1.Construction and validation of a machine learning-based risk assessment model for post-transplant diabetes mellitus
Hao WANG ; Yongqiang FAN ; Zhiyong SHI ; Rui ZHANG ; Yan WANG ; Jun XU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(8):1894-1901
ObjectiveTo construct and validate a risk assessment model for post-transplant diabetes mellitus (PTDM) using multiple machine learning algorithms, and to realize the early identification of PTDM. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of the patients who underwent allogeneic liver transplantation in The First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University from April 1, 2020 to December 31, 2024, and they were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7∶3. The LASSO regression analysis combined with 5-fold cross-validation was used for feature selection. Seven machine learning models were developed in the training set, i.e., logistic regression (LR), decision tree (DT), Naive Bayes (NB), random forest (RF), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and adaptive boosting (AdaBoost). In the validation set, various methods were used to assess the predictive performance of each model, such as accuracy, precision, recall rate, specificity, F1 score, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC). The Brier score and decision curve analysis were used to assess the calibration and clinical practicability of the models, and the SHAP method was used to analyze feature importance. The independent-samples t test or the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. ResultsA total of 135 liver transplant recipients were enrolled, among whom 26 developed PTDM, and there were 94 patients in the training set and 41 in the validation set. Feature extraction and screening identified 7 key features of sex, overweight or obesity, anhepatic phase, time of operation, length of hospital stay, early postoperative hypomagnesemia, and impaired fasting glucose (IFG). In the validation set, the XGBoost model showed the best predictive performance, with an AUROC of 0.907 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.807 — 0.989), an AUPRC of 0.649 (95%CI: 0.339 — 0.955), an accuracy of 0.878, a precision of 0.667, a recall rate of 0.750, an F1-score of 0.706, a specificity of 0.909, and a Brier score of 0.104. The decision curve analysis showed that when the threshold probability was below 0.667, application of the XGBoost model in clinical decision-making provided relatively high net benefit. The SHAP analysis showed that the length of hospital stay ranked first in terms of feature importance, followed by time of operation, overweight or obesity, sex, IFG, anhepatic phase, and early postoperative hypomagnesemia. ConclusionThe risk assessment model for PTDM in liver transplant recipients based on XGBoost algorithm has excellent performance and can effectively identify high-risk individuals; however, multicenter large-sample data are needed for further validation.
2.Pharmacoeconomic evaluation of brivaracetam versus perampanel as add-on therapy for drug-resistant focal epilepsy
Jiale QIAO ; Fanqi LIU ; Yuchen TANG ; Jie CHENG ; Yan SHI ; Jun QI ; Zhiqiang DONG
China Pharmacy 2026;37(18):2382-2388
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of brivaracetam (BRV) versus perampanel (PER) as add-on therapy for drug-resistant focal epilepsy in adults from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system.METHODS A Markov model was established to simulate the progression of drug-resistant focal epilepsy in adults, with a simulation cycle of 5 months, a time horizon of 44 years, and a discount rate of 4.5%. Clinical data required for the model were derived from the phase Ⅲ clinical trial of BRV and a post hoc analysis of PER; cost data and utility data were obtained from Yaozh and related literature. The willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at twice China’s 2025 per capita gross domestic product (GDP) [199 330 yuan per quality-adjusted life year (QALY)], and a cost-effectiveness analysis was adopted to compare the cost-effectiveness of the regimens. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to confirm the stability of the base-case analysis conclusions.RESULTS The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of BRV 50 mg/d as an add-on therapy versus PER 8 mg/d was 44 823.08 yuan/QALY, which was below the WTP threshold; the ICER of BRV 200 mg/d versus PER 12 mg/d was 238 783.00 yuan/QALY, which was above the WTP threshold. In the one-way sensitivity analysis, the direct medical cost of seizures ≥53 times/year and the health utility value of a seizure-free state per year had a relatively large impact on the two ICER results mentioned above, respectively. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated that the above results were robust.CONCLUSIONS For the selection of add-on therapy for drug-resistant focal epilepsy in adults in China, when twice China’s per capita GDP is used as the WTP threshold, BRV 50 mg/d has a cost-effectiveness advantage over PER 8 mg/d, whereas BRV 200 mg/d not have a cost-effectiveness advantage over PER 12 mg/d.
