1.Prevalence and 5-year mortality of dementia and association with geriatric syndromes in elderly population in Beijing
Shimin HU ; Fang LI ; Shaochen GUAN ; Chunxiu WANG ; Xiaowei SONG ; Hongjun LIU ; Jinghong MA ; Yan ZHAO ; Chunxiao LIU ; Huihui LI ; Yanlei ZHANG ; Jian WU ; Xianghua FANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(11):1573-1581
Objective:To investigate the prevalence and mortality of dementia and assess the impact of geriatric syndromes (GS) on the risk for dementia and death in elderly population in Beijing.Methods:A cross-sectional survey was conducted in the elderly population aged ≥65 years and selected by a multi-stage sampling in Beijing during 2013-2015. Cognitive function was screened using the Chinese Revised Version of the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). Then, neurological examination and psychiatric assessment were performed for those with the MMSE score lower than the cut-off value. The information about GS prevalence was also collected. The study also collected death records for all individuals from baseline until December 31, 2019. Based on the age and gender distribution from Beijing data of the 2010 Six th National Population Census, the dementia prevalence in the study population was directly standardized. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the association of different forms of dementia with GS, and Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratio ( HR) and 95% CI of death. Results:During 2013-2015, a total of 2 935 individuals completed dementia assessments, of which 167 were diagnosed with dementia. The standardized prevalence of dementia was 5.9% (95% CI: 5.0%-17.4%). The individuals with Alzheimer's disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VaD) accounted for 58.7% and 28.1% of total individuals with dementia, respectively. Aging, lower education level, urinary incontinence, and fall were risk factors for AD, while disability of activity of daily life dependence, hypertension, and stroke were found to be risk factors for VaD. After a median follow-up of 5.44 person-years, 399 deaths were recorded. The 5-year mortality risk was 2.87 (95% CI: 1.92-4.17) times and 4.93 (95% CI: 3.23-7.53) times higher for the elderly individuals with AD and VaD, respectively, compared to non-demented individuals. After adjusting for demographic, GS, and cardiovascular risk factors, the mortality risk in the elderly individuals with AD showed no significant difference compared with non-demented individuals ( HR=1.32, 95% CI: 0.89-1.97), while the mortality risk in those with VaD was 2.46 (95% CI: 1.49-4.05) times higher than that in non-demented individuals. Conclusions:The prevalence of dementia in Beijing increased significantly in the context of population aging, especially the prevalence of AD. The presence of GS increased the risks for AD and VaD, as well as the risk for death. Close attention needs to be paid to GS management in dementia prevention in elderly population.
2.Association between main health characteristics and quality of life in Hainan centenarians
Shengshu WANG ; Xuehang LI ; Shanshan YANG ; Yang SONG ; Shimin CHEN ; Zhiqiang LI ; Shaohua LIU ; Rongrong LI ; Haowei LI ; Jianhua WANG ; Junhan YANG ; Yali ZHAO ; Jing LI ; Qiao ZHU ; Chaoxue NING ; Miao LIU ; Yao HE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(1):85-91
Centenarians are known as the "model population" in the study of healthy aging. Understanding their characteristics of health and longevity and its related influencing factors would facilitate the exploration of the possible path to achieve health and longevity under the background of population aging in China. In recent years, the population based observational studies, including China Hainan Centenarian Cohort Study (CHCCS), have found the main health characteristics of centenarians and their relationship with quality of life. This paper summarizes the relevant research results from CHCCS in recent years, and compare them with the results of similar domestic studies. The main health indicators include blood pressure, blood lipid, blood glucose, hemoglobin, body measurement and renal function. The health outcomes including diet, nutrition, health-related quality of life, activities of daily living, geriatric syndrome. The results are expected to provide epidemiological evidence for the development of healthy aging policies.
3.Association between parathyroid hormone and all-cause death in Hainan centenarians: a prospective cohort study
Rongrong LI ; Shengshu WANG ; Yang SONG ; Shaohua LIU ; Xuehang LI ; Shimin CHEN ; Zhiqiang LI ; Haowei LI ; Shanshan YANG ; Jianhua WANG ; Yali ZHAO ; Jing LI ; Qiao ZHU ; Chaoxue NING ; Miao LIU ; Yao HE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(1):92-98
Objective:To explore the association between parathyroid hormone (PTH) and all-cause death in the centenarians in Hainan Province.Methods:The study was based on China Hainan Centenarian Cohort Study, a total of 1 002 centenarians were included in the baseline survey, the follow up was conducted to collect the information about their death outcome. The association between baseline PTH level and all-cause death was analyzed by Cox proportional risk regression model using continuous variables, dichotomous variables, and quad variables as independent variables of the centenarians.Results:As of May 31 st, 2021, a total of 522 centenarians had died in the follow up period, the median of the follow up time was 4.16 (1.31,5.04) years, and the mortality rate was 52.10%. After fully adjusting the covariates, the multiple Cox proportional hazards regression analyses showed that the risk of all-cause death increased by 3.7% for every 10 pg/ml increase in PTH value, the HR was 1.037 (95% CI: 1.007-1.067) in all the centenarians. The risk of death in the centenarians in the highest PTH group was 1.458 (95% CI: 1.131-1.878) times higher than that in the lowest PTH group. Conclusions:Higher parathyroid hormone level was associated with the elevated risk for all-cause death in the centenarians in Hainan. PTH can be used as a reference index for the prediction of the death risk of long-lived elderly in community.
