1.Establishment of a new predictive model for esophagogastric variceal rebleeding in liver cirrhosis based on clinical features
Wen GUO ; Xuyulin YANG ; Run GAO ; Yaxin CHEN ; Kun YIN ; Qian LI ; Manli CUI ; Mingxin ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):101-110
ObjectiveTo establish a new noninvasive, simple, and convenient clinical predictive model by identifying independent predictive factors for rebleeding after endoscopic therapy in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB), and to provide a basis for individualized risk assessment and development of clinical intervention strategies. MethodsCirrhotic patients with EGVB who were diagnosed and treated in The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Medical University from September 2018 to October 2023 were enrolled as subjects, and according to whether the patient experienced rebleeding within 1 year after endoscopic therapy, they were divided into rebleeding group with 93 patients and non-rebleeding group with 84 patients. Clinical data were collected and analyzed. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A Logistic model was established based on the results of the univariate and multivariate analyses, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were used to assess the accuracy of the model. R software was used to visualize the model by plotting a nomogram, and the Bootstrap method was used for internal validation of the model. ResultsThe multivariate analysis showed that red blood cell count (RBC), cholinesterase (ChE), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), albumin (Alb), thrombin time (TT), portal vein trunk diameter, sequential therapy, and primary prevention were independent predictive factors for rebleeding. Based on the results of the multivariate analysis, a logistic model was established as logit(P)=-0.805-1.978×(RBC)+0.001×(ChE)-0.020×(ALP)-0.314×(Alb)+0.567×(TT)+0.428×(portal vein trunk diameter)-2.303×[sequential therapy (yes=1, no=0)]-2.368×[primary prevention (yes=1, no=0)]. The logistic model (AUC=0.928, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.893—0.964, P<0.001) had a better performance in predicting rebleeding than MELD score (AUC=0.603, 95%CI: 0.520—0.687, P=0.003), Child-Pugh class (AUC=0.650, 95%CI: 0.578—0.722, P=0.001), and FIB-4 index (AUC=0.587, 95%CI: 0.503—0.671, P=0.045). The model had an optimal cut-off value of 0.607, a sensitivity of 0.817, and a specificity of 0.817. Internal validation confirmed that the model had good predictive performance and accuracy. ConclusionSequential therapy, implementation of primary prevention, an increase in RBC, and an increase in Alb are protective factors against rebleeding, while prolonged TT and widened main portal vein diameter are risk factors. The logistic model based on these independent predictive factors can predict rebleeding and thus holds promise for clinical application.
2.Clinical characteristics and influencing factors of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients complicated with heart failure in Nanjing
Yumin ZHU ; Guoxin ZHANG ; Liping YIN ; Fan CHEN ; Bowen HUANG ; Qian LI
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(4):64-68
Objective To analyze the clinical features of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients with heart failure (HF) in Nanjing and explore the influencing factors. Methods A total of 773 COPD inpatients were selected from January 2021 to January 2024 in Nanjing Combined Hospital of Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing Qixia District Hospital, Nanjing Lishui District People's Hospital, Nanjing Pukou District Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine and Nanjing First Hospital., and were divided into 2 groups according to the presence or absence of combined HF. The general data and medical records of the two groups were compared, the clinical characteristics of COPD patients with HF were summarized, and the influencing factors of COPD patients with HF were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression. Results Among the 242 patients (31.31%) with COPD had HF, chronic paroxysmal dyspnea was the most common first symptom, 169 patients (69.83%) had left heart failure, 63 patients (30.17%) were diagnosed as right heart failure or global heart failure , 17 patients (7.02%) had myocardial infarction. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the risk of HF was 1.678 times and 1.691times higher in COPD groups ≥ 50 years old and male COPD groups than in < 50 years old and female groups, respectively; the risk of HF was 1.491 times higher in COPD groups engaged in physical work than in physical work groups; the risk of HF was 1.447 times and 1.580 times higher in COPD groups with hypertension and coronary heart disease than in COPD groups without hypertension and coronary heart disease, respectively; the risk of HF was 1.859 times higher in COPD groups smoking>400 vial/year than in COPD groups≤400 vial/ year; the risk of HF was 1.757 times higher in COPD groups with acute exacerbation frequency≥2 times/year than in COPD groups<2 times/year; the above differences were statistically significant (P<0.05). Conclusion Attention should be paid to elderly, male and heavy physical work group of COPD patients. Active treatment of hypertension and coronary heart disease, effective tobacco control and reduction of the frequency of acute exacerbation are effective ways to reduce the risk of HF in COPD patients in Nanjing.
