1.Surveillance of schistosomiasis in Jiangsu Province from 2012 to 2024
Wei LI ; Jianfeng ZHANG ; Liang SHI ; Tao WANG ; Yun FENG ; Lu LIU ; Kun YANG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(1):8-13
Objective To evaluate the effectiveness of schistosomiasis surveillance in Jiangsu Province during the stage moving from transmission control to transmission interruption, and to analyze the current risk and challenges, so as to provide the evidence for achieving the target of schistosomiasis elimination. Methods Schistosomiasis surveillance data were collected from Jiangsu Province from 2012 to 2024, and the endemic areas, Schistosoma japonicum infections in humans and livestock, Oncomelania hupensis snail distribution and implementation of integrated interventions were descriptively analyzed. In addition, the trends in areas with snails, seroprevalence of human S. japonicum infections and numbers of advanced schistosomiasis cases were assessed using a Joinpoint regression model. Results The endemic areas of schistosomiasis continued to shrink in Jiangsu Province from 2012 to 2024, with the number of schistosomiasis-eliminated counties (cities, districts) increasing from 53 (75.71%) to 63 (96.92%), and interruption of schistosomiasis transmission was achieved across the province. A total of 4 600 300 person-times were tested for serum antibodies against S. japonicum, with 28 719 person-times positive detected; and 616 500 person-times were tested S. japonicum infections among local residents in Jiangsu Province from 2012 to 2024, with only 3 egg-positives detected, and no egg-positives found since 2017. A total of 187 600 herd-times were tested for schistosomiasis in livestock, and no S. japonicum infections were found. O. hupensis snail survey was performed covering 1 018 408.97 hm2, and a total of 35 556.35 hm2 was found with snail-infested habitats, including 174.40 hm2 of emerging snail-infested habitats. A total of 1 102 800 O. hupensis snails were identified for S. japonicum infections, and no infections were found. The areas of snail-infested habitats appeared a tendency towards a rise in Jiangsu Province from 2019 to 2023 (APC = 23.67%, P < 0.05), and the actual areas of snail-infested habitats appeared a tendency towards a decline from 2012 to 2015 (APC = −22.77%, P < 0.05), and towards a rise from 2015 to 2023 (APC = 9.76%, P < 0.01). The seroprevalence of anti-S. japonicum antibodies appeared a tendency towards a decline among residents in Jiangsu Province from 2017 to 2023 (APC = −14.92%, P < 0.01). In addition, the number of newly diagnosed advanced schistosomiasis cases appeared a tendency towards a decline from 2012 to 2024 (APC = −12.02%, P < 0.01), and the numbers of advanced schistosomiasis patients requiring treatment showed a tendency towards a decline from 2012 to 2021 (APC = −10.56%, P < 0.01) and from 2021 to 2023 (APC = −20.06%, P < 0.01). Conclusions Great progresses had been achieved in schistosomiasis control in Jiangsu Province following transmission control, and transmission interruption had been achieved; however, there are still snail-infested habitats. High-intensity surveillance and integrated control are required to be maintained to advance the achievement of the target of schistosomiasis elimination in Jiangsu Province.
