1.Construction and application of anti-tumor drug prescription review decision-support system in a large general hospital
Jing ZANG ; Run GAN ; Qi YANG ; Yan CHEN ; Cheng GUO ; Jianping ZHANG ; Fengqian LI ; Quanjun YANG
China Pharmacy 2026;37(6):794-799
OBJECTIVE To introduce the development of an intelligent prescription review decision-support system for anti-tumor drugs and assess its clinical application outcomes. METHODS Relevant data sources, including national and local pharmaceutical administration policies, clinical practice guidelines/consensus, hospital information systems data, and genetic testing results, were integrated. Adhering to the principles of structure, standardization and dynamic updating, a knowledge base covering chemotherapeutic, targeted and immunotherapeutic agents was constructed using a dual-dimensional modeling approach that combined “drug attributes” and “clinical contexts”. This knowledge base was then embedded into the hospital’s electronic medical order system to establish the prescription review decision-support system. The application and performance of the system were evaluated at Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine. RESULTS A knowledge base containing 18 318 prescription review rules for anti-tumor drugs was constructed, and a closed-loop prescription review system was successfully established, encompassing pre-prescription real-time intervention, in-process interactive review, and post-prescription evaluation and analysis. From 2021 to 2024, the system generated a total of 57 879 alerts for prescriptions of five typical categories of anti-tumor drugs. For platinum-containing prescriptions, 22 577 alerts were generated, with Cisplatin for injection (lyophilized) being the most frequently alerted drug (13 445 alerts), and “ototoxicity risk due to combined use” alerts remained high (7 682 alerts). For methotrexate-containing prescriptions, 3 721 alerts were recorded, primarily related to “precaution-related issues” (76.4%, 2 843/3 721). For doxorubicin-containing prescriptions, 17 301 alerts were triggered, primarily related to “dosage and administration” (14 315 alerts). For human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-targeted agents-containing prescriptions, 1 007 alerts were issued, mostly related to “reimbursement restrictions” (956 alerts). For programmed death-1/programmed death-ligand 1 inhibitors-containing prescriptions, the alerts increased year by year, totaling 13 273 alerts, primarily related to “inappropriate indication” (9 118 alerts). Over the 4 years, the physician response rates to system alerts were 21.4%, 27.1%, 33.5% and 51.6%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS An intelligent decision-support system for anti-tumor drug prescription review, encompassing a closed-loop process of “real-time pre-event intervention, interactive in-event prescription review, post-event evaluation and analysis”, has been successfully constructed and implemented throughout the entire workflow. There is a discernible trend in this hospital, where the focus on monitoring anti-tumor drugs is shifting towards immunotherapy drugs. Additionally, the acceptance rate of physicians regarding prescription review opinions has been steadily increasing year by year.
2.Establishment of a new predictive model for esophagogastric variceal rebleeding in liver cirrhosis based on clinical features
Wen GUO ; Xuyulin YANG ; Run GAO ; Yaxin CHEN ; Kun YIN ; Qian LI ; Manli CUI ; Mingxin ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):101-110
ObjectiveTo establish a new noninvasive, simple, and convenient clinical predictive model by identifying independent predictive factors for rebleeding after endoscopic therapy in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB), and to provide a basis for individualized risk assessment and development of clinical intervention strategies. MethodsCirrhotic patients with EGVB who were diagnosed and treated in The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Medical University from September 2018 to October 2023 were enrolled as subjects, and according to whether the patient experienced rebleeding within 1 year after endoscopic therapy, they were divided into rebleeding group with 93 patients and non-rebleeding group with 84 patients. Clinical data were collected and analyzed. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A Logistic model was established based on the results of the univariate and multivariate analyses, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were used to assess the accuracy of the model. R software was used to visualize the model by plotting a nomogram, and the Bootstrap method was used for internal validation of the model. ResultsThe multivariate analysis showed that red blood cell count (RBC), cholinesterase (ChE), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), albumin (Alb), thrombin time (TT), portal vein trunk diameter, sequential therapy, and primary prevention were independent predictive factors for rebleeding. Based on the results of the multivariate analysis, a logistic model was established as logit(P)=-0.805-1.978×(RBC)+0.001×(ChE)-0.020×(ALP)-0.314×(Alb)+0.567×(TT)+0.428×(portal vein trunk diameter)-2.303×[sequential therapy (yes=1, no=0)]-2.368×[primary prevention (yes=1, no=0)]. The logistic model (AUC=0.928, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.893—0.964, P<0.001) had a better performance in predicting rebleeding than MELD score (AUC=0.603, 95%CI: 0.520—0.687, P=0.003), Child-Pugh class (AUC=0.650, 95%CI: 0.578—0.722, P=0.001), and FIB-4 index (AUC=0.587, 95%CI: 0.503—0.671, P=0.045). The model had an optimal cut-off value of 0.607, a sensitivity of 0.817, and a specificity of 0.817. Internal validation confirmed that the model had good predictive performance and accuracy. ConclusionSequential therapy, implementation of primary prevention, an increase in RBC, and an increase in Alb are protective factors against rebleeding, while prolonged TT and widened main portal vein diameter are risk factors. The logistic model based on these independent predictive factors can predict rebleeding and thus holds promise for clinical application.
