1.Mechanistic Interplay Between Remodeling of The Peritubular Capillary Microenvironment and Renal Fibrosis
Qi-Fa QIN ; Wen-Hui HUANG ; Jun-Yue HUANG ; Guang-Run ZHANG ; Rong XUE ; Rui QIAN ; Li-Li XU ; Li-Ting DONG
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(10):2647-2664
Renal fibrosis is the common pathological endpoint of many forms of chronic kidney disease (CKD), yet the mechanisms determining effective repair versus persistent fibrotic remodeling remain incompletely understood. Peritubular capillaries (PTCs) are not merely passive targets of fibrotic injury, but form a dynamic vascular microenvironment linking regional perfusion, oxygen delivery, tubular metabolism, endothelial barrier integrity, pericyte support, immune-cell trafficking, and extracellular matrix (ECM) remodeling. We propose that PTC abnormalities should not be interpreted simply as reduced capillary density, but as a multidimensional disturbance of microvascular structure and function. Structural vascular preservation does not necessarily indicate effective microcirculation: anatomically detectable capillaries may still exhibit impaired perfusion, barrier dysfunction, abnormal endothelial-pericyte interactions, disturbed oxygen metabolism, or reduced network connectivity. Conversely, increased angiogenesis does not necessarily signify successful vascular repair if vessels remain immature, poorly perfused, or inadequately integrated into the existing network. To organize these abnormalities, we conceptualize PTC remodeling into four predominant but nonexclusive states: endothelial barrier disruption with inflammatory adhesion; endothelial-pericyte uncoupling with no-reflow; dysregulated angiogenesis with network simplification; and capillary rarefaction with fibrotic matrix locking. These states are not sequential stages of CKD. They may coexist within the same kidney, overlap within the same anatomical region, and vary with disease etiology, injury phase, vascular compartment, and treatment exposure. We further propose six dimensions for evaluating PTC status—structural presence, functional perfusion, barrier integrity, pericyte coupling, oxygen metabolism, and network connectivity—so that vascular quantity, function, and reparative capacity are assessed separately rather than inferred from a single endothelial marker or capillary-density measurement. Mechanistically, these states converge on a bidirectional microvascular-fibrotic feedback loop. Barrier disruption facilitates leukocyte recruitment and alters vascular paracrine signaling. Endothelial-pericyte uncoupling compromises capillary stability, whereas abnormal pericyte contraction may increase local vascular resistance and contribute to no-reflow before overt capillary loss. Dysregulated angiogenesis may generate vessels that fail to mature or connect to an effective perfusion network. Progressive capillary rarefaction compromises oxygen delivery, while sustained tubular transport demand and mitochondrial dysfunction may aggravate regional oxygen supply-demand mismatch. Injured tubules, immune cells, endothelial cells, pericytes, and fibroblasts communicate through soluble mediators, extracellular vesicles, direct cell contact, and cell-matrix signaling. Importantly, fibrosis is not merely a downstream consequence of microvascular injury. Altered ECM may increase diffusion distance, modify mechanotransduction, impair endothelial survival and migration, and restrict capillary reopening and regeneration. We use the term matrix locking to describe this sustained constraint on vascular repair, while emphasizing that current evidence does not establish irreversible disease in humans. This framework also has therapeutic implications. PTC-directed treatment should not be reduced to increasing vessel number or uniformly promoting angiogenesis. Instead, intervention should be matched to the dominant and potentially reversible abnormality: preserving endothelial barrier function; restoring endothelial-pericyte stability and reducing pathological microvascular resistance; normalizing angiogenesis so that vascular growth is accompanied by maturation, barrier competence, network integration, and effective perfusion; and, in advanced rarefaction, relieving matrix-related constraints while supporting vascular regeneration. The context- and time-dependent effects of signaling through VEGF, Tie2, PDGF-B/PDGFRβ, eNOS/NO, and related pathways indicate that the same molecular signal may exert different effects depending on disease context and timing. Therapeutic efficacy should therefore be evaluated by restoration of effective microcirculation and tissue function rather than by isolated molecular changes or capillary counts alone. Despite increasing mechanistic evidence, the translational basis for this framework remains limited. Most causal and interventional data derive from animal or cell models, whereas human evidence is largely limited to pathological observations, patient-sample associations, and prognostic studies. Currently available circulating and urinary candidate biomarkers generally lack sufficient specificity for PTC injury or state assignment, and no standardized quantitative thresholds have been externally validated. The four-state model should therefore be regarded as a hypothesis-generating analytical framework rather than a clinicopathological classification system. Future studies should integrate spatially resolved tissue phenotyping, blood and urine biomarkers, and dynamic microcirculatory assessment in longitudinal cohorts. They should test reproducibility, assess prognostic value beyond conventional pathology, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and proteinuria, and determine whether changes in PTC status precede or mediate therapeutic benefit. Linking reproducible microvascular phenotypes to defined mechanisms, treatment response, and long-term renal outcomes will be essential to determine whether state-directed assessment and restoration of the PTC microenvironment can ultimately inform patient stratification and therapeutic decision-making.
