1.Predictive value of norepinephrine equivalence score on the 28-day death risk in patients with sepsis: a retrospective cohort study.
Wenzhe LI ; Jingyan WANG ; Qihang ZHENG ; Yi WANG ; Xiangyou YU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(4):331-336
OBJECTIVE:
To elucidate the predictive value of norepinephrine equivalence (NEE) score on the 28-day death risk in patients with sepsis and provide evidence for its application in the diagnosis and treatment of sepsis and septic shock.
METHODS:
A retrospective cohort study was conducted based on the data of patients with sepsis from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV 2.2 (MIMIC-IV 2.2). The patients who received vasoactive agents within 6 hours after the diagnosis of sepsis or septic shock were enrolled, and they were divided into survival and non-survival groups based on their 28-day outcomes. The baseline characteristics, vital signs, and treatment data were collected. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to identify factors influencing the 28-day death risk. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to analyze the predictive value of various parameters on the 28-day death risk of septic patients. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to evaluate cumulative survival rate in patients classified by different quantitative parameters based on the cut-off values obtained from ROC curve analysis.
RESULTS:
A total of 7 744 patients who met the Sepsis-3 diagnostic criteria and received vasopressor treatment within 6 hours post-diagnosis were enrolled, of which 5 997 cases survived and 1 747 died, with the 28-day mortality of 22.6%. Significant differences were observed between the two groups regarding age, gender, height, body weight, race, type of intensive care unit (ICU), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score, underlying comorbidities, and vital signs. Compared with the survival group, the non-survival group had poorer blood routine, liver and kidney function, coagulation function, blood gas analysis and other indicators. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age > 65 years old [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.892, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.801-0.994, P = 0.039] and male (HR = 0.735, 95%CI was 0.669-0.808, P < 0.001) were protective factors for 28-day death in patients with sepsis, and NEE score (HR = 1.040, 95%CI was 1.021-1.060, P < 0.001), shock index (HR = 1.840, 95%CI was 1.675-2.022, P < 0.001), APACHE II score (HR = 1.076, 95%CI was 1.069-1.083, P < 0.001), SOFA score (HR = 1.035, 95%CI was 1.015-1.056, P < 0.001), and CCI score (HR = 1.135, 95%CI was 1.115-1.155, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for 28-day death in septic patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of NEE score for predicting the 28-day death risk of septic patients was 0.743 (95%CI was 0.730-0.756), which was comparable to the predictive value of APACHE II score (AUC = 0.742, 95%CI was 0.729-0.755) and ratio of mean arterial pressure (MAP)/NEE score (MAP/NEE; AUC = 0.738, 95%CI was 0.725-0.751, both P > 0.05), and better than SOFA score (AUC = 0.609, 95%CI was 0.594-0.624), CCI score (AUC = 0.658, 95%CI was 0.644-0.673), shock index (AUC = 0.613, 95%CI was 0.597-0.629) and ratio of diastolic blood pressure (DBP)/NEE score (DBP/NEE; AUC = 0.735, 95%CI was 0.721-0.748, all P < 0.05). According to the cut-off values of APACHE II and NEE scores obtained from ROC curve analysis, the patients were stratified for Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis, and the results showed that the 28-day cumulative survival rate in the septic patients with an APACHE II score ≤ 22.5 was significantly higher than that in those with an APACHE II > 22.5 (Log-Rank test: χ2 = 848.600, P < 0.001), and the 28-day cumulative survival rate in the septic patients with an NEE score ≤0.120 was significantly higher than that in those with an NEE score > 0.120 (Log-Rank test: χ2 = 832.449, P < 0.001).
CONCLUSIONS
NEE score is an independent risk factor for 28-day death in septic patients who received vasoactive treatment within 6 hours of diagnosis and possesses significant predictive value. It can be used for severity stratification in sepsis management.
Humans
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Retrospective Studies
;
Sepsis/diagnosis*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Norepinephrine/therapeutic use*
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Prognosis
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Shock, Septic/mortality*
;
Adult
;
ROC Curve
;
Risk Factors
;
Survival Rate
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Aged, 80 and over
2.Role of coagulation dysfunction in thrombocytopenia-related death in patients with septic shock.
Guangjie WANG ; Chang SUN ; Chenxiao HAO ; Jiawei SHEN ; Huiying ZHAO ; Youzhong AN
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2023;35(12):1241-1244
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the effect of thrombocytopenia on the prognosis of patients with septic shock and its mechanism in leading to death.
