1.A cross-sectional study on the prevalence and risk factors of erectile dysfunction among young and middle-aged male patients with diabetes mellitus at a Tertiary Hospital in Manila.
Edmond R. DAVID ; Elaine C. CUNANAN ; Erick S. MENDOZA
Journal of Medicine University of Santo Tomas 2026;10(1):1827-1836
This study aims to determine the prevalence of erectile dysfunction (ED) and identify its associated risk factors among young and middle-aged Filipino male patients diagnosed with diabetes mellitus. This study utilized a cross-sectional design to investigate the prevalence and associated factors of ED among male patients with diabetes. A total of 423 participants were recruited from clinical settings using purposive sampling. Data were collected using structured interviews and medical records, including demographics, comorbidities and laboratory results. Among 423 male diabetic patients, 78% were found to have ED. Patients with ED were significantly older (median: 49.5 versus 42 years, p<0.001), had higher body mass index (BMI), longer diabetes duration and more comorbidities. Univariable logistic regression showed that age (OR: 1.06, p<0.001), diabetes duration (OR: 1.11, p<0.001), hypertension (OR: 1.62, p = 0.042), dyslipidemia (OR: 1.75, p = 0.022), elevated HbA1c (>9.0%; OR: 3.43, p = 0.034) and serum creatinine (OR: 1.01, p = 0.008) were significantly associated with ED. However, none remained significant in the multivariable model. Male Filipino patients with diabetes have a significant burden of ED. Results of the univariable models show that age, duration of diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, HbA1c and serum creatinine are significant individual predictors of ED.
Human ; Male ; Adolescent: 13-18 Yrs Old ; Young Adult: 19-24 Yrs Old ; Adult: 25-44 Yrs Old ; Middle Aged: 45-64 Yrs Old ; Aged: 65-79 Yrs Old ; Tertiary Care Centers ; Risk Factors ; Risk ; Medical Records ; Erectile Dysfunction ; Diabetes Mellitus ; Philippines
2.Risk factors of presence and severity of diabetic retinopathy in a Tertiary Hospital.
Gertrude Camille Crisostomo REYES ; Mark Henry JOVEN
Philippine Journal of Internal Medicine 2026;64(1):43-55
BACKGROUND
Diabetic retinopathy (DR) remains to be the leading cause of blindness worldwide. Traditionally, risk factors such as diabetes duration, HbA1c levels, hypertension and dyslipidemia have been closely linked to the development of this condition. However, recent research suggests that these factors account for only a portion of DR cases. Emerging studies highlight additional potential risk factors including diabetic nephropathy, insulin use, and body mass index -though data on these factors remain limited and at times contradictory. While there have been a few local studies exploring some of these variables, none have comprehensively examined how these factors collectively influence the occurrence and severity of diabetic retinopathy. This study aims to asses both the factors associated with presence and occurrence of diabetic retinopathy.
METHODOLOGYThis analytical cross-sectional study included patients with diabetes (n=201, aged 18 years and older) who underwent fundus photography at The Medical City Ortigas between January 1, 2022, and December 31, 2022. Data collection involved a thorough review of patient records, which provided demographic information and details on potential risk factors. The presence and severity of diabetic retinopathy (DR) were assessed based on fundus photography results, as interpreted by ophthalmologists. To evaluate the statistical significance of the association between risk factors and DR status, logistic regression analysis was done
RESULTSDuration of diabetes (odds ratio [OR] 1.07; 95% CI, 1.01-1.13 per year increase), HBA1c (OR 1.4; 95% CI, 1.1-1.86),
fasting blood sugar (OR 1.4; 95% CI, 0.977-0.998), hypercholesterolemia (OR 5.02; 95% CI 1.67-16.44) and presence of
nephropathy (OR 3.39; 95% CI 1.49-8) were correlated with diabetic retinopathy.
The presence of diabetic retinopathy was significantly associated with several clinical factors. Each additional year of diabetes mellitus duration was associated with a 1.07-fold increase in the likelihood of DR. Additionally, each 1% increase in HbA1c was linked to a 1.40-fold increase in DR risk. The presence of diabetic nephropathy and hypercholesterolemia were also strong predictors, associated with a 3.39-fold and 5-fold increase in the likelihood of DR, respectively. Glycemic control, dyslipidemia and nephropathy appear to be associated with more severe forms of diabetic retinopathy. Clinicians handling diabetes patients with this patient profile should be wary of this diabetes complication.
