1.Comparative study of SARIMA and seasonal index model in predicting non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning
Wantong HAN ; Yongqiang ZHANG ; Shichang DU ; Wei WANG ; Kai QU ; Xin HE ; Cixian XU ; Xiumei SUN ; Qiran SUN ; Jinyao ZHANG ; Fan BU ; Xingui SUN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):12-16
Objective To establish a prediction model for the occurrence of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing, and to provide scientific basis and theoretical support for the prevention and warning of poisoning events. Methods Based on the monitoring data of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing from 2016 to 2024, the seasonal ARIMA model and seasonal index model were established to analyze the data and predict the occurrence of events. Results Between 2016 and 2024, a total of 436 cases of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning were reported in Beijing, showing a downward trend. The established SARIMA model and seasonal index model were SARIMA (1,0,0) (1,1,0) 12, Yt = (-0.0339t+5.8863) × St, and the average relative errors were 65.42% and 29.19%, respectively. In terms of months, the SARIMA model had better predictive performance during April and summer (June to August), while the seasonal index model was superior in other months. By combining the two models, the predicted number of events in 2025 was as follows: 3, 2, 2, 3, 1, 5, 2, 7, 1, 1, 1, and 2. Conclusion The seasonal index model has the best prediction effect on the non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing throughout the year, and the number of summer events predicted by SARIMA model is closer to the actual values. The two models can be combined to predict the trend of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning, which provides a scientific basis for the prevention and control of carbon monoxide poisoning in the future.
2.The mediating role of psychological resilience between work stress and sleep quality in psychiatric nurses
Weina GU ; Lingfang ZHANG ; Zhengjun GUO ; Shichang YANG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(12):1638-1642
Objective:To explore the mediating role of psychological resilience between work stress and sleep quality in psychiatric nurses.Methods:From April to August 2023, convenience sampling was used to select 457 psychiatric nurses working in three psychiatric hospitals in Henan Province as the research subjects. The survey was conducted using the General Information Questionnaire, the Chinese version of the Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale (CD-RISC), the Chinese Nursing Stressor Scale (CNSS), and the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI). Pearson correlation was used to analyze the correlation between psychological resilience, work stress, and sleep quality among psychiatric nurses. SPSS 26.0 software was used to analyze the data, and Process macro program and Bootstrap method were used to test the mediating effect.Results:Among 457 psychiatric nurses, the total scores of the Chinese version of CD-RISC, CNSS, and PSQI were (58.89±13.27), (78.02±14.31), and (8.04±3.46), respectively. Pearson correlation showed that work stress was positively correlated with sleep quality ( r=0.703, P<0.01). In contrast, work stress was negatively correlated with psychological resilience ( r=-0.413, P<0.01), and psychological resilience was negatively correlated with sleep quality ( r=-0.712, P<0.01). Psychological resilience partially mediated the relationship between work stress and sleep quality, with a mediating effect value of 0.051, accounting for 30.0% of the total effect. Conclusions:Psychological resilience partially mediates the relationship between work stress and sleep quality in psychiatric nurses. Nursing managers should attach importance to and enhance the psychological resilience of psychiatric nurses, regularly relieve stress, improve sleep quality, and enhance the physical and mental health of nurses.
3.Research progress in prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver transplantation using PET/CT
Shichang LI ; Ainan GUO ; Fang ZHANG ; Lingge WEI ; Peng FU
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 2024;44(10):633-636
With the increasing maturity of liver transplantation technology and the improvement of postoperative management, liver transplantation has become one of the important means for treating hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the postoperative recurrence is the main reason for treatment failure. Therefore, it is of great clinical significance to accurately predict the risk of postoperative recurrence in patients undergoing liver transplantation for HCC. PET/CT can reflect cellular metabolism and function changes in target organ at the molecular level. The tumor metabolic burden parameters of PET/CT have been included in the post-transplant evaluation system for liver transplantation and have good prognostic value. This article provides a review of prediction of HCC recurrence after liver transplantation using PET/CT.