METHODS:
A retrospective case-control study was conducted. Patients with septic shock admitted to emergency intensive care unit (EICU) and intensive care unit (ICU) in Peking University People's Hospital from April 1, 2015 to January 31, 2023 were enrolled. Patients were divided into the thrombocytopenia group and the non-thrombocytopenia group, according to whether the minimum platelet count was less than 100×109/L within 24 hours after admission to ICU. The outcome index was the mortality during ICU stay. The baseline data, hospitalization information and laboratory test results of the two groups were compared, and the risk factors of in-hospital death were analyzed by Logistic regression, and the mediation effect was performed by Bootstrap method.
RESULTS:
A total of 301 patients with septic shock were enrolled, of which 172 (57.1%) had thrombocytopenia and 129 (42.9%) did not. There were significant differences between the two groups in age, mortality, disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC), continuous renal replacement therapy, and level of creatinine, urea nitrogen, total bilirubin, white blood cell count, lymphocyte count, prothrombin time (PT) and activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT). Univariate Logistic regression analysis showed thrombocytopenia [odds ratio (OR) = 4.478], continuous renal replacement therapy (OR = 4.601), DIC (OR = 6.248), serum creatinine (OR = 1.005), urea nitrogen (OR = 1.126), total bilirubin (OR = 1.006) and PT (OR = 1.126) were risk factors of death during hospitalization in patients with septic shock (all P < 0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that thrombocytopenia [OR = 3.338, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.910-5.834, P = 0.000], continuous renal replacement therapy (OR = 3.175, 95%CI was 1.576-6.395, P = 0.001) and PT (OR = 1.077, 95%CI was 1.011-1.147, P = 0.021) were independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with septic shock. Mediation analysis showed that 51% of the deaths due to thrombocytopenia in patients with septic shock were due to coagulopathy.
CONCLUSIONS
Thrombocytopenia is a powerful predictor of death in septic shock patients, and half of all thrombocytopenia-related deaths may be due to abnormal coagulation function.
Humans
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Shock, Septic
;
Retrospective Studies
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Case-Control Studies
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Hospital Mortality
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Prognosis
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Thrombocytopenia
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Intensive Care Units
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Bilirubin
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Nitrogen
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Urea
;
Sepsis
3.Association between Left Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction and Mortality in Patients with Septic Shock
Sua KIM ; Jung Dong LEE ; Beong Ki KIM ; Yong Hyun KIM ; Je Hyeong KIM
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2020;35(4):24-
septic shock is not clearly elucidated because complex hemodynamic changes in sepsis obscure the direct relationship. We evaluated left ventricular (LV) conditions that reflect myocardial damage independently from hemodynamic changes in septic shock and their influence on the prognosis of patients.METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 208 adult patients who were admitted to the intensive care unit and underwent echocardiography within 7 days from the diagnosis of septic shock. Patients who were previously diagnosed with structural heart disease or coronary artery disease were excluded. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was divided into four categories: normal, ≥ 50%; mild, ≥ 40%; moderate, ≥ 30%; and severe dysfunction, < 30%. Wall motion impairment was categorized into the following patterns: normal, diffuse, ballooning, and focal.RESULTS: There were 141 patients with normal LVEF. Among patients with impaired LV wall motion, the diffuse pattern was the most common (34 patients), followed by the ballooning pattern (26 patients). Finally, 102 patients died, and in-hospital mortality was significantly higher in patients with severe LV systolic dysfunction (hazard ratio [HR], 1.97; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04–3.75; P = 0.039) and in patients with diffuse pattern of LV wall motion impairment (HR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.19–4.36; P = 0.013) than in those with a normal LV systolic function.CONCLUSION: Severe LV systolic dysfunction and diffuse pattern of LV wall motion impairment significantly affected in-hospital mortality in patients with septic shock. Conventional echocardiographic evaluation provides adequate information on the development of myocardial damage and accurately predicts the prognosis of patients with septic shock.]]>
Adult
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Coronary Artery Disease
;
Diagnosis
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Echocardiography
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Heart Diseases
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Hemodynamics
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Humans
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Intensive Care Units
;
Mortality
;
Prognosis
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Retrospective Studies
;
Sepsis
;
Shock, Septic
;
Stroke Volume
4.Incidence of Hypotension after Discontinuation of Norepinephrine or Arginine Vasopressin in Patients with Septic Shock: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Jae Uk SONG ; Jonghoo LEE ; Hye Kyeong PARK ; Gee Young SUH ; Kyeongman JEON
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2020;35(1):8-