2.Guyanxiao Tincture Alleviates Frozen Shoulder via Suppressing ACTC1 Induced Fibrosis in Shoulder Capsule
Quan SUN ; Kai-Wei ZHANG ; Yang LIU ; Yan WANG ; Rui ZHENG ; Shu-Guang ZHENG
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(10):2714-2732
ObjectiveFrozen shoulder (FS) is a debilitating musculoskeletal disorder characterized by persistent inflammation and progressive fibrosis of the glenohumeral joint capsule, leading to pain and severely restricted range of motion. Given the limited efficacy of current pharmacotherapies, there is an urgent need for novel anti-fibrotic agents. Guyanxiao Tincture (GYX), a traditional Chinese herbal formula, has shown clinical benefits in alleviating FS symptoms. However, its bioactive constituents and the molecular mechanisms underlying its therapeutic effects remain poorly defined. This study aimed to systematically evaluate the therapeutic efficacy of GYX against FS and to elucidate the mechanisms by which GYX attenuates capsular fibrosis. MethodsA Sprague-Dawley (SD) rat model of FS was established by immobilizing the unilateral shoulder with a plaster cast for 21 d. Following model induction, animals were administered with GYX or its serum-identified bioactive component, icariside F2. The absorbed prototype compounds of GYX in FS rat serum were profiled using ultraperformance liquid chromatography-quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry (UPLC-Q-TOF-MS). Therapeutic effects were assessed by measuring shoulder range of motion (ROM), histopathological evaluation of the capsule via hematoxylin-eosin staining, and quantification of transforming growth factor‑β1 (TGF-β1) content by ELISA. To explore the underlying mechanisms, transcriptomic profiling of the shoulder capsule was performed using RNA sequencing, and differentially expressed genes were validated by real-time quantitative PCR. Protein expression and localization were examined through immunohistochemistry, immunofluorescence, and Western blot. Protein-protein interaction networks were constructed to identify key regulatory hubs. In vitro, primary shoulder capsule fibroblasts were stimulated with TGF‑β1 to induce a fibrotic phenotype and then treated with icariside F2. The expression of alpha cardiac muscle 1 (ACTC1), α‑smooth muscle actin, and collagen I was subsequently measured. ResultsSerum pharmacochemistry analysis identified icariside F2 as the predominant circulating bioactive component of GYX in FS rats. Both GYX and icariside F2 treatment significantly improved the ROM and ameliorated histopathological lesions, including the attenuation of synovial hyperplasia, inflammatory infiltration, and excessive collagen deposition in the shoulder capsule. Consistently, elevated TGF‑β1 levels in the model group were markedly reduced after the interventions. RNA sequencing revealed that actin ACTC1 was dramatically upregulated in the fibrotic capsule, accompanied by the enrichment of fibrosis-associated pathways such as TGF‑β signaling, focal adhesion, and ECM-receptor interaction. Protein-protein interaction network analysis demonstrated that ACTC1 directly interacts with core fibrotic genes, including Col1a1, Col1a2, Thbs2, and Fn1. Critically, icariside F2 administration significantly reversed the aberrant overexpression of ACTC1 and suppressed the activation of the aforementioned fibrosis-related pathways in vivo. In TGF‑β1-stimulated fibroblasts, icariside F2 dose-dependently downregulated ACTC1 at both the mRNA and protein levels and concurrently decreased the expression of the fibrotic markers α‑smooth muscle actin and collagen I. Immunofluorescence and Western blot further confirmed that icariside F2 attenuated stress fiber formation and collagen production in vitro. ConclusionGYX and its bioactive component icariside F2 effectively alleviate the progression of frozen shoulder by inhibiting capsular fibrosis. Mechanistically, the therapeutic action is functionally linked to the suppression of ACTC1 and its downstream profibrotic signaling cascade, highlighting ACTC1 as a promising therapeutic target for the management of frozen shoulder.
