1.Construction and analysis of machine learning models for preoperative prediction of glioma grading and isocitrate dehydrogenase mutation status
Yuting WANG ; Junle ZHU ; Shuang QIN ; Saifei SUN ; Xin ZHANG ; Qi LÜ
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2026;33(1):3-15
Objective To construct machine learning models based on preoperative inflammatory and radiological features for the prediction of glioma grading and isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutation status, and to analyze application values of these models and identify the optimal predictive models. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the data of pathologically confirmed glioma patients admitted to Tongji Hospital Affiliated to Tongji University from March 2019 to March 2023. LASSO regression was used to screen feature variables, and predictive models were constructed based on logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), gradient boosting decision tree (XGBoost) and K-nearest neighbor (KNN) algorithms. The model performance was comprehensively evaluated using metrics including discrimination ability, area under the precision-recall curve (AUC), accuracy, F1 score and Brier score. The DeLong test was adopted to compare the AUC values among different models; Friedman rank-sum test was used to determine the overall performance differences of the models, with the Nemenyi test applied for multiple comparison correction. Results In the task of glioma grading prediction, the LR model achieved the highest comprehensive score (0.726), and no significant difference was observed between the LR model and the other four models; age was positively correlated with glioma grading (P=0.003). In the task of IDH mutation status prediction, the XGBoost model obtained the highest comprehensive score (0.832), which was superior to the LR (0.762, P=0.035) and KNN models (0.754, P=0.025), while no statistical differences were found between the XGBoost model and the RF or SVM models. Conclusions The LR model for glioma grading prediction and XGBoost model for IDH mutation prediction constructed based on a task-oriented strategy achieve a favorable interpretability while ensuring optimized performance, thereby providing reliable decision support for the individualized diagnosis and treatment of glioma.
2.Guideline for Adult Weight Management in China
Weiqing WANG ; Qin WAN ; Jianhua MA ; Guang WANG ; Yufan WANG ; Guixia WANG ; Yongquan SHI ; Tingjun YE ; Xiaoguang SHI ; Jian KUANG ; Bo FENG ; Xiuyan FENG ; Guang NING ; Yiming MU ; Hongyu KUANG ; Xiaoping XING ; Chunli PIAO ; Xingbo CHENG ; Zhifeng CHENG ; Yufang BI ; Yan BI ; Wenshan LYU ; Dalong ZHU ; Cuiyan ZHU ; Wei ZHU ; Fei HUA ; Fei XIANG ; Shuang YAN ; Zilin SUN ; Yadong SUN ; Liqin SUN ; Luying SUN ; Li YAN ; Yanbing LI ; Hong LI ; Shu LI ; Ling LI ; Yiming LI ; Chenzhong LI ; Hua YANG ; Jinkui YANG ; Ling YANG ; Ying YANG ; Tao YANG ; Xiao YANG ; Xinhua XIAO ; Dan WU ; Jinsong KUANG ; Lanjie HE ; Wei GU ; Jie SHEN ; Yongfeng SONG ; Qiao ZHANG ; Hong ZHANG ; Yuwei ZHANG ; Junqing ZHANG ; Xianfeng ZHANG ; Miao ZHANG ; Yifei ZHANG ; Yingli LU ; Hong CHEN ; Li CHEN ; Bing CHEN ; Shihong CHEN ; Guiyan CHEN ; Haibing CHEN ; Lei CHEN ; Yanyan CHEN ; Genben CHEN ; Yikun ZHOU ; Xianghai ZHOU ; Qiang ZHOU ; Jiaqiang ZHOU ; Hongting ZHENG ; Zhongyan SHAN ; Jiajun ZHAO ; Dong ZHAO ; Ji HU ; Jiang HU ; Xinguo HOU ; Bimin SHI ; Tianpei HONG ; Mingxia YUAN ; Weibo XIA ; Xuejiang GU ; Yong XU ; Shuguang PANG ; Tianshu GAO ; Zuhua GAO ; Xiaohui GUO ; Hongyi CAO ; Mingfeng CAO ; Xiaopei CAO ; Jing MA ; Bin LU ; Zhen LIANG ; Jun LIANG ; Min LONG ; Yongde PENG ; Jin LU ; Hongyun LU ; Yan LU ; Chunping ZENG ; Binhong WEN ; Xueyong LOU ; Qingbo GUAN ; Lin LIAO ; Xin LIAO ; Ping XIONG ; Yaoming XUE
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(11):891-907
Body weight abnormalities, including overweight, obesity, and underweight, have become a dual public health challenge in Chinese adults: overweight and obesity lead to a variety of chronic complications, while underweight increases the risks of malnutrition, sarcopenia, and organ dysfunction. To systematically address these issues, multidisciplinary experts in endocrinology, sports science, nutrition, and psychiatry from various regions have held multiple weight management seminars. Based on the latest epidemiological data and clinical evidence, they expanded the guideline to include assessment and intervention strategies for underweight, in addition to the core content of obesity management. This guideline outlines the etiological mechanisms, evaluation methods, and multidimensional management strategies for overweight and obesity, covering key areas such as diagnosis and assessment, medical nutrition therapy, exercise prescription, pharmacological intervention, and psychological support. It is intended to provide a scientific and standardized approach to weight management across the adult population, aiming to curb the rising prevalence of obesity, mitigate complications associated with abnormal body weight, and improve nutritional status and overall quality of life.
