1.Research on the screening efficiency of Thalassemia based on an automated evaluation software.
Jun HU ; Huan LIANG ; Limei DUAN ; Jianqiang GAO
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2026;43(4):281-287
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the efficacy of a Thalassemia risk assessment software for the screening of thalassemia mutation carriers and distribution of thalassemia genotypes detected by screening.
METHODS:
A total of 6 040 individuals were evaluated at Leshan Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital between 2022 and 2024 using the commonly used clinical thalassemia risk assessment method and the thalassemia screening software, respectively, and the performance indicators of the two methods were compared and analyzed against the result of thalassemia gene testing. This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of our hospital (Ethics No.: LfyLL[2022]005).
RESULTS:
The high-risk rate by the thalassemia screening software was 11.19%, with a sensitivity of 95.12%, specificity of 93.28%, positive predictive value of 43.20%, negative predictive value of 99.72%, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.942. The thalassemia gene detection rate of the high-risk samples screened was 4.83%. The high-risk screening rate of the conventional method was 2.50%, with a sensitivity of 51.22%, specificity of 93.28%, positive predictive value of 80.79%, negative predictive value of 97.40%, and the AUC was 0.754. The thalassemia gene detection rate of the high-risk samples was 2.02%.
CONCLUSION
The software can effectively detect thalassemia carriers and significantly reduce the missed detection compared with conventional method, thereby significantly improve the efficacy of screening.
Humans
;
Thalassemia/diagnosis*
;
Software
;
Female
;
Genetic Testing/methods*
;
Male
;
Mutation
;
Adult
;
Genotype
;
ROC Curve
;
Risk Assessment
2.A cultural values model of pakikipag-ugnayan: Examining hiya, pakikisama, and pakikipag-ugnayan among Filipino generation Z nurses.
Angelika B. Avila ; Francis Oliver M. Aldaba ; Maryjoy Loraine T. Almonte ; Enrique B. Alzate ; Trisha B. Amita ; Ma. Andrea M. Avila ; Zg Jungco A. Asoy ; Tristan Jourdan C. Dela Cruz
Acta Medica Philippina 2026;60(9):91-99
OBJECTIVES
This study explored the interplay of three Filipino cultural values—hiya (modesty/self-restraint), pakikisama (conflict-avoidance dimension of social harmony), and pakikipag-ugnayan (professional engagement, characterized by vigor, dedication, and absorption)—among Generation Z nurses in Quezon City. Specifically, it assessed their levels, examined interrelationships through correlation and path analysis, and developed a framework to illustrate their influence on nursing practice. In the Filipino context, hiya encompasses both positive dimensions, such as conscientiousness, moral accountability, and social responsibility, and constraining dimensions, including excessive self-restraint, fear of criticism, and inhibition. Pakikisama, while fostering harmony, may discourage assertiveness and limit open communication. Pakikipag-ugnayan, conceptualized here as engagement, reflects dedication, vigor, and absorption, which are vital for performance, patient safety, and workforce retention.
METHODSA descriptive–correlational design was utilized to assess the relationships among hiya, pakikisama, and pakikipag-ugnayan. Data were gathered through a structured, self-administered questionnaire comprising validated scales for each construct, distributed in online formats to accommodate participants’ availability and work schedules. The purposive sample consisted of 115 Filipino Generation Z nurses engaged in direct patient care in various healthcare facilities in Quezon City. Data analysis involved descriptive statistics to summarize variable scores, Spearman’s rho to examine bivariate correlations, and path analysis to determine the direct and indirect effects among the variables. The results of the path analysis were used to develop a proposed framework illustrating the interplay of these cultural values in nursing practice.