4.Effectiveness of evidence-based thinking oriented micro-course and teaching method of case-based learning:cultivation of clinical thinking ability of nurses taking standardised training in ICU
Shichang GUO ; Mengqi XUE ; Qiaomei WU ; Lijuan ZHANG ; Wenting TAN
Modern Clinical Nursing 2024;23(7):39-45
Objective To explore the effect of evidence-based thinking oriented micro-course and case-based learning(CBL)on cultivation of clinical thinking ability of nurses who are taking the standardised nursing training in intensive care unit(ICU)so as to provide a new teaching method in the training of nurses.Methods A total of 72 nurses taking standardised nursing training in ICU of our hospital from November 2021 to October 2023 were selected as the research objects.Thirty-six of nurses who took rotation in the ICU from November 2021 to October 2022 were assigned in the control group,and other 36 nurses who took rotation in the ICU from November 2022 to October 2023 were assigned in the trial group.In the control group,CBL teaching method was adopted in the standardised nursing training,while both of evidence-based thinking oriented micro-course and CBL teaching mothed were adopted in the trial group for the standardised nursing training.The two groups were compared in terms of scores of clinical thinking ability,assessment of theory and clinical skills,as well as nurses'satisfaction with the teaching.Results After the training,nurses in the trial group exhibited significant superiority to the control group in total scores of clinical thinking ability and its three dimensions,critical thinking ability,systematic thinking ability and evidence-based thinking ability(P<0.05 for all).Furthermore,nurses in the trial group achieved significantly higher scores in theoretical assessment and assessment of clinical skills in comparison with those in the control group(P<0.05).Moreover,the trial group reported significantly higher satisfaction with both of the teaching method and learning atmosphere than those of the control group(P<0.05 for both).Conclusion Evidence-based thinking oriented micro-course and CBL teaching method can effectively improve the clinical thinking ability,theoretical knowledge and operational skills among the nurses taking standardised nursing training in ICU.
5.Effects of spheroid culture in a rotating bioreactor on secretion of inflammatory factors by human placenta-derived mesenchymal stem cells
Pingping ZHANG ; Tingting LIANG ; Mingsong FAN ; Li CHEN ; Shichang ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2024;28(19):3012-3017
BACKGROUND:Spheroid culture of mesenchymal stem cells in bioreactors is an in vitro culture method to maintain their stemness properties and allow for large-scale expansion.Clarifying its effects on the immunoregulation effect of stem cells is beneficial for their clinical application. OBJECTIVE:To investigate the effects of spheroid culture in a rotating bioreactor on the secretion of inflammatory factors by human placenta-derived mesenchymal stem cells. METHODS:Placenta-derived mesenchymal stem cells isolated from human placenta tissue were cultured in two-dimensional culture or a rotating bioreactor culture.Cell morphology and proliferation ability were observed using inverted phase contrast microscopy,immunohistochemical staining,and CCK-8 assay.The gene expression and protein secretion of several inflammatory factors were detected by RT-qPCR and flow immunofluorescence assay. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Mesenchymal stem cells cultured in a rotating bioreactor aggregated into multicellular spheroids,which gradually increased in number and volume.(2)The hematoxylin-eosin staining results showed that the mesenchymal stem cells cultured in the rotating bioreactor for 4 days were evenly distributed and had normal morphology in the spheroids.(3)Immunohistochemical staining results revealed many mesenchymal stem cells with Ki-67 positive in the spheroids.(4)The CCK-8 assay results exhibited that the viability of mesenchymal stem cells derived from spheroid culture was significantly higher than that of cells cultured in two-dimensional culture.(5)The results of RT-qPCR and flow immunofluorescence assay demonstrated that the gene expression and protein secretion(interleukin 1β,interleukin-4,interleukin-6,interleukin-8,interleukin-10,interleukin-17,tumor necrosis factor α and interferon α)of inflammatory factors derived from mesenchymal stem cells cultured in the rotating bioreactor were significantly higher than those in two-dimensional culture.(6)Our results indicate that spheroid culture in a rotating bioreactor can significantly elevate the secretion ability of various inflammatory factors by human placenta-derived mesenchymal stem cells,and enhance the immunoregulatory effect of human placenta-derived mesenchymal stem cells.
