1.Association between serum indirect bilirubin and stroke risk in individuals with stages 0-3 cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome
Chuanchang WU ; Shuohua CHEN ; Zhenhua ZHANG ; Shouling WU
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2026;61(1):169-175
ObjectiveTo systematically evaluate the association between serum indirect bilirubin (IBIL) levels and the risk of stroke incidence in patients with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome stages 0-3. MethodsA total of 48 301 participants with CKM syndrome stages 0-3 were included, during which 2 904 stroke events were recorded. A prospective cohort study design was employed. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to analyze the relationship between IBIL and stroke risk, and restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression was applied to examine the dose-response relationship. Threshold effect analysis was conducted to identify potential inflection points in nonlinear relationships. ResultsMultivariable Cox regression analysis showed that in the overall population, each 1 μmol/L increase in IBIL level was associated with approximately a 1.2% reduction in stroke risk (HR = 0.988, 95% CI: 0.979-0.996, P < 0.05). A significant interaction was observed between IBIL and CKM stages in relation to stroke risk (Pinteraction < 0.05). In individuals with stages 0–2 of CKM syndrome, higher IBIL levels showed a significant inverse association with stroke risk (Ptrend < 0.05); however, no such association was observed in stage 3 patients. RCS regression and threshold effect analysis further revealed a nonlinear relationship between IBIL levels and stroke risk in stage 3 CKM patients (Plog-likelihood ratio < 0.05). When serum IBIL exceeded 10.980 μmol/L, each 1 μmol/L increase was associated with approximately 5.7% increase in stroke risk (HR = 1.057, 95% CI: 1.009–1.107, P < 0.05). ConclusionThe correlation between serum IBIL and stroke varies across different stages of CKM syndrome, showing a significant negative association in individuals at stages \0–2, while in stage 3 patients, it exhibits a threshold effect with an inflection point at 10.980 μmol/L.
2.Bidirectional association between metabolic associated fatty liver disease and the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease
Yanan ZHAO ; Qi QI ; Xinyu WU ; Quanle HAN ; Jing YANG ; Boheng ZHANG ; Xuyang LI ; Lei LI ; Yun ZHANG ; Shouling WU ; Kangbo LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(4):856-865
ObjectiveTo investigate the association between metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), and to provide data support for the prevention and treatment of such metabolic-associated diseases in clinical practice. MethodsAn observation cohort was established for the workers of Kailuan who underwent physical examination for the first time from June 2006 to October 2007 and had complete liver assessment data, without the history of malignant tumor, MAFLD or ASCVD. According to the presence or absence of MAFLD, the patients were divided into non-MAFLD group with 67 565 patients and MAFLD group with 29 004 patients, and according to the presence or absence of ASCVD, the patients were divided into non-ASCVD group with 69 141 patients and ASCVD group with 481 patients. The group t-test or the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison of continuous data between the two groups. The
3.Variability of remnant cholesterol inflammation index exhibits a dose-response relationship with stroke risk:Evidence from the Chinese Kailuan cohort
Liuliu CAO ; Man LI ; Zhaohui WU ; Maolin ZHAO ; Baohua WANG ; Li ZHANG ; Peng LI ; Yongna YANG ; Weiguo ZHENG ; Haiyan ZHAO ; Shuohua CHEN ; Shouling WU ; Lixia SUN
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(22):2847-2857
Objective To investigate the association between the variability of remnant cholesterol inflammatory index(RCII),a novel composite biomarker,and the risk of stroke,in order to provide a theoretical basis for stroke prevention.Methods A prospective cohort study was conducted on 38 659 Kailuan individuals who took annual physical examinations in 2006,2008,and 2010.These subjects were grouped based on the quartiles of RCII variability,which was represented by standard deviation(SD)and average real variability(ARV),and were followed up every 2 years,with the occurrence of stroke(including ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes),death,or the end of follow-up on December 31,2022 as the endpoints.Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the cumulative incidence rate of endpoint events across different groups,and log-rank test was used to compare the difference of cumulative incidence of endpoint events in each group.Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was adopted to analyze the association between RCII variability and risk of stroke.Results Among the 38 659 participants,a total of 2 539 strokes occurred during a mean follow-up period of 11.22±2.26 years.After adjusting confounding factors,when the participants were grouped by the quartiles of RCII-SD,the hazard ratio(HR)for stroke was 1.034(95%CI:0.917~1.167,P=0.584),1.146(95%CI:1.018~1.290,P=0.025),and 1.209(95%CI:1.066~1.370,P=0.003),respectively in the Q2,Q3,and Q4 groups,when compared with the Q1 group(Ptrend<0.05).When they were grouped by the quartiles of RCII-ARV,the HR for stroke was 1.008(95%CI:0.894~1.136,P=0.901),1.109(95%CI:0.986~1.248,P=0.085),and 1.152(95%CI:1.018~1.303,P=0.025),respectively,in the Q2,Q3,and Q4 groups,when compared with the Q1 group.Furthermore,both sensitivity and stratified analyses yielded similar results.Conclusion RCII variability is significantly associated with stroke,and the risk of stroke is gradually increasing with increment of the variability.Countermeasures Relevant authorities can focus on reducing RCII variability as a central objective by establishing regular monitoring mechanism,strengthening lifestyle interventions,and standardizing dietary,exercise,and weight management in order to suppress the index fluctuations.The principle of stable lipid-lowering in medication and optimization of therapeutic regimens with stable efficacy should be emphasized to prevent the risk of additional vascular damage.
4.Association Between Resting Heart Rate and Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease and All-cause Death in Young and Middle-aged Adults
Lei LI ; Qi QI ; Xinyu WU ; Quanle HAN ; Jie DENG ; Xuechao ZHANG ; Zheng WU ; Nan WANG ; Shouling WU ; Kangbo LI
Chinese Circulation Journal 2025;40(7):681-688
Objectives:To investigate the correlation between resting heart rate(RHR)and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease(ASCVD)and all-cause death in young and middle-aged people.Methods:A prospective cohort study was conducted enrolling 72 642 young and middle-aged participants(aged<60 years),who participated in the medical examination of the Kailuan Study from June 2006 to October 2007.According to the quartile of the RHR level,the participants were divided into Q1 group(<67 beats/min,n=14 381),Q2 group(67-70 beats/min,n=15 815),Q3 group(71-75 beats/min,n=15 876),Q4 group(76-80 beats/min,n=13 933)and Q5 group(>80 beats/min,n=12 637).Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to analyze the effect of RHR on ASCVD and all-cause death.The dose-response relationship between RHR and the risk of ASCVD and all-cause death was investigated using a restricted cubic spline regression model.Results:During a mean follow-up of(10.0±4.85)years,2 898 patients(3.99%)developed ASCVD.Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that after adjusting for confounding factors,the risk of RHR and ASCVD in group Q5 increased by 20%compared with group Q1(HR=1.20,95%CI:1.06-1.35,P<0.05).There was no significant risk in groups Q2 to Q4 compared to Q1 group(all P>0.05).In addition,the risk of ASCVD increased by 4%for every 10 beats/min increase in RHR(HR=1.04,95%CI:1.01-1.07,P=0.009).During the follow-up period of(10.2±4.82)years,all-cause death occurred in 2 175 participants(2.99%).The results showed that compared with Q1 group,the risk of all-cause death in Q3 to Q5 groups increased by 33%(HR=1.33,95%CI:1.15-1.54,P<0.001),33%(HR=1.33,95%CI:1.14-1.54,P<0.001),and 78%(HR=1.78,95%CI:1.54-2.05,P<0.001)respectively,and there was no statistical significance between group Q2 and group Q1.The risk of all-cause death increased by 15%for every 10 beats/min increase in RHR(HR=1.15,95%CI:1.11-1.19,P<0.001).Restricted cubic spline analysis showed that RHR was linearly correlated with risk of ASCVD(Poverall=0.022,Pnon-linear=0.617),and the risk of ASCVD increased significantly with RHR>72 beats/min.RHR was linearly associated with the risk of all-cause death(Poverall<0.001,Pnon-linear=0.212),and the risk of all-cause death was significantly increased with RHR>72 betas/min.Conclusions:Higher RHR is associated with an increased risk of ASCVD and all-cause mortality in young and middle-aged individuals.