3.Resveratrol attenuates hepatic inflammation and oxidative stress in rheumatoid arthritis via Nrf2/Keap1 pathway
Xue-fei FAN ; Jian ZHOU ; Su-huan CHEN ; Meng-yan ZHANG ; Hao-miao LIU ; Rui SU ; Guang-yi CHEN ; Yu-bao SHAO ; Tao YAO ; Xiao-yu CHEN
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(5):861-867
Aim To explore the therapeutic effects of resveratrol(Res)on hepatic inflammation and oxida-tive stress in rheumatoid arthritis(RA),and to eluci-date the relationship of the regulatory mechanism of the Nrf2/Keap1 signaling pathway in it.Methods A mouse model of arthritis was induced using chicken type Ⅱ collagen in combination with complete Freund's adjuvant,and Res was administered by tube feeding for treatment.Serum liver function indices and levels of hepatic inflammation and oxidative stress were detected in mice.An in vitro cellular model of hepatic inflam-mation and oxidative stress was established by treating mouse primary hepatocytes(MPHs)with TNF-α(5μg·L-1),cell proliferation inhibition was detected by CCK-8,and inflammation and oxidative stress-relat-ed indices were detected by protein blotting.The in-trinsic mechanisms by which Res attenuated hepatic in-flammation and oxidative stress in rheumatoid arthritis were explored by treating MPHs with Nrf2 inhibitor and Keap1 overexpression plasmid.Results Res signifi-cantly reduced the levels of inflammation and oxidative stress in hepatic tissues of collagen-induced arthritis mice as well as TNF-α-treated MPHs,and activated the Nrf2/Keap1 signaling pathway.Inflammation and oxidative stress levels in MPHs were exacerbated by the use of Nrf2 inhibitors and Keap1 overexpression,which promoted apoptosis.Conclusion Res attenuates he-patic inflammation and oxidative stress in rheumatoid arthritis via the Nrf2/Keap1 pathway.
4.Resveratrol attenuates hepatic inflammation and oxidative stress in rheumatoid arthritis via Nrf2/Keap1 pathway
Xue-fei FAN ; Jian ZHOU ; Su-huan CHEN ; Meng-yan ZHANG ; Hao-miao LIU ; Rui SU ; Guang-yi CHEN ; Yu-bao SHAO ; Tao YAO ; Xiao-yu CHEN
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(5):861-867
Aim To explore the therapeutic effects of resveratrol(Res)on hepatic inflammation and oxida-tive stress in rheumatoid arthritis(RA),and to eluci-date the relationship of the regulatory mechanism of the Nrf2/Keap1 signaling pathway in it.Methods A mouse model of arthritis was induced using chicken type Ⅱ collagen in combination with complete Freund's adjuvant,and Res was administered by tube feeding for treatment.Serum liver function indices and levels of hepatic inflammation and oxidative stress were detected in mice.An in vitro cellular model of hepatic inflam-mation and oxidative stress was established by treating mouse primary hepatocytes(MPHs)with TNF-α(5μg·L-1),cell proliferation inhibition was detected by CCK-8,and inflammation and oxidative stress-relat-ed indices were detected by protein blotting.The in-trinsic mechanisms by which Res attenuated hepatic in-flammation and oxidative stress in rheumatoid arthritis were explored by treating MPHs with Nrf2 inhibitor and Keap1 overexpression plasmid.Results Res signifi-cantly reduced the levels of inflammation and oxidative stress in hepatic tissues of collagen-induced arthritis mice as well as TNF-α-treated MPHs,and activated the Nrf2/Keap1 signaling pathway.Inflammation and oxidative stress levels in MPHs were exacerbated by the use of Nrf2 inhibitors and Keap1 overexpression,which promoted apoptosis.Conclusion Res attenuates he-patic inflammation and oxidative stress in rheumatoid arthritis via the Nrf2/Keap1 pathway.