3.Self-reported chronic disease prevalence among HIV/AIDS patients aged 50 years and above receiving antiretroviral therapy in Wuxi City
LI Qian ; YANG Bolin ; CHEN Jibiao ; YIN Hanlu ; XU Zhuping ; MENG Xiaojun
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(4):390-394
Objective:
To investigate the prevalence of hypertension, diabetes and hyperlipidemia among HIV/AIDS patients aged 50 years and above receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Wuxi City, Jiangsu Province, so as to provide insights into the prevention and intervention of chronic diseases for these populations.
Methods:
The HIV/AIDS patients aged 50 years and above receiving ART were recruited at designated HIV/AIDS medical institutions in Wuxi City using the convenient sampling method from March to June 2024. Demographic information, treatment status and self-reported prevalence of hypertension, diabetes and hyperlipidemia were collected through questionnaire surveys. Factors affecting the prevalence of chronic diseases were analyzed using a multivariable logistic regression model.
Results:
A total of 830 HIV/AIDS patients receiving ART were surveyed, including 656 males (79.04%) and 375 patients aged 50 to <60 years (45.18%). Among them, 366 patients reported having at least one type of chronic disease, including hypertension, diabetes and hyperlipidemia, with a self-reported prevalence rate of 44.10%. Specifically, 280, 114 and 61 patients reported having hypertension, diabetes and hyperlipidemia, with the self-reported prevalence rates of 33.73%, 13.73% and 7.35%, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that male patients (OR=1.725, 95%CI: 1.187-2.507), those with monthly income less than 3 000 yuan (OR=1.521, 95%CI: 1.122-2.063), those with body mass index of 24 kg/m2 and above (OR=1.577, 95%CI: 1.168-2.130), those who initiated ART at ages of 50 years and above (50 to <60 years, OR=1.535, 95%CI: 1.052-2.238; ≥60 years, OR=3.322, 95%CI: 2.191-5.038), those with ART duration of 10 years and above (OR=2.069, 95%CI: 1.419-3.017), and those who received non-first-line regimens (OR=1.776, 95%CI: 1.304-2.418) had higher risks of developing at least one type of chronic disease, including hypertension, diabetes and hyperlipidemia.
Conclusions
The self-reported prevalence of at least one type of chronic disease, including hypertension, diabetes and hyperlipidemia among HIV/AIDS patients aged 50 years and above receiving ART in Wuxi City was 44.10%. Gender, monthly income, body mass index and ART status are the main influencing factors for the risk of chronic diseases.
4.Post-exposure prophylaxis and follow-up in children and young persons presenting with sexual assault.
Sarah Hui Wen YAO ; Karen NADUA ; Chia Yin CHONG ; Koh Cheng THOON ; Chee Fu YUNG ; Natalie Woon Hui TAN ; Kai-Qian KAM ; Peter WONG ; Juliet TAN ; Jiahui LI
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2025;54(7):410-418
INTRODUCTION:
Paediatric sexual assault (SA) victims should be assessed for post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) to mitigate the risk of sexually transmitted infections (STIs). We describe the clinical characteristics of children and young persons (CYPs) presenting with SA at KK Women's and Children's Hospital in Singapore, viral PEP (human immunodeficiency virus [HIV] and hepatitis B virus [HBV]) prescribing practices, and STI evaluation at follow-up.
