1.Network meta-analysis of non-invasive brain stimulation in the treatment of lower limb motor dysfunction after stroke
Yuanyuan YANG ; Shanshan ZHOU ; Xiaofei CHENG ; Luye FENG ; Jiqin TANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(4):1008-1018
OBJECTIVE:Most of the existing studies are based on traditional Meta-analysis to study the efficacy of single stimulation protocols such as repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation and transcranial direct current stimulation on lower limb motor dysfunction in stroke patients,and it is not possible to clarify which stimulation protocol is the optimal choice.This study used network meta-analysis to systematically evaluate the clinical efficacy of different regimens of non-invasive brain stimulation in the treatment of lower limb motor dysfunction after stroke.METHODS:CNKI,WanFang,VIP,CBM,PubMed,Medline and Web of Science databases were searched to collect randomized controlled trials on different regimens of non-invasive brain stimulation for lower limb motor dysfunction after stroke from inception to October 1,2024.Data extraction was performed on the included studies.RevMan 5.4.1 software was used for traditional meta-analysis and the quality of the included studies was evaluated.Stata 17.0 software was used for network meta-analysis.RESULTS:(1)A total of 39 studies involving 2 920 patients were included,involving 6 treatment methods:conventional rehabilitation training,high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,intermittent theta burst stimulation,continuous theta burst stimulation,and transcranial direct current stimulation.(2)The results of network meta-analysis showed that high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,intermittent theta burst stimulation,and transcranial direct current stimulation were superior to conventional rehabilitation training in the Fugl-Meyer assessment for lower extremity motor function.(3)In terms of improving Berg balance scale score,high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,and intermittent theta burst stimulation were significantly different from conventional rehabilitation training(P<0.05),and there was a significant difference between high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation and intermittent theta burst stimulation(P<0.05).(4)In improving modified Barthel index and Barthel index,high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,intermittent theta burst stimulation,and transcranial direct current stimulation were superior to conventional rehabilitation training.(5)Under the cumulative ranking chart,high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation showed the best efficacy in Fugl-Meyer assessment for lower extremity motor function,Berg balance scale score,modified Barthel index and Barthel index,followed by low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation.CONCLUSION:Both high-and low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation can improve the lower limb motor function and balance function of patients with stroke,and can improve the activities of daily living of patients to varying degrees.Moreover,the effect of high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation is better than that of low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation.
2.Network meta-analysis of non-invasive brain stimulation in the treatment of lower limb motor dysfunction after stroke
Yuanyuan YANG ; Shanshan ZHOU ; Xiaofei CHENG ; Luye FENG ; Jiqin TANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(4):1008-1018
OBJECTIVE:Most of the existing studies are based on traditional Meta-analysis to study the efficacy of single stimulation protocols such as repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation and transcranial direct current stimulation on lower limb motor dysfunction in stroke patients,and it is not possible to clarify which stimulation protocol is the optimal choice.This study used network meta-analysis to systematically evaluate the clinical efficacy of different regimens of non-invasive brain stimulation in the treatment of lower limb motor dysfunction after stroke.METHODS:CNKI,WanFang,VIP,CBM,PubMed,Medline and Web of Science databases were searched to collect randomized controlled trials on different regimens of non-invasive brain stimulation for lower limb motor dysfunction after stroke from inception to October 1,2024.Data extraction was performed on the included studies.RevMan 5.4.1 software was used for traditional meta-analysis and the quality of the included studies was evaluated.Stata 17.0 software was used for network meta-analysis.RESULTS:(1)A total of 39 studies involving 2 920 patients were included,involving 6 treatment methods:conventional rehabilitation training,high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,intermittent theta burst stimulation,continuous theta burst stimulation,and transcranial direct current stimulation.(2)The results of network meta-analysis showed that high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,intermittent theta burst stimulation,and transcranial direct current stimulation were superior to conventional rehabilitation training in the Fugl-Meyer assessment for lower extremity motor function.(3)In terms of improving Berg balance scale score,high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,and intermittent theta burst stimulation were significantly different from conventional rehabilitation training(P<0.05),and there was a significant difference between high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation and intermittent theta burst stimulation(P<0.05).(4)In improving modified Barthel index and Barthel index,high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation,intermittent theta burst stimulation,and transcranial direct current stimulation were superior to conventional rehabilitation training.(5)Under the cumulative ranking chart,high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation showed the best efficacy in Fugl-Meyer assessment for lower extremity motor function,Berg balance scale score,modified Barthel index and Barthel index,followed by low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation.CONCLUSION:Both high-and low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation can improve the lower limb motor function and balance function of patients with stroke,and can improve the activities of daily living of patients to varying degrees.Moreover,the effect of high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation is better than that of low-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation.
3.ERP-P300 and resting-state fNIRS characteristics of patients with cerebral small vessel disease-related cognition impairment and their correlations with white matter lesions
Shanshan ZHANG ; Pei SUN ; Rui YANG ; Hao TANG ; Xiaoming WANG
Sichuan Mental Health 2026;39(3):212-219
BackgroundThe prevalence, disability rate and mortality rate of cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) are relatively high among the elderly population, imposing a heavy burden on families and society. Among the various clinical manifestations of CSVD, cognitive impairment is the most common, and it is also the most closely related neuro-psychiatric syndrome to clinical practice in psychiatry. Previous studies on CSVD-related cognitive impairment (CSVD-CI) have mostly focused on the field of imaging, while studies on non-invasive electrophysiological and cerebral hemodynamic assessments are relatively scarce. ObjectiveTo analyze the characteristics of event-related potential (ERP) and functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS) in patients with CSVD-CI, and to explore their correlations with the severity of white matter lesions, in order to provide references for the objective assessment and early identification of CSVD-CI. MethodsA total of 40 patients with CSVD who met the diagnostic criteria of the Chinese Guideline for Diagnosis and Treatment of Cerebral Small Vessel Disease (2020) and had cognitive impairment, as well as were admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from December 2024 to December 2025, were enrolled as the case group. Meanwhile, 40 healthy volunteers matched for gender, age and education level were recruited as the control group. Both groups underwent assessment using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), ERP-P300 detection, and fNIRS examination. The ERP-P300 indicators, functional connectivity strength of the whole brain and cognitive-related regions of interest (ROI) in fNIRS of the two groups were compared. The severity of the patients' white matter lesions was classified as follows: the Fazekas grade I group (mild white matter lesions) and the Fazekas grades II to III group (moderate to severe white matter lesions). Spearman correlation analysis was employed to investigate the correlation between the Fazekas grading of brain white matter lesions and the latency of ERP-P300, as well as the strength of functional connectivity measured by fNIRS. ResultsThe MMSE score of the CSVD-CI group was lower than that of the control group (Z=-6.250, P<0.01), and ERP-P300 lantency was significantly longer than that of the control group (t=12.291, P<0.01). The MMSE score of the sub-group with Fazekas grade I was higher than that of the sub-groups with grades II to III (Z=-2.420, P<0.05), and showed a shorter P300 latency than that of the sub-groups with grades II to III (Z=-4.210, P<0.01). All the differences were statistically significant. The resting-state whole-brain functional connectivity strength in the CSVD-CI group was lower than that in the control group, and the difference was statistically significant (t=10.243, P<0.05). Compared with the control group, the differences in the functional connectivity strength within the left premotor cortex (PMC), right PMC, left frontopolar cortex (FPC), right FPC, left dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC), right DLPFC, left orbitofrontal cortex (OFC), and right OFC regions in the CSVD-CI group were all statistically significant (PFDR correction<0.01). The differences in the functional connectivity strength between multiple prefrontal-related brain regions between the CSVD-CI group and the control group were all statistically significant (PFDR correction<0.01). The severity of white matter lesions in CSVD-CI patients was positively correlated with the P300 latency (rs=0.891, P<0.05), and negatively correlated with the fNIRS functional connectivity strength (rs=-0.359, P<0.05). ConclusionPatients with CSVD-CI exhibit prolonged P300 latency, as well as decreased functional connectivity strength in multiple brain regions including the whole brain and the prefrontal lobe during the resting state. Moreover, these indicators are correlated with the severity of white matter lesions.
4.Construction and practice of outpatient drug traceability codes management system based on quality problem analysis and fine management model
Shanshan LU ; Benjun YANG ; Mingying DENG ; Shao CHEN ; Xu CHENG ; Zhaolin CHEN ; Xiangrui MA ; Dejun OU ; Liqin TANG
China Pharmacy 2026;37(19):2496-2500
OBJECTIVE To provide references for medical institutions’ outpatient pharmacies to increase the scanning rate, scanning efficiency and scanning accuracy of drug traceability codes.METHODS A total of 4 157 unscanned traceability code records from the first two‑week period of June 2025 were selected from the outpatient pharmacy of our hospital. Pareto chart was adopted to analyze the reasons for unscanned codes, and the Objective-Rules-Training-Check-Culture (ORTCC) model was utilized to carry out fine management. The traceability code scanning rate, pharmacists’ work efficiency (number of prescriptions dispensed per pharmacist per hour, number of drug boxes dispensed per pharmacist per hour), patients’ medication-waiting time and dispensing errors were compared among four periods: before scanning implementation (June 2024), before management intervention (June 2025), the first phase after management (September 2025), and the second phase after management (December 2025), so as to evaluate the management effects.RESULTS The traceability code scanning rates in the first phase and second phase after management were remarkably higher than those before management ( P <0.05), and the scanning rate in the second phase after management was obviously higher than that in the first phase after management ( P <0.05). Compared with the period before scanning implementation, the number of prescriptions dispensed per pharmacist per hour, the number of drug boxes dispensed per pharmacist per hour, decreased significantly and patients’ medication-waiting time prolonged markedly before management ( P <0.05). In the second phase after management, both the number of prescriptions dispensed per pharmacist per hour and the number of drug boxes dispensed per pharmacist per hour increased significantly, and patients’ medication-waiting time shortened greatly in contrast with the status before management ( P <0.05). Besides, no statistically significant differences were found in the number of drug boxes dispensed per pharmacist per hour and patients’ medication-waiting time between the second phase after management and the period before scanning implementation ( P >0.05).After the implementation of traceability-code scanning management, dispensing errors presented a gradually declining trend in each stage.CONCLUSIONS The fine management system for outpatient drug traceability codes constructed based on Pareto chart and ORTCC model can improve the traceability code scanning rate and pharmacists’ work efficiency of outpatient pharmacies, and reduce drug dispensing errors.
5.Endovascular therapy for early neurological deterioration in patients with minor stroke due to anterior circulation large vessel occlusion: comparison with medical treatment
Zhonglun CHEN ; Zhaokun LI ; Mingjun PU ; Shanshan ZHANG ; Xianwen ZHANG ; Xiaochen GONG ; Yufeng TANG
International Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2025;33(7):508-514
Objective:To investigate the efficacy and safety of endovascular therapy (EVT) for early neurological deterioration (END) in patients with minor stroke due to acute anterior circulation large vessel occlusion.Methods:Consecutive patients with mild stroke due to acute anterior circulation large vessel occlusion admitted to Mianyang Central Hospital from October 2015 to October 2023 were included retrospectively. Minor stroke was defined as a baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score <6. END was defined as an increase of ≥4 in NIHSS score compared to baseline within 12 hours of onset. According to whether EVT was performed or not, they were divided into EVT group and standard medical treatment (SMT) group. At 90 days after onset, the modified Rankin Scale was used to evaluate the outcome. 0-1 was defined as excellent outcome (primary outcome measure) and 0-2 was defined as good outcome (secondary outcome measure). The safety endpoints included symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) within 72 hours after EVT and all-cause mortality within 90 days. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the correlation between EVT and clinical outcome. Results:A total of 164 patients with minor stroke due to acute anterior circulation large vessel occlusion were included. Eighty-four patients (51.2%) developed END, of which 52 (61.9%) underwent EVT and 32 (38.1%) received SMT; 60 patients (71.4%) had excellent outcome, and 64 (76.2%) had good outcome. There was no significant difference in demographic and baseline clinical data between the EVT group and the SMT group. The excellent outcome rate of the EVT group at 90 days after onset showed a trend higher than that of SMT group (78.8% vs. 59.4%; χ2=3.680, P=0.055), but there was no significant difference in the good outcome rate and safety endpoints between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for confounding factors, EVT was significantly and independently associated with excellent outcome at 90 days (odds ratio 4.955, 95% confidence interval 1.331-22.284; P=0.024). Conclusion:For patients with minor stroke due to anterior circulation large vessel occlusion who experience END, EVT may improve their functional outcome without increasing the risk of sICH and mortality.