6.Relationship between mobile phone addiction and anxiety among college students: the acting path of loneliness
Mengyang TAO ; Lijun SUN ; Fei GUO ; Jianhua ZHANG ; Jinjin DONG ; Shichang YANG
Sichuan Mental Health 2024;37(2):156-161
BackgroundAnxiety exists as a prevalent psychological problem among college students nowadays, which brings negative influence on their normal life. Mobile phone addiction and loneliness both have an impact on college students' anxiety. However, the acting path of loneliness between mobile phone addiction and anxiety requires further exploration. ObjectiveTo analyze the relationships among mobile phone addiction, loneliness and anxiety in college students, and to explore the acting path of loneliness between mobile phone addiction and anxiety. MethodsOn December 21, 2023, 1 400 college students from a university in Henan Province were selected, in accordance with the simple random sampling method, for investigation of this study. Questionnaire survey was conducted by using several scales including Mobile Phone Addiction Tendency Scale (MPATS), Self-rating Anxiety Scale (SAS) and University of California Los Angeles-Loneliness Scale (UCLA-LS). Pearson correlation analysis was used to examine the correlation between the scores of each scale above, and SPSS macro program Process 3.3 was used to test the mediation effect. ResultsA total of 1 239 valid questionnaires were collected, with an effective recovery rate of 88.50%. The MPATS score of college students was positively correlated with both SAS and UCLA-LS scores (r=0.474, 0.387, P<0.01), and UCLA-LS score was positively correlated with SAS score (r=0.541, P<0.01). The indirect effect of loneliness between mobile phone addiction and anxiety was 0.160 (95% CI: 0.118~0.173), accounting for 33.97% of the total effect. ConclusionMobile phone addiction can positively predict anxiety among college students, and loneliness may act as the mediation path between mobile phone addiction and anxiety among college students.
7.Temporal distribution characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease in Beijing, 2008-2023
Yongqiang ZHANG ; Wei WANG ; Xitai LI ; Shichang DU ; Cixian XU ; Hong QIAO ; Xingui SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(10):1383-1389
Objective:To analyze the temporal distribution characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Beijing and provide reference evidence in HFMD prevention and control.Methods:The monthly incidence data of HFMD in Beijing from 2008 to 2023 were collected from Notifiable Disease Management Information System of the Chinese Information System of Disease Control and Prevention, and the epidemiological characteristics of HFMD were analyzed by the methods of time series seasonal decomposition graph, concentration degree, and circular distribution.The WPS office software 2019 was used to clean the data, Python software 3.12 was used to analyze and make statistical charts.Results:The monthly incidence fluctuation of HFMD in Beijing from 2008 to 2015 was higher than that from 2016 to 2022. From 2016 to 2022, the fluctuation range of monthly incidence showed a gradually decreasing trend.From 2008 to 2015, the concentration ( M) was 0.58, indicating a relatively strong seasonality; the mean angle ( α) calculated by the circular distribution method was 174.95°, and the mean angle standard deviation ( s) was 60.43°. The annual incidence peak occurred on June 27, and the incidence peak period was from April 27 to August 27. From 2016 to 2019 and 2023, the M was 0.57, indicating a relatively strong seasonality. The α was 228.05°, and s was 61.44°. The annual incidence peak occurred on August 20, and the incidence peak period was from June 18 to October 21. From 2020 to 2022, the M was 0.42, indicating a seasonality, the α was 238.27° and s was 76.35°. The annual incidence peak occurred on July 15, and the incidence peak period was from June 14 to November 14. The α of 2008-2015, 2016-2019 and 2023, and 2020-2022 were tested by the Watson-Williams method and the difference was statistically significant ( F=33 443.09, P<0.001). In 2023, the M was 0.77, indicating a strong seasonality. The incidence peak occurred on September 16, and the incidence peak period was from August 5 to October 28. Conclusions:The seasonality of HFMD in Beijing was obvious from 2008 to 2023, and the incidence peak day and peak period overall had rearward shifts. It is necessary to strengthen the comprehensive analysis of the distribution characteristics at different dimensions and the comprehensive prevention and control in key areas, places, and populations during the peak incidence period.