METHOD:
Medical records of CYPs ≤16 years who presented with SA between January 2022 and August 2023 were reviewed, including assault and assailant characteristics, baseline and follow-up STI screening, PEP prescription, adherence and follow-up attendance. CYPs with SA in the preceding 72 hours by HIV-positive or HIV-status unknown assailants with high-risk characteris-tics were eligible for HIV PEP.
RESULTS:
We analysed 278 CYPs who made 292 SA visits. There were 40 (13.7%) CYPs eligible for HIV PEP, of whom 29 (82.9%) received it. Among those tested at baseline, 9% and 34.9% of CYPs tested positive for Chlamydia trachomatis and Gardnerella vaginalis, respectively. None tested positive for Neisseria gonorrhoeae, Trichomonas vaginalis, HIV, HBV or hepatitis C. Majority of CYPs tested were HBV non-immune (n=167, 67.6%); only 77 (46.1%) received the vaccine. Out of 27 CYPs eligible for HBV PEP with immunoglobulin, only 21 (77.7%) received immunoglobulin. A total of 37 CYPs received HIV PEP, including 8 who were retrospectively deemed ineligible. Only 10 (27%) completed the course. Overall, 153 (57.7%) CYPs attended follow-up, and none seroconverted for HIV or HBV.
CONCLUSION
We report suboptimal rates of HBV post-exposure vaccination, and low compliance to HIV PEP and follow-up among paediatric SA victims. Factors contri-buting to poor compliance should be examined to optimise care for this vulnerable population.
Humans
;
Post-Exposure Prophylaxis/methods*
;
Female
;
Child
;
Adolescent
;
Singapore/epidemiology*
;
HIV Infections/prevention & control*
;
Male
;
Sexually Transmitted Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Hepatitis B/prevention & control*
;
Follow-Up Studies
;
Child, Preschool
;
Sex Offenses/statistics & numerical data*
;
Child Abuse, Sexual
5.Preliminary exploration and reliability analysis of clinical diagnostic method for marginal velopharyngeal insufficiency.
Xinyi HUANG ; Qirong MAO ; Heng YIN ; Min WU ; Bing SHI ; Qian ZHENG ; Jingtao LI
West China Journal of Stomatology 2025;43(3):376-382
OBJECTIVES:
A stable, reliable, and easily implementable clinical diagnostic method for marginal velopharyngeal insufficiency (MVPI) was established on the basis of the subjective hearing judgement of hypernasality and objective examination of velopharyngeal closure to address the lack of unified diagnostic criteria for MVPI.
METHODS:
Nasopharyngeal fiberscopy and speech assessment results were collected from postoperative patients with cleft palate. These results were used to analyze the differences in the distribution of nasal resonance in patients with different velopharyngeal closure ratios and the correlation between velopharyngeal closure ratios and nasal resonance status. Mild-to-moderate hypernasality with its corresponding elopharyngeal closure ratio was employed to establish the diagnostic criteria of MVPI. The reproducibility of the criteria and whether the patients with MVPI diagnosed by using the criteria exhibited significantly different speech characteristics compared with other patients were verified.
RESULTS:
A strong correlation was found between velopharyngeal closure ratios and nasal resonance (P<0.001). Mild-to-moderate hypernasality mainly corresponded to velopharyngeal closure ratios ranging from 90% to 99%, and the combination of the two characteristics as the diagnostic criteria for MVPI demonstrated good consistency (Kappa value=0.789, P<0.001). Moreover, under the diagnostic criteria, significant differences in nasal resonance (P<0.001), nasal emission (P=0.007), and misarticulation (P<0.001) were found between patients with velopharyngeal insufficiency and those with MVPI.
CONCLUSIONS
Combining the subjective hearing judgement of mild-to-moderate hypernasality with velopharyngeal closure ratios over 90% under nasopharyngeal fiberscopy provides a reliable and effective clinical method for diagnosing MVPI.
