1.Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for acute myocardial infarction complicated by malignant ventricular arrhythmias
Dongli SONG ; Shengnan LIU ; Shuo WU ; Jie GAO ; Xiao ZHANG ; Weikai CUI ; Yifan WANG ; Jiali WANG ; Yuguo CHEN
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(7):923-931
Objective:To analyze the risk factors for in-hospital malignant ventricular arrhythmia (MVA) in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and to construct and validate a risk prediction model.Methods:This study was a retrospective cohort study. Patients aged≥18 years who were admitted to Qilu Hospital of Shandong University with a diagnosis of AMI and underwent coronary angiography (CAG) from May 2016 to March 2023 were selected, and the patients' clinical routine test indicators and CAG results were collected. Univariate and bidirectional stepwise logistic regression were used to screen out the risk factors for constructing the best prediction model. The prediction model was constructed by combining the results of multivariate logistic regression. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test and ROC curve, calibration curve, and decision curve were drawn to evaluate the model. The nomogram was drawn to visualize the model, and the Bootstrap self-sampling method was used for internal validation. The ROC curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive performance of each risk factor and prediction model. Finally, a multicollinearity test was performed.Results:Among the 4 205 patients finally included in the study, 115 patients (2.735%) developed MVA during hospitalization. The predictive factors screened out included age (X1), diastolic blood pressure (X2), respiratory rate (X3), blood glucose (X4), serum potassium (X5), logarithmic NT-proBNP (X6), myocardial infarction type (NSTEMI=X7, unclassified=X8), J wave (X9), Killip grade (Ⅱ=X10, Ⅲ=X11, Ⅳ=X12), and the regression equation was ln(p/1-p)=-4.699+0.029×X1-0.012×X2+0.059×X3+0.148×X4-1.175×X5+0.866×X6-1.427×X7-0.475×X8+0.758×X9+0.294×X10+0.902×X11+1.815×X12. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the model was 0.855 (95% CI: 0.816-0.894), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test ( χ2=14.178, P=0.077) and the calibration curve showed that the predicted probability was consistent with the actual probability. The probability threshold of 0% to 65% had a better clinical net benefit. The area under the internal validation ROC curve (AUC) was 0.855, 95% CI: 0.813-0.891. The prediction performance of the nine variables was stronger than that of any single variable. There was no multicollinearity between the variables. Conclusions:Age, diastolic blood pressure, respiratory rate, blood glucose, serum potassium, NT-proBNP, type of AMI, J wave, and Killip class are forecasting indicator for in-hospital MVA in AMI. The risk prediction model based on the above factors has good predictive performance.
2.Small case study of retinopathy associated with novel coronavirus infection
Fuyu YANG ; Shengnan LIU ; Song CHEN ; Yuanyuan LIU ; Jiaru GUO ; Wei ZHOU
International Eye Science 2024;24(6):994-999
AIM: To observe the clinical and multimodal imaging features of retinopathy associated with novel coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)infection, investigate the related risk factors, and analyze the treatment and prognosis.METHODS: A total of 7 patients(7 eyes)with clinically confirmed COVID-19-associated retinopathy in Tianjin Medical University General Hospital from December 13, 2022 to January 13, 2023 were included in the study. All patients underwent color fundus photography, IR, spectral-domain optical coherence tomography(SD-OCT), fundus autofluorescein(FAF)and other ophthalmic examination and serological examination.RESULTS: Among the included patients, 2 cases(2 eyes)of central retinal vein occlusion(CRVO)appeared differently from previous CRVO. The hemorrhagic features of CRVO were round or fusiform shape hemorrhagic spots with white centers. One of them, the von Willebrand factor antigen(vWF: Ag)level was increased to 161.8%. The other case was positive in serologic test for lupus anticoagulant. In 2 cases(2 eyes)of multiple evanescent white dot syndrome(MEWDS), FAF showed that dots of high spontaneous fluorescence were scattered in the posterior pole. The prognosis of 2 MEWDS were good after the treatment of glucocorticoids. The 3 cases(3 eyes)of acute macular neuroretinopathy(AMN)showed reddened brown lesions in the macular area, hyporeflective lesions with clear boundaries on IR, and high signal intensity in the ONL and ELM, EZ/IZ signal fracture on SD-OCT.CONCLUSION: COVID-19 may cause inflammatory storm, involving all layers of retinal tissues and blood vessels, leading to the occurrence of various retinal lesions. Hormone therapy may be effective and the prognosis is good in most cases. Roth spot can be seen in fundus hemorrhage of CRVO, lupus anticoagulant and increased vWF: Ag may be risk factors for CRVO after COVID-19.
3.Distribution of potential suitable habitats for Ixodes persulcatus in Heilongjiang Province based on the maximum entropy model
Yue WANG ; Yaming ZHANG ; Shuang YUAN ; Yang DING ; Xin GUAN ; Shengnan GAO ; Guangping SONG ; Lei TANG
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2024;43(11):885-890
Objective:To investigate the distribution of potential suitable habitats for Ixodes persulcatus in Heilongjiang Province during different climatic periods. Methods:The geographical location data of Ixodes persulcatus in Heilongjiang Province from 1980 to 2023 were collected through literature search and field ecological investigation. The environmental factor variables were downloaded from the WorldClim website and the Resource and Environmental Science and Data Platform. A combination of SDMtune, ENMTools packages, and the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model were used to predict the potential habitats of Ixodes persulcatus in Heilongjiang Province during different climatic periods and determine its dominant environmental factors. Among them, the time range of historical climatic period data was 1970 - 2000. The future climatic period data (2021 - 2040, 2041 - 2060) were selected as the low forcing scenario (SSP126 scenario) of the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) in the Beijing Climate Center - Climate System Model version 2-Medium Resolution, to simulate the impact of global warming on the distribution of potential habitats for Ixodes persulcatus in Heilongjiang Province. Results:A total of 83 geographical distribution sites of Ixodes persulcatus in Heilongjiang Province were obtained. After screening, 10 environmental factors were included in the MaxEnt model. Among them, the cumulative contribution percentage of annual precipitation, average annual temperature, and vegetation type was 67.3%. Compared with historical climatic period, the total potential habitats of Ixodes persulcatus in Heilongjiang Province increased from 29.81 × 10 4 km 2 to 32.24 × 10 4 km 2 in 2041 - 2060. The center of potential habitats moved to 47.75° N, and 128.66° E, with a northwest offset of 126.07° and a migration distance of 45.83 km. Conclusion:With global climate warming, the total potential habitats of Ixodes persulcatus in Heilongjiang Province has increased, showing an overall trend of migration to the northwest.
4.Analysis of the prevalence of New Delhi metallo-β-lactamase-positive drug-resistant bacteria in China from 2017 to 2023
Kexin LI ; Yang XIAO ; Mingliang CHEN ; Shengshu WANG ; Boqian WANG ; Zhixi PENG ; Shengnan LIANG ; Hongguang REN ; Hongbin SONG ; Xiaofeng HU
Military Medical Sciences 2024;48(12):907-913
Objective To comprehensively analyze the epidemiological characteristics and resistance mechanisms of New Delhi metallo-β-lactamase(NDM)-positive multidrug-resistant bacteria in China.Methods Relevant literatures on NDM-positive multidrug-resistant bacteria discovered in China were searched in the CNKI and PubMed databases(publications from January 1,2017 to December 31,2023).The epidemiological analysis was conducted on the types of NDM-positive bacterial strains,their regional distribution,infection sources,resistance profiles,and transfer mechanisms.Results A total of 118 eligible articles were collected,reporting 1627 NDM-positive bacterial strains.The number of reports increased annually from 2011 to 2019,but began to decline annually from 2020 onwards.NDM-1 and NDM-5 were the most commonly reported variants.The highest number of reports came from Eastern China,followed by Central China and North China.The primary pathogens were Klebsiella pneumoniae,Escherichia coli,and Enterobacter cloacae.The age distribution of patients with NDM-positive infections showed distinct patterns,with neonates and children accounting for 27.25%and patients over 50 years old accounting for 49.57%.The majority of positive bacterial infections came from sputum(38.28%),urine(28.94%),and blood(23.28%).The main departments reporting NDM-positive bacteria were the ICU(39.93%)and pediatrics(20.14%).These resistant bacteria exhibited resistance to more than 50.00%of antibiotics,with lower resistance to colistin and tigecycline(below 30.00%).The predominant plasmid type carrying the blaNDMwas IncX3,and the insertion sequences upstream and downstream of the blaNDM showed diversity.Conclusion NDM-positive multidrug-resistant bacteria are widely prevalent across regions in China,exhibiting multidrug-resistance.This poses significant challenges to clinical antibiotic selection and necessitates the development of effective countermeasures.
5.Association of microsatellite instability with clinicopathological features and prognosis of colon cancer patients
Chentong YUAN ; Zhaopeng LI ; Fangzheng YANG ; Shengnan WANG ; Yancheng SONG ; Yu LI
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2023;38(6):412-417
Objective:To investigate the relationship between microsatellite instability (MSI) , and clinicopathological features ,prognosis in patients with stage Ⅱ and Ⅲ colon cancer.Methods:Patients undergoing surgical resection for stage Ⅱ and Ⅲ colonic tumor in the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University from Dec 2016 to Nov 2018 were enrolled. All the 292 patients were with stage Ⅱ and Ⅲ colon cancer and MSI status. Propensity score matching method was used to match the two groups of patients according to 1:1. χ 2 analysis, Logistic Regression and COX regression was used to analyse the relationship between MSI status, the clinicopathological features and prognosis. Results:The risk of MSI-H in young patients ( OR=0.340, 95% CI: 0.126~0.921, P=0.034), right-sided colon cancer ( OR=7.985, 95% CI: 3.040-20.973, P<0.001), mucinous adenocarcinoma ( OR=4.285, 95% CI: 1.495-12.284, P=0.007), poorer differentiation ( OR=4.848, 95% CI: 1.597-14.716, P=0.005), N0 staging ( OR=0.235 , 95% CI: 0.077-0.719, P=0.011) increased . The total OS of colon cancer patients in the MSS group (66.7%) and the MSI-H group (86.9%) were statistically different( P=0.003). The MSI status ( HR=0.367, 95% CI: 0.151-0.891, P=0.027) is an independent factor affecting the prognosis of patients. Conclusions:In stage Ⅱ and Ⅲ colon cancer, patients with MSI-H have a better prognosis. MSI status is prognosis relevant factor for colon cancer patients.
6.Weekly gestational weight gain in women with obesity and its association with risk of macrosomia
Wei SONG ; Wei ZHENG ; Xiaoxin WANG ; Cuimei GUO ; Shengnan LIANG ; Guanghui LI
Chinese Journal of Perinatal Medicine 2023;26(7):575-583
Objective:To explore the characteristics of weekly gestational weight gain (GWG) in women with obesity and its correlation with the risk of macrosomia.Methods:Clinical data of women with singleton pregnancy and pre-pregnancy body mass index (PPBMI) ≥28 kg/m 2 were retrospectively analyzed, from January 2014 to December 2019, in Beijing Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Capital Medical University (Beijing Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital). The participants were divided into three groups based on their PPBMI: group A (28-<30 kg/m 2), group B (30-<32 kg/m 2), and group C (≥32 kg/m 2). The study compared the characteristics of GWG among the three groups, explored the correlation between the weekly weight gain during each gestational stage and the risk of macrosomia, and discussed the impacts of the GWG pattern in women with different PPBMI on the risk of macrosomia. Chi-square (or Fisher's exact), Kruskal-Wallis, and Mann-Whitney U tests were performed for statistical analysis. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the impact of weekly weight gain in specific gestational stages on macrosomia. Results:(1) A total of 2 046 participants were included in the study, with 982 in group A, 588 in group B, and 476 in group C. For all of the 2 046 cases, the median PPBMI was 30.1 kg/m 2 (29.0-31.9 kg/m 2), GWG was 10.5 kg (7.3-14.0 kg), and neonatal birth weight was 3 520 g (3 215-3 816 g) with 60 (2.9%) ≥4 500 g, and the biggest baby weighed 5 580 g. Out of the births analyzed, macrosomia occurred in 318 cases (15.5%). (2) Among the three groups (A, B and C), the differences in maternal age [32.0 years (29.0-35.0 years), 32.0 years (29.0-35.0 years) and 32.0 years (29.0-34.0 years), H=6.58] and women with a history of type 2 diabetes mellitus [0.9% (9/982), 0.3% (2/588) and 1.9% (9/476), χ2=6.61] were statistically significant (all P<0.05). (3) The weekly weight gain in each group exhibited a gradual upward trend before 20-24 weeks, reached a plateau at 24-32 weeks, peaked at 32-36 weeks, and subsequently declined. The weekly weight gain of group A in the pre-pregnancy to 14 weeks [0.14 kg/week (0.00-0.25 kg/week)], 14 to 20 weeks [0.25 kg/week (0.17-0.42 kg/week)], and 20 to 24 weeks [0.38 kg/week (0.25-0.63 kg/week)] were higher than those of group B [0.07 kg/week (-0.03-0.21 kg/week), 0.25 kg/week (0.10-0.42 kg/week), and 0.38 kg/week (0.22-0.60 kg/week)], respectively ( Z value was-3.73,-2.16, and-2.01, all P<0.05). Likewise, the weekly weight gain of group B in the above three stages were all higher than those of group C [0.07 kg/week (-0.10-0.21 kg/week), 0.17 kg/week (0.05-0.33 kg/week), and 0.25 kg/week (0.08-0.50 kg/week)], respectively ( Z value was-2.55,-3.28, and-3.25, all P<0.05). (4) The risk of macrosomia increased with the weekly weight gain in specific gestational stages in different PPBMI groups. In group A, the stages correlated with increased risk were 14-20 weeks [adjusted odd ratio ( aOR)=2.669, 95% CI: 1.378-5.169] and 20-24 weeks ( aOR=1.764, 95% CI: 1.143-2.723), while the stages were 20-24 weeks ( aOR=2.149, 95% CI: 1.156-3.996) and 36 weeks until delivery ( aOR=1.888, 95% CI: 1.268-2.810) in group B, and pre-pregnancy to 14 weeks ( aOR=3.515, 95% CI: 1.158-10.665) and 14-20 weeks ( aOR=3.021, 95% CI: 1.058-8.628) in group C (all P<0.05). The risk of macrosomia increased when the weekly weight gain of both risk-related stages in group A ( aOR=2.255, 95% CI: 1.029-4.940) ≥50th percentile, and group B ( aOR=4.399, 95% CI: 1.017-19.023) ≥75th percentile, and for group C ( aOR=3.404, 95% CI: 1.004-11.543) when the weekly weight gain above 25th percentile (all P<0.05). Conclusions:Weekly GWG demonstrates an observable gradual acceleration pattern in women with obesity. Therefore, clinical attention should be directed towards monitoring fluctuations in the weekly weight gain in this population, as excessive weekly weight gain before 24 gestational weeks is associated with an elevated risk of macrosomia.
7.A combined application of molecular docking technology and indirect ELISA for the serodiagnosis of bovine tuberculosis
Shengnan SONG ; Qian ZHANG ; Hang YANG ; Jia GUO ; Mingguo XU ; Ningning YANG ; Jihai YI ; Zhen WANG ; Chuangfu CHEN
Journal of Veterinary Science 2022;23(3):e50-
Background:
There is an urgent need to find reliable and rapid bovine tuberculosis (bTB) diagnostics in response to the rising prevalence of bTB worldwide. Toll-like receptor 2 (TLR2) recognizes components of bTB and initiates antigen-presenting cells to mediate humoral immunity. Evaluating the affinity of antigens with TLR2 can form the basis of a new method for the diagnosis of bTB based on humoral immunity.
Objectives:
To develop a reliable and rapid strategy to improve diagnostic tools for bTB.
Methods:
In this study, we expressed and purified the sixteen bTB-specific recombinant proteins in Escherichia coli. The two antigenic proteins, MPT70 and MPT83, which were most valuable for serological diagnosis of bTB were screened. Molecular docking technology was used to analyze the affinity of MPT70, MPT83, dominant epitope peptide of MPT70 (M1), and dominant epitope peptide MPT83 (M2) with TLR2, combined with the detection results of enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay to evaluate the molecular docking effect.
Results:
The results showed that interaction surface Cα-atom root mean square deviation of proteins (M1, M2, MPT70, MPT83)-TLR2 protein are less than 2.5 A, showing a high affinity.It is verified by clinical serum samples that MPT70, MPT83, MPT70-MPT83 showed good diagnostic potential for the detection of anti-bTB IgG and M1, M2 can replace the whole protein as the detection antigen.
Conclusions
Molecular docking to evaluate the affinity of bTB protein and TLR2 combined with ELISA provides new insights for the diagnosis of bTB.
8.The clinical significance of the transforming growth factor-β receptor I expression in na?ve CD4 + T cells from patients with systemic lupus erythematosus
Qing YAN ; Xianming LONG ; Shengnan ZHAO ; Hua SONG ; Weiwei CHEN ; He LIN ; Lingyun SUN
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2021;25(10):649-653
Objective:To investigate the clinical significance of the transforming growth factor-β receptor I (TGF-βRⅠ) expression in na?ve CD4 + T cells from patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Methods:Na?ve CD4 + T cells were purified using magnetic microbeads from peripheral blood mononuclear cells of SLE patients and healthy controls. Real-time quantitative PCR was used to detect TGF-βRⅠ mRNA level, and flow cytometry was used to detect the percentage of CD69 +CD4 + T cells. Data were analyzed by t test and Pearson correlation analysis. Results:The level of TGF-βR Ⅰ mRNA in na?ve CD4 + T cells from SLE patients was significantly lower than that in healthy controls [(0.674±0.873) vs (1.445±1.112), t=2.301, P<0.05]. The TGF-βR Ⅰ mRNA level was negatively correlated with systemic lupus erythematosus disease activity index (SLEDAI) ( r=-0.376, P<0.05), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) ( r=-0.376, P<0.05), serum creatinine ( r=-0.323, P<0.05) and 24 h urine protein ( r=-0.331, P<0.05), and positively correlated with serum com-plement C3 ( r=0.528, P<0.01). The level of TGF-βRⅠ mRNA level in na?ve CD4 + T cells in SLE patients with renal involvement was lower than that in SLE patients without renal involvement [(0.525±0.536) vs (1.071±1.007), t=2.198, P<0.05]. The TGF-βR Ⅰ mRNA level in the na?ve CD4 + T cells in anti-dsDNA antibody positive group was lower than that in the anti-dsDNA antibody negative group [(0.344±0.315) vs (0.958±1.076), t=2.277, P<0.05]. The expression of TGF-βRⅠ mRNA in na?ve CD4 + T cells from SLE patients was reduced after 24 h stimulation with anti-CD3/CD28 beads [(0.047±0.013) vs (1.008±0.129), t=14.38, P<0.01], which was partially reversed by dexamethasone treatment [(0.240±0.042) vs (0.047±0.013), t=7.845, P<0.01]. Meanwhile, dexamethasone significantly decreased the expression of CD69 in CD4 + T cells [(15.0±2.1)% vs(34.9±2.0)%, t=32.57, P<0.01]. Conclusion:The abnormally low expression of TGF-βRⅠ in na?ve CD4 + T cells may be involved in the pathogenesis of SLE. Glucocorticoid treatment can upregulate the expression of TGF-βRI and inhibit the activation of T cells, This suggests suggesting that TGF-βRⅠ may be a potential target for SLE treatment.
9.Relationship between fibular head height and varus knee osteoarthritis occurrence and severity
Wenru MA ; Lei DING ; Shengnan SUN ; Zengshuai HAN ; Wenlian SONG ; Yi ZHANG ; Jinli CHEN ; Haitao FU ; Yingze ZHANG ; Tengbo YU
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2021;41(14):985-991
Objective:To explore the correlation between fibular head height and varus knee osteoarthritis occurrence and severity.Methods:A retrospective analysis was performed on 618 participants (618 knees, 184 males and 434 females, mean age 61.12±10.98 years) who underwent standard weight-bearing full-leg radiographs and were diagnosed as non-knee osteoarthritis or varus knee osteoarthritis from January 2019 to June 2019. Knee osteoarthritis was diagnosed according to Kellgren-Lawrence grading: 0-I grades were diagnosed as non-osteoarthritis, II-IV grades were diagnosed as osteoarthritis. Joint line convergence angle (JLCA), medial proximal tibial angle (MPTA) and hip-knee-ankle angle were measured on X-rays to reflect varus deformity. The fibular head height was defined as the vertical distance from upper edge of fibular head to lateral tibial plateau. Patients were divided into 5 groups according to Kellgren-Lawrence grading. Differences of age, gender, height, weight, body mass index, varus deformity (JLCA, MPTA and hip-knee-ankle angle) between Kellgren-Lawrence 0-IV grades were compared. Ordinal logistic regression was performed to analyze the correlation between fibular head height and Kellgren-Lawrence grades. Pearson's correlation analysis was used for the correlation among fibular head height, JLCA, MPTA and hip-knee-ankle angle, and the main factor of JLCA, MPTA and hip-knee-ankle angle was extracted by factor analysis. Multiple linear regressions were used to analyze the correlation between fibular head height and varus deformity score.Results:There were 68, 66, 97, 98, 289 participants in Kellgren-Lawrence grades 0-IV respectively that was 134 participants were diagnosed as non-osteoarthritis and 484 participants were diagnosed as osteoarthritis. Fibular head height and MPTA showed a decreasing trend ( F=129.076, 24.875; P<0.001) while JLCA and hip-knee-ankle angle showed an increasing trend ( F=414.346, 105.996; P<0.001) with the increase in Kellgren-Lawrence grading. Age, body mass index and fibular head height are influencing factors of Kellgren-Lawrence grading with OR(95%CI) were 1.116(1.093, 1.141), 1.363(1.060, 1.754), 0.617(0.575, 0.662) . Fibular head height was negatively correlated with JLCA and hip-knee-ankle angle ( r=-0.641, -0.478; P<0.001) , respectively, and positively correlated with MPTA ( r=0.320, P<0.001). There were significant correlations between age, fibular head height and the varus deformity score ( β=0.274, -0.457; P<0.001). Conclusion:Fibular head height of patients with varus knee osteoarthritis is lower than that of non-osteoarthritis. In addition to age and body mass index, fibular head height is a risk factor for varus knee osteoarthritis occurrence. The smaller the fibular head height is, the more serious the osteoarthritis severity and varus deformity are.
10.Reliability and validity of SF-36 scale in pregnant women during the first trimester of pregnancy
Wei HAO ; Chenchen FAN ; Wei SONG ; Shenglong ZHAO ; Shengnan LIANG ; Ying FANG ; Xiaoyi WANG
Chinese Journal of Health Management 2021;15(4):362-367
Objective:To evaluate the reliability and validity of Short-form health survey-36 (SF-36) during the first trimester of pregnancy.Methods:From January 2020 to January 2021, pregnant women aged 18―40 during the first trimester visit were admitted to the Obstetric Department of Beijing Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Capital Medical University. Split-half reliability and Cronbach′s α coefficients were used to evaluate the reliability. The convergent and discriminative validity were evaluated by using AMOS 24.0 and the criterion-rated validity was evaluated with correlation analysis and non-parameter test. Exploratory factor analysis and confirmatory factor analysis based on structural equation modeling were used in the evaluation of contract validity.Results:SF-36 scale had good reliability (split-half reliability: R=0.901, Cronbach′s α coefficients=0.878), convergent validity, discriminate validity and the criterion-rated validity ( r=0.907). Second-order confirmatory factor analysis model was not well-fitted ( RMSEA=0.070, χ 2/dF=3.566, GFI=0.813, CFI=0.814, TLI=0.792, NFI=0.761), indicating that the construct validity was poor. Conclusions:The reliability, consolidation validity, discrimination validity and criterion-related validity of Sf-36 scale are good, while the construct validity is poor. Improvement is needed when the scale is used for pregnant women.

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