3.Incidence,Mortality and Disease Burden of Malignant Tu-mors in Cancer Registration Areas of Hubei Province in 2020
Shuang YAO ; Jiyu TUO ; Yu QIN ; Yafen XIA ; Min ZHANG
China Cancer 2025;34(4):255-263
[Purpose]To analyze the prevalence and disease burden of malignant tumors in cancer registration areas of Hubei Province in 2020.[Methods]The incidence and mortality data of ma-lignant tumors in cancer registration areas in Hubei Province in 2020 were collected,and the data were quality controlled according to the quality evaluation standards and methods formulated by the National Cancer Center.The data from 24 registries met the inclusion criteria.Using descrip-tive epidemiological methods to calculate incidence/mortality rate,age-specific incidence/mortality rate,standardized incidence/mortality rate by Chinese standard population(ASRC),standardized incidence/mortality rate by world standard population(ASRW).Disability-adjusted life years(DALY)and DALY rates were calculated using formulas provided by the World Health Organization to as-sess the disease burden of malignant tumors.[Results]In 2020,the crude incidence of malignant tumors in cancer registration areas of Hubei Province was 311.36/105,the ASRC was 184.14/105,the ASRW was 197.37/105,and the cumulative rate of 0~74 years old was 20.52%.The age-spe-cific incidence of malignant tumors in the province and rural areas reached its peak in the age group of 75~79 years old,while in urban areas it reached its peak in the age group of 80~84 years old.In 2020,the crude mortality rate of malignant tumors in cancer registration areas of Hubei Province was 184.58/105,the ASRC was 96.91/105,the ASRW was 110.92/105,and the cumulative rate of 0~74 years old was 11.01%.The age-specific mortality rate of malignant tumors in the province and urban areas reached its peak in the age group of above 85 years old,while in rural areas it reached its peak in the age group of 80~84 years old.Lung cancer ranked first in the incidence and mortality of malignant tumors in the province.In the cancer registration area of Hubei Province,the DALY of malignant tumors in 2020 was 641 497 person-years,and the DALY rate was 28.6‰.[Conclusion]Common cancers such as lung cancer,female breast cancer and upper digestive tract cancer have a great impact on the incidence,mortality and disease burden of malignant tumors in Hubei Province.Targeted cancer screening and early diagnosis and treatment are the most effective means to improve social and economic benefits.
4.Analysis of the Epidemic Characteristics of Lung Cancer in 2020 and the Trend from 2012 to 2020 in Hubei Province
Yu QIN ; Shuang YAO ; Jiyu TUO ; Yafen XIA ; Min ZHANG
China Cancer 2025;34(4):264-271
[Purpose]To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of lung cancer in 2020 and the trend from 2012 to 2020 in Hubei Province.[Methods]Qualified lung cancer registry data reported by 24 cancer registries in Hubei Province was utilized to estimate the number of new lung cancer cases and deaths.Incidence/mortality rate,age-specific incidence/mortality rate,age-standardized incidence/mortality rate by Chinese standard population(ASIRC and ASMRC)and by world stan-dard population(ASIRW and ASMRW),cumulative rate of 0~74 years old and other indicators of lung cancer in urban and rural areas,different sex,age groups in 2020 were calculated.Annual percentage change(APC),average annual percentage change(AAPC)and 95%confidence interval(CI)were calculated to analyze the trends of incidence and mortality of lung cancer in cancer regi-stration areas of Hubei Province from 2012 to 2020.