1.Association between serum indirect bilirubin and stroke risk in individuals with stages 0-3 cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome
Chuanchang WU ; Shuohua CHEN ; Zhenhua ZHANG ; Shouling WU
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2026;61(1):169-175
ObjectiveTo systematically evaluate the association between serum indirect bilirubin (IBIL) levels and the risk of stroke incidence in patients with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome stages 0-3. MethodsA total of 48 301 participants with CKM syndrome stages 0-3 were included, during which 2 904 stroke events were recorded. A prospective cohort study design was employed. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to analyze the relationship between IBIL and stroke risk, and restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression was applied to examine the dose-response relationship. Threshold effect analysis was conducted to identify potential inflection points in nonlinear relationships. ResultsMultivariable Cox regression analysis showed that in the overall population, each 1 μmol/L increase in IBIL level was associated with approximately a 1.2% reduction in stroke risk (HR = 0.988, 95% CI: 0.979-0.996, P < 0.05). A significant interaction was observed between IBIL and CKM stages in relation to stroke risk (Pinteraction < 0.05). In individuals with stages 0–2 of CKM syndrome, higher IBIL levels showed a significant inverse association with stroke risk (Ptrend < 0.05); however, no such association was observed in stage 3 patients. RCS regression and threshold effect analysis further revealed a nonlinear relationship between IBIL levels and stroke risk in stage 3 CKM patients (Plog-likelihood ratio < 0.05). When serum IBIL exceeded 10.980 μmol/L, each 1 μmol/L increase was associated with approximately 5.7% increase in stroke risk (HR = 1.057, 95% CI: 1.009–1.107, P < 0.05). ConclusionThe correlation between serum IBIL and stroke varies across different stages of CKM syndrome, showing a significant negative association in individuals at stages \0–2, while in stage 3 patients, it exhibits a threshold effect with an inflection point at 10.980 μmol/L.
2.Bidirectional association between metabolic associated fatty liver disease and the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease
Yanan ZHAO ; Qi QI ; Xinyu WU ; Quanle HAN ; Jing YANG ; Boheng ZHANG ; Xuyang LI ; Lei LI ; Yun ZHANG ; Shouling WU ; Kangbo LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(4):856-865
ObjectiveTo investigate the association between metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), and to provide data support for the prevention and treatment of such metabolic-associated diseases in clinical practice. MethodsAn observation cohort was established for the workers of Kailuan who underwent physical examination for the first time from June 2006 to October 2007 and had complete liver assessment data, without the history of malignant tumor, MAFLD or ASCVD. According to the presence or absence of MAFLD, the patients were divided into non-MAFLD group with 67 565 patients and MAFLD group with 29 004 patients, and according to the presence or absence of ASCVD, the patients were divided into non-ASCVD group with 69 141 patients and ASCVD group with 481 patients. The group t-test or the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison of continuous data between the two groups. The
3.Association between cardiovascular health status and cardiovascular diseases across different ages of hypertension onset: a prospective cohort study
Maoxiang ZHAO ; Hao XUE ; Shouling WU
Chinese Journal of General Practitioners 2025;24(11):1344-1352
Objective:To explore the association between cardiovascular health status and cardiovascular events in hypertensive patients with different ages of onset.Methods:This study was a prospective cohort study. Participants who were free of hypertension, myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, and other cardiovascular diseases at their first annual health examination at Kailuan Group from 2006 to 2012, but were newly diagnosed with hypertension during subsequent follow-up, were included. Clinical data was collected, and cardiovascular health status was assessed using the Life′s Essential 8 (LE8) score (categorized as low level and moderate-to-high level). Based on changes in LE8 scores from the first to the second health examination, transitions in cardiovascular health status were classified into 4 patterns: consistently low, low to moderate-to-high, moderate-to-high to low, and consistently moderate-to-high. Newly diagnosed hypertensive patients were stratified by age at diagnosis into 3 groups:<45 years, 45-<60 years, and ≥60 years. Participants were followed up, with the primary outcome being cardiovascular events, including myocardial infarction and stroke. Multivariable Cox regression models with age as the time scale were used to analyze the association between cardiovascular health status, its transitions, and cardiovascular events across different ages of hypertension