4.Effect of depressive symptom on the death and longevity in Hainan centenarians: a prospective cohort study
Shimin CHEN ; Shengshu WANG ; Yang SONG ; Shaohua LIU ; Xuehang LI ; Zhiqiang LI ; Haowei LI ; Rongrong LI ; Jianhua WANG ; Shanshan YANG ; Yali ZHAO ; Jing LI ; Qiao ZHU ; Chaoxue NING ; Miao LIU ; Yao HE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(1):99-105
Objective:To examine the association between depression and all-cause death in centenarians in Hainan Province.Methods:Based on China Hainan Centenarian Cohort Study, 1 002 centenarians with integral data were included in the baseline survey, follow up was conducted to collect the information about their survival status and death outcome. Depression was evaluated by the 15-item Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS-15) and based on the evaluation scores, the mental status of the centenarians was classified as: severe depressive disorder (MDD; score ≥10), minor depressive disorder (MnDD; score 6-9), and normal status (score ≤5). Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models was used to estimate the hazard ratios ( HRs) and 95% CIs. Results:As of May 31 st, 2021, a total of 522 deaths had been reported, with a mortality density of 152.39/1 000 person-years and a median follow up time M( Q1, Q3) of 4.16 (1.31, 5.04) years, in the centenarians. After adjusting the factors of socio-demographic characteristics and lifestyle, multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the risk of all-cause mortality increased by 3.1% for every 1-point increase in GDS-15 score ( HR=1.031, 95% CI: 1.002-1.061). Compared with centenarians with normal status, the risk of mortality in the centenarians with MDD increased by 35.9% ( HR=1.359, 95% CI: 1.023-1.806), the centenarians with MDD had an average 1.94 years of life lost. Among the female centenarians, the risk of mortality in MnDD group and MDD group increased by 29.3% ( HR=1.293, 95% CI: 1.053-1.590) and 42.3% ( HR=1.423, 95% CI: 1.047-1.935) compared with normal group, those with MDD had an average 1.71 years of life lost. Conclusions:Depression was related to the increased risk of all-cause death and life lost in the centenarians in Hainan.
5.Association between 12 obesity related indicators and all-cause death in Hainan centenarians
Shanshan YANG ; Shengshu WANG ; Rongrong LI ; Shimin CHEN ; Haowei LI ; Xuehang LI ; Yang SONG ; Jianhua WANG ; Yali ZHAO ; Jing LI ; Qiao ZHU ; Chaoxue NING ; Penggang TAI ; Guangdong LIU ; Miao LIU ; Yao HE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(1):106-114
Objective:To describe and analyze the relationship between traditional and new obesity related anthropometric indicators and all-cause death in centenarians in Hainan, the traditional and new obesity related anthropometric indicators included BMI, waist circumference (WC), waist hip ratio (WHR), waist height ratio, calf circumference (CC), waist-calf ratio (WCR), lipid accumulation product (LAP), visceral adiposity index (VAI), Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI), a body shape index (ABSI), a body shape index of Chinese (CABSI) and body roundness index.Methods:A total of 1 002 centenarians in Hainan were selected by cluster sampling. The M( Q1,Q3) follow-up time was 4.16 (1.31, 5.04) years and the outcome was all-cause death. Multiple Cox regression model was used to analyze the relationship between the obesity related anthropometric indicators and all-cause death, and the area under receiver operating characteristic curve was used for comparison. Results:In all the centenarians, CC had the strongest power to predict death, with area under curve (AUC) of 0.61 (95% CI:0.57-0.64), the gender specific results were consistent with that in overall population ( P<0.05), followed by WCR with AUC of 0.58, and then BMI, LAP and WC with AUC of 0.55, 0.55 and 0.54 respectively, while CABSI, WHR and VAI had the weaker power to predict death with AUC of 0.51, 0.50 and 0.50 respectively. Conclusions:This was the first study to prospectively compare and analyze the association between 12 obesity related anthropometric indicators and all-cause death in a large sample cohort of centenarians in China. It was found that CC had the best prediction power for death, and the risk for death decreased with the increase of CC value in a dose-response manner. It is suggested that CC can be used as a reference index for death risk monitoring in the elderly.