[Results]In 2020,the estimated number of new lung cancer cases in Hubei Province was 41 531,accounting for 23.17%of all new cancer cases.The incidence rate was 72.13/105,with the ASIRC of 38.19/105 and ASIRW of 42.75/105 respectively.The cumulative incidence rate of 0~74 years old was 4.82%.The estimated number of lung cancer deaths in Hubei Province in 2020 was 31 374,accounting for 29.52%of all cancer deaths.The mortality rate was 54.49/105,with the ASMRC of 27.66/105 and ASMRW of 31.95/105,respectively.The cumulative mortality(0~74 years old)was 3.36%.The incidence of lung cancer was higher in urban areas than that in rural areas,and higher in men than that in women.The in-cidence and mortality of lung cancer increased with age,and reaching the peak in the age groups of 75~79 and 80~85 years old respectively.From 2012 to 2020,the overall trend of crude inci-dence and mortality of lung cancer in Hubei Province was stable.The ASIRC and ASMRC showed a slow decline during 2012-2020,with the AAPCs of-0.51%(95%CI:-1.06%~-0.02%)and-1.84%(95%CI:-2.65%~-0.53%),respectively.The ASIRC showed a slow decline(APC=-1.76%,95%CI:-3.30%~-1.03%)during 2012-2018 and increase trend(APC=3.33%,95%CI:0.61%~5.02%)during 2018-2020,respectively,while ASMRC showed a significant decrease trend(APC=-3.00%,95%CI:-6.58%~-1.13%)during 2016-2020.[Conclusion]The incidence and mortality levels of lung cancer in Hubei Province were relatively high,resulted in a heavy disease burden and no significant downward trend.In the future,we should continue to strengthen the compre-hensive prevention and treatment of lung cancer,and promote lung cancer screening and early diagno-sis and treatment for target populations vigorously,especially in rural areas.
5.Analysis of Opportunistic Screening Results for Upper Gastrointestinal Cancer in Hubei Province from 2022 to 2023
Jiyu TUO ; Shuang YAO ; Yu QIN ; Yafen XIA ; Fandi MENG ; Min ZHANG
China Cancer 2025;34(4):272-278
[Purpose]To analyze the opportunistic screening results of upper gastrointestinal can-cer in Hubei Province from 2022 to 2023.[Methods]The data of upper gastrointestinal cancer opportunistic screening program in Hubei Province from January 1,2022 to December 31,2023 were summarized.The biopsy rate,positive lesion detection rate and early diagnosis rate were ana-lyzed.The differences in rates between/among different sexes,age groups and regions were com-pared by x2 test,trend x2 test.[Results]A total of 372 507 people were included in the oppor-tunistic screening of upper gastrointestinal cancer from 2022 to 2023.Among them,100 379 in-dividuals underwent biopsy histopathological examination,with a biopsy rate of 26.95%.A total of 4 678 positive cases(high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia,early-stage cancer and advanced can-cer)were detected in the opportunistic screening,with a positive lesion detection rate of 1.26%.The detection rates of positive lesion in the esophagus,cardia and stomach were 0.61%,0.07%and 0.58%,respectively.There were 721 cases of early upper gastrointestinal cancer(high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia,early-stage cancer),representing an early diagnosis rate of 15.41%.The early diagnosis rates for the esophagus,cardia and stomach were 14.53%,11.96%and 16.89%,respectively.[Conclusions]The implementation of opportunistic screening for upper gastrointesti-nal cancer is conducive to expanding the coverage of screening.It is necessary to strengthen stan-dardized and homogeneous training and complete high-quality endoscopic examination to improve the detection rate and early diagnosis rate of opportunistic screening program for upper gastroin-testinal cancer.
6.Weaving and Strengthening the Cancer Prevention and Control System,Creating a Model for Cancer Control in Hubei Province:Progress in Cancer Prevention and Control During the"323"Campaign in Hubei Province
Min ZHANG ; Jiyu TUO ; Shuang YAO ; Yu QIN ; Fandi MENG ; Yafen XIA ; Shaozhong WEI
China Cancer 2025;34(4):251-254
Malignant tumors,as chronic diseases that seriously affect human life and health,are one of the most serious public health problems worldwide in the 21st century.Hubei Province at-taches great importance to the prevention and control of chronic diseases such as cancer,and launched the"323"campaign in 2021.This paper reviews the progress of cancer prevention and control in the"323"campaign from 2021 to 2024 from the aspects of science popularization,tu-mor registration,cancer screening,standardized diagnosis and treatment,and grassroots capacity improvement,and explores the key points of cancer prevention and control work in Hubei Province in the next step.