5.Study of modified anteromedial approach and preserves the superior extensor retinaculum for clinical effect of Pilon fracture
Youqiang ZHANG ; Ling YAN ; Wei LIAO ; Guang WANG ; Xiaoheng CHEN ; Rui FAN ; Zuwei LIU
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(3):358-364
Objective To explore the clinical efficacy of modified anteromedia approach with superior extensor retinaculars and traditional anteromedia combined with posterolateral approach in the treatment of Rüedi-Allg?wer type Ⅲ Pilon fractures.Methods In this study selected 56 patients with Rüedi-Allg?wer type Ⅲ Pilon fractures treated in our hospital from January 2020 to January 2022,all of whom met the inclusion and exclusion criteria,27 in the experimental group and 29 in the control group.Both groups underwent open reduction and internal fixation of Pilon fractures.The experimental group used a modified anteromedial approach to preserve the supraspinatus,while the control group used a traditional anteromedial combined with posterolateral approach to cut off the supraspinatus.The general clinical data,operation time,intraoperative blood loss,postoperative drainage volume,fracture reduction quality,early pain VAS score,complications and ankle function evaluation of the experimental group and the control group were compared in detail,and the early clinical efficacy of the two surgical methods was analyzed and compared.Results There were no significant differences in age,gender,body mass index(BMI),complications,injury mechanism and the time from admission to operation between the experimental group and the control group(P>0.05).Experimental group:operation time(115.92±12.23)min,intraoperative blood loss(129.25±16.15)mL,postoperative drainage volume(82.44±25.57)mL,fracture healing time(17.89±2.39)w;Control group:operation time(172.75±15.09)min,intraoperative blood loss(177.24±14.36)mL,postoperative drainage volume(115.06±21.95)mL,fracture healing time(19.93±3.75)w.The operative time and fracture healing time of the experimental group were less than those of the control group(P<0.05),and the intraoperative blood loss and postoperative drainage volume of the experimental group were less than those of the control group,the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).The Buewell-Charnley fracture reduction radio-logical evaluation criteria were used to evaluate the fracture reduction,and the rate of good reduction was 96.29%in the experimental group and 93.10%in the control group.There was no statistical significance in the anatomical reduction between the two groups(P>0.05).Visual analog scale(VAS)was used to evaluate postoperative pain,and pain VAS scores of the experimental group were lower than those of the control group at 3 days,1 week and 4 weeks after surgery(P<0.05).Both groups were followed up for at least 12 months after surgery,and the incidence of postoperative complications in the experimental group was lower than that in the control group(P<0.05).The AOFAS score of the experimental group was higher than that of the control group at 3 months,6 months and 12 months after surgery(P<0.05).Conclusion Improvement on the medial approach retains the superior extensor retinaculum,relative to the combined surgical approach to cut off the superior extensor retinacu-lum treatment Rüedi-Allg?wer Ⅲ Pilon fractures,with shorter operation time,less intraoperative blood loss,less postoperative complications and other advantages.The functional recovery of the ankle joint in the modified antero-medial approach preserving the superior extensor retinaculum was better than that in the combined approach cutting the superior extensor retinaculum.