RESULTSPath analysis revealed distinct patterns in the interplay of hiya, pakikisama, and pakikipag-ugnayan among Generation Z nurses in Quezon City. Very high hiya scores (mean = 5.32) reflected both moral accountability and restraint-oriented tendencies. Despite these positive indicators, hiya showed a negative correlation with pakikipag-ugnayan, suggesting that its inhibiting side—marked by fear of criticism and avoidance of mistakes—may overshadow its constructive moral aspects. In contrast, the path analysis identified a moderate positive direct effect between hiya and pakikipag-ugnayan (β = 0.400, pCONCLUSION
Among Generation Z nurses, hiya demonstrates a dual role: while its ethical and conscientious aspects can strengthen pakikipag-ugnayan, its inhibiting side may suppress pakikipag-ugnayan. Pakikisama, operationalized as conflict avoidance and withholding dissent, emerged as a barrier to pakikipag-ugnayan by discouraging open communication. These findings informed the development of the Hiya–Pakikisama– Pakikipag-ugnayan Cultural Dynamics Framework, which illustrates how cultural values can simultaneously enable and constrain professional engagement. The framework has potential applications in nursing education and organizational practice, particularly in designing reflective learning, mentorship, and communication strategies that balance cultural sensitivity with assertiveness. Further validation across generations and healthcare settings is recommended to refine its applicability.
Human ; Weights And Measures ; Sensitivity And Specificity ; Retention (psychology) ; Education, Nursing ; Social Responsibility ; Appointments And Schedules ; Conflict (psychology)
3.The diagnostic performance of nuchal translucency alone as a screening test for Down syndrome: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Ma. Sergia Fatima P. Sucaldito ; John Jefferson V. Besa ; Lia M. Palileo-villanueva
Acta Medica Philippina 2025;59(Early Access 2025):1-17
BACKGROUND
Down syndrome or trisomy 21, the most common chromosomal disorder, results from the presence of a third copy of chromosome 21 and manifests as mild to moderate intellectual disability, growth retardation, congenital heart defects, gastrointestinal abnormalities, and characteristic facial features. Several methods have been used to screen for Down syndrome in the prenatal period, such as ultrasound, biomarkers, cell-free DNA testing, and combinations of these tests. A positive result from one or more of these screening tests signals the need for confirmatory karyotyping to clinch the diagnosis. Ultrasound between 11 to 14 weeks of gestation can evaluate nuchal translucency (NT) to screen for Down syndrome. During the second trimester, a triple or quadruple test can also be performed alone or in addition to NT to quantify Down syndrome risk. In limited resource settings however, only the measurement of NT via ultrasound can be performed since biomarker tests are either unavailable or inaccessible. While the diagnostic performance of NT measurement alone has been investigated in several observational studies, there is no consensus on its performance as a sole test to screen for Down syndrome.
OBJECTIVETo determine the diagnostic performance of NT during prenatal first-trimester ultrasound as a screening test for Down syndrome.
METHODSWe performed a systematic search on the PubMed, ProQuest, and Cochrane Library databases for recent systematic reviews and meta-analyses that addressed the objective. The existing reviews found were then independently appraised by the two reviewers with the AMSTAR-2 checklist. To update the existing reviews, a systematic search was done in the same databases to identify additional primary diagnostic studies, which were appraised using the QUADAS-2 tool. Random-effects univariate meta-analysis and summary receiving operator curve (HSROC) analysis for the outcomes were performed using Review Manager version 5.4 and R version 4.2.2, respectively. Subgroup analysis was performed by stratifying the baseline risk of mothers for fetal anomaly as low- or high-risk. Highrisk mothers were defined as women with risk factors such as advanced age, positive serum screen, presence of other ultrasound anomalies, and history of previous fetus with anomaly.
RESULTSWe found 22 cohort studies (n=225,846) of women at low-risk for fetal anomaly. The pooled sensitivity was 67.8% (95% CI: 61.4%-73.6%, I2=70.4%) and specificity was 96.3% (95% CI: 95.5%-96.9%, I2=96.7%). For low-risk women, the overall certainty of evidence was low, due to different modes of verification and heterogeneity not completely explained by variability in baseline risk or cut-points. Seven studies (n=9,197) were on high-risk women. The pooled sensitivity was 62.2% (95% CI: 54.1%-69.7%, I2=38.8%) and specificity was 96.5% (95% CI: 93.6%-98.1%, I2=95.5%). For women at high-risk, the evidence was rated as moderate due to differential verification.
CONCLUSIONOur analysis showed that NT measured through first-trimester ultrasound is specific for Down syndrome but has low sensitivity. Despite this, it is a useful screening test for Down syndrome in low-resource settings where other strategies may not be available or accessible. Furthermore, interpretation of NT results must take into consideration its limited sensitivity as this may lead to missed cases.
