalization defined by thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) flow grade 2 or 3. The secondary endpoint was clinically justified recanalization. Other endpoints included 30-day major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) and safety endpoints.Results::From July 2016 to September 2019, 767 eligible patients were randomly assigned to receive rhTNK-tPA ( n = 384) or rt-PA ( n = 383). Among them, 369 patients had coronary angiography data on TIMI flow, and 711 patients had data on clinically justified recanalization. Both used a –15% difference as the non-inferiority efficacy margin. In comparison to rt-PA, both the proportion of patients with TIMI grade 2 or 3 flow (78.3% [148/189] vs. 81.7% [147/180]; differences: –3.4%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: –11.5%, 4.8%) and clinically justified recanalization (85.4% [305/357] vs. 85.9% [304/354]; difference: –0.5%; 95% CI: –5.6%, 4.7%) in the rhTNK-tPA group were non-inferior. The occurrence of 30-day MACCEs (10.2% [39/384] vs. 11.0% [42/383]; hazard ratio: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.61, 1.50) did not differ significantly between groups. No safety outcomes significantly differed between groups. Conclusion::rhTNK-tPA was non-inferior to rt-PA in the effect of improving recanalization of the infarct-related artery, a validated surrogate of clinical outcomes, among Chinese patients with acute STEMI.Trial registration::www.ClinicalTrials.gov (No. NCT02835534).
3.Development and validation of predictive model for 28-day mortality in very older patients with sepsis
Qiujing LI ; Na SHANG ; Zhen WANG ; Tiecheng YANG ; Shubin GUO
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;33(4):542-548
Objective:To develop and validate a predictive nomogram for 28-day mortality among very older patients with sepsis, to identify high-risk patients early and improve prognosis.Methods:This study was conducted from January 1, 2022, to November 30, 2022. Very older patients aged≥80 years with sepsis admitted to the emergency department of Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University were consecutively recruited. Their clinical data within 24 h of admission and 28-day mortality was recorded. The participants were divided into training (70%) and validation cohort (30%) (random number). In the training cohort, the risk factors of 28-day mortality were selected via least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis and multivariable Cox proportional hazard model, and a nomogram was developed. The prediction model was verified in validation cohort.Results:In total, 507 very older patients with sepsis were included, among which the mortality rate was 31.2%. In training cohort, the independent risk factors for 28-day mortality were identified: increased age [hazard ratio ( HR)=1.059, 95% confidence interval (95% CI)=1.017-1.103, P=0.005], cognitive impairment ( HR=2.100, 95% CI=1.322-3.336, P=0.002), frailty ( HR=2.561, 95% CI=1.183-5.545, P=0.017), decreased mean arterial pressure ( HR=0.987, 95% CI=0.976-0.998, P=0.017), decreased prealbumin ( HR=0.997, 95% CI=0.994-1.000, P=0.040), increased blood urea nitrogen ( HR=1.028, 95% CI=1.010-1.045, P=0.001), increased procalcitonin ( HR=1.008, 95% CI=1.001-1.016, P=0.019) via LASSO regression analysis and multivariable Cox regression analysis. The nomogram was developed using these seven predictors. In the training and validation cohorts, the calibration curves, time-dependent AUC curves, and decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram had good calibration degree, discrimination and clinical net benefits. Conclusions:Increased age, cognitive impairment, frailty, decreased mean arterial pressure, decreased prealbumin, increased blood urea nitrogen, and increased procalcitonin are independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in very older patients with sepsis. The nomogram, which included the seven predictors, have good predictive performance, and might be helpful for prognosis assessment.