7.Association between genotype and phenotype in children with Phenylalanine hydroxylase deficiency in Lianyungang area
Shuang LIU ; Qin ZHENG ; Dandan CUI ; Wei WANG ; Leilei WANG ; Guanghua LUO
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2025;42(6):648-659
Objective:To explore the spectrum of genetic variants and phenotypes of Phenylalanine hydroxylase deficiency (PAHD) in Lianyungang area and the correlation between genotype and phenotypes among the patients.Methods:Eighty children with Hyperphenylalaninemia (HPA) diagnosed at the Lianyungang Branch of Jiangsu Provincial Newborn Screening Center between January 2015 and December 2022 were enrolled. Peripheral blood samples were collected for genetic analysis using next generation sequencing (NGS), Sanger sequencing, and multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification (MLPA) to identify the variants of PAH gene. Clinical and phenotypic data were concurrently analyzed to investigate the correlation between the types of PAH gene variant and phenotypes. This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Lianyungang Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital (Ethics No.: XM2022041). Results:① PAH variants were identified in 93.75% (75/80) of the children, classified as PAHD cases, while 6.25% (5/80) harbored PTS variants. ② Of the 150 PAH alleles from 75 PAHD children, a total of 152 variants (55 distinct types) were detected, with a detection rate of 100%. 80.26% (122/152) were located in exons, with the main types of variants were missense variants (67.11%, 102/152). 53.29% (81/152) of coding sequence variants occurred in the PAH gene catalytic center region of PAH protein, while 19.74% (30/152) of variants involved non-coding sequences. ③The phenotypes of the 75 PAHD children were evenly distributed. The rescreening Phe concentrations and Phe/Tyr ratios of classic-phenylketonuria (CPKU) and mild-phenylketonuria (MPKU) patients were markedly higher than initial screening values ( P<0.001, P<0.001; P=0.004, P=0.016). The genotypes of the PAHD patients mostly occurred as compound heterozygotes, and different mutation positions and variant types significantly affect the phenotype ( P=0.042, P=0.045). ④APV/GPV genotype-phenotype analysis of 61 patients showed high consistency between predicted and actual phenotypes ( κ=0.755, P<0.001). Conclusion:PAH variants were detected in the most of HPA children in Lianyungang area. The location and type of PAH variants were related to the severity of the phenotype, and the non-coding sequence variants and non-missense variants may aggravate the phenotype, and the APV/GPV model predicted the phenotype was highly consistent with the actual phenotype.
8.Short-term effects of ambient ozone on pediatric pneumonia hospital admissions: a multi-city case-crossover study in China.
Huan WANG ; Huan-Ling ZENG ; Guo-Xing LI ; Shuang ZHOU ; Jin-Lang LYU ; Qin LI ; Guo-Shuang FENG ; Hai-Jun WANG
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():75-75
BACKGROUND:
Children's respiratory health demonstrates particular sensitivity to air pollution. Existing evidence investigating the association between short-term ozone (O3) exposure and childhood pneumonia remains insufficient and inconsistent, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).
METHOD:
To provide more reliable and persuasive evidence, we implemented a multi-city, time-stratified case-crossover design with a large sample size, using data from seven representative children's hospitals across major geographical regions in China. To avoid the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, individual-level medical records of inpatient children under 6 years of age diagnosed with pneumonia during 2016-2019 were collected. Conditional logistic regression models were fitted for each city, and city-specific estimates were pooled through a meta-analysis using a random-effects model.
RESULTS:
In total, the study included 137,470 pediatric pneumonia hospital admissions. The highest pooled estimate for O3 occurred at lag0-1, with a 10 µg/m3 increase in O3 associated with a 1.57% (95% CI: 0.67%-2.48%) higher risk of pediatric pneumonia hospital admissions. Stratified analyses indicated that the effects of O3 were robust across different sexes, age groups, and admission seasons. We also observed a statistically significant increase in risk associated with O3 concentrations exceeding the World Health Organization Air Quality Guidelines (WHO-AQGs).
CONCLUSIONS
This study revealed a significant positive association between O3 and pediatric pneumonia hospital admissions. Our findings substantially strengthen the evidence base for the adverse health impacts of O3, underscoring the importance of O3 pollution control and management in reducing the public health burden of pediatric pneumonia.
Humans
;
Ozone/analysis*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Pneumonia/chemically induced*
;
Child, Preschool
;
Male
;
Female
;
Infant
;
Cross-Over Studies
;
Air Pollutants/analysis*
;
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data*
;
Child
;
Cities/epidemiology*
;
Air Pollution/adverse effects*
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Environmental Exposure/adverse effects*
9.Association between genotype and phenotype in children with Phenylalanine hydroxylase deficiency in Lianyungang area.
Shuang LIU ; Qin ZHENG ; Dandan CUI ; Wei WANG ; Leilei WANG ; Guanghua LUO
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2025;42(6):648-659
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the spectrum of genetic variants and phenotypes of Phenylalanine hydroxylase deficiency (PAHD) in Lianyungang area and the correlation between genotype and phenotypes among the patients.
