1.Construction of an index system for assessment of schistosomiasis transmission risk following natural disasters
Jingye SHANG ; Chenghang YU ; Zisong WU ; Xianhong MENG ; Huirong XU ; Chaofu WANG ; Bin ZHENG ; Shizhu LI ; Yang LIU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(1):60-68
Objective To construct an index system for assessment of schistosomiasis transmission risk following natural disasters such as rainstorms, floods, earthquakes, mudslides, and landslides, so as to provide insights into rapid identification of schistosomiasis transmission risk post-disasters and formulation of targeted schistosomiasis control strategies. Methods An initial framework for the index system for assessment of schistosomiasis transmission risk following natural disasters was drafted through literature review, brainstorming, and focus group discussions. Two rounds of expert correspondence consultations were conducted using the Delphi method to refine and finalize the system, and the degrees of expert activeness, authority and endorse ment, and consensus were evaluated. In addition, the weights of each index were calculated using the analytic hierarchy process. Results A total of 18 experts participated in the consultation. The expert positive coefficients were 100.00% and 94.44% for two rounds of consultations, with authority coefficients of 0.92 and 0.94, respectively. The coefficients of coordination on the index importance, rationality and operability were 0.209, 0.185, 0.222 and 0.407, 0.214, 0.257 for two rounds of consultations, respectively, and all consistency tests were statistically significant (χ2 = 246.771 to 505.278, all P values < 0.001). Following two rounds of expert consultations, an index system consisting of 6 first-level indicators, 15 second-level indicators, and 49 third-level indicators was ultimately constructed. In terms of first-level indicators, “disaster situation”, “previous epidemics”, “healthcare guarantee”, “response capacity” and “emergency recovery” had the highest weights, each at 18.18%. Regarding second-level indicators, “Schistosoma japonicum infections in animals”, “S. japonicum infections in snails” and “medical treatment” had the highest weights, each at 7.35%. In terms of third-level indicators, ten items had the highest weights, including “identification of schistosomiasis cases”, “detection of S. japonicum infections in wild feces”, “detection of S. japonicum infections in snails”, “reserves of schistosomiasis diagnostic/testing reagents and consumables”, “reserves of chemotherapy agents for human and animal schistosomiasis”, “reserves of cercariacides”, “periodical surveillance on schistosomiasis”, “identification of schistosomiasis transmission risk and timely response”, “normal provision of diagnosis and treatment services” and “post-disaster schistosomiasis surveillance”, each at 2.40%. Conclusion A scientific, systematic, and practical index system has been constructed for assessment of schistosomiasis transmission risk following natural disasters, which may provide insights into rapid post-disaster identification of schistosomiasis transmission risk, formulation of targeted schistosomiasis control strategies and optimization of resource allocation.
2.A study of the accuracy and radiation dose of the use of portable X-ray machine for orientation of foreign body in navigation surgery
Dan MA ; Rui XIE ; Xin WANG ; Chen LIU ; Wei WU ; Yimin ZHAO ; Shizhu BAI
Journal of Practical Stomatology 2025;41(1):16-20
Objective:To assess the feasibility and security the orientation of foreign bodies using a portable X-ray machine in computer-aided navigation surgery.Methods:A model with a metallic foreign body was constructed.Under the fluoroscopy of a portable X-ray machine,4 points on 2 straight lines passing through the tip of the foreign body were recorded by the navigation e-quipment,and subsequently,the midpoints of the common perpendicular segments of the 2 lines were calculated as the coordinates of the foreign body(Bilinear Method).2 operators measured the coordinates of the foreign body 10 times and compared the measured coordinates of the foreign body with the actual coordinates of the foreign body in order to analyze the accuracy of the Bilinear Method.Radiation doses to model area and operators at different locations were measured using ionizing radiation detectors.Results:The ac-curacy of the Bilinear Method for measuring foreign body coordinates was(1.98±0.77)mm,and that of the 2 operators was 1.55±0.68 and 2.40±0.36 respectively(P=0.02).The radiation dose was(221.45±50.15)μSv in the model and(4.44±1.35)μSv in the operator's chest.Conclusion:The accuracy of the coordinates of the foreign body intraoperation measured by Bilinear Method meets general clinical needs,and different operators may produce different accuracy.The radiation dose is small.
