1.Trend of gastrointestinal and liver diseases in China: Results of the Global Burden of Disease Study, 2019
Xiaowei TANG ; Ping WANG ; Shu HUANG ; Jieyu PENG ; Wei ZHANG ; Xiaomin SHI ; Lei SHI ; Xiaolin ZHONG ; Muhan LYU ; Xian ZHOU ; Enqiang LINGHU
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(19):2358-2368
Background::China is one of the countries with the largest burden of gastrointestinal and liver diseases (GILD) in the world. The GILD constitutes various causes of mortality and disability. The study aimed to investigate the trend of GILD in China using the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019 (GBD 2019) data resources from 1990 to 2019.Methods::The data on the age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for GILD in China from 1990 to 2019 were collected from the GBD 2019 data resources. Furthermore, the ranking of the main causes of deaths and DALYs, as well as the trends of ASMR, DALYs, years of life lost (YLLs), and years of life lost due to disability (YLDs) per 1,000,000 in GILD were reported.Results::The ASMR and DALYs for stomach cancer, liver cancer, and esophageal cancer, which ranked top three among the GILDs from 1990 to 2019, were gradually decreasing. Significant decreases in the ASMR and DALYs were found in diarrheal diseases and acute hepatitis (A, E, and C). However, noteworthy increases were found in those of colon and rectum cancer (CRC) and pancreatic cancer. Trend of DALYs, mortality, and YLLs rates for most of GILD were decreasing from 1990 to 2019, except the burden of CRC and pancreatic cancer with an increasing trend. The DALYs, mortality and YLLs of most GILD diseases showed decreasing trends from 1990 to 2019, except the burden of CRC and pancreatic cancer with an increasing trends.Conclusions::The result of the GBD 2019 showed that the rates of most GILDs decreased in China; however, gastrointestinal and liver cancer, such as stomach cancer still held the top ranking. Furthermore, the shift from infectious diseases to non-communicable causes among GILD burden is occurring.
2.Early gait analysis after total knee arthroplasty based on artificial intelligence dynamic image recognition
Ming ZHANG ; Ya-Nan SUI ; Cheng WANG ; Hao-Chong ZHANG ; Zhi-Wei CAI ; Quan-Lei ZHANG ; Yu ZHANG ; Tian-Tian XIA ; Xiao-Ran ZU ; Yi-Jian HUANG ; Cong-Shu HUANG ; Xiang LI
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2024;37(9):855-861
Objective To explore early postoperative gait characteristics and clinical outcomes after total knee arthroplasty(TKA).Methods From February 2023 to July 2023,26 patients with unilateral knee osteoarthritis(KOA)were treated with TKA,including 4 males and 22 females,aged from 57 to 85 years old with an average of(67.58±6.49)years old;body mass in-dex(BMI)ranged from 18.83 to 38.28 kg·m-2 with an average of(26.43±4.15)kg·m-2;14 patients on the left side,12 pa-tients on the right side;according to Kellgren-Lawrence(K-L)classification,6 patients with grade Ⅲ and 20 patients with grade Ⅳ;the courses of disease ranged from 1 to 14 years with an average of(5.54±3.29)years.Images and videos of standing up and walking,walking side shot,squatting and supine kneeling were taken with smart phones before operation and 6 weeks after operation.The human posture estimation framework OpenPose were used to analyze stride frequency,step length,step length,step speed,active knee knee bending angle,stride length,double support phase time,as well as maximum hip flexion angle and maximum knee bending angle on squatting position.Western Ontario and McMaster Universities(WOMAC)arthritis index and Knee Society Score(KSS)were used to evaluate clinical efficacy of knee joint.Results All patients were followed up for 5 to 7 weeks with an average of(6.00±0.57)weeks.The total score of WOMAC decreased from(64.85±11.54)before op-eration to(45.81±7.91)at 6 weeks after operation(P<0.001).The total KSS was increased from(101.19±9.58)before opera-tion to(125.50±10.32)at 6 weeks after operation(P<0.001).The gait speed,stride frequency and stride length of the affected side before operation were(0.32±0.10)m·s-1,(96.35±24.18)steps·min-1,(0.72±0.14)m,respectively;and increased to(0.48±0.11)m·s 1,(104.20±22.53)steps·min-1,(0.79±0.10)m at 6 weeks after operation(P<0.05).The lower limb support time and active knee bending angle decreased from(0.31±0.38)sand(125.21±11.64)° before operation to(0.11±0.04)s and(120.01±13.35)° at 6 weeks after operation(P<0.05).Eleven patients could able to complete squat before operation,13 patients could able to complete at 6 weeks after operation,and 9 patients could able to complete both before operation and 6 weeks after operation.In 9 patients,the maximum bending angle of crouching position was increased from 76.29° to 124.11° before operation to 91.35° to 134.12° at 6 weeks after operation,and the maximum bending angle of hip was increased from 103.70° to 147.25° before operation to 118.61° to 149.48° at 6 weeks after operation.Conclusion Gait analysis technology based on artificial intelligence image recognition is a safe and effective method to quantitatively identify the changes of pa-tients'gait.Knee pain of KOA was relieved and the function was improved,the supporting ability of the affected limb was im-proved after TKA,and the patient's stride frequency,stride length and stride speed were improved,and the overall movement rhythm of both lower limbs are more coordinated.
3.Phenotypic and molecular characteristics of a Salmonella Grumpensis isolate from a patient with diarrhea in Shanghai,China
Wen-Qing WANG ; Wei-Chun HUANG ; Jing-Hua SU ; Shu-Qi YOU ; Ying-Jie ZHENG ; Bo-Wen YANG ; Hong HUANG ; Li-Peng HAO ; Xue-Bin XU
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2024;40(8):732-738
This study was aimed at studying the phenotypic and molecular characteristics of a Salmonella Grumpensis isolate from a patient with diarrhea in Shanghai,to provide evi-dence for the prevention of salmonellosis.Biochemical identifi-cation,serum agglutination testing,antimicrobial susceptibility testing,and whole genome sequencing(WGS)were performed on isolate 2023JD76.Global Salmonella Grumpensis genome sequences were searched and downloaded for serotyping predic-tion,multilocus sequence typing(MLST),prediction of anti-microbia resistance genes and virulence genes,and phylogenetic analysis of 2023JD76.The 2023JD76 strain was identified as Salmonella Grumpensis(13,23:d:1,7)with ST2060,and was susceptible to 20 antimicrobial agents.Strain 2023JD76 carried the aminoglycoside resistance gene aac(6')-Iaa and five types of virulence genes:the adhesion genes csg and rat;the secretion and transport genes sip and inv;the typhoid toxin genes cdt and plt;the invasive gene nutrient metabolism factor mgt;and the antimicrobial peptide resistance factor mig.Global S.Grumpensis strains harbored ten types of antimicrobial resistance genes whose prevalence ranged from 58.33%to 100%.The global genome sequences of S.Grumpensis were divided into two lineages.Lineage I was dominated by ST751(88.89%,16/18),and lineage Ⅱ was dominated by ST2060(89.47%,17/19).The genome sequence of strain 2023JD76 belonged to lineage Ⅱ,and was closely related to the genome sequences from human fecal and human cerebrospinal fluid.This study provides the first report of a S.Grumpensis isolate from the stool of a patient with diarrhea in China.Considerable variability in antimicrobial resistance genes was observed among genome sequences from different sources,and the strains harbored a substantial number of virulence genes.Enhanced surveillance should be emphasized to prevent a potential risk of global dissemination.
4.Impact of Mild SARS-CoV-2 Infection on Hematological Para-meters and Suitability of Apheresis Platelets Donation in Blood Donors
Shu-Ming HUANG ; Xiao-Mei LIN ; Wei-Mei JIANG ; Shu-Hua JI ; Shou LIN ; Hong-Keng LIN ; Cen CHEN ; Xiao-Ling CHU
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(3):883-889
Objective:To investigate the effects of mild SARS-CoV-2 infection on hematological parameters of adult blood donors and the suitability of apheresis platelet donation,the changes of the hematological parameters in blood donors with mild infection of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant strain were evaluated.Methods:Seventy-two blood donors with mild COVID-19 symptoms who donated consecutive apheresis platelets for 3 times from December 2022 to January 2023,42 cases among which were included in the infection-positive group,and 30 cases in the suspected infection group.Forty-two donors un-vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2,un-infected,and donated three consecutive apheresis platelets from October to November 2022 were included in the control group.The changes of blood routine testing in the positive group and the suspected infection group were retrospectively compared before(Time1)and after(Time2 and Time3)the onset of symptoms,three consecutive times(Time1,Time2,Time3)in the control group by repeated measures analysis of variance.The Bayesian discriminant method was used to establish a discriminant equation to determine whether the recent infection of SARS-CoV-2 occurred or not.Results:Simple effect of the number times of tests in the positive and suspected infection groups was significant(Finfection-positive group=6.98,P<0.001,partial η2=0.79,Fsuspected infection group=4.31,P<0.001,partial η2=0.70).The positive group and the suspected infection group had lower RBC,HCT,and HGB,and higher PLT and PCT at Time2 compared to Time1 and Time3(P<0.05).The positive group and the suspected infection group showes RDW-CV and RDW-SD at Time3 higher than Time1 and Time2(P<0.001).The simple effect of the number times of tests in the control group was not significant(F=0.96,P=0.55,partial η2=0.34).The difference of the whole blood count parameters in the control group for three times was not statistically significant(P>0.05).We established a discriminant equation to determine whether the recent infection of SARS-CoV-2 occurred or not.The equation had an eigenvalue of 0.22,a canonical correlation of 0.43(x2=27.81,P<0.001),and an analysis accuracy of 72.9%.Conclusion:The hematological indicators of RBC,HCT,HGB,PLT,PCT,RDW-CV and RDW-SD in blood donors who had infected with mild COVID-19 showed dynamic changes.The discriminant equation for whether they are infected recently with COVID-19 has a high accuracy rate.
5.The Causes of Platelet Aggregation in Version 6.4 Trima Accel Automated Blood Collection System and the Comparison of Two Intervention Measures
Shu-Ming HUANG ; Xiao-Mei LIN ; Hui-Wei TANG ; Jia ZENG
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(4):1207-1211
Objective:To explore the causes of platelet aggregation in version 6.4 Trima Accel automated blood collection system and the effect of 2 intervention measures.Methods:The data on platelet aggregation(n=61)and non-aggregation(n=323)of 61 donors in 2020 were collected and the causes of aggregation were analyzed.Then the 72 donors with platelet aggregation in 2021 were randomized into intervention group A(increasing the anticoagulant-to-blood ratio)and intervention group B(wrapping the donor's arm with an electric blanket to keep warm and improve the blood flow speed).The collection time,average blood flow speed,number of machine alarms,anticoagulant usage,deaggregation and citrate reaction of the two groups were compared.Results:Platelet aggregation was negatively correlated with the average blood flow speed(r=-0.394)and positively correlated with the collection time(r=0.458).The equations for predicting aggregation and non-aggregation were constructed based on Bayesian and Fisher discriminant analysis,and the predicted accuracy was 77.1%.The comparison of the effects of two intervention measures showed that the average blood flow speed in group B was higher than that in group A;the collection time,number of machine alarms,anticoagulant usage and proportion of citrate reaction in blood donors in group B were all lower than those in Group A,all these differences were significant(P<0.05).In the entire cohort in 2021,90.28%of the products were immediately deaggregated after collection,and 9.72%of the products were deaggregated within 4 hours.There was no statistically significant difference in deaggregation between the two intervention groups(P>0.05).Conclusion:During apheresis platelet collection,the predictive equations for aggregation and non-aggregation can be used to predict the occurrence probability of aggregation,and the intervention can be made in advance.Both intervention measures are effective in reducing platelet aggregation,however,measure B has the advantages of improving the speed of blood collection,shortening the collection time,reducing the alarm frequency and the anticoagulant usage,and reducing the incidence of citrate reaction in blood donors.
6.Application of esophageal sponge cytology to esophageal carcinoma screening in high-incidence districts
Shu HUANG ; Ye GAO ; Yadong FENG ; Hailang ZHOU ; Wei WANG ; Xiuyan HAN ; Fazhen XU ; Aijun ZHOU ; Luowei WANG
Chinese Journal of Digestive Endoscopy 2024;41(10):768-773
Objective:To investigate the safety, feasibility and accuracy of esophageal sponge cytology in esophageal carcinoma screening in high-incidence districts.Methods:Opportunistic screening for esophageal carcinoma was conducted on individuals aged 40-75 years with high-risk factors for esophageal carcinoma and visited out-patient clinic in Lianshui People's Hospital from May 2021 to June 2022. A new esophageal cell collector independently developed in China was used for esophageal sponge cytology sampling followed by cytopathological analysis. Atypical squamous cells or more severe lesions were defined as positive esophageal sponge cytology. Then gastroscopy was performed, and all suspicious areas under the endoscopy were biopsied for histopathological examination. Gastroscopy, biopsy histopathology and esophageal sponge cytology were conducted blindly in pairs. Outcome measures included adverse reactions during sampling, subject tolerability (using a visual simulation score), sampling quality, and diagnostic efficacy of esophageal sponge cytology using gastroscopy plus biopsy histopathology as the gold standard.Results:A total of 1 590 patients completed the screening program. During esophageal sponge cytology sampling, no serious adverse events were observed, and the adverse reactions were mainly manifested as vomiting during sampling [0.31% (5/1 590)] and sore throat after sampling [2.45% (39/1 590)], all of which resolved spontaneously without further medical intervention. The majority of subjects [98.62% (1 568/1 590)] reported good tolerance during the procedure. After sampling, 1 526 (95.97%) subjects had completely expanded sponge material, meeting the standard of good sampling quality. The scanning analysis of the digital pathology system showed that the number of sampled cells in 1 590 subjects ranged (2.01-4.00)×10 6, with a median of 3.48×10 6 cells, which could meet the requirements for interpreting cytological results. Using the positive esophageal sponge cytology for the diagnosis of esophageal carcinoma including high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia, esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy were 98.57% (69/70), 91.51% (1 391/1 520), 34.85% (69/198), 99.93% (1 391/1 392), and 91.82% (1 460/1 590), respectively. Conclusion:Esophageal sponge cytology presents promising diagnostic efficacy for esophageal carcinoma screening, offering a simple, safe, convenient, and effective approach in high-incidence esophageal carcinoma regions.
7.Relationship between serum miR-16 expression and depression in patients with acute cerebral infarc-tion
Hua XIAO ; Xiao-Shu LI ; Yan XIAO ; Tao QIU ; Wei-Liang HUANG ; Ming CHEN ; Xin CHEN
Chinese Journal of cardiovascular Rehabilitation Medicine 2024;33(5):527-531
Objective:To investigate the relationship between the expression of serum microRNA-16(miR-16)and depression in patients with acute cerebral infarction(ACI).Methods:A total of 189 ACI patients treated in Neurol-ogy Department of Zigong First People's Hospital between December 2019 and September 2021 were selected as the disease group,and another 175 healthy volunteers who simultaneously underwent physical examination in our hospi-tal were selected as healthy group.The expression of serum miR-16 was detected by quantitative real time polymer-ase linked reaction(qRT-PCR).ACI patients was divided into depression group(n=56)and no depression group(n=133)according to presence of depression during 6-month follow-up after treatment.Serum miR-16 expres-sion and general data were compared between two groups.Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze influ-encing factors of depression in ACI patients.Results:The expression of serum miR-16[(13.24±2.41)vs.(5.76±1.02)]in the disease group was significantly higher than that of healthy group(P<0.001).After 6-month fol-low-up,the incidence of depression was 29.63%among the 189 ACI patients.Compared with no depression group,patients in depression group had significant higher serum miR-16 expression[(12.75±2.23)vs.(14.42±2.68)],score of National Institute of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)at admission[(15.12±2.88)points vs.(18.23±3.42)points],proportions of introversion(38.35%vs.67.86%)and aphasia(43.61%vs.62.50%),and signif-icant lower Barthel index score[(56.24±9.89)points vs.(48.41±9.45)points](P<0.05 or<0.01).Multivari-ate Logistic regression analysis suggested that serum miR-16 expression(OR=3.071,95%CI 1.653~5.562,P<0.001),introversion(OR=4.623,95%CI 2.321~6.589,P=0.009),aphasia(OR=3.854,95%CI 1.785~6.112,P<0.001)and NIHSS score at admission(OR=4.354,95%CI 2.121~6.563,P<0.001)were independent risk factors for depression in ACI patients,while Barthel index score was its independent protective factor(OR=0.626,95%CI 0.335~0.914,P=0.017).Conclusion:The expression of serum miR-16 in ACI patients is signifi-cantly higher than that of healthy people.Serum miR-16 expression,introversion,aphasia,NIHSS score at admis-sion and Barthel index score are all independent influencing factors for depression in ACI patients.
