1.Development of a Prognostic Model for Overall Survival Adult Patients with Core Binding Factor Acute Myeloid Leukaemia
Lu-Yao SHI ; Ling-Ling LI ; Tao LI ; Ya-Fei LI ; Yan-Fang LIU ; Zhong-Xing JIANG ; Shu-Juan WANG ; Chong WANG
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(3):693-701
Objective:To analyze the factors affecting overall survival(OS)of adult patients with core-binding factor acute myeloid leukemia(CBF-AML)and establish a prediction model.Methods:A total of 216 newly diagnosed patients with CBF-AML in the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from May 2015 to July 2021 were retrospectively analyzed.The 216 CBF-AML patients were divided into the training and the validation cohort at 7:3 ratio.The Cox regression model was used to analyze the clinical factors affecting OS.Stepwise regression was used to establish the optimal model and the nomogram.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve and decision curve analysis(DCA)were used to evaluate the model performance.Results:Age(≥ 55 years old),peripheral blood blast(≥80%),fusion gene(AML1-ETO),KIT mutations were identified as independent adverse factors for OS.The area under the ROC curve at 3-year was 0.772 and 0.722 in the training cohort and validation cohort,respectively.The predicted value of the calibration curve is in good agreement with the measured value.DCA shows that this model performs better than a single factor.Conclusion:This prediction model is simple and feasible,and can effectively predict the OS of CBF-AML,and provide a basis for treatment decision.
2.Hepatitis C virus infection:surveillance report from China Healthcare-as-sociated Infection Surveillance System in 2020
Xi-Mao WEN ; Nan REN ; Fu-Qin LI ; Rong ZHAN ; Xu FANG ; Qing-Lan MENG ; Huai YANG ; Wei-Guang LI ; Ding LIU ; Feng-Ling GUO ; Shu-Ming XIANYU ; Xiao-Quan LAI ; Chong-Jie PANG ; Xun HUANG ; An-Hua WU
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(1):1-8
Objective To investigate the infection status and changing trend of hepatitis C virus(HCV)infection in hospitalized patients in medical institutions,and provide reference for formulating HCV infection prevention and control strategies.Methods HCV infection surveillance results from cross-sectional survey data reported to China Healthcare-associated Infection(HAI)Surveillance System in 2020 were summarized and analyzed,HCV positive was serum anti-HCV positive or HCV RNA positive,survey result was compared with the survey results from 2003.Results In 2020,1 071 368 inpatients in 1 573 hospitals were surveyed,738 535 of whom underwent HCV test,4 014 patients were infected with HCV,with a detection rate of 68.93%and a HCV positive rate of 0.54%.The positive rate of HCV in male and female patients were 0.60%and 0.48%,respectively,with a statistically sig-nificant difference(x2=47.18,P<0.001).The HCV positive rate in the 50-<60 age group was the highest(0.76%),followed by the 40-<50 age group(0.71%).Difference among all age groups was statistically signifi-cant(x2=696.74,P<0.001).In 2003,91 113 inpatients were surveyed.35 145 of whom underwent HCV test,resulting in a detection rate of 38.57%;775 patients were infected with HCV,with a positive rate of 2.21%.In 2020,HCV positive rates in hospitals of different scales were 0.46%-0.63%,with the highest in hospital with bed numbers ranging 600-899.Patients'HCV positive rates in hospitals of different scales was statistically signifi-cant(X2=35.34,P<0.001).In 2020,12 provinces/municipalities had over 10 000 patients underwent HCV-rela-ted test,and HCV positive rates ranged 0.19%-0.81%,with the highest rate from Hainan Province.HCV posi-tive rates in different departments were 0.06%-0.82%,with the lowest positive rate in the department of pedia-trics and the highest in the department of internal medicine.In 2003 and 2020,HCV positive rates in the depart-ment of infectious diseases were the highest,being 7.95%and 3.48%,respectively.Followed by departments of orthopedics(7.72%),gastroenterology(3.77%),nephrology(3.57%)and general intensive care unit(ICU,3.10%)in 2003,as well as departments of gastroenterology(1.35%),nephrology(1.18%),endocrinology(0.91%),and general intensive care unit(ICU,0.79%)in 2020.Conclusion Compared with 2003,HCV positive rate decreased significantly in 2020.HCV infected patients were mainly from the department of infectious diseases,followed by departments of gastroenterology,nephrology and general ICU.HCV infection positive rate varies with gender,age,and region.