6.Association of various levels of blood pressure and related factors with all-cause death in Hainan centenarians: a prospective cohort study
Xuehang LI ; Jing LI ; Shengshu WANG ; Yang SONG ; Shaohua LIU ; Shimin CHEN ; Zhiqiang LI ; Rongrong LI ; Haowei LI ; Shanshan YANG ; Jianhua WANG ; Yali ZHAO ; Qiao ZHU ; Chaoxue NING ; Miao LIU ; Yao HE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(1):115-121
Objective:To understand the associations of various levels of systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels and related factors with all-cause death in the centenarians in Hainan Province.Methods:The data were obtained from China Hainan Centenarian Cohort Study, a prospective cohort study which included 1 002 centenarians. Cox proportional risk regression models were used to analyze the associations of blood pressure and related factors with all-cause death in the centenarians.Results:As of May 31, 2021, with the median of the follow-up time of 4.16 years, and the mortality density had reach 15.24 per 100 person-years. After grouping by SBP and DBP quartiles, the Q1 of SBP and Q2 of DBP caused the lowest mortality density (12.73 per 100 person-years and 14.10 per 100 person-years relatively). In all the centenarians, compared with the Q1 of SBP (≤137 mmHg, 1 mmHg=0.133 kPa), Q2, Q3 and Q4 were all positively associated with all-cause death. In the female population, the HRs of SBP's Q2, Q3 and Q4 were 1.343, 1.355 and 1.420 respectively ( Q1 as reference), and the HRs of DBP's Q1, Q3 and Q4 were 1.468, 1.800 and 1.504 respectively ( Q2 as reference), showing a roughly U-shaped association. Interactive analysis showed multiplicative interaction between SBP and BMI. Conclusions:In the centenarians in Hainan, different levels of systolic and diastolic blood pressure were associated with all-cause death. In the centenarians, DBP might have a suitable level or range in which the risk of death is relatively low. Different BMI status might affect the associations of blood pressure levels with death outcomes.
7.Effect of nutritional status on all-cause death in Hainan centenarians: a prospective cohort study
Yang SONG ; Shengshu WANG ; Jianwei WANG ; Shaohua LIU ; Shimin CHEN ; Xuehang LI ; Yali ZHAO ; Jing LI ; Qiao ZHU ; Chaoxue NING ; Jianhua WANG ; Miao LIU ; Yao HE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(1):122-127
Objective:To explore the association between nutritional status and all-cause death in the centenarians in Hainan Province.Methods:Based on the survey data of China Hainan Centenarian Cohort Study from 2014 to 2021, a total of 1 002 Hainan centenarians with complete baseline data were included in this study, and their survival status and death outcome were surveyed. According to the Mini Nutritional Assessment Short-Form (MNA-SF), the centenarians were divided into three groups: well-nourished (12-14), at risk of malnutrition (8-11), and malnutrition (0-7). The survival status of the centenarians was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier curve. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess the association between nutritional status and all-cause death.Results:After the follow-up on May 31, 2021, we had found that 522 centenarians died, with an all-cause mortality rate of 52.10% (522/1 002). Compared with the well-nourished group, the average life lost caused by malnutrition was 0.62 years. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that all-cause mortality rate was higher in the malnourished centenarians than in other groups ( χ2=16.45, P<0.001). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model showed that the risk of all-cause mortality rate in malnourished centenarians was higher than that in well-nourished centenarians ( HR=1.65, 95% CI: 1.18-2.31). Subgroup analysis found that the association in female centenarians was more significant. Conclusions:Malnutrition was associated with a high risk of all-cause death in Hainan centenarians. It is suggested that we should timely evaluate and pay attention to the impact of nutritional status of centenarians on their health and longevity, and death, especially in the female elderly.
8.Association analysis between sex hormone levels and all-cause mortality in Hainan female centenarians
Qiao ZHU ; Shimin CHEN ; Haowei LI ; Rongrong LI ; Shanshan YANG ; Shengshu WANG ; Yali ZHAO ; Chaoxue NING ; Miao LIU ; Yao HE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(8):1245-1250
Objective:To investigate the distribution characteristics of sex hormones and their relationship with all-cause mortality in Hainan female centenarians.Methods:All the subjects were from China Hainan Centenarian Cohort Study. A total of 717 female centenarians were included in the final analysis. Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw the survival curve, and Cox proportional hazard regression was used to analyze the relationship between sex hormones and survival time.Results:The M( Q1, Q3) of estradiol and progesterone among female centenarians was 32.60 (18.40, 58.70) pmol/L and 0.62 (0.32, 1.01) nmol/L. The estradiol (pmol/L) and progesterone (nmol/L) in the survival and death groups were 26.65 vs.37.80, 0.54 vs.0.69, respectively, with statistical differences ( P<0.05). Cox multivariate analysis showed that estradiol and progesterone were significantly associated with death ( P<0.05), the hazard ratio ( HR) of estradiol Q4 was 1.58 (95% CI: 1.17-2.15), and the HR of progesterone Q3 was 1.53 (95% CI: 1.10-2.12), HR for Q4 was 1.63 (95% CI: 1.15-2.32). Subgroup and cross-analysis showed that estradiol was statistically significant with hypertension, diabetes, and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ( P<0.05), and progesterone interacted with diabetes ( P=0.016), while testosterone interacted with low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ( P=0.034). Conclusion:It is suggested that the estrogen levels of female centenarians in Hainan were associated with a higher mortality risk and an increased risk of cardiovascular metabolic disease (such as diabetes, hypertension, and abnormal lipid metabolism).
