1.Detection and trends of HIVAIDS cases in medical institutions in China from 2017 to 2023
LIANG Fuxin ; WANG Shaorong ; QIN Qianqian ; LI Hui ; HAN Jing ; XU Jie
China Tropical Medicine 2025;25(3):358-
Objective To analyse the crude detection rate and trends of newly detected HIV/AIDS cases in medical institutions in China from 2017 to 2023, and to provide a reference for optimizing HIV testing strategies in medical institutions. Methods Data on HIV testing and newly reported HIV/AIDS cases were analysed using data from the Comprehensive AIDS Prevention and Control Information System of the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention for the period from 2017 to 2023. HIV testing in medical institutions includes patients tested preoperatively, those tested before transfusion, those tested in sexually transmitted disease (STD) clinics, prenatal care clinics, and other types of patients. Descriptive statistical analysis and χ2 test were performed using SAS 9.4 software. Joinpoint regression was performed using Joinpoint 4.9.0 software to analyse trends of the crude detection rates over time. Results From 2017 to 2023, the person-times of HIV tests in medical institutions increased from 143 million to 255 million, with an increase of 78.07%. The number of newly detected HIV/AIDS cases increased from 74 000 to 88 000 and then declined to 69 000. The crude detection rate of new HIV/AIDS cases declined from 5.18/10 000 to 2.71/10 000, showed a declining trend, the mean annual percentage change was -9.99%(P<0.001). The crude detection rate of new HIV/AIDS cases in STD clinics was the highest among all types of clinic visits (12.79/10 000-24.47/10 000), and the crude detection rate of new cases among all types of clinic visits showed a decreasing trend(P<0.05). Among different medical institutions, general hospitals were the most important source of the number of tests and the number of newly detected HIV/AIDS cases, accounting for more than 62.93% and 62.68%, respectively. Specialised medical institutions had the highest crude detection rate of new cases, which was maintained at more than 5.13/10 000. The crude detection rate of new cases for all four types of medical institutions, except for primary medical institutions, showed a decreasing trend (P<0.05). Conclusions The detection rate of new cases in medical institutions showed a decreasing trend in 2017-2023, and the efficiency of STD clinics testing and detection was higher among all types of attendees. General hospitals are the main source of new cases detection, and testing in specialised medical institutions is more efficient. Testing should be strengthened in key groups of patients and in key medical institutions.
2.Effect of regional crosstalk between sympathetic nerves and sensory nerves on temporomandibular joint osteoarthritic pain.
Zhangyu MA ; Qianqian WAN ; Wenpin QIN ; Wen QIN ; Janfei YAN ; Yina ZHU ; Yuzhu WANG ; Yuxuan MA ; Meichen WAN ; Xiaoxiao HAN ; Haoyan ZHAO ; Yuxuan HOU ; Franklin R TAY ; Lina NIU ; Kai JIAO
International Journal of Oral Science 2025;17(1):3-3
Temporomandibular joint osteoarthritis (TMJ-OA) is a common disease often accompanied by pain, seriously affecting physical and mental health of patients. Abnormal innervation at the osteochondral junction has been considered as a predominant origin of arthralgia, while the specific mechanism mediating pain remains unclear. To investigate the underlying mechanism of TMJ-OA pain, an abnormal joint loading model was used to induce TMJ-OA pain. We found that during the development of TMJ-OA, the increased innervation of sympathetic nerve of subchondral bone precedes that of sensory nerves. Furthermore, these two types of nerves are spatially closely associated. Additionally, it was discovered that activation of sympathetic neural signals promotes osteoarthritic pain in mice, whereas blocking these signals effectively alleviates pain. In vitro experiments also confirmed that norepinephrine released by sympathetic neurons promotes the activation and axonal growth of sensory neurons. Moreover, we also discovered that through releasing norepinephrine, regional sympathetic nerves of subchondral bone were found to regulate growth and activation of local sensory nerves synergistically with other pain regulators. This study identified the role of regional sympathetic nerves in mediating pain in TMJ-OA. It sheds light on a new mechanism of abnormal innervation at the osteochondral junction and the regional crosstalk between peripheral nerves, providing a potential target for treating TMJ-OA pain.