Humans
;
Velopharyngeal Insufficiency/physiopathology*
;
Reproducibility of Results
;
Cleft Palate/surgery*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Child
6.Research progress in effect of macrophage polarization on development process and treatment effect of knee osteoarthritis
Qian XIONG ; Yuliu LI ; Zhizheng ZHANG ; Wangtong ZHANG ; Hongbing YIN ; Zongyang LI
Journal of Jilin University(Medicine Edition) 2025;51(5):1437-1444
Macrophage polarization is involved in the entire process of the occurrence and development of knee osteoarthritis(KO A).By polarizing into distinct functional phenotypes,macrophages play key regulatory roles in the initiation of inflammation,matrix degradation,suppression of cartilage formation,and progression of the disease.The M1-type macrophages secrete numerous pro-inflammatory cytokines to exacerbate the inflammatory responses and promote the destruction of articular cartilage.Conversely,the M2-type macrophages help maintain the extracellular matrix homeostasis and facilitate cartilage formation by releasing anti-inflammatory factors while suppressing the secretion of inflammatory factors,thereby exerting anti-inflammatory effects and promoting tissue repair.Recent studies have shown that an imbalanced ratio of M1/M2 macrophages(M1/M2 ratio)is closely linked with both the pathogenesis and progression of KO A.Restoration of the dynamic balance between these two subtypes could be an essential strategy for treating and preventing KO A.This article reviewed the current literatures retrieved from PubMed and CNKI databases using the keywords"knee osteoarthritis"and"macrophages"over the past decade.The review introduced the process of macrophage polarization and the mechanisms of different macrophage phenotypes in KOA,and further discussed the recent advances in modulating the M1/M2 ratio for KOA management through chemical drugs,bioactive molecules,and traditional Chinese medicine and so on,aiming to provide the theoretical insights for future research and clinical interventions.
7.Prediction of risk for acute kidney injury and its progression to mortality in obese patients admitted to ICU postoperatively
Qiang LI ; Guo MU ; Wenzhang WANG ; Jie YIN ; Xuan YU ; Bin LU ; Qian LI ; Jun ZHOU
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(10):1110-1125
Objective To develop a machine learning-based risk prediction model for postoperative acute kidney injury(AKI)and a model for mortality in obese patients admitted to intensive care unit(ICU)in order to improve early warning and prognostic evaluation to support clinical decision-making.Methods Data of obese postoperative ICU patients were retrospectively retrieved from the MIMIC-Ⅳ and eICU databases for statistical analysis.Ultimately,2 520 patients(670 from MIMIC-Ⅳ and 1 850 from eICU databases)were included to build the risk prediction models for AKI and mortality.The data included demographic information,vital signs,laboratory findings,surgical types,comorbidities,and medication use.After data cleaning and preprocessing,Boruta feature selection was applied,followed by the construction of prediction models using 7 machine learning algorithms,that is,Gradient Boosting Machine(GBM),Generalized Linear Model(GLM),k-Nearest Neighbors(KNN),Na?ve Bayes(NB),Neural Network(NNET),Support Vector Machine(SVM),and XGBoost.Model performance was evaluated through cross-validation and external validation.Results In the risk prediction models of AKI,the SVM model achieved the highest AUC value of 0.80 in the testing set and 0.71 in the external validation test.For the risk prediction models of mortality,the GBM model outperformed others in the prediction,attaining an AUC value of 0.91 in the testing set.Conclusion Risk predictive models for postoperative AKI and mortality in obese ICU patients are successfully constructed,and are valuable tools for clinicians to optimize early intervention and improve clinical outcomes for the patients.