3.Clinical Features and Prognosis of Multiple Myeloma Patients with Secondary Primary Malignancies.
Ling-Ling LI ; Meng-Lin LI ; Yu ZHANG ; Yu LIU ; Yan-Fang LIU ; Zhong-Xing JIANG ; Shao-Qian CHEN ; Shu-Juan WANG ; Chong WANG
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2023;31(2):429-434
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the clinical characteristics and prognosis of multiple myeloma(MM) patients with secondary primary malignancies.
METHODS:
The clinical data of newly diagnosed MM patients admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2011 to December 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients with secondary primary malignancies were retrieved, and their clinical features and prognosis were evaluated.
RESULTS:
A total of 1 935 patients with newly diagnosed MM were admitted in this period, with a median age of 62 (18-94) years old, of which 1 049 cases were hospitalized twice or more. There were eleven cases with secondary primary malignancies (the incidence rate was 1.05%), including three cases of hematological malignancies (2 cases of acute myelomonocytic leukemia and 1 case of acute promyelocytic leukemia) and eight cases of solid tumors (2 cases of lung adenocarcinoma, and 1 case each of endometrial cancer, esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, primary liver cancer, bladder cancer, cervical squamous cell carcinoma, and meningioma). The median age of onset was 57 years old. The median time between diagnosis of secondary primary malignancies and diagnosis of MM was 39.4 months. There were seven cases with primary or secondary plasma cell leukemia, the incidence rate was 0.67%, and the median age of onset was 52 years old. Compared with the randomized control group, the β2-microglobulin level in the secondary primary malignancies group was lower (P=0.028), and more patients were in stage I/II of ISS (P=0.029). Among the 11 patients with secondary primary malignancies, one survived, ten died, and the median survival time was 40 months. The median survival time of MM patients after the secondary primary malignancies was only seven months. All seven patients with primary or secondary plasma cell leukemia died, with a median survival time of 14 months. The median overall survival time of MM patients with secondary primary malignancies was longer than that of the patients with plasma cell leukemia (P=0.027).
CONCLUSION
The incidence rate of MM with secondary primary malignancies is 1.05%. MM patients with secondary primary malignancies have poor prognosis and short median survival time, but the median survival time is longer than that of patients with plasma cell leukemia.
Humans
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Multiple Myeloma/complications*
;
Leukemia, Plasma Cell
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Esophageal Neoplasms/complications*
;
Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma/complications*
;
Prognosis
;
Neoplasms, Second Primary
4.Lifestyle improvement and the reduced risk of cardiovascular disease: the China-PAR project.
Ying-Ying JIANG ; Fang-Chao LIU ; Chong SHEN ; Jian-Xin LI ; Ke-Yong HUANG ; Xue-Li YANG ; Ji-Chun CHEN ; Xiao-Qing LIU ; Jie CAO ; Shu-Feng CHEN ; Ling YU ; Ying-Xin ZHAO ; Xian-Ping WU ; Lian-Cheng ZHAO ; Ying LI ; Dong-Sheng HU ; Jian-Feng HUANG ; Xiang-Feng LU ; Dong-Feng GU
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2023;20(11):779-787
BACKGROUND:
The benefits of healthy lifestyles are well recognized. However, the extent to which improving unhealthy lifestyles reduces cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk needs to be discussed. We evaluated the impact of lifestyle improvement on CVD incidence using data from the China-PAR project (Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China).
METHODS:
A total of 12,588 participants free of CVD were followed up for three visits after the baseline examination. Changes in four lifestyle factors (LFs) (smoking, diet, physical activity, and alcohol consumption) were assessed through questionnaires from the baseline to the first follow-up visit. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The risk advancement periods (RAPs: the age difference between exposed and unexposed participants reaching the same incident CVD risk) and population-attributable risk percentage (PAR%) were also calculated.
RESULTS:
A total of 909 incident CVD cases occurred over a median follow-up of 11.14 years. Compared with maintaining 0-1 healthy LFs, maintaining 3-4 healthy LFs was associated with a 40% risk reduction of incident CVD (HR = 0.60, 95% CI: 0.45-0.79) and delayed CVD risk by 6.31 years (RAP: -6.31 [-9.92, -2.70] years). The PAR% of maintaining 3-4 unhealthy LFs was 22.0% compared to maintaining 0-1 unhealthy LFs. Besides, compared with maintaining two healthy LFs, improving healthy LFs from 2 to 3-4 was associated with a 23% lower risk of CVD (HR = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.60-0.98).