3.Pre-operative risk assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence in liver transplant recipients by non-invasive detection of pre-existing genetic lesions
Suqin YANG ; Sunbin LING ; Jianhua LI ; Yan WANG ; Jiapei WANG ; Qiwei HUANG ; Fanming LIU ; Yiqi ZHUANG ; Yingyu ZHENG ; Rui WANG ; Zhe YANG ; Xiaoping ZHENG ; Kai WANG ; Zhikun LIU ; Jun CHEN ; Jianguo WANG ; Haiyang XIE ; Lin ZHOU ; Leiming CHEN ; Guoqiang CAO ; Dandan CHEN ; Junfang JI ; Bin ZHAO ; Chao JIANG ; Di LU ; Xuyong WEI ; Hangjin JIANG ; Qiaonan SHAN ; Hengbo SHI ; Yong-Zhen XU ; Shusen ZHENG ; Zhengxin WANG ; Shengda LIN ; Xiao XU
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2026;32(2):884-903
Background/Aims:
Liver transplantation (LT) following total hepatectomy is a life-saving treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The HCC recurrence after LT hinders the effectiveness of the procedure. The objective of this study is to develop a pre-operative risk stratification model based on a liquid biopsy.
Methods:
We conducted a comprehensive multi-omics study of 260 HCC patients from three centers, including clinical data, low-coverage whole-genome sequencing of cell-free DNA (cfDNA) from plasma, as well as whole-exome, single-nucleus RNA, and spatial transcriptomics from matched tumor and non-tumor tissues.
Results:
We identified cfDNA-derived copy number alteration (CNA) signatures associated with post-transplant recurrence. By integrating cfDNA-derived CNA profiles with single-cell transcriptomic data, we traced recurrence-associated cfDNA to a distinct subpopulation of malignant cells within the primary tumor. These cells were embedded in a pro-metastatic microenvironment of specialized endothelial subtypes and cancer-associated fibroblasts. Notably, most recurrence-associated lesions were detectable in cfDNA prior to liver transplantation (LT). Building on these insights, we developed the ZJU Criteria based on CNA fragments and tumor markers, a pre-LT risk prediction tool that integrates conventional clinical factors with cfDNA-derived CNA signatures, and validated it using internal and independent external cohorts.
Conclusion
Our findings suggest that post-transplant recurrence commonly originates from advanced subclones that emerge late during tumor evolution. The ZJU Criteria provides an accurate, non-invasive strategy that significantly improves pre-LT risk stratification and clinical decision-making for patients with HCC.
4.Chinese expert consensus on the clinical application of recombinant human thyroid-stimulating hormone (2025 edition)
Chentian SHEN ; Yushen GU ; Hui TAN ; Anren KUANG ; Sijin LI ; Yaming LI ; Jing WANG ; Ningyi JIANG ; Jian TAN ; Zhuoying WANG ; Shaoyan LIU ; Xiaoyi LI ; Jugao FANG ; Dingcun LUO ; Youben FAN ; Hui WANG ; Yuetao WANG ; Xuemei WANG ; Feng WANG ; Wei FU ; Feng SHI ; Xuegong LIU ; Zhongwei LÜ ; Yan XING ; Lin LI ; Hui YANG ; Jun XIN ; Yifan ZHANG ; Yue CHEN ; Yansong LIN ; Wei OUYANG ; Shuzhan YAO ; Changjiu ZHAO ; Xinming ZHAO ; Zairong GAO ; Dingde HUANG ; Qiang WEN ; Xingmin HAN ; Cen LOU ; Weibing MIAO ; Wei FAN ; Quanyong LUO ; Hongcheng SHI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2026;33(5):932-944
The recombinant human thyroid-stimulating hormone (rhTSH) can be used for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) preparation before 131I therapy, and follow-up. Since its approval by the American Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in 1998, rhTSH has been clinically used in European countries, the United States, and other countries for nearly 30 years. In April 2024, China’s first independently developed rhTSH agent was approved. Based on clinical experience and evidence from domestic and international studies, an expert consensus on the application of rhTSH has been developed following thorough consultations among experts. The consensus offers evidence-based recommendations to guide the appropriate use of rhTSH in clinical practice.