3.Differentiation and Treatment of Chemotherapy-Induced Nausea and Vomiting with Traditional Chinese Medicine Based on the Theory of "Yin Qi Descends,While All Yang Qi Ascends"
Borun LI ; Bo PANG ; Yi LI ; Qian SHEN ; Yuwei WANG ; Run YAN
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(11):1173-1177
This paper discussed the differentiation and treatment of chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) in traditional Chinese medicine, based on the theory of "yin qi descends, while all yang qi ascends” from Inner Canon of Yellow Emperor (《黄帝内经》). The core pathogenesis of CINV is attributed to chemotherapy-induced injury to the middle jiao (焦), resulting in the separation of yin and yang and loss of their mutual communication. Acute and explosive CINV is often characterized by "all yang qi ascends", with stomach yang constraint transforming into fire, and qi counterflow leading to vomiting, which can be treated by unblocking stomach yang, draining fire and scattering the counterflow, with Huoxiang Zhengqi Powder (藿香正气散) and medicinals of clearing function. For delayed cases, which are often due to "yin qi descends", and the accumulation of turbid yin obstructs and constrains the deficient yang, the treatment should focus on promoting qi flow to eliminate turbidity, unblocking and boosting yang qi, and Chengqi-series Formulas (承气类方) or Xiao Banxia Decoction (小半夏汤) can be considered. Refractory and anticipated cases usually involve stomach-kidney deficiency and zang-fu (脏腑) organs disharmony, making yin and yang difficult to restore balance, for which the treatment should focus on nourishing both the stomach and kidneys and harmonize the zang-fu organs, with formulas such as Fuzi Lizhong Decoction (附子理中汤) or Xiaoyao Powder (逍遥散) modified as appropriate.
