1.Effect of Microorganisms on The Spoilage of Donkey Hides From Different Regions
Meng ZHANG ; Qiu-Mei LI ; Jia-Wei KANG ; Jie YU ; Xia LI ; Yue YU
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(3):754-766
ObjectiveDonkey hide is the sole legally designated raw material for the preparation of the traditional Chinese medicine Ejiao. The quality stability of donkey hide during preservation directly determines the efficacy and safety of Ejiao. This study focuses on the dynamic succession of microbial communities during the preservation of donkey hides from different origins, aiming to clarify the correlation between microbial biodiversity difference and the degradation profiles of hide collagen and critical biochemical components, thereby providing a theoretical foundation for developing targeted preservation strategies based on microbial regulation. MethodsDonkey hides originating from four different regions were subjected to an accelerated microbial aging assay to simulate the spoilage process. The microbial community succession was analyzed using high-throughput sequencing. Microstructure changes and pore structure characteristics were assessed by scanning electron microscopy and mercury intrusion porosimetry, respectively. Additionally, the content of major components, including lipids, proteins, and sugars were determined by biochemical methods. ResultsAfter 96 h of aging, the collagen fiber structure in Africa donkey hides (ADH) exhibited significant degradation and collapse, followed by Xinjiang donkey hides (XDH). Instead, the microstructure of Dong’e black donkey hides (DDH) and Peru donkey hides (PDH) remained relatively intact. The porosities of DDH, XDH, PDH, and ADH increased from 27.9%, 15.7%, 30.3%, and 46.2% to 36.5%, 52.6%, 42.8%, and 57.7%, respectively, during the aging process, which suggested that the originally compact fiber structure was disrupted by microbial aging. Fourier transform infrared spectrometer analysis revealed the amide bands in XDH exhibited relatively weak intensity, and no collagen amide I band was observed in ADH. Meanwhile, the lipid and protein contents decreased in all four types of donkey hides, indicating that these components served as the primary nutrient sources for the growth of microorganism. Notably, the most severe collagen degradation was observed in XDH and ADH. A substantial increase was detected in the total soluble sugar in PDH aging solution and hydroxyproline in the ADH aging solution, respectively. These results indicated that donkey hides exhibit distinct patterns of structural degradation and nutrient utilization. Furthermore, the viable cells number of donkey hides increased sharply after 48 h of aging. Metagenomic analysis revealed that the relative abundance of Euryarchaeota in ADH, PDH and XDH declining from initial 93.19%, 97.73% and 30.08% to 0.79%, 1.43% and 0.02% after 96 h, respectively. Conversely, a significantly increase was observed in the abundance of Bacillota, with a marked increase in ADH, peaking at 92.75%. Additionally, the abundance of Pseudomonadota in PDH increased from 0.10% to 87.84%, suggesting that Bacillota and Pseudomonadota may be key factors exacerbating donkey hide spoilage. Unlike the other three types of donkey hides, the dominant bacterial phylum in DDH shifted from Pseudomonadota to Bacteroidota, characterized by a substantial abundance increase of Bacteroidota from 0.13% to 44.22%. ConclusionRegional variation in origin significantly influence the microbial aging of donkey hides, leading to distinct patterns of structural deterioration and differential nutrient utilization. Therefore, implementing origin-specific preservation strategies, through the precisely controlling environmental factors to suppress harmful phyla such as Bacillota and Pseudomonadota, is crucial for enhancing the storage quality of donkey hides.
2.Identification and infection rate of densovirus in Culex pipiens pallens in Beijing in 2023
Xiu-yan XU ; Ting YAN ; Si-jie ZHU ; Jing LI ; Mei-de LIU ; Hong-jiang ZHANG ; Ting LIU ; Qiu-hong LI ; Xiao-jie ZHOU ; Ying TONG ; Yong ZHANG
Acta Parasitologica et Medica Entomologica Sinica 2026;33(1):25-30
Objective This study conducted molecular biological identification of the viruses carried by Culex pipiens pallens specimens collected in Shunyi District, Beijing in 2023, and observed the changes in the infection rate of the viruses carried by Cx. pipiens pallens at different collection times. Methods Cx. pipiens pallens were collected using carbon dioxide mosquito traps. The mosquito samples were ground in batches and analyzed by molecular biology technologies. The virus infection rate at different collection times was analyzed statistically. Results 17 strains of Culex pipiens pallens densovirus(CppDNV)were identified from Cx. pipiens pallens samples collected in Shunyi District, Beijing, in 2023. The nucleotide sequence analysis of the virus genome coding region showed that CppDNV was a single-stranded DNA virus with a total length of 3 335 nt, encoding 2 non-structural proteins(NS1, NS2)and 1 capsid protein(VP). The nucleotide(amino acid)sequence lengths of the three proteins were 2 376 nt(791 aa),1 092 nt(363 aa)and 1 071 nt(356 aa), respectively. Phylogenetic analysis showed that CppDNV was located in genus Brevihamaparvovirus. Statistical analysis showed no significant difference in infection rates across collection times(χ2=4.429, P=0.194). Conclusions CppDNV was identified in Cx. pipiens pallens in Beijing, and it was stably maintained in this natural population.