2.Effect of Oral Sodium Butyrate on Skeletal Muscle Atrophy via The Gut-muscle Axis in Antibiotic-pretreated CT26 Tumor-bearing Mice and Its Mechanism
Shu-Ling ZHANG ; Jun-Wei WANG ; Shi-Liang HU ; Tu-Tu WANG ; Shun-Chang LI ; Jia FAN ; Jun-Zhi SUN
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(3):724-739
ObjectiveTo explore the effect of oral sodium butyrate on skeletal muscle atrophy in CT26 tumor mice through the gut microbiota-skeletal muscle axis and its potential mechanism. MethodsSixty SPF BALB/c male mice aged 8 weeks were randomly divided into a normal control group (NC, n=18) and a ABX-depleted group (ABX, n=42). The ABX mice were pretreated with a quadruple antibiotic cocktail via oral gavage (0.2 ml per administration, once daily, 6 d per week, for 2 weeks), whereas NC received an equal volume of sterile water. The quadruple antibiotic cocktail consisted of metronidazole (1 g/L), vancomycin (0.5 g/L), ampicillin (1 g/L), and gentamicin (1 g/L). Following successful pretreatment, six mice from each group were randomly selected for gut microbiota sequencing analysis and designated as the Abx group and the NC0 group, respectively. Theremaining mice in ABX were subcutaneously inoculated in the dorsum with 0.2 ml of CT26 cell suspension (at a cell density of 1×107/ml). Then these mice were randomly allocated into three subgroups: a control tumor bearing model group (0_NaB, n=12), a tumor-bearing model group receiving low-dose oral sodium butyrate (L_NaB, n=12), a tumor-bearing model group receiving high-dose oral sodium butyrate (H_NaB, n=12). And mice in NC were inoculated at the same site with 0.2 ml of normal saline. The administration dose for L_NaB was 0.3 g/(kg·d), that for H_NaB was 0.5 g/(kg·d), while NC and 0_NaB were given the same volume of normal saline (0.2ml per time, once daily, 6 d per week, for 4 weeks). The general condition of mice was monitored, and forelimb grip strength gastrocnemius muscle mass and its muscle fiber cross-sectional area were measured for each group. The structural changes in gut microbiota were assessed by 16S rRNA sequencing of cecal contents. Pathological alterations in the intestinal wall were examined via HE staining. Serum and gastrocnemius muscle levels of TNF‑α, IL-6, IL-1β, and LPS were quantified using ELISA. The protein expression of ZO-1 and occludin in the small intestine, as well as proteins associated with the TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB signaling pathway in the gastrocnemius muscle, were detected by Western blot analysis. Results(1) The alpha-diversity in Abx was significantly lower than that in NC0 (P<0.01), a significant decrease of the mass and muscle fiber cross-sectional area of the gastrocnemius (P<0.01), with the majority of gut microbiota being effectively depleted. (2) Compared with NC, the subcutaneous tumors of mice in 0_NaB were prominent, a significant increase of the mass and muscle fiber cross-sectional area of the gastrocnemius, accompanied by a significant decrease in body weight at the end of the 3th and 4th week (P<0.05), and a significant weakening of the forelimb grasping strength at the 5th and 6th week (P<0.01). Compared with 0_NaB, the tumor mass of mice in L_NaB and H_NaB showed a significant decreasing trend, and the grip strength of the forelimbs significantly increased at the 5th and 6th week (P<0.05, P<0.01). (3) Compared with 0_NaB, the Shannon and Observed species indices in α diversity of L_NaB and H_NaB were significantly increased (P<0.05). At the genus level, compared with 0_NaB, L_NaB exhibited a significant decrease in the relative abundance of Parasutterella (P< 0.01), while H_NaB showed significant reductions in the relative abundances of both Escherichia-Shigella and Parasutterella (P < 0.01). (4) Compared with 0_NaB, the small intestinal tissue structure in L_NaB and H_NaB was more intact, the infiltration of inflammatory cells was significantly reduced, and the capillaries were slightly dilated. The expression levels of ZO-1 and occludin proteins in L_NaB were significantly increased (P<0.01). (5) The LPS concentration in the gastrocnemius muscle and the protein expression levels of TLR4, MyD88, p-IκBα, and p-NF‑κB p65 in L_NaB and H_NaB were significantly lower than those in 0_NaB (P<0.05). The serum TNF‑α concentration in H_NaB and TNF-α concentration in the gastrocnemius muscle of the L_NaB and H_NaB were significantly lower than those in 0_NaB (P<0.05, P<0.01, P<0.01). ConclusionOral administration of NaB can improve gut microbiota α diversity, adjusting its composition, improving intestinal mucosal barrier function, reducing the LPS-induced pro-inflammatory response, and delaying skeletal muscle atrophy. The underlying mechanism may involve down regulation of TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB signaling in skeletal muscle.
