1.Rapid health technology assessment of toripalimab combined with chemotherapy in the treatment of locally advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer
Yuping YANG ; Yuan ZHOU ; Qirui TAI ; Mili SHI ; Yijie SHI ; Jieya WANG ; Huan HU ; Yuan ZHANG ; Yi LIU ; Yue WANG
China Pharmacy 2025;36(20):2593-2598
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the efficacy, safety and cost-effectiveness of toripalimab (Tor) combined with chemotherapy (CT) in the treatment of locally advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). METHODS PubMed, the Cochrane Library, Embase, Web of Science, CBM, CNKI, Wanfang Data, and Health Technology Assessment (HTA) related websites were searched to collect the HTA reports, systematic reviews/meta-analyses and pharmacoeconomic studies of Tor+CT in the treatment of locally advanced or metastatic NSCLC from database/website inception to March 31, 2025. After data extraction and quality evaluation, the results of the included studies were analyzed descriptively. RESULTS A total of eleven studies were included, involving five systematic reviews/meta-analyses, and six pharmacoeconomic studies. Among the five systematic reviews/ meta-analyses, two were of high quality, while there was one each of moderate, low, and very low quality. All six pharmacoeconomic studies were of good quality. In terms of efficacy, compared with CT, Tor+CT significantly improved patients’ progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (P<0.05). In addition, compared with ipilimumab+CT, durvalumab, durvalumab+tremelimumab and sugemalimab+CT, Tor+CT could also improve the PFS (P<0.05). In terms of safety, there was no significant difference in the incidence of grade≥3 adverse events between patients receiving Tor+CT and CT (P>0.05); while Tor+CT had a lower incidence of grade≥3 adverse E-mail: events, compared with camrelizumab+CT, pembrolizumab+ 3233255290@qq.com ipilimumab, nivolumab+CT and atezolizumab+CT (P<0.05).In terms of cost-effectiveness, Tor+CT treatment had certain cost-effectiveness advantages, compared with CT. CONCLUSIONS Compared with CT, other programmed death-1/programmed death-ligand 1 inhibitors alone, or their combination with CT, Tor+CT for the treatment of locally advanced or metastatic NSCLC has good efficacy, safety and cost-effectiveness.
2.Regulatory effect of electroacupuncture at "Neiguan" (PC6) on mitochondrial autophagy during the ischemia and reperfusion phases in rats with myocardial ischemia-reperfusion injury.
Qirui YANG ; Xinghua QIU ; Xingye DAI ; Daonan LIU ; Baichuan ZHAO ; Wenyi JIANG ; Yanhua SONG ; Tong PU ; Kai CHENG
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion 2025;45(5):646-656
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the regulatory effect of electroacupuncture (EA) at "Neiguan" (PC6) on mitochondrial autophagy in rats with myocardial ischemia-reperfusion injury (MIRI) at different phases (ischemia and reperfusion phases), and to explore the bidirectional regulatory effects of EA at "Neiguan" (PC6) and its potential mechanism.
METHODS:
Forty-five male SD rats were randomly divided into 6 groups according to the random number table method, namely, sham-operation group (n=9), model-A group (n=6), model-B group (n=9), EA-A1 group (n=6), EA-B1 group (n=6), and EA-B2 group (n=9). Except the rats in the sham-operation group, the MIRI model was established in the other groups with the physical ligation and tube pushing method. In the model-A group, the samples were collected directly after ligation, and in the model-B group, the samples were collected after ligation and reperfusion. In the EA-A1 group, EA was delivered while the ligation was performed, and afterwards, the samples were collected. In the EA-B1 group, while the ligation was performed, EA was operated at the same time, and after reperfusion, the samples were collected. In the EA-B2 group, during ligation and the opening of the left anterior descending branch of the coronary artery, EA was delivered, and after reperfusion, the samples were collected. EA was performed at bilateral "Neiguan" (PC6), with a disperse-dense wave, a frequency of 2 Hz/100 Hz, a current of 1 mA, and a duration of 30 min. HE staining was employed to observe the morphology of cardiomyocytes, TUNEL was adopted to detect the apoptosis of cardiomyocytes, transcriptome sequencing was to detect the differentially expressed genes in the left ventricle, JC-1 flow cytometry was to detect the mitochondrial membrane potential (MMP) of cardiomyocytes, Western blot was to detect the protein expression of phosphatase and tensin homolog-induced kinase 1 (Pink1), Parkin and p62 in the left ventricle of rats, and ELISA was to detect the levels of serum creatine kinase isoenzyme (CK-MB) and cardiac troponin I (cTn-I) in the rats.