septic shock treated with concomitant norepinephrine (NE) and arginine vasopressin (AVP). The aim of this study was to compare the incidence of hypotension within 24 hours based on whether NE or AVP was discontinued first in order to determine the optimal sequence for discontinuation of vasopressors.METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted in MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register. The primary end-point was incidence of hypotension within 24 hours after discontinuation of the first vasopressor.RESULTS: We identified five studies comprising 930 patients, of whom 631 (67.8%) discontinued NE first and 299 (32.2%) discontinued AVP first. In pooled estimates, a random-effect model showed that discontinuation of NE first was associated with a significant reduction of the incidence of hypotension compared to discontinuing AVP first (31.8% vs. 54.8%; risk ratios, 0.35; 95% confidence interval, 0.16 to 0.76; P = 0.008; I² = 90.7%). Although a substantial degree of heterogeneity existed among the trials, we could not identify the significant source of bias. In addition, there were no significant differences in intensive care unit (ICU) mortality, in-hospital mortality, 28-day mortality, or ICU length of stay between the groups.CONCLUSION: Discontinuing NE prior to AVP was associated with a lower incidence of hypotension in patients recovering from septic shock. However, our results should be interpreted with caution, due to the considerable between-study heterogeneity.]]>
Arginine Vasopressin
;
Arginine
;
Bias (Epidemiology)
;
Consensus
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Humans
;
Hypotension
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Incidence
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Length of Stay
;
Mortality
;
Norepinephrine
;
Odds Ratio
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Population Characteristics
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Sepsis
;
Shock, Septic
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Vasoconstrictor Agents
5.Clinical and microbiological factors associated with early patient mortality from methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia.
Tark KIM ; Yong Pil CHONG ; Ki Ho PARK ; Kyung Mi BANG ; Su Jin PARK ; Sung Han KIM ; Jin Yong JEONG ; Sang Oh LEE ; Sang Ho CHOI ; Jun Hee WOO ; Yang Soo KIM
The Korean Journal of Internal Medicine 2019;34(1):184-194
BACKGROUND/AIMS: Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (MRSAB) is a major bloodstream infection with a high mortality rate. Identification of factors associated with early mortality in MRSAB patients would be useful for predicting prognosis and developing new therapeutic options. METHODS: A prospective cohort of MRSAB patients was examined between August 2008 and June 2011. Early and late mortality was defined as death within 2 and 28 days of blood culture, respectively. The clinical and microbiological characteristics in the early and late mortality and survival groups were compared. Risk factors associated with severe sepsis or septic shock were also investigated. RESULTS: A total of 385 adult MRSAB patients whose S. aureus isolates were available were enrolled; of these patients, 25 patients (6.5%) and 50 (13%) died early and late, respectively. Compared with both the late-mortality group and the survival group, severe sepsis or septic shock was a statistically significant independent risk factor associated with early mortality. Rapidly or ultimately fatal McCabe and Jackson classification (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.94; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25 to 3.02) and pneumonia (aOR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.03 to 4.02) were independently associated with severe sepsis or septic shock. A vancomycin minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) ≥ 1.5 μg/mL was associated with a reduced incidence of severe sepsis or septic shock (aOR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.34 to 0.84). CONCLUSIONS: Severity of illness seems to be the most important risk factor associated with early mortality in MRSAB. Although vancomycin MIC was not independently associated with early mortality, reduced vancomycin susceptibility appears to be linked to reduced disease severity.
Adult
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Bacteremia*
;
Classification
;
Cohort Studies
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Humans
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Incidence
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Methicillin Resistance*
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Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus*
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Microbial Sensitivity Tests
;
Mortality*
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Odds Ratio
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Pneumonia
;
Prognosis
;
Prospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
Sepsis
;
Shock, Septic
;
Vancomycin
6.Sepsis: Early Recognition and Optimized Treatment.
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2019;82(1):6-14
Sepsis is a life-threatening condition caused by infection and represents a substantial global health burden. Recent epidemiological studies showed that sepsis mortality rates have decreased, but that the incidence has continued to increase. Although a mortality benefit from early-goal directed therapy (EGDT) in patients with severe sepsis or septic shock was reported in 2001, three subsequent multicenter randomized studies showed no benefits of EGDT versus usual care. Nonetheless, the early administration of antibiotics and intravenous fluids is considered crucial for the treatment of sepsis. In 2016, new sepsis definitions (Sepsis-3) were issued, in which organ failure was emphasized and use of the terms “systemic inflammatory response syndrome” and “severe sepsis” was discouraged. However, early detection of sepsis with timely, appropriate interventions increases the likelihood of survival for patients with sepsis. Also, performance improvement programs have been associated with a significant increase in compliance with the sepsis bundles and a reduction in mortality. To improve sepsis management and reduce its burden, in 2017, the World Health Assembly and World Health Organization adopted a resolution that urged governments and healthcare workers to implement appropriate measures to address sepsis. Sepsis should be considered a medical emergency, and increasing the level of awareness of sepsis is essential.
Anti-Bacterial Agents
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Compliance
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Delivery of Health Care
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Emergencies
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Epidemiologic Studies
;
Global Health
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Humans
;
Incidence
;
Mortality
;
Sepsis*
;
Shock, Septic
;
World Health Organization
7.Are there differences in risk factors, microbial aspects, and prognosis of cellulitis between compensated and decompensated hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis?
Elham Ahmed HASSAN ; Abeer Sharaf El Din Abdel REHIM ; Mohamed Omar ABDEL-MALEK ; Asmaa Omar AHMED ; Nourhan Mahmoud ABBAS
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2019;25(3):317-325
BACKGROUND/AIMS: Cellulitis is a common infection in patients with liver cirrhosis. We aimed to compare risk factors, microbial aspects, and outcomes of cellulitis in compensated and decompensated hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis. METHODS: Six hundred twenty consecutive HCV-related cirrhotic patients were evaluated for cellulitis. Demographic and clinical data were evaluated, along with blood and skin cultures. Severity of cirrhosis was assessed using Child-Pugh score. In-hospital mortality was assessed. RESULTS: Seventy-seven (12.4%) cirrhotic patients had cellulitis (25 with compensated and 52 with decompensated disease). Smoking and venous insufficiency were risk factors of cellulitis in compensated cirrhosis. Leg edema, ascites, hyperbilrubinemia and hypoalbuminemia were risk factors in decompensated cirrhosis. Gram-positive bacteria (Staphylococcus spp. and Streptococcus pyogenes) were the infective organisms in compensated patients, while gram negative bacteria (Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa) were the predominant organisms in decompensated cirrhosis. Fungi (Candida albicans and Aspergillus niger) were detected in 3 decompensated cases. In-hospital mortality in patients with cellulitis was 27.3%, approaching 100% in decompensated patients with gram-negative cellulitis. Prolonged hospitalization, higher model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)-Na score, septic shock, local complication, and recurrent cellulitis were predictors of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Cellulitis in compensated cirrhosis is different from that of decompensated patients regarding microorganisms, pathogenesis, and prognosis. Cellulitis has a poor prognosis, with mortality rates approaching 100% in decompensated patients with gram-negative cellulitis. Stratifying patients according to severity of cirrhosis is important to identify the proper empirical antibiotic and to decide the proper means of care.
Ascites
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Aspergillus
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Cellulitis
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Edema
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Fibrosis
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Fungi
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Gram-Negative Bacteria
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Gram-Positive Bacteria
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Hepacivirus
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Hepatitis C
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Hepatitis
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Hospital Mortality
;
Hospitalization
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Humans
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Hypoalbuminemia
;
Klebsiella pneumoniae
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Leg
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Liver Cirrhosis
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Liver Diseases
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Mortality
;
Prognosis
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Pseudomonas
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Risk Factors
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Shock, Septic
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Skin
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Smoke
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Smoking
;
Streptococcus
;
Venous Insufficiency
8.Refeeding Syndrome as a Possible Cause of Very Early Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis
Tae Joo JEON ; Kyong Joo LEE ; Hyun Sun WOO ; Eui Joo KIM ; Yeon Suk KIM ; Ji Young PARK ; Jae Hee CHO
Gut and Liver 2019;13(5):576-581
BACKGROUND/AIMS: Refeeding syndrome (RFS) is a fatal clinical complication that can occur as a result of fluid and electrolyte shifts during early nutritional rehabilitation for malnourished patients. This study was conducted to determine the clinical implications of RFS in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). METHODS: Between 2006 and 2016, AP patients with very early mortality were retrospectively enrolled from three university hospitals. RESULTS: Among 3,206 patients with AP, 44 patients died within 3 days after diagnosis. The median age was 52.5 years (range, 27 to 92 years), male-to-female ratio was 3:1, and median duration from admission to death was 33 hours (range, 5 to 72 hours). The etiology of AP was alcohol abuse in 32 patients, gallstones in five patients, and hypertriglyceridemia in two patients. Ranson score, bedside index for severity of AP, and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation-II were valuable for predicting very early mortality (median, [range]; 5 [1 to 8], 3 [0 to 5], and 19 [4 to 45]). RFS was diagnosed in nine patients who died of septic shock (n=5), cardiogenic shock (n=2), or cardiac arrhythmia (n=2). In addition, patients with RFS had significant hypophosphatemia compared to non-RFS patients (2.6 mg/dL [1.3 to 5.1] vs 5.8 mg/dL [0.8 to 15.5]; p=0.001). The early AP-related mortality rate within 3 days was approximately 1.4%, and RFS occurred in 20.5% of these patients following sudden nutritional support. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of current study emphasize that clinicians should be aware of the possibility of RFS in malnourished AP patients with electrolyte imbalances.
Alcoholism
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Arrhythmias, Cardiac
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Diagnosis
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Gallstones
;
Hospitals, University
;
Humans
;
Hypertriglyceridemia
;
Hypophosphatemia
;
Mortality
;
Nutritional Support
;
Pancreatitis
;
Physiology
;
Prognosis
;
Refeeding Syndrome
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Rehabilitation
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Shock, Cardiogenic
;
Shock, Septic
9.Quick Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment score is not sensitive enough to predict 28-day mortality in emergency department patients with sepsis: a retrospective review
Kyung Su KIM ; Gil Joon SUH ; Kyuseok KIM ; Woon Yong KWON ; Jonghwan SHIN ; You Hwan JO ; Jae Hyuk LEE ; Huijai LEE
Clinical and Experimental Emergency Medicine 2019;6(1):77-83
OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that the quick Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score, derived from vital signs taken during triage and recommended by current sepsis guidelines for screening patients with infections for organ dysfunction, is not sensitive enough to predict the risk of mortality in emergency department (ED) sepsis patients.METHODS: Patients diagnosed with severe sepsis and septic shock using the old definition between May 2014 and April 2015 were retrospectively reviewed in three urban tertiary hospital EDs. The sensitivities of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria, qSOFA, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores ≥2 were compared using McNemar’s test. Diagnostic performances were evaluated using specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value.RESULTS: Among the 928 patients diagnosed with severe sepsis or septic shock using the old definition, 231 (24.9%) died within 28 days. More than half of the sepsis patients (493/928, 53.1%) and more than one-third of the mortality cases (88/231, 38.1%) had a qSOFA score <2. The sensitivity of a qSOFA score ≥2 was 61.9%, which was significantly lower than the sensitivity of SIRS ≥2 (82.7%, P<0.001) and SOFA ≥2 (99.1%, P<0.001). The specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of a qSOFA score ≥2 for 28-day mortality were 58.1%, 32.9%, and 82.2%, respectively.CONCLUSION: The current clinical criteria of the qSOFA are less sensitive than the SIRS assessment and SOFA to predict 28-day mortality in ED patients with sepsis.
Emergencies
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Emergency Service, Hospital
;
Humans
;
Mass Screening
;
Mortality
;
Prognosis
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Sensitivity and Specificity
;
Sepsis
;
Shock, Septic
;
Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome
;
Tertiary Care Centers
;
Triage
;
Vital Signs
10.Optimal antimicrobial therapy and antimicrobial stewardship in sepsis and septic shock
Journal of the Korean Medical Association 2019;62(12):638-644
The management of sepsis and septic shock remains challenging. The aim is to apply the optimal antimicrobial therapy and antimicrobial stewardship to patients in state of sepsis or septic shock. To reduce the mortality of sepsis and septic shock, it is critical to promptly administer the appropriate antibiotics with an accurate diagnosis. De-escalation is needed 48 to 72 hours after the first administration of antibiotics depending on the findings of causative pathogens. In the case of antibiotic resistance, the importance of an antibiotic stewardship program is increasingly being emphasized. Antimicrobial stewardship implies coordinated interventions designed to improve the appropriate use of antibiotics by promoting the selection of an optimal drug regimen such as dosing, duration of therapy, and route of administration. An antibiotic stewardship program may also be applied to patients of both sepsis and septic shock. Efforts such as the selection of appropriate empirical antibiotics, de-escalation, and determination of whether to stop antibiotics with procalcitonin may improve the clinical prognosis of patients with sepsis as well as the successful implementation of an antibiotic stewardship program.
Anti-Bacterial Agents
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Anti-Infective Agents
;
Diagnosis
;
Drug Resistance, Microbial
;
Humans
;
Mortality
;
Prognosis
;
Sepsis
;
Shock, Septic

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