3.Ancient and Modern Documentation of Classic Formula Sangjuyin
Xiaofang WANG ; Lyuyuan LIANG ; Jialei CAO ; Ziming XU ; Wangju ZHOU ; Yiping WANG ; Yujie CHANG ; Ruiting SU ; Yihan LI ; Jingwen LI ; Bingqi WEI ; Bingxiang MA ; Wenli SHI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(4):200-207
Sangjuyin, as a pungent and cooling agent with precise therapeutic effect, is a classic pungent formula for cooling relief of the epidermis, which is highly respected by medical practitioners. This formula is from the Wenbing Tiaobian written by WU Jutong in the Qing dynasty, on the basis of which subsequent medical practitioners have made additions and subtractions to apply it. The authors used the bibliometric method to systematically organize the medical books from the Qing dynasty and the Republic of China and modern literature to analyze the composition, concoction, decoction, efficacy, and previous and modern application of Sangjuyin. After examination, the drug base of this formula is basically clear. Armeniacae Semen Amarum is the dried mature seeds of Armeniaca vulgaris, family Rosaceae. Forsythiae Fructus is the dried fruit of Forsythia suspensa, family Mulleinaceae. Menthae Haplocalycis Herba is the dried above-ground part of Mentha haplocalyx, family Labiatae. Mori Folium is the dried leaves of Morus alba, family Moraceae. Chrysanthemi Flos is the dried head of Chrysanthemum morifolium, family Asteraceae. Platycodonis Radix is the dried root of Eryngium grandiflorum, family Eryngium. Glycyrrhizae Radix et Rhizoma is the dried root and rhizome of Glycyrrhiza uralensis of the Leguminosae family, and Phragmitis Rhizoma is the fresh or dried rhizome of Phragmites communis of the Gramineae family. It is recommended that the eight drugs be used in raw form as medicine. The dosage and method of decoction were converted into a modern single dosage of 7.46 g Armeniacae Semen Amarum, 5.60 g Forsythiae Fructus, 2.98 g Menthae Haplocalycis Herba, 9.33 g Mori Folium, 3.73 g Chrysanthemi Flos, 7.46 g Platycodonis Radix, 2.98 g Glycyrrhizae Radix et Rhizoma, and 11.19 g Phragmitis Rhizoma, with 400 mL water added, and the solution was boiled to obtain 200 mL, taken twice a day. Sangjuyin has the efficacy of dispersing wind and clearing heat, promoting lung and relieving cough, and it is used for treating the initial onset of wind-warmth and the evidence of evil spirits in the lungs and collaterals. Modern research has shown that Sangjuyin is often used in the treatment of cough, pneumonia, rhinitis, and other respiratory diseases, and the results of this study provide a reference for the later development of Sangjuyin.
4.Ancient and Modern Application and Key Information Analysis of Classic Formula Erchentang
Qing TANG ; Lyuyuan LIANG ; Jialei CAO ; Lan LIU ; Hejia WAN ; Chengxin LUO ; Bingqi WEI ; Yamin KONG ; Bingxiang MA ; Wenli SHI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(1):262-270
Erchentang is a classic formula widely used by medical practitioners throughout history. In this paper,ancient and modern literature of Erchentang were collected, and bibliometrics was employed to analyze its historic evolution,prescription meaning,herbs origin, processing method,preparation methods, and clinical application. A total of 84 pieces of data were collected, and 58 pieces of data involving 53 ancient medical Chinese books were screened, sorted, and processed. Combined with research of modern scholars,the research has found that the Erchentang originated from the Taiping Huimin Huiye Shijie Fang compiled by the Imperial Medical Bureau of the Song Dynasty. The basic information about the origin of the drugs is quite clear. Pinelliae rhizoma in the formula is the dried tuber of Pinellia ternata. Citri exocarpium rubrum is the dried mature peel of Citrus reticulata and its cultivated varieties, with the inner white membrane removed. Poria is the whitest dry sclerotia of Poria cocos; Glycyrrhizae radix et rhizoma is the dried root and rhizome of the Glycyrrhiza uralensis. The dosage is 5.70 g Pinelliae rhizome and Citri exocarpium rubrum, 3.43 g Poria, and 1.69 g Glycyrrhizae radix et rhizoma praeparata cum melle. During the decoction process, the above-mentioned herbs should be chopped, with 300 mL water, 7 g ginger in thick slices, and 2 g Mume fructus added, and it was then simmered together to 180 mL. After removing the medicinal residue, it can be taken warmly. Erchentang has the effect of drying dampness and resolving phlegm, regulating Qi and harmonizing the middle. It can be used in treating the syndrome of phlegm and dampness,as well as symptoms such as frequent cough,white phlegm,fullness in chest and diaphragm,nausea and vomiting,limb drowsiness,anorexia,dizziness,palpitations,white and greasy tongue coating, and slippery pulse. The above results provide reference for future research and development of Erchentang.