6.Mechanism of ultrafine garlic powder in improving mouse atherosclerosis and dyslipidemia
Ning-ning SHAO ; Jian-ming YANG ; Yao-guang WANG ; Tao ZHANG ; Xiao-ming ZHAO ; Jin-rui DONG
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(7):1376-1381
Aim To investigate the mechanism of ultra-fine garlic powder(UGP)in ameliorating dyslipidemia and aortic inflammation and fibrosis in atherosclerotic(AS)mice.Methods A 10-week ApoE-/-mouse AS model was constructed,cardiac index was meas-ured,and aortic histopathological changes were ob-served by oil red O staining.Serum inflammatory factor levels were detected by ELISA,and the expression of JNK,NF-κB,ERK and their phosphorylated proteins were detected by Western blot.Results Cardiac in-dex and other indicators as well as aortic lesions were worsened in the AS group,as compared with the normal control group.Compared with the AS group,the UGP treatment group and the traditional garlic grinding pow-der(TGP)treatment group significantly decreased total cholesterol(TC),triglyceride(TG),low-density lipo-protein cholesterol(LDL-C),atherosclerosis index(AI1,AI2),and coronary cardiac index and restored high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C)levels,and the area of aortic lesions,inflammation and fibrosis were significantly improved,and at the same time,sig-nificantly inhibited the expression of TNF-α,IL-1β,and IL-6,as well as the expression of p-JNK,p-NF-κB and p-ERK proteins.The therapeutic effect of the UGP group was superior to that of the TGP group.Conclu-sion UGP can significantly inhibit the formation of aortic endothelial AS plaques,reduce the levels of in-flammation and fibrosis,and regulate blood lipids in a-orta of AS mice.
7.YOLOX-SwinT algorithm improves the accuracy of AO/OTA classification of intertrochanteric fractures by orthopedic trauma surgeons.
Xue-Si LIU ; Rui NIE ; Ao-Wen DUAN ; Li YANG ; Xiang LI ; Le-Tian ZHANG ; Guang-Kuo GUO ; Qing-Shan GUO ; Dong-Chu ZHAO ; Yang LI ; He-Hua ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(1):69-75
PURPOSE:
Intertrochanteric fracture (ITF) classification is crucial for surgical decision-making. However, orthopedic trauma surgeons have shown lower accuracy in ITF classification than expected. The objective of this study was to utilize an artificial intelligence (AI) method to improve the accuracy of ITF classification.
METHODS:
We trained a network called YOLOX-SwinT, which is based on the You Only Look Once X (YOLOX) object detection network with Swin Transformer (SwinT) as the backbone architecture, using 762 radiographic ITF examinations as the training set. Subsequently, we recruited 5 senior orthopedic trauma surgeons (SOTS) and 5 junior orthopedic trauma surgeons (JOTS) to classify the 85 original images in the test set, as well as the images with the prediction results of the network model in sequence. Statistical analysis was performed using the SPSS 20.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) to compare the differences among the SOTS, JOTS, SOTS + AI, JOTS + AI, SOTS + JOTS, and SOTS + JOTS + AI groups. All images were classified according to the AO/OTA 2018 classification system by 2 experienced trauma surgeons and verified by another expert in this field. Based on the actual clinical needs, after discussion, we integrated 8 subgroups into 5 new subgroups, and the dataset was divided into training, validation, and test sets by the ratio of 8:1:1.
RESULTS:
The mean average precision at the intersection over union (IoU) of 0.5 (mAP50) for subgroup detection reached 90.29%. The classification accuracy values of SOTS, JOTS, SOTS + AI, and JOTS + AI groups were 56.24% ± 4.02%, 35.29% ± 18.07%, 79.53% ± 7.14%, and 71.53% ± 5.22%, respectively. The paired t-test results showed that the difference between the SOTS and SOTS + AI groups was statistically significant, as well as the difference between the JOTS and JOTS + AI groups, and the SOTS + JOTS and SOTS + JOTS + AI groups. Moreover, the difference between the SOTS + JOTS and SOTS + JOTS + AI groups in each subgroup was statistically significant, with all p < 0.05. The independent samples t-test results showed that the difference between the SOTS and JOTS groups was statistically significant, while the difference between the SOTS + AI and JOTS + AI groups was not statistically significant. With the assistance of AI, the subgroup classification accuracy of both SOTS and JOTS was significantly improved, and JOTS achieved the same level as SOTS.
CONCLUSION
In conclusion, the YOLOX-SwinT network algorithm enhances the accuracy of AO/OTA subgroups classification of ITF by orthopedic trauma surgeons.
Humans
;
Hip Fractures/diagnostic imaging*
;
Orthopedic Surgeons
;
Algorithms
;
Artificial Intelligence
8.Dislocations deteriorate postoperative functional outcomes in supination-external rotation ankle fractures.
Sheng-Ye HU ; Mu-Min CAO ; Yuan-Wei ZHANG ; Liu SHI ; Guang-Chun DAI ; Ya-Kuan ZHAO ; Tian XIE ; Hui CHEN ; Yun-Feng RUI
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(2):124-129
PURPOSE:
To assess the relationship between dislocation and functional outcomes in supination-external rotation (SER) ankle fractures.
METHODS:
A retrospective case series study was performed on patients with ankle fractures treated surgically at a large trauma center from January 2015 to December 2021. The inclusion criteria were young and middle-aged patients of 18 - 65 years with SER ankle fractures that can be classified by Lauge-Hansen classification and underwent surgery at our trauma center. Exclusion criteria were serious life-threatening diseases, open fractures, fractures delayed for more than 3 weeks, fracture sites ≥ 2, etc. Then patients were divided into dislocation and no-dislocation groups. Patient demographics, injury characteristics, surgery-related outcomes, and postoperative functional outcomes were collected and analyzed. The functional outcomes of SER ankle fractures were assessed postoperatively at 1-year face-to-face follow-up using the foot and ankle outcome score (FAOS) and American Orthopedic Foot and Ankle Society ankle hindfoot score and by 2 experienced orthopedic physicians. Relevant data were analyzed using SPSS version 22.0 by Chi-square or t-test.
RESULTS:
During the study period, there were 371 ankle fractures. Among them, 190 (51.2%) were SER patterns with 69 (36.3%) combined with dislocations. Compared with the no-dislocation group, the dislocation group showed no statistically significant differences in gender, age composition, fracture type, diabetes, or smoking history, preoperative waiting time, operation time, and length of hospital stay (all p > 0.05), but a significantly higher Lauge-Hansen injury grade (p < 0.001) and syndesmotic screw fixation rate (p = 0.033). Moreover, the functional recovery was poorer, revealing a significantly lower FAOS in the sport/rec scale (p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that among SER IV ankle fracture patients, FAOS was much lower in pain (p = 0.042) and sport/rec scales (p < 0.001) for those with dislocations. American Orthopedic Foot and Ankle Society ankle hindfoot score revealed no significant difference between dislocation and no-dislocation patients.
CONCLUSION
Dislocation in SER ankle fractures suggests more severe injury and negatively affects functional recovery, mainly manifested as more pain and poorer motor function, especially in SER IV ankle cases.
Humans
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Ankle Fractures/physiopathology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Supination
;
Aged
;
Young Adult
;
Rotation
;
Joint Dislocations/surgery*
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Fracture Fixation, Internal/methods*
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Adolescent
;
Recovery of Function
;
Treatment Outcome
9.Early prediction and warning of MODS following major trauma via identification of cytokine storm: A prospective cohort study.
Panpan CHANG ; Rui LI ; Jiahe WEN ; Guanjun LIU ; Feifei JIN ; Yongpei YU ; Yongzheng LI ; Guang ZHANG ; Tianbing WANG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):391-398
PURPOSE:
Early mortality in major trauma has decreased, but MODS remains a leading cause of poor outcomes, driven by trauma-induced cytokine storms that exacerbate injuries and organ damage.