3.Surveillance and early warning index system for schistosomiasis in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin
Sanhong JIANG ; Yibiao ZHOU ; Shizhu LI ; Dandan LIN ; Qingwu JIANG ; Liyong WEN ; Shengming LI ; Fei HU ; Benjiao HU ; Jie ZHOU ; Chunli CAO ; Jing XU ; Jianwen XIE ; Changming WU ; Xiaolan YAN ; Weimin XU ; Jun GE ; Guanghui REN ; Xiaoli LIU
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2025;44(4):259-264
Under the current situation of "low prevalence and low infection" of schistosomiasis in China, and to provide a basis for achieving the goal of eliminating schistosomiasis by 2030 proposed by the Healthy China Action (2019 - 2030) as scheduled, the Hunan Provincial Corps Hospital of the Chinese People's Armed Police Force established a schistosomiasis monitoring and early warning index system based on the previous studies on schistosomiasis early warning index system and the recent literature analysis, combined with the current potential risk factors affecting the transmission and prevalence of schistosomiasis, and organized two rounds of expert consultation and carried out project promotion meetings. The experts reached a consensus on the comprehensiveness and practicability of the index system, aiming to lay a solid foundation for construction of China's schistosomiasis prevention and control early warning system.
4.Surveillance and early warning index system for schistosomiasis in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin
Sanhong JIANG ; Yibiao ZHOU ; Shizhu LI ; Dandan LIN ; Qingwu JIANG ; Liyong WEN ; Shengming LI ; Fei HU ; Benjiao HU ; Jie ZHOU ; Chunli CAO ; Jing XU ; Jianwen XIE ; Changming WU ; Xiaolan YAN ; Weimin XU ; Jun GE ; Guanghui REN ; Xiaoli LIU
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2025;44(4):259-264
Under the current situation of "low prevalence and low infection" of schistosomiasis in China, and to provide a basis for achieving the goal of eliminating schistosomiasis by 2030 proposed by the Healthy China Action (2019 - 2030) as scheduled, the Hunan Provincial Corps Hospital of the Chinese People's Armed Police Force established a schistosomiasis monitoring and early warning index system based on the previous studies on schistosomiasis early warning index system and the recent literature analysis, combined with the current potential risk factors affecting the transmission and prevalence of schistosomiasis, and organized two rounds of expert consultation and carried out project promotion meetings. The experts reached a consensus on the comprehensiveness and practicability of the index system, aiming to lay a solid foundation for construction of China's schistosomiasis prevention and control early warning system.
