1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.Serological and molecular genetic study of the Ael/AelB phenotype induced by the c. 575T>C variant in the ABO gene
Yanying DONG ; Qinqin ZUO ; Peixing XU ; Minggang ZHANG ; Xia JIANG ; Zixuan WANG ; Miao WANG ; Gengyuan LIU ; Yi DING ; Tianju WANG ; Junhui QUAN
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(7):922-927
Objective: To analyze the serological phenotypes and molecular genetic characteristics of a proband with ABO forward and reverse typing discrepancy and their family members, and to investigate the molecular genetic mechanism underlying the Ael/AelB phenotype caused by the c. 575T>C variant on an ABO
A1.02 background. Methods: Serological testing and adsorption-elution assays were performed for blood group identification of the proband and family members. PCR-SBT, cloning sequencing, and Nanopore third-generation sequencing were used to analyze ABO gene variants and haplotypes. Phyre2 and PyMOL were used to predict the effect of the p. Ile192Thr variant on the structure of glycosyltransferase A (GTA), and plasma GTA activity was evaluated using an in vitro transferase assay. Results: Among thirteen family members, four members showed a serological phenotype consistent with the Ael subtype and one with the AelB subtype. Cloning sequencing and third-generation sequencing confirmed that five family members carried the ABO
A1.02 (c. 575T>C) variant, which co-segregated with the weak A phenotype in the family. Structural modeling suggested that p. Ile192Thr may alter the local spatial conformation and hydrogen-bond interactions of GTA. Plasma GTA activity testing showed markedly reduced GTA activity in the tested individuals. Conclusion: The ABO
A1.02 (c. 575T>C) variant is associated with the Ael/AelB phenotype. The p. Ile192Thr substitution may weaken A antigen expression by altering GTA conformation and reducing enzymatic activity. This study provides additional evidence for the role of this variant in the Ael/AelB phenotype from the perspectives of familial inheritance, full-length haplotype analysis, and functional assessment, which is important for accurate ABO subtype identification and individualized transfusion strategies.
3.Research on the current status and influencing factors of post ICU syndrome in severe patients
Tingshu WANG ; Li YAO ; Yan LIU ; Bei JING ; Qinqin LI ; Tingrui WANG
Chinese Journal of Nursing 2025;60(19):2356-2363
Objective To explore the current situation and influencing factors of post-intensive care syndrome(PICS)in critically ill patients a month after their transfer out,and to provide a basis for formulating individualized intervention measures.Methods By the convenience sampling method,550 patients who were transferred out of the ICU of a tertiary A hospital in Guizhou Province for a month from April to November 2024 were selected as the survey subjects.The general information of the patients was collected and sorted out.During their stay in the ICU,the Barthel Index,the Richards Campbell Sleep Scale,and the Perceived Social Support Scale were employed for evaluation.A month after the patients were transferred out of the ICU,the assessment was completed through telephone follow-up using the Chinese version of the Brain Care Monitoring Questionnaire for Healthy Aging.According to the assessment a month after the patients were transferred out,they were divided into a PICS group and a non-PICS group.Univariate analysis and binary Logistic regression analysis were completed based on the data of the 2 groups.Results A total of 550 questionnaires were distributed,and 442 valid questionnaires were ultimately collected,with a valid questionnaire collection rate of 80.3%.Among them,194 cases(43.9%)were high-risk patients with PICS.Binary logistic regression analysis showed that advanced age,pulmonary infection,total hospitalization time>15 days,and internal environment disorder were the risk factors for PICS in ICU patients(P<0.05).Conclusion The risk of PICS is relatively high in critically ill patients a month after the transfer.Medical staff need to pay attention to patients who are older,have pulmonary infections and internal environment disorders,and formulate personalized intervention measures for different disease types to improve the long-term health prognosis of patients.
4.Comparison of clinical efficacy of different mucosal incision methods in endoscopic submucosal dissection for the treatment of gastric submucosal tumors
Xinglin CHEN ; Ke WEI ; Yuanyuan CAI ; Qinqin QI ; Zhemin WANG ; Liuyong CHEN ; Bin LIU
China Journal of Endoscopy 2025;31(3):7-12
Objective To explore the clinical efficacy of different mucosal incision methods in endoscopic submucosal dissection(ESD)for the treatment of gastric submucosal tumors.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 30 patients with gastric submucosal tumors treated with ESD from July 2022 to March 2024.They were divided into a circular group(n=15)and a longitudinal group(n=15)based on different mucosal incision methods.Then compare the pathological data,clinical efficacy,surgical outcomes,and complications between the two groups.Results There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in length of hospital stay,hospitalization costs,lesion diameter,lesion location and lesion nature(P>0.05).The surgical time of the longitudinal group was significantly shorter than that of the circular group,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05);There was no statistical significant in the incidence of intraoperative complications in the longitudinal group and the circular group(P>0.05);The complete resection rate of the longitudinal group was lower than that of the circular group,but the difference was not statistically significant(P>0.05).Conclusion ESD treatment for gastric submucosal tumors is safe and effective,and the longitudinal incision can shorten the surgical time compared to the circular incision.Both methods have the characteristics of low incidence of complications and high complete resection rate,and are worthy of clinical application.
5.Comparison of clinical efficacy of different mucosal incision methods in endoscopic submucosal dissection for the treatment of gastric submucosal tumors
Xinglin CHEN ; Ke WEI ; Yuanyuan CAI ; Qinqin QI ; Zhemin WANG ; Liuyong CHEN ; Bin LIU
China Journal of Endoscopy 2025;31(3):7-12
Objective To explore the clinical efficacy of different mucosal incision methods in endoscopic submucosal dissection(ESD)for the treatment of gastric submucosal tumors.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 30 patients with gastric submucosal tumors treated with ESD from July 2022 to March 2024.They were divided into a circular group(n=15)and a longitudinal group(n=15)based on different mucosal incision methods.Then compare the pathological data,clinical efficacy,surgical outcomes,and complications between the two groups.Results There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in length of hospital stay,hospitalization costs,lesion diameter,lesion location and lesion nature(P>0.05).The surgical time of the longitudinal group was significantly shorter than that of the circular group,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05);There was no statistical significant in the incidence of intraoperative complications in the longitudinal group and the circular group(P>0.05);The complete resection rate of the longitudinal group was lower than that of the circular group,but the difference was not statistically significant(P>0.05).Conclusion ESD treatment for gastric submucosal tumors is safe and effective,and the longitudinal incision can shorten the surgical time compared to the circular incision.Both methods have the characteristics of low incidence of complications and high complete resection rate,and are worthy of clinical application.
6.Comparative analysis of the efficacy of cold snare polypectomy and endoscopic mucosal resection in treatment of colonic adenoma in proximity to the orifice of appendix
Bin LIU ; Qinqin QI ; Xinglin CHEN ; Ke WEI ; Yuanyuan CAI ; Zhemin WANG ; Liuyong CHEN
China Journal of Endoscopy 2025;31(2):63-69
Objective To investigate the feasibility,efficacy and safety of cold snare polypectomy(CSP)and endoscopic mucosal resection(EMR)in treatment of colonic adenoma in proximity to the orifice of appendix.Methods Clinical data of 41 cases of colonic adenoma in the orifice of appendix treated with CSP(CSP group)and 15 cases treated with EMR(EMR group)from January 2018 to January 2023 were collected.The clinicopathological features and outcomes were analyzed.The main outcome was postoperative complications,including bleeding,perforation and postoperative appendicitis,while the secondary outcome was the total resection rate,block resection rate and local recurrence rate.Results The operation time and treatment cost of CSP group were shorter than EMR group,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).The diameter of applicable lesions in CSP group was smaller than that in EMR group,and the proportion of lesions with tubular adenoma was significantly higher than that in EMR group.There were no significant differences in the time of admission,intestinal preparation score,length of stay,lesion morphology and lesion type between the two groups(P>0.05).Perforation and postoperative appendicitis were not observed in both groups,and delayed postoperative hemorrhage occurred in 1 case in the CSP group,but it could heal itself after surgery without endoscopic intervention.The complete resection rate was 100.0%in both groups.The total removal rate of CSP group was 100.0%,which was significantly higher than that of EMR group(86.7%),and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).The local recurrence rate was 2.4%(1/41)in CSP group,and no local recurrence was observed in EMR group(0/15),with no statistical significance(P>0.05).Conclusion CSP and EMR are safe and effective in the treatment of colonic adenoma in proximity to the orifice of appendix,and they are trustworthy.Compared with EMR,CSP is more applied to small diameter tubular adenomas,which has the characteristics of economy and time saving,but at the same time there is the risk of recurrence.EMR obviously has a wider application range,but there is a disadvantage in price and time,and individual cases need to be segmented resection.