Human ; Male ; Female ; Adolescent: 13-18 Yrs Old ; Young Adult: 19-24 Yrs Old ; Adult: 25-44 Yrs Old ; Diabetic Retinopathy ; Hospitals ; Risk ; Risk Factors ; Tertiary Care Centers
3.Pattern of lymph node metastasis and p53 abnormal (p53abn) expression in preoperative early-stage endometrial cancer: A 5-year institutional experience.
Angeli Anne C. Ang ; Carolyn R. Zalameda-Castro ; Cecile C. Dungog ; Michele H. Diwa ; Karen Cybelle J. Sotalbo
Acta Medica Philippina 2026;60(8):98-106
BACKGROUND
Early-stage endometrial cancer often presents with favorable survival rates, but high-risk factors, including TP53 mutations and high-grade serous pathology, can lead to recurrence and poor prognosis. The standard primary treatment for endometrial cancer is surgical staging, and lymph node metastases significantly impact adjuvant therapy decisions. The subgroup of p53-abnormal (p53abn) indicates the worst prognosis and potential benefits from adjuvant chemotherapy. Molecular classification, while recommended, faces practical challenges due to resource constraints.
OBJECTIVESThe study aimed to assess the incidence of p53 abnormal expression in clinical stage 1 endometrial cancer cases that underwent surgery at a government tertiary hospital, and assess its relationship with clinicopathologic factors and pelvic and paraaortic lymph node metastasis (LNM).
METHODSA cross-sectional retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical early-stage endometrial cancer cases that underwent surgical primary treatment between January 2018 and December 2022. Patient records were reviewed to gather demographics, surgical information, and pathological evaluations. Preoperative clinical staging was determined through imaging, and surgical staging involved comprehensive lymphadenectomy. Immunohistochemistry studies for p53 were carried out on formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue samples.
RESULTSA total of 233 endometrial cancer cases were included. The mean age at diagnosis was 53.7 years. Common comorbidities included hypertension (47.2%) and dyslipidemia (20.6%). Most cases were endometrioid histology (82.8%) and low-grade tumors (85.8%). Tumor grade (p=0.010), myometrial invasion (p<0.001) and lymphovascular space invasion (p<0.001) significantly correlated with lymph node metastasis. However, tumor size and p53abn were not significantly associated with lymph node metastasis. p53abn overexpression was significantly associated with non-endometrioid histology at 33% and Grade 3 tumors at 23%. Preoperative grading demonstrated moderate reliability (0.51) with postoperative grading, with an agreement of 65.4%.
CONCLUSIONTumor grade, myometrial invasion, and LVSI were all significantly associated with lymph node involvement. While p53 immunohistochemical stains show promise in predicting metastasis and has been associated with tumor aggressiveness, this should still be correlated with clinicopathological parameters to carry out a more accurate risk stratification of early-stage patients.
Therapeutics ; Survival Rate ; Risk Factors ; Recurrence ; Prognosis ; Pathology ; Endometrial Neoplasms ; Immunohistochemistry ; Tumor Suppressor Protein P53 ; Lymph Node Excision ; Risk Assessment
4.Risk factors for multiple myeloma and its precursor diseases.