5.Expert consensus on precise intervention with repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation for sleep disorders in the elderly
Yuan SHAO ; Jian WANG ; Wei LIANG ; Yingli ZHANG ; Gangqiang HOU ; Xia LI ; Yi XING ; Lu WANG ; Shi TANG ; Yongjun WANG
Sichuan Mental Health 2026;39(2):97-105
In recent years, repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) has garnered significant attention as a therapeutic approach for sleep disorders in the elderly. However, the prevailing rTMS protocols are predominantly developed based on normative neurophysiological data derived from young adults and fail to incorporate individualized parameters tailored to the brain characteristics of the elderly. To address this gap, the consensus development group synthesized the latest evidence from 2010 to 2025 and established a standardized rTMS protocol specifically for elderly patients with sleep disorders. Adhering to the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation II (AGREE II) framework, systematically screened randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and systematic reviews regarding rTMS in the treatment of sleep disorders across various conditions. Meanwhile, the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) system was employed to rigorously grade the quality of evidence and the strength of recommendations. This consensus guideline delineates precise rTMS protocols for the management of sleep disorders in the elderly, highlights the adjustment of stimulation intensity according to scalp-cortex distance recommends either MRI‑guided neuronavigation or the Beam F3/F4 heuristic approach for accurate target localization, thereby providing precise rTMS intervention protocol for sleep disorders in the elderly, aiming to enhance clinical efficacy while ensuring treatment safety. [Funded by National Key Research and Development Program (number, 2023YFC3603200); General Program of Shenzhen Science and Technology Innovation Commission (number, JCYJ20240813112859008, JCYJ20240813112900002); Youth Program of Shenzhen Kangning Hospital (number, KN2023A004); www.guidelines-registry.cn number, PREPARE-2026CN530]
6.Graduate destination and employment status of Chinese medical master's graduates: an analysis based on 2023 national survey
Jingrui LI ; Peiyao SHI ; Jinzhong JIA ; Wei JIANG ; Zhisheng LIANG ; Mengting ZHANG ; Zhiqiang WANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2025;24(6):788-794
Objective:To understand the graduation destination of newly graduated medical master's students in China and analyze their employment status.Methods:A questionnaire survey was conducted on 15 942 medical master's students who graduated in 2023. Descriptive analysis, χ2 test, and Kruskal-Wallis rank-sum test were used to understand the current situation and differences in the graduation destinations, employment units, job positions, and starting salaries of different types of medical master's graduates. Results:The employment rate of medical master's graduates was 58.21% (9 280/15 942). In terms of graduation destinations, male graduates, professional degree holders, graduates from non-"Double First-Class" universities, and nursing majors had a high proportion of confirmed employment units. Male graduates, academic degree holders, graduates from "Double First-Class" universities, and basic medical science majors had a high proportion pursuing further studies domestically. In terms of employment, the highest proportion of medical master's graduates worked in hospitals (84.92%, 6 495/7 648) and the lowest proportion worked in primary-level medical and healthcare institutions (1.02%, 78/7 648). The majority (78.07%, 5 971/7 648) held professional technical positions. Starting salaries were relatively low and ranged between 3 001 and 5 000 yuan/month, accounting for 30.99% (2 370/7 648).Conclusions:The employment rate of medical master's graduates is low, with concentrated employment units and job positions, and there is a lack of talents in primary medical institutions. Colleges and universities and education management departments should adopt policy-driven approaches to support key demographic groups and encourage employment in primary healthcare. Training programs should be timely adjusted in response to market demands and focus on cultivating the comprehensive quality and job competence of medical master's graduates. Additionally, student-centered approaches should be used to strengthen the employment guidance and career planning services.