8.Efficacy of intra-articular injection of platelet rich plasma and hyaluronic acid in the treatment of knee osteoarthritis
Junfeng ZHANG ; Feichao SONG ; Shichang JI ; Yuxuan LIU ; Shuyan XUE ; Yanli ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2023;27(7):439-445,C7-1
Objective:To compare the clinical efficacy and safety of intra-articular platelet rich plasma combined with hyaluronic acid and platelet rich plasma alone in the treatment of knee osteoarthritis.Methods:The relevant literatures published between January 2010 and December 2021 on the randomized control study of intra-articular injection of platelet rich plasma and hyaluronic acid and injection of platelet rich plasma only in the treatment of knee osteoarthritis were searched. The bias risk of all the literatures included in the study was evaluated by Revman 5.3 software, and the data were processed and analyzed by Stata 16.0 software. The standardized mean difference ( SMD) was calculated for the difference of efficacy indexes, and the difference was compared by t- test. The odds ratio ( OR) was calculated for the difference of safety in-dex, and the difference was compared by t- test. Results:①A total of 7 relevant research literatures were in-cluded, all of which were in English. ②A total of 675 patients were included in the study, of which 330 patients were treated with intra-articular injection of platelet rich plasma and hyaluronic acid, and 345 patients were treated with intra-articular injection of platelet rich plasma only. ③The VAS scores of patients with platelet rich plasma and hyaluronic acid injection combined with injection and platelet rich plasma injection alone were compared. After 1 and 3 months of injection, the VAS scores of patients with platelet rich plasma combined with hyaluronic acid injection were compared with those of patients with platelet rich plasma injection only. There was no significant difference[ SMD(95% CI)=-0.02(-0.30, 0.27), t=-0.12, P=0.902; SMD(95% CI)=-0.40(-0.80, 0.00), t=-1.97, P=0.051]. After 6 months of injection, the VAS scores of patients with combined injection of platelet rich plasma and hyaluronic acid were significantly lower than those of patients with injection of platelet rich plasma only, and the difference was statistically significant [ SMD(95% CI)=-0.33 (-0.55, -0.11), t=-2.98, P=0.012]. ④The WOMAC scores of patients with combined injection of platelet rich plasma, hyaluronic acid and platelet rich plasma only were compared. After 12 months of treatment, the WOMAC scores of patients with combined injection of platelet rich plasma and hyaluronic acid were significantly higher than those of patients with PRP only, and the difference was statistically significant [ SMD(95% CI)=-0.30(-0.58, -0.03), t=-2.14, P=0.033]. ⑤The incidence of adverse events of platelet rich plasma combined with hyaluronic acid was lower than that of platelet rich plasma only [ OR(95% CI)=0.55(0.33, 0.93), P=0.021]. Conclusion:Compared with intra-articular injection of platelet rich plasma only, the short-term clinical efficacy of combined injection of platelet rich plasma and hyaluronic acid is equivalent to that of injection of platelet rich plasma only, but the long-term clinical efficacy is significantly better, and the safety of combined injection of platelet rich plasma and hyaluronic acid is significantly better.
9.Efficacy and safety of curcumin in the treatment of knee osteoarthritis: a systematic review
Shichang JI ; Rongrong CHEN ; Pengchao SONG ; Bingjie LIU ; Huiqin HAO ; Junfeng ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2022;26(4):250-257,C4-2
Objective:To analyze the efficacy and safety of curcumin in the treatment of knee osteoarthritis.Methods:The randomized controlled trials of curcumin in the treatment of knee osteoarthritis published from January 2011 to August 2021 were retrieved. The bias risk of the included literatures was evaluated by Revman 5.3 software, and the efficacy related indexes and the incidence of adverse events were analyzed by Stata 16.0 software. The weighted mean difference ( WMD) was calculated for the difference of efficacy indexes, the odds ratio ( OR) was calculated for the difference of safety indexes, the difference was compared by t test. Results:① A total of 9 relevant literatures were included, all of which were in English. ② A total of 724 patients were included in the study, of which 383 were treated with curcumin capsules and 341 were treated with placebo. ③ The visual analogue scale/score (VAS) of patients treated with oral curcumin at 3-4, 6 and 8 weeks were significantly lower than those of patients treated with oral placebo, the differences were statistically significant [weighted mean difference ( WMD)=-1.09, 95% CI (-1.44, -0.73), P<0.001; WMD=-1.52, 95% CI (-2.35, -0.69), P<0.001; WMD=-1.20, 95% CI(-1.71, -0.69), P<0.001]. ④ The western Ontario and McMaster universities osteoarthritis index (WOMAC) scores of patients treated with oral curcumin for 3-4 and 6-8 weeks were significantly lower than those of patients treated with oral placebo, and the differences were statistically significant [ WMD=-7.96, 95% CI(-14.89, -1.04), P=0.020; WMD=-15.34, 95% CI(-20.51, -10.18), P<0.001]. Specifically, the WOMAC pain and stiffness scores of patients treated with oral curcumin for 6-8 weeks were significantly lower than those of patients treated with oral placebo, and the differences were statistically significant [ WMD=-2.16, 95% CI(-3.69, -0.63), P=0.010; WMD=-1.00, 95% CI (-1.54, -0.46), P<0.001]. The WOMAC joint function scores of patients treated with oral curcumin for 3-4 and 6-8 weeks were significantly lower than those of patients treated with oral placebo, the difference was statistically significant [ WMD=-3.21, 95% CI(-4.51, -1.92), P<0.001; WMD=-7.07, 95% CI(-11.19, -2.94), P<0.001]. ⑤ There was no significant difference in the incidence of adverse events between oral curcumin and placebo [ OR=1.19, 95% P(0.74, 1.90), P=0.478]. Conclusion:Compared with placebo, oral curcumin can significantly alleviate the pain, stiffness and joint function of patients with knee osteoarthritis, and its safety is similar to placebo.