4.Study on the association between serum interleukin-6, silencing information regulator-1 and frailty
Huizhen LIU ; Na WANG ; Na SHANG ; Junyu LI ; Xiaomeng LIU ; Shubin GUO ; Fei TENG
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;33(5):677-682
Objective:To investigate the association between serum interleukin (IL) -6 and silent information regulator (SIRT) -1 and frailty in elderly patients in the emergency department.Methods:This was a cross-sectional study. Patients aged 60 years and above treated in the emergency department of Beijing Bo'Ai Hospital from January to December 2022 were collected. Blood routine, biochemical indicators, and serum IL-6 were detected within 24 h after enrollment. At the same time, fasting venous blood 2 mL was collected and the serum was stored at minus 80℃ after centrifugation. The level of SIRT-1 was detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Nutritional risk screening 2002 was performed within 72 h, Barthel index was used to assess the ability of daily living and grip strength was measured. The patients were divided into frailty and non-frailty groups according to Fried frailty phenotype (FP). The differences of clinical data and laboratory indicators were compared between the two groups. Multivariable logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between serum IL-6, SIRT-1 and frailty. The predictive ability of serum IL-6 and SIRT-1 for frailty was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.Results:A total of 316 elderly patients in the emergency department were included in this study and divided into frailty group ( n=156) and non-frailty group ( n=160) according to Fried FP criteria. Univariate analysis showed that serum IL-6 [33.3 (13.0, 69.2) ng/L vs. 20.0 (9.2, 41.3) ng/L, P=0.001] and SIRT-1 [(9.98±1.23) μg/L vs. (8.98±1.65) μg/L, P<0.001] of patients in the frailty group were higher than those in the non-frailty group. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that serum IL-6 ( OR=1.006, 95% CI: 1.001-1.011, P=0.036) and SIRT-1 ( OR=1.838, 95% CI: 1.475-2.290, P<0.001) were independently associated with frailty after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, Barthel index and grip strength. The area under the curve (AUC) of serum IL-6 for predicting frailty was 0.671 (95% CI: 0.604-0.738, P<0.001), the predictive cut-off point was 33.8 ng/L. The AUC of SIRT-1 for predicting frailty was 0.736 (95% CI: 0.674-0.799, P<0.001), the predictive cut-off point was 9.13 μg/L. The AUC of the model of IL-6 combined with SIRT-1 was 0.765 (95% CI: 0.707-0.823, P<0.001), the sensitivity and specificity were 0.776 and 0.726, respectively, and its predictive efficacy was superior to that of IL-6 alone ( Z=2.119, P=0.034). Conclusion:Serum IL-6 and SIRT-1 are independent predictors of frailty in elderly patients in the emergency department.
5.Construction and efficacy evaluation of a short-term prognostic model for emergency patients with acute ischemic cerebral stroke
Xiaomeng LIU ; Junyu LI ; Wei HE ; Na WANG ; Shubin GUO ; Huizhen LIU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;33(1):51-58
Objective:To establish a 14-day prognosis model for emergency patients with acute ischemic cerebral stroke and evaluate its predictive efficacy.Methods:A prospective cohort study was conducted. Patients with acute ischemic stroke admitted to the emergency department of Beijing Bo’ai Hospital within 72 hours of onset from October 2018 to December 2020 were enrolled. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to screen the risk factors of poor prognosis. The ROC curve was drawn to determine the cut-off value of continuous variables and discretise data with reference to clinical practice. The corresponding scores were set up according to the β regression coefficient of each variable, and the clinical scale prediction model of short-term prognosis of acute cerebral infarction was established. Patients with ischemic stroke in the hospital from January to December 2021 were selected as the internal validation, to verify the constructed predictive model.Results:A total of 321 patients were included in the study, including 223 in the training set and 98 in the internal validation set. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, hypersensitive C-reactive protein, prealbumin (PA), infarct volume, Frailty Screening Questionnaire (FSQ) and National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) were independent risk factors for poor short-term prognosis of acute cerebral infarction. The total score of the clinical prediction scoring system for short-term prognosis of acute cerebral infarction in the emergency department was 15 points, including age ≥74 years (1 point), PA ≤373 mg/L (2 points), large artery atherosclerosis (1 point), cardiogenic embolism (2 points), infarct volume ≥ 2.18 cm 3 (2 points), FSQ ≥3 points (1 point), NIHSS ≥4 points (6 points); The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the scoring system for predicting short-term poor prognosis of acute cerebral infarction was 0.927 (95% CI: 0.894-0.960). The optimal cut-off value was ≥5 points, and the sensitivity and specificity were 0.770 and 0.976, respectively. In the internal validation set, the scoring system had similar predictive value for poor outcomes (AUC=0.892, 95% CI:0.827-0.957). Conclusion:The scoring system for short-term prognosis prediction of acute ischemic cerebral infarction has good diagnostic efficacy, and could guide clinicians to judge the prognosis of emergency patients in the early stage.
6.Association of frailty and serum C-terminal agrin fragment with the prognosis in elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome
Huizhen LIU ; Shubin GUO ; Na SHANG ; Junyu LI ; Xiaomeng LIU ; Guodong WANG
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2024;43(2):192-197
Objective:To explore the association of frailty and serum C-terminal agrin fragment(CAF)with the prognosis of elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome(ACS).Methods:In this prospective cohort study, clinical data of 207 older patients with ACS between January 2020 and May 2022 were collected.Serum samples were obtained within 24 hours after enrollment to detect CAF levels.Meanwhile, the thrombolysis in myocardial infarction(TIMI)and frailty screening questionnaire(FSQ)scores were assessed on admission.Patients were followed up for major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events(MACCE)for 90 days.Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors of MACCE.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was performed to evaluate the predictive ability of the FSQ score, serum CAF and their combination for MACCE.According to 90-day mortality, patients were divided into a survival group(n=176)and a death group(n=31). The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used for survival analysis.Results:The FSQ score( Z=4.412, P<0.001)and serum CAF( Z=6.702, P<0.001)in the MACCE group were higher than those in the non-MACCE group.Logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for age, sex, TIMI score and complete revascularization, frailty defined by FSQ( OR=1.714; 95% CI: 1.059-2.775; P=0.028)and high serum CAF( OR=1.230; 95% CI: 1.122-1.350; P<0.05)were independent risk factors for MACCE.The area under the ROC curve(AUC)of the FSQ score for predicting MACCE was 0.797(95% CI: 0.735-0.850; P<0.001), the predictive cut-off point was an FSQ score >2, and the Youden index(YI)was 0.419, yielding a sensitivity of 0.708 and a specificity of 0.711.In addition, the AUC of serum CAF for predicting MACCE was 0.766(95% CI: 0.701-0.822; P<0.001), the predictive cut-off point was >6.01 μg/L, and YI was 0.460, yielding a sensitivity of 0.750 and a specificity of 0.710.The predictive ability of FSQ combined with CAF for MACCE was higher than FSQ( Z=2.294, P=0.022)or CAF( Z=2.545, P=0.011)alone.Cox regression analysis showed that frailty defined by FSQ( HR=3.487; 95% CI: 1.329-9.153; P=0.011)was independently associated with all-cause mortality within 90 days after ACS. Conclusions:Frailty assessment and serum CAF detection can improve the risk stratification of elderly patients with ACS.
7.Predictive Value of Prognostic Nutritional Index in All-cause Mortality in Patients with Acute and Critical Illness
Shengming YE ; Shubin GUO ; Na SHANG
Journal of Medical Research 2024;53(6):99-103
Objective To investigate the predictive value of the prognostic nutritional index(PNI)in all-cause mortality in pa-tients with acute and critical illness.Methods Acute and critically ill patients admitted to the Department of Emergency,Beijing Chao-yang Hospital,Capital Medical University,from March to July 2021 were selected as study subjects,and the relevant clinical data within 24h of their admission to the emergency department were collected and analyzed descriptively.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve of PNI was drawn with all-cause mortality of patients within 28days as the endpoint,and the patients were divided into high PNI and low PNI groups according to the optimal cut-off value,and the clinical characteristics of the two groups were compared.Patients were divided into survival and death groups according to whether they died within 28days,and the clinical characteristics of the two groups were compared,and univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to explore the risk factors for all-cause mortality within 28days in patients with acute and critical illness.Results A total of 603 patients were included,and the optimal cut-off value of PNI was 43.825,according to which all patients were divided into the high PNI group(n=334)and low PNI group(n=269),and it was found that the proportion of patients who all-cause mortality within 28days was significantly higher in the low PNI group than in the PNI group(P<0.05).All patients died within 28days of admission to the emergency department in 127 cases,and the pro-portion of malnourished patients was significantly higher in the death group than that in the survival group(P<0.05).Logistic regression analysis showed that malnutrition at admission to the emergency department screened by PNI was an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality within 28days in patients with acute and critical illness(OR=1.805,95%CI:1.157-2.817,P=0.009),and advanced age,low body mass index,and low hemoglobin levels were also independent risk factors for all-cause mortality within 28days.Conclu-sion Patients with acute and critical illness are at high risk of malnutrition,and malnutrition at admission to the emergency department,advanced age,low body mass index,and low hemoglobin levels screened by PNI are independent risk factors for all-cause mortality with-in 28 days.
8.Study on frailty status and the association between vitamin D nutritional status and frailty in elderly patients in emergency department
Huizhen LIU ; Shubin GUO ; Na SHANG ; Junyu LI ; Xiaomeng LIU ; Guodong WANG
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2024;43(8):1043-1048
Objective:To examine the prevalence of frailty among elderly patients in the emergency department and to investigate the potential relationship between vitamin D nutritional status and frailty.Methods:This study collected clinical data from elderly patients aged over 65 years in the emergency intensive care unit and emergency observation ward of Beijing Bo'Ai Hospital from January to September 2021.The data included blood routine, biochemical indicators, circulating interleukin-6, cortisol, thyrotropin, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D[25(OH)D], which were detected within 24 hours after enrollment.Additionally, the Frailty Screening Questionnaire(FSQ), FRAIL scale, and Clinical Frailty Scale(CFS)were used to score the patients.Based on the scores, the patients were divided into frail or non-frail groups, and the prevalence of frailty was reported accordingly using the criteria of the aforementioned scales.The consistency of the three scales was evaluated using the Spearman rank test and Kappa coefficient.We compared the differences in clinical data and laboratory indicators of patients between the frail and non-frail groups.Additionally, we used a multivariable Logistic regression model to analyze the association between vitamin D nutritional status and frailty.We also analyzed the prevalence of frailty in different vitamin D nutritional statuses and evaluated the predictive ability of serum 25(OH)D for frailty using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.Results:A total of 317 patients were included in the study.The prevalence of frailty in elderly patients in the emergency department was found to be 47.0%, 55.2%, and 69.4% according to the FSQ, FRAIL, and CFS scales, respectively.The study evaluated the consistency of these three scales, revealing a Spearman rank correlation coefficient of 0.761(95% CI: 0.715-0.806, P<0.001)and a Kappa coefficient of 0.536(95% CI: 0.451-0.621, P<0.001)between FSQ and FRAIL, which were the highest correlations observed.Logistic regression analysis, after adjusting for age, gender, BMI, and other factors, indicated that vitamin D deficiency( OR=5.994, 95% CI: 1.232-29.169, P=0.027)was independently associated with an increased prevalence of frailty as defined by FSQ criteria.The prevalence of frailty increased with the severity of vitamin D malnutrition.In the vitamin D deficiency group, the prevalence was higher compared to the vitamin D insufficiency and sufficiency groups( P<0.05 for all).The area under the ROC curves(AUCs)of serum 25(OH)D levels to predict frailty, as defined by FSQ, FRAIL, and CFS, were 0.806(95% CI: 0.744-0.868), 0.748(95% CI: 0.679-0.817), and 0.768(95% CI: 0.701-0.826)( P<0.001 for all).The optimal cut-off values were 12.0, 9.76, and 11.65 μg/L, respectively, yielding a Youden index of 0.553, 0.419, and 0.462. Conclusions:FSQ, FRAIL, and CFS demonstrated a strong level of consistency in assessing frailty.Additionally, serum 25(OH)D can serve as an independent predictor of frailty, aiding in the identification of frail individuals and enhancing the risk stratification of elderly patients in the emergency department.
9.A cervical cancer tissue-derived decellularized extracellular matrix scaffold for cervical cancer tissue reconstruction in vitro.
Jianying MAO ; Wenjing YANG ; He GUO ; Ruili DONG ; Lifang REN ; Shubin LI
Journal of Southern Medical University 2023;43(2):157-165
OBJECTIVE:
The prepare decellularized extracellular matrix (ECM) scaffold materials derived from human cervical carcinoma tissues for 3D culture of cervical carcinoma cells.
METHODS:
Fresh human cervical carcinoma tissues were treated with sodium lauryl ether sulfate (SLES) solution to prepare decellularized ECM scaffolds. The scaffolds were examined for ECM microstructure and residual contents of key ECM components (collagen, glycosaminoglycan, and elastin) and genetic materials by pathological staining and biochemical content analysis. In vitro 3D culture models were established by injecting cultured cervical cancer cells into the prepared ECM scaffolds. The cells in the recellularized scaffolds were compared with those in a conventional 2D culture system for cell behaviors including migration, proliferation and epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) wsing HE staining, immunohistochemical staining and molecular biological technology analysis. Resistance to 5-fluorouracil (5-Fu) of the cells in the two culture systems was tested by analyzing the cell apoptosis rates via flow cytometry.
RESULTS:
SLES treatment effectively removed cells and genetic materials from human cervical carcinoma tissues but well preserved the microenvironment structure and biological activity of ECM. Compared with the 2D culture system, the 3D culture models significantly promoted proliferation, migration, EMT and 5-Fu resistance of human cervical cancer cells.
CONCLUSION
The decellularized ECM scaffolds prepared using human cervical carcinoma tissues provide the basis for construction of in vitro 3D culture models for human cervical cancer cells.
Female
;
Humans
;
Decellularized Extracellular Matrix
;
Extracellular Matrix
;
Uterine Cervical Neoplasms
;
Tissue Scaffolds/chemistry*
;
Carcinoma
;
Fluorouracil/pharmacology*
;
Tissue Engineering
;
Tumor Microenvironment
10.Association of serum 25 hydroxy-vitamin D with short-term prognosis in elderly patients in emergency care settings
Huizhen LIU ; Na SHANG ; Junyu LI ; Na WANG ; Xiaomeng LIU ; Shubin GUO ; Guodong WANG
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2023;32(10):1371-1376
Objective:To explore the association of Vitamin D (Vit D) nutritional status and prognosis in elderly patients in emergency care settings.Methods:The clinical data of 317 elderly patients admitted in the Emergency Care Unit and Emergency Observation Ward of Beijing Bo'Ai hospital from January 2021 to September 2021 were collected continuously. Blood routine, biochemical indicators, serum interleukin-6 (IL-6), thyroid-stimulating hornone (TSH), cortisol (COR) and 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] levels were detected within 24 hours after enrollment. Patients were divided into severe vitamin D deficiency group and non-severe vitamin D deficiency group according to the level of serum 25(OH)D. Patients were followed up for the treatment with machinery ventilation during hospitalization and 28-day all-cause mortality. Multivariable logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between the Vit D nutritional status and machinery ventilation. In order to evaluate the predictive ability of serum 25(OH)D for the requirement of machinery ventilation, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was applied and the area under the ROC curve (95% confidence interval) [AUC (95% CI)] was calculated. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to analyze the association between Vit D nutritional status and 28-day all-cause mortality. Results:Serum 25(OH) level in the machinery ventilation group was significantly lower than that in the non-mechanical ventilation group ( Z = 5.150, P < 0.001). Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that severe Vit D deficiency ( OR = 7.223, 95% CI: 1.546-33.742, P = 0.012) was independently associated with machinery ventilation. The AUC (95% CI) of serum 25(OH)D for predicting machinery ventilation was 0.825 (0.770-0.871) ( P < 0.001), the predictive cut-off point was 11.0 μg/L, and the Youden index was 0.580, yielding a sensitivity of 0.903 and a specificity of 0.677. Cox regression analysis showed that severe Vit D deficiency ( HR = 2.403, 95% CI: 1.133-5.096, P = 0.022) was an independent predictor of 28-day all-cause mortality in elderly emergency patients. Conclusions:Serum 25(OH)D can be used as an independent predictor of short-term prognosis in elderly emergency patients.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail