1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.Gut microbiota and their metabolites in hemodialysis patients.
Junxia DU ; Xiaolin ZHAO ; Xiaonan DING ; Qinqin REN ; Haoran WANG ; Qiuxia HAN ; Chenwen SONG ; Xiaochen WANG ; Dong ZHANG ; Hanyu ZHU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(4):502-504
3.Thyroid ultrasound results of soldiers stationed on a certain island
Qinqin OU ; Chao ZHU ; Jian YU ; Jia LIU ; Jialun REN ; Dong JIANG
Journal of Navy Medicine 2025;46(5):450-453
Objective To investigate the thyroid diseases in soldiers(aged 30 years and above)stationed on a certain island,and to clarify the value of ultrasonic diagnosis.Methods Thyroid ultrasonography was performed in 270 soldiers(aged≥30 years)stationed on an island by the high-frequency probe of the Mindray Z6 portable B-mode ultrasound diagnostic instrument.According to the C-TIRADS classification,the proportion of soldiers with thyroid nodules was calculated.Results Thyroid nodules were found in 50 soldiers(18.52%),including 29 cases(10.74%,cystic nodules)of C-TIRADS type 2,15 cases(5.56%,solid or cystic nodules)of C-TIRADS type 3,5 cases(1.85%,solid or cystic nodules)of C-TIRADS type 4a,and 1 case(0.37%,solid nodule)of C-TIRADS type 4b.Conclusion Thyroid ultrasound helps to analyze the causes of thyroid diseases,make grading assessment,and provide suggestions for soldiers stationed on islands.Not only does it clarify the necessity of thyroid ultrasonography in the physical examination,but also provides suggestions to improve the medical environment on islands.
4.Evidence-based practice of perioperative patient-controlled analgesia management in patients with liver cancer receiving TACE treatment
Yongqi LIANG ; Yao LIU ; Jianbo ZHAO ; Wenxuan YU ; Fenfen LIN ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yunan LI
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2025;34(12):1376-1384
Objective To evaluate the application of evidence-based perioperative patient-controlled analgesia(PCA)management in patients with liver cancer receiving transcatheter arterial chemoembolization(TACE)treatment.Methods By using the application model of clinical evidence-based practice,the review indicators were formulated based on the best evidence.The baseline assessment was conducted,the barrier factors were analyzed,the best clinical decision was made,the implementation steps of PCA management,including training,monitoring,education,etc.were refined,and two rounds of clinical review were carried out.The knowledge-belief-practice level and the implementation of review indicators in 50 medical and nursing staff engaged in PCA management,as well as the changes in pain scores,the incidence of adverse reactions due to PCA management,and the patient's satisfaction in 159 patients after the application of evidence were compared with their corresponding values determined before the application of evidence.Results After implementing the evidence-based practice plan and applying the evidence,at multiple time points the pain scores and the incidences of adverse reactions were decreased significantly(P<0.05),the patient's satisfaction increased remarkably(P<0.01),the execution rate of medical and nursing staff for the review indicators were strikingly increased(P<0.01),and the knowledge-belief-practice level concerning PCA management was prominently improved(P<0.01).Conclusion The implementation of perioperative PCA management in patients with liver cancer receiving TACE treatment can help to reduce the perioperative pain level,improve the patient discomfort,increase the patient's satisfaction degree,and improve the ability of medical staff in performing PCA management and evidence-based practices.
5.Therapeutic effects of piperacillin/tazobactam combined with acetylcysteine solution on severe pneumonia after cerebral infarction
Yongfei ZHU ; Qinqin WANG ; Wenzheng XU ; Haichang LI
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(15):2258-2262
OBJECTIVE To explore the effects of piperacillin/tazobactam combined with acetylcysteine solution on severe pneumonia after cerebral infarction,and to analyze its impact on cardiopulmonary and neurological function.METHODS A total of 86 patients with severe pneumonia after cerebral infarction admitted to Yulin Xingyuan Hos-pital from Jan.2022 to Jun.2024 were selected and divided into a control group and a study group using the ran-dom number table method(single blind),with 43 cases in each group.The control group was treated with intrave-nous drip of piperacillin/tazobactam,while the study group received additional inhalation of acetylcysteine solution based on the control group's treatment.The levels of inflammatory factors[C-reactive protein(CRP),interleukin-6(IL-6)and procalcitonin(PCT)],lung function indicators[forced vital capacity(FVC),peak expiratory flow rate(PEF),forced expiratory volume in one second(FEV1)and mean maximal expiratory flow rate(MMEF)],cardiac function indicators[left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF),cardiac output(CO),cardiac index(CI)and stroke volume(SV)],NIH Stroke Scale(NIHSS)score,clinical efficacy,and the occurrence of adverse reactions were compared before and after treatment.RESULTS Compared with the control group,the study group had low levels of CRP,IL-6,PCT and NIHSS scores after treatment(P<0.05),and high levels of FVC,PEF,FEV1,MMEF,LVEF,CO,CI,and SV after treatment(P<0.05).The overall response rate in the study group was 95.35%,higher than 81.40%in the control group(χ2=4.074,P=0.044).There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the control group and the study group during treatments(χ2=0.179,P=0.672).CONCLUSION Piperacillin/tazobactam combined with inhaled acetylcysteine solution for the treatment of severe pneumonia after cerebral infarction can improve clinical efficacy,reduce levels of inflamma-tory factors,and enhance cardiopulmonary and neurological functions in patients,which has a high safety profile.
