1.Establishment of a new predictive model for esophagogastric variceal rebleeding in liver cirrhosis based on clinical features
Wen GUO ; Xuyulin YANG ; Run GAO ; Yaxin CHEN ; Kun YIN ; Qian LI ; Manli CUI ; Mingxin ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):101-110
ObjectiveTo establish a new noninvasive, simple, and convenient clinical predictive model by identifying independent predictive factors for rebleeding after endoscopic therapy in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB), and to provide a basis for individualized risk assessment and development of clinical intervention strategies. MethodsCirrhotic patients with EGVB who were diagnosed and treated in The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Medical University from September 2018 to October 2023 were enrolled as subjects, and according to whether the patient experienced rebleeding within 1 year after endoscopic therapy, they were divided into rebleeding group with 93 patients and non-rebleeding group with 84 patients. Clinical data were collected and analyzed. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A Logistic model was established based on the results of the univariate and multivariate analyses, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were used to assess the accuracy of the model. R software was used to visualize the model by plotting a nomogram, and the Bootstrap method was used for internal validation of the model. ResultsThe multivariate analysis showed that red blood cell count (RBC), cholinesterase (ChE), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), albumin (Alb), thrombin time (TT), portal vein trunk diameter, sequential therapy, and primary prevention were independent predictive factors for rebleeding. Based on the results of the multivariate analysis, a logistic model was established as logit(P)=-0.805-1.978×(RBC)+0.001×(ChE)-0.020×(ALP)-0.314×(Alb)+0.567×(TT)+0.428×(portal vein trunk diameter)-2.303×[sequential therapy (yes=1, no=0)]-2.368×[primary prevention (yes=1, no=0)]. The logistic model (AUC=0.928, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.893—0.964, P<0.001) had a better performance in predicting rebleeding than MELD score (AUC=0.603, 95%CI: 0.520—0.687, P=0.003), Child-Pugh class (AUC=0.650, 95%CI: 0.578—0.722, P=0.001), and FIB-4 index (AUC=0.587, 95%CI: 0.503—0.671, P=0.045). The model had an optimal cut-off value of 0.607, a sensitivity of 0.817, and a specificity of 0.817. Internal validation confirmed that the model had good predictive performance and accuracy. ConclusionSequential therapy, implementation of primary prevention, an increase in RBC, and an increase in Alb are protective factors against rebleeding, while prolonged TT and widened main portal vein diameter are risk factors. The logistic model based on these independent predictive factors can predict rebleeding and thus holds promise for clinical application.
2.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
3.Effect of joint management of type 2 diabetes mellitus between specialty department and community health under National Diabetes Prevention and Control Center (DPCC) model
Ying HUANG ; Yi QIAN ; Xuchi WU ; Zhongyu ZHOU ; Cong WANG ; Lin WANG ; Caiyan HUANG ; Zhuangsen CHEN ; Yanrong ZHANG ; Shanshan WANG ; Lu WANG ; Jie WAN ; Ruihong YANG ; Huiya WANG ; Yan CHEN ; Cheng HE ; Kun FENG ; Dewen YAN
Journal of Chinese Physician 2025;27(3):338-342
Objective:To analyze the effect of joint management of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) between specialty and community under the model of National Diabetes Prevention and Control Center (DPCC).Methods:A total of 2 527 T2DM patients managed by DPCC Pingshan Center of Shenzhen from January 1, 2022 to December 31, 2024 were retrospectively included. After management, the rate of downturn, reexamination rate, blood pressure compliance rate, metabolic indicators (waist circumference, body mass index, fasting blood glucose, glycosylated hemoglobin, blood lipids) and screening rate of chronic complications of diabetes (atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, microvascular disease, diabetic peripheral neuropathy) were analyzed. Those included 2022 ( n=564), 2023 ( n=1 477), and 2024 ( n=2 527). Results:The downturn rate in 2022, 2023 and 2024 increased year by year (22.8% vs 67.2% vs 89.9%, P<0.01), and the review rate (41.1% vs 62.2% vs 52.7%, P<0.01), complication screening rate (51.6% vs 85.3% vs 62.2%, P<0.01), blood pressure compliance rate (53.1% vs 78.0% vs 67.2%, P<0.01), body mass index compliance rate (13.2% vs 17.3% vs 28.6%, P<0.01), fasting blood glucose meeting rate (46.4% vs 60.2% vs 68.5%, P<0.01), glycated hemoglobin meeting rate (58.4% vs 63.2% vs 45.6%, P<0.01) were relatively improved. Waist circumference compliance rate (30.6% vs 27.7% vs 21.6%) and blood lipid compliance rate (33.6% vs 35.5% vs 31.9%) were not significantly improved, and the review rate, blood pressure compliance rate and complication screening rate in 2024 were lower than those in 2023 and higher than those in 2022. Conclusions:The combined management of type 2 diabetes under the DPCC model has significant effects on improving the down-conversion rate, rediagnosis rate, blood pressure compliance rate, metabolic index compliance rate and the screening rate of diabetes-related chronic complications in patients with diabetes. At the same time, it was also found that with the progress of hierarchical diagnosis and treatment, the review rate, complication screening rate, blood pressure, waist circumference, blood lipid and glycosylated hemoglobin reached the standard of patients decreased compared with the previous situation, which needs to be further analyzed and improved.
4.Clinical analysis and literature integration study of cystic fibrosis complicated by allergic bronchopulmonary aspergillosis
Chen HE ; Silei YAN ; Weitao ZHOU ; Yong LING ; Ningning YU ; Kun JIANG ; Liling QIAN
Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University(Medical Science) 2025;45(8):1066-1073
Objective·To explore the diagnostic and treatment methods for patients with cystic fibrosis(CF)complicated by allergic bronchopulmonary aspergillosis(ABPA),and to enhance clinicians'understanding of these two diseases.Methods·A retrospectively analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 5 patients with CF complicated by ABPA admitted to the Department of Respiratory Medicine,Shanghai Children's Hospital,Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine,from July 2023 to August 2024.A literature search was performed in PubMed,Web of Science,Cochrane Library,and CNKI for studies published in the past 10 years regarding the co-existence of these diseases.Clinical manifestations,treatment courses,and current epidemiological research were summarized and analyzed.Results·Common symptoms of patients with CF complicated by ABPA included aggravated cough and expectoration,wheezing,fever,and dyspnea.Whole-exome aequencing indicated mutations in the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator(CFTR)gene,and an increase in the concentration of chloride ions in sweat.The levels of total serum immunoglobulin E(IgE)and Aspergillus fumigatus-specific IgE increased,and chest computed tomography(CT)showed bronchiectasis and mucus plugging.CF complicated by ABPA is often missed or misdiagnosed for asthma.In China,ABPA is often diagnosed before CF,whereas in Caucasian populations CF is typically diagnosed first.Initial treatment usually involves long-term oral administration of antifungal drugs such as voriconazole combined with glucocorticoids such as prednisone.For patients with frequent relapses or severe side effects,alternative antifungal agents or omalizumab therapy may be considered.Co-infection with Pseudomonas aeruginosa is common,often requiring intravenous antibiotics such as cefoperazone-sulbactam.Current epidemiological research focuses mainly on clinical characteristics,treatment regimens,and novel diagnostic methods.Conclusion·ABPA and CF have overlapping symptoms.Accurate diagnosis of CF complicated by ABPA requires genetic testing,sweat chloride measurement,chest CT,and serological tests.The coexistence of these diseases often leads to missed,delayed,or incorrect diagnosis,increasing patient burden.Present epidemiological studies mainly address clinical characteristics with a lack of targeted clinical drug trials for this patient population.
5.Application progress of micro-CT and finite element analysis techniques in scaphoid bone research
Yuan LYU ; De-zhou ZHANG ; Hai-long QIAN ; Si-min WANG ; Chao-qun WANG ; Kun LI ; Jie CHEN ; Xue BAI ; Hai-long ZHAO ; Shao-jie ZHANG ; Yuan MA ; Zhi-jun LI ; Jun SHI ; Xing WANG
Journal of Regional Anatomy and Operative Surgery 2025;34(2):168-173
The scaphoid bone is one of the important bone of hand,which is frequently injured and difficult to treat in clinical practice.Therefore,it is very important to deeply study the microstructure and biomechanical characteristics of the scaphoid bone for understanding its injury mechanism and optimizing treatment scheme.Microcomputed tomography(micro-CT)provides high-resolution imaging of bone tissue,while finite element analysis can help to simulate the stress distribution and behavioral patterns of the scaphoid bone under various physiological and pathological states.The high-resolution three-dimensional image of the scaphoid bone obtained by micro-CT technology can be used to construct finite element models of real anatomical structure of the scaphoid bone,thus achieving accurate simulation of the mechanical properties of the scaphoid bone.The fusion of these two advanced technologies provides a new perspective for revealing the structural and functional relationships and injury mechanism of the scaphoid bone.Therefore,this paper reviews the anatomical characteristics of the scaphoid bone and its biomechanical behavior in different states,emphasizing the specific applications and advantages of micro-CT and finite element analysis techniques in the study of the scaphoid bone.By summarizing the research findings in recent years,this paper provides novel scientific basis and methods for the diagnosis,treatment,and prevention of scaphoid bone-related disorders.
6.Clinical analysis and literature integration study of cystic fibrosis complicated by allergic bronchopulmonary aspergillosis
Chen HE ; Silei YAN ; Weitao ZHOU ; Yong LING ; Ningning YU ; Kun JIANG ; Liling QIAN
Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University(Medical Science) 2025;45(8):1066-1073
Objective·To explore the diagnostic and treatment methods for patients with cystic fibrosis(CF)complicated by allergic bronchopulmonary aspergillosis(ABPA),and to enhance clinicians'understanding of these two diseases.Methods·A retrospectively analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 5 patients with CF complicated by ABPA admitted to the Department of Respiratory Medicine,Shanghai Children's Hospital,Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine,from July 2023 to August 2024.A literature search was performed in PubMed,Web of Science,Cochrane Library,and CNKI for studies published in the past 10 years regarding the co-existence of these diseases.Clinical manifestations,treatment courses,and current epidemiological research were summarized and analyzed.Results·Common symptoms of patients with CF complicated by ABPA included aggravated cough and expectoration,wheezing,fever,and dyspnea.Whole-exome aequencing indicated mutations in the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator(CFTR)gene,and an increase in the concentration of chloride ions in sweat.The levels of total serum immunoglobulin E(IgE)and Aspergillus fumigatus-specific IgE increased,and chest computed tomography(CT)showed bronchiectasis and mucus plugging.CF complicated by ABPA is often missed or misdiagnosed for asthma.In China,ABPA is often diagnosed before CF,whereas in Caucasian populations CF is typically diagnosed first.Initial treatment usually involves long-term oral administration of antifungal drugs such as voriconazole combined with glucocorticoids such as prednisone.For patients with frequent relapses or severe side effects,alternative antifungal agents or omalizumab therapy may be considered.Co-infection with Pseudomonas aeruginosa is common,often requiring intravenous antibiotics such as cefoperazone-sulbactam.Current epidemiological research focuses mainly on clinical characteristics,treatment regimens,and novel diagnostic methods.Conclusion·ABPA and CF have overlapping symptoms.Accurate diagnosis of CF complicated by ABPA requires genetic testing,sweat chloride measurement,chest CT,and serological tests.The coexistence of these diseases often leads to missed,delayed,or incorrect diagnosis,increasing patient burden.Present epidemiological studies mainly address clinical characteristics with a lack of targeted clinical drug trials for this patient population.
7.Clinical practice guidelines for intraoperative cell salvage in patients with malignant tumors
Changtai ZHU ; Ling LI ; Zhiqiang LI ; Xinjian WAN ; Shiyao CHEN ; Jian PAN ; Yi ZHANG ; Xiang REN ; Kun HAN ; Feng ZOU ; Aiqing WEN ; Ruiming RONG ; Rong XIA ; Baohua QIAN ; Xin MA
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(2):149-167
Intraoperative cell salvage (IOCS) has been widely applied as an important blood conservation measure in surgical operations. However, there is currently a lack of clinical practice guidelines for the implementation of IOCS in patients with malignant tumors. This report aims to provide clinicians with recommendations on the use of IOCS in patients with malignant tumors based on the review and assessment of the existed evidence. Data were derived from databases such as PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library and Wanfang. The guideline development team formulated recommendations based on the quality of evidence, balance of benefits and harms, patient preferences, and health economic assessments. This study constructed seven major clinical questions. The main conclusions of this guideline are as follows: 1) Compared with no perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion (NPABT), perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion (PABT) leads to a more unfavorable prognosis in cancer patients (Recommended); 2) Compared with the transfusion of allogeneic blood or no transfusion, IOCS does not lead to a more unfavorable prognosis in cancer patients (Recommended); 3) The implementation of IOCS in cancer patients is economically feasible (Recommended); 4) Leukocyte depletion filters (LDF) should be used when implementing IOCS in cancer patients (Strongly Recommended); 5) Irradiation treatment of autologous blood to be reinfused can be used when implementing IOCS in cancer patients (Recommended); 6) A careful assessment of the condition of cancer patients (meeting indications and excluding contraindications) should be conducted before implementing IOCS (Strongly Recommended); 7) Informed consent from cancer patients should be obtained when implementing IOCS, with a thorough pre-assessment of the patient's condition and the likelihood of blood loss, adherence to standardized internally audited management procedures, meeting corresponding conditions, and obtaining corresponding qualifications (Recommended). In brief, current evidence indicates that IOCS can be implemented for some malignant tumor patients who need allogeneic blood transfusion after physician full evaluation, and LDF or irradiation should be used during the implementation process.
8.Chemical constituents from the stems and barks of Maytenus variabilis
Ting HE ; Bing-qian LIU ; Jian-feng CHEN ; Xiao-qin YU ; Cheng-xiong LIU ; Kun ZOU ; Fan CHENG
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(5):1539-1547
AIM To study the chemical constituents from the stems and barks of Maytenus variabilis(Hemsl.)C.Y.Cheng.METHODS The 95%ethanol extract from the stems and barks of M.variabilis was isolated and purified by silica gel,Sephadex LH-20 and semi preparative HPLC,then the structures of obtained compounds were identified by physicochemical properties and spectral data.RESULTS Twenty-three compounds were isolated and identified as β-amyrin(1),3β-acetoxyolean-12-en-11-one(2),ursa-12-ene-11-one-3-ol octocosate(3),friedelin(4),canophyllol(5),pinoresinol(6),medioresinol(7),isolariciresinol(8),dihydrodehydrodiconiferyl alcohol(9),vanillic acid(10),7R,8S-5-methoxydihydrodehydroconiferyl alcohol(11),β-hydroxypropiovanillone(12),triptregeline B(13),triptregeline E(14),(+)-evofolin B(15),2,5-dimethoxybenzoquinone(16),olean-12-ene-3,11-dione(17),β-sitosterol(18),(-)-(7R,7'R,7"S,8S,8'S,8"S)-4',4"-dihydroxy-3,3',3",5-tetramethoxy-7,9',7',9-diepoxy-4,8"-oxy-8,8'-sesquineolignan-7",9"-diol(19),phyllostadimer B(20),rayalinol(21),lyoniresinol(22),dihydrobuddlenol B(23).CONCLUSION Compounds 3,9-11,13-14,16,19-21,23 are isolated from genus Maytenus for the first time,and compounds 2,4-5,7-8,12,15,17,22 are first found from this plant.
9.Clinical value of inferior phrenic vein in retroperitoneal laparoscopic left adrenalectomy
Qingjun GUAN ; Nan ZHANG ; Kun CHEN ; Yang ZHAO ; Haibo ZHANG ; Xiaolei QIAN
China Journal of Endoscopy 2025;31(11):75-82
Objective To explore the feasibility of using the left inferior phrenic vein as an anatomical landmark and prioritizing the dissection of the central adrenal vein in retroperitoneal laparoscopic left adrenalectomy(RLLA).Methods 116 patients who had RLLA carried out in our hospital between January 2021 and December 2023 were chosen.They were separated into the experimental group(RLLA with the left inferior phrenic vein as an anatomical landmark and prioritizing the dissection of the central adrenal vein)and the control group[conventional three-layer method anatomic retroperitoneal laparoscopic adrenalectomy(RLA)],with 58 cases in each group.The clinical data of the two groups were compared,and the intraoperative and postoperative 24 h clinical indicators,stress indicators,immune function,and complications were evaluated.Results RLLA was successfully completed in two groups,and no cases were converted to open surgery.The operation time,time for searching the central vein,retention time of the drainage tube and postoperative hospital stay in the experimental group were significantly shorter than those in the control group.The intraoperative blood loss and postoperative drainage volume were significantly less than those in the control group,the differences were all statistically significant(P<0.05);There was no statistically significant difference in the recovery time of gastrointestinal function between the two groups of patients after surgery(P>0.05).There were no statistically significant differences in preoperative inflammatory factors,stress indicators and immune function indicators between the two groups of patients(P>0.05).The white blood cell(WBC),C-reaction protein(CRP)and interleukin-6(IL-6)of the two groups of patients 24 hours after the operation were significantly higher than those before the operation,but the experimental group was significantly lower than the control group,the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).The malondialdehyde(MDA)of the two groups of patients 24 hours after the operation was significantly higher than that before the operation,while the superoxide dismutase(SOD)and glutathione peroxidase(GSH-Px)were significantly lower than those before the operation,and the MDA in the experimental group was significantly lower than that in the control group,and the SOD and GSH-Px were significantly higher than those in the control group(P<0.05).The levels of CD4+and CD4+/CD8+in experimental groups of patients 24 hours after the operation were significantly decreased than those before the operation,and the levels of CD3+,CD4+and CD4+/CD8+in the experimental group were significantly higher than those in the control group.The differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).There was no statistically significant difference in CD8+between the two groups of patients 24 hours after surgery(P>0.05).The number of cases with intraoperative blood pressure fluctuations in the experimental group was significantly lower than that in the control group,the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).Neither peritoneal injury,renal pedicle vascular injury or retroperitoneal hematoma occurred during or after the operation in the two groups of patients.Conclusion In RLLA,using the left inferior phrenic vein as an anatomical landmark and prioritizing the dissection of the central adrenal vein is feasible,which can improve surgical indicators,reduce stress response and immune response,and have clinical application value.
10.Real-world efficacy and safety of azvudine in hospitalized older patients with COVID-19 during the omicron wave in China: A retrospective cohort study.
Yuanchao ZHU ; Fei ZHAO ; Yubing ZHU ; Xingang LI ; Deshi DONG ; Bolin ZHU ; Jianchun LI ; Xin HU ; Zinan ZHAO ; Wenfeng XU ; Yang JV ; Dandan WANG ; Yingming ZHENG ; Yiwen DONG ; Lu LI ; Shilei YANG ; Zhiyuan TENG ; Ling LU ; Jingwei ZHU ; Linzhe DU ; Yunxin LIU ; Lechuan JIA ; Qiujv ZHANG ; Hui MA ; Ana ZHAO ; Hongliu JIANG ; Xin XU ; Jinli WANG ; Xuping QIAN ; Wei ZHANG ; Tingting ZHENG ; Chunxia YANG ; Xuguang CHEN ; Kun LIU ; Huanhuan JIANG ; Dongxiang QU ; Jia SONG ; Hua CHENG ; Wenfang SUN ; Hanqiu ZHAN ; Xiao LI ; Yafeng WANG ; Aixia WANG ; Li LIU ; Lihua YANG ; Nan ZHANG ; Shumin CHEN ; Jingjing MA ; Wei LIU ; Xiaoxiang DU ; Meiqin ZHENG ; Liyan WAN ; Guangqing DU ; Hangmei LIU ; Pengfei JIN
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(1):123-132
Debates persist regarding the efficacy and safety of azvudine, particularly its real-world outcomes. This study involved patients aged ≥60 years who were admitted to 25 hospitals in mainland China with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection between December 1, 2022, and February 28, 2023. Efficacy outcomes were all-cause mortality during hospitalization, the proportion of patients discharged with recovery, time to nucleic acid-negative conversion (T NANC), time to symptom improvement (T SI), and time of hospital stay (T HS). Safety was also assessed. Among the 5884 participants identified, 1999 received azvudine, and 1999 matched controls were included after exclusion and propensity score matching. Azvudine recipients exhibited lower all-cause mortality compared with controls in the overall population (13.3% vs. 17.1%, RR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.67-0.90; P = 0.001) and in the severe subgroup (25.7% vs. 33.7%; RR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.66-0.88; P < 0.001). A higher proportion of patients discharged with recovery, and a shorter T NANC were associated with azvudine recipients, especially in the severe subgroup. The incidence of adverse events in azvudine recipients was comparable to that in the control group (2.3% vs. 1.7%, P = 0.170). In conclusion, azvudine showed efficacy and safety in older patients hospitalized with COVID-19 during the SARS-CoV-2 omicron wave in China.


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