Human ; Nuchal Translucency Measurement ; Down Syndrome ; Sensitivity And Specificity
4.Predictive value of oxygenation index at intensive care unit admission for 30-day mortality in patients with sepsis.
Chunhua BI ; Manchen ZHU ; Chen NI ; Zongfeng ZHANG ; Zhiling QI ; Huanhuan CHENG ; Zongqiang LI ; Cuiping HAO
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(2):111-117
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the predictive value of oxygenation index (PaO2/FiO2) at intensive care unit (ICU) admission on 30-day mortality in patients with sepsis.
METHODS:
A retrospective study was conducted. Patients with sepsis who were hospitalized in the ICU of the Affiliated Hospital of Jining Medical University from April 2015 to October 2023 were enrolled. The demographic information, comorbidities, sites of infection, vital signs and laboratory test indicators at the time of admission to the ICU, disease severity scores within 24 hours of admission to the ICU, treatment process and prognostic indicators were collected. According to the PaO2/FiO2 at ICU admission, patients were divided into Q1 group (PaO2/FiO2 of 4.1-16.4 cmHg, 1 cmHg ≈ 1.33 kPa), Q2 group (PaO2/FiO2 of 16.5-22.6 cmHg), Q3 group (PaO2/FiO2 of 22.7-32.9 cmHg), and Q4 group (PaO2/FiO2 of 33.0-94.8 cmHg). Differences in the indicators across the four groups were compared. Multifactorial Cox regression analysis was used to assess the relationship between PaO2/FiO2 and 30-day mortality of patients with sepsis. The predictive value of PaO2/FiO2, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) on 30-day prognosis of patients with sepsis was analyzed by receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve).
RESULTS:
A total of 1 711 patients with sepsis were enrolled, including 428 patients in Q1 group, 424 patients in Q2 group, 425 patients in Q3 group, and 434 patients in Q4 group. 622 patients died at 30-day, the overall 30-day mortality was 36.35%. There were statistically significant differences in age, body mass index (BMI), history of smoking, history of alcohol consumption, admission heart rate, respiratory rate, APACHE II score, SOFA score, Glasgow coma score (GCS), site of infection, Combined chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), blood lactic acid (Lac), prothrombin time (PT), albumin (Alb), total bilirubin (TBil), pH, proportion of mechanical ventilation, duration of mechanical ventilation, proportion of vasoactive medication used, and maximal concentration, length of ICU stay, hospital stay, incidence of acute kidney injury, in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality among the four groups. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that after adjusting for confounding factors, for every 1 cmHg increase in PaO2/FiO2 at ICU admission, the 30-day mortality risk decreased by 2% [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.98, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.98-0.99, P < 0.001]. The 30-day mortality risk in the Q4 group was reduced compared with the Q1 group by 41% (HR = 0.59, 95%CI was 0.46-0.76, P < 0.001). The fitted curve showed that a curvilinear relationship between PaO2/FiO2 and 30-day mortality after adjustment for confounders. In the inflection point analysis, for every 1 cmHg increase in PaO2/FiO2 at PaO2/FiO2 < 28.55 cmHg, the risk of 30-day death in sepsis patients was reduced by 5% (HR = 0.95, 95%CI was 0.94-0.97, P < 0.001); when PaO2/FiO2 ≥ 28.55 cmHg, there was no statistically significant association between PaO2/FiO2 and the increase in the risk of 30-day death in sepsis (HR = 1.01, 95%CI was 0.99-1.02, P = 0.512). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) for the prediction of 30-day mortality by admission PaO2/FiO2 in ICU sepsis patients was 0.650, which was lower than the predictive ability of the SOFA score (AUC = 0.698) and APACHE II score (AUC = 0.723).
CONCLUSION
In patients with sepsis, PaO2/FiO2 at ICU admission is strongly associated with 30-day mortality risk, alerting healthcare professionals to pay attention to patients with low PaO2/FiO2 for timely interventions.
Humans
;
Sepsis/mortality*
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Prognosis
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Oxygen
;
Male
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
5.Early lactate/albumin ratio combined with quick sequential organ failure assessment for predicting the prognosis of sepsis caused by community-acquired pneumonia in the emergency department.