5.Surveillance results of influenza-like illness among children aged 0 to 14 years in Heilongjiang Province
LENG Yan ; XU Jun ; SHI Xin ; SHU Chang ; XIA Fengyang ; WANG Yufeng
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(5):528-531
Objective:
To analyze the characteristics of influenza-like illness (ILI) and etiological monitoring results among children aged 0 to 14 years in Heilongjiang Province, so as to provide a basis for formulating prevention and control measures against influenza in children.
Methods:
Data on ILI among children aged 0 to 14 years and pathogen surveillance results were collected from 18 influenza sentinel hospitals in Heilongjiang Province from 2020 to 2024 through the Chinese Influenza Surveillance Information System. The characteristics of ILI and the distribution of influenza viruses were descriptively analysed.
Results:
From 2020 to 2024, 215 782 cases of ILI in children aged 0 to 14 were reported in Heilongjiang Province, accounting for 1.18% of all outpatient and emergency cases. The proportion of ILI among outpatient and emergency cases from 2020 to 2024 were 0.56%, 0.52%, 0.78%, 1.63% and 1.87%, respectively, showing an upward trend (P<0.05). The higher number of ILI was reported between November and March of the following year, with 32 784 cases, accounting for 15.19%. A total of 29 300 throat swab samples were collected, of which 2 595 were positive for influenza virus, with an overall detection rate of 8.86%. More positive specimens were detected in winter and spring, with 1 994 cases, accounting for 76.84%. The positive detection rate of influenza virus was higher in boys than in girls (9.23% vs. 8.46%, P<0.05). The positive detection rate was higher among students, at 13.64%. The influenza virus subtypes detected were influenza A (H1N1), influenza A (H3N2) and influenza B (Victoria lineage), accounting for 30.17%, 31.33% and 38.50%, respectively. No influenza B (Yamagata lineage) was detected. Influenza A(H3N2) was the predominant subtype in 2020, only influenza B (Victoria lineage) was detected in 2021, influenza A (H3N2) and influenza A (H1N1) were the predominant subtypes in 2023, and influenza B (Victoria lineage) was the predominant subtype in 2022 and 2024.
Conclusions
From 2020 to 2024, the proportion of ILI among children aged 0 to 14 years in Heilongjiang Province showed an upward trend, with peak incidence occurring in winter and spring. Boys and students were the key target population for prevention and control, and as dominant strains alternate in circulation, targeted monitoring and prevention measures need to be strengthened.
6.Guideline for Adult Weight Management in China
Weiqing WANG ; Qin WAN ; Jianhua MA ; Guang WANG ; Yufan WANG ; Guixia WANG ; Yongquan SHI ; Tingjun YE ; Xiaoguang SHI ; Jian KUANG ; Bo FENG ; Xiuyan FENG ; Guang NING ; Yiming MU ; Hongyu KUANG ; Xiaoping XING ; Chunli PIAO ; Xingbo CHENG ; Zhifeng CHENG ; Yufang BI ; Yan BI ; Wenshan LYU ; Dalong ZHU ; Cuiyan ZHU ; Wei ZHU ; Fei HUA ; Fei XIANG ; Shuang YAN ; Zilin SUN ; Yadong SUN ; Liqin SUN ; Luying SUN ; Li YAN ; Yanbing LI ; Hong LI ; Shu LI ; Ling LI ; Yiming LI ; Chenzhong LI ; Hua YANG ; Jinkui YANG ; Ling YANG ; Ying YANG ; Tao YANG ; Xiao YANG ; Xinhua XIAO ; Dan WU ; Jinsong KUANG ; Lanjie HE ; Wei GU ; Jie SHEN ; Yongfeng SONG ; Qiao ZHANG ; Hong ZHANG ; Yuwei ZHANG ; Junqing ZHANG ; Xianfeng ZHANG ; Miao ZHANG ; Yifei ZHANG ; Yingli LU ; Hong CHEN ; Li CHEN ; Bing CHEN ; Shihong CHEN ; Guiyan CHEN ; Haibing CHEN ; Lei CHEN ; Yanyan CHEN ; Genben CHEN ; Yikun ZHOU ; Xianghai ZHOU ; Qiang ZHOU ; Jiaqiang ZHOU ; Hongting ZHENG ; Zhongyan SHAN ; Jiajun ZHAO ; Dong ZHAO ; Ji HU ; Jiang HU ; Xinguo HOU ; Bimin SHI ; Tianpei HONG ; Mingxia YUAN ; Weibo XIA ; Xuejiang GU ; Yong XU ; Shuguang PANG ; Tianshu GAO ; Zuhua GAO ; Xiaohui GUO ; Hongyi CAO ; Mingfeng CAO ; Xiaopei CAO ; Jing MA ; Bin LU ; Zhen LIANG ; Jun LIANG ; Min LONG ; Yongde PENG ; Jin LU ; Hongyun LU ; Yan LU ; Chunping ZENG ; Binhong WEN ; Xueyong LOU ; Qingbo GUAN ; Lin LIAO ; Xin LIAO ; Ping XIONG ; Yaoming XUE