4.Comprehensive clinical evaluation of phosphate-lowering drugs in the treatment of chronic kidney disease with hyperphosphatemia
Lu LIU ; Cangsang SONG ; Xingde LI ; Chunni HAN ; Run SUN ; Chunjie YU ; Yalin LI
China Pharmacy 2026;37(14):1918-1924
OBJECTIVE To conduct a comprehensive clinical evaluation of phosphate-lowering drugs in the treatment of chronic kidney disease (CKD) with hyperphosphatemia, and to provide evidence-based support for clinical drug decision-making. METHODS Relevant studies meeting the inclusion and exclusion criteria were retrieved, a comprehensive evaluation of efficacy, safety and economics was conducted based on existing study results. Innovation was analyzed from three aspects including filling the clinical gap, and suitability was assessed from two aspects including technical suitability. Accessibility was evaluated based on the survey data from 37 medical institutions in Kunming, combined with information from the National Reimbursement Drug List and national centralized drug procurement. RESULTS A total of 10 meta-analyses and 2 pharmacoeconomic studies were included. In terms of efficacy, all three categories of phosphate-lowering drugs (calcium-based phosphate binders, non-calcium-based phosphate binders, sodium-hydrogen exchanger 3 inhibitors) effectively reduced serum phosphorus levels. Calcium-based phosphate binders elevated serum calcium levels more significantly; sevelamer was superior to calcium-based phosphate binders in reducing intact parathyroid hormone levels; iron-based phosphate binders improved iron metabolism and anemia-related indicators. In terms of safety, iron-based phosphate binders had the highest incidence of gastrointestinal adverse reactions, followed by lanthanum carbonate. In terms of economics, sevelamer demonstrated economic advantages over calcium-based phosphate binders and lanthanum carbonate. In terms of innovation, non-ca lcium-based phosphate binders addressed the clinical limitation of hypercalcemia associated with calcium-based phosphate binders; iron-based phosphate binders met the treatment needs of patients with comorbid iron deficiency anemia; tenapanor exhibited an innovative phosphorus-lowering mechanism. In terms of suitability, all three categories showed good suitability in various aspects. In terms of accessibility, sevelamer had the highest availability rate, while tenapanor was not yet available in medical institutions. All three categories have been included in the National Reimbursement Drug List ; the prices of lanthanum carbonate and sevelamer decreased substantially following centralized procurement with improved affordability. CONCLUSIONS For CKD patients with hyperphosphatemia, non-calcium-based phosphate binders are preferred, among which sevelamer is recommended as the first-line choice. Lanthanum carbonate may be considered for patients with gastrointestinal intolerance; iron-based phosphate binders are preferred for patients with comorbid iron deficiency anemia; tenapanor may be considered for patients with poor response to or intolerance of conventional regimens; calcium-based phosphate binders are not recommended as long-term first-line therapy.
5.The diagnostic value of ultrasound imaging parameters combined with serum PGRN and PD-L1 for lymph node metastasis of non-small cell lung cancer
Guifen SUN ; Libin LI ; Run LI
International Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2025;46(14):1725-1729,1735
Objective To explore the diagnostic value of ultrasound imaging parameters combined with ser-um progranulin(PGRN)and programmed cell death ligand 1(PD-L1)for lymph node metastasis of non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC).Methods A total of 135 NSCLC patients admitted to Hengshui Cardiovascu-lar Hospital from February 2022 to May 2024 were selected as the NSCLC group.According to whether lymph node metastasis occurred,the NSCLC patients were divided into the metastasis group(52 cases)and the non-metastasis group(83 cases).Another 135 patients with benign lung diseases who were admitted to the hospi-tal during the same period were selected as the control group.The levels of serum PGRN and PD-L1 were de-tected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was conducted to ana-lyze the factors influencing lymph node metastasis of NSCLC.The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to analyze the diagnostic value of ultrasound imaging parameters[end-diastolic velocity(EDV),peak systolic velocity(PSV),and minimum axial diameter(MAD)]combined with serum levels of PGRN and PD-L1 for lymph node metastasis of NSCLC.Results Compared with the control group,the levels of serum PGRN and PD-L1 in the NSCLC group were significantly increased,and the difference was statistically signifi-cant(P<0.05).Compared with the non-metastasis group,the levels of serum PGRN and PD-L1 in the metas-tasis group were significantly increased,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).Compared with the non-metastasis group,the ultrasound imaging parameters EDV,PSV and MAD in the metastasis group were significantly increased,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).The results of multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that PGRN,PD-L1,EDV,PSV,and MAD were all independ-ent risk factors affecting lymph node metastasis of NSCLC(P<0.05).The area under the curve(AUC)of serum PGRN,PD-L1 and ultrasound imaging parameters EDV,PSV and MAD for the diagnosis of lymph node metastasis of NSCLC separately was 0.805,0.792,0.745,0.738 and 0.737,respectively.The AUC of com-bined diagnosis for lymph node metastasis of NSCLC was 0.938,which was superior to that of single diagnosis(ZPGRN-combination=3.424,ZPD-L1-combination=4.076,ZEDV-combination=3.891,ZPSV-combination=4.755,ZMAD-combination=4.400,P<0.05).Conclusion Ultrasound imaging parameters combined with serum PGRN and PD-L1 have certain diagnostic value for lymph node metastasis of NSCLC.
