ObjectiveTo analyze the risk factors for long-term cardiovascular events in patients undergoing long-term peritoneal dialysis （PD）， and to construct and validate a visual nomogram prediction model based on multiple parameters. MethodsA prospective cohort study was conducted， consecutively enrolling 248 maintenance PD patients （dialysis duration ≥ 3 months）. Demographic characteristics， clinical indicators， laboratory parameters， and echocardiographic indices （including left ventricular ejection fraction ［LVEF］， ratio of early diastolic mitral inflow velocity to early diastolic mitral annular velocity （E/e’）， etc.） were collected. The composite endpoint was defined as the occurrence of cardiovascular events or cardiovascular death， with non-cardiovascular death as the competing risk and loss to follow-up or the end of follow-up as censoring events. Fine-Gray competing risks model was used to screen independent predictors， based on which a nomogram model was constructed. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method （1 000 resamplings）， and the concordance index （C-index） and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic （time-dependent ROC） curve were calculated to evaluate the model performance. ResultsWith a median follow-up of 29 months （interquartile range： 24–35 months）， 88 patients （35.48%） reached the composite endpoint， including 80 cases of cardiovascular events and 8 cases of cardiovascular death， and 4 patients died of non-cardiovascular causes. Multivariate Fine-Gray analysis revealed that age， diabetes mellitus， hemoglobin （HGB） level and E/e' ratio were independent influencing factors of the composite endpoint. Specifically， each 1-year increase in age was associated with a 3.0% increase in the risk of the composite endpoint （HR=1.030， P=0.006）； patients with diabetes mellitus had a 167.9% higher risk compared with non-diabetic patients （HR=2.679， P=0.007）； each 1g/L increase in HGB level contributed to a 1.5% reduction in the risk （HR=0.985， P=0.003）； and each 0.1 increase in E/e' ratio led to a 7.2% increase in the risk （HR=1.072， P=0.045）. The nomogram model had a C-index of 0.76 （95% CI： 0.698–0.820）， and the AUC of the time-dependent ROC curve reached 0.849 at 23 months of follow-up. ConclusionIncreased age， complicated with diabetes mellitus， decreased HGB， and elevated E/e' ratio are independent risk factors of long-term occurrence of cardiovascular events and cardiovascular death in patients undergoing long-term PD. The nomogram model constructed based on the above variables has good predictive value and clinical applicability， which can provide a reference for cardiovascular risk stratification and individualized intervention in long-term PD patients.

Objective To explore the correlation between serum fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF23) concentration and heart failure and all-cause death in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD).Methods The prospective cohort study design was used in the present study.The ESRD patients who were admitted to the department of ne-phropathy in the Hospital and without heart failure symptoms were recruited in this study.The data of patients was collected through baseline questionnaires, physical examinations, echocardiography, and laboratory examinations.The serum FGF23 levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) .The follow-up time was 2 years.The onset of heart failure (ACC/AHA stage C-D) and all-cause death were composite endpoint events.The Cox proportional risk model was used to explore the risk factors of outcome events.Through subgroup analyses and interaction analyses, further exploration was conducted to determine whether there was heterogeneity in the as-sociation between FGF23 and outcome events in different subgroups.Results Ultimately,107 ESRD patients were included in this study, with an average age of (52.00 ± 12.51) years.There were 39 males (36.45％), and the median follow-up time was 23 months (21, 25 months).There were 32 (29.9％) outcome events, of which 22 (20.6％) onset of heart failure and 10 (9.3％) all-cause of deaths.The results of this study showed that the con-centration of FGF23 in the outcome event group was significantly higher than that in the non-event group [ (4.40 ± 1.16) pmol/ml vs (3.85 ± 0.82) pmol/ml,P<0.05].The Cox proportional risk model showed that the elevated FGF23 was associated with increased risk of the composite endpoint events in ESRD patients (HR=1.730 , 95％CI:1.164-2.570 , P=0.007) .Subgroup analyses showed that there was an interactive effect between FGF23 levels and gender on the risk of cardiovascular outcome events.Especially in male ESRD patients, the increased FGF23 level was correlated with a higher risk of cardiovascular events (P-interaction <0.05).Conclusion Elevated serum FGF23 is an independent risk factor for the onset of heart failure and all-cause of mortality in ESRD patients, especially in male patients.

Objective : To employ the EQ-5D-5L questionnaire to evaluate HRQOL in patients on peritoneal dialysis ( PD) and investigate the related risk factors to provide suggestions for improving quality of life． Methods : PD patients who were followed up regularly in the department of nephrology were recruited in this study． Demographic characteristics and laboratory data were collected．Exercise capacity was assessed by the 6-MWT．PHQ-9 was con- ducted to screen depression status．The EQ-5D-5L questionnaire was used to evaluate HRQOL．Multivariate linear regression analysis was used to examine the potential influencing factors of EQ-5D-5L health utility value. Results : The highest health utility value of EQ-5D-5L was 1 point，while the lowest was －0. 01 points．The mean EQ-5D-5L score was (0. 92 ± 0. 15 ) ． The multivariate linear regression analyses showed that increased bilirubin level ( β = - 0. 009，P = 0. 018 ) ，increased CRP level ( β = －0. 005 ，P ＜0. 001 ) ，and increased PHQ-9 score ( β = - 0. 008，P = 0. 014) were negatively correlated with the EQ-5D-5L health utility value．Increased 6-MWD ( β = 0. 005，P = 0. 018) was positively correlated with the EQ-5D-5L health utility value． Conclusion The bilirubin and CRP levels，depression status，and exercise capacity are considered the main factors influencing HRQOL in PD patients.