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(11):891-907
Body weight abnormalities, including overweight, obesity, and underweight, have become a dual public health challenge in Chinese adults: overweight and obesity lead to a variety of chronic complications, while underweight increases the risks of malnutrition, sarcopenia, and organ dysfunction. To systematically address these issues, multidisciplinary experts in endocrinology, sports science, nutrition, and psychiatry from various regions have held multiple weight management seminars. Based on the latest epidemiological data and clinical evidence, they expanded the guideline to include assessment and intervention strategies for underweight, in addition to the core content of obesity management. This guideline outlines the etiological mechanisms, evaluation methods, and multidimensional management strategies for overweight and obesity, covering key areas such as diagnosis and assessment, medical nutrition therapy, exercise prescription, pharmacological intervention, and psychological support. It is intended to provide a scientific and standardized approach to weight management across the adult population, aiming to curb the rising prevalence of obesity, mitigate complications associated with abnormal body weight, and improve nutritional status and overall quality of life.
7.Extraction process optimization,component analysis and biological activity evaluation for total polyphenols from Conioselinum vaginatu
Jun-long WANG ; Hui-jie YAN ; Yong-gang LIN ; Zi-wei LI ; Wen-pan SHI ; Sheng-qi JIANG ; Bin WU ; Qin-ze GU
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(5):1449-1455
AIM To optimize the extraction process for total polyphenols from Conioselinum vaginatu(Spreng.)Thell.,make component analysis,and evaluate their anti-oxidant,hypoglycemic activities.METHODS The effects of ultrasound,enzymatic hydrolysis,acid hydrolysis,alcohol extraction and hydrolysis processes on the extraction quantity of total polyphenols were investigated,respectively.With extraction temperature,extraction time,ethanol concetration and liquid-solid ratio as influencing factors,extraction quantity of total polyphenols as an evaluation index,the extraction process was optimized by response surface method.HPLC was adopted in the identification of polyphenolic composition and determination of their contents.Subsequently,total polyphenols' scavenging capacities on DPPH,ABTS,OH free radicals,total reducing power and inhibitory capacity on α-glucosidase were determined.RESULTS The highest extraction quantity of total polyphenols was observable when extraction process was employed.The optimal conditions were determined to be 62 ℃ for extraction temperature,54 min for extraction time,69%for ethanol concentration,and 50∶1 for liquid-solid ratio,the extraction quantity of total polyphenols was(9.51±0.2)mg GAE/g.Seven constituents existed in C.vaginatu,among which ferulic acid demonstrated the highest content,followed by that of myricetin,while D-tryptophan content was the lowest.At the concentration of 7.61 mg/L,total polyphenols displayed the scavenging rates on DPPH,ABTS,OH free radicals of 80.70%,85.97%,28.60%,total reducing power of 0.22,and inhibition rate on α-glucosidase of 77.23%,respectively.CONCLUSION This stable and reliable method can be used for the extraction of total polyphenols from C.vaginatum with strong anti-oxidant,hypoglycemic activities.