9.Research on Current Situation and Countermeasures of Public Health Emergency in a Rural Area of Hubei Province
Mengshuang WANG ; Yan CAO ; Fei LI ; Yi FENG ; Shimin HE ; Mingyue YUAN ; Min ZHAO
Chinese Medical Ethics 2022;35(10):1113-1117
Major public health emergencies have challenged the public health emergency response capacity of rural areas. Through the investigation and research on the epidemic prevention and control situation in a rural area in Hubei, 93 households were randomly sampled by questionnaire survey method, and 10 households were interviewed by the semi-structured interview method. The data were analyzed by cross-analysis and descriptive analysis. The results showed that the main body involved in epidemic prevention and control in rural areas was single, and the epidemic prevention and control measures mostly adopted simple measures such as closed management. It was difficult to implement epidemic prevention and control measures in the village. The village doctors assumed basic medical and health service functions but were not highly motivated. Sanitation facilities were lacking, but the social comprehensive publicity of epidemic prevention and control safety education and infectious disease prevention knowledge was effective. In the post-epidemic era, it is necessary to increase the public health and health awareness of rural residents through strengthen publicity, improve and optimize the rural public health system, build a rural public health community, and enhance village doctors’ professional quality, so as to promote the emergency response capacity of rural public health.
10.Mechanism of penehyclidine hydrochloride alleviating endotoxin-induced lung injury in rats: relationship with Toll-like receptor 4
Xiaoyong WEI ; Tao WANG ; Junbo ZHAO ; Shimin GU ; Bo LIU ; Lijuan WANG ; Lihua JIANG ; Lei WEI
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2022;42(9):1108-1111
Objective:To evaluate the role of Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) in the mechanism by penehyclidine hydrochloride alleviating lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-induced acute lung injury(ALI)in rats.Methods:Twenty-four healthy male Sprague-Dawley rats, aged 10 weeks, weighing 220-250 g, were divided into 4 groups ( n=6 each) according to the random number table method: normal saline group (NS group), endotoxin-induced ALI group (ALI group), penehyclidine hydrochloride + normal saline group (PHC+ NS group) and penehyclidine hydrochloride + endotoxin-induced ALI group (PHC+ ALI group). ALI was induced by intratracheal instillation of LPS 5 mg/kg in anesthetized animals. In group PHC+ ALI, penehyclidine hydrochloride 2 mg/kg was intraperitoneally injected immediately after intratracheal instillation of LPS. The equal volume of normal saline was injected into the airway in group NS, and penehyclidine hydrochloride 2 mg/kg was intraperitoneally injected immediately after intratracheal instillation of normal saline in group PHC+ NS. The rats were sacrificed at 6 h after intratracheal instillation of LPS or normal saline, and lungs were removed. The lung was lavaged and broncho-alveolar lavage fluid (BALF) was collected for determination of concentrations of tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) and interleukin-1beta (IL-1β) by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Lung tissues were obtained for microscopic examination of the pathological changes (with a light microscope) and for determination of wet to dry lung weight ratio (W/D ratio) and TLR4 protein and mRNA expression (by immuno-histochemistry or real-time polymerase chain reaction). Results:Compared with group NS and group PHC+ NS, the W/D ratio and concentrations of TNF-α and IL-1β in BALF were significantly increased, the expression of TLR4 protein and mRNA in lung tissues was up-regulated ( P<0.01), and the pathological changes of lung tissues were aggravated in group ALI . Compared with group ALI, the W/D ratio and concentrations of TNF-α and IL-1β in BALF were significantly decreased, the expression of TLR4 protein and mRNA in lung tissues was down-regulated ( P<0.01), and the pathological changes of lung tissues were significantly mitigated in group PHC+ ALI. Conclusions:The mechanism by which penehyclidine hydrochloride reduces endotoxin-induced lung injury may be related to reduction of TLR4 activity and thus inhibition of pulmonary inflammatory responses in rats.

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