7.Latent profile analysis and influencing factors of phaseⅡ cardiac rehabilitation barriers in patients after coronary artery bypass grafting
Jia LIN ; Yun ZHAO ; Yi WANG ; Qiwei SHEN ; Qinqin HUANG ; Jieyao SHI ; Li FENG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2025;31(24):3293-3299
Objective:To explore the latent categories of barriers to PhaseⅡ cardiac rehabilitation in patients after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), and to analyze the influencing factors of different latent classes.Methods:A total of 340 CABG patients in PhaseⅡ cardiac rehabilitation were recruited by convenience sampling from two Class Ⅲ Grade A hospitals in Shanghai between January and August 2024. Data were collected using a general information questionnaire, the Cardiac Rehabilitation Barriers Scale (CRBS), and the Fear of Exercise Scale for Cardiac Patients. Latent profile analysis was used to classify the cardiac rehabilitation barriers, and multinomial Logistic regression was conducted to identify influencing factors for different latent classes.Results:Of the 340 questionnaires distributed, 319 valid responses were obtained after excluding incomplete or patterned questionnaires, with a valid response rate of 93.82% (319/340). The cardiac rehabilitation barriers among the 319 CABG patients were classified into three latent profiles: low-barrier, active rehabilitation type; moderate-barrier, poor-functioning type; and moderate-barrier, insufficient-perception type. Multinomial logistic regression analysis indicated that smoking, comorbidities, age, educational level, and fear of exercise were statistically significant influencing factors for different barrier profiles ( P<0.05) . Conclusions:Cardiac rehabilitation barriers in CABG patients exhibit heterogeneity. Medical staff should adopt targeted intervention strategies based on the specific barrier profiles, reduce patients' fear of exercise, and thereby improve rehabilitation outcomes.
8.Effect of HEDIS-based phased health education on clinical nursing in infertile patients treated with assisted reproductive technology
Xiangling HAN ; Yang WANG ; Qing ZHANG ; Yanju QIN ; Yanmin LUAN ; Qinqin ZHANG
Journal of Navy Medicine 2025;46(6):614-619
Objective To investigate the application of the Health Effective Data and Information System(HEDIS)-based phased health education in infertile patients treated with assisted reproductive technology(ART).Methods A total of 120 infertile patients who were admitted to The First Affiliated Hospital of Naval Medical University from March 2023 to September 2023 were consecutively selected and randomly assigned to observation group or control group at a ratio of 1:1 using a random number table.During the ART treatment period,the control group was given conventional nursing care,while the observation group was given HEDIS based phased health education for nursing intervention.The negative emotion score,shame score,self-management ability score,and nursing satisfaction were compared between the two groups.Results After intervention,the Hamilton Anxiety Scale(HAMA)score and Hamilton Depression Scale(HAMD)score,and self-rating scale(ISS)scores of the observation group were lower than those of the control group(P<0.05).The degree of nursing satisfaction of the observation group was higher than that of the control group(P<0.05).Conclusion The HEDIS-based phased health education can alleviate the negative emotions of anxiety and depression,reduce the sense of shame,and enhance nursing satisfaction in infertile patients during ART treatment.
9.Differences in cytokines expression between mild and severe infant cases infected with respiratory syncytial virus
Guangyu XUE ; Yuting HU ; Kexin ZONG ; Qin LUO ; Shengnan YANG ; Miao FENG ; Xiaoyu YI ; Zhiqiang XIA ; Chen GAO ; Haijun DU ; Ying LI ; Ying CHEN ; Feng HE ; Yajuan WANG ; Yingli QU ; Jin CAO ; Wenyan TIAN ; Qinqin SONG ; Hailan YAO ; Jun HAN
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2025;39(3):370-377
Objective:To analyze the clinical characteristics and cytokines expression characteristics in infants with mild and severe respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection.Methods:From May 2023 to December 2023, plasma samples and clinical information were collected from 16 infants with RSV infection and 14 control infants. Cytek Aurora flow cytometry (Cytek, America) and Enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) were used to detect the expression levels of 25 cytokines after mild and severe RSV infection.Results:Cough and nasal obstruction were the main clinical manifestations in infants with mild RSV infection, accompanied by polypnea, wheezing and other symptoms. The main symptoms of severe RSV infection were cough and rales, accompanied by fever and polypnea. In comparison with the control group, the expression levels of IL-2, IL-4, IL-5, IL-6, IL-9, IL-13, IL-22, TNF-α, IFN-α, IFN-β, MIP-1β, I-TAC, ENA-78, GROα, Eotaxin, and MCP-1 in the RSV infection group all exhibited an upregulation trend. Both IP-10 and MIP-3α demonstrated a downward trend in the RSV infection group; however, there was no statistically significant difference ( P>0.05). The levels of IL-10, IFN-γ, MIP-1α, and IL-8 in the RSV infection group were significantly higher than those in the control group, whereas the levels of MIG, TARC, and RANTES in the RSV infection group were significantly lower than those in the control group ( P<0.05). The levels of IL-2, IL-4, IL-5, IL-6, IL-9, IL-10, IL-13, IL-22, IFN-β, IFN-γ, TNF-α, IL-8, I-TAC, MIP-1β, Eotaxin, and MCP-1 in the mild RSV infection group were significantly higher than those in the severe RSV infection group ( P>0.05). Among these, the levels of MIG, RANTES, TARC, MIP-3α, and ENA-78 in the mild infection group were all lower than those in the severe infection group. The expressions of ENA-78 and MIP-1α in the severe infection group were significantly higher than those in the mild infection group and also higher than those in the control group. There was no significant difference in IP-10 and GROα between the mild and severe RSV infection groups ( P>0.05). Conclusions:The differences in clinical features and cytokines between infants with mild and severe RSV infection provide important data support for the prevention and treatment of RSV infection in infants.
10.Construction of a new predictive score for severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome combined with bacterial/fungal infections based on clinical data
Ran WANG ; Yan DAI ; Qinqin PU ; Nannan HU ; Ke JIN ; Jun LI
Chinese Journal of Infectious Diseases 2025;43(4):202-209
Objective:To study the risk factors for combined bacterial/fungal infections in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) and to develop a novel and validated prediction model.Methods:The basic data and the results of the first laboratory examination after admission were retrospectively collected from patients diagnosed with SFTS who were hospitalized in the First Affiliated Hospital, Nanjing Medical University from January 2018 to December 2022. The patients were categorized into co-infected and non-co-infected groups according to whether they had co-infections with bacterial/fungal infections or not.Independent risk factors were screened by multivariate logistic regression analyses. A novel prediction model was constructed, and the predictive value of the model was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curve. Non-parametric tests and chi-square test were used for statistical analysis.Results:A total of 294 patients were included, and 62 cases were in the combined infection group including 39 cases of simple respiratory tract infections, 11 cases of simple bloodstream infections, four cases of simple urinary tract infections, four cases of respiratory tract combined with bloodstream infection, and four cases of respiratory tract combined with urinary tract infection. Acinetobacter baumannii was mostly found in bacterial infections, with a total of 19 strains, followed by Escherichia coli and Pseudomonas aeruginosa, both with seven strains. Aspergillus were mostly common in fungi, with a total of 16 strains which were all collected from patients with pulmonary infections. Compared with the non-co-infected group, patients in the co-infected group had longer hospital stays, with statistically significant differences ( Z=-6.18, P<0.001). The patients also had higher frequencies of bleeding symptoms, neurological symptoms, severe illness, and death, with statistically significant differences ( χ2=23.91, 16.37, 15.51 and 15.58, respectively, all P<0.001). The aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) was also higher in patients with coinfection, with a statistically significant difference ( Z=-4.64, P<0.001). Multivariate binary logistic regression showed that severe illness (odds ratio ( OR)=2.567, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 1.344 to 4.904, P=0.004), blood glucose level higher than 7.782 mmol/L ( OR=4.766, 95% CI 2.493 to 9.109, P<0.001), procalcitonin level higher than 0.228 μg/L ( OR=2.487, 95% CI 1.289 to 4.799, P=0.007), and APRI value higher than 6.268 ( OR=3.032, 95% CI 1.404 to 6.548, P=0.005) were the independent risk factors for co-infections in SFTS patients. Disease severity, blood glucose, procalcitonin, and APRI were combined to construct a novel predictive model: Infect-risk score=-3.331+ 0.654×severity (severe=1, non-severe=0)+ 0.160×blood glucose+ 0.066×procalcitonin+ 0.013×APRI. The AUC for this score was 0.764 (95% CI 0.698 to 0.830, P<0.001), with Youden index of 0.416, sensitivity of 0.839, and specificity of 0.578. Conclusions:Severe illness, blood glucose levels higher than 7.782 mmol/L, procalcitonin levels above 0.228 μg/L, and APRI values above 6.268 are independent risk factors for bacterial/fungal coinfection in SFTS patients. The constructed Infect-risk score model has good predictive value for bacterial/fungal coinfection in SFTS patients.

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