6.Clinical and Laboratory Characteristics of Cold Agglutinin Disease Patients with Positive Results of Acidified-Serum Lysis Test.
Zhao WANG ; Xiao-Xue WANG ; Run-Lin AN ; Li-Jin BO ; Yu-Ping ZHAO
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(2):575-579
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the clinical features and laboratory characteristics of patients with cold agglutinin disease (CAD)/cold agglutinin syndrome (CAS) who were positive for acidified-serum lysis test (Ham test), and to compare them with Ham test negative CAD/CAS patients and paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) patients, in order to provide references for the differential diagnosis of these diseases.
METHODS:
53 patients diagnosed with CAD/CAS and 67 patients diagnosed with classic PNH in our hospital from January 2015 to December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were grouped according to clinical diagnosis and results of cold agglutinin test (CAT), direct antiglobulin test (DAT), Ham test and PNH clone detection. The clinical and laboratory characteristics of each group were compared.
RESULTS:
The patients were grouped as follows: Ham- CAD/CAS group, CAD/CAS patients negative for Ham test (n=36); Ham+ CAD/CAS group, CAD/CAS patients positive for Ham test (n=17); classic PNH group (n=67). Compared with the classic PNH group, the Ham+ CAD/CAS group had a higher median age (P =0.024), weaker positivity of Ham test, higher positive rates of CAT and DAT, and lower positive rate of PNH clone detection (all P <0.001). The proportions of patients with splenomegaly and cyanosis in Ham+ CAD/CAS group were significantly higher than those in classic PNH group (P =0.002 and P <0.001). Ham+ CAD/CAS group displayed lower red blood cell count (RBC) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level (P =0.007 and P <0.001), and higher mean corpuscular hemoglobin (MCH), mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC), and indirect bilirubin (IBIL) level (P =0.003, P =0.004 and P =0.006) than those in classic PNH group. The levels of serum complement C3 and C4 in Ham+ CAD/CAS group were lower than those in classic PNH group (P =0.001 and P <0.001). The positive rate of urinary occult blood in Ham+ CAD/CAS group was lower than that in classic PNH group (P =0.010). The clinical and laboratory characteristics of Ham+ CAD/CAS group were similar to those of Ham- CAD/CAS group, except for median age, hemoglobin (Hb), MCHC, mean corpuscular volume (MCV), reticulocyte ratio (Ret), Ham test results, DAT positive types, and proportion of splenomegaly.
CONCLUSION
Some clinical features and laboratory indicators of CAD/CAS patients with positive results of Ham test are different from those of classic PNH patients, but relatively similar to those of CAD/CAS patients with negative results of Ham test. These results may provide a reference for differential diagnosis of related diseases.
Humans
;
Anemia, Hemolytic, Autoimmune/blood*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Hemoglobinuria, Paroxysmal/diagnosis*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Coombs Test
;
Diagnosis, Differential
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
7.Preparation and Evaluation of Clinical-Grade Human Umbilical Cord-Derived Mesenchymal Stem Cells with High Expression of Hematopoietic Supporting Factors.
Jie TANG ; Pei-Lin LI ; Xiao-Yu ZHANG ; Xiao-Tong LI ; Fu-Hao YU ; Jia-Yi TIAN ; Run-Xiang XU ; Bo-Feng YIN ; Li DING ; Heng ZHU
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(3):892-898
OBJECTIVE:
To prepare clinical-grade human umbilical cord-derived mesenchymal stem cells (hUC-MSC) with high expression of hematopoietic supporting factors and evaluate their stem cell characteristics.
