1.Construction of a new predictive score for severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome combined with bacterial/fungal infections based on clinical data
Ran WANG ; Yan DAI ; Qinqin PU ; Nannan HU ; Ke JIN ; Jun LI
Chinese Journal of Infectious Diseases 2025;43(4):202-209
Objective:To study the risk factors for combined bacterial/fungal infections in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) and to develop a novel and validated prediction model.Methods:The basic data and the results of the first laboratory examination after admission were retrospectively collected from patients diagnosed with SFTS who were hospitalized in the First Affiliated Hospital, Nanjing Medical University from January 2018 to December 2022. The patients were categorized into co-infected and non-co-infected groups according to whether they had co-infections with bacterial/fungal infections or not.Independent risk factors were screened by multivariate logistic regression analyses. A novel prediction model was constructed, and the predictive value of the model was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curve. Non-parametric tests and chi-square test were used for statistical analysis.Results:A total of 294 patients were included, and 62 cases were in the combined infection group including 39 cases of simple respiratory tract infections, 11 cases of simple bloodstream infections, four cases of simple urinary tract infections, four cases of respiratory tract combined with bloodstream infection, and four cases of respiratory tract combined with urinary tract infection. Acinetobacter baumannii was mostly found in bacterial infections, with a total of 19 strains, followed by Escherichia coli and Pseudomonas aeruginosa, both with seven strains. Aspergillus were mostly common in fungi, with a total of 16 strains which were all collected from patients with pulmonary infections. Compared with the non-co-infected group, patients in the co-infected group had longer hospital stays, with statistically significant differences ( Z=-6.18, P<0.001). The patients also had higher frequencies of bleeding symptoms, neurological symptoms, severe illness, and death, with statistically significant differences ( χ2=23.91, 16.37, 15.51 and 15.58, respectively, all P<0.001). The aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) was also higher in patients with coinfection, with a statistically significant difference ( Z=-4.64, P<0.001). Multivariate binary logistic regression showed that severe illness (odds ratio ( OR)=2.567, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 1.344 to 4.904, P=0.004), blood glucose level higher than 7.782 mmol/L ( OR=4.766, 95% CI 2.493 to 9.109, P<0.001), procalcitonin level higher than 0.228 μg/L ( OR=2.487, 95% CI 1.289 to 4.799, P=0.007), and APRI value higher than 6.268 ( OR=3.032, 95% CI 1.404 to 6.548, P=0.005) were the independent risk factors for co-infections in SFTS patients. Disease severity, blood glucose, procalcitonin, and APRI were combined to construct a novel predictive model: Infect-risk score=-3.331+ 0.654×severity (severe=1, non-severe=0)+ 0.160×blood glucose+ 0.066×procalcitonin+ 0.013×APRI. The AUC for this score was 0.764 (95% CI 0.698 to 0.830, P<0.001), with Youden index of 0.416, sensitivity of 0.839, and specificity of 0.578. Conclusions:Severe illness, blood glucose levels higher than 7.782 mmol/L, procalcitonin levels above 0.228 μg/L, and APRI values above 6.268 are independent risk factors for bacterial/fungal coinfection in SFTS patients. The constructed Infect-risk score model has good predictive value for bacterial/fungal coinfection in SFTS patients.
2.Construction of a new predictive score for severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome combined with bacterial/fungal infections based on clinical data
Ran WANG ; Yan DAI ; Qinqin PU ; Nannan HU ; Ke JIN ; Jun LI
Chinese Journal of Infectious Diseases 2025;43(4):202-209
Objective:To study the risk factors for combined bacterial/fungal infections in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) and to develop a novel and validated prediction model.Methods:The basic data and the results of the first laboratory examination after admission were retrospectively collected from patients diagnosed with SFTS who were hospitalized in the First Affiliated Hospital, Nanjing Medical University from January 2018 to December 2022. The patients were categorized into co-infected and non-co-infected groups according to whether they had co-infections with bacterial/fungal infections or not.Independent risk factors were screened by multivariate logistic regression analyses. A novel prediction model was constructed, and the predictive value of the model was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curve. Non-parametric tests and chi-square test were used for statistical analysis.Results:A total of 294 patients were included, and 62 cases were in the combined infection group including 39 cases of simple respiratory tract infections, 11 cases of simple bloodstream infections, four cases of simple urinary tract infections, four cases of respiratory tract combined with bloodstream infection, and four cases of respiratory tract combined with urinary tract infection. Acinetobacter baumannii was mostly found in bacterial infections, with a total of 19 strains, followed by Escherichia coli and Pseudomonas aeruginosa, both with seven strains. Aspergillus were mostly common in fungi, with a total of 16 strains which were all collected from patients with pulmonary infections. Compared with the non-co-infected group, patients in the co-infected group had longer hospital stays, with statistically significant differences ( Z=-6.18, P<0.001). The patients also had higher frequencies of bleeding symptoms, neurological symptoms, severe illness, and death, with statistically significant differences ( χ2=23.91, 16.37, 15.51 and 15.58, respectively, all P<0.001). The aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) was also higher in patients with coinfection, with a statistically significant difference ( Z=-4.64, P<0.001). Multivariate binary logistic regression showed that severe illness (odds ratio ( OR)=2.567, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 1.344 to 4.904, P=0.004), blood glucose level higher than 7.782 mmol/L ( OR=4.766, 95% CI 2.493 to 9.109, P<0.001), procalcitonin level higher than 0.228 μg/L ( OR=2.487, 95% CI 1.289 to 4.799, P=0.007), and APRI value higher than 6.268 ( OR=3.032, 95% CI 1.404 to 6.548, P=0.005) were the independent risk factors for co-infections in SFTS patients. Disease severity, blood glucose, procalcitonin, and APRI were combined to construct a novel predictive model: Infect-risk score=-3.331+ 0.654×severity (severe=1, non-severe=0)+ 0.160×blood glucose+ 0.066×procalcitonin+ 0.013×APRI. The AUC for this score was 0.764 (95% CI 0.698 to 0.830, P<0.001), with Youden index of 0.416, sensitivity of 0.839, and specificity of 0.578. Conclusions:Severe illness, blood glucose levels higher than 7.782 mmol/L, procalcitonin levels above 0.228 μg/L, and APRI values above 6.268 are independent risk factors for bacterial/fungal coinfection in SFTS patients. The constructed Infect-risk score model has good predictive value for bacterial/fungal coinfection in SFTS patients.
3.Comparison of clinical features between chronic active Epstein-Barr virus infection and infectious mononucleosis in adult patients
Qinqin PU ; Nannan HU ; Yan DAI ; Zhengyi JIANG ; Jingjing DAI ; Ke JIN ; Jun LI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Infectious Diseases 2022;15(5):360-365,378
Objective:To compare the clinical features between chronic active Epstein-Barr virus infection(CAEBV) and infectious mononucleosis(IM)in adult patients.Methods:Clinical data from 56 adult IM patients and 14 adult CAEBV patients admitted in the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University during January 2011 to December 2019 were enrolled. Clinical manifestations, laboratory indicators, treatment and outcomes were compared between two groups. Chi-square test and Mann-whitney U test were used to analyze data. Results:The average age of CAEBV patients was higher than that of IM patients [36.0(23.8, 50.5)years vs. 19.0(17.3, 22.8) years; U=90.0, P<0.05]. The symptoms of sore throat, throat congestion, tonsilla enlargement and lymphadenopathy in IM group were more common than those in CAEBV group( χ2=14.088, 16.875, 31.855 and 10.938, all P<0.01). However, the incidence of pulmonary infection, sleepiness/dysphoria and splenomegaly in CAEBV group were significantly higher than those in IM group( χ2=17.217, 5.809 and 6.254, P<0.05 or <0.01). The white blood cell counts, hemoglobin levels, platelet counts, alanine aminotransferase(ALT) and albumin in CAEBV group were significantly lower than those in IM group( U=47.0, 49.5, 158.5, 173.0 and 263.5, all P<0.01). The levels of neutrophil ratio, C-reactive protein, serum ferritin and EBV DNA load in CAEBV group were significantly higher than those in IM group( U=145.0, 140.0, 128.5 and 115.0, P<0.05 or <0.01). The proportions of CD3 + T cell counts and CD8 + T cell counts in CAEBV group were significantly lower compared to those in IM group( U=42.0 and 24.5, P<0.01); the proportions of CD4 + T cell counts, the CD4 + T/CD8 + T cell counts ratio and B lymphocytes in CAEBV group were significantly higher compared to those in IM group( U=29.0, 23.5 and 34.5, P<0.01). Fifty-six IM patients were all cured and discharged from hospital. In CAEBV group, 8 cases died, 3 cases were improved and 3 cases lost follow-up. Conclusions:Patients with IM represent a favorable prognosis, while the prognosis of CAEBV is relatively poor and complication with HLH may occur. For older patients with EBV infection complicated with pulmonary infection, lethargy/irritability, attention should be paid to monitor blood routine, liver function, serum EBV DNA load and peripheral blood lymphocyte subsets.

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