1.Predicting intraoperative blood transfusion risk in hip fracture patients using explainable machine learning models
Fengting LU ; Xiaoming LI ; Dekui LI ; Xianyuan XIE ; Jiazhong WANG ; Qing YU ; Gan HUANG ; Jun SHEN
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(2):196-202
Objective: To investigate the factors influencing intraoperative blood transfusion in patients with hip fractures and to develop a machine learning (ML) model for predicting this risk. Methods: A total of 424 patients with hip fractures who underwent surgical treatment between November 2022 and March 2025 in our hospital were selected. Key feature variables of intraoperative blood transfusion risk were identified using the Boruta algorithm. Four different ML algorithms—support vector machine (SVM), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), mixed discriminant analysis (MDA), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)—were used to develop predictive models for intraoperative blood transfusion risk. The predictive performance of the four ML models were evaluated using accuracy, precision, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, precision-recall curves (PRC), precision-recall gain curves (PRGC), and F1 scores. Shapley additive interpretation (SHAP) was used to interpret the final model. Results: Among the 424 patients, 77(18.2%) received intraoperative blood transfusion. The Boruta algorithm identified albumin (ALB), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), types of anesthesia, types of fracture, and hemoglobin (Hb) as key feature variables for predicting intraoperative blood transfusion risk. In model evaluation, the SVM model outperforms the other three models across multiple metrics, including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), recall, recall gain, accuracy, precision, F1 score, and the area under the precision-recall curve (PRC-AUC). The SVM model, interpreted and visualized based on SHAP values, effectively predicted intraoperative blood transfusion risk in patients with hip fracture. A visual online application was developed based on the SVM model (https://pbo-nomogram.shinyapps.io/blood/). Conclusion: Preoperative low ALB and Hb levels, prolonged APTT, general anesthesia, and intertrochanteric fractures are risk factors for intraoperative blood transfusion in hip fracture patients. The risk prediction model for intraoperative blood transfusion constructed based on the SVM algorithm has optimal performance, which provides new ideas and methods for the clinical early identification of hip fracture patients with high transfusion risk and the implementation of targeted interventions.
2.Psychological Stress-induced Immune Dysregulation: The Key Factor Undermining Aerobic Exercise’s Antagonism Against Tumor Progression
Xin ZHOU ; Hua ZHANG ; Jing-Jing LIU ; Hui-Xin PAN ; Jing ZHANG ; Qing-Lu WANG
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(6):1656-1671
Cancer is one of the most lethal and burdensome diseases worldwide. Its progression not only causes irreversible damage to the body, but also imposes a substantial psychological burden on patients due to its complex prognosis. Immune imbalance, a hallmark of the tumor microenvironment (TME), accelerates tumor invasion and metastasis by impairing the function of effector immune cells, promoting the abnormal infiltration of immunosuppressive cells, and disrupting cytokine homeostasis, thereby constituting a major barrier to the efficacy of cancer immunotherapy. Compared with conventional chemotherapy and radiotherapy, aerobic exercise has shown considerable potential in antagonizing tumor progression through relatively mild but effective immunomodulatory mechanisms. On the one hand, regular aerobic exercise enhances the number and activity of key effector immune cells, such as CD8+ T cells, thereby strengthening their ability to recognize and eliminate tumor cells and alleviate immune imbalance. On the other hand, aerobic exercise promotes tumor vascular normalization, improves vascular maturity, and stimulates the secretion of irisin and other anti-inflammatory myokines, thereby remodeling the TME and relieving its immunosuppressive state to delay tumor progression. However, psychological stress following a cancer diagnosis can not only act as an independent disruptive factor that exacerbates immune imbalance within the TME, but also amplify the effects of other detrimental factors, such as reduced treatment adherence, thereby further weakening the antagonistic effect of aerobic exercise on tumor growth. Psychological stress, as a chronic stressor, promotes the excessive secretion of emotion-related hormones, including glucocorticoids (GCs) and norepinephrine (NE), which further suppress the activation and effector functions of antitumor immune cells such as CD8+ T cells and natural killer (NK) cells, while facilitating the recruitment of protumor immune cells such as regulatory T cells (Tregs). These changes ultimately disrupt immune homeostasis in the TME, promote tumor immune evasion, accelerate tumor invasion and metastasis, and offset the beneficial effects of aerobic exercise on tumor control. In addition, psychological stress induces hyperactivation of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis and abnormal excitation of the sympathetic nervous system (SNS), thereby maintaining elevated levels of GCs, NE, and related stress hormones, suppressing inflammatory chemokine expression and immune cell recruitment, and further disturbing immune homeostasis in the TME, which accelerates tumor progression. More importantly, prolonged psychological stress can also disrupt the homeostasis of central neurotransmitters, such as 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT) and glutamate (Glu). This not only directly inhibits the activation and effector functions of antitumor immune cells and promotes the establishment of an immunosuppressive microenvironment, but also impairs cellular energy metabolism and continuously provides energy for tumor cells through metabolic reprogramming, thereby sustaining rapid tumor growth and adaptation to a hostile TME. Ultimately, these alterations contribute to the dysregulation of “neuro-endocrine-immune” axis and weaken the protective effect of aerobic exercise against tumor progression. Therefore, this review focuses on the interaction between psychological stress and the “neuro-endocrine-immune” axis, with particular emphasis on the mechanisms by which psychological stress induces immune imbalance and weakens the antagonistic effect of aerobic exercise on tumor progression. We further highlight the important role of psychological stress in tumor progression and propose that combining psychotropic interventions, aerobic exercise, and clinical antitumor immunotherapy may help restore the tumor-killing capacity of the immune system. Such a multimodal strategy may exert synergistic effects at multiple levels, including psychological stress relief, neuroendocrine regulation, and reconstruction of immune homeostasis, thereby providing new perspectives for identifying therapeutic targets in solid tumors, enhancing the efficacy of cancer immunotherapy, and improving patient prognosis.
3.Etiology and treatment of dysuria shortly after holmium laser enucleation of the prostate: a report of 98 cases
Chao LU ; Xin GU ; Wenfeng LI ; Chong LIU ; Bao HUA ; Jiangyi WANG ; Minkai XIE ; Yiwei WANG ; Qing YANG
Journal of Modern Urology 2026;31(5):435-439
Objective To investigate the etiology and treatment of dysuria shortly after holmium laser enucleation of the prostate (HoLEP) for benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH), so as to improve the therapeutic efficacy. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 1361 BPH patients who received HoLEP at our hospital during Mar. 2018 and Mar. 2025. All patients underwent ultrasound, computed tomography (CT), urethral probing or radiography, cystourethroscopy, and urodynamic testing. The causes, treatments and prognosis of dysuria after operation were summarized. Results ninety-eight patients (7.2%) experienced dysuria within 3 months after surgery, and all patients received initial urethral dilation. Among the 62 cases with urethral stricture, 28 were treated with urethral dilation (average of 8 sessions), 16 underwent external urethral incision, 8 underwent anterior urethroplasty, and 10 underwent transurethral plasma incision for urethral stricture. Of the 12 cases with residual prostate tissue, 5 underwent urethral plasma prostatectomy and 7 received medication. All of the 12 cases with bladder neck contracture underwent transurethral plasma incision of the bladder neck and local drug injection. Five cases with intravesical blood clots underwent urethral blood clot irrigation, 2 of which developed active bleeding and then underwent electrocoagulation. Four cases with detrusor dysfunction had catheters re-indwelled for one week followed by medication. Two cases with stone and one case with tissue fragment impacted in the urethra underwent urethral holmium lithotripsy and cystoscopic removal. All patients underwent reoperation successfully and experienced complete resolution or significant improvement of urinary difficulties. Conclusion A certain proportion of patients experience dysuria after HoLEP, with diverse etiologies. The combination of prevention and treatment can reduce the incidence of dysuria.