8.Thoughts and Prospects on Precision Control and Intelligent Positioning Robotic Systems Applied in Nasojejunal Feeding Tube Placement
Yu QIU ; Rui HONG ; Guofei XIANG ; Dengfeng HONG ; Yin ZHANG ; Kefeng LI ; Huitang QIAN ; Songyi DIAN ; Ka LI ; Wei PU
Journal of Sichuan University (Medical Sciences) 2025;56(5):1412-1418
Nasojejunal feeding tubes are widely used in surgical,intensive care,and older patients.Manual blind insertion of nasojejunal feeding tubes is technically challenging,associated with a high failure rate,and prone to complications.The primary causes of suboptimal placement outcomes are the uncertainty and weak controllability of the interaction forces during the coordination between manual posterior advancement and the patient's physiological state.While current auxiliary techniques such as X-ray,ultrasound,and endoscopy can improve the success rate of nasojejunal tube placement and reduce complications to some extent,the accuracy and safety of placement remain constrained by challenges in controlling insertion forces and achieving precise positional localization.Robotic technology holds promise for addressing the uncertainties and controllability issues inherent in the placement process.By leveraging precise sensing,real-time navigation,and efficient control,robots can achieve intelligent positioning and precise control over the direction and location of the catheter tip during nasojejunal intubation.However,current research on robotic applications for nasojejunal feeding tube placement is still in an early stage,facing challenges such as high costs,operational complexity,and concerns over safety and reliability.Herein,we analyzed the limitations and causes of failure in existing placement methods and explored the application prospects of robotic technologies for precise control and intelligent positioning in nasojejunal feeding tube placement.The paper provides new insights for developing nursing techniques that enable safer and more effective,comfortable,and rapid intubation.Future efforts should focus on deepening the integration of artificial intelligence and robotics,optimizing drive technologies,and accelerating the translation of these technologies from the laboratory to clinical practice.This will drive the advancement of nasojejunal feeding tube placement techniques towards intelligent,precise,and accessible solutions.
9.Analysis of factors influencing prolonged length of hospital stay after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt and construction of its prediction model
Zhaorong WU ; Qian WANG ; Qin YIN ; Tian TIAN ; Han SONG ; Jiangqiang XIAO ; Wen LI
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2025;34(4):418-424
Objective To investigate the risk factors influencing the prolonged length of hospital stay after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt(TIPS)in patients with ruptured esophagogastric variceal bleeding(EGVB)and to construct a risk prediction model.Methods The clinical data of 215 patients with EGVB,who received TIPS at a certain grade ⅢA hospital in Nanjing of China from January 1,2020 to January 30,2023,were retrospectively analyzed.According to whether the postoperative hospitalization stay was prolonged or not,the patients were divided into prolonged group(n=67)and normal group(n=148).Multivariate logistic regression analysis was sued to analyze the independent risk factors for prolonged postoperative hospitalization stay,and the risk factors were used as predictors for constructing the nomogram model.Results Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that history of splenectomy,early TIPS performance,NRS 2002 Nutritional Risk Screening Score ≥3 points,and Barthel index score≤40 points were the independent risk factors for prolonged postoperative hospitalization stay in patients with cirrhotic EGVB after receiving TIPS(P<0.05).The area under receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve of the model constructed on the basis of independent risk factors was 0.743,which was higher than that of early TIPS performance,history of splenectomy,NRS 2002 score,and Barthel index score.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test obtained P=0.723,indicating that this model had a good fit degree.Conclusion The prediction model established in this study can be used for cirrhotic EGVB patients to predict the risk of prolonged postoperative hospitalization stay,and this model has good discrimination and calibration,besides,it can bring some clinical benefits to patients.
10.Research progress on genetic factors related to lung function
Panying LI ; Xiaofeng ZHANG ; Jianyun YIN ; Xiaowei REN ; Jing YANG ; Qian NI
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2025;29(3):133-137,143
Lung function serves as a clinical indicator reflecting respiratory system function,ai-ding in the diagnosis and monitoring of pulmonary diseases.Both genetic and environmental factors ex-ert significant influences on lung function.A comprehensive understanding of the role of genetic factors in lung function is crucial for gaining deeper insights into the regulatory mechanisms of lung function.In recent years,with the application of advanced technologies such as genome-wide association stud-ies,whole-exome sequencing,whole-genome sequencing,and epigenome-wide association studies,numerous genetic loci related to lung function have been identified.This review aimed to summarize the current research progress in genetics related to lung function,providing a reference for subsequent in-depth exploration of the pathological and physiological mechanisms affecting lung function.


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