10.Efficacy and safety evaluation of intra-articular injection of platelet rich plasma and hyaluronic acid in the treatment of knee osteoarthritis
Junfeng ZHANG ; Shichang JI ; Feichao SONG ; Rongrong CHEN ; Xi HUANG ; Muchun LIU ; Bingjie LIU ; Huiqin HAO
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2022;26(11):730-736,C11-2
Objective:To compare the clinical efficacy and safety of intra-articular injection of platelet rich plasma and hyaluronic acid in the treatment of knee osteoarthritis.Methods:The relevant literatures including the randomized control study of intra-articular injection of platelet rich plasma and hyaluronic acid in the treatment of knee osteoarthritis published from January 2010 to December 2021 were searched. The bias risk of the included literatures was evaluated by Revman 5.3 software, and the data were processed and analyzed by Stata 16.0 software. The weighted mean difference ( WMD) was calculated for the difference ofefficacy indexes, and the difference was compared by t-test. The odds ratio ( OR) was calculated for the difference of safety index, and the difference was compared by t-test. Results:① A total of 10 literatures were included, all of which were in English. ② A total of 921 patients were included in the study, of which 479 patients were treated with intra-articular injection of platelet rich plasma and 442 patients were treated with intra-articular injection of hyaluronic acid. ③ Comparing the VAS scores of platelet rich plasma injection and hyaluronic acid injection, the visual analogue scale (VAS) scores of platelet rich plasma injection patients were significantly lower than those of hyaluronic acid injection patients after 6 and 12 months of injection treatment, and the difference was statistically significant [ WMD(95% CI)=-0.66(-1.25, -0.77), P=0.029; WMD(95% CI)= -0.90(-1.51, -0.29), P=0.004]. ④ The specific performance was that the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain score of patients injected with platelet rich plasma after 6 and 12 months of injection treatment was significantly lower than that of patients injected with hyaluronic acid [ WMD(95% CI)=-0.76(-1.06, 0.45), P<0.001; WMD(95% CI)=-1.35(-2.05, -0.65), P<0.01]; After 3, 6 and 12 months of injection treatment, the WOMAC stiffness score of patients injected with platelet rich plasma was significantly lower than that of patients injected with hyaluronic acid [( WMD(95% CI)=-0.37(-0.66, -0.08), P=0.011; WMD(95% CI)=-0.30(-0.57, -0.04), P=0.023; WMD(95% CI)=-0.62(-0.92, -0.33), P<0.001]; After 3, 6 and 12 months of injection treatment, the WOMAC function score of patients injected with platelet rich plasma was significantly lower than that of patients injected with hyaluronic acid [ WMD(95% CI)=-1.90 (-2.53, -1.27), P<0.001; WMD(95% CI)=-5.77(-9.20, -2.34), P=0.001; WMD(95% CI)=-5.72(-8.62, -2.82), P<0.001]. ⑤There was no significant difference in the incidence of adverse events between the two intra-articular injection methods [ OR(95% CI)=1.28(0.68, 2.42), P=0.440]. Conclusion:Compared with intra-articular injection of hyaluronic acid, the short-term clinical efficacy of injection of platelet rich plasma is equivalent to that of injection of hyaluronic acid, but the long-term clinical efficacy is better, and the safety of the two methods is similiar.


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