3.Protective effects of Shuangyi Qushi Tongluo Capsules on dexamethasone-induced osteoporosis in mice
Yi LI ; Jian-bin HE ; Jia-xiu XIE ; Quan-mou LUO ; Dong-mei LI ; Jun-hui HE ; Dong-mei WEI ; Chao WEI ; Hong-cong QIU ; Gui-ning WEI ; Bo WANG
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(6):1834-1842
AIM To investigate the protective effects of Shuangyi Qushi Tongluo Capsules(Shuangyi Capsules)on Dexamethasone(Dex)induced osteoporosis in mice.METHODS The C57BL/6J mice were randomly divided into the control group,the model group,the Xianling Gubao Capsules group(1.5 g/kg),and the low-dose,moderate-dose,and high-dose Shuangyi Capsules groups(0.6,1.2,and 2.4 g/kg).The mouse model of osteoporosis was induced by 8-week intraperitoneal injection of Dex sodium phosphate injection(5 mg/kg).The mice had their femur osteogenesis observed with hematoxylin and eosin(HE)staining and tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase(TRAP)staining;their serum alkaline phosphatase(ALP)and osteocalcin(BGP)activities detected by ELISA;their femoral mRNA expressions of Col-Ⅰ,OCN,and OPN detected by RT-qPCR;and their femoral protein expressions of OPG and RANKL detected by Western blot.Upon the MC3T3-E1 cells exposed to Dex and Shuangyi Capsules,their viability was evaluated by CCK-8 assay;their mineralization determined by alkaline phosphatase staining and alizarin red staining(ARS);and their intracellular ROS level detected using DCFH-DA probe.RESULTS Compared with the model group,Shuangyi Capsules groups demonstrated improved fracture of femoral trabeculae and reduced number of osteoclasts;increased serum ALP and BGP activities(P<0.05,P<0.01);increased femoral expressions of Col-Ⅰ mRNA and OPG protein(P<0.05,P<0.01);and decreased RANKL protein expression(P<0.05).Compared with the MC3T3-E1 cells stimulated by Dex,those underwent further treatment of Shuangyi Capsules demonstrated increased cell viability and ALP activity(P<0.05,P<0.01);increased mineralization and calcium nodule formation;increased expressions of Col-Ⅰ,OCN,OPN mRNA and OPG protein(P<0.05,P<0.01);decreased RANKL protein expression(P<0.05,P<0.01);and reduced ROS levels.CONCLUSION Shuangyi Capsules ameliorate Dex-induced osteoporosis in mice by suppressing osteoclast overactivation,enhancing osteoblast activity,and stimulating bone formation through modulation of Col-Ⅰ,OCN,OPN mRNA and OPG/RANKL protein levels.
4.Cost-effectiveness and mortality risk impact on elderly health management of essential public health services:A case study in Henan Province
Zhi-ping GUO ; Rong-mei LIU ; Neng-guang DAI ; Yi LI ; Tong JIN ; Qiu-ping ZHAO ; Hao SHI ; Chun-rong BAO ; Yan-qing MIAO
Chinese Journal of Health Policy 2025;18(11):17-24
Objective:To evaluate the cost-effectiveness and impact on mortality of health management services for the elderly aged 65 years and older in national essential public health service project.Methods:Based on the data of county-level medical institutions in Henan Province from 2019 to 2024,the Random Forest Method was used to construct a counterfactual framework to predict the hospitalization expenses under the unmanaged scenario,and then the cost-benefit ratio(BCR)and net income were calculated.Time-dependent Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the effect of health management on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease mortality in the elderly.Results:A total of 962 955 elderly patients were included,451 119(46.85%)were included in the management group.The average hospitalization cost of the management group was significantly lower than that of the non-management group(P<0.05).Except for 2020-2021,BCRS in 2019 and 2022-2024 were 6.34,2.05,4.45 and 6.60,respectively.The risk of all-cause death was reduced by 76.96%,and the risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular death was reduced by 75.57%in the elderly patients included in the management group compared with those not included in the management group.Suggestions:It is necessary to establish a health outcomes-based evaluation system and promote the transformation and upgrading of the service model from single chronic disease management to"integrated health services with multi-disease management".