onset. Restricted cubic spline models were employed to examine the patterns of association between LE8 scores, their changes, and cardiovascular events.Results:A total of 22 217 newly diagnosed hypertensive patients were included, with a mean age of (53.68±11.45) years and 18 260 males (75.13%). The median follow-up time was 9.62 years. Across all three age strata, compared with participants with low cardiovascular health status, those with moderate-to-high cardiovascular health status had a lower risk of cardiovascular events: HR=0.53 (95% CI: 0.36-0.79) for onset age <45 years; HR=0.64 (95% CI: 0.58-0.82) for onset age 45-60 years; and HR=0.71 (95% CI: 0.54-0.93) for onset age ≥60 years. Among newly diagnosed hypertensive patients with onset age <45 years and 45-<60 years, those with consistently moderate-to-high cardiovascular health status had a reduced risk of cardiovascular events compared to those with consistently low status (all P<0.05); however, the difference was not statistically significant in patients with onset age ≥60 years ( P>0.05). The protective effect of consistently moderate-to-high cardiovascular health status was strongest in patients with onset age <45 years ( HR=0.47, 95% CI: 0.25-0.88). Across all age strata, the risk of cardiovascular events decreased with increasing LE8 score ( P<0.05), with the most pronounced reduction observed in patients with onset age <45 years. For every 10-point increase in LE8 score, the risk of cardiovascular events decreased by 29% in this group ( HR=0.71, 95% CI: 0.56-0.89). Restricted cubic spline analysis indicated a linear dose-response relationship between LE8 scores, their changes, and the risk of cardiovascular events ( P<0.05). Conclusions:Hypertensive patients with moderate-to-high cardiovascular health status across different ages of onset have a lower risk of cardiovascular events, with the strongest protective effect observed among younger individuals. Moreover, different patterns of change in cardiovascular health status have distinct impacts on cardiovascular events. Improvement in cardiovascular health status can reduce the risk of cardiovascular events in newly diagnosed hypertensive patients, and this protective effect is more pronounced in younger adults.
5.Variability of remnant cholesterol inflammation index exhibits a dose-response relationship with stroke risk:Evidence from the Chinese Kailuan cohort
Liuliu CAO ; Man LI ; Zhaohui WU ; Maolin ZHAO ; Baohua WANG ; Li ZHANG ; Peng LI ; Yongna YANG ; Weiguo ZHENG ; Haiyan ZHAO ; Shuohua CHEN ; Shouling WU ; Lixia SUN
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(22):2847-2857
Objective To investigate the association between the variability of remnant cholesterol inflammatory index(RCII),a novel composite biomarker,and the risk of stroke,in order to provide a theoretical basis for stroke prevention.Methods A prospective cohort study was conducted on 38 659 Kailuan individuals who took annual physical examinations in 2006,2008,and 2010.These subjects were grouped based on the quartiles of RCII variability,which was represented by standard deviation(SD)and average real variability(ARV),and were followed up every 2 years,with the occurrence of stroke(including ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes),death,or the end of follow-up on December 31,2022 as the endpoints.Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the cumulative incidence rate of endpoint events across different groups,and log-rank test was used to compare the difference of cumulative incidence of endpoint events in each group.Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was adopted to analyze the association between RCII variability and risk of stroke.Results Among the 38 659 participants,a total of 2 539 strokes occurred during a mean follow-up period of 11.22±2.26 years.After adjusting confounding factors,when the participants were grouped by the quartiles of RCII-SD,the hazard ratio(HR)for stroke was 1.034(95%CI:0.917~1.167,P=0.584),1.146(95%CI:1.018~1.290,P=0.025),and 1.209(95%CI:1.066~1.370,P=0.003),respectively in the Q2,Q3,and Q4 groups,when compared with the Q1 group(Ptrend<0.05).When they were grouped by the quartiles of RCII-ARV,the HR for stroke was 1.008(95%CI:0.894~1.136,P=0.901),1.109(95%CI:0.986~1.248,P=0.085),and 1.152(95%CI:1.018~1.303,P=0.025),respectively,in the Q2,Q3,and Q4 groups,when compared with the Q1 group.Furthermore,both sensitivity and stratified analyses yielded similar results.Conclusion RCII variability is significantly associated with stroke,and the risk of stroke is gradually increasing with increment of the variability.Countermeasures Relevant authorities can focus on reducing RCII variability as a central objective by establishing regular monitoring mechanism,strengthening lifestyle interventions,and standardizing dietary,exercise,and weight management in order to suppress the index fluctuations.The principle of stable lipid-lowering in medication and optimization of therapeutic regimens with stable efficacy should be emphasized to prevent the risk of additional vascular damage.