5.Epidemiological characteristics and influencing factors of diabetes and pre-diabetes among adult residents in Hainan Province
Juan JIANG ; Changfu XIONG ; Dingwei SUN ; Ying LIU ; Hongying WU ; Xingren WANG ; Xiaohuan WANG ; Tingting OU ; Xue ZHOU ; Shizhu MENG ; Saiku CHEN ; Kanglin WANG ; Lu ZHONG ; Bin HE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):700-708
Objective:To describe epidemiological characteristics and their influencing factors of diabetes and pre-diabetes among adult residents in Hainan Province and provide a theoretical basis to develop epidemic prevention and control strategies for diabetes.Methods:This study used a two-stage unequal proportion cluster sampling method, and 32 857 subjects (≥18 years old) were collected from 24 cities/counties/districts in Hainan Province. All the subjects were investigated with questionnaires, physical examination, and laboratory tests from January to June 2023. The χ2 and Mantel-Haenszel trend χ2 tests were used to analyze the data. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the factors influencing diabetes and pre-diabetes. SPSS 23.0 software was used to analyze the data. Results:The crude prevalence of diabetes and pre-diabetes in adult residents of Hainan Province were 18.1% and 22.8%, while the weighted rates were 13.7% and 20.7%, respectively. The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that: aging (30-39 years old: OR=2.65, 95% CI: 2.06-3.41; 40-49 years old: OR=5.64, 95% CI: 4.40-7.24; 50- 59 years old: OR=9.88, 95% CI: 7.71-12.67; 60-69 years old: OR=18.34, 95% CI: 14.28-23.55; 70-79 years old: OR=21.30, 95% CI: 16.41-27.65; 80 years old and above: OR=24.13, 95% CI: 17.94-32.46), nationality (Li minority group: OR=1.50, 95% CI: 1.38-1.63; other ethnic groups: OR=1.53, 95% CI: 1.20-1.94), urban ( OR=1.12, 95% CI: 1.04-1.21), central obesity ( OR=2.14, 95% CI: 2.01-2.29), higher frequency of alcohol consumption (5-7 day/week: OR=1.24, 95% CI: 1.11-1.38), physical inactivity ( OR=1.09, 95% CI: 1.02-1.17) were risk factors for diabetes, while aging (30-39 years old: OR=1.53, 95% CI: 1.31-1.79; 40-49 years old: OR=2.36, 95% CI: 2.01-2.76; 50-59 years old: OR=3.03, 95% CI: 2.58-3.55; 60-69 years old: OR=4.22, 95% CI: 3.58-4.97; 70-79 years old: OR=5.05, 95% CI: 4.23-6.04; 80 years old and above: OR=6.08, 95% CI: 4.86-7.61), nationality: (Li minority group: OR=1.18, 95% CI: 1.10-1.28; other ethnic groups: OR=1.40, 95% CI: 1.14-1.71), urban ( OR=1.12, 95% CI: 1.04-1.19), central obesity ( OR=1.72, 95% CI: 1.62-1.83), higher frequency of alcohol consumption (1-4 day/week: OR=1.12, 95% CI: 1.01-1.23; 5-7 day/week: OR=1.35, 95% CI: 1.22-1.49) were risk factors for pre-diabetes. Conclusions:The epidemic situation of diabetes and pre-diabetes among adult residents in Hainan Province was not optimistic. In order to control the development of abnormal blood glucose, measures and targeted health education should be carried out to strengthen the screening, treatment, and management of people with abnormal blood glucose among different populations.
6.Trends in global burden due to visceral leishmaniasis from 1990 to 2021 and projections up to 2035
Guobing YANG ; Aiwei HE ; Yongjun LI ; Shan LÜ ; Muxin CHEN ; Liguang TIAN ; Qin LIU ; Lei DUAN ; Yan LU ; Jian YANG ; Shizhu LI ; Xiaonong ZHOU ; Jichun WANG ; Shunxian ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2025;37(1):35-43
Objective To investigate the global burden of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) from 1990 to 2021 and predict the trends in the burden of VL from 2022 to 2035, so as to provide insights into global VL prevention and control. Methods The global age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates of VL and their 95% uncertainty intervals (UI) were captured from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) data resources. The trends in the global burden of VL were evaluated with average annual percent change (AAPC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) from 1990 to 2021, and gender-, age-, country-, geographical area- and socio-demographic index (SDI)-stratified burdens of VL were analyzed. The trends in the global burden of VL were projected with a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model from 2022 to 2035, and the associations of age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs rates of VL with SDI levels were examined with a smoothing spline model. Results The global age-standardized incidence [AAPC = -0.25%, 95% CI: (-0.25%, -0.24%)], prevalence [AAPC = -0.06%, 95% CI: (-0.06%, -0.06%)], mortality [AAPC = -0.25%, 95% CI: (-0.25%, -0.24%)] and DALYs rates of VL [AAPC = -2.38%, 95% CI: (-2.44%, -2.33%)] all appeared a tendency towards a decline from 1990 to 2021, and the highest age-standardized incidence [2.55/105, 95% UI: (1.49/105, 4.07/105)], prevalence [0.64/105, 95% UI: (0.37/105, 1.02/105)], mortality [0.51/105, 95% UI: (0, 1.80/105)] and DALYs rates of VL [33.81/105, 95% UI: (0.06/105, 