METHODS:
Eighty children with Hyperphenylalaninemia (HPA) diagnosed at the Lianyungang Branch of Jiangsu Provincial Newborn Screening Center between January 2015 and December 2022 were enrolled. Peripheral blood samples were collected for genetic analysis using next generation sequencing (NGS), Sanger sequencing, and multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification (MLPA) to identify the variants of PAH gene. Clinical and phenotypic data were concurrently analyzed to investigate the correlation between the types of PAH gene variant and phenotypes. This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Lianyungang Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital (Ethics No.: XM2022041).
RESULTS:
PAH gene variants were identified in 93.75% (75/80) of the children, classified as PAHD cases, while 6.25% (5/80) harbored PTS gene variants. Of the 150 PAH alleles from 75 PAHD children, a total of 152 variants (55 distinct types) were detected, with a detection rate of 100%. 80.26% (122/152) of the variants were located in exons, with the main types being missense variants (67.11%, 102/152). 53.29% (81/152) of coding sequence variants have occurred in the PAH gene's catalytic center region, while 19.74% (30/152) of the variants involved non-coding sequences. The phenotypes of the 75 PAHD children were evenly distributed. The re-screened Phe concentrations and Phe/Tyr ratios of classic-phenylketonuria (CPKU) and mild-phenylketonuria (MPKU) patients were markedly higher than initial screening values (P < 0.001, P < 0.001; P = 0.004, P = 0.016). The genotypes of the PAHD patients mostly occurred as compound heterozygotes, and different mutation positions and variant types have significantly affected the phenotypes (P = 0.042, P = 0.045). APV/GPV genotype-phenotype analysis of 61 patients showed high consistency between predicted and actual phenotypes (κ = 0.755, P < 0.001).
CONCLUSION
PAH gene variants were detected in most HPA children from Lianyungang area. The location and type of PAH gene variants has correlated with the severity of the phenotype, and the non-coding sequence variants and non-missense variants may aggravate the phenotype, and the APV/GPV model has predicted the phenotype with high consistency with the actual phenotype.
Humans
;
Phenylalanine Hydroxylase/genetics*
;
Female
;
Phenylketonurias/enzymology*
;
Male
;
Phenotype
;
Genotype
;
Child
;
Infant
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Child, Preschool
;
China
;
Mutation
;
Alleles
10.Effects of Low Molecular Weight Heparin on Early Pregnancy Loss in Women With Polycystic Ovary Syndrome
Fanglan LUO ; Qinsheng LU ; Wei WEI ; Yingmei CEN ; Yinchun HUANG ; Shuang QIN ; Chunjiao WEI ; Lash Gendie E ; Li LI
Maternal-Fetal Medicine 2025;07(4):200-207
Objective::To evaluate the early pregnancy loss (EPL) rates in women with and without low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) treatment during early pregnancy.Methods::A retrospective, non-randomized study was conducted at Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center between June 2019 and March 2022, involving women diagnosed with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). All participants conceived following standard preconception care and voluntarily chose either the control group or the LMWH intervention group during the first month of pregnancy. The intervention was administered throughout the entire first trimester. Early and final pregnancy outcomes were recorded, with a particular focus on EPL rates. In addition, venous blood samples and clinical data were collected to compare hormonal profiles, blood lipid levels, and anthropometric parameters between the two groups. Statistical analyses included the two-tailed unpaired Student’s t-test, Mann–Whitney U test, Chi-square test, and Kaplan–Meier survival analysis. A value of P < 0.050 was considered statistically significant. Results::Thirty-eight women in the LMWH group and 102 women in the control group were included. The EPL rates in the LMWH and control groups were 5.3% (2/38) and 26.5% (27/102), respectively ( χ2 = 7.582, P = 0.006, odds ratio ( OR) = 0.154, 95% confidence interval ( CI): 0.035-0.685). The age ( P = 0.005), PCOS subtype ( P = 0.012), and levels of total cholesterol ( P = 0.003), and high-density lipoprotein ( P = 0.018) were significantly different between these two groups. Continued follow-up was performed to observe the long-time effects of LMWH treatment in early pregnancy. Seventy-three patients were successfully delivered, 23 patients in the LMWH group and 50 patients in the control group. There was no significant difference between the LMWH and control groups in gestation length, bleeding during delivery, birth weight, gender of the newborn, or mode of delivery. In addition, Kaplan-Meier curve analysis revealed that LMWH treatment may decrease the risk of EPL in PCOS patients in the first trimester ( χ2 = 4.144, P = 0.040). Conclusion::LMWH treatment during early pregnancy may reduce the EPL rate in women with PCOS.

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