METHODS:
Fetal umbilical cord tissues were collected from healthy postpartum women during full-term cesarean section. Wharton's jelly was mechanically separated and hUC-MSCs were obtained by explant culture method and enzyme digestion method in an animal serum-free culture system with addition of human platelet lysate. The phenotypic characteristics of hUC-MSCs obtained by two methods were detected by flow cytometry. The differences in proliferation ability between the two groups of hUC-MSCs were identified through CCK-8 assay and colony forming unit-fibroblast (CFU-F) assay. The differences in multilineage differentiation potential between the two groups of hUC-MSCs were identified through induction of adipogenic, osteogenic, and chondrogenic differentiation. The mRNA expression levels of hematopoietic supporting factors such as SCF, IL-3, CXCL12, VCAM1 and ANGPT1 in the two groups of hUC-MSCs were identified by real-time fluorescence quantiative PCR(RT-qPCR).
RESULTS:
The results of flow cytometry showed that hUC-MSCs obtained by the two methods both expressed high levels of CD73, CD90 and CD105, while lowly expressed CD31, CD45 and HLA-DR. The results of CCK-8 and CFU-F assay showed that the proliferation ability of hUC-MSCs obtained by explant culture method was better than those obtained by enzyme digestion method. The results of the triple lineage differentiation experiment showed that there was no significant difference in multilineage differentiation potential between the two grous of hUC-MSCs. The results of RT-qPCR showed that the mRNA expression levels of hematopoietic supporting factors SCF, IL-3, CXCL12, VCAM1 and ANGPT1 in hUC-MSCs obtained by explant cultrue method were higher than those obtained by enzyme digestion method.
CONCLUSION
Clinical-grade hUC-MSCs with high expression levels of hematopoietic supporting factors were successfully cultured in an animal serum-free culture system.
Humans
;
Mesenchymal Stem Cells/metabolism*
;
Umbilical Cord/cytology*
;
Cell Differentiation
;
Female
;
Cell Proliferation
;
Cells, Cultured
;
Chemokine CXCL12/metabolism*
;
Angiopoietin-1/metabolism*
;
Vascular Cell Adhesion Molecule-1/metabolism*
;
Stem Cell Factor/metabolism*
;
Flow Cytometry
;
Pregnancy
8.Exploring urban versus rural disparities in atrial fibrillation: prevalence and management trends among elderly Chinese in a screening study.
Wei ZHANG ; Yi CHEN ; Lei-Xiao HU ; Jia-Hui XIA ; Xiao-Fei YE ; Wen-Yuan-Yue WANG ; Xin-Yu WANG ; Quan-Yong XIANG ; Qin TAN ; Xiao-Long WANG ; Xiao-Min YANG ; De-Chao ZHAO ; Xin CHEN ; Yan LI ; Ji-Guang WANG ; FOR THE IMPRESSION INVESTIGATORS AND COORDINATORS
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2025;22(2):246-254
BACKGROUND:
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cardiac arrhythmia in the elderly. This study aimed to evaluate urban-rural disparities in its prevalence and management in elderly Chinese.
METHODS:
Consecutive participants aged ≥ 65 years attending outpatient clinics were enrolled for AF screening using handheld single-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) from April 2017 to December 2022. Each ECG rhythm strip was reviewed from the research team. AF or uninterpretable single-lead ECGs were referred for 12-lead ECG. Primary study outcome comparison was between rural and urban areas for the prevalence of AF. The Student's t-test was used to compare mean values of clinical characteristics between rural and urban participants, while the Pearson's chi-square test was used to compare between-group proportions. Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis was performed to estimate the association between AF and various patient characteristics.
RESULTS:
The 29,166 study participants included 13,253 men (45.4%) and had a mean age of 72.2 years. The 7073 rural participants differed significantly (P ≤ 0.02) from the 22,093 urban participants in several major characteristics, such as older age, greater body mass index, and so on. The overall prevalence of AF was 4.6% (n = 1347). AF was more prevalent in 7073 rural participants than 22,093 urban participants (5.6% vs. 4.3%, P < 0.01), before and after adjustment for age, body mass index, blood pressure, pulse rate, cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption and prior medical history. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified overweight/obesity (OR = 1.35, 95% CI: 1.17-1.54) in urban areas and cigarette smoking (OR = 1.62, 95% CI: 1.20-2.17) and alcohol consumption (OR = 1.42, 95% CI: 1.04-1.93) in rural areas as specific risk factors for prevalent AF. In patients with known AF in urban areas (n = 781) and rural areas (n = 338), 60.6% and 45.9%, respectively, received AF treatment (P < 0.01), and only 22.4% and 17.2%, respectively, received anticoagulation therapy (P = 0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
In China, there are urban-rural disparities in AF in the elderly, with a higher prevalence and worse management in rural areas than urban areas. Our study findings provide insight for health policymakers to consider urban-rural disparity in the prevention and treatment of AF.