8.A multi-center epidemiological study on pneumococcal meningitis in children from 2019 to 2020
Cai-Yun WANG ; Hong-Mei XU ; Gang LIU ; Jing LIU ; Hui YU ; Bi-Quan CHEN ; Guo ZHENG ; Min SHU ; Li-Jun DU ; Zhi-Wei XU ; Li-Su HUANG ; Hai-Bo LI ; Dong WANG ; Song-Ting BAI ; Qing-Wen SHAN ; Chun-Hui ZHU ; Jian-Mei TIAN ; Jian-Hua HAO ; Ai-Wei LIN ; Dao-Jiong LIN ; Jin-Zhun WU ; Xin-Hua ZHANG ; Qing CAO ; Zhong-Bin TAO ; Yuan CHEN ; Guo-Long ZHU ; Ping XUE ; Zheng-Zhen TANG ; Xue-Wen SU ; Zheng-Hai QU ; Shi-Yong ZHAO ; Lin PANG ; Hui-Ling DENG ; Sai-Nan SHU ; Ying-Hu CHEN
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(2):131-138
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of pneumococcal meningitis(PM),and drug sensitivity of Streptococcus pneumoniae(SP)isolates in Chinese children.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical information,laboratory data,and microbiological data of 160 hospitalized children under 15 years old with PM from January 2019 to December 2020 in 33 tertiary hospitals across the country.Results Among the 160 children with PM,there were 103 males and 57 females.The age ranged from 15 days to 15 years,with 109 cases(68.1% )aged 3 months to under 3 years.SP strains were isolated from 95 cases(59.4% )in cerebrospinal fluid cultures and from 57 cases(35.6% )in blood cultures.The positive rates of SP detection by cerebrospinal fluid metagenomic next-generation sequencing and cerebrospinal fluid SP antigen testing were 40% (35/87)and 27% (21/78),respectively.Fifty-five cases(34.4% )had one or more risk factors for purulent meningitis,113 cases(70.6% )had one or more extra-cranial infectious foci,and 18 cases(11.3% )had underlying diseases.The most common clinical symptoms were fever(147 cases,91.9% ),followed by lethargy(98 cases,61.3% )and vomiting(61 cases,38.1% ).Sixty-nine cases(43.1% )experienced intracranial complications during hospitalization,with subdural effusion and/or empyema being the most common complication[43 cases(26.9% )],followed by hydrocephalus in 24 cases(15.0% ),brain abscess in 23 cases(14.4% ),and cerebral hemorrhage in 8 cases(5.0% ).Subdural effusion and/or empyema and hydrocephalus mainly occurred in children under 1 year old,with rates of 91% (39/43)and 83% (20/24),respectively.SP strains exhibited complete sensitivity to vancomycin(100% ,75/75),linezolid(100% ,56/56),and meropenem(100% ,6/6).High sensitivity rates were also observed for levofloxacin(81% ,22/27),moxifloxacin(82% ,14/17),rifampicin(96% ,25/26),and chloramphenicol(91% ,21/23).However,low sensitivity rates were found for penicillin(16% ,11/68)and clindamycin(6% ,1/17),and SP strains were completely resistant to erythromycin(100% ,31/31).The rates of discharge with cure and improvement were 22.5% (36/160)and 66.2% (106/160),respectively,while 18 cases(11.3% )had adverse outcomes.Conclusions Pediatric PM is more common in children aged 3 months to under 3 years.Intracranial complications are more frequently observed in children under 1 year old.Fever is the most common clinical manifestation of PM,and subdural effusion/emphysema and hydrocephalus are the most frequent complications.Non-culture detection methods for cerebrospinal fluid can improve pathogen detection rates.Adverse outcomes can be noted in more than 10% of PM cases.SP strains are high sensitivity to vancomycin,linezolid,meropenem,levofloxacin,moxifloxacin,rifampicin,and chloramphenicol.[Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics,2024,26(2):131-138]
9.A multicenter study of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen,China
Li-Xiu SHI ; Jin-Xing FENG ; Yan-Fang WEI ; Xin-Ru LU ; Yu-Xi ZHANG ; Lin-Ying YANG ; Sheng-Nan HE ; Pei-Juan CHEN ; Jing HAN ; Cheng CHEN ; Hui-Ying TU ; Zhang-Bin YU ; Jin-Jie HUANG ; Shu-Juan ZENG ; Wan-Ling CHEN ; Ying LIU ; Yan-Ping GUO ; Jiao-Yu MAO ; Xiao-Dong LI ; Qian-Shen ZHANG ; Zhi-Li XIE ; Mei-Ying HUANG ; Kun-Shan YAN ; Er-Ya YING ; Jun CHEN ; Yan-Rong WANG ; Ya-Ping LIU ; Bo SONG ; Hua-Yan LIU ; Xiao-Dong XIAO ; Hong TANG ; Yu-Na WANG ; Yin-Sha CAI ; Qi LONG ; Han-Qiang XU ; Hui-Zhan WANG ; Qian SUN ; Fang HAN ; Rui-Biao ZHANG ; Chuan-Zhong YANG ; Lei DOU ; Hui-Ju SHI ; Rui WANG ; Ping JIANG ; Shenzhen Neonatal Data Network