6.Association of Chinese visceral adiposity index and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein with the risk of digestive malignancies
Shuqing CUI ; Chao MA ; Jiaxing LI ; Yunpeng LI ; Ze WANG ; Fei TIAN ; Hong JI ; Xinyu GE ; Shouling WU ; Xiangming MA
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(7):1380-1387
Objective To investigate the association of Chinese visceral adiposity index(CVAI)and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein(hs-CRP)with the risk of digestive malignancies in the Kailuan study population,and to provide a basis for the prevention and control of digestive malignancies in the population.Methods A prospective cohort study was conducted,and a total of 94 377 Kailuan workers who participated in the 2006 health examination,had no history of cancer,and had complete data on CVAI,CRP,and related covariates were selected as the observation cohort.According to the levels of CVAI and CRP,the subjects were divided into low CVAI+CRP≤3 mg/L group[CVAI(-)CRP(-)group],low CVAI+CRP>3 mg/L group[CVAI(-)CRP(+)group],high CVAI+CRP≤3 mg/L group[CVAI(+)CRP(-)group],and high CVAI+CRP>3 mg/L group[CVAI(+)CRP(+)group].An analysis of variance was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups,and the non-parametric Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison of continuous data with skewed distribution between groups;the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups.The Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to assess the impact of CVAI and CRP alone or in combination on the risk of digestive malignancies.Results There were significant differences between the four groups in age,male/female ratio,total cholesterol,triglycerides,high-density lipoprotein cholesterol,systolic blood pressure,diastolic blood pressure,fasting blood glucose,high-sensitivity C-reactive protein,waist circumference,body mass index,marital status,alcohol consumption,smoking,reported income,and physical exercise(all P<0.05).During a mean follow-up time of 14.08±2.76 years,2 043 new-onset cases of digestive malignancies were identified by the end of follow-up on December 31,2021.The Cox proportional-hazards regression model showed that after adjustment for CRP and other factors,compared with the low CVAI group,the high CVAI group had a hazard ratio(HR)of 1.34(95%confidence interval[CI]:1.23-1.47)for the risk of digestive malignancies.After adjustment for CVAI and other factors,compared with the CRP≤3 mg/L group,the CRP>3 mg/L group had an HR of 1.14(95%CI:1.02-1.28)for the risk of digestive malignancies.Compared with the CVAI(-)CRP(-)group(n=40 978),the CVAI(-)CRP(+)group(n=6 210),the CVAI(+)CRP(-)group(n=36 502),and the CVAI(+)CRP(+)group(n=10 687)had an HR of 1.05(95%CI:1.01-1.09,P<0.05),1.32(95%CI:1.20-1.45,P<0.05),and 1.48(95%CI:1.28-1.70,P<0.05),respectively,for the risk of digestive malignancies.As for digestive malignancies at specific locations,the CVAI(+)CRP(+)group had an increased risk of liver cancer,gastric cancer,pancreatic cancer,colorectal cancer,and small intestinal cancer with an HR of 1.35(95%CI:1.05-1.81,P<0.05),1.48(95%CI:1.09-2.00,P<0.05),1.60(95%CI:1.07-2.41,P<0.05),1.76(1.40-2.21,P<0.05),and 3.85(95%CI:1.43-10.33,P<0.05),respectively.Conclusion A high level of CVAI,a high level of CRP,and high levels of CVAI and CRP in combination can all increase the risk of digestive malignancies,among which the high levels of CVAI and CRP in combination may lead to a higher risk.