6.A systematic review of quality assessment tools for pediatric palliative care based on COSMIN guidelines
Sishan JIANG ; Qinqin CHENG ; Tingwei LUO ; Na ZHANG ; Junchen GUO ; Dongya LI ; Dandan LI ; Lihui ZHU
Chinese Journal of Nursing 2025;60(5):611-618
Objective To evaluate the methodological quality and measurement attribute quality of the evaluation tool for pediatric palliative care quality assessment tools,and to provide references for medical staff to select the best assessment tools.Methods The PubMed,Embase,Cochrane Library,Web of Science,CINAHL,Scopus,China National Knowledge Infrastructure(CNKI),Wanfang Database,VIP Database,Chinese Biomedical Literature Database,GIN,NGC,NICE,NRAO,medlive,WHO,AAHPM,WHPCA,APHN were searched from inception to March 28,2024.Data were screened and extracted independently by 2 researchers.The consensus-based standards for the selection of health measurement instruments(COSMIN)checklist and quality criteria were employed to evaluate the methodological quality and psychometric properties of the included pediatric palliative care quality assessment tools.Finally,recommendations were formulated based on these evaluations.Results A total of 13 articles were included,involving 9 pediatric palliative care quality assessment tools.Among them,the PICU-QODD,PaPEQu and QCPCI demonstrated good content validity and internal consistency,and are recommended as Grade A.The remaining assessment tools are recommended as Grade B or C.Conclusion The PICU-QODD,PaPEQu and QCPCI are recommended for use,but further validation of their psychometric properties is still needed.
7.Impact of non-diabetic postoperative hyperglycemia on complications after anterior mediastinal tumor resection via lateral thoracic approach single-port thoracoscopy
Yan YANG ; Yang YANG ; Qinqin BAO ; Feng SHAO ; Qiulu ZHU
Journal of Chinese Physician 2025;27(8):1208-1212
Objective:To investigate the occurrence of non-diabetic hyperglycemia after anterior mediastinal tumor resection via lateral thoracic approach single-port thoracoscopy and its impact on postoperative complications.Methods:The medical records of 182 anterior mediastinal tumors admitted to the Nanjing Brain Hospital (Nanjing Chest Hospital) from January 2022 to March 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. All patients underwent anterior mediastinal tumor resection via lateral thoracic approach single-port thoracoscopy. They were divided into the hyperglycemia group ( n=54) and non-hyperglycemia group ( n=128) according to the occurrence of postoperative non-diabetic hyperglycemia. The postoperative complications were compared between the two groups. Patients with any complication showing statistically significant differences between the two groups were included in the complication group, and the remaining patients were included in the non-complication group. Binary logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors for postoperative complications in patients undergoing anterior mediastinal tumor resection via lateral thoracic approach single-port thoracoscopy. Results:The incidences of postoperative pain, wound fat liquefaction, wound infection, and pulmonary infection in the hyperglycemia group were significantly higher than those in the non-hyperglycemia group (all P<0.05). There were statistically significant differences in age, history of hypertension, triglyceride (TG), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), operation time, and postoperative hyperglycemia between the complication group and non-complication group (all P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, history of hypertension, operation time, and postoperative hyperglycemia were independent risk factors for postoperative pain/wound fat liquefaction/wound infection/pulmonary infection in patients undergoing anterior mediastinal tumor resection via lateral thoracic approach single-port thoracoscopy (all P<0.05). Conclusions:Non-diabetic postoperative hyperglycemia can increase the risk of postoperative pain/wound fat liquefaction/wound infection/pulmonary infection in patients undergoing anterior mediastinal tumor resection via lateral thoracic approach single-port thoracoscopy, and it is an independent risk factor for the above postoperative complications.