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(5):450-455
Objective To investigate the incidence rate,clinical characteristics,and prognosis of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen,China.Methods Led by Shenzhen Children's Hospital,the Shenzhen Neonatal Data Collaboration Network organized 21 institutions to collect 36 cases of neonatal stroke from January 2020 to December 2022.The incidence,clinical characteristics,treatment,and prognosis of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen were analyzed.Results The incidence rate of neonatal stroke in 21 hospitals from 2020 to 2022 was 1/15 137,1/6 060,and 1/7 704,respectively.Ischemic stroke accounted for 75%(27/36);boys accounted for 64%(23/36).Among the 36 neonates,31(86%)had disease onset within 3 days after birth,and 19(53%)had convulsion as the initial presentation.Cerebral MRI showed that 22 neonates(61%)had left cerebral infarction and 13(36%)had basal ganglia infarction.Magnetic resonance angiography was performed for 12 neonates,among whom 9(75%)had involvement of the middle cerebral artery.Electroencephalography was performed for 29 neonates,with sharp waves in 21 neonates(72%)and seizures in 10 neonates(34%).Symptomatic/supportive treatment varied across different hospitals.Neonatal Behavioral Neurological Assessment was performed for 12 neonates(33%,12/36),with a mean score of(32±4)points.The prognosis of 27 neonates was followed up to around 12 months of age,with 44%(12/27)of the neonates having a good prognosis.Conclusions Ischemic stroke is the main type of neonatal stroke,often with convulsions as the initial presentation,involvement of the middle cerebral artery,sharp waves on electroencephalography,and a relatively low neurodevelopment score.Symptomatic/supportive treatment is the main treatment method,and some neonates tend to have a poor prognosis.
10.Construction and simulation of medical resources demand model during epidemic events of infectious diseases
Dong WANG ; Yong-Quan TIAN ; Wei ZHANG ; Hong-Shu ZHOU ; Bo XIE ; Zhen-Yan LI ; Si-Hai FAN ; Su-Juan HUANG
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(10):1286-1294
Objective To construct the demand model of four types of medical resources including beds in hospi-tal,beds in intensive care unit(ICU),ventilators and medical human resources during the major infectious disease epidemic events,simulate and analyze the treatment of infectious diseases when different medical resources are in short supply.Methods Based on the susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered(SEIR)model,considering the infec-tivity of infected persons,the susceptibility of the population and the immunity of convalescents,the characteristics of asymptomatic COVID-19 patients and different clinical types,the"COVID-19 infection-hospitalization model"was constructed.By collecting and setting the parameters of disease transmission,clinical course and medical re-source shortage scenarios,an analysis model of allocation and supply of urban medical resources during infectious di-sease epidemic events was initially formed based on Anylogic platform,the supply and demand of medical resources during infectious disease events in different scenarios were analyzed.Results In the non-intervention scenario,the peak time of bed demand was on the 107th day,and the peak value was 160.92 beds per thousand people;the peak time of ventilator demand was on the 122nd day,and the peak value was 5.61 units per thousand people;the peak time of ICU bed demand was on the 117th day,and the peak value was 12.78 beds per thousand people;the peak time of the demand for medical human resources was on the 109th day,and the peak value was 151.12 persons per thousand persons.The simulation results suggested that there were some differences in the impact of different medi-cal resources on the outcome of medical treatment.Conclusion This study constructs an analytical tool for the allo-cation and supply of urban medical resources under the epidemic events of infectious diseases,and the results of mul-tiple simulation experiments suggest that bed resources and medical human resources play more important roles in the outcome of medical treatment.

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