Animals
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Osteoarthritis/physiopathology*
;
Mice
;
Sympathetic Nervous System/physiopathology*
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Temporomandibular Joint Disorders/physiopathology*
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Arthralgia
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Sensory Receptor Cells
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Disease Models, Animal
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Norepinephrine
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Male
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Temporomandibular Joint/physiopathology*
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Pain Measurement
3.Investigation on the basic situation of pre-analytical quality management in blood station laboratories in North China
Jing SUN ; Hongwei GE ; Zhengmin LIU ; Qianqian QIN ; Wei HAN ; Tong PAN ; Dongli JIAO ; Xiaolan DONG ; Rui WANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(11):1514-1520
Objective: To investigate the basic situation of pre-analytical quality management in blood station laboratories in North China, and to provide baseline data for promoting the homogenization and standardization of these pre-analytical processes in each blood station laboratory. Methods: A cross-sectional status survey was designed based on the quality management regulations of blood stations, ISO15189 standards and relevant quality management requirements. This survey covering various aspects including laboratory general situation, sample collection and temporary storage, transportation, reception, and quality continuous improvement situations. Data analysis was performed on the survey results of each laboratory. Results: All the 38 blood station laboratories in North China had established a pre-analytical quality management system framework and implemented basic pre-analytical quality control activities; however, there were differences in implementation. 1) Among the 12 basic quality items, 3 items were monitored by all the investigated laboratories (100%), 6 items were monitored by the vast majority of laboratories (about 90%), and 3 items were monitored by a portion of laboratories (about 60%). There were no significant differences in the monitoring index among the three regions and among different types of laboratories (P>0.05). 2) Among the total of 26 items in the three key processes before testing (sample collection and storage, transportation, reception and processing), 12 items were monitored by all laboratories (100%), 11 items were monitored by the vast majority of laboratories (about 90%), and 3 items were monitored by a portion of laboratories (about 75%). There were no significant differences in monitoring index among different regions and types of laboratories (P>0.05). Conclusion: This survey provides a reference and basis for the gap analysis of the pre-analytical process quality management in 38 blood station laboratories across North China. It facilitates laboratories in identifying pre-analytical quality problems, resolving problems, preventing errors, and ensuring that the quality of blood samples before testing meets the established requirements. It lays a foundation for the homogenization of pre-analytical quality management in regional blood stations.
4.Analysis of unqualified pre-analytical samples in blood station laboratories in North China
Zhengmin LIU ; Hongwei GE ; Qianqian QIN ; Wei HAN ; Tong PAN ; Dongli JIAO ; Xiaolan DONG ; Rui WANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(11):1521-1528
Objective: To determine the frequency and main reasons of unqualified samples by analyzing the quality of pre-analytical samples in blood stations in North China, thereby providing a reference and basis for gap analysis in the implementation of pre-analytical process quality management for participating laboratories and ensuring that only high-standard and high-quality blood samples proceed to testing. Methods: Data on the quality of pre-analytical samples from blood station laboratories in North China was collected via questionnaire. Statistical analysis were performed on: 1) the basic information of samples quality monitoring in the laboratories; 2) the distribution of the overall pre-analytical unqualified rate of samples and the pre-analytical unqualified rate of samples in each laboratory; 3) the distribution of reasons for sample disqualification. Results: 1) The overall pre-analytical unqualified rate of samples in blood station laboratories in North China was 4.55, with a total sigma level of 5.39σ. The 25th, 50th and 75th percentiles (P25, P50, P75) for the total unqualified rate were 0.00, 1.10 and 5.96, respectively. The corresponding percentiles for the Sigma level were 5.34σ, 5.71σ, and 6.00σ, respectively. The pre-analytical unqualified rate of serological and nucleic acid samples (4.89 vs 4.22) showed a significant difference (χ
=9.575, P<0.05). 2) The average unqualified rate of samples in region A, B and C was 1.71, 9.50 and 12.64 (χ
=1 590.721, P<0.05), and the sigma level was 5.66σ, 5.21σ and 5.16σ, respectively. 3) The main reasons for unqualified serological samples were chylous blood (72.65%), hemolysis (17.39%), abnormal hematocrit (5.80%), and insufficient volume (3.50%). The main reasons for the unqualified nucleic acid samples were chylous blood (78.26%), hemolysis (8.84%), failure to centrifuge as required (5.01%), abnormal hematocrit (4.66%), and insufficient volume (1.92%). Conclusion: In North China, the quality indicators for the pre-analytical processes in blood station laboratories are generally well-managed. Laboratories in region A outperformed the national average in pre-analytical specimen quality control. However, participating laboratories exhibit gaps in implementing pre-analytical quality management. Through effective analysis of pre-analytical process quality metrics and inter-laboratory comparisons, laboratories can identify discrepancies and address shortcomings. By establishing clear quality objectives, they can achieve continuous improvement and ensure the validity of test results.