8.Mechanistic study of Yigan Fupi decoction-mediated repair of the intestinal barrier and reduction of IBS sensitivity through regulation of the PKA/PKC-CREB pathway
Yu CHEN ; Jiajun SHI ; Danting FU ; Qinqin YANG ; Rui FU ; Jiajie ZHU ; Mingjin ZHU ; Xinying LIU ; Mingxian CHEN
Acta Laboratorium Animalis Scientia Sinica 2025;33(4):512-521
Objective To study the therapeutic effects of Yigan Fupi decoction(YGFP)on irritable bowel syndrome(IBS)and its mechanism of action in repairing the intestinal barrier and reducing IBS sensitivity through the PKA/PKC-CREB pathway.Methods Baby rats separated from their mother were randomly divided into a model control(M)and a YGFP group,while baby rats without maternal separation were used as a normal control(N)group.The YGFP group was given YGFP for 4 weeks.Abdominal withdrawal reflux was used to evaluate intestinal sensitivity.Liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry and ELISA were used to detect bile acid metabolite concentrations and serum levels of interleukin(IL)-6 and CXCL1,respectively.HE staining was used to observe pathological changes in the colon,and Western Blot and immunohistochemistry were used to analyze the relative protein expression levels of PKA,PKC,CREB,5HT2AR,5-HT7R,ZO-1,and Claudin 1.Results Compared with the normal control group,the M group showed a significantly decreased visceral pain threshold,significantly increased levels of total bile acid metabolites,IL-6,and CXCL1,significantly increased relative expression of PKA,PKC,CREB,5HT2AR,and 5-HT7R,and significantly decreased relative expression of ZO-1 and Claudin 1.Compared with the M group,the YGFP group showed a significantly increased visceral pain threshold,significantly reduced levels of total bile acid metabolites,IL-6,and CXCL1,significantly reduced relative expression of PKA,PKC,CREB,5HT2AR,and 5-HT7R,and increased relative expression of ZO-1 and Claudin 1.Conclusions YGFP effectively improved IBS through a mechanism that may involve repair of the intestinal barrier and reduced sensitivity through the PKA/PKC-CREB pathway.
9.Combination of the LPS/TLR4 Pathway and Fecal Metabolomics Analysis Reveals the Chronic Inflammatory Mechanism of Early Atherosclerosis in Tibetan Miniature Pigs
Qinqin YANG ; Songtao XU ; Yueqin CAI ; Yongming PAN ; Junjie HUANG ; Keyan ZHU ; Minli CHEN ; Xiaoping XU
Cardiology Discovery 2025;05(2):121-132
Objective::This study aimed to elucidate the effect of the lipopolysaccharides/toll-like receptor 4 (LPS/TLR4) pathway on early atherosclerosis (AS) development and its associated changes in fecal metabolites, thereby providing an experimental foundation for strategies to prevent and treat early AS.Methods::Twelve Tibetan miniature pigs aged 4-5 months were divided into normal control (NC) group and AS group (6 pigs in each). The group assignment was primarily based on body weight; Secondary criteria, including glucose, lipid profiles, and inflammatory indices, were considered to ensure balanced baseline characteristics between the 2 groups (all P > 0.05). AS group received a high-fat diet for 16 weeks to establish an AS model, while the NC group received a normal diet. Subsequently, serum levels of lipids and various inflammation and oxidative stress markers were measured. Pathological changes in the aorta and colon tissue, LPS/TLR4 pathway-associated protein expressions in the aorta, as well as occludin and zonula occludens-1 in the colon were also assessed. Proton nuclear magnetic resonance spectra technology was employed for the metabolomic analysis of fecal extracts. Results::The lipid metabolism was disrupted in AS group, with significantly higher total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels ((12.24 ± 5.24) mmol/L vs. (1.86 ± 0.27) mmol/L, P = 0.004,6; (2.39 ± 0.50) mmol/L vs. (0.83 ± 0.07) mmol/L, P = 0.000,5; (6.94 ± 2.87) mmol/L vs. (0.77 ± 0.18) mmol/L, P = 0.003,3), as compared to that in NC group. Serum factors, including LPS, tumor necrosis factor-α, and malondialdehyde levels of AS group were significantly higher than that of NC group ((1,230.00 ± 192.70) EU/L vs. (695.70 ± 213.70) EU/L), P = 0.001,1; (424.20 ± 176.90) ng/L vs. (51.20 ± 26.61) ng/L, P = 0.023,5; (3.60 ± 0.77) nmol/mL vs. (2.62 ± 0.21) nmol/mL, P = 0.025,4). Pathological evaluations revealed prominent lipid deposition area in the aortic arch, thoracic aorta, and abdominal aorta of the AS group compared with that of the NC group (4.17% ± 2.30% vs. 0, P = 0.006,7; 6.23% ± 2.95% vs. 0, P = 0.003,6; 3.78% ± 2.18% vs. 0, P = 0.008,1). TLR4, nuclear factor kappa-B p65, and tumor necrosis factor-α expression in the aorta tissue of the AS group were upregulated, whereas occludin and zonula occludens-1 expression in colon tissues was downregulated. Additionally, metabolomics identified significant differences in 21 metabolites in the feces of the AS group compared to the NC group, with further analysis linking these differences to amino acid metabolism. Conclusions::The Tibetan miniature pig model of early AS induced by high-fat intake displayed pronounced chronic inflammation. Preliminary findings suggest that the underlying mechanisms may be associated with the LPS/TLR4 pathway and intestinal metabolic disorders.