4.Analysis of risk factors for myopia in preschool children
Kang LU ; Jie XIAO ; Youhai WANG ; Kangrui LIU ; Qing WANG
International Eye Science 2025;25(8):1363-1370
AIM: To investigate the risk factors of myopia, and provide evidence for the prevention and treatment of myopia in preschool children.METHODS:This is a retrospective case-control study. A total of 168 preschool-aged children(168 eyes)were enrolled from the ophthalmology department at Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University between September 2021 and September 2023, selecting the eye with poorer vision for inclusion; the right eye was selected when both eyes had equal vision. Grouping criteria: Children with spherical equivalent(SE)>0 D and age-appropriate normal visual acuity(≥0.5 for ages 3-5; ≥0.7 for ages 6-7)were directly assigned to the non-myopia group. Children with SE <0 D underwent cycloplegic refraction after 3 days of 1% atropine sulfate gel application(three times daily). Those with SE ≤-0.50 D and failure to achieve age-normal visual acuity(<0.5 for ages 3-5; <0.7 for ages 6-7)were assigned to the myopia group, with 84 children(84 eyes)in each group. All participants underwent measurements of visual acuity, intraocular pressure, refraction, and ocular biometric parameters. Parents or guardians completed risk factor questionnaires during the visit, covering daily outdoor activity duration, daily electronic device usage/reading time, parental myopia status, maternal delivery mode, and full-term birth status.RESULTS:Significant differences were observed in uncorrected visual acuity, spherical power, SE, and axial length between the two groups of children(all P<0.05). No statistically significant differences were found in daily sleep duration, daily reading/homework time, maternal myopia status, mode of delivery, or full-term delivery status(all P>0.05). However, significant differences existed in daily outdoor activity time, daily electronic device usage duration, maternal myopia degree, paternal myopia degree, maternal age of myopia onset, and paternal age of myopia onset(all P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis identified the following risk factors for myopia in preschool children: daily outdoor activity under 2 h, daily electronic device use exceeding 60 min, maternal myopia degree, maternal early-onset myopia, paternal high myopia, and paternal early-onset myopia. Analysis of interaction effects children gender and myopia-related factors on SE revealed significant interactions of children gender with paternal myopia degree, maternal and paternal age of myopia onset(P<0.05). Simple effects analysis further demonstrated that girls exhibited higher degree of myopia than boys in families with paternal early-onset myopia, maternal early-onset myopia, or paternal high myopia(P<0.05).CONCLUSION:Insufficient daily outdoor activity time(under 1 h), daily electronic device use exceeding 60 min, and parental myopia are significant risk factors for myopia development in preschool children. Among these children, girls' refractive status was particularly associated with parental refractive status.
5.Additional value of CT fraction flow reserve in predicting the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus
Yuanyuan WANG ; Ting LU ; Mengyuan JING ; Huaze XI ; Qing LIU ; Qiu SUN ; Hao ZHU ; Junlin ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2025;59(4):425-431
Objective:To investigate the additional prognostic value of coronary CT angiography (CCTA)-based flow reserve fraction (CT-FFR) over semi-quantitative CCTA risk scores in predicting the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in type 2 diabetic patients.Methods:A total of 231 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who underwent CCTA at Lanzhou University from May 2020 to April 2021 were retrospectively enrolled. Clinical baseline data were collected, and patients were divided into a MACE-positive group (20 cases) and a MACE-negative group (211 cases) based on follow-up results. The CCTA images of all patients were analyzed by semi-quantitative CCTA risk score, which included coronary artery disease reporting and data system classification, segment involvement score, segmental stenosis score, Leaman score, and Leiden score. CT-FFR measurements of CCTA data of all patients were performed using Coronary Analysis software. t-test, U-test, and χ2 test were used to compare baseline parameters between MACE-positive and MACE-negative groups. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to analyze the relationship between semi-quantitative CCTA risk score and CT-FFR with the occurrence of MACE, and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) was used to calculate the efficacy of the prediction model established by the semi-quantitative CCTA risk score combined with CT-FFR. Results:There was no statistically significant difference in baseline data between patients in the MACE-positive and MACE-negative groups ( P>0.05), and there were significant differences in semi-quantitative CCTA risk scores and CT-FFR ( P<0.05). Multivariate Cox proportional risk regression analysis of CT-FFR≤0.80 ( HR=3.860, 95% CI 1.477-10.087, P=0.006) and Leaman score≥5 ( HR=5.210, 95% CI 1.136-23.908, P=0.029) were the best and independent predictors for the occurrence of MACE events. The combined CT-FFR and Leaman score prediction model (AUC=0.791, 95% CI 0.733-0.842, P<0.001) was a better predictor of MACE than CT-FFR alone (AUC=0.718, 95% CI 0.656-0.775, P<0.001) and Leaman score alone (AUC=0.711, 95% CI 0.648-0.768, P<0.001) both had better predictive efficacy ( Z=2.62, 1.98, P=0.009, 0.047). Conclusion:CT-FFR independently predict the occurrence of MACE in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and significantly improve the predictive capacity of semi-quantitative CCTA risk score for MACE.