5.Association Between Triglyceride-glucose Index and Risk of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Young and Middle-aged Adults
Zheng WU ; Qi QI ; Xinyu WU ; Jie YU ; Bo YANG ; Xuechao ZHANG ; Quanle HAN ; Nan WANG ; Shouling WU ; Kangbo LI
Chinese Circulation Journal 2025;40(3):277-283
Objectives:To investigate the association between the triglyceride-glucose(TyG)index and risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD)in young and middle-aged(<60 years)adults.Methods:From June 2006 to October 2007,47 675 employees of Kailuan Group with no liver disease were selected as the study objects.Based on the TyG index quartile,participants were divided into Q1 group(TyG index≤8.08,n=11 924),Q2 group(8.08
6.Predictive value of different obesity indicators for colorectal cancer in different sex populations
Chao MA ; Jiaxing LI ; Kuan LIU ; Wanchao WANG ; Yuan TIAN ; Taixian JIANG ; Zhigang DONG ; Wenqiang WEI ; Shouling WU ; Siqing LIU
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2025;28(1):75-80
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of different obesity indicators for colorectal cancer (CRC) risk in different gender populations.Methods:This observational study was conducted within the Kailuan Study (Registration Number: ChiCTR-TNC-11001489). From July 2006 to October 2007, a total of 101,510 employed and retired individuals underwent health examinations, including gastrointestinal disease screening, hematological tests, and questionnaires, at Kailuan General Hospital and its 10 affiliated hospitals. After excluding those with incomplete data, 93,606 participants were included in this study and divided into male (74 852) and female (18 754) groups. CRC incidence was collected through physical examinations and questionnaires every two years. Each participant's follow-up period began at the time of the questionnaire and ended upon CRC diagnosis, death, or December 31, 2021. Body Mass Index (BMI), waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) were quartiled (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4), with Q1 serving as the control group. After adjusting for traditional risk factors such as age, total cholesterol, triglycerides, diabetes, hypertension, smoking status, alcohol consumption, and physical exercise, Cox regression models were used to calculate the correlations between BMI, waist circumference, WHR, WHtR, and CRC incidence in both male and female populations.Results:The age of all patients was (51±12) years, BMI was (25.06±3.49) kg/m 2, waist circumference was (86.94±9.97) cm, hip circumference was (97.30±8.81) cm, WHR was 0.89±0.07, and WHtR was 0.52±0.06.Female participants had significantly lower BMI, waist circumference, WHR, and WHtR compared to males, with statistically significant differences (all P<0.05). The mean follow-up duration for all participants was 15.01 (14.10±2.66) years, during which 718 CRC cases were identified, including 626 males (0.83%) and 92 females (0.49%). Cox proportional hazards models for males showed that CRC risk increased with waist circumference from Q3 (HR=1.43, 95%CI: 1.13-1.79, P=0.003) to Q4 (HR=1.45,95%CI: 1.14-1.82, P=0.002). Similarly, CRC risk increased with WHR from Q3 (HR=1.22, 95%CI: 1.01-1.53, P=0.007) to Q4 (HR=1.43, 95%CI: 1.14-1.79, P=0.002) and with WHtR from Q3 (HR=1.37, 95%CI: 1.08-1.74, P=0.009) to Q4 (HR=1.68, 95%CI: 1.33-2.12, P<0.001). For females, CRC risk increased with waist circumference from Q2 (HR=2.37, 95%CI: 1.20-4.67, P=0.012) to Q3 (HR=2.42, 95%CI: 1.21-4.84, P=0.013) but decreased in Q4 ( HR=2.08, 95%CI: 1.02-4.25, P=0.043). CRC risk increased significantly with WHR from Q2 (HR=2.20, 95%CI: 1.11-4.39, P=0.024) to Q3 (HR=2.89, 95%CI: 1.48-5.67, P=0.002) in females but was not statistically significant in Q4 ( P=0.074). Among females, CRC risk also increased significantly with WHtR in Q2 (HR=2.30, 95% CI: 1.16-4.56, P=0.017) and Q4 (HR=2.64, 95%CI: 1.32-5.29, P=0.006). There were no statistically significant differences in CRC risk associated with BMI in either male or female populations (both P>0.05). Conclusion:Waist circumference, WHR, and WHtR were better predictors of CRC risk than BMI in both male and female populations.
7.The influence of diabetes mellitus and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein on the risk of diges-tive system malignancy: a prospective cohort study
Kuan LIU ; Jiaxing LI ; Chao MA ; Wanchao WANG ; Yuan TIAN ; Zhigang DONG ; Wenqiang WEI ; Shuohua CHEN ; Shouling WU ; Siqing LIU
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2025;24(1):93-102
Objective:To investigate the influence of diabetes mellitus (DM) and high-sen-sitivity C-reactive protein (Hs-CRP) on the risk of digestive system malignancy.Methods:The pro-spective cohort study was conducted. The clinical data of 93 928 participants who participated health examination in 9 hospitals at Tangshan, including Kailuan General Hospital Affiliated to North China University of Science and Technology et al, in 2006 were selected. According to the presence or absence of DM and the level of Hs-CRP, all participants were divided into 4 groups, including the DM(-)CRP(-) group defined as absence of DM and Hs-CRP ≤3 mg/L, the DM(-)CRP(+) group defined as absence of DM and Hs-CRP>3 mg/L, the DM(+)CRP(-) group defined as presence of DM and Hs-CRP ≤3 mg/L, and the DM(+)CRP(+) group defined as presence of DM and Hs-CRP >3 mg/L. The data of participants were collected by a fixed team of physicians. The first physical examination in 2006 was taken as the starting point for follow-up. The end event of follow-up was defined as the occurrence of digestive system malignancy or death, and the follow-up was up to December 31, 2021. Observation indicators: (1) comparison of clinical data among the 4 groups of participants; (2) the incidence and cumulative incidence rate of digestive system malignancy in participants; (3) influence of DM and Hs-CRP level on the risk of digestive system malignancy; (4) the combined influence of DM and Hs-CRP level on the risk of digestive system malignancy; (5) sensitivity analysis. Comparison of measurement data with normal distribution among multiple groups was conducted using the one-way analysis of variance. For pairwise comparison, least significant difference test was used for homogeneity of variance, and Dunnett′s T3 test was used for heterogeneity of variance. Comparison of measurement data with skewed distribution among multiple groups was conducted using the Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test, and Dunn-Bonferroni test was used for pairwise comparison. Comparison of count data among multiple groups was conducted using the chi-square test, and Bonferroni test was used among multiple comparisons. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot cumulative incidence curve, and Log-rank test was used for cumulative incidence rate analysis. The Cox proportional risk model was used for multivariate analysis. All models were adjusted for relevant confounders. Results:(1) Comparison of clinical data among the 4 groups of participants. Of the 93 928 participants, there were 70 743 cases in the DM(-)CRP(-) group, 14 644 cases in the DM(-)CRP(+) group, 6 425 cases in the DM(+)CRP(-) group, and 2 116 cases in the DM(+)CRP(+) group. There were significant differences in gender, age, fasting blood glucose, Hs-CRP, triglyceride, alanine aminotransferase, body mass index, marrital status, smoking, drinking, high school degree or above, physical exercise, high salt diet, high fat diet, positive hepatitis B virus surface antigen, fatty liver, liver cirrhosis, gallstone, taking hypoglycemic drugs, taking lipid-lowering drugs among the 4 groups of participants ( P<0.05). (2) The