RESULTS:
Compared with the sham-operation group, the cardiomyocytes of rats in the model-B group were severely damaged, with disordered arrangement, unclear boundaries, broken muscle fibers, edema and loose distribution; and the cardiomyocytes in the EA-B2 group were slightly damaged, the cell structure was partially unclear, the cells were arranged more regularly, and the intact cardiomyocytes were visible. Compared with the sham-operation group, the apoptosis of cardiomyocytes increased in the model-B group (P<0.001); and when compared with the model-B group, the apoptosis alleviated in the EA-B2 group (P<0.001). The differentially expressed genes among the EA-B2 group, the sham-operation group and the model-B group were closely related to cell autophagy and mitochondrial autophagy. Compared with the sham-operation group, MMP of cardiomyocytes was reduced (P<0.001), the protein expression of Pink1, Parkin, and p62 of the left ventricle and the levels of serum CK-MB and cTn-I were elevated in the model B group (P<0.001). In comparison with model-A group, the MMP of cardiomyocytes and the levels of serum CK-MB and cTn-I were reduced (P<0.001, P<0.05), and the protein expression of Pink1 in the left ventricle rose in the EA-A1 group (P<0.01). Compared with the model-B group, MMP of cardiomyocytes increased (P<0.001), the protein expression of Pink1, Parkin, and p62 of the left ventricle, and the levels of serum CK-MB and cTn-I decreased (P<0.001) in the EA-B1 group and the EA-B2 group. When compared with the EA-A1 group, MMP of cardiomyocytes increased (P<0.001), and the protein expression of Pink1, Parkin, and p62 of the left ventricle, and the levels of serum CK-MB and cTn-I decreased in the EA-B1 group (P<0.01).
CONCLUSION
EA at "Neiguan" (PC6) can ameliorate MIRI in rats, which may be achieved through the Pink1/Parkin-mediated mitochondrial autophagy pathway. EA can alleviate myocardial injury by enhancing mitochondrial autophagy at the ischemia phase, and it can reduce reperfusion injury by weakening mitochondrial autophagy at the reperfusion phase.
Animals
;
Electroacupuncture
;
Male
;
Myocardial Reperfusion Injury/metabolism*
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Rats, Sprague-Dawley
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Rats
;
Acupuncture Points
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Autophagy
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Humans
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Mitochondria/genetics*
3.Changes of brain excitation/inhibition balance and gray matter volume and their correlations with clinical features in benign childhood epilepsy with centrotemporal spikes
Xinhe YAO ; Qiang XU ; Yiwen CHEN ; Qirui ZHANG ; Jianrui LI ; Zhaojie WANG ; Yuzhuo LI ; Fang YANG ; Yan HE ; Chunfeng WU ; Gang YANG ; Guangming LU ; Zhiqiang ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Neuromedicine 2025;24(4):378-384
Objective:To explore the changes of brain excitation/inhibition balance and gray matter volume (GMV) and their correlations with clinical features in benign childhood epilepsy with centrotemporal spikes (BECTS).Methods:A cross-sectional study was performed; 83 BECTS children enrolled from Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University from January 2015 to January 2024 were selected as BECTS group. During the same period, 101 age- and gender-matched healthy children were recruited as healthy control group through advertisements in local primary schools. Data of conventional MRI and resting-state functional MRI (rs-fMRI) of the two groups were collected. Whole brain GMV was analyzed by voxel-based morphometry (VBM), and Hurst index was calculated based on time series data of blood oxygen level dependent (BOLD) signal of rs-fMRI. Correlations of GMV and Hurst index with disease duration and onset age in children with BECTS were explored by Pearson correlation analysis.Results:Compared with the healthy control group, the BECTS group had significantly increased GMV and decreased Hurst index in the bilateral Rolandic region ( P<0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that in the BECTS group, GMV in bilateral Rolandic region was negatively correlated with onset age ( r=-0.267, P=0.015) and positively correlated with disease course ( r=0.267, P=0.015); Hurst index in bilateral Rolandic region was positively correlated with onset age ( r=0.323, P=0.003) and negatively correlated with disease course ( r=-0.240, P=0.029); Hurst index was negatively correlated with GMV in bilateral Rolandic region ( r=-0.328, P=0.003). Conclusion:BECTS children have excitation/inhibition imbalance in epilepsy-related regions and cortical structural delay, and both of them are related to onset age and disease course.
4.A novel approach to assessing quality issues and component annotation in TCM prescription: Insights from 100 common TCM products.
Huiting OU ; Chunxiang LIU ; Saiyi YE ; Lin YANG ; Qirui BI ; Wenlong WEI ; Hua QU ; Yaling AN ; Jianqing ZHANG ; De-An GUO
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2025;15(10):101332-101332
The quality of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) prescriptions (TCMPs) is critical to clinical efficacy; however, evaluating their consistency and identifying sources of variability remain challenging. This study proposes an integrated strategy to assess the quality of 100 widely sold TCMPs. A "one-for-all" chromatographic method was employed to analyze 645 sample batches. This large-scale data collection enabled statistical evaluations, such as hierarchical cluster analysis (HCA) and similarity heatmap, to identify quality inconsistencies. The introduction of a TCM-specific mass spectrometry (MS) database allowed for rapid, automated annotation of chemicals across 100 prescriptions and facilitated the tracing of raw material sources. Results indicate that 19% of prescriptions exhibited chemical inconsistencies, which are associated with high market value, low pricing, and substantial price disparities. The MS database allowed rapid annotation of 761 and 673 compounds in positive and negative modes, respectively, in 100 TCMPs, with 73 prescriptions reported for the first time. The tracing efforts succeeded in identifying >40% of the raw material sources for 51 prescriptions. P93 (Yinianjin (YNJ)) is a case in which the chromatographic profiles from three manufacturers displayed inconsistencies. Analysis using the database traced divergent peaks to Rhei Radix et R hizoma (RRER). Verification with self-prepared samples confirmed that manufacturers utilized three distinct botanical sources. This integrated strategy provides a scalable framework for quality control in TCMPs.
5.Moxibustion affects angiogenesis by regulating VEGF/Rho family proteins in knee joint synovial tissue of rats with adjuvant arthritis
Fang QI ; Qingze WU ; Yi CHEN ; Qirui QU ; Li LIU ; Xiaorong CHANG ; Kun AI ; Liang ZHANG ; Yanping YANG
Journal of Acupuncture and Tuina Science 2025;23(4):287-295
Objective:To observe the effect of moxibustion on angiogenesis-related indicators in knee joint synovial tissue of adjuvant arthritis model rats,and to explore the mechanism of moxibustion in inhibiting vascular endothelial growth factor(VEGF)expression in synovial tissue and further limiting the activation of Rho family proteins Rac1 and Cdc42,thereby inhibiting angiogenesis during rheumatoid arthritis(RA)treatment.Methods:Forty-eight male Sprague-Dawley rats were equally divided into a normal group,a model group,a moxibustion group,and a moxibustion+VEGF agonist group according to the random principle.The complete Freund's adjuvant method was used for modeling.On the 12th day after modeling,the moxibustion group and the moxibustion+VEGF agonist group were subjected to suspended moxibustion at bilateral Zusanli(ST36),Guanyuan(CV4),and Ashi points for 20 min each time,once a day,for a total of 15 times.The moxibustion+VEGF agonist group received VEGF agonist(tirofiban hydrochloride hydrate)injection in the knee joint cavity at the same time.Hematoxylin-eosin staining was used to evaluate the pathological changes of rat synovial tissue in each group.Immunohistochemistry was used to observe the CD31 expression level in rat synovial tissue.Western blotting was used to detect the levels of VEGF,Rac1,and Cdc42 protein in rat synovial tissue,and polymerase chain reaction(PCR)was used to detect the VEGF mRNA expression.Results:Compared to the normal group,the expression levels of CD31 protein and VEGF mRNA and protein in rat synovial tissue in the model group increased significantly(P<0.01),and the expression levels of phospho-Rac1 and phospho-Cdc42 proteins also increased significantly(P<0.01).After moxibustion intervention,the expression levels of CD31 protein and VEGF mRNA and protein in the moxibustion group were significantly lower than those in the model group(P<0.01),while the differences in each indicator between the moxibustion+VEGF agonist group and the model group were not statistically significant(P>0.05).Compared to the moxibustion group,the expression levels of CD31 protein,VEGF mRNA and protein,phospho-Cdc42,and phospho-Rac1 in the moxibustion+VEGF agonist group increased significantly(P<0.01).Conclusion:Moxibustion improved synovial inflammation in RA by inhibiting angiogenesis.The mechanism may be to regulate angiogenesis-related VEGF,restrict the activation of Rac1 and Cdc42,and inhibit pseudopodia formation in vascular endothelial cells,thereby reducing angiogenesis.
6.Moxibustion affects angiogenesis by regulating VEGF/Rho family proteins in knee joint synovial tissue of rats with adjuvant arthritis
Fang QI ; Qingze WU ; Yi CHEN ; Qirui QU ; Li LIU ; Xiaorong CHANG ; Kun AI ; Liang ZHANG ; Yanping YANG
Journal of Acupuncture and Tuina Science 2025;23(4):287-295
Objective:To observe the effect of moxibustion on angiogenesis-related indicators in knee joint synovial tissue of adjuvant arthritis model rats,and to explore the mechanism of moxibustion in inhibiting vascular endothelial growth factor(VEGF)expression in synovial tissue and further limiting the activation of Rho family proteins Rac1 and Cdc42,thereby inhibiting angiogenesis during rheumatoid arthritis(RA)treatment.Methods:Forty-eight male Sprague-Dawley rats were equally divided into a normal group,a model group,a moxibustion group,and a moxibustion+VEGF agonist group according to the random principle.The complete Freund's adjuvant method was used for modeling.On the 12th day after modeling,the moxibustion group and the moxibustion+VEGF agonist group were subjected to suspended moxibustion at bilateral Zusanli(ST36),Guanyuan(CV4),and Ashi points for 20 min each time,once a day,for a total of 15 times.The moxibustion+VEGF agonist group received VEGF agonist(tirofiban hydrochloride hydrate)injection in the knee joint cavity at the same time.Hematoxylin-eosin staining was used to evaluate the pathological changes of rat synovial tissue in each group.Immunohistochemistry was used to observe the CD31 expression level in rat synovial tissue.Western blotting was used to detect the levels of VEGF,Rac1,and Cdc42 protein in rat synovial tissue,and polymerase chain reaction(PCR)was used to detect the VEGF mRNA expression.Results:Compared to the normal group,the expression levels of CD31 protein and VEGF mRNA and protein in rat synovial tissue in the model group increased significantly(P<0.01),and the expression levels of phospho-Rac1 and phospho-Cdc42 proteins also increased significantly(P<0.01).After moxibustion intervention,the expression levels of CD31 protein and VEGF mRNA and protein in the moxibustion group were significantly lower than those in the model group(P<0.01),while the differences in each indicator between the moxibustion+VEGF agonist group and the model group were not statistically significant(P>0.05).Compared to the moxibustion group,the expression levels of CD31 protein,VEGF mRNA and protein,phospho-Cdc42,and phospho-Rac1 in the moxibustion+VEGF agonist group increased significantly(P<0.01).Conclusion:Moxibustion improved synovial inflammation in RA by inhibiting angiogenesis.The mechanism may be to regulate angiogenesis-related VEGF,restrict the activation of Rac1 and Cdc42,and inhibit pseudopodia formation in vascular endothelial cells,thereby reducing angiogenesis.