10.Combination of the LPS/TLR4 Pathway and Fecal Metabolomics Analysis Reveals the Chronic Inflammatory Mechanism of Early Atherosclerosis in Tibetan Miniature Pigs
Qinqin YANG ; Songtao XU ; Yueqin CAI ; Yongming PAN ; Junjie HUANG ; Keyan ZHU ; Minli CHEN ; Xiaoping XU
Cardiology Discovery 2025;05(2):121-132
Objective::This study aimed to elucidate the effect of the lipopolysaccharides/toll-like receptor 4 (LPS/TLR4) pathway on early atherosclerosis (AS) development and its associated changes in fecal metabolites, thereby providing an experimental foundation for strategies to prevent and treat early AS.Methods::Twelve Tibetan miniature pigs aged 4-5 months were divided into normal control (NC) group and AS group (6 pigs in each). The group assignment was primarily based on body weight; Secondary criteria, including glucose, lipid profiles, and inflammatory indices, were considered to ensure balanced baseline characteristics between the 2 groups (all P > 0.05). AS group received a high-fat diet for 16 weeks to establish an AS model, while the NC group received a normal diet. Subsequently, serum levels of lipids and various inflammation and oxidative stress markers were measured. Pathological changes in the aorta and colon tissue, LPS/TLR4 pathway-associated protein expressions in the aorta, as well as occludin and zonula occludens-1 in the colon were also assessed. Proton nuclear magnetic resonance spectra technology was employed for the metabolomic analysis of fecal extracts. Results::The lipid metabolism was disrupted in AS group, with significantly higher total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels ((12.24 ± 5.24) mmol/L vs. (1.86 ± 0.27) mmol/L, P = 0.004,6; (2.39 ± 0.50) mmol/L vs. (0.83 ± 0.07) mmol/L, P = 0.000,5; (6.94 ± 2.87) mmol/L vs. (0.77 ± 0.18) mmol/L, P = 0.003,3), as compared to that in NC group. Serum factors, including LPS, tumor necrosis factor-α, and malondialdehyde levels of AS group were significantly higher than that of NC group ((1,230.00 ± 192.70) EU/L vs. (695.70 ± 213.70) EU/L), P = 0.001,1; (424.20 ± 176.90) ng/L vs. (51.20 ± 26.61) ng/L, P = 0.023,5; (3.60 ± 0.77) nmol/mL vs. (2.62 ± 0.21) nmol/mL, P = 0.025,4). Pathological evaluations revealed prominent lipid deposition area in the aortic arch, thoracic aorta, and abdominal aorta of the AS group compared with that of the NC group (4.17% ± 2.30% vs. 0, P = 0.006,7; 6.23% ± 2.95% vs. 0, P = 0.003,6; 3.78% ± 2.18% vs. 0, P = 0.008,1). TLR4, nuclear factor kappa-B p65, and tumor necrosis factor-α expression in the aorta tissue of the AS group were upregulated, whereas occludin and zonula occludens-1 expression in colon tissues was downregulated. Additionally, metabolomics identified significant differences in 21 metabolites in the feces of the AS group compared to the NC group, with further analysis linking these differences to amino acid metabolism. Conclusions::The Tibetan miniature pig model of early AS induced by high-fat intake displayed pronounced chronic inflammation. Preliminary findings suggest that the underlying mechanisms may be associated with the LPS/TLR4 pathway and intestinal metabolic disorders.

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