incidence and cumulative incidence rate of digestive system malignancy in participants. At the end-up of follow-up, 2 008 cases developed digestive system malignancy in the 93 928 participants, including 717 cases of colorectal cancer, 456 cases of liver cancer, 396 cases of gastric cancer, 195 cases of esophageal cancer, 144 cases of pancreatic cancer, 65 cases of gallbladder cancer or extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, 35 cases of small bowel cancer. The cumulative incidence rates of digestive system malignancy were 2.19%, 2.42%, 2.86%, 3.59% in participants of the DM(-)CRP(-) group, DM(-)CRP(+) group, DM(+)CRP(-) group, DM(+)CRP(+) group, respectively, showing a significant difference among the 4 groups ( χ2=31.72, P<0.05). (3) Influence of DM and Hs-CRP level on the risk of digestive system malignancy. After adjusting for the confounding factors of the participants, results of multivariate analysis showed that DM and Hs-CRP >3 mg/L were independent influencing factors for the incidence of digestive system malignancy ( hazard ratio=1.32, 1.19, 95% confidence interval as 1.13-1.56, 1.06-1.33, P<0.05). Futher analysis showed that there was a significant difference in interaction between DM and Hs-CRP >3 mg/L ( P<0.05). (4) The combined influence of DM and Hs-CRP level on the risk of digestive system malign-ancy. After adjusting for confounding factors, results of multivariate analysis showed that using the DM(-)CRP(-) group as the control group, the risk of incidence of digestive system malignancy increased in the DM(-)CRP(+) group, DM(+)CRP(-) group, and DM(+)CRP(+) group, respectively ( hazard ratio=1.14, 1.23, 1.79, 95% confidence interval as 1.01-1.29, 1.02-1.48, 1.38-2.31, P<0.05). In the site-specific analysis of digestive system malignancy, using the DM(-)CRP(-) group as the control group, the risk of incidence of liver cancer increased in the DM(-)CRP(+) group ( hazard ratio=1.37, 95% confidence interval as 1.07-1.75, P<0.05), the risk of incidence of liver cancer and pancrea-tic cancer increased in the DM(+)CRP(-) group ( hazard ratio=1.60, 1.74, 95% confidence interval as 1.16-2.21, 1.00-3.02, P<0.05), the risk of incidence of small bowel cancer, pancreatic cancer and colorectal cancer increased in the DM(+)CRP(+) group ( hazard ratio=5.05, 2.31, 2.23, 95% confidence interval as 1.57-16.21, 1.00-5.31, 1.54-3.24, P<0.05). (5) Sensitivity analysis. After adjusting for confounding factors of excluding 3 types of participants (103 cases of digestive system malignancy within 1 year of follow-up, 2 370 cases of taking glucose-lowering drugs, and 915 cases of taking lipid-lowering drugs), results of multivariate analysis showed that using the DM(-)CRP(-) group as the control group, the risk of incidence of digestive system malignancy increased in the DM(+)CRP(-) group, and DM(+)CRP(+) group, respectively ( hazard ratioexcluding cases of digestive system malignancy within 1 year of follow-up=1.26, 1.66, 95% confidence interval as 1.04-1.52, 1.26-2.18, P<0.05; hazard ratioexcluding cases taking glucose-lowering drugs=1.23, 1.75, 95% confidence interval as 1.02-1.49, 1.31-2.33, P<0.05; hazard ratioexcluding cases taking lipid-lowering drugs=1.24, 1.80, 95% confidence interval as 1.03-1.49, 1.39-2.34, P<0.05). Conclusions:DM and Hs-CRP >3 mg/L are independent influencing factors for the incidence of digestive system malignancy. There is an interation and synergistic effect between DM and Hs-CRP to promote the incidence of digestive system malignancy.
8.Association of Chinese visceral adiposity index and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein with the risk of digestive malignancies
Shuqing CUI ; Chao MA ; Jiaxing LI ; Yunpeng LI ; Ze WANG ; Fei TIAN ; Hong JI ; Xinyu GE ; Shouling WU ; Xiangming MA
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(7):1380-1387
Objective To investigate the association of Chinese visceral adiposity index(CVAI)and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein(hs-CRP)with the risk of digestive malignancies in the Kailuan study population,and to provide a basis for the prevention and control of digestive malignancies in the population.Methods A prospective cohort study was conducted,and a total of 94 377 Kailuan workers who participated in the 2006 health examination,had no history of cancer,and had complete data on CVAI,CRP,and related covariates were selected as the observation cohort.According to the levels of CVAI and CRP,the subjects were divided into low CVAI+CRP≤3 mg/L group[CVAI(-)CRP(-)group],low CVAI+CRP>3 mg/L group[CVAI(-)CRP(+)group],high CVAI+CRP≤3 mg/L group[CVAI(+)CRP(-)group],and high CVAI+CRP>3 mg/L group[CVAI(+)CRP(+)group].An analysis of variance was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups,and the non-parametric Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison of continuous data with skewed distribution between groups;the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups.The Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to assess the impact of CVAI and CRP alone or in combination on the risk of digestive malignancies.Results There were significant differences between the four groups in age,male/female ratio,total cholesterol,triglycerides,high-density lipoprotein cholesterol,systolic blood pressure,diastolic blood pressure,fasting blood glucose,high-sensitivity C-reactive protein,waist circumference,body mass index,marital status,alcohol consumption,smoking,reported income,and physical exercise(all P<0.05).During a mean follow-up time of 14.08±2.76 years,2 043 new-onset cases of digestive malignancies were identified by the end of follow-up on December 31,2021.The Cox proportional-hazards regression model showed that after adjustment for CRP and other factors,compared with the low CVAI group,the high CVAI group had a hazard ratio(HR)of 1.34(95%confidence interval[CI]:1.23-1.47)for the risk of digestive malignancies.After adjustment for CVAI and other factors,compared with the CRP≤3 mg/L group,the CRP>3 mg/L group had an HR of 1.14(95%CI:1.02-1.28)for the risk of digestive malignancies.Compared with the CVAI(-)CRP(-)group(n=40 978),the CVAI(-)CRP(+)group(n=6 210),the CVAI(+)CRP(-)group(n=36 502),and the CVAI(+)CRP(+)group(n=10 687)had an HR of 1.05(95%CI:1.01-1.09,P<0.05),1.32(95%CI:1.20-1.45,P<0.05),and 1.48(95%CI:1.28-1.70,P<0.05),respectively,for the risk of digestive malignancies.As for digestive malignancies at specific locations,the CVAI(+)CRP(+)group had an increased risk of liver cancer,gastric cancer,pancreatic cancer,colorectal cancer,and small intestinal cancer with an HR of 1.35(95%CI:1.05-1.81,P<0.05),1.48(95%CI:1.09-2.00,P<0.05),1.60(95%CI:1.07-2.41,P<0.05),1.76(1.40-2.21,P<0.05),and 3.85(95%CI:1.43-10.33,P<0.05),respectively.Conclusion A high level of CVAI,a high level of CRP,and high levels of CVAI and CRP in combination can all increase the risk of digestive malignancies,among which the high levels of CVAI and CRP in combination may lead to a higher risk.
9.Study on the correlation between cumulative exposure of body mass index and epicardial adipose tissue volume
Minghua LI ; Shouling WU ; Guodong WANG ; Shuohua CHEN ; Jingwang LIU ; Qi LI ; Jian LI
Journal of Practical Radiology 2025;41(3):410-414
Objective To investigate the correlation of the cumulative exposure of body mass index(BMI)with epicardial adipose tissue(EAT)volume.Methods Based on the Kailuan study cohort,subjects were divided into Q1,Q2 and Q3 according to the cumula-tive BMI exposure level.The generalized linear regression model was used to analyze the correlation between different cumulative BMI exposure levels and EAT volume.According to the median of EAT volume(115.83 cm3),EAT volume was defined as increased EAT volume when EAT volume was higher than or equal to the median EAT volume.Logistic regression model was used to analyze the correlation between different cumulative BMI exposure levels and increased EAT volume.Results With the increased of cumu-lative BMI exposure level.The EAT volume increased gradually and the risk of increased EAT volume was significantly increased.Conclusion The level of cumulative BMI exposure is significantly correlated with EAT volume.High levels of cumulative BMI exposure lead to an increased risk of increased EAT volume.

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