6.Effects of brain-computer interface training on upper limb functional rehabilitation in stroke patients: an overview of systematic reviews
Shuying LU ; Mengxian OU ; Yunyun LIU ; Yuanyuan JI ; Naqin ZHANG ; Hongchao DUAN ; Qing BAN ; Jun WANG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2025;31(27):3685-3690
Objective:To implement an overview of systematic reviews on the effects of brain-computer interface training on upper limb functional rehabilitation in stroke patients.Methods:The systematic review/Meta-analysis of the effect of brain-computer interface training on upper limb functional rehabilitation in stroke patients was electronically retrieved in PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Embase, CINAHL, Embase, Joanna Briggs Institute Evidence-Based Health Care Center Database, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Data, VIP and China Biology Medicine disc. The search period was from database establishment to November 2024. Two researchers independently performed literature screening and data extraction and evaluated the quality of methodology, reporting, and evidence.Results:A total of 14 systematic reviews/Meta-analyses were included. The results showed that brain-computer interface training helped to improve upper limb motor function, muscle strength and activities of daily living in stroke patients, but the rehabilitative effect on muscle spasm needed to be further confirmed.Conclusions:Brain-computer interface training helps to improve upper limb motor function, muscle strength and activities of daily living in stroke patients. However, the methodological quality and reporting quality of the current studies are poor, and there is still a need for high-quality studies with rigorous design and standardized process to provide reference for clinical practice.
7.New-onset urethral stricture after transurethral holmium laser enucleation of the prostate and analysis on its influencing factors
Jie WANG ; Chenxi YE ; Qiang HU ; Guorong YANG ; Xiaowei HAO ; Yin LU ; Fan GAO ; Qing YUAN
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(12):1342-1349
Objective To systematic analyze the risk factors for new-onset urethral stricture after transurethral holmium laser enucleation of the prostate(HoLEP)in the treatment of benign prostatic hyperplasia(BPH).Methods A case-control study was conducted on 746 BPH patients undergoing HoLEP treatment in Department of Urology of the Third Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from November 2021 to August 2024.After 23 cases were excluded because of complication of prostate cancer,finally 723 patients were included.General clinical data such as age,height,weight,history of smoking and drinking,perioperative parameters,and follow-up data at 1,3 and 6 months after operation were collected.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify the clinical risk factors for new-onset urethral stricture after HoLEP.Results The subjected patients had a median age of 66.5(64.0,75.0)years,and a preoperative median prostate volume of 66(45,92)mL,and a median indwelling catheter time of 4(4,5)d.The incidence of new urethral stricture after operation was 5.8%(42/723),with membranous part of the urethra(61.9%)the most common site,followed by the external urethral orifice(21.4%)and the bladder neck(7.1%).Risk factor analysis indicated that low BMI(<18.5 kg/m2)(OR=4.682,P=0.037),young age(OR=0.946,P=0.005),and postoperative urinary tract infection(OR=4.513,P=0.001)were independent risk factors for new-onset urethral stricture after surgery.Prostate volume and indwelling time of urinary catheter had no significant association with the occurrence of new urethral stricture after surgery.Conclusion The occurrence of new-onset urethral stricture after HoLEP is significantly correlated with BMI,age and urinary tract infection.The above 3 factors can be used as better predictors of new-onset urethral stricture after HoLEP.