CONCLUSIONS
Long-term sustenance of healthy lifestyles or improving unhealthy lifestyles can reduce and delay CVD risk.
6.Consensus statement on Singapore integrated 24-hour activity guide for children and adolescents.
Benny Kai Guo LOO ; Benedict TAN ; Michael Yong Hwa CHIA ; Poh Chong CHAN ; Dinesh SIRISENA ; Mohammad Ashik ZAINUDDIN ; Jean Yin OH ; Oon Hoe TEOH ; Teresa Shu Zhen TAN ; Micheal Chee Meng LIM ; Ethel Jie Kai LIM ; Falk MÜLLER-RIEMENSCHNEIDER ; Ngiap Chuan TAN ; Ratnaporn SIRIAMORNSARP ; Terry Chin Chye TEO ; Phaik Ling QUAH ; Victor Samuel RAJADURAI ; Kok Hian TAN ; Kee Chong NG
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2022;51(5):292-299
INTRODUCTION:
Lifestyle activities, such as regular physical activity, are important for good metabolic health and the prevention of non-communicable diseases. Epidemiological studies highlight an increase in the proportion of overweight children in Singapore. A workgroup was formed to develop recommendations to encourage children and adolescents (aged 7-17 years) to adopt a holistic approach towards integrating beneficial activities within a daily 24-hour period for good metabolic and general health.
METHODS:
The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) Evidence to Decision framework was employed to formulate the public health question, assess the evidence and draw conclusions for the guide. The evidence for international 24-hour movement guidelines, and guidelines for physical activity, sedentary behaviour, and sleep and eating habits were reviewed. An update of the literature review from August 2018 to end of September 2020 was conducted through an electronic search of Medline and Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL) databases.
RESULTS:
Ten consensus statements were developed. The statements focused on the overall aim of achieving good metabolic health through integration of these activities and initiatives: light and moderate- to vigorous-intensity physical activity on a regular basis; muscle- and bone-strengthening activities; limiting sedentary behaviour; regular and adequate sleep; good eating habits and choosing nutritionally balanced foods and drinks; practise safety in exercise; and aiming to achieve more or all aforementioned recommendations for the best results.
CONCLUSION
This set of recommendations provides guidance to encourage Singapore children and adolescents to adopt health-beneficial activities within a 24-hour period.
Adolescent
;
Child
;
Exercise
;
Humans
;
Public Health
;
Sedentary Behavior
;
Singapore
;
Sleep
7.Non-motorised active mobility device use by children in Singapore: Injury patterns and risk factors for severe injury.
Aletheia Z H CHIA ; Shu Ling CHONG ; Sashikumar GANAPATHY
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2022;51(9):531-539
INTRODUCTION:
Wheeled recreational devices (WRDs) include tricycles, bicycles, scooters, inline skates, skateboards, longboards and waveboards, and can cause significant morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to describe the epidemiology and nature of injuries sustained by children from WRD use, and risk factors for severe injury.
METHOD:
We described injuries relating to WRD use in children <18 years who presented to the emergency department of an Asian tertiary hospital between 2016 and 2020. Demographic data, site and nature of the injury, and historical trends were analysed. Risk factors for severe injury (defined as fractures or dislocations), Injury Severity Score ≥9, and injuries resulting in hospitalisation, surgery or death were evaluated.
RESULTS:
A total of 5,002 patients with 5,507 WRD-related injuries were attended to over the 5-year study period. Median age was 4.7 years. Injuries related to bicycles (54.6%) and scooters (30.3%) were most frequent, followed by skateboards and waveboards (7.4%), inline skates (4.7%), and tricycles (3.0%). Injuries occurred most frequently in public spaces. Soft tissue injuries (49.3%) and fractures (18.7%) were the most common diagnoses. Upper limb (36.4%) and head and neck (29.0%) regions were the most common sites of injury. Among the patients, 1,910 (38%) had severe injuries with potential morbidity. On multivariate analysis, heavier children of the school-going age who use either scooters, skateboards or inline skates are more prone to severe injuries. Involvement in a vehicular collision was a negative predictor.
CONCLUSION
WRD use in children can result in severe injuries. Wrist and elbow guards, as well as helmets are recommended, along with adequate parental supervision.
Child
;
Child, Preschool
;
Emergency Service, Hospital
;
Fractures, Bone/etiology*
;
Head Protective Devices
;
Humans
;
Injury Severity Score
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
Singapore/epidemiology*
8.Validation and comparison of the PECARN rule, Step-by-Step approach and Lab-score for predicting serious and invasive bacterial infections in young febrile infants.