7.Effects of Poria cocos polysaccharides on improving mouse nonalcoholic fatty liver disease via regulation of Akt/mTOR/SREBP-1c signaling pathway
Shi-yao HUANG ; Liang KONG ; Jia-hua WANG ; Li-yan WANG ; Chao-wei SUN ; Xin-cheng LIU ; Yu-he DONG ; Li-yan GU
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(1):58-65
AIM To investigate the improvement effects of Poria cocos polysaccharides(PCPs)on mouse nonalcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD).METHODS Forty-eight C57BL/6 mice were randomly divided into the blank group,the model group,the simvastatin group(4 mg/kg)and the high,medium and low dose PCPs groups(200,100 and 50 mg/kg),with 8 mice in each group.The NAFLD model was reproduced by 16 weeks feeding of high-fat and high-cholesterol diet,followed by 8 weeks administration of corresponding drug by gavage.The mice had their body mass and liver coefficient assessed;their levels of hepatic free fatty acid(FFA),and serum total cholesterol(TC),triglyceride(TG),high density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),low density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C),aspartate aminotransferase(AST),alanine aminotransferase(ALT),γ-glutamyltransferase(γ-GT)and malondialdehyde(MDA)detected;their hepatic pathological changes and lipid deposition observed using HE staining,NAFLD activity score(NAS)and oil red O staining;and their hepatic protein expressions of Akt,mTOR,p-Akt,p-mTOR and SREBP-1c detected by Western blot.RESULTS Compared with the blank group,the model group demonstrated all increased body weight,liver coefficient,hepatic FFA level,and serum TC,TG,LDL-C,AST,ALT,γ-GT,MDA,IL-1β and TNF-α.levels(P<0.05,P<0.01);decreased HDL-C level and activities of SOD and GSH-Px(P<0.05,P<0.01);more obvious hepatic pathological damage as revealed by increased NAS score(P<0.01)and increased lipid deposition area(P<0.01).Compared with the model group,the groups intervened with high or medium dose PCPs,or simvastatin displayed decreased body weight,liver coefficient,hepatic FFA level,and serum TC,TG,LDL-C,AST,ALT,γ-GT,MDA,IL-1β and TNF-α levels(P<0.05,P<0.01);increased HDL-C level and SOD,GSH-Px activities(P<0.05,P<0.01);decreased hepatic pathological damage as revealed by the decreased NAS score and lipid deposition area(P<0.05,P<0.01);and decreased hepatic protein expressions of p-Akt,p-mTOR and SREBP-1c protein(P<0.05)as well.CONCLUSION PCPs can improve mouse NAFLD,and its mechanism may lie in their function in reversing abnormal lipid metabolism via Akt/mTOR/SREBP-1c signaling pathway.
8.Construction of dynamic online nomogram for spontaneous rupture of primary liver cancer
Yunfang DONG ; Peng CHEN ; Ziyan YIN ; Ji LIANG ; Wei SHI ; Feng LIU ; Manqin HU
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(1):23-28
Objective:To construct and evaluate the nomogram prediction model of spontaneous rupture of primary liver cancer (STRPLC), and make the web-based dynamic online nomogram.Methods:Clinical data of 346 patients with PLC treated in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University were retrospectively analyzed, including 87 males and 15 females, aged 58.15±10.32 years. Single factor and multiple factor logistic regression analysis were used to screen the influencing factors of STRPLC, and the prediction model was constructed based on the nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve and clinical decision analysis were used to evaluate the model. The web-based dynamic online nomogram was developed using the DynNom package in R4.3.1 software.Results:Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the independent risk factors for spontaneous rupture and hemorrhage of tumor were no history of systematic anti-tumor therapy, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, tumor protrusion on liver surface, tumor length, invasion of major blood vessels, and moderate to large amount of ascites (all P<0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the prediction model constructed by this nomogram is 0.913 (95% CI: 0.884-0.943), the best cutoff value is 0.254, with a sensitivity of 0.892, and a specificity of 0.803. The calibration curve shows a good agreement between the predicted probability and the actual probability. The decision curve of the model is above the two invalid lines of " none" and " all" in the horizontal range of 0.07-0.98, and the clinical net benefit of the model is >0. Then user-friendly web-based dynamic online nomogram is constructed. Conclusion:Large tumor size, superficial location, no history of systematic anti-tumor therapy, high AFP level, invasion of major blood vessels, and moderate to large amount of ascites are independent risk factors for STRPLC. The prediction model and dynamic online nanogram constructed by this method can effectively assess the risk of STRPLC.