8.Risk prediction models for carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii infection in ICU patients established based on 5 types of machine learning algorithms
Chen JIA ; Yan GAO ; Xili XIE ; Feng ZHAO ; Haiming QING ; Lu WANG
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(17):2586-2591
OBJECTIVE To establish the an optimal prediction model for carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter bau-mannii(CRAB)infection in ICU patients based on machine learning(ML)so as to help clinicians to diagnose and make decisions.METHODS The clinical data were collected from the patients who were hospitalized in ICUs of a three-A hospital from Jan.1,2017 to Dec.31,2024 and were randomly divided into the training set and the test set in a 7∶3 ratio.The characteristic variables were selected by means of LASSO regression analysis in combina-tion with multivariate logistic regression analysis.Five types of M L classification models were integrated,the opti-mal model was analyzed and identified.The performance of the prediction model for CRAB infection in the ICU patients was evaluated with the use of sensitivity,specificity,accuracy,areas under receiver operating characteris-tic curves(AUCs),calibration curves,Hosmer-Lemeshow test and decision curve analysis(DCA).The outputs of the ML models were interpreted by Shapley additive explanations(SHAP)and permutation importance.RESULTS A total of 2 904 patients were enrolled in the study,695(23.93%)of whom had CRAB infection.The AUC of XGBoost model was highest in the training set and the test set,respectively(0.994 and 0.907).The result of Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the calibration curves of the XGBoost model indicated that the predicated risk was highly con-sistent with the observed risk(x2=7.323 and 4.609,P=0.513 and 0.764,respectively).The DCA curves showed that the XGBoost model performed best within the whole range of threshold,with the highest net profit.The length of ICU stay,use of tigecycline,central venous catheterization,use of carbapenems and use of ventilator were determined as the major predictive factors by means of SHAP.CONCLUSIONS The XGBoost model is established and interpreted by SHAP.It provides bases for screening of the ICU patients at high risk of CRAB infection.
10.Comparative analysis of ion-selective electrode method and high-throughput rapid determination method for determination of fluoride level in drinking water
Guanglan PU ; Cuiling LA ; Qing LU ; Xin ZHOU ; Ping CHEN ; Yanan LI ; Peizhen YANG ; Lansheng HU ; Mingjun WANG ; Ping YANG ; Xianya MENG ; Qiang ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2025;44(1):57-60
Objective:To analyze the differences in determination of fluoride level in drinking water by ion-selective electrode method and high-throughput rapid determination method.Methods:The precision test was carried out by using the two methods to measure two kinds of fluoride standard substances, water samples of external quality control assessment from 2021 to 2023 (two kinds each year) and the fluoride level in three drinking water samples (for 5 times/each sample). Accuracy testing was conducted by measuring the external quality control assessment water samples and the spiked recovery rates drinking water, and water samples were grouped (water fluoride ≤1.00, > 1.00 mg/L) and analyzed according to the "Hygienic Standards for Drinking Water" (GB 5749-85). SPSS 23.0 software was used for statistical analysis of the measurement results.Results:(1) The correlation coefficients ( r) of the working curves of the two methods were both > 0.990, meeting the quality control requirements. (2) In the precision test, when comparing the results of the two methods for detecting two kinds of fluoride standard substances, there was no statistically significant difference ( F = 0.36, 0.15, P = 0.564, 0.707), and the coefficients of variation ( CV) were all < 5%. The CV of the detection results of the external quality control assessment water samples and drinking water samples were < 5%. (3) In the accuracy test, when the fluoride concentration in water was ≤1.00 mg/L, there was no statistically significant difference in the spiked recovery rates between the two methods ( F = 0.49, P = 0.504). When the fluoride concentration in water was > 1.00 mg/L, there was a statistically significant difference in the spiked recovery rates between the two methods ( F = 24.75, P = 0.003). Conclusions:The ion-selective electrode method has the advantages of wide detection range and wide adaptability, while the high-throughput rapid determination method has high accuracy. Testing personnel can weigh and choose the appropriate determination method based on the actual laboratory conditions and sample concentration range.

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