5.Protective effects of Shuangyi Qushi Tongluo Capsules on dexamethasone-induced osteoporosis in mice
Yi LI ; Jian-bin HE ; Jia-xiu XIE ; Quan-mou LUO ; Dong-mei LI ; Jun-hui HE ; Dong-mei WEI ; Chao WEI ; Hong-cong QIU ; Gui-ning WEI ; Bo WANG
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(6):1834-1842
AIM To investigate the protective effects of Shuangyi Qushi Tongluo Capsules(Shuangyi Capsules)on Dexamethasone(Dex)induced osteoporosis in mice.METHODS The C57BL/6J mice were randomly divided into the control group,the model group,the Xianling Gubao Capsules group(1.5 g/kg),and the low-dose,moderate-dose,and high-dose Shuangyi Capsules groups(0.6,1.2,and 2.4 g/kg).The mouse model of osteoporosis was induced by 8-week intraperitoneal injection of Dex sodium phosphate injection(5 mg/kg).The mice had their femur osteogenesis observed with hematoxylin and eosin(HE)staining and tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase(TRAP)staining;their serum alkaline phosphatase(ALP)and osteocalcin(BGP)activities detected by ELISA;their femoral mRNA expressions of Col-Ⅰ,OCN,and OPN detected by RT-qPCR;and their femoral protein expressions of OPG and RANKL detected by Western blot.Upon the MC3T3-E1 cells exposed to Dex and Shuangyi Capsules,their viability was evaluated by CCK-8 assay;their mineralization determined by alkaline phosphatase staining and alizarin red staining(ARS);and their intracellular ROS level detected using DCFH-DA probe.RESULTS Compared with the model group,Shuangyi Capsules groups demonstrated improved fracture of femoral trabeculae and reduced number of osteoclasts;increased serum ALP and BGP activities(P<0.05,P<0.01);increased femoral expressions of Col-Ⅰ mRNA and OPG protein(P<0.05,P<0.01);and decreased RANKL protein expression(P<0.05).Compared with the MC3T3-E1 cells stimulated by Dex,those underwent further treatment of Shuangyi Capsules demonstrated increased cell viability and ALP activity(P<0.05,P<0.01);increased mineralization and calcium nodule formation;increased expressions of Col-Ⅰ,OCN,OPN mRNA and OPG protein(P<0.05,P<0.01);decreased RANKL protein expression(P<0.05,P<0.01);and reduced ROS levels.CONCLUSION Shuangyi Capsules ameliorate Dex-induced osteoporosis in mice by suppressing osteoclast overactivation,enhancing osteoblast activity,and stimulating bone formation through modulation of Col-Ⅰ,OCN,OPN mRNA and OPG/RANKL protein levels.