6.Three-dimensional morphological characteristics and clinical significance of the pedicle-isthmus complex of axis
Shanshan LIU ; Qiang TANG ; Yehui LIAO
Chinese Journal of Spine and Spinal Cord 2025;35(3):225-235
Objectives:To analyze the 3D structural characteristics and discuss the clinical significance of pedicle-isthmus complex(PIC)through measuring the anatomical and morphological parameters of normal axis PIC.Methods:The imaging data of 100 patients without high-riding vertebral artery[57 males,43 females,56.1±1.8(18-79)years]undergone CT angiography(CTA)examinations of the cervical spine or neck and admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University between January 2022 and December 2022,and another 28 patients[15 males,13 females,55.5±14.6(18-80)years]undergone posterior C2 pedicle screw fixation and examined with CT scan of the cervical spine during the same period were collected.The original CT data were uploaded to Mimics 21.0 software,and bilateral PICs were segmented from the axis to construct a new coordinate axes with multiplanar reconstruction(MPR)technology.The upper,middle and lower faults of the PIC were cut on the new axes,and the front-most,narrowest and back-most parts of the PIC were determined.The widths of the front-most,narrowest and,back-most parts and inclination angles of the upper,middle and lower faults of PIC were measured on 3D images.Based on whether the PIC was punctured or not,the patients implanted with posterior C2 pedicle screws were divided into punctured group and non-punctured group.Using the axis pedicle screw as reference,the image parameters of screw position were measured,including the height from the screw midpoint to the PIC upper wall,the width of the screw midpoint to the PIC inner wall,and the screw inclination angle.Results:There was no statistical difference between the left and right side of PIC parameters in 100 patients.The width of PIC in males was greater than that in females at all levels,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).The results of PIC width from a coronal perspective showed that the overall width of the upper layer was 9.6±1.3mm,the overall width of the middle layer was 9.5±1.4mm,and the overall width of the lower layer was 8.0±1.1mm.There was no statistical difference between the overall width of the upper layer and the middle layer(P=0.41),while the difference between the other layers was statistically significant(P<0.05).The overall width of the PIC from the cross-sectional perspective showed that the overall width of the front-most part was 8.8±1.4mm,the overall width of the narrowest part was 7.2±1.3mm,and the overall width of the back-most part was 11.0±1.5mm,with statistical significance among all layers(P<0.05).The results of PIC inclination showed that the upper layer inclination was 15.1°±8.7°,the middle layer inclination was 19.5°±8.4°,and the lower layer inclination was 26.3°±9.0°,and the differences among all layers were statistically significant(P<0.05).In the 28 patients fixed with posterior C2 pedicle screw,a total of 50 screws were inserted,with 25 screws each in the punctured group and non-punctured group.The distances from the screw midpoint to PIC upper wall[4.4(3.6-5.3)mm]and PIC inner wall[3.3(2.8-3.8)mm]in the non-punctured group was smaller than those in the punctured group[5.1(4.5-6.0)mm and 4.0(3.1-5.4)mm,P<0.05].No statistical differences was found between the two groups in the screw inclination angles[17.6°(10.5°-21.5°)vs 16.9°(9.6°-23.1°),P=0.854].Conclusions:The normal PIC without high riding vertebral artery is wide at top and narrow at bottom in the coronal view,and wide at front and back and thin in the middle in the transverse view.The gradual increase of the internal inclination angle from top to bottom indicates that the 3D structure of PIC is distorted.Analyzing the axis PIC as a whole is helpful to better understand its anatomical morphology and change characteristics,and to guide the selection of safe strategies in implanting axial pedicle screws.
7.Causal relationship between 25-hydroxyvitamin D and ankylosing spondylitis:A two-way Mendelian randomization study
Lang XIONG ; Zong JIANG ; Weiya LAN ; Fang TANG ; Wukai MA ; Xueyong CHEN ; Shanshan CAI ; Haixia TU ; Yuqing DAI ; Shanyan CAI
China Modern Doctor 2025;63(19):1-5
Objective To explore causal relationship between 25-hydroxyvitamin D[25(OH)D]and ankylosing spondylitis(AS).Methods Genetic data of 25(OH)D and AS were extracted from the genome-wide association study.The causal effect of 25(OH)D on AS was estimated by MR-Egger regression method,weighted median,inverse variance weighted(IVW),simple mode and weighted mode,and sensitivity analysis was conducted for verification.Results The IVW results indicated that there was a causal relationship between 25(OH)D concentration and AS(OR=0.805,95%CI:0.686-0.944,P=0.008),and the maximum likelihood ratio(OR=0.799,95%CI:0.678-0.940,P=0.007)showed consistent results.The IVW results of the reverse Mendelian randomization study showed that there was no causal relationship between the two(OR=1.019,95%CI:0.995-1.043,P=0.110).In addition,MR-Egger intercept,Cochran Q test,"leave-one-out"and MR-PRESSO analysis showed no horizontal pleipotency or heterogeneity.Conclusion There may be a genetic causal relationship between the concentration of 25(OH)D and the onset of AS.AS cannot cause changes in the concentration of 25(OH)D in the body.
8.Preliminary study on the significance of serum thyroid antibody in the selection of treatment for oral lichen planus
Chuanxia LIU ; Fangman CHEN ; Shanshan ZHANG ; Fan TANG ; Shangjun ZHANG ; Yun QIAN ; Qianming CHEN
Chinese Journal of Stomatology 2025;60(3):223-231
Objective:To investigate the efficacy of different treatment of oral lichen planus (OLP) patients with thyroid antibody positive and its correlation with thyroid antibody, providing more targeted treatment for OLP patients with thyroid antibody positive.Methods:Patients who were admitted to Department of Oral Medicine, Stomatology Hospital, School of Stomatology, Zhejiang University School of Medicine for OLP with serum thyroid peroxidase antibody (TPOAb) and thyroglobulin antibody (TGAb) from February 2020 to June 2024 were included. Demographic and clinical data were recorded, and qualitative status and quantitative titers of TPOAb/TGAb were collected. TPOAb and/or TGAb positive patients were included into the thyroid antibody positive group, while patients with both TPOAb and TGAb negative were included into the thyroid antibody negative group. According to the treatment methods, they were divided into topical treatment group, topical treatment combined with oral immunosuppressant group, and topical treatment combined with oral immunoenhancer group. After 2 weeks and 1 month of treatment, the clinical efficacy of thyroid antibody positive group and negative group in OLP patients under different treatment methods were compared, and the correlations of different clinical efficacy with age, sex and thyroid antibody titer were analyzed.Results:A total of 116 OLP patients were included in this study, of which 38 (32.8%) were thyroid antibody positive and 78 (67.2%) were thyroid antibody negative. Compared with untreated, the modified OLP score and pain degree in thyroid antibody negative group were significantly improved after 2 weeks and 1 month of topical treatment and topical treatment combined with oral immunosuppression ( P<0.01). Although the thyroid antibody positive group also showed a remission trend, there was no statistical significance before and after treatment ( P>0.05). For topical treatment combined with oral immunoenhancer, the modified OLP score and pain degree in both groups of antibody positive and negative were statistically significant different after 2 weeks and 1 month of treatment compared with before ( P<0.01), while there was no statistically significant difference between the two groups ( P>0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that the treatment efficacy of OLP in topical treatment group, topical treatment combined with oral immunosuppressant group, and topical treatment combined with oral immunoenhancer group had no significant correlation with age, sex, as well as the TPOAb and TGAb titer ( P>0.05). Conclusions:Thyroid antibody TPOAb and TGAb could be reference factors for the selection of OLP treatment plan. For patients of OLP with positive thyroid antibodies, topical therapy combined with oral immunoenhancers may be preferred.
9.Reassessment of non-acute occlusion in intracranial flow diverter implantation: an animal experimental study based on optical coherence tomography, intravascular ultrasound, and pathological correlation
Zhuangzhuang WEI ; Qi TIAN ; Shuailong SHI ; Jie YANG ; Ji MA ; Zhen LI ; Haiqiang SANG ; Yi TANG ; Yuncai RAN ; Yong ZHANG ; Baohong WEN ; Shanshan XIE ; Jinjuan CHEN ; Enjie LIU ; Xinwei HAN ; Tengfei LI
Chinese Journal of Neurology 2025;58(6):607-614
Objective:To investigate and summarize the imaging and pathological features of non-acute occlusion following flow diverter (FD) implantation in animal models.Methods:Four experimental pigs (experimental group) that experienced non-acute occlusion (occlusion time exceeding 24 hours) within the FD stent implanted in the common carotid artery, and 19 pigs (control group) that did not experience stent occlusion during the same period were involved. Using an interventional approach under digital subtraction angiography (DSA), the 4 occluded FD lumens were mechanically opened. Optical coherence tomography (OCT), intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) and histopathological examinations were performed to evaluate the intraluminal composition and characteristics of the occlusive tissues. These findings were compared with non-occluded FD stents to summarize the imaging and pathological changes within the occluded FD lumen.Results:The occlusion times of the FD stents in the 4 experimental pigs were 16 weeks, 20 weeks, 20 weeks, and 24 weeks postoperatively. All occluded stents were successfully recanalized under DSA, with a technical success rate of 4/4. Among the 19 non-occluded FD stents, OCT and IVUS revealed uniform (16 stents) or non-uniform (3 stents) neointimal coverage of the stent struts, presenting as homogeneous high/slightly high signal intensity or medium echogenicity. Histopathological examination indicated that the neointima was primarily composed of smooth muscle cells and a small amount of fibrous connective tissues. In contrast, the 4 occluded FD stents demonstrated excessive neointimal proliferation and plaque formation, leading to luminal loss, as shown by OCT and IVUS. The occlusion tissues predominantly presented as homogeneous high signal intensity with weak attenuation (fibrous plaques) on OCT, with some regions showing blurred low signal intensity and strong attenuation (lipid plaques). IVUS presented homogeneous echogenicity (fibrous plaques) and hypoechogenic zones (lipid plaques). Histopathological examination showed that the occlusion tissues mainly consisted of smooth muscle cells, fibrous connective tissues, and lipids, accompanied by numerous foam cells and a minor presence of inflammatory cells.Conclusions:Histopathological examinations confirm that non-acute occlusion of FD is mainly caused by excessive hyperplasia of intima along with the formation of fibrous plaques and lipid plaques. OCT and IVUS have typical finding in imaging that can assist in determining the cause of stent occlusion as well as the lesion's nature, thereby providing crucial guidance for subsequent clinical treatment and drug selection.
10.Development of a Preoperative Risk Scoring System for Heart Transplantation Based on Characteristics of the Chinese Population
Shanshan ZHENG ; Zhe ZHENG ; Jie HUANG ; Zhongkai LIAO ; Jianfeng HOU ; Hanwei TANG ; Sheng LIU
Chinese Circulation Journal 2025;40(4):331-339
Objectives:Using data from the heart transplant patient dataset of our center,we aimed to develop a preoperative risk scoring model specifically suitable for the Chinese population undergoing heart transplantation.This model was established to predict the likelihood of graft failure within the first year post-surgery and classify recipients according to their risk level.Methods:A retrospective study was conducted at a single center on 1 210 consecutive heart transplant recipients between June 2004 and December 2022.Risk factor screening was performed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.Variable selection was carried out through a stepwise backward procedure based on the Akaike Information Criterion(AIC).The regression coefficients obtained from the final model were employed as weighting factors in the multifactor analysis.The study utilized the area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)area under curve(AUC)as a metric to evaluate the performance of the model.Patients were stratified into low,medium,and high-risk groups based on the distribution of the calculated scores.Survival analysis was conducted on the various risk groups using the Kaplan-Meier method,with statistical comparisons performed using the log-rank test.A significance level of P<0.05 was deemed statistically significant.Results:A risk scoring model,denoted as the heart transplant(HTx)score,was developed,comprising 11 variables and yielding a total score of 20.6 points.In comparison to the low-risk group,the OR for 1-year graft failure in the medium-risk group was 2.0(95%CI:1.1-3.6,P=0.02),while the high-risk group had an OR of 9.8(95%CI:5.4-17.7,P<0.01).The risk scoring model exhibited strong discriminative ability with an AUC of 0.712(95%CI:0.646-0.778)and an internally validated bias-corrected AUC of 0.713.The results of the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test indicated that the predictive model demonstrated a strong calibration ability(Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2=2.92,P=0.71).Within the cohort,the AUC values for the IMPACT score,UNOS score,RSS score,Mayo score,BO score,and TRS score models were 0.645,0.651,0.632,0.589,0.610,and 0.604,respectively.These findings suggest that the HTx scoring model exhibited superior predictive performance compared to the aforementioned models in forecasting outcomes within our cohort.The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed statistically significant differences in long-term survival rates between the three risk groups,a noticeable decrease in long-term survival rates were observed with increasing levels of HTx risk stratification(P<0.05).Conclusions:Present results indicate a significant association between the developed HTx risk scores and graft failure within the initial year post-surgery,present model effectively categorizes the heart transplant recipients into low,medium,and high-risk groups and is valuable for risk stratification.

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