5.Investigation on the management of hemolytic and lipemic samples in the preanalytical phase in blood station laboratories in North China
Jing SUN ; Hongwei GE ; Zhengmin LIU ; Qianqian QIN ; Wei HAN ; Tong PAN ; Dongli JIAO ; Xiaolan DONG ; Rui WANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(11):1529-1534
Objective: To investigate the assessment criteria and subsequent handling practices of hemolytic and lipemic blood samples before testing in blood screening laboratories in North China, and to provide data to support the standardization of their management in blood station laboratories. Methods: Data on the preanalytical management of hemolytic and lipemic samples from 38 laboratories were collected. The details of management on the criteria and verificatioon for assessment, the assessment methods, and subsequent handling procedures of hemolytic and lipemic samples in blood station laboratories were analyzed. Results: 1) All 38 blood station laboratories monitored serological and nucleic acid samples for hemolysis and lipemia in pre-analytical phase. 2) The criteria and methods for assessing hemolytic and lipemic samples varied among the laboratories of the 38 blood stations. 15 laboratories (39.47%) followed manufacturer's instructions, 9 laboratories (23.68%) formulated their own criteria, and 14 laboratories (36.84%) referred to the criteria of other laboratories. 16 laboratories (42.11%) verified the criteria for assessing hemolytic and lipemic samples, with significant variations in verification rate across laboratories from different regions (P<0.05). For the assessment methods, visual inspection was used by 28 laboratories (73.68%) for hemolytic samples and by 27 laboratories (71.05%) for lipemic samples; the colorimetric card method was used by 10 laboratories (26.32%) for assessing both hemolytic and lipemic samples; the instrumental method was used by 1 laboratory (2.63%) for assessing lipemic samples.3) The handling procedures for hemolytic and lipemic samples varied significantly and followed a gradient distribution pattern among 38 laboratories (including accepting samples for testing, accepting samples for concession testing, re-collecting samples, and rejecting samples and halting testing). With increasing severity of hemolysis and lipemia, more laboratories halted testing, and relatively fewer laboratories accepted samples for normal testing. 5 laboratories (13.16%) applied different handling procedures on serological and nucleic acid samples. Conclusion: This survey provides a reference and basis for analyzing gaps in the management of hemolytic and lipemic samples during the preanalyical phase in blood station laboratories in North China. It enables laboratories to identify the problems and deficiencies in the management of hemolytic and lipemic samples, to ensure preanalytical samples quality meets the established requirements, and to lay a foundation for promoting the homogenization and standardization of the regional sample quality management mode.
6.Clinical characteristics and efficacy of vocal fold epidermoid cysts coexisting with sulcus vocalis
Jing ZHANG ; Qianqian HAN ; Jianjian WANG ; Zhen SUN ; Haiyan ZHANG ; Wei XU
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2024;59(3):219-226
Objective:To investigate the clinical characteristics and voice outcomes after laryngeal microsurgery for vocal fold epidermoid cysts coexisting with sulcus vocalis.Methods:The clinical data of 115 vocal fold epidermoid cysts coexisting with sulcus vocalis patients in Shandong provincial ENT hospital, were retrospectively analyzed, including 49 males and 66 females, aged 17-70 years old, and the duration of hoarseness ranged from 6 months to 30 years. All patients underwent surgery through suspension laryngoscope and microscope under general anestgesia. Ninety-four patients were treated with microflap excision of sulcus vocalis, cyst wall, and contents.And 21 patients that occulted with mucosal bridges were applied mucosal bridges resection (2 cases) and mucosal bridges reconstruction (19 cases) respectively. Videolaryngoscopy, subjective voice evaluation (GRBAS), objective voice evaluation, and Voice Handicap Index(VHI) were performed before and after surgery. All patients underwent histopathologic examination and follow-up after the procedure. The preoperative acoustic parameters of patients with vocal fold epidermoid cysts coexisting with sulcus vocalis were compared with those of vocal fold mucus retention cysts and simple vocal fold epidermoid cysts by independent samples t-test. The patients were compared by paired t-test for preoperative and postoperative parameters. Results:Significant reduction or lack of mucosal waves were shown via videolaryngostroboscopy in all 115 cases.In addition, vascular changes including dilation, tortuousness, increased branches, and abrupt direction change were shown on the cystic area. Eighty-one patients were detected cysts and/or sulcus vocalis by preoperative laryngoscopy, and intraoperative microscopic findings in the remaining 34 patients. The intraoperative microscopic examination revealed a focal pouch-like deficit plunging into the vocal ligament or muscle. The deep surface of the mucosal bridges was sulcus vocalis, and that in 89 cysts was lined with caseous content. Histopathology demonstrated a cystic cavity structure lined with squamous epithelium and caseous keratin desquamation inside the cystic cavity. Four of 115 patients were lost at follow-up and excluded from the analysis of voice outcomes after surgery. There was no significant mucosal wave and the voice quality in all but 14 patients 1month after surgery. Except for the fundamental frequency and noise harmonic ratio, all other voice parameters[ G, R, B, A, VHI-10, jitter, shimmer, maximum phonatory time (MPT) ]showed a significant improvement 3 months after surgery( t=15.82, 20.82, 17.61, 7.30, 38.88, 7.84, 5.88, -6.26, respectively, P<0.05). Then mucosal waves and the voice quality were gradually improved and became steady in 6 months after surgery. The subjective and objective voice parameters[G, R, B, A, VHI-10, jitter, shimmer, noise to harmonic ratio(NHR), MPT], except for the fundamental frequency, were all significantly improved( t=23.47, 25.79, 18.37, 9.84, 54.45, 10.68, 8.07, 3.24, -9.08, respectively, P<0.05). In addition, there were 2 patients with no significant improvement after the operation. Steady function with no complications was observed during the 12 months (up to 3 years in 34 patients) follow-up period in 111 patients. Conclusion:Ruptured vocal fold epidermoid cysts can result in sulcus vocalis and mucosal bridges. Characteristics changes in preoperative videolaryngoscopy are effective diagnostic tools. The complete excision of the cyst wall and repair of the lamina propria can lead to satisfactory long-term effects.
7.Research Progress and Design Strategy of Hemostatic Adhesives
Chenyu ZHAO ; Han WANG ; Qianqian HAN
Chinese Journal of Medical Instrumentation 2024;48(1):57-64
Adhesives have emerged as an effective method for wound closure,hemostasis and tissue engineering in recent years,which not only are suitable for the adhesion of wet tissues,but also can adapt to the peristalsis and mechanical stretching of tissues and organs,especially for arteries and organize bleeding.With the further development of technology,existing adhesives can be modified through different strategies,and new materials are explored,giving new properties and uses to adhesives,such as drug delivery,temperature sensitivity,light sensitivity and so on.Nevertheless,there are many questions about the design and practical clinical application of adhesives in the future.The recent research progress of traditional adhesives and their application in hemostasis is reviewed,and the design and development ideas of future adhesives are discussed in the study.
8.Network pharmacological analysis and in vitro experimental verification based on anti-atherosclerosis mechanism of Xiaoban Tongmai Formula
Shan CAO ; Yijia ZHANG ; Yang BAI ; Fang CHEN ; Sha XIE ; Qianqian HAN
Journal of Jilin University(Medicine Edition) 2024;50(4):925-938
Objective:To preliminarily predict the potential pathways and targets of Xiaoban Tongmai Formula in anti-atherosclerosis(AS)by network pharmacology analysis,and to verify its possible mechanism combined with in vitro cell experiment.Method:The databases including Traditional Chinese Medicine Systems Pharmacology Database and Analysis Platform(TCMSP),GeneCards,Swiss Target Prediction,and Uniprot were used to collect the information on active compounds and corresponding targets of Xiaoban Tongmai Formula to construct the"compound-target-disease"network.The potential targets and pathways were predicted by protein-protein interaction(PPI)network,and the intersection targets were subjected to Gene Ontology(GO)functional enrichment analysis and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)pathway enrichment analysis.The human aortic vascular smooth muscle cells(HA-VSMCs)were cultured and identified in vitro,and the abnormal proliferation of HA-VSMCs were induced by oxidized low-density lipoprotein(ox-LDL)and identified;MTT method was used to detect the proliferation activities of the HA-VSMCs in various groups after treated with different concentrations of Xiaoban Tongmai Formula;the safety of Xiaoban Tongmai Fang was confirmed.The HA-VSMCs were divided into blank group,model group(the abnormal proliferation of HA-VSMCs was induced),rosuvastatin group(treated with 4 μmol·L-1 rosuvastatin after inducing the abnormal proliferation of HA-VSMCs),and low,medium,and high doses of Xiaoban Tongmai Formula groups(treated with 0.025,0.050,and 0.100 mng·L-1 Xiaoban Tongmai Formula after inducing the abnormal proliferation of HA-VSMCs);enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA)was used to detect the levels of monocyte chemotactic protein-1(MCP-1),interleukin-6(IL-6),and interleukin-8(IL-8)in supernatant of the HA-VSMCs in various groups;real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR(RT-qPCR)method was used to detect the expression levels of nuclear factor kappa-B(NF-κB)p65 mRNA and fibroblast growth factors 2(FGF2)mRNA in the HA-VSMCs in various groups;Western blotting method was used to detect the expression levels of NF-κB p65 and FGF2 proteins in the HA-VSMCs in various groups.Results:Xiaoban Tongmai Formula contained 103 active ingredients that exert anti-AS effect by acting on 189 target genes.The potential targets included IL-6,IL-8,vascular endothelial growth factor A(VEGFA),nuclear factor kappa B1(NF-κB1),and RELA(NF-κB p65).The GO functional analysis and KEGG pathway enrichment analysis results showed that Xiaoban Tongmai Formula exerted anti-AS effects by regulating lipid metabolism,hypoxia-inducible factor-1(HIF-1),epidermal growth factor(EGF),phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase(PI3K)/protein kinase B(Akt),and NF-κB signaling pathways.The cell morphology and immunofluorescence staining results confirmed that the cells were HA-VSMCs.The oil red O staining results showed numerous red lipid droplets,indicating successful modeling.The MTT assay results showed that Xiaoban Tongmai Formula had no significant effect on the proliferation rate of HA-VSMCs within a certain dose range,indicating good safety.The ELISA results showed that compared with model group,the levels of MCP-1 and IL-6 in supernatant of the HA-VSMCs in rosuvastatin group and different doses of Xiaoban Tongmai Formula groups were decreased(P<0.05 or P<0.01),and the levels of IL-8 in supernatant of the HA-VSMCs in 0.050 and 0.100 mg·L-1 Xiaoban Tongmai Formula groups were decreased(P<0.01);compared with rosuvastatin group,the levels of MCP-1 in supernatant of the HA-VSMCs in different doses of Xiaoban Tongmai Formula groups were decreased(P<0.01),and the levels of IL-8 in supernatant of the HA-VSMCs in 0.050 and 0.100 mg·L-1 Xiaoban Tongmai Formula groups were decreased(P<0.01).Compared with model group,the expression levels of NF-κB p65 mRNA in the HA-VSMCs in rosuvastatin group and different doses of Xiaoban Tongmai Formula groups were decreased(P<0.01),and the expression levels of FGF2 mRNA in the HA-VSMCs in rosuvastatin group and 0.050 and 0.100 mg·L-1 Xiaoban Tongmai Formula groups were decreased(P<0.01);compared with rosuvastatin group,the expression levels of NF-κB p65 and FGF2 mRNA in the HA-VSMCs in 0.050 and 0.100 mg·L-1 Xiaoban Tongmai Formula groups were decreased(P<0.05 or P<0.01).Compared with model group,the expression levels of NF-κB p65 and FGF2 proteins in the HA-VSMCs in rosuvastatin group and different doses of Xiaoban Tongmai Formula groups were decreased(P<0.01);compared with rosuvastatin group,the expression levels of NF-κB p65 protein in the HA-VSMCs in 0.050 and 0.100 mg·L-1 Xiaoban Tongmai Formula groups were decreased(P<0.01),and the expression level of FGF2 protein in the HA-VSMCs in 0.100 mg·L-1 Xiaoban Tongmai Formula group was decreased(P<0.01).Conclusion:Xiaoban Tongmai Formula has anti-inflammatory effect,inhibitory effect on the proliferation of HA-VSMCs,and anti-AS effect,and its mechanism may be related to the inactivation of NF-κB/FGF2 pathway.
9.Qualitative study of active management dilemmas in young and middle-aged postoperative patients with lumbar disc herniation
Qianqian YAO ; Junjuan ZHANG ; Ruijuan HAN ; Na GAO ; Sinuo CHEN ; Linlin HOU ; Suting LIU
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(13):1738-1744
Objective:To understand the dilemma of active management in young and middle-aged postoperative patients with lumbar disc herniation, in order to provide reference for the formulation of active intervention program of self-health management meeting the needs of patients.Methods:Using the phenomenological research method, a total of 16 middle-aged and young patients with lumbar disc herniation were selected for semi-structured in-depth interviews, and the themes were analyzed and extracted by Colaizzi 7-step analysis method.Results:Three themes and nine sub-themes were extracted namely, inadequate disease response capacity and response resources (lack of disease symptom management capacity, limited access to disease management information, difficult use of disease management information, difficulty in maintaining positive self-management for a long time (forced to stop behavior change due to stress, lack of motivation to achieve good behavior change, doubts about the effectiveness of self-management) and multi-dimensional negative emotions (contrast between maintaining independence and dependence on others, fear of being misunderstood, fear of relapse) .Conclusions:Medical staff should provide comprehensive health information services for young and middle-aged postoperative patients with lumbar disc herniation, improve the out-of-hospital follow-up mechanism with the help of information technology, further improve family and social support strategies, reduce the difficulties faced in the process of active management and achieve long-term active disease management.
10.Construction and validation of a prediction model for prolonged hospitalization in patients with severe acute pancreatitis
Qianqian LIU ; Liuyi MA ; Dongdong HAN ; Min GAO ; Yuan TIAN ; Xiaoyan ZHOU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2024;36(11):1174-1178
Objective:To construction the risk factors associated with prolonged hospitalization in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and develop a prediction model for assessing these risks.Methods:SAP patients admitted to the department of emergency of Hebei Province Cangzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine from January 2015 to December 2023 were retrospectively selected as the study subjects. The 75% of hospital stay was used as the cut-off point, and the patients were categorized into a normal group and an extended group. Clinical indicators of patients were collected, and independent risk factors for prolonged hospital stay in SAP patients were analyzed using multifactor Logistic regression. A prediction model was established, and a nomogram was created. The efficiency of the prediction model was evaluated using a receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve). The accuracy of the model was assessed using Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was employed to evaluate the clinical applicability of the model. Finally, internal validation of the model was conducted using Bootstrap method.Results:A total of 510 patients with SAP were included, and the length of hospital stay was 18 (6, 44) days, including 400 cases in the normal group (<24 days) and 110 cases in the extended group (≥24 days). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that abdominal effusion [odds ratio ( OR) = 4.163, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 2.105-8.234], acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHEⅡ; OR = 1.320, 95% CI was 1.185-1.470), C-reactive protein (CRP; OR = 1.006, 95% CI was 1.002-1.011), modified CT severity index (MCTSI; OR = 1.461, 95% CI was 1.213-1.758), procalcitonin (PCT; OR = 1.303, 95% CI was 1.095-1.550) and albumin ( OR = 0.510, 95% CI was 0.419-0.622) were independent risk factors for prolonged hospital stay in SAP patients (all P < 0.01). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of the model was 0.922 (95% CI was 0.896-0.947), the optimal cut-off value was 0.726, the sensitivity was 87.3%, and the specificity was 85.3%. Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that χ 2 = 5.79, P = 0.671. It showed that the prediction model had good prediction efficiency and fit degree. The DCA curve showed that the prediction probability of the model could bring more clinical benefits to patients at 0.1 to 0.7. Bootstrap internal verification showed that the model had a high consistency (AUC = 0.916). Conclusions:Abdominal effusion, high APACHEⅡ score, high CRP, high MCTSI, high PCT and low albumin level are significantly associated with prolonged hospital stay in SAP patients. The prediction model can help clinicians make more scientific clinical decisions for SAP patients.

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