Wanyun MA ; Liang ZHAO ; Wen ZHOU
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(4):560-572
Multiple myeloma (MM) is a common hematologic malignancy that originates from precursor conditions such as monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) and smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM). Identifying its risk factors is crucial for early intervention. The etiology of MM is multifactorial, involving race, familial clustering, gender, age, obesity, cytogenetic abnormalities, and environmental exposures. Among these, cytogenetic abnormalities and modifiable factors play pivotal roles in MM pathogenesis and progression. 1) cytogenetic abnormalities. Primary abnormalities [e.g., hyperdiploidy, t(11;14), t(14;16)] emerge at the MGUS stage, while secondary abnormalities [e.g., 1q+, del(17p)] drive disease progression. The accumulation of 1q+ promotes clonal evolution, and del(17p) is associated with significantly reduced survival. 2) modifiable risk factors. Obesity promotes MM via the acetyl-CoA synthetase 2 (ACSS2)-interferon regulatory factor 4 (IRF4) pathway. Vitamin D deficiency weakens immune surveillance. Exposure to herbicides such as Agent Orange and glyphosate increases MGUS incidence. Insufficient UV exposure, by reducing vitamin D synthesis, elevates MM risk. Gut microbiota dysbiosis (enrichment of nitrogen-cycle bacteria and depletion of short-chain fatty acids producers) induces chromosomal instability through the ammonium ion-solute carrier family 12 member 22 (SLC12A2)-NEK2 axis. Therefore, risk-based screening among high-risk populations (e.g., those who are obese, elderly, or chemically exposed), along with early interventions targeting cytogenetic abnormalities [e.g., B cell lymphoma 2 (Bcl-2) inhibitors for t(11;14), ferroptosis inducers for t(4;14)] and modifiable factors (e.g., vitamin D supplementation, gut microbiota modulation), may effectively delay disease progression and improve prognosis.
Humans
;
Multiple Myeloma/epidemiology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Obesity/complications*
;
Chromosome Aberrations
;
Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance/etiology*
;
Gastrointestinal Microbiome
;
Vitamin D Deficiency/complications*
;
Precancerous Conditions/genetics*
5.Analysis and projection of the disease burden of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China based on the GBD database.
Yexun SONG ; Xiajing LIU ; Yongquan ZHANG ; Heqing LI
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(4):675-683
OBJECTIVES:
Nasopharyngeal carcinoma is often diagnosed at a late stage due to its concealed location and exhibits marked regional clustering, posing a significant public health challenge in China. This study aims to analyze the disease burden of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China using the latest 2021 Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) database, providing epidemiological evidence for precise prevention and control of nasopharyngeal carcinoma.
METHODS:
Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), mortality rate, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rate were used as indicators of disease burden. Stratified analyses were conducted by age, sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and relevant risk factors. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model were employed to project ASIR trends through 2050.
RESULTS:
In 2021, China's age-standardized incidence, mortality, and DALY rates of nasopharyngeal carcinoma were 3.4/100 000, 1.5/100 000, and 48.7/100 000, respectively, all higher than the global average. Across all age groups, Chinese males exhibited higher ASIR, mortality, and DALY rates than females. From 1990 to 2021, the disease burden of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China decreased gradually with rising SDI. The proportion of nasopharyngeal carcinoma burden attributed to alcohol consumption, smoking, and occupational formaldehyde exposure in China exceeded global levels, especially among males. Projections from both models indicate a rising trend in ASIR for males, females, and the general population in China and globally from 2022 to 2050.
CONCLUSIONS
Over the past 30 years, the disease burden of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China has decreased with the increasing SDI values but remains higher than the global average. Furthermore, ASIR is projected to increase over the next 30 years. It is imperative for China to enhance healthcare resource allocation for nasopharyngeal carcinoma prevention, diagnosis, and treatment, particularly among high-risk male populations.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma/mortality*
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Adult
;
Incidence
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Adolescent
;
Databases, Factual
;
Young Adult
;
Cost of Illness
;
Child
;
Bayes Theorem
6.Distribution characteristics and influencing factors of overweight and obesity among urban and rural primary and secondary school students in Hunan Province.
Lixi QIN ; Miyang LUO ; Kexin LI ; Yang ZHOU ; Yanhua CHEN ; Yaqing TAN ; Fei WANG
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(4):684-693
OBJECTIVES:
The prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents continues to rise, becoming one of the most serious global public health issues of the 21st century. Given the differing growth and development environments between urban and rural children, associated risk factors also vary. This study aims to explore the distribution characteristics and influencing factors of overweight and obesity among urban and rural primary and secondary school students in Hunan Province, providing scientific evidence for targeted interventions.
METHODS:
A stratified, randomized cluster sampling method was used to select participants. A total of 197 084 students from primary and secondary schools across 14 prefectures in Hunan Province underwent physical examinations and questionnaire surveys. Population and spatial distribution characteristics of overweight and obesity were analyzed. Spatial distribution maps and spatial autocorrelation analyses were conducted using ArcGIS. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to identify influencing factors for overweight and obesity.