Natalia SUTIMAN ; Zi Xean KHOO ; Gene Yong Kwang ONG ; Rupini PIRAGASAM ; Shu Ling CHONG
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2022;51(10):595-604
INTRODUCTION:
Differentiating infants with serious bacterial infections (SBIs) or invasive bacterial infections (IBIs) from those without remains a challenge. We sought to compare the diagnostic performances of single biomarkers (absolute neutrophil count [ANC], C-reactive protein [CRP] and procalcitonin [PCT]) and 4 diagnostic approaches comprising Lab-score, Step-by-Step approach (original and modified) and Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network (PECARN) rule.
METHOD:
This is a prospective cohort study involving infants 0-90 days of age who presented to an emergency department from July 2020 to August 2021. SBIs were defined as bacterial meningitis, bacteraemia and/or urinary tract infections. IBIs were defined as bacteraemia and/or bacterial meningitis. We evaluated the performances of Lab-score, Step-by-Step (original and modified) and PECARN rule in predicting SBIs and IBIs.
RESULTS:
We analysed a total of 258 infants, among whom 86 (33.3%) had SBIs and 9 (3.5%) had IBIs. In predicting SBIs, ANC ≥4.09 had the highest sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV), while PCT ≥1.7 had the highest specificity and positive predictive value (PPV). CRP ≥20 achieved the highest area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.741 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.672-0.810). The Step-by-Step (original) approach had the highest sensitivity (97.7%). Lab-score had the highest AUC of 0.695 (95% CI 0.621-0.768), compared to PECARN rule at 0.625 (95% CI 0.556-0.694) and Step-by-Step (original) at 0.573 (95% CI 0.502-0.644). In predicting IBIs, PCT ≥1.7 had the highest sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV. The Step-by-Step (original and modified) approach had the highest sensitivity of 100%. Lab-score had the highest AUC of 0.854 (95% CI 0.731-0.977) compared to PECARN rule at 0.589 (95% CI 0.420-0.758) and Step-by-Step at 0.562 (95% CI 0.392-0.732).
CONCLUSION
CRP strongly predicted SBIs, and PCT strongly predicted IBI. The Step-by-Step approach had the highest sensitivity and NPV, while Lab-score had the highest specificity and AUC in predicting SBIs and IBIs.
Infant
;
Humans
;
Child
;
Calcitonin
;
Prospective Studies
;
Emergency Service, Hospital
;
Bacterial Infections/diagnosis*
;
Fever/diagnosis*
;
C-Reactive Protein/analysis*
;
Meningitis, Bacterial/diagnosis*
;
Bacteremia
;
Biomarkers
;
Emergency Medical Services
;
Procalcitonin
10.Cost of inpatient rehabilitation for children with moderate to severe traumatic brain injury.
Jia Hui TEO ; Shu-Ling CHONG ; L W CHIANG ; Zhi Min NG
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2021;50(1):26-32
AIM:
To evaluate the cost of inpatient rehabilitation for children with moderate to severe traumatic brain injury (TBI). Secondary aim was to identify factors associated with high inpatient rehabilitation cost.
METHOD:
Retrospective review of a tertiary hospital's trauma registry was performed from 2011-2017. All patients aged 16 years or younger who sustained TBI with Glasgow Coma Scale ≤13 were included. Data on patient demographics, mechanism and severity of injury, hospital duration and inpatient rehabilitation cost were collected. We performed a regression analysis to identify factors associated with high rehabilitation cost.
RESULTS:
There were a total of 51 patients. The median duration of inpatient rehabilitation was 13.5 days (interquartile range [IQR] 4-35), amounting to a median cost of SGD8,361 (IQR 3,543-25,232). Daily ward costs contributed the most to total inpatient rehabilitation cost. Those with severe TBI had longer duration of inpatient rehabilitation that resulted in higher cost of inpatient rehabilitation. Presence of polytrauma, medical complications, post-traumatic amnesia and TBI post-non-accidental injury (NAI) were associated with higher cost of inpatient rehabilitation.
CONCLUSION
The cost of inpatient rehabilitation for paediatric patients post-TBI is significant in Singapore. Patients with TBI secondary to NAI had significantly higher cost of inpatient rehabilitation. Ways to reduce duration of hospitalisation post-TBI and early step-down care or outpatient rehabilitation should be explored to reduce cost.

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