6.Preliminary study of three disinfectants on the surface of avian embryo eggs without specific pathogen
Wenyue KOU ; Jie LI ; Luyao HAO ; Ge ZHANG ; Yan ZHANG ; Jiachun LI ; Xuejun HE ; Mei QIU ; Zhe JIAN ; Yi ZHANG
Drug Standards of China 2025;26(4):417-423
Objective:To screen out the disinfection procedure and disinfectant suitable for the actual production of specific pathogen free(SPF)chicken embryo eggs,so as to ensure the disinfection effect of specific pathogen free(SPF)chicken embryo eggs in vaccine production.Methods:This study compares the microbial counting methods of soaking,swabbing with cotton swabs and pouring after thin-film filtration for SPF chicken embryo eggs in a GMP production workshop,and selects the most suitable method for SPF chicken embryo egg microbial counting.Experi-mental groups A,B,and C use self-prepared concentrations of 1∶50 sporicidal agent dilution solution,1∶128 alka-line phenol salt dilution solution,and ready-to-use compound quaternary ammonium disinfectant(sterile),respec-tively,and follow the actual disinfection procedures in the workshop to disinfect and sample the surfaces of SPF chicken embryo eggs entering different cleanliness grades,while using sterile water instead of disinfectant as the control group.The average bactericidal rate is calculated by recording the number of colonies and monitoring the viability of chicken embryo cells using microbial culture,and the disinfection effect of the three disinfectants on SPF chicken embryo eggs is evaluated.Results:The comparison of the results from the three methods shows that the method of sampling SPF chicken embryo eggs by immersion and then counting the microbial colonies through membrane filtration is superior to the other two methods.The final cleaning rate of the control group,which used sterilized injection water to clean the SPF chicken embryo eggs,was 91.67%to 96.97%,while the final steriliza-tion rate of the experimental group,which used the above three disinfectants to disinfect the SPF chicken embryo eggs,was 100.00%.By comparing the cell counts of the experimental group and the control group,it was found that the live cell density of the control group was(6.03-6.25)× 105 cells·mL-1,and that of the experimental groups A-C was(6.08-6.17)× 105 cells·mL-1,(5.99-6.25)× 105 cells·mL-1,and(5.87-6.21)× 105 cells·mL-1 respectively;the cell viability of the control group was 90.33%to 91.35%,and that of the experi-mental groups A-C was 88.25%to 92.12%,89.45%to 93.59%,and 88.02%to 92.89%respectively.Through statistical analysis,it was found that the P values of all experimental groups compared with the control group were greater than 0.05,indicating no statistically significant difference.Conclusion:By comparing the dis-infection effects,cell density and cell viability of the three disinfectants and comprehensively considering factors such as cost and risk of the three disinfectants,1∶50 sporicide dilution,1∶128 alkaline phenolate dilution and ready-to-use compound quaternary ammonium salt disinfectant(sterile)can all be used for the daily surface disin-fection of SPF chicken embryo eggs in the production workshop.The selection of an appropriate disinfectant should be based on specific application scenarios and requirements.
7.Preliminary study of three disinfectants on the surface of avian embryo eggs without specific pathogen
Wenyue KOU ; Jie LI ; Luyao HAO ; Ge ZHANG ; Yan ZHANG ; Jiachun LI ; Xuejun HE ; Mei QIU ; Zhe JIAN ; Yi ZHANG
Drug Standards of China 2025;26(4):417-423
Objective:To screen out the disinfection procedure and disinfectant suitable for the actual production of specific pathogen free(SPF)chicken embryo eggs,so as to ensure the disinfection effect of specific pathogen free(SPF)chicken embryo eggs in vaccine production.Methods:This study compares the microbial counting methods of soaking,swabbing with cotton swabs and pouring after thin-film filtration for SPF chicken embryo eggs in a GMP production workshop,and selects the most suitable method for SPF chicken embryo egg microbial counting.Experi-mental groups A,B,and C use self-prepared concentrations of 1∶50 sporicidal agent dilution solution,1∶128 alka-line phenol salt dilution solution,and ready-to-use compound quaternary ammonium disinfectant(sterile),respec-tively,and follow the actual disinfection procedures in the workshop to disinfect and sample the surfaces of SPF chicken embryo eggs entering different cleanliness grades,while using sterile water instead of disinfectant as the control group.The average bactericidal rate is calculated by recording the number of colonies and monitoring the viability of chicken embryo cells using microbial culture,and the disinfection effect of the three disinfectants on SPF chicken embryo eggs is evaluated.Results:The comparison of the results from the three methods shows that the method of sampling SPF chicken embryo eggs by immersion and then counting the microbial colonies through membrane filtration is superior to the other two methods.The final cleaning rate of the control group,which used sterilized injection water to clean the SPF chicken embryo eggs,was 91.67%to 96.97%,while the final steriliza-tion rate of the experimental group,which used the above three disinfectants to disinfect the SPF chicken embryo eggs,was 100.00%.By comparing the cell counts of the experimental group and the control group,it was found that the live cell density of the control group was(6.03-6.25)× 105 cells·mL-1,and that of the experimental groups A-C was(6.08-6.17)× 105 cells·mL-1,(5.99-6.25)× 105 cells·mL-1,and(5.87-6.21)× 105 cells·mL-1 respectively;the cell viability of the control group was 90.33%to 91.35%,and that of the experi-mental groups A-C was 88.25%to 92.12%,89.45%to 93.59%,and 88.02%to 92.89%respectively.Through statistical analysis,it was found that the P values of all experimental groups compared with the control group were greater than 0.05,indicating no statistically significant difference.Conclusion:By comparing the dis-infection effects,cell density and cell viability of the three disinfectants and comprehensively considering factors such as cost and risk of the three disinfectants,1∶50 sporicide dilution,1∶128 alkaline phenolate dilution and ready-to-use compound quaternary ammonium salt disinfectant(sterile)can all be used for the daily surface disin-fection of SPF chicken embryo eggs in the production workshop.The selection of an appropriate disinfectant should be based on specific application scenarios and requirements.
8.Clinical Study on Modified Chaihu Longgu Muli Decoction Regulating Inflammatory Factors to Improve Chronic Kidney Disease with Depression
Kai-zhen WANG ; Hai-chen LI ; Fan LI ; Mei LONG ; Liang CHEN ; Yue-xi JIANG ; Min TANG ; Yue QIU
Progress in Modern Biomedicine 2025;25(20):3228-3237
Objective:To screen inflammatory markers that can be used for the diagnosis and intervention evaluation of patients with chronic kidney disease(CKD)with depression,and to systematically study the therapeutic effect and safety of modified Chaihu Longgu Muli decoction in patients with CKD with depression.Methods:This study was a prospective study,a total of 120 patients with CKD who were diagnosed and treated in the Department of Nephrology,Chongqing Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital from April 2023 to October 2024 were included.They were divided into CKD with depression(CKD-D)group and CKD without depression(CKD-N)group according to the diagnostic criteria by random number table method.The results of routine laboratory tests were collected,and the severity of depressive disorder was evaluated by Hamilton Depression Rating Scale-17(HAMD-17).The levels of interleukin-18(IL-18),interferon-γ(IFN-γ),β-thromboglobulin(β-TG),platlet factor-4(PF-4),eosinophil chemotactic factor(Eotaxin),soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor-2(sTNFR-2)and CD40 ligand(CD40L)in serum were quantitatively evaluated by liquid chip technology.Pearson correlation analysis was used to analyze the correlation between HAMD-17 scores and inflammatory markers with statistical differences in CKD patients with depression at different stages.The patients in CKD-D group were randomly divided into control group and treatment group.The control group was given basic treatment of CKD,while the treatment group was treated with modified Chaihu Longgu Muli decoction on the basis of the control group.After 8 weeks of continuous intervention,the clinical effective rate,the changes of effective inflammatory markers and the occurrence of adverse reactions were compared between the two groups.Results:In the CKD-D group and the CKD-N group,the difference of HAMD-17 score,serum phosphorus(P),serum creatinine(Scr),estimated glomerular filtration rate(eGFR),albumin(ALB),serum iron(Fe3+),C-reactive protein(CRP),IL-18,IFN-γ,sTNFR-2 indicators were statistically significant(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that in addition to HAMD-17 score(OR=1.259,P=0.006),SCr(OR=1.748,P=0.003),eGFR(OR=1.354,P=0.005),serum IL-18(OR=0.924,P=0.011)and IFN-γ(OR=0.859,P=0.031)levels were also independent influencing factors for CKD patients with depression.Pearson correlation analysis showed that there was a significant positive correlation between HAMD-17 score and IL-18,IFN-γ,sTNFR-2 and CD40L.The total clinical effective rate of the treatment group was higher than that of the control group,and the serum levels of IL-18 and IFN-γ in the treatment group were lower than those in the control group,the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05),and no significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the two groups(P>0.05).Conclusion:IL-18 and IFN-γ can be used as effective serum markers for the diagnosis and treatment of depressive disorders in CKD patients.At the same time,the changes of serum levels of IL-18 and IFN-γ can be used to evaluate the severity of symptoms in CKD patients with depression at different stages to a certain extent.Modified Chaihu Longgu Muli decoction may improve CKD combined with depressive symptoms and improve the quality of life of patients by down-regulating the level of inflammatory factors.