Xinyan ZHANG ; Yingbo AN ; Yezi DONG ; Min LI ; Ran LI ; Jinxing LI
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(2):118-122
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the predictive value of early lactate/albumin ratio (LAR) combined with quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) for the 28-day prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by emergency community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).
METHODS:
The clinical data of patients with sepsis caused by CAP admitted to the department of emergency of Beijing Haidian Hospital from June 2021 to August 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, including gender, age, comorbidities, lactic acid (Lac), serum albumin (Alb), LAR, procalcitonin (PCT) within 1 hour, and 28-day prognosis. Patients were divided into two groups based on 28-day prognosis, and risk factors affecting patients' prognosis were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression methods. Patients were divided into two groups according to the best cut-off value of LAR, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to analyze the 28-day cumulative survival of patients in each group. Time-dependent receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) were plotted to analyze the predictive value of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), and qSOFA+LAR score on the prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by CAP at 28 days. The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated and compared.
RESULTS:
A total of 116 patients with sepsis caused by CAP were included, of whom 80 survived at 28 days and 36 died, 28-day mortality of 31.0%. There were no statistically significant differences in age, gender, comorbidities, pH, platelet count, and fibrinogen between the survival and death groups, and there were significantly differences in blood urea nitrogen (BUN), white blood cell count (WBC), hemoglobin, Lac, Alb, PCT, D-dimer, LAR, as well as qSOFA score, SOFA score, and APACHE II score. Univariate Cox regression analyses showed that BUN, WBC, pH, Lac, Alb, PCT, LAR, qSOFA score, SOFA score, and APACHE II score were associated with mortality outcome. Multifactorial Cox regression analysis of the above variables showed that BUN, WBC, PCT, and APACHE II score were independent risk factors for 28-day death in the emergency department in patients with sepsis caused by CAP [hazard ratio (HR) were 1.081, 0.892, 1.034, and 1.135, respectively, all P < 0.05]. The best cut-off value of early LAR for predicting the 28-day prognosis of sepsis patients was 0.088, the Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the 28-day cumulative survival rate of sepsis patients in the LAR ≤ 0.088 group was significantly higher than that in the LAR > 0.088 group [82.9% (63/76) vs. 42.5% (17/40), Log-Rank test: χ2 = 22.51, P < 0.001]. The qSOFA+LAR score was calculated based on the LAR cut-off value and qSOFA score, and ROC curve analysis showed that the AUCs of SOFA score, APACHE II score, and qSOFA+LAR score for predicting 28-day death of patients with sepsis caued by CAP were 0.741, 0.774, and 0.709, respectively, with the AUC of qSOFA+LAR score slightly lower than those of SOFA score and APACHE II score, but there were no significantly differences. When the best cut-off value of qSOFA+LAR score was 1, the sensitivity was 63.9% and the specificity was 80.0%.
CONCLUSION
The qSOFA+LAR score has predictive value for the 28-day prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by CAP in the emergency department, its predictive value is comparable to the SOFA score and the APACHE II score, and it is more convenient for early use in the emergency department.
Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data*
;
Sepsis/etiology*
;
Prognosis
;
Community-Acquired Pneumonia/mortality*
;
Organ Dysfunction Scores
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Lactic Acid/blood*
;
Serum Albumin, Human/analysis*
;
Biomarkers/blood*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
APACHE
;
Procalcitonin/blood*
;
ROC Curve
;
Area Under Curve
;
Humans
6.Evaluation value of C-reactive protein/albumin ratio combined with platelet count and Glasgow coma scale for prognosis of patients with heat stroke.
Shanshan SHI ; Zhengzhen WU ; Yong HUANG ; Xianglei FU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(2):160-164
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the prognostic value of C-reactive protein (CRP)/albumin (Alb) ratio combined with platelet count (PLT) and Glasgow coma score (GCS) in patients with heat stroke (HS).
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of HS patients admitted to the department of intensive care unit (ICU) of Nanchong Central Hospital from May 1, 2020 to October 31, 2023. This included general information, admission GCS, laboratory indicators and 28-day prognosis. The differences in the above indicators were compared between two groups of patients with different prognoses. Statistically significant indicators from univariate analysis were included in multivariate Logistic regression analysis to screen for factors influencing 28-day mortality in HS patients. The predictive value of various influencing factors on the 28 days prognosis of HS patients were analyzed by receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve).
RESULTS:
A total of 73 HS patients were included, of whom 41 survived for 28-day and 32 died. There were no statistically significant differences in gender and age between the two groups of HS patients with different prognoses. The white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEU), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), CRP, and CRP/Alb ratio in the death group were significantly higher than those of the survival group, and the admission GCS score, platelet count (PLT), total bilirubin (TBil) and Alb were significantly lower than the survival group [WBC (×109/L): 14.80 (11.44, 17.15) vs. 11.96 (9.47, 14.82), NEU (×109/L): 13.05 (8.56, 15.67) vs. 9.50 (6.68, 12.09), AST (U/L): 108.00 (52.70, 291.50) vs. 64.50 (38.25, 110.50), ALT (U/L): 62.00 (19.50, 159.00) vs. 34.50 (20.75, 70.75), CRP (mg/L): 22.49 (3.42, 58.93) vs. 3.68 (1.01, 11.46), CRP/Alb ratio: 0.53 (0.08, 1.77) vs. 0.08 (0.02, 0.44), GCS score: 7.0 (5.0, 8.0) vs. 8.5 (7.0, 11.0), PLT (×109/L): 107.00 (73.50, 126.00) vs. 131.50 (107.50, 176.25), TBil (mmol/L): 15.60 (10.00, 25.30) vs. 21.40 (14.80, 30.05), Alb (g/L): 32.65 (32.53, 49.30) vs. 38.70 (36.20, 40.40), all P < 0.05]. Binary Logistic regression analysis showed that the GCS score [odds ratio (OR) = 0.686, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.491-0.959, P = 0.028], PLT (OR = 0.973, 95%CI was 0.954-0.992, P = 0.005), NEU (OR = 1.312, 95%CI was 1.072-1.606, P = 0.009) and CRP/Alb ratio (OR = 7.652, 95%CI was 1.632-35.881, P = 0.010) were independent influencing factors for 28-day mortality in HS patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of GCS score, PLT, and CRP/Alb ratio for single prediction of 28-day prognosis in HS patients was 0.705, 0.752, and 0.729, and the combination of all three predicted the highest AUC of 28-day prognosis in HS patients (0.917), with a sensitivity and specificity of 86.2% and 81.2%, respectively.
CONCLUSION
CRP/Alb ratio, PLT, and GCS score are independent influencing factors affecting the prognosis of HS patients, and all of them have a certain predictive value for the prognosis of HS patients, in which the combination of the three has a higher predictive value for the prognosis of HS patients.
Humans
;
C-Reactive Protein/analysis*
;
Prognosis
;
Glasgow Coma Scale
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Heat Stroke/diagnosis*
;
Platelet Count
;
Male
;
Female
;
Serum Albumin/analysis*
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
ROC Curve
7.Analysis of clinical characteristics and related risk factors of patients with Clostridioides difficile infection in the intensive care unit.
Hongming YU ; Qinfu LIU ; Shenglin SU ; Gang LI ; Xiaojun YANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(3):251-254
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the clinical characteristics and related risk factors of Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) in intensive care unit (ICU).
METHODS:
A retrospective study was conducted. Patients with diarrhea admitted to the ICU of the General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from May 1 to August 30, 2023 were selected. Patients were divided into CDI group and non-CDI group based on the presence or absence of CDI. Clinical data from two groups of patients meeting the criteria were collected and compared, including gender, age, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), length of hospital stay, serum lactic acid, parenteral nutrition time, white blood cell count (WBC), procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP), coagulation indicators, albumin, antibiotic exposure, etc. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was performed to analyze the risk factors for CDI in ICU diarrhea patients. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to analyze the predictive value of each index for CDI in diarrhea patients.
RESULTS:
A total of 24 patients with diarrhea were enrolled, including 9 patients in the CDI group and 15 patients in the non-CDI group. The time of parenteral nutrition in the CDI group was significantly longer than that in the non-CDI group [days: 18.0 (13.5, 19.5) vs. 10.0 (4.0, 18.0)], the serum lactic acid level [mmol/L: 4.40 (3.00, 15.25) vs. 2.50 (1.90, 3.20)] and the ratio of serum lactic acid > 3.9 mmol/L [66.67% (6/9) vs. 6.67% (1/15)] were significantly higher than those in the non-CDI group, with statistical significance (all P < 0.05). Multivariate binary Logistic regression analysis showed that the serum lactic acid level of the patients was an independent risk factor for CDI [odds ratio (OR) = 3.193, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.011-10.080, P = 0.048]. ROC curve showed that serum lactic acid level had a high predictive value for CDI in ICU patients with diarrhea, and the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.815, respectively. When the cut-off value of serum lactic acid was 3.9 mmol/L, the sensitivity was 66.7% and the specificity was 93.3%.
CONCLUSION
Patients with diarrhea who have higher serum lactate levels (> 3.9 mmol/L) on admission are at increased risk of developing CDI.
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Clostridium Infections
;
Clostridioides difficile
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Diarrhea/microbiology*
;
Logistic Models
;
ROC Curve
;
Adult
8.Predictive value of inflammatory indicator and serum cystatin C for the prognosis of patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury.
Wenjie ZHOU ; Nan ZHANG ; Tian ZHAO ; Qi MA ; Xigang MA
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(3):275-279
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the predictive value of inflammatory indicator and serum cystatin C (Cys C) for the prognosis of patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI).
METHODS:
A prospective observational study was conducted. Patients with SA-AKI admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of the General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from January 2022 to December 2023 were selected as the study subjects. General patient data, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), inflammatory indicator, and serum Cys C levels were collected. The 28-day survival status of the patients was observed. A multivariate Logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors affecting the poor prognosis of SA-AKI patients. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was plotted to evaluate the predictive efficacy of each risk factor for the prognosis of SA-AKI patients.
RESULTS:
A total of 111 SA-AKI patients were included, with 65 patients (58.6%) in the survival group and 46 patients (41.4%) in the death group. The SOFA score, APACHE II score, interleukin-6 (IL-6), procalcitonin (PCT), hypersensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), and serum Cys C levels in the death group were significantly higher than those in the survival group [SOFA score: 15.00 (14.00, 17.25) vs. 14.00 (11.00, 16.00), APACHE II score: 26.00 (23.75, 28.00) vs. 23.00 (18.50, 28.00), IL-6 (ng/L): 3 731.00±1 573.61 vs. 2 087.93±1 702.88, PCT (μg/L): 78.19±30.35 vs. 43.56±35.37, hs-CRP (mg/L): 266.50 (183.75, 326.75) vs. 210.00 (188.00, 273.00), serum Cys C (mg/L): 2.01±0.61 vs. 1.62±0.50, all P < 0.05]. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA score [odds ratio (OR) = 1.273, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.012-1.600, P = 0.039], IL-6 (OR = 1.000, 95%CI was 1.000-1.001, P = 0.043), PCT (OR = 1.018, 95%CI was 1.002-1.035, P = 0.030), and Cys C (OR = 4.139, 95%CI was 1.727-9.919, P = 0.001) were independent risk factors affecting the 28-day prognosis of SA-AKI patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of SOFA score, IL-6, PCT, and Cys C in predicting the 28-day prognosis of SA-AKI patients were 0.682 (95%CI was 0.582-0.782, P = 0.001), 0.753 (95%CI was 0.662-0.843, P < 0.001), 0.765 (95%CI was 0.677-0.854, P < 0.001), and 0.690 (95%CI was 0.583-0.798, P = 0.001), respectively. The combined predictive value of these four indicators for the prognosis of SA-AKI patients were superior to that of any single indicator, with an AUC of 0.847 (95%CI was 0.778-0.916, P < 0.001), a sensitivity of 95.7%, and a specificity of 56.9%.
CONCLUSION
The combination of SOFA score, IL-6, PCT, and Cys C provides a reliable predictive value for the prognosis of SA-AKI patients.
Humans
;
Acute Kidney Injury/mortality*
;
APACHE
;
C-Reactive Protein
;
Cystatin C/blood*
;
Interleukin-6/blood*
;
Logistic Models
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Procalcitonin/blood*
;
Prognosis
;
Prospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
ROC Curve
;
Sepsis/mortality*
9.Predictive value of norepinephrine equivalence score on the 28-day death risk in patients with sepsis: a retrospective cohort study.
Wenzhe LI ; Jingyan WANG ; Qihang ZHENG ; Yi WANG ; Xiangyou YU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(4):331-336
OBJECTIVE:
To elucidate the predictive value of norepinephrine equivalence (NEE) score on the 28-day death risk in patients with sepsis and provide evidence for its application in the diagnosis and treatment of sepsis and septic shock.
METHODS:
A retrospective cohort study was conducted based on the data of patients with sepsis from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV 2.2 (MIMIC-IV 2.2). The patients who received vasoactive agents within 6 hours after the diagnosis of sepsis or septic shock were enrolled, and they were divided into survival and non-survival groups based on their 28-day outcomes. The baseline characteristics, vital signs, and treatment data were collected. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to identify factors influencing the 28-day death risk. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to analyze the predictive value of various parameters on the 28-day death risk of septic patients. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to evaluate cumulative survival rate in patients classified by different quantitative parameters based on the cut-off values obtained from ROC curve analysis.
RESULTS:
A total of 7 744 patients who met the Sepsis-3 diagnostic criteria and received vasopressor treatment within 6 hours post-diagnosis were enrolled, of which 5 997 cases survived and 1 747 died, with the 28-day mortality of 22.6%. Significant differences were observed between the two groups regarding age, gender, height, body weight, race, type of intensive care unit (ICU), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score, underlying comorbidities, and vital signs. Compared with the survival group, the non-survival group had poorer blood routine, liver and kidney function, coagulation function, blood gas analysis and other indicators. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age > 65 years old [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.892, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.801-0.994, P = 0.039] and male (HR = 0.735, 95%CI was 0.669-0.808, P < 0.001) were protective factors for 28-day death in patients with sepsis, and NEE score (HR = 1.040, 95%CI was 1.021-1.060, P < 0.001), shock index (HR = 1.840, 95%CI was 1.675-2.022, P < 0.001), APACHE II score (HR = 1.076, 95%CI was 1.069-1.083, P < 0.001), SOFA score (HR = 1.035, 95%CI was 1.015-1.056, P < 0.001), and CCI score (HR = 1.135, 95%CI was 1.115-1.155, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for 28-day death in septic patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of NEE score for predicting the 28-day death risk of septic patients was 0.743 (95%CI was 0.730-0.756), which was comparable to the predictive value of APACHE II score (AUC = 0.742, 95%CI was 0.729-0.755) and ratio of mean arterial pressure (MAP)/NEE score (MAP/NEE; AUC = 0.738, 95%CI was 0.725-0.751, both P > 0.05), and better than SOFA score (AUC = 0.609, 95%CI was 0.594-0.624), CCI score (AUC = 0.658, 95%CI was 0.644-0.673), shock index (AUC = 0.613, 95%CI was 0.597-0.629) and ratio of diastolic blood pressure (DBP)/NEE score (DBP/NEE; AUC = 0.735, 95%CI was 0.721-0.748, all P < 0.05). According to the cut-off values of APACHE II and NEE scores obtained from ROC curve analysis, the patients were stratified for Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis, and the results showed that the 28-day cumulative survival rate in the septic patients with an APACHE II score ≤ 22.5 was significantly higher than that in those with an APACHE II > 22.5 (Log-Rank test: χ2 = 848.600, P < 0.001), and the 28-day cumulative survival rate in the septic patients with an NEE score ≤0.120 was significantly higher than that in those with an NEE score > 0.120 (Log-Rank test: χ2 = 832.449, P < 0.001).
CONCLUSIONS
NEE score is an independent risk factor for 28-day death in septic patients who received vasoactive treatment within 6 hours of diagnosis and possesses significant predictive value. It can be used for severity stratification in sepsis management.