7.The impact of metabolic syndrome combined with hyperuricemia on new-onset cardiovascular disease
Fan YANG ; Baojie ZHU ; Haicheng SONG ; Rong SHU ; Shuohua CHEN ; Shouling WU ; Liufu CUI ; Jierui WANG
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2025;53(2):160-166
Objective:To explore the impact of metabolic syndrome in conjunction with hyperuricemia on the risk of new-onset cardiovascular disease.Methods:This study was a prospective cohort study. From June 2006 to October 2007, employees of Kailuan Group in Tangshan City, Hebei Province were selected as the research subjects. Participants were divided into four groups based on the presence or absence of metabolic syndrome and hyperuricemia. The groups include the normal group, pure hyperuricemia group, pure metabolic syndrome group, and the metabolic syndrome combined with hyperuricemia group. Four groups of participants were followed up, the primary endpoint was the occurrence of a first-ever cardiovascular disease event, including stroke and myocardial infarction. The cumulative incidence rates of cardiovascular disease in different groups during the continuous follow-up period were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the differences in cumulative incidence rates among groups were compared using the log-rank test. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to analyze the effect of hyperuricemia combined with metabolic syndrome on the risk of cardiovascular disease. The likelihood ratio test was used to analyze whether there was a multiplicative interaction and additive interaction between hyperuricemia and metabolic syndrome.Results:A total of 82 780 individuals were included, aged (51.5±12.6) years, and 68 622 (82.90%) were males, with a median follow-up of 14.97 years. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that the cumulative incidence of cardiovascular disease was the highest in the metabolic syndrome combined with hyperuricemia group (log-rank P<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that after adjusting for various confounding factors, the HR value and 95% CI of cardiovascular disease in the metabolic syndrome combined with hyperuricemia group were 1.24 (1.12-1.38) compared with the normal group, which were higher than those in the pure hyperuricemia group and the pure metabolic syndrome group alone. The effect of metabolic syndrome combined with hyperuricemia on the risk of cardiovascular disease demonstrated an additive effect (relative excess risk of interaction: 0.18(0.11-0.25), attributable proportion due to interaction: 0.14(0.09-0.19)). Conclusions:The combination of hyperuricemia and metabolic syndrome is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Compared to pure metabolic syndrome or hyperuricemia alone, the impact of metabolic syndrome combined with hyperuricemia on cardiovascular disease is more significant.
8.Association Between Neutrophil to High-density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Ratio and Incidence of Cardiovascular Disease in Patients With Metabolic Associated Fatty Liver Disease
Guizhong FANG ; Lin WEN ; Xinyu WANG ; Shuting FENG ; Ying ZHOU ; Shuohua CHEN ; Guangjian LI ; Xiaozhong JIANG ; Shouling WU ; Shan WANG
Chinese Circulation Journal 2025;40(6):605-610
Objectives:This study aims to investigate the relationship between neutrophil to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio(NHR)and incidence of cardiovascular disease(CVD)among individuals with metabolic associated fatty liver disease(MAFLD).Methods:We conducted a prospective cohort study utilizing health check-up data from 2006 to 2007 at Kailuan General Hospital and its 10 affiliated hospitals.The study population consisted of employees and retirees diagnosed with MAFLD,excluding those with incomplete neutrophil and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol data or a history of heart failure,myocardial infarction,cerebral hemorrhage,or cerebral infarction.CVD was defined as the presence of heart failure,myocardial infarction,cerebral hemorrhage,or cerebral infarction.Annual follow-ups were conducted from 2006,new-onset CVD cases identified through discharge records from the 11 Kailuan Group hospitals and records from municipal social insurance agencies,the final follow up date was December 31,2022.NHR was calculated as the ratio of neutrophil to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol,and the MAFLD cohort(n=28 952)was stratified into four groups by NHR quartiles:Q1 group(NHR<1.97,n=7 241),Q2 group(1.97≤NHR<2.57,n=7 235),Q3 group(2.57≤NHR<3.36,n=7 240),and Q4 group(NHR≥3.36,n=7 236).The Kaplan-Meier method was employed to plot survival curves for new-onset CVD,and the cumulative incidences of CVD across different NHR quartiles groups were determined.Intergroup comparisons were made using the log-rank test,and a multifactorial Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess the association between NHR quartiles and the risk of new-onset CVD in the MAFLD population.Results:The average follow-up duration was(14.03±3.99)years,during which 4 666 new CVD cases were recorded among the study population.The number of CVD cases across Q1 group to Q4 group were 1 061,1 167,1 186 and 1 252,respectively,with an overall incidence density of 11.5 cases per 1 000 person-years.The incidence densities for Q1 group to Q4 group were 10.4,11.4,11.7 and 12.5 cases per 1 000 person-years,respectively.The multifactorial Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that higher NHR quartiles were associated with an increased relative risk of new-onset CVD(Q2 group:HR=1.13,95%CI:1.04-1.23;Q3 group:HR=1.15,95%CI:1.05-1.25;Q4 group:HR=1.22,95%CI:1.12-1.33).Conclusions:The risk of new-onset cardiovascular disease in individuals with MAFLD escalates with increasing NHR.
9.Impact of long-term blood pressure variability on arteriosclerosis in women with hypertensive disorders in pregnancy
Chunle QU ; Ning YANG ; Maoti WEI ; Shiqi YIN ; Shuohua CHEN ; Shouling WU ; Yuming LI
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2025;53(10):1112-1118
Objective:To explore the relationship between long-term blood pressure variability and arteriosclerosis in women with a history of hypertensive disorders in pregnancy (HDP).Methods:This study was a retrospective cohort study. Data were obtained from the Kailuan Research Database. Women with a history of HDP who delivered between January 1990 and December 2020 and completed brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) measurement in the postpartum period were enrolled. Baseline data were obtained from the first post-delivery health examination, while the outcome measure was the baPWV recorded during the last follow-up visit, synchronized with blood pressure measurements. Based on long-term blood pressure variability, the enrolled study subjects were divided into the first, second, and third tertile groups in ascending order using the tertile method, and intergroup differences in clinical characteristics were compared. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to evaluate the impact of long-term blood pressure variability levels on arteriosclerosis risk in women with a history of HDP. Sensitivity analyses excluded individuals with multiple deliveries to validate the robustness of findings. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on delivery age (<40 vs. ≥40 years) and blood pressure measurement frequency (3 vs. >3 times) to explore the potential impact of different population characteristics on the study results.Results:A total of 421 study subjects were enrolled, aged (36.07±6.05) years, with a baPWV value of (1 376.80±238.18) cm/s. Long-term blood pressure variability was 4.66 (3.41, 6.50) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa). The first, second and third quartile group included 140, 141 and 140 individuals, respectively. In the total population, the incidence of arteriosclerosis was 40.4% (170/421). The incidence rates in the first, second, and third tertile groups were 34.3% (48/140), 39.0% (55/141), and 47.9% (67/140), respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that increased long-term blood pressure variability was an independent risk factor for arteriosclerosis in women with a history of HDP ( OR=1.702, 95% CI 1.018-2.844, P=0.043). The results of sensitivity analyses were consistent with that of the primary analysis ( OR=1.758, 95% CI 1.044-2.959, P=0.034). Subgroup analyses further indicated that in the subgroups with delivery age <40 years ( OR=2.116, 95% CI 1.153-3.885, P=0.016) and blood pressure measurement frequency >3 times ( OR=1.894, 95% CI 1.069-3.355, P=0.029), the association between long-term blood pressure variability and arterial stiffness risk was more significant. Conclusions:For women with a history of HDP, elevated long-term blood pressure variability may increase the risk of arteriosclerosis, and this effect is more pronounced in younger women (delivery age <40 years) and those with high-frequency blood pressure measurements (>3 times). Enhanced monitoring and management of blood pressure variability in this population are crucial to improving long-term cardiovascular health outcomes.