9.Clinical Study on Modified Chaihu Longgu Muli Decoction Regulating Inflammatory Factors to Improve Chronic Kidney Disease with Depression
Kai-zhen WANG ; Hai-chen LI ; Fan LI ; Mei LONG ; Liang CHEN ; Yue-xi JIANG ; Min TANG ; Yue QIU
Progress in Modern Biomedicine 2025;25(20):3228-3237
Objective:To screen inflammatory markers that can be used for the diagnosis and intervention evaluation of patients with chronic kidney disease(CKD)with depression,and to systematically study the therapeutic effect and safety of modified Chaihu Longgu Muli decoction in patients with CKD with depression.Methods:This study was a prospective study,a total of 120 patients with CKD who were diagnosed and treated in the Department of Nephrology,Chongqing Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital from April 2023 to October 2024 were included.They were divided into CKD with depression(CKD-D)group and CKD without depression(CKD-N)group according to the diagnostic criteria by random number table method.The results of routine laboratory tests were collected,and the severity of depressive disorder was evaluated by Hamilton Depression Rating Scale-17(HAMD-17).The levels of interleukin-18(IL-18),interferon-γ(IFN-γ),β-thromboglobulin(β-TG),platlet factor-4(PF-4),eosinophil chemotactic factor(Eotaxin),soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor-2(sTNFR-2)and CD40 ligand(CD40L)in serum were quantitatively evaluated by liquid chip technology.Pearson correlation analysis was used to analyze the correlation between HAMD-17 scores and inflammatory markers with statistical differences in CKD patients with depression at different stages.The patients in CKD-D group were randomly divided into control group and treatment group.The control group was given basic treatment of CKD,while the treatment group was treated with modified Chaihu Longgu Muli decoction on the basis of the control group.After 8 weeks of continuous intervention,the clinical effective rate,the changes of effective inflammatory markers and the occurrence of adverse reactions were compared between the two groups.Results:In the CKD-D group and the CKD-N group,the difference of HAMD-17 score,serum phosphorus(P),serum creatinine(Scr),estimated glomerular filtration rate(eGFR),albumin(ALB),serum iron(Fe3+),C-reactive protein(CRP),IL-18,IFN-γ,sTNFR-2 indicators were statistically significant(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that in addition to HAMD-17 score(OR=1.259,P=0.006),SCr(OR=1.748,P=0.003),eGFR(OR=1.354,P=0.005),serum IL-18(OR=0.924,P=0.011)and IFN-γ(OR=0.859,P=0.031)levels were also independent influencing factors for CKD patients with depression.Pearson correlation analysis showed that there was a significant positive correlation between HAMD-17 score and IL-18,IFN-γ,sTNFR-2 and CD40L.The total clinical effective rate of the treatment group was higher than that of the control group,and the serum levels of IL-18 and IFN-γ in the treatment group were lower than those in the control group,the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05),and no significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the two groups(P>0.05).Conclusion:IL-18 and IFN-γ can be used as effective serum markers for the diagnosis and treatment of depressive disorders in CKD patients.At the same time,the changes of serum levels of IL-18 and IFN-γ can be used to evaluate the severity of symptoms in CKD patients with depression at different stages to a certain extent.Modified Chaihu Longgu Muli decoction may improve CKD combined with depressive symptoms and improve the quality of life of patients by down-regulating the level of inflammatory factors.
10.Cost-effectiveness and mortality risk impact on elderly health management of essential public health services:A case study in Henan Province
Zhi-ping GUO ; Rong-mei LIU ; Neng-guang DAI ; Yi LI ; Tong JIN ; Qiu-ping ZHAO ; Hao SHI ; Chun-rong BAO ; Yan-qing MIAO
Chinese Journal of Health Policy 2025;18(11):17-24
Objective:To evaluate the cost-effectiveness and impact on mortality of health management services for the elderly aged 65 years and older in national essential public health service project.Methods:Based on the data of county-level medical institutions in Henan Province from 2019 to 2024,the Random Forest Method was used to construct a counterfactual framework to predict the hospitalization expenses under the unmanaged scenario,and then the cost-benefit ratio(BCR)and net income were calculated.Time-dependent Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the effect of health management on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease mortality in the elderly.Results:A total of 962 955 elderly patients were included,451 119(46.85%)were included in the management group.The average hospitalization cost of the management group was significantly lower than that of the non-management group(P<0.05).Except for 2020-2021,BCRS in 2019 and 2022-2024 were 6.34,2.05,4.45 and 6.60,respectively.The risk of all-cause death was reduced by 76.96%,and the risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular death was reduced by 75.57%in the elderly patients included in the management group compared with those not included in the management group.Suggestions:It is necessary to establish a health outcomes-based evaluation system and promote the transformation and upgrading of the service model from single chronic disease management to"integrated health services with multi-disease management".


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