8.Risk factors for chronic critical illness of patients with septic shock in the ICU
Maiqing SHI ; Fuhai JI ; Yang WANG ; Xu WANG ; Yu YAN ; Qinghong HUANG ; Jun CHEN
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(5):1143-1146,1150
Objective To analyze the risk factors for the development of chronic critical illness(CCI)in septic shock patients in the intensive care unit(ICU).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 102 sepsis shock patients admitted to the ICU of the hospital from August 2018 to May 2023.According to their clinical dates,they were divided into CCI group(n=60)and rapid recovery(RR)group(n=42).Multi-ple logistic regression analysis was perform to identify independent risk factors for developing CCI in septic shock patients,and construct their receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves to evaluate their predictive value for CCI.Results The prolonged duration of hypernatremia(OR=1.770,95%CI:1.147-2.731,P=0.010)and low acute physiology and chronic health(APACHEⅡ)scores(OR=1.212,95%CI:1.025-1.433,P=0.025)were independent risk factors for CCI in ICU septic shock patients.The occurrence of acute gastrointestinal injury(OR=0.060,95%CI:0.011-0.341,P=0.002)and peak blood sodium levels during ICU(OR=0.812,95%CI:0.662-0.995,P=0.044)were protective factors.Conclusion For septic shock pa-tients,special attention should be paid to its related independent risk factors and protective factors to improve the prognosis of septic shock patients.
9.Predictive value of preoperative ultrasound for restenosis of arteriovenous fistula after percutaneous transluminal angioplasty:a report of 225 cases
Qipei SHU ; Jun ZHANG ; Na YIN ; Jun ZHANG ; Lin SHI ; Ling YAN ; Yanli GUO
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(8):870-875
Objective To explore the value of preoperative ultrasound examination in the prediction of restenosis of arteriovenous fistula(AVF)after percutaneous transluminal angioplasty(PTA)in hemodialysis patients.Methods A case-control trial was conducted on 225 hemodialysis patients who undergoing PTA due to AVF in our hospital January 2023 to May 2024.After 3 months of follow-up,they were divided into a patency group(n=204)and a restenosis group(n=21)according to the occurrence of postoperative restenosis.The preoperative clinical data and ultrasound parameters were compared between the groups.Binary logistic regression analysis was used to identify the independent factors for AVF restenosis after PTA.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was drawn to evaluate the value of preoperative stenosis length in the prediction of the restenosis after PTA.Results There were significant differences in preoperative internal diameter at the site of stenosis,stenosis length,stenosis number,intimal thickness,and brachial artery flow between the 2 groups(P<0.05).Preoperative stenosis length(OR=1.856,95%CI:1.350~2.552,P<0.001)was an independent factor of AVF restenosis in hemodialysis patients after PTA.ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of preoperative stenosis length in predicting restenosis after PTA was 0.868(95%CI:0.784~0.953,P<0.001),with a sensibility and specificity of 85.7%and 80.4%,respectively.Conclusion Preoperative stenosis length may be an independent factor for AVF restenosis after PTA in hemodialysis patients.
10.Clinical characteristics and long-term follow-up study of basal ganglia infarction after minor head trauma in infants and young children.
Huan XU ; Chen-Chen WU ; Ji-Hong TANG ; Jun FENG ; Xiao XIAO ; Xiao-Yan SHI ; Dao-Qi MEI
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(1):68-74
OBJECTIVES:
To investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of infants and young children with basal ganglia infarction after minor head trauma (BGIMHT).
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data and follow-up results of children aged 28 days to 3 years with BGIMHT who were hospitalized at Children's Hospital of Soochow University from January 2011 to January 2022.
RESULTS:
A total of 45 cases of BGIMHT were included, with the most common symptom being limb movement disorders (96%, 43/45), followed by facioplegia (56%, 25/45). Cerebral imaging showed that 72% (31/43) had infarction accompanied by basal ganglia calcification. After conservative treatment, 42 children (93%) showed significant symptom improvement, while 3 children (7%) experienced recurrent strokes. The median follow-up time was 82 months (range: 17-141 months). At the last follow-up, 97% (29/30) had residual basal ganglia softening lesions. Among 29 cases participating in questionnaire follow-up, 66% (19/29) recovered normally, 17% (5/29) showed significant improvement in symptoms, and 17% (5/29) had poor improvement. According to the grading of the Global Burden of Disease Control Projects, only 1 child (3%) had severe sequelae. There were no significant differences in age at onset, gender, or presence of concomitant basal ganglia calcification between children with and without neurological sequelae (P>0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
The most common initial symptom of BGIMHT is limb movement disorder, and imaging results indicate that most children have concurrent intracranial calcifications. Most infarct lesions later transform into softening lesions, resulting in a generally good prognosis.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Infant
;
Child, Preschool
;
Craniocerebral Trauma/complications*
;
Follow-Up Studies
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Basal Ganglia/pathology*
;
Infant, Newborn


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