RESULTS:
The overall overweight and obesity rates among students in Hunan Province were 14.7% and 10.9%, respectively. Both rates were higher in urban areas than in rural counties (16.0% vs 13.9% for overweight; 12.1% vs 10.2% for obesity). Among both urban and rural students, boys had higher rates of overweight and obesity than girls. Higher-grade students had a higher overweight rate but a lower obesity rate than lower-grade students. In urban areas, the overweight and obesity rates of Han Chinese primary and secondary school students are lower than those of ethnic minority students (both P<0.05). In rural areas, the obesity rate of Han primary and secondary school students is lower than that of ethnic students (P<0.05). Across cities and prefectures, urban overweight and obesity rates ranged from 14.7% to 18.7% and 8.4% to 20.6% respectively, while rural rates ranged from 10.9% to 17.2% and 6.6% to 13.7% respectively. Spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed high-value clusters of overweight/obesity in urban areas of Changde and Zhangjiajie, and in rural areas of Loudi, Huaihua, and Shaoyang. Multivariate Logistic regression showed that gender, school stage, ethnicity, frequency of fresh vegetable intake, and sleep duration were associated with overweight and/or obesity in both urban and rural students. In urban students, frequency of fried food and fresh fruit intake, breakfast habits, physical activity on weekdays and holidays, and screen time on computers were also significant. In rural students, TV viewing time and sedentary duration were additional relevant factors.
CONCLUSIONS
The situation of overweight and obesity among primary and secondary school students in Hunan Province remains concerning. Greater attention should be paid to regions with high-value clusters of overweight/obesity, and targeted interventions should be developed based on urban-rural differences in influencing factors.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Adolescent
;
Male
;
Female
;
Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
;
Child
;
Overweight/epidemiology*
;
Students/statistics & numerical data*
;
Urban Population/statistics & numerical data*
;
Risk Factors
;
Prevalence
;
Obesity/epidemiology*
;
Surveys and Questionnaires
;
Pediatric Obesity/epidemiology*
;
Schools
7.Mendelian randomization studies on cardiometabolic factors and intracranial aneurysms: A systematic literature analysis.
Yuge WANG ; Junyu LIU ; Fang CAO ; Yuxin GUO ; Junxia YAN
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(5):757-765
OBJECTIVES:
Intracranial aneurysm (IA) has an insidious onset, and once ruptured, it carries high rates of mortality and disability. Cardiometabolic factors may be associated with the formation and rupture of IA. This study aims to summarize the application of Mendelian randomization (MR) methods in research on cardiometabolic factors and IA, providing insights for further elucidation of IA etiology and pathogenesis.
METHODS:
Literature about MR-based IA studies published up to February 21, 2024, was retrieved from PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, CNKI, and Wanfang. Two researchers independently performed literature screening, data extraction, and quality assessment. A narrative synthesis approach was used to conduct a qualitative systematic review of the included studies.
RESULTS:
A total of 11 MR-based studies on IA published between 2017 to 2024 were included, of which 4 were rated as high quality. These studies investigated the associations between blood pressure, blood lipids, blood glucose, obesity-related indicators, and inflammatory cytokines with IA and its subtypes, though issues of duplication were noted. Four MR studies based on the same European population but using different instrumental variable selection criteria, as well as another MR study in a different European cohort, consistently identified blood pressure as a risk factor for IA and its subtypes. Findings for blood lipids, blood glucose, obesity-related indicators, and inflammatory cytokines were inconsistent across MR studies.
CONCLUSIONS
Blood pressure appears to increase the risk of IA and its subtypes. Associations between other cardiometabolic factors and IA/subtypes require further in-depth investigation. Given the inherent limitations of MR studies, causal inferences should be made cautiously in combination with other lines of evidence.
Humans
;
Mendelian Randomization Analysis
;
Intracranial Aneurysm/etiology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Blood Pressure
;
Blood Glucose
;
Obesity/complications*
;
Cardiometabolic Risk Factors
;
Lipids/blood*
8.Association between remnant cholesterol and atherosclerosis plaques in single and multiple vascular territories.
Xuelian LIU ; Kui CHEN ; Yaqin WANG ; Jiangang WANG ; Changfa WANG
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(5):766-776
OBJECTIVES:
In recent years, the role of remnant cholesterol (RC) in the development and progression of cardiovascular diseases has gained increasing attention. However, evidence on the association between RC and subclinical atherosclerosis is limited. This study aims to examine the relationship between RC and atherosclerotic plaques in single and multiple vascular territories.
METHODS:
This retrospective cross-sectional study used baseline data from participants enrolled between October 2022 and May 2024 in the National Key Research Program "Study on the Prevention and Control System of Risk Factors for Panvascular Diseases". Color Doppler ultrasonography was performed to detect plaques in 4 vascular territories: Bilateral carotid arteries, bilateral subclavian arteries, abdominal aorta, and iliac-femoral arteries. RC was calculated as total cholesterol minus the sum of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). Participants were categorized into quartiles (Q1-Q4) according to RC levels. The proportions of participants with ≥2 plaques in a single vascular territory and with plaques in ≥2 vascular territories were compared across RC quartiles. Multivariate ordinal Logistic regression was used to assess the association between RC and the number of plaques in a single vascular territory, as well as the risk of multiple vascular territory involvement. Additionally, the effects of LDL-C/RC concordance on plaque distribution were analyzed.
RESULTS:
A total of 3 539 participants were included, of whom 2 169 (61.29%) were male, with a age of (51.94±9.22) years. From Q1 to Q4, the proportion of participants with ≥2 plaques in a single vascular territory (bilateral carotid, subclavian, abdominal aorta, and iliac-femoral arteries), as well as those with plaques in ≥2 vascular territories, increased progressively. Compared with Q1, both Q3 and Q4 were significantly associated with higher plaque numbers in a single vascular territory (both P<0.05). When treated as a continuous variable, higher RC levels were associated with an increased risk of greater plaque numbers within a single vascular territory (all P<0.05). RC levels were also significantly associated with multiple vascular territory involvement: Compared with Q1, Q4 had a 1.015-fold higher risk [odds ratio (OR)=2.015, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.669 to 2.433], and each 1 mmol/L increase in RC corresponded to a 0.160-fold increased risk (OR=1.160, 95% CI 1.073 to 1.271). In LDL-C/RC coordination analysis, compared with the low LDL-C/low RC group, the low LDL-C/high RC group was significantly associated with multiple vascular territory involvement (OR=1.576, 95% CI 1.220 to 2.036).
CONCLUSIONS
Elevated RC levels are closely associated with atherosclerotic plaques in both single and multiple vascular territories, even among individuals with normal LDL-C, suggesting that RC should be considered in clinical risk assessment and management of atherosclerosis.
Humans
;
Plaque, Atherosclerotic/diagnostic imaging*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Cross-Sectional Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Cholesterol/blood*
;
Cholesterol, LDL/blood*
;
Aged
;
Cholesterol, HDL/blood*
;
Risk Factors
;
Atherosclerosis
;
Ultrasonography, Doppler, Color
;
Femoral Artery/diagnostic imaging*
9.Nomogram prediction model for factors associated with vascular plaques in a physical examination population.
Xiaoling ZHU ; Lei YAN ; Li TANG ; Jiangang WANG ; Yazhang GUO ; Pingting YANG
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(7):1167-1178
OBJECTIVES:
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) poses a major threat to global health. Evaluating atherosclerosis in asymptomatic individuals can help identify those at high risk of CVD. This study aims to establish an individualized nomogram prediction model to estimate the risk of vascular plaque formation in asymptomatic individuals.
METHODS:
A total of 5 655 participants who underwent CVD screening at the Health Management Center of The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, between January 2022 and June 2024 we retrospectively enrolled. Using simple random sampling, participants were divided into a training set (n=4 524) and a validation set (n=1 131) in an 8꞉2 ratio. Demographic and clinical data were collected and compared between groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent factors associated with vascular plaques and to construct a nomogram prediction model. The predictive performance and clinical utility of the model were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA).
RESULTS:
The mean age of participants was 52 years old. There were 3 400 males (60.12%). The overall detection rate of vascular plaque in the screening population was 49.87% (2 820/5 655). No statistically significant differences were observed in clinical indicators between the training and validation sets (all P>0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis identified age, systolic blood pressure, high-density lipoprotein (HDL), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), lipoprotein(a), male sex, smoking history, hypertension history, and diabetes history as independent risk factors for vascular plaque in asymptomatic individuals (all P<0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram model for predicting vascular plaque risk were 0.778 (95% CI 0.765 to 0.791, P<0.001) in the training set and 0.760 (95% CI 0.732 to 0.787, P<0.001) in the validation set. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test indicated good model calibration (training set: P=0.628; validation set: P=0.561). The calibration curve plotted using the Bootstrap method demonstrated good agreement between predicted probabilities and actual probabilities. DCA showed that the nomogram provided a clinical net benefit for predicting vascular plaque risk when the threshold probability ranged from 0.02 to 0.99.
CONCLUSIONS
The nomogram prediction model for vascular plaque risk, constructed using readily available and cost-effective physical examination indicators, exhibited good predictive performance. This model can assist in the early identification and intervention of asymptomatic individuals at high risk for cardiovascular disease.
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Female
;
Nomograms
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
Plaque, Atherosclerotic/diagnosis*
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Physical Examination
;
Logistic Models
;
Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology*
;
ROC Curve
10.Mediating role of insulin resistance in the relationship between hypertension and NAFLD and construction of its risk prediction model.
Yaxuan HE ; Honghui HE ; Yu CAO ; Fang WANG
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(7):1188-1201
OBJECTIVES:
Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and hypertension are common metabolic disorders, both closely associated with insulin resistance (IR), suggesting potential shared pathological mechanisms. This study aims to investigate the mediating role of IR in the relationship between hypertension and NAFLD, and to evaluate the applicability and modeling value of various IR surrogate indices in predicting NAFLD risk.
METHODS:
A total of 280 976 individuals who underwent health examinations at the Health Management Center of the Third Xiangya Hospital of Central South University between August 2017 and December 2021 were included. NAFLD was diagnosed based on abdominal ultrasound findings, and hypertension was defined according to the criteria of the Chinese Guidelines for the Management of Hypertension. Demographic information, anthropometric indices, and biochemical parameters were collected, and multiple IR surrogate indices were constructed, including the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG) and its derivatives, as well as the metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR). Group comparisons were performed between hypertensive and non-hypertensive participants, as well as between NAFLD and non-NAFLD participants. Pearson correlation analysis was applied to assess the associations of metabolic parameters and IR indices with NAFLD. Furthermore, mediation models were constructed to explore the mediating role of IR in the "hypertension-NAFLD" relationship. Finally, parametric models and machine learning algorithms were compared to evaluate their predictive performance and value in assessing NAFLD risk in this population.
RESULTS:
The prevalence of NAFLD was significantly higher in hypertensive individuals than in non-hypertensive participants (63.61% vs 33.79%, P<0.001), accompanied by elevated IR levels and adverse metabolic features. Correlation analysis and variable importance rankings across multiple models consistently identified TyG-waist circumference (TyG-WC) and METS-IR as the IR indices most strongly associated with NAFLD. In mediation analysis, the TyG-WC pathway explained 32.03% of the total effect, and the METS-IR pathway explained 17.02%. Interaction analysis showed that hypertension status may attenuate the mediating effect of IR (all interaction estimates were negative). In prediction model comparisons, the simplified model incorporating sex, age, WC, TyG-WC, and METS-IR demonstrated good performance in the test set. Logistic regression and its regularized form (LASSO regression) achieved an accuracy of 0.83, receiver operating characteristic (ROC)-area under the curve (AUC) of 0.91, and a Brier score of 0.12, comparable to ensemble models (random forest and XGBoost), with consistently stable performance across different algorithms.
CONCLUSIONS
IR plays a significant mediating role in the association between hypertension and NAFLD, with TyG-WC identified as a key indicator showing strong mechanistic relevance and predictive value. Risk prediction models based on IR surrogate indices demonstrate advantages in simplicity and interpretability, providing empirical support for the early screening and individualized prevention of NAFLD in the general population.
Humans
;
Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/complications*
;
Insulin Resistance
;
Hypertension/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Adult
;
Machine Learning
;
Triglycerides/blood*


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