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Sepsis/diagnosis*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Norepinephrine/therapeutic use*
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Prognosis
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Shock, Septic/mortality*
;
Adult
;
ROC Curve
;
Risk Factors
;
Survival Rate
;
Aged, 80 and over
10.Construction of a predictive model for hospital-acquired pneumonia risk in patients with mild traumatic brain injury based on LASSO-Logistic regression analysis.
Xin ZHANG ; Wenming LIU ; Minghai WANG ; Liulan QIAN ; Jipeng MO ; Hui QIN
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(4):374-380
OBJECTIVE:
To identify early potential risk factors for hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) in patients with mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI), construct a risk prediction model, and evaluate its predictive efficacy.
METHODS:
A case-control study was conducted using clinical data from mTBI patients admitted to the neurosurgery department of Changzhou Second People's Hospital from September 2021 to September 2023. The patients were divided into two groups based on whether they developed HAP. Clinical data within 48 hours of admission were statistically analyzed to identify factors influencing HAP occurrence through univariate analysis. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was employed for feature selection to identify the most influential variables. The dataset was divided into training and validation sets in a 7:3 ratio. A multivariate Logistic regression analysis was then performed using the training set to construct the prediction model, exploring the risk factors for HAP in mTBI patients and conducting internal validation in the validation set. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), decision curve analysis (DCA), and calibration curve were utilized to assess the sensitivity, specificity, decision value, and predictive accuracy of the prediction model.
RESULTS:
A total of 677 mTBI patients were included, with 257 in the HAP group and 420 in the non-HAP group. The significant differences were found between the two groups in terms of age, maximum body temperature (MaxT), maximum heart rate (MaxHR), maximum systolic blood pressure (MaxSBP), minimum systolic blood pressure (MinSBP), maximum respiratory rate (MaxRR), cause of injury, and laboratory indicators [C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophil count (NEUT), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), fibrinogen (FBG), fibrinogen equivalent units (FEU), prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), total cholesterol (TC), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), prealbumin (PAB), albumin (Alb), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), serum creatinine (SCr), hematocrit (HCT), hemoglobin (Hb), platelet count (PLT), glucose (Glu), K+, Na+], suggesting they could be potential risk factors for HAP in mTBI patients. After LASSO regression analysis, the key risk factors were enrolled in the multivariate Logistic regression analysis. The results revealed that the cause of injury being a traffic accident [odds ratio (OR) = 2.199, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.124-4.398, P = 0.023], NEUT (OR = 1.330, 95%CI was 1.214-1.469, P < 0.001), ESR (OR = 1.053, 95%CI was 1.019-1.090, P = 0.003), FBG (OR = 0.272, 95%CI was 0.158-0.445, P < 0.001), PT (OR = 0.253, 95%CI was 0.144-0.422, P < 0.001), APTT (OR = 0.689, 95%CI was 0.578-0.811, P < 0.001), Alb (OR = 0.734, 95%CI was 0.654-0.815, P < 0.001), BUN (OR = 0.720, 95%CI was 0.547-0.934, P = 0.016), and Na+ (OR = 0.756, 95%CI was 0.670-0.843, P < 0.001) could serve as main risk factors for constructing the prediction model. Calibration curves demonstrated good calibration of the prediction model in both training and validation sets with no evident over fitting. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the prediction model in the training set was 0.943 (95%CI was 0.921-0.965, P < 0.001), with a sensitivity of 83.6% and a specificity of 91.5%. In the validation set, the AUC was 0.917 (95%CI was 0.878-0.957, P < 0.001), with a sensitivity of 90.1% and a specificity of 85.0%. DCA indicated that the prediction model had a high net benefit, suggesting practical clinical applicability.
CONCLUSIONS
The cause of injury being a traffic accident, NEUT, ESR, FBG, PT, APTT, Alb, BUN, and Na+ are identified as major risk factors influencing the occurrence of HAP in mTBI patients. The prediction model constructed using these parameters effectively assesses the likelihood of HAP in mTBI patients.
Humans
;
Risk Factors
;
Case-Control Studies
;
Logistic Models
;
Healthcare-Associated Pneumonia/epidemiology*
;
Brain Injuries, Traumatic/complications*
;
Male
;
Female
;
ROC Curve
;
Pneumonia/etiology*
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail