1.Establishment of a new predictive model for esophagogastric variceal rebleeding in liver cirrhosis based on clinical features
Wen GUO ; Xuyulin YANG ; Run GAO ; Yaxin CHEN ; Kun YIN ; Qian LI ; Manli CUI ; Mingxin ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):101-110
ObjectiveTo establish a new noninvasive, simple, and convenient clinical predictive model by identifying independent predictive factors for rebleeding after endoscopic therapy in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB), and to provide a basis for individualized risk assessment and development of clinical intervention strategies. MethodsCirrhotic patients with EGVB who were diagnosed and treated in The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Medical University from September 2018 to October 2023 were enrolled as subjects, and according to whether the patient experienced rebleeding within 1 year after endoscopic therapy, they were divided into rebleeding group with 93 patients and non-rebleeding group with 84 patients. Clinical data were collected and analyzed. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A Logistic model was established based on the results of the univariate and multivariate analyses, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were used to assess the accuracy of the model. R software was used to visualize the model by plotting a nomogram, and the Bootstrap method was used for internal validation of the model. ResultsThe multivariate analysis showed that red blood cell count (RBC), cholinesterase (ChE), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), albumin (Alb), thrombin time (TT), portal vein trunk diameter, sequential therapy, and primary prevention were independent predictive factors for rebleeding. Based on the results of the multivariate analysis, a logistic model was established as logit(P)=-0.805-1.978×(RBC)+0.001×(ChE)-0.020×(ALP)-0.314×(Alb)+0.567×(TT)+0.428×(portal vein trunk diameter)-2.303×[sequential therapy (yes=1, no=0)]-2.368×[primary prevention (yes=1, no=0)]. The logistic model (AUC=0.928, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.893—0.964, P<0.001) had a better performance in predicting rebleeding than MELD score (AUC=0.603, 95%CI: 0.520—0.687, P=0.003), Child-Pugh class (AUC=0.650, 95%CI: 0.578—0.722, P=0.001), and FIB-4 index (AUC=0.587, 95%CI: 0.503—0.671, P=0.045). The model had an optimal cut-off value of 0.607, a sensitivity of 0.817, and a specificity of 0.817. Internal validation confirmed that the model had good predictive performance and accuracy. ConclusionSequential therapy, implementation of primary prevention, an increase in RBC, and an increase in Alb are protective factors against rebleeding, while prolonged TT and widened main portal vein diameter are risk factors. The logistic model based on these independent predictive factors can predict rebleeding and thus holds promise for clinical application.
2.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
3.Effectiveness of autologous platelet-rich plasma for blood conservation and its prognostic impact in patients with type A aortic dissection
Qian ZHENG ; Shoumei CHEN ; Ming XIE ; Shenshen ZHI ; Kun LIU ; Ting JIANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(8):1035-1042
Objective: To investigate the effects of autologous platelet-rich plasma (aPRP) collected using a continuous blood cell separator on blood conservation and prognosis in patients with type A aortic dissection. Methods: The clinical data of patients who underwent emergency aortic replacement for acute type A aortic dissection at our hospital from January 2020 to December 2023 were respectively analyzed. Patients were divided into two groups based on whether they received aPRP collection before surgery for subsequent reinfusion: the aPRP group (n=32) and the control group (n=35). The volume of aPRP collected and the platelet concentration in the aPRP were recorded. The volumes of allogeneic blood and blood products transfused, and the associated costs during hospitalization were compared between two groups. Intraoperative blood loss, perioperative laboratory parameter changes, 24-hour postoperative drainage volume, duration of ICU stay and mechanical ventilation, length of hospital stay, and mortality rate of the two groups were also compared. Results: The platelet concentration in aPRP was (491.5±85.4)×10
/L, accounting for (24.1±9.6)% of the patient's total platelet count. The volume of aPRP collected accounted for (23.0±6.3)% of the patient's total plasma volume. Compared with the control group, the aPRP group demonstrated significantly reduced transfusion volumes of allogeneic red blood cells, plasma, and platelets (P<0.05), along with significantly lower blood-related costs during hospitalization (P<0.05). Postoperative coagulation parameters (APTT, PT, INR, and TEG) were significantly improved (P<0.05), and platelet counts were markedly increased (P<0.05) in aPRP group as compared with the control group. No statistically significant differences were observed in postoperative use of prothrombin complex concentrate and fibrinogen between the two groups. Similarly, there were no significant differences in postoperative 24-hour drainage volume, 24-hour extubation rate, ICU length of stay, duration of mechanical ventilation, or total hospital length of stay. The incidence of complications and mortality did not differ significantly between the two groups. Conclusion: The administration of aPRP significantly reduces the requirement for perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion in patients undergoing surgery for type A aortic dissection. Furthermore, it enhances coagulation function and reduces associated transfusion costs, thereby establishing itself as an effective and safe strategy for blood conservation.
4.Research progress on the mechanisms of Tau phosphorylation and its kinases in hypoxic-ischemic brain damage.
Qi-Yi HUANG ; You XIANG ; Jia-Hang TANG ; Li-Jia CHEN ; Kun-Lin LI ; Wei-Fang ZHAO ; Qian WANG
Acta Physiologica Sinica 2025;77(1):139-150
Hypoxic-ischemic brain damage (HIBD) is one of the main causes of disability in middle-aged and elderly people, as well as high mortality rates and long-term physical impairments in newborns. The pathological manifestations of HIBD include neuronal damage and loss of myelin sheaths. Tau protein is an important microtubule-associated protein in brain, exists in neurons and oligodendrocytes, and regulates various cellular activities such as cell differentiation and maturation, axonal transport, and maintenance of cellular cytoskeleton structure. Phosphorylation is a common chemical modification of Tau. In physiological condition, it maintains normal cell cytoskeleton and biological functions by regulating Tau structure and function. In pathological conditions, it leads to abnormal Tau phosphorylation and influences its structure and functions, resulting in Tauopathies. Studies have shown that brain hypoxia-ischemia could cause abnormal alteration in Tau phosphorylation, then participating in the pathological process of HIBD. Meanwhile, brain hypoxia-ischemia can induce oxidative stress and inflammation, and multiple Tau protein kinases are activated and involved in Tau abnormal phosphorylation. Therefore, exploring specific molecular mechanisms by which HIBD activates Tau protein kinases, and elucidating their relationship with abnormal Tau phosphorylation are crucial for future researches on HIBD related treatments. This review aims to focus on the mechanisms of the role of Tau phosphorylation in HIBD, and the potential relationships between Tau protein kinases and Tau phosphorylation, providing a basis for intervention and treatment of HIBD.
Humans
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tau Proteins/physiology*
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Phosphorylation
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Hypoxia-Ischemia, Brain/physiopathology*
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Animals
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Oxidative Stress
5.Innovation and application of traditional Chinese medicine dispensing promoted through integration of whole-process data elements.
Huan-Fei YANG ; Si-Yu LI ; Chen-Qian YU ; Jian-Kun WU ; Fang LIU ; Li-Bin JIANG ; Chun-Jin LI ; Xiang-Fei SU ; Wei-Guo BAI ; Hua-Qiang ZHAI ; Shi-Yuan JIN ; Yong-Yan WANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(11):3189-3196
As a new type of production factor that can empower the development of new quality productivity, the data element is an important engine to promote the high quality development of the industry. Traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) dispensing is the most basic work of TCM clinical pharmacy, and its quality directly affects the clinical efficacy of TCM. The integration of data elements and TCM dispensing can stimulate the innovation and vitality of the TCM dispensing industry and promote the high-quality and sustainable development of the industry. A large-scale, detailed, and systematic study on TCM dispensing was conducted. The innovative practice path of data fusion construction in the whole process of TCM dispensing was investigated by integrating the digital resources "nine full activities" of TCM dispensing, creating the digital dictionary of "TCM clinical information data elements", and exploring innovative applications of TCM dispensing driven by data and technology, so as to promote the standardized, digital, and intelligent development of TCM dispensing in medical health services. The research content of this project was successfully selected as the second batch of "Data element×" typical cases of National Data Administration in 2024, which is the only selected case in the field of TCM.
Medicine, Chinese Traditional/methods*
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal
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Humans
6.Real-world efficacy and safety of azvudine in hospitalized older patients with COVID-19 during the omicron wave in China: A retrospective cohort study.
Yuanchao ZHU ; Fei ZHAO ; Yubing ZHU ; Xingang LI ; Deshi DONG ; Bolin ZHU ; Jianchun LI ; Xin HU ; Zinan ZHAO ; Wenfeng XU ; Yang JV ; Dandan WANG ; Yingming ZHENG ; Yiwen DONG ; Lu LI ; Shilei YANG ; Zhiyuan TENG ; Ling LU ; Jingwei ZHU ; Linzhe DU ; Yunxin LIU ; Lechuan JIA ; Qiujv ZHANG ; Hui MA ; Ana ZHAO ; Hongliu JIANG ; Xin XU ; Jinli WANG ; Xuping QIAN ; Wei ZHANG ; Tingting ZHENG ; Chunxia YANG ; Xuguang CHEN ; Kun LIU ; Huanhuan JIANG ; Dongxiang QU ; Jia SONG ; Hua CHENG ; Wenfang SUN ; Hanqiu ZHAN ; Xiao LI ; Yafeng WANG ; Aixia WANG ; Li LIU ; Lihua YANG ; Nan ZHANG ; Shumin CHEN ; Jingjing MA ; Wei LIU ; Xiaoxiang DU ; Meiqin ZHENG ; Liyan WAN ; Guangqing DU ; Hangmei LIU ; Pengfei JIN
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(1):123-132
Debates persist regarding the efficacy and safety of azvudine, particularly its real-world outcomes. This study involved patients aged ≥60 years who were admitted to 25 hospitals in mainland China with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection between December 1, 2022, and February 28, 2023. Efficacy outcomes were all-cause mortality during hospitalization, the proportion of patients discharged with recovery, time to nucleic acid-negative conversion (T NANC), time to symptom improvement (T SI), and time of hospital stay (T HS). Safety was also assessed. Among the 5884 participants identified, 1999 received azvudine, and 1999 matched controls were included after exclusion and propensity score matching. Azvudine recipients exhibited lower all-cause mortality compared with controls in the overall population (13.3% vs. 17.1%, RR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.67-0.90; P = 0.001) and in the severe subgroup (25.7% vs. 33.7%; RR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.66-0.88; P < 0.001). A higher proportion of patients discharged with recovery, and a shorter T NANC were associated with azvudine recipients, especially in the severe subgroup. The incidence of adverse events in azvudine recipients was comparable to that in the control group (2.3% vs. 1.7%, P = 0.170). In conclusion, azvudine showed efficacy and safety in older patients hospitalized with COVID-19 during the SARS-CoV-2 omicron wave in China.
7.Chemical constituents from the stems and barks of Maytenus variabilis
Ting HE ; Bing-qian LIU ; Jian-feng CHEN ; Xiao-qin YU ; Cheng-xiong LIU ; Kun ZOU ; Fan CHENG
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(5):1539-1547
AIM To study the chemical constituents from the stems and barks of Maytenus variabilis(Hemsl.)C.Y.Cheng.METHODS The 95%ethanol extract from the stems and barks of M.variabilis was isolated and purified by silica gel,Sephadex LH-20 and semi preparative HPLC,then the structures of obtained compounds were identified by physicochemical properties and spectral data.RESULTS Twenty-three compounds were isolated and identified as β-amyrin(1),3β-acetoxyolean-12-en-11-one(2),ursa-12-ene-11-one-3-ol octocosate(3),friedelin(4),canophyllol(5),pinoresinol(6),medioresinol(7),isolariciresinol(8),dihydrodehydrodiconiferyl alcohol(9),vanillic acid(10),7R,8S-5-methoxydihydrodehydroconiferyl alcohol(11),β-hydroxypropiovanillone(12),triptregeline B(13),triptregeline E(14),(+)-evofolin B(15),2,5-dimethoxybenzoquinone(16),olean-12-ene-3,11-dione(17),β-sitosterol(18),(-)-(7R,7'R,7"S,8S,8'S,8"S)-4',4"-dihydroxy-3,3',3",5-tetramethoxy-7,9',7',9-diepoxy-4,8"-oxy-8,8'-sesquineolignan-7",9"-diol(19),phyllostadimer B(20),rayalinol(21),lyoniresinol(22),dihydrobuddlenol B(23).CONCLUSION Compounds 3,9-11,13-14,16,19-21,23 are isolated from genus Maytenus for the first time,and compounds 2,4-5,7-8,12,15,17,22 are first found from this plant.
8.A study of modified ankle pump exercise in stroke patients
Yun CAO ; Guozhen SUN ; Feng CHEN ; Xueli JI ; Mengwan YAN ; Lei JING ; Kun QIAN
Chinese Journal of Nursing 2025;60(9):1068-1074
Objective To investigate the effect of ankle pump exercises,based on hemodynamic mechanisms,on the prevention of venous thrombosis in stroke patients.Methods A total of 110 stroke patients,admitted to a tertiary A hospital in Jiangsu Province between June 2023 and June 2024,were selected using a convenience sampling method.The patients were divided into an experimental group and a control group,with 55 patients in each group.The experimental group received ankle pump exercise nursing interventions based on hemodynamic mechanisms,while the control group received routine nursing interventions.The incidence of lower extremity deep vein thrombosis,Pittsburgh Rehabilitation Participation Scale scores,subjective perceived fatigue,and exercise self-efficacy scores were compared between 2 groups on the 7th day of hospitalization.Results No dropouts occurred in either group.The incidence of deep vein thrombosis was significantly lower in the experimental group than it in the control group(P=0.004).The Pittsburgh Rehabilitation Participation scores on day 1,3,5,and 7 were higher in the experimental group compared to them in the control group(P<0.001).A significant time-dependent trend was observed in Pittsburgh Rehabilitation Participation scores(P=0.034).Subjective fatigue was significantly lower in the experimental group at various time points(P<0.001).Both groups showed an increase in exercise self-efficacy over time(P=0.016),with the experimental group demonstrating higher exercise self-efficacy than the control group on the day before discharge(P=0.003).Conclusion Ankle pump exercises,based on hemodynamic mechanisms,can effectively reduce the incidence of deep vein thrombosis in stroke patients,enhance rehabilitation participation and exercise self-efficacy,without increasing subjective fatigue.
9.Chemical constituents from Anaphalis margaritacea and their antioxidant activity
Bing-qian LIU ; Biao LI ; Jian-feng CHEN ; Xiao-qin YU ; Cheng-xiong LIU ; Kun ZOU ; Fan CHENG
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(11):3651-3660
AIM To study the chemical constituents of Anaphalis margaritacea(L.)Benth.& Hook.f.and their antioxidant activities.METHODS Separation and purification were performed using silica gel,Sephadex LH-20 and semi-preparative HPLC,then the structures of obtained compounds were identified by physicochemical properties and spectral data.The antioxidant activity was determined by DPPH method and ABTS method.RESULTS Twenty-three compounds were isolated and identified as trans-tilidroside(1),4'-hydroxydehydrokawain(2),apigenin(3),3-O-kaempferol-3-O-acetyl-6-O-(p-coumamoyl)-α-D-glucopyranoside(4),kaempferol(5),quercetin-3-O-β-D-(6-O-Z-p-coumamoyl)-glucopyranoside(6),tiliroside(7),kaempferol-3-O-β-D-glucoside(8),3,5-dihydroxy-7,8-dimethoxyflavone(9),bis(2-ethylhexyl)adipate(10),3,5-dihydroxy-6,7,8-trimethoxyflavone(11),stigmasterol(12),myriophylloside B(13),1-hexadecanol(14),chlorogenic acid(15),4-hydroxy-N-{ 4-[3-(4-hydroxyphenyl)-E-acryloylamino]-butyl}-benzamide(16),3,6-dimethylpiperazine-2,5-dione(17),β-adenosine(18),5,6-dehydrokawain(19),kaempferol-3-O-(2",6"-di-O-E-p-coumaroyl)-β-D-glucopyranoside(20),kaempferol-3-O-(3"-O-E-p-coumaroyl)-(6"-O-E-feruloyl)-β-D-glucopyranoside(21),4,5-di-caffeoylquinic acid butyl ester(22),3,4-di-caffeoylquinic acid butyl ester(23).The IC50 values of compounds 1,7,22-23 against DPPH free radicals were(24.67±1.63)-(53.41±1.61)μmol/L,and the IC50 values of compounds 8,21-23 against ABTS+free radicals were(15.22±0.89)-(41.66±6.29)μmol/L.CONCLUSION Compounds 9,19-23 are isolated from genus Anaphalis for the first time,and 2,10,13,14,16,17,19-23 are first isolated from this plant.Compounds 1,7-8,21-23 have strong antioxidant activity.
10.Predictive value of 18F-FDG PET/CT habitat radiomics combining stacking ensemble learning for prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma
Chunxiao SUI ; Kun CHEN ; Qian SU ; Rui TAN ; Wengui XU ; Xiaofeng LI
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 2025;45(5):263-268
Objective:To investigate the prognostic value of 18F-FDG PET/CT-based habitat radiomics combined with stacking ensemble learning model in overall survival (OS) of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods:A total of 136 HCC patients (114 males, 22 females, age (55.3±10.4) years) who underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT before treatment between January 2018 and January 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Eighty-five cases from Tianjin First Central Hospital and 51 cases from Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital were used as a training cohort and an external validation cohort, respectively. The tumor volume of interest (VOI) was delineated on PET and CT images, and a total of 4 habitats were segmented by using the Otsu algorithm, including PET high ∩ CT low, PET low ∩ CT low, PET high ∩ CT high, and PET low ∩ CT high. After the feature selection, a total of 36 stacking ensemble learning models were established, and the optimal model was selected based on the calculated concordance index (C-index). Moreover, a combined model was developed by integrating the optimal model with clinical information. The predictive efficacy of those models was assessed by time-dependent ROC curves. Results:The model based on PET high ∩ CT high habitat radiomics features with multilayer perceptron (MLP) classifier had the highest C-index (0.770) in the external validation cohort, and it was regarded as the optimal radiomics model. The combined model incorporating this model with clinical information achieved an improved C-index of 0.815 in the external validation cohort. The combined model outperformed the other models for OS prediction, with a time-dependent AUC of 0.919, 0.900, and 0.862 in predicting the 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year OS, respectively. Conclusions:18F-FDG PET/CT-based habitat analysis outperforms traditional radiomics in OS prediction for HCC patients. By integrating the optimal habitat model with the clinical model, the combined model is able to improve the predictive efficacy.


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