124.09/105)] were seen in tropical Latin America in 2021. The global age-standardized incidence and prevalence of VL were both higher among men [0.57/105, 95% UI: (0.45/105, 0.72/105); 0.14/105, 95% UI: (0.11/105, 0.18/105)] than among women [0.27/105, 95% UI: (0.21/105, 0.33/105); 0.06/105, 95% UI: (0.05/105, 0.08/105)], and the highest mortality of VL was found among children under 5 years of age [0.24/105, 95% UI: (0.08/105, 0.66/105)]. The age-standardized incidence (r = -0.483, P < 0.001), prevalence (r = -0.483, P < 0.001), mortality (r = -0.511, P < 0.001) and DALYs rates of VL (r = -0.514, P < 0.001) correlated negatively with SDI levels from 1990 to 2021. In addition, the global burden of VL was projected with the BAPC model to appear a tendency towards a decline from 2022 to 2035, and the age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality and DALYs rates were projected to be reduced to 0.11/105, 0.03/105, 0.02/105 and 1.44/105 in 2035, respectively. Conclusions Although the global burden of VL appeared an overall tendency towards a decline from 1990 to 2021, the burden of VL showed a tendency towards a rise in Central Asia and western sub-Saharan African areas. The age-standardized incidence and prevalence rates of VL were relatively higher among men, and the age-standardized mortality of VL was relatively higher among children under 5 years of age. The global burden of VL was projected to continue to decline from 2022 to 2035.
7.Factors affecting Pomacea distribution and prediction of suitable distribution areas of Pomacea in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture of Yunnan Province
Zhongqiu LI ; Yuhua LIU ; Yunhai GUO ; Zixin WEI ; Junhu CHEN ; Qiang WANG ; Tianmei LI ; Shizhu LI
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2025;37(1):69-75
Objective To investigate the factors affecting the distribution of Pomacea and project the trends in the spread of suitable distribution areas of Pomacea in 2050 and 2070 in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, so as to provide insights into Pomacea control in the prefecture. Methods The longitudes and latitudes of Pomacea sampling sites were captured based on Pomacea field survey data in 12 cities (counties) of Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture from 2023 to 2024. A total of 19 climatic factors (annual mean temperature, mean diurnal range, isothermality, temperature seasonality, maximum temperature of the warmest month, minimum temperature of the coldest month, temperature annual range, mean temperature of the wettest quarter, mean temperature of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the warmest month, mean temperature of the coldest month, annual precipitation, precipitation of the wettest month, precipitation of the driest month, precipitation seasonality, precipitation of the wettest quarter, precipitation of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the warmest quarter, and mean temperature of the coldest quarter) and representative concentration pathways (RCPs) were retrieved from the world climate database (www.worldclim.org). All climatic variables were employed to create a maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model. The predictive accuracy of the model was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), and the contributions of these 19 climatic factors to the distribution of Pomacea were analyzed in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture using Jackknife test. In addition, the suitable distribution areas of Pomacea were predicted with the MaxEnt model in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture in 2024 and in 2050 and 2070 under RCP4.5. Results Data pertaining to 91 Pomacea sampling sites were captured. ROC analysis revealed the MaxEnt model had an AUC value of 0.885 ± 0.088 for predicting the suitable distribution areas of Pomacea in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture. Of the 19 climatic factors, the maximum temperature of the warmest month had the highest contribution to the distribution of Pomacea in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, followed by mean temperature of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the wettest quarter and minimum temperature of the coldest month. The suitable distribution area of Pomacea was predicted to be 14 555.69 km2 in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture in 2024, and would expand gradually to the southeastern part of the prefecture in the future due to climatic factors. The suitable distribution areas of Pomacea were projected to expand to 21 475.61 km2 in 2050 and 25 782.52 km2 in 2070 in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, respectively. Conclusions Temperature is an important contributor to the distribution of Pomacea in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, and the suitable distribution area of Pomacea will gradually expand to the southeastern part of the prefecture in 2050 and 2070.