10.A cohort study on cumulative atherogenic index of plasma for predicting the risk of developing new-onset non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in a population of young and middle-aged individuals
Zhenhong GAO ; Qi QI ; Wansong LI ; Xinyu WU ; Quanle HAN ; Lei LI ; Yue JIANG ; Ruojie WU ; Shouling WU ; Kangbo LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(11):2278-2285
ObjectiveTo investigate the association between cumulative atherogenic index of plasma (cumAIP) and the risk of new-onset nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in young and middle-aged individuals. MethodsA prospective cohort study was conducted among the young and middle-aged individuals (aged 18 to <60 years) in the Kailuan study cohort who underwent physical examination in Kailuan General Hospital and its 10 affiliated hospitals in June 2006 to October 2010, and after screening based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 33 987 individuals were included in the observation cohort. The individuals were divided into Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups based on the quantiles of cumAIP. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the cumulative incidence rate of new-onset NAFLD in the four groups, while the log-rank test was used for comparison between groups. A multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to obtain the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of the risk of new-onset NAFLD in the four groups. A one-way analysis of variance was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between multiple groups, and the Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between multiple groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical variables between groups. ResultsThe mean follow-up was 10.89±2.54 years, and there were 6 011 cases of new-onset NAFLD, including 995 cases in the Q1 group, 1 366 in the Q2 group, 1661 in the Q3 group, and 1 989 in the Q4 group, with an incidence density of 11.37, 16.02, 19.97, and 24.91 per thousand person-years. The log-rank test showed that there was a significant difference in cumulative incidence rate between the four groups (P<0.001). With the presence or absence of NAFLD as the dependent variable and the quantiles of different exposure levels to cumAIP as the independent variable, the multivariate Cox regression model analysis showed that compared with the Q1 group, the Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups had an HR of 1.30 (95%CI: 1.20 — 1.41), 1.52 (95%CI: 1.41 — 1.65), and 1.79 (95%CI: 1.64 — 1.95), respectively, for new-onset NAFLD, with a Ptrend value of <0.001. With the presence or absence of new-onset NAFLD as the dependent variable and the cumulative exposure to AIP for 0, 2, 4, and 6 years as the independent variable, the Cox regression analysis showed that compared with cumulative exposure to AIP for 0 years, cumulative exposure to AIP for 2, 4, and 6 years had an HR of 1.24 (95%CI: 1.15 — 1.35), 1.51 (95%CI: 1.40 — 1.64), and 1.70 (95%CI: 1.56 — 1.84), respectively, with a Ptrend value of <0.001. A sensitivity analysis was performed after exclusion of the individuals with new-onset NAFLD within 2 years, the individuals who experienced atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events during follow-up, and the individuals taking antihypertensive, hypoglycemic, and lipid-lowering drugs, and the results were similar to those of the main analysis. Considering the competitive relationship between all-cause death and outcome events, a competing risk analysis of death was performed, which showed that the results of risk analysis were similar to those of the main analysis. ConclusionA high level of cumAIP exposure can increase the risk of new-onset NAFLD in young and middle-aged individuals.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail