1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.Gut microbiota and their metabolites in hemodialysis patients.
Junxia DU ; Xiaolin ZHAO ; Xiaonan DING ; Qinqin REN ; Haoran WANG ; Qiuxia HAN ; Chenwen SONG ; Xiaochen WANG ; Dong ZHANG ; Hanyu ZHU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(4):502-504
3.Thyroid ultrasound results of soldiers stationed on a certain island
Qinqin OU ; Chao ZHU ; Jian YU ; Jia LIU ; Jialun REN ; Dong JIANG
Journal of Navy Medicine 2025;46(5):450-453
Objective To investigate the thyroid diseases in soldiers(aged 30 years and above)stationed on a certain island,and to clarify the value of ultrasonic diagnosis.Methods Thyroid ultrasonography was performed in 270 soldiers(aged≥30 years)stationed on an island by the high-frequency probe of the Mindray Z6 portable B-mode ultrasound diagnostic instrument.According to the C-TIRADS classification,the proportion of soldiers with thyroid nodules was calculated.Results Thyroid nodules were found in 50 soldiers(18.52%),including 29 cases(10.74%,cystic nodules)of C-TIRADS type 2,15 cases(5.56%,solid or cystic nodules)of C-TIRADS type 3,5 cases(1.85%,solid or cystic nodules)of C-TIRADS type 4a,and 1 case(0.37%,solid nodule)of C-TIRADS type 4b.Conclusion Thyroid ultrasound helps to analyze the causes of thyroid diseases,make grading assessment,and provide suggestions for soldiers stationed on islands.Not only does it clarify the necessity of thyroid ultrasonography in the physical examination,but also provides suggestions to improve the medical environment on islands.
4.Evidence-based practice of perioperative patient-controlled analgesia management in patients with liver cancer receiving TACE treatment
Yongqi LIANG ; Yao LIU ; Jianbo ZHAO ; Wenxuan YU ; Fenfen LIN ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yunan LI
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2025;34(12):1376-1384
Objective To evaluate the application of evidence-based perioperative patient-controlled analgesia(PCA)management in patients with liver cancer receiving transcatheter arterial chemoembolization(TACE)treatment.Methods By using the application model of clinical evidence-based practice,the review indicators were formulated based on the best evidence.The baseline assessment was conducted,the barrier factors were analyzed,the best clinical decision was made,the implementation steps of PCA management,including training,monitoring,education,etc.were refined,and two rounds of clinical review were carried out.The knowledge-belief-practice level and the implementation of review indicators in 50 medical and nursing staff engaged in PCA management,as well as the changes in pain scores,the incidence of adverse reactions due to PCA management,and the patient's satisfaction in 159 patients after the application of evidence were compared with their corresponding values determined before the application of evidence.Results After implementing the evidence-based practice plan and applying the evidence,at multiple time points the pain scores and the incidences of adverse reactions were decreased significantly(P<0.05),the patient's satisfaction increased remarkably(P<0.01),the execution rate of medical and nursing staff for the review indicators were strikingly increased(P<0.01),and the knowledge-belief-practice level concerning PCA management was prominently improved(P<0.01).Conclusion The implementation of perioperative PCA management in patients with liver cancer receiving TACE treatment can help to reduce the perioperative pain level,improve the patient discomfort,increase the patient's satisfaction degree,and improve the ability of medical staff in performing PCA management and evidence-based practices.
5.Virus spectrum and epidemic characteristics of hospitalized children with acute respiratory tract infections in Guilin area, 2021 to 2022
Renhe ZHU ; Hu LONG ; Rundong CAO ; Lulu WANG ; Juan SONG ; Qinqin SONG ; Guoyong MEI ; Zhiqiang XIA ; Jun HAN ; Chen GAO
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2024;38(1):43-48
Objective:To understand the composition of respiratory virus spectrum in hospitalized children with acute respiratory infections in Guilin City from 2021 to 2022, and to explore the epidemic characteristics of different respiratory viruses.Methods:Information of a total of 638 hospitalized children with acute respiratory infections (ARI) syndrome under the age of 14 years in Guilin city, Guangxi from September 2021 to October 2022 was collected as research data. The collected pharyngeal swabs from pediatric patients were subjected to real-time fluorescence reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction for nucleic acid testing, screening for 15 common respiratory viruses, and analyzing the virus spectrum characteristics of hospitalized pediatric patients with acute respiratory infections.Results:Among the 638 specimens, 365 were tested positive for at least one virus, with a positive rate of 57.21% (365/638). The detection rate for two or more viruses was 12.85% (82/638). There were 12 types of viruses detected, and the difference in virus detection rates among different seasons was statistically significant (P<0.002). The virus positive detection rate of samples from different age groups was the highest in the 0-2-year old group (40.66%), followed by the 3-5-year old group (34.80%) and the 6-year and older group (24.54%).Conclusions:During the period from September 2021 to October 2022, all 12 respiratory viruses were prevalent in Guilin area, with obvious summer peak as characteristics. It is suggested that corresponding prevention and control measures should be focused on pathogens that may cause acute respiratory infections in children during the local summer to prevent and control the spread and prevalence of respiratory infections.
6.The mediating effect of spiritual health between emotional intelligence and humanistic care ability of nursing undergraduates
Sishan JIANG ; Dongya LI ; Tingwei LUO ; Qinqin CHENG ; Na ZHANG ; Ouying CHEN ; Lihui ZHU
Chinese Journal of Practical Nursing 2024;40(33):2612-2618
Objective:To investigate the mediating effect of spiritual health between emotional intelligence and humanistic care ability of nursing undergraduates, and to provide reference for cultivating humanistic care ability of nursing undergraduates.Methods:From May to July, 2023, the nursing undergraduates from Hunan University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hunan Normal University, Xi'an Medical College were selected as the research objects by convenient sampling method, and they were investigated by general information questionnaire, spiritual health scale, emotional intelligence scale and humanistic care ability scale.Using AMOS 29.0 to construct a structural equation model, this paper explored the mediating effect of spiritual health between emotional intelligence and humanistic care ability of nursing undergraduates.Results:Finally, 1 126 valid questionnaires were collected. Among 1 126 nursing undergraduates, there were 229 males and 897 females. The total scores of spiritual health, emotional intelligence and humanistic care ability of nursing undergraduates were (90.60 ± 11.02), (126.01 ± 11.90), (174.27 ± 15.16) points, respectively. The humanistic care ability of nursing undergraduates was positively correlated with spiritual health and emotional intelligence ( r=0.441, 0.417; both P<0.01), emotional intelligence and spiritual health were positively correlated ( r=0.397, P<0.01). Spiritual health had some mediating effects between emotional intelligence and humanistic care ability, and the amount of mediating effects was 32.24%. Conclusions:The humanistic care ability of nursing undergraduates is at a medium level, and emotional intelligence can influence humanistic care ability through spiritual health. Therefore, it is suggested that nursing educators should add courses and practical activities related to spiritual health in the training plan of nursing students to promote their emotional intelligence and humanistic care ability.
7.Genetic characterization of coxsackievirus A6 in Mianyang city in 2022
Yue GONG ; Kexin ZONG ; Qian CHENG ; Lulu WANG ; Renhe ZHU ; Qin LUO ; Yanhai WANG ; Guoyong MEI ; Jun HAN ; Qinqin SONG
Chinese Journal of Microbiology and Immunology 2024;44(5):414-422
Objective:To investigate the etiology of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Mianyang city in 2022, and to analyze the genetic characteristics of coxsackievirus A6.Methods:Pharyngeal swabs were collected from patients with HFMD in Mianyang city in 2022. Real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR was used to detect enteroviruses in the samples. Part of the VP1 gene in enterovirus-positive samples was amplified by nested PCR using enterovirus typing primers to further identify the viral types. The VP1 coding region of all CVA6-positive samples and the whole genome of some samples were amplified and sequenced by PCR. The endemic strain in Mianyang city was analyzed for phylogeny, gene homology, amino acid variation and genetic recombination.Results:A total of 151 pharyngeal swabs were collected, and 104 enterovirus-positive samples were detected by real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR, with an overall detection rate of 68.88% (104/151). The typing results showed that there were 77 cases of CVA6 infection, with a positive rate of 50.99% (77/151). The full-length VP1 genes of 77 CVA6 strains were amplified, sequenced, and successfully spliced, and phylogenetic analysis showed that all 77 strains were of the D3 genotype. There were multiple amino acid variant sites in the prevalent strains in Mianyang city compared with the reference strain. Twenty whole genome sequences were amplified, sequenced, and successfully spliced, and homology analysis showed that the nucleotide homology between the 20 positive sequences ranged from 97.0% to 99.9%. Phylogenetic tree and recombination analysis showed that no recombination occurred in the coding regions of the epidemic strains in this study.Conclusions:The predominant pathogen causing HFMD in Mianyang city in 2022 is CVA6 D3 subtype, which is consistent with the national epidemic in 2022.
8.Analysis and prediction of the association between respiratory syncytial virus infection and meteorological factors in Xuzhou city from 2015 to 2021
Rundong CAO ; Dong XIA ; Qinqin SONG ; Juan SONG ; Zhiqiang XIA ; Mi LIU ; Haijun DU ; Renhe ZHU ; Jun HAN ; Chen GAO
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2023;37(2):152-158
Objective:To analyze the association of respiratory syncytial virus infection with meteorological factors and to predict and explain the trends.Methods:Data of cases with severe acute respiratory infections in hospitalized children in Xuzhou City were collected from 2015-2021. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) was detected by real-time fluorescence polymerase chain reaction. The result were statistically analyzed using SPSS 26.0 software, including constructing a negative binomial regression model to explore meteorological factors that impact RSV detection and a multivariate time series model to predict its epidemiological trend from 2020 to 2021.Results:A total of 1 663 samples of children with severe acute respiratory infections were collected from 2015to 2021, of which 218 (13.1%) were positive for RSV. Seasonal effects on RSV detection were evident: there was a 1-year cycle with a peak in winter (December-February) and a trough in summer (June-August). The negative binomial regression analysis showed that monthly mean temperature, monthly mean relative humidity, and monthly total sunshine hours may influenced RSV detection. The prediction result of the time series model with sunshine hours as the covariate showed that the prediction was better for 2020, and the actual values were close to the predicted values. The expected trends in 2021 were consistent, but the actual values were higher than predicted.Conclusions:Monthly mean temperature, monthly mean relative humidity, and monthly total sunshine hours may influence RSV detection in the Xuzhou region.A prediction model can be built using data from 2015-2019, where deviations in the predicted values for 2021, reflecting that disease prevalence is multifactorial correlated, suggest a possible rise in RSV prevalence in the future.
9.Ultrasensitive proteomics depicted an in-depth landscape for the very early stage of mouse maternal-to-zygotic transition
Lei GU ; Xumiao LI ; Wencheng ZHU ; Yi SHEN ; Qinqin WANG ; Wenjun LIU ; Junfeng ZHANG ; Huiping ZHANG ; Jingquan LI ; Ziyi LI ; Zhen LIU ; Chen LI ; Hui WANG
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2023;13(8):942-954
Single-cell or low-input multi-omics techniques have revolutionized the study of pre-implantation embryo development.However,the single-cell or low-input proteomic research in this field is rela-tively underdeveloped because of the higher threshold of the starting material for mammalian embryo samples and the lack of hypersensitive proteome technology.In this study,a comprehensive solution of ultrasensitive proteome technology(CS-UPT)was developed for single-cell or low-input mouse oocyte/embryo samples.The deep coverage and high-throughput routes significantly reduced the starting material and were selected by investigators based on their demands.Using the deep coverage route,we provided the first large-scale snapshot of the very early stage of mouse maternal-to-zygotic transition,including almost 5,500 protein groups from 20 mouse oocytes or zygotes for each sample.Moreover,significant protein regulatory networks centered on transcription factors and kinases between the MII oocyte and 1-cell embryo provided rich insights into minor zygotic genome activation.
10.Establishment and identification of a human megakaryocytic cell line with low Ley expression
Huijun ZHU ; Qinqin MA ; Fengyong ZHAO ; Qin LI ; Ping LU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2022;35(9):891-895
【Objective】 To establish a stable human megakaryocytic cell line with low expression of Ley antigen to further study the role of Ley on activation of platelets. 【Methods】 The expression level of the Ley antigen in a human megakaryocytic cell line, DAMI, was determined using Western Blot and flow cytometry. The expression level of genes that encode fucosyltransferase (FUTs), which was involved in the biosynthesis of Ley antigen, was also determined to identify the candidate genes to be knocked out. The candidate FUT gene was knocked out via a CRISPR/Cas 9 gene knockout system and cells with low Ley antigen expression were sorted by flow cytometry. The sorted cell line was cultured and characterized. 【Results】 The Ley was expressed intensively on DAMI cell. FUT1 and FUT4 mRNA was expressed relatively higher, both may be key enzymes for the biosynthesis of the Ley antigen. In the DAMI cell line with the knockout of FUT1 gene, the expression of the Ley adntigen was remarkedly reduced, while cell proliferation was not affected compared to the wildtype control cells. 【Conclusions】 Since various FUTs contributes to the biosynthesis of the Ley antigen, the knockout of the primary one of them cannot totally block its biosynthesis, but only reduce its expression. In this study, a stable FUT gene knockout human megakaryocyticcell line is established using CRISPR/Cas 9 technology, which provides basis for the study of the impact of the Ley antigen on platelet functions.

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