8.An investigation on the dietary iodine intake levels of residents in Hainan Province and the dietary iodine contribution rates
Hongying WU ; Shizhu MENG ; Xiaohuan WANG ; Dingwei SUN ; Bin HE ; Ying LIU ; Xingren WANG
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2025;44(4):307-312
Objective:To investigate the dietary iodine intake levels of residents and the dietary iodine contribution rates in Hainan Province.Methods:Using cluster random sampling method, common foods sold in 21 counties (cities, districts) markets in Hainan Province in 2023 were collected to determine iodine content. Each county (city, district) was divided into five sampling areas by east, west, south, north, and center, with one township (street) selected from each area, and 20 permanent residents over 18 years old (non same household, half male and half female) and 20 pregnant women were selected from each township (street). The "Iodine-Specific Food Frequency Questionnaire (I-FFQ)" was used to investigate the daily dietary intake of adults and pregnant woman. The average daily salt intake of the survey subjects was measured by the 3-day weighing method, and the dietary iodine intake and the dietary iodine contribution rates were calculated.Results:A total of 632 food samples were collected, and the iodine content of seaweed was relatively high (4 424.76 μg/100 g); the iodine content of seasoning was relatively low (2.41 μg/100 g). A total of 4 227 individuals in Hainan Province were surveyed for dietary iodine intake. The median dietary iodine intake level of residents was 211.6 μg/d, with the medians dietary iodine intake level of adults and pregnant women being 204.5 and 218.4 μg/d ( n = 2 120, 2 107), respectively. There was a statistically significant differences between different populations ( Z = - 8.64, P < 0.001). The medians dietary iodine intake level in the western coastal areas, central mountainous regions, and eastern coastal areas were 210.0, 207.3 and 211.6 μg/d ( n = 1 205, 1 203, 1 819), respectively, with statistically significant differences between different regions ( H = 15.33, P < 0.001). The contribution rate of dietary iodine from iodized salt was the most (59.4%), followed by kelp (8.1%). Conclusions:Under the condition of consuming iodized salt, the dietary iodine intake of adults in Hainan Province meets the recommended dietary iodine intake ( > 120 μg/d), but the dietary iodine intake of pregnant women is insufficient ( < 230 μg/d). Iodized salt is the main source of dietary iodine for residents in Hainan Province.
9.Epidemiological characteristics and influencing factors of diabetes and pre-diabetes among adult residents in Hainan Province
Juan JIANG ; Changfu XIONG ; Dingwei SUN ; Ying LIU ; Hongying WU ; Xingren WANG ; Xiaohuan WANG ; Tingting OU ; Xue ZHOU ; Shizhu MENG ; Saiku CHEN ; Kanglin WANG ; Lu ZHONG ; Bin HE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):700-708
Objective:To describe epidemiological characteristics and their influencing factors of diabetes and pre-diabetes among adult residents in Hainan Province and provide a theoretical basis to develop epidemic prevention and control strategies for diabetes.Methods:This study used a two-stage unequal proportion cluster sampling method, and 32 857 subjects (≥18 years old) were collected from 24 cities/counties/districts in Hainan Province. All the subjects were investigated with questionnaires, physical examination, and laboratory tests from January to June 2023. The χ2 and Mantel-Haenszel trend χ2 tests were used to analyze the data. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the factors influencing diabetes and pre-diabetes. SPSS 23.0 software was used to analyze the data. Results:The crude prevalence of diabetes and pre-diabetes in adult residents of Hainan Province were 18.1% and 22.8%, while the weighted rates were 13.7% and 20.7%, respectively. The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that: aging (30-39 years old: OR=2.65, 95% CI: 2.06-3.41; 40-49 years old: OR=5.64, 95% CI: 4.40-7.24; 50- 59 years old: OR=9.88, 95% CI: 7.71-12.67; 60-69 years old: OR=18.34, 95% CI: 14.28-23.55; 70-79 years old: OR=21.30, 95% CI: 16.41-27.65; 80 years old and above: OR=24.13, 95% CI: 17.94-32.46), nationality (Li minority group: OR=1.50, 95% CI: 1.38-1.63; other ethnic groups: OR=1.53, 95% CI: 1.20-1.94), urban ( OR=1.12, 95% CI: 1.04-1.21), central obesity ( OR=2.14, 95% CI: 2.01-2.29), higher frequency of alcohol consumption (5-7 day/week: OR=1.24, 95% CI: 1.11-1.38), physical inactivity ( OR=1.09, 95% CI: 1.02-1.17) were risk factors for diabetes, while aging (30-39 years old: OR=1.53, 95% CI: 1.31-1.79; 40-49 years old: OR=2.36, 95% CI: 2.01-2.76; 50-59 years old: OR=3.03, 95% CI: 2.58-3.55; 60-69 years old: OR=4.22, 95% CI: 3.58-4.97; 70-79 years old: OR=5.05, 95% CI: 4.23-6.04; 80 years old and above: OR=6.08, 95% CI: 4.86-7.61), nationality: (Li minority group: OR=1.18, 95% CI: 1.10-1.28; other ethnic groups: OR=1.40, 95% CI: 1.14-1.71), urban ( OR=1.12, 95% CI: 1.04-1.19), central obesity ( OR=1.72, 95% CI: 1.62-1.83), higher frequency of alcohol consumption (1-4 day/week: OR=1.12, 95% CI: 1.01-1.23; 5-7 day/week: OR=1.35, 95% CI: 1.22-1.49) were risk factors for pre-diabetes. Conclusions:The epidemic situation of diabetes and pre-diabetes among adult residents in Hainan Province was not optimistic. In order to control the development of abnormal blood glucose, measures and targeted health education should be carried out to strengthen the screening, treatment, and management of people with abnormal blood glucose among different populations.
10.A study of the accuracy and radiation dose of the use of portable X-ray machine for orientation of foreign body in navigation surgery
Dan MA ; Rui XIE ; Xin WANG ; Chen LIU ; Wei WU ; Yimin ZHAO ; Shizhu BAI
Journal of Practical Stomatology 2025;41(1):16-20
Objective:To assess the feasibility and security the orientation of foreign bodies using a portable X-ray machine in computer-aided navigation surgery.Methods:A model with a metallic foreign body was constructed.Under the fluoroscopy of a portable X-ray machine,4 points on 2 straight lines passing through the tip of the foreign body were recorded by the navigation e-quipment,and subsequently,the midpoints of the common perpendicular segments of the 2 lines were calculated as the coordinates of the foreign body(Bilinear Method).2 operators measured the coordinates of the foreign body 10 times and compared the measured coordinates of the foreign body with the actual coordinates of the foreign body in order to analyze the accuracy of the Bilinear Method.Radiation doses to model area and operators at different locations were measured using ionizing radiation detectors.Results:The ac-curacy of the Bilinear Method for measuring foreign body coordinates was(1.98±0.77)mm,and that of the 2 operators was 1.55±0.68 and 2.40±0.36 respectively(P=0.02).The radiation dose was(221.45±50.15)μSv in the model and(4.44±1.35)μSv in the operator's chest.Conclusion:The accuracy of the coordinates of the foreign body intraoperation measured by Bilinear Method meets general clinical needs,and different operators may produce different accuracy.The radiation dose is small.

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