9.Clinical implication of post-angioplasty quantitative flow ratio in the patients with coronary artery de novo lesions underwent drug-coated balloons treatment.
Yun-Hui ZHU ; Xu-Lin HONG ; Tian-Li HU ; Qian-Qian BIAN ; Yu-Fei CHEN ; Tian-Ping ZHOU ; Jing LI ; Guo-Sheng FU ; Wen-Bin ZHANG
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2025;22(3):332-343
BACKGROUND:
Quantitative flow ratio (QFR) holds significant value in guiding drug-coated balloon (DCB) treatment and enhancing outcomes. However, the predictive capability of post-angioplasty QFR for long-term clinical events in patients with de novo lesions who receive DCB treatment remains uncertain. The aim of this study was to explore the potential significance of post-angioplasty QFR measurements in predicting clinical outcomes in patients underwent DCB treatment for de novo lesions.
METHODS:
Patients who underwent DCB-only intervention for de novo lesions were enrolled. QFR was conducted after DCB treatment. The patients were then categorized based on post-angioplasty QFR. The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiac events (MACE), encompassing all-cause death, cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, and target vessel revascularization.
RESULTS:
A total of 553 patients with 561 lesions were included. The median follow-up period was 505 days, during which 66 (11.8%) MACEs occurred. Based on post-procedural QFR grouping, there were 259 cases in the high QFR group (QFR > 0.93) and 302 cases in the low QFR group (QFR ≤ 0.93). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a significantly higher cumulative incidence of MACE in the low QFR group (log-rank P = 0.004). The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated a significant inverse correlation between QFR and the occurrence of MACEs (HR = 0.522, 95%CI: 0.289-0.942, P = 0.031). Landmark analysis indicated that high QFR had a significant reducing effect on the cumulative incidence of MACEs within 1 year (log-rank P = 0.016) and 1-5 years (log-rank P = 0.026).
CONCLUSIONS
In patients who underwent DCB-only treatment for de novo lesions, higher post-procedural QFR values (> 0.93) were identified as an independent protective factor against adverse prognosis.
10.Global, regional, and national epidemiology of cardiovascular diseases attributable to physical inactivity among adults aged 70 years and older from 1990 to 2021.
Cao WANG ; Ben-Jun ZHOU ; Wei GAO ; Yi-Min LI
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2025;22(8):709-724
BACKGROUND:
Physical inactivity is a significant yet underappreciated risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), particularly among older adults. The aim of this study was to analyze the global burden of CVD attributable to physical inactivity in individuals aged 70 years and older from 1990 to 2021 using the Global Burden of Disease data.
METHODS:
We assessed trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and deaths, decomposed changes into population growth, aging, and epidemiological factors, and examined health inequalities across sociodemographic index (SDI) regions.
RESULTS:
From 1990 to 2021, a substantial rise in DALYs was observed, especially in low and middle SDI regions, with a 120.06% increase in the low SDI region, but a 23.10% decline in the high SDI region. Decomposition analysis identified population aging and growth as primary drivers for the burden, contributing 66.39% and 83.56% to the increase in middle and low SDI regions, respectively. By contrast, epidemiological improvements alleviated burden in the high SDI region (54.91%). Gender disparities persisted, with women experiencing a higher burden. Inequality analysis indicated a shift in CVD burden towards the low SDI region, with declining concentration indices for DALYs (-0.03 to -0.13) and deaths (-0.07 to -0.15). The Bayesian age-period-cohort projections suggest continued increases in DALYs and deaths through 2050, with women disproportionately affected.
CONCLUSIONS
These findings highlight the urgent need for targeted interventions promoting physical activity, improving healthcare access, and implementing region-specific prevention strategies.

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