7.Changes of brain excitation/inhibition balance and gray matter volume and their correlations with clinical features in benign childhood epilepsy with centrotemporal spikes
Xinhe YAO ; Qiang XU ; Yiwen CHEN ; Qirui ZHANG ; Jianrui LI ; Zhaojie WANG ; Yuzhuo LI ; Fang YANG ; Yan HE ; Chunfeng WU ; Gang YANG ; Guangming LU ; Zhiqiang ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Neuromedicine 2025;24(4):378-384
Objective:To explore the changes of brain excitation/inhibition balance and gray matter volume (GMV) and their correlations with clinical features in benign childhood epilepsy with centrotemporal spikes (BECTS).Methods:A cross-sectional study was performed; 83 BECTS children enrolled from Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University from January 2015 to January 2024 were selected as BECTS group. During the same period, 101 age- and gender-matched healthy children were recruited as healthy control group through advertisements in local primary schools. Data of conventional MRI and resting-state functional MRI (rs-fMRI) of the two groups were collected. Whole brain GMV was analyzed by voxel-based morphometry (VBM), and Hurst index was calculated based on time series data of blood oxygen level dependent (BOLD) signal of rs-fMRI. Correlations of GMV and Hurst index with disease duration and onset age in children with BECTS were explored by Pearson correlation analysis.Results:Compared with the healthy control group, the BECTS group had significantly increased GMV and decreased Hurst index in the bilateral Rolandic region ( P<0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that in the BECTS group, GMV in bilateral Rolandic region was negatively correlated with onset age ( r=-0.267, P=0.015) and positively correlated with disease course ( r=0.267, P=0.015); Hurst index in bilateral Rolandic region was positively correlated with onset age ( r=0.323, P=0.003) and negatively correlated with disease course ( r=-0.240, P=0.029); Hurst index was negatively correlated with GMV in bilateral Rolandic region ( r=-0.328, P=0.003). Conclusion:BECTS children have excitation/inhibition imbalance in epilepsy-related regions and cortical structural delay, and both of them are related to onset age and disease course.
8.Effects of moxibustion on CD4+T-cell proliferation by G6PD-mediated pentose phosphate pathway in adjuvant arthritis rats
Liang ZHANG ; Lingyun ZHAO ; Yiying LONG ; Jianan CAO ; Qirui QU ; Qingze WU ; Li LIU ; Xiaorong CHANG ; Kun AI ; Fang QI ; Yanping YANG
Journal of Acupuncture and Tuina Science 2024;22(4):273-279
Objective:To observe the effects of moxibustion on the levels of glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase(G6PD)and reduced nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate(NADPH)in the plasma and spleen and the CD4+T-cell number in the spleen of rats with adjuvant arthritis,thus to explore the mechanism in rheumatoid arthritis(RA)treatment with moxibustion by regulating the CD4+T-cell proliferation through G6PD-mediated pentose phosphate pathway. Methods:Twenty-seven male Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly divided into a blank group,a model group,and a moxibustion group,with 9 rats in each group.Incomplete Freund's adjuvant was used to induce inflammation in the model group and the moxibustion group.The blank group and the model group were not intervened.In the moxibustion group,suspended moxibustion was performed at bilateral Zusanli(ST36),Guanyuan(CV4),and Ashi points for 30 min,once a day for 24 times in total.Hematoxylin-eosin staining was used to evaluate the histopathological changes of rat synovial tissue;the swelling degree of the rat toes was observed by measuring the toe volume;G6PD and NADPH in the spleen and plasma were detected by Western blotting and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.Flow cytometry was used to detect the CD4+T-cell number in the spleen. Results:Compared with the blank group,the levels of G6PD and NADPH in the plasma and spleen and the CD4+T-cell number in the spleen were significantly increased in the model group(P<0.01 or P<0.05).Compared with the model group,the NADPH level in the spleen and plasma and the CD4+T-cell number in the spleen in the moxibustion group decreased significantly(P<0.05 or P<0.01),and the G6PD level in the plasma decreased significantly(P<0.05),but there was no significant difference in the G6PD level in the spleen(P>0.05). Conclusion:Moxibustion can regulate immunity and improve joint synovial inflammation in RA.The mechanism may be that the G6PD-mediated pentose phosphate pathway reduces the production of metabolite NAPDH in CD4+T cells,thereby inhibiting the proliferation of naive CD4+T cells.
9.Analysis of risk factors and construction of prediction model for pancreatogenic portal hypertension in acute pancreatitis patients
Jiani YANG ; Qirui ZHANG ; Yan LIU ; Yuhang LIAO ; Qiuyan TIAN ; Wanyu HU ; Yinglei MIAO ; Lanqing MA ; Hairong ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2024;44(9):598-604
Objective:To investigate the risk factors of moderately severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP) and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) complicated with pancreatogenic portal hypertension (PPH) and to establish a prediction model.Methods:From January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2022, a total of 1 095 patients diagnosed with MSAP or SAP at the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University were enrolled and divided into PPH group (145 cases) and non-PPH group (950 cases) according to the presence or absence of concomitant PPH. The general data (gender, etiology of acute pancreatitis, days of hospitalization, etc.), complications (portal vein thrombosis, pancreatic pseudocyst, pancreatic encapsulated necrosis, etc.), laboratory indicators (albumin, D-dimer, etc.), and scores of modified computed tomography severity index (MCTSI) were collected in the two groups. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO) and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to analyze the independent risk factors of MSAP and SAP complicated with PPH, and the nomogram prediction model was established. The area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve was calculated to evaluate the discrimination of the calibration curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test were used to assess the predictive accuracy of the model, and clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical practicability of the model.Results:The results of LASSO and multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that portal vein thrombosis, pancreatic pseudocyst, pancreatic encapsulated necrosis, days of hospitalization, MCTSI and decreased albumin were independent risk factors of MSAP and SAP complicated with PPH ( OR=7.013, 2.085, 1.846, 1.030, 1.235 and 0.955; 95% confidence interval 4.061 to 12.112, 1.255 to 3.463, 1.066 to 3.199, 1.013 to 1.047, 1.123 to 1.357 and 0.927 to 0.983; all P<0.05). The area under the curve of the model was 0.820 (95% confidence interval 0.780 to 0.859), the calibration curve was close to the reference curve, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-fit test showed that the model had a good fit ( χ2=9.82, P=0.278). The result of DCA indicated that the model had a high net benefit in a wide range of risk threshold (threshold probability 0.1 to 0.9), and had certain clinical practicability. Conclusions:Portal vein thrombosis, pancreatic pseudocyst, pancreatic encapsulated necrosis, days of hospitalization, MCTSI and decreased albumin are the independent risk factors of MSAP and SAP complicated with PPH. The established nomogram model has good differentiation, calibration and clinical practicability.
10.Analysis of risk factors and construction of prediction model for pancreatogenic portal hypertension in acute pancreatitis patients
Jiani YANG ; Qirui ZHANG ; Yan LIU ; Yuhang LIAO ; Qiuyan TIAN ; Wanyu HU ; Yinglei MIAO ; Lanqing MA ; Hairong ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2024;44(9):598-604
Objective:To investigate the risk factors of moderately severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP) and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) complicated with pancreatogenic portal hypertension (PPH) and to establish a prediction model.Methods:From January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2022, a total of 1 095 patients diagnosed with MSAP or SAP at the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University were enrolled and divided into PPH group (145 cases) and non-PPH group (950 cases) according to the presence or absence of concomitant PPH. The general data (gender, etiology of acute pancreatitis, days of hospitalization, etc.), complications (portal vein thrombosis, pancreatic pseudocyst, pancreatic encapsulated necrosis, etc.), laboratory indicators (albumin, D-dimer, etc.), and scores of modified computed tomography severity index (MCTSI) were collected in the two groups. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO) and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to analyze the independent risk factors of MSAP and SAP complicated with PPH, and the nomogram prediction model was established. The area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve was calculated to evaluate the discrimination of the calibration curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test were used to assess the predictive accuracy of the model, and clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical practicability of the model.Results:The results of LASSO and multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that portal vein thrombosis, pancreatic pseudocyst, pancreatic encapsulated necrosis, days of hospitalization, MCTSI and decreased albumin were independent risk factors of MSAP and SAP complicated with PPH ( OR=7.013, 2.085, 1.846, 1.030, 1.235 and 0.955; 95% confidence interval 4.061 to 12.112, 1.255 to 3.463, 1.066 to 3.199, 1.013 to 1.047, 1.123 to 1.357 and 0.927 to 0.983; all P<0.05). The area under the curve of the model was 0.820 (95% confidence interval 0.780 to 0.859), the calibration curve was close to the reference curve, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-fit test showed that the model had a good fit ( χ2=9.82, P=0.278). The result of DCA indicated that the model had a high net benefit in a wide range of risk threshold (threshold probability 0.1 to 0.9), and had certain clinical practicability. Conclusions:Portal vein thrombosis, pancreatic pseudocyst, pancreatic encapsulated necrosis, days of hospitalization, MCTSI and decreased albumin are the independent risk factors of MSAP and SAP complicated with PPH. The established nomogram model has good differentiation, calibration and clinical practicability.

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