9.Effects of Poria cocos polysaccharides on improving mouse nonalcoholic fatty liver disease via regulation of Akt/mTOR/SREBP-1c signaling pathway
Shi-yao HUANG ; Liang KONG ; Jia-hua WANG ; Li-yan WANG ; Chao-wei SUN ; Xin-cheng LIU ; Yu-he DONG ; Li-yan GU
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(1):58-65
AIM To investigate the improvement effects of Poria cocos polysaccharides(PCPs)on mouse nonalcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD).METHODS Forty-eight C57BL/6 mice were randomly divided into the blank group,the model group,the simvastatin group(4 mg/kg)and the high,medium and low dose PCPs groups(200,100 and 50 mg/kg),with 8 mice in each group.The NAFLD model was reproduced by 16 weeks feeding of high-fat and high-cholesterol diet,followed by 8 weeks administration of corresponding drug by gavage.The mice had their body mass and liver coefficient assessed;their levels of hepatic free fatty acid(FFA),and serum total cholesterol(TC),triglyceride(TG),high density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),low density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C),aspartate aminotransferase(AST),alanine aminotransferase(ALT),γ-glutamyltransferase(γ-GT)and malondialdehyde(MDA)detected;their hepatic pathological changes and lipid deposition observed using HE staining,NAFLD activity score(NAS)and oil red O staining;and their hepatic protein expressions of Akt,mTOR,p-Akt,p-mTOR and SREBP-1c detected by Western blot.RESULTS Compared with the blank group,the model group demonstrated all increased body weight,liver coefficient,hepatic FFA level,and serum TC,TG,LDL-C,AST,ALT,γ-GT,MDA,IL-1β and TNF-α.levels(P<0.05,P<0.01);decreased HDL-C level and activities of SOD and GSH-Px(P<0.05,P<0.01);more obvious hepatic pathological damage as revealed by increased NAS score(P<0.01)and increased lipid deposition area(P<0.01).Compared with the model group,the groups intervened with high or medium dose PCPs,or simvastatin displayed decreased body weight,liver coefficient,hepatic FFA level,and serum TC,TG,LDL-C,AST,ALT,γ-GT,MDA,IL-1β and TNF-α levels(P<0.05,P<0.01);increased HDL-C level and SOD,GSH-Px activities(P<0.05,P<0.01);decreased hepatic pathological damage as revealed by the decreased NAS score and lipid deposition area(P<0.05,P<0.01);and decreased hepatic protein expressions of p-Akt,p-mTOR and SREBP-1c protein(P<0.05)as well.CONCLUSION PCPs can improve mouse NAFLD,and its mechanism may lie in their function in reversing abnormal lipid metabolism via Akt/mTOR/SREBP-1c signaling pathway.
10.Construction of dynamic online nomogram for spontaneous rupture of primary liver cancer
Yunfang DONG ; Peng CHEN ; Ziyan YIN ; Ji LIANG ; Wei SHI ; Feng LIU ; Manqin HU
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(1):23-28
Objective:To construct and evaluate the nomogram prediction model of spontaneous rupture of primary liver cancer (STRPLC), and make the web-based dynamic online nomogram.Methods:Clinical data of 346 patients with PLC treated in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University were retrospectively analyzed, including 87 males and 15 females, aged 58.15±10.32 years. Single factor and multiple factor logistic regression analysis were used to screen the influencing factors of STRPLC, and the prediction model was constructed based on the nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve and clinical decision analysis were used to evaluate the model. The web-based dynamic online nomogram was developed using the DynNom package in R4.3.1 software.Results:Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the independent risk factors for spontaneous rupture and hemorrhage of tumor were no history of systematic anti-tumor therapy, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, tumor protrusion on liver surface, tumor length, invasion of major blood vessels, and moderate to large amount of ascites (all P<0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the prediction model constructed by this nomogram is 0.913 (95% CI: 0.884-0.943), the best cutoff value is 0.254, with a sensitivity of 0.892, and a specificity of 0.803. The calibration curve shows a good agreement between the predicted probability and the actual probability. The decision curve of the model is above the two invalid lines of " none" and " all" in the horizontal range of 0.07-0.98, and the clinical net benefit of the model is >0. Then user-friendly web-based dynamic online nomogram is constructed. Conclusion:Large tumor size, superficial location, no history of systematic anti-tumor therapy, high AFP level, invasion of major blood vessels, and moderate to large amount of ascites are independent risk factors for STRPLC. The prediction model and dynamic online nanogram constructed by this method can effectively assess the risk of STRPLC.

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