METHODS:
This prospective cohort study included 79 major trauma patients (ISS >15) treated in the National Center for Trauma Medicine, Peking University People's Hospital, from September 1, 2021, to July 31, 2023. Patients (1) with ISS >15 (according to AIS 2015), (2) aged 15-80 years, (3) admitted within 6 h of injury, (4) having no prior treatment before admission, were included. Exclusion criteria were (1) GCS score <9 or AIS score ≥3 for TBI, (2) confirmed infection, infectious disease, or high infection risk, (3) pregnancy, (4) severe primary diseases affecting survival, (5) recent use of immunosuppressive or cytotoxic drugs within the past 6 months, (6) psychiatric patients, (7) participation in other clinical trials within the past 30 days, (8) patients with incomplete data or missing blood samples. Admission serum inflammatory cytokines and pathophysiological data were analyzed to develop machine learning models predicting MODS within 7 days. LR, DR, RF, SVM, NB, and XGBoost were evaluated based on the area under the AUROC. The SHAP method was used to interpret results.
RESULTS:
This study enrolled 79 patients with major trauma, and the median (Q1, Q3) age was 51 (35, 59) years (52 males, 65.8%). The inflammatory cytokine data were collected for all participants. Among these patients, 35 (44.3%) developed MODS, and 44 (55.7%) did not. Additionally, 2 patients (2.5%) from the MODS group succumbed. The logistic regression model showed strong performance in predicting MODS. Ten key cytokines, IL-18, Eotaxin, MCP-4, IP-10, CXCL12, MIP-3α, MCP-1, IL-1RA, Cystatin C, and MRP8/14 were identified as critical to the trauma-induced cytokine storm and MODS development. Early elevation of these cytokines achieved high predictive accuracy, with an AUROC of 0.887 (95% CI 0.813-0.976).
CONCLUSION
Trauma-induced cytokine storms are strongly associated with MODS. Early identification of inflammatory cytokine changes enables better prediction and timely interventions to improve outcomes.
Humans
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Prospective Studies
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Middle Aged
;
Male
;
Female
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Cytokine Release Syndrome/etiology*
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Adolescent
;
Young Adult
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Wounds and Injuries/complications*
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Cytokines/blood*
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Multiple Organ Failure/diagnosis*
;
Machine Learning
10.Establishment of a nomogram for early risk prediction of severe trauma in primary medical institutions: A multi-center study.
Wang BO ; Ming-Rui ZHANG ; Gui-Yan MA ; Zhan-Fu YANG ; Rui-Ning LU ; Xu-Sheng ZHANG ; Shao-Guang LIU
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):418-426
PURPOSE:
To analyze risk factors for severe trauma and establish a nomogram for early risk prediction, to improve the early identification of severe trauma.
METHODS:
This study was conducted on the patients treated in 81 trauma treatment institutions in Gansu province from 2020 to 2022. Patients were grouped by year, with 5364 patients from 2020 to 2021 as the training set and 1094 newly admitted patients in 2020 as the external validation set. Based on the injury severity score (ISS), patients in the training set were classified into 2 subgroups of the severe trauma group (n = 478, ISS scores ≥25) and the non-severe trauma group (n = 4886, ISS scores <25). Univariate and binary logistic regression analyses were employed to identify independent risk factors for severe trauma. Subsequently, a predictive model was developed using the R software environment. Furthermore, the model was subjected to internal and external validation via the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.
RESULTS:
In total, 6458 trauma patients were included in this study. Initially, this study identified several independent risk factors for severe trauma, including multiple traumatic injuries (polytrauma), external hemorrhage, elevated shock index, elevated respiratory rate, decreased peripheral oxygen saturation, and decreased Glasgow coma scale score (all p < 0.05). For internal validation, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.914, with the sensitivity and specificity of 88.4% and 87.6%, respectively; while for external validation, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.936, with the sensitivity and specificity of 84.6% and 93.7%, respectively. In addition, a good model fitting was observed through the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curve analysis (p > 0.05).
CONCLUSION
This study establishes a nomogram for early risk prediction of severe trauma, which is suitable for primary healthcare institutions in underdeveloped western China. It facilitates early triage and quantitative assessment of trauma severity by clinicians prior to clinical interventions.
Humans
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Nomograms
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Male
;
Female
;
Wounds and Injuries/diagnosis*
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Risk Factors
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Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Injury Severity Score
;
Risk Assessment
;
ROC Curve
;
Aged
;
Logistic Models
;
China
;
Glasgow Coma Scale

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