Objective To construct three models, SARIMA, XGBoost, and LightGBM, to predict the future trend of human brucellosis in mainland China, and to provide a basis for formulating policies for the prevention and control of brucellosis. Methods Monthly case data of human brucellosis in mainland China from 2014 to 2023 were collected. The SARIMA model was constructed using R 4.4.1. The XGBoost and LightGBM models were constructed using Python 3.8. Results From 2014 to 2023, a total of 536,443 cases of human brucellosis were reported in mainland China. The incidence rate first decreased and then increased. The average annual incidence was 3.82 per 100,000 people. The LightGBM model effectively captured the complex time‑series characteristics of human brucellosis. It had good performance while accurately predicting the trend. Based on the optimal LightGBM model, a short‑term prediction was made for the trend of human brucellosis in 2024. The results showed that in 2024, the disease would still have a clear seasonal pattern in China. The peak months were from April to June. The highest number of cases was in June (8,733.48 cases). The lowest number was in October (3,260.69 cases). The predicted total number of cases for the year was about 70,260. Overall, the incidence remained high. Conclusion China remains in a high-incidence phase of human brucellosis, necessitating further implementation of prevention and control measures and enhanced supervision and monitoring in key regions.

Liver injury due to acetaminophen overdose is one of the main causes of acute liver failure， with a complex pathogenesis. In this process， liver sinusoidal endothelial cell （LSEC） injury is a key early event jointly mediated by factors such as oxidative stress， cell apoptosis， and imbalance between fibrinolysis and coagulation. Subsequent LSEC dysfunction further induces sinusoidal microcirculatory disturbances， amplifies the inflammatory response， impairs the regeneration and repair abilities of the liver， and finally causes hepatocyte necrosis. This article systematically elaborates on the critical role and molecular mechanism of LSEC in acetaminophen-induced liver injury， in order to provide a theoretical basis for novel therapeutic strategies and research directions.

Objective:To systematically evaluate the differences in CT values between virtual non-contrast (VNC) images and true non-contrast (TNC) images generated from dual-energy CT (DECT), and to validate the feasibility of VNC images replacing TNC images in dose calculations for photon and proton radiotherapy plans.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the imaging data of 40 patients with solid tumors (20 cranial, 10 thoracic and 10 abdominal cases) who underwent DECT scans at Cancer Hospital of Shandong First Medical University from February 2022 to May 2023. VNC and TNC images were registered slice-by-slice. The differences in CT values of anatomical structures were compared, and Pearson correlation analysis was used to evaluate the correlation of CT values of different anatomical structures in VNC and TNC images. For structures with significant differences, linear regression models (TNC=β×VNC+α) were established using the least squares method. In the Varian Eclipse 15.5 treatment planning system, photon and proton radiotherapy plans based on TNC images and VNC images, as well as the proton radiotherapy plan based on the VNC images corrected by the regression models, were respectively designed. Dose differences of radiotherapy plans designed based on the two images were evaluated. To evaluate dose variations in regions adjacent to the clinical target volume (CTV), two 2-mm-thick annular reference structures were generated on the axial slice containing the largest cross-section of the CTV, extending cranially and caudally from the CTV. These structures were designated as Ring_p and Ring_d, respectively.Results:The differences in CT values between VNC and TNC images were mainly concentrated in the bony structure. The CT values difference between TNC and VNC images was (409.07±53.38) HU for the skull in 20 cranial tumor patients ( t=13.88, P<0.001), and (118.66±20.90) HU for the vertebral bone in 10 thoracic and 10 abdominal tumor patients ( t=10.43, P<0.001). The CT values of the skull and spine showed high correlation between TNC and VNC images ( r=0.98, P<0.001; r=0.99, P<0.001). The regression models established respectively were: TNC=1.859×VNC+33.896 (skull), and TNC=1.827×VNC+5.491 (spine). For photon radiotherapy plans based on TNC and VNC images, the D mean of the CTV were (60.00±0.00) and (60.00±0.00) Gy respectively, with D mean of Ring_p were (61.17±1.69) and (61.01±1.67) Gy, and Ring_d were (55.26±2.06) and (55.20±1.94) Gy, respectively. The relative dose differences in D mean between the two image types were 0 ( t<0.01, P>0.999), 0.33% ( t=0.30, P=0.766), and 0.19% ( t=0.07, P=0.947), all with no statistically significant differences. For proton radiotherapy plans based on TNC and VNC images, the D mean of the CTV were (61.73±0.32) and (61.67±0.26) Gy (RBE), respectively, with D mean of Ring_p were (61.19±0.44) and (60.53±1.22) Gy (RBE), and Ring_d were (60.97±0.67) and (59.80±4.26) Gy (RBE), respectively. The relative dose differences in D mean between the two image types were 0.24% ( t=0.63, P=0.530), 1.80% ( t=1.45, P=0.156), and 3.56% ( t=2.26, P=0.030), with a statistically significant difference in the Ring_d region. In the proton radiotherapy plan designed based on the corrected VNC images, the D mean of the CTV was (61.75±0.32) Gy (RBE), Ring_p was (61.43±0.71) Gy (RBE), and Ring_d was (59.96±2.80) Gy (RBE). The relative dose differences in D mean between TNC images and corrected VNC images were 0.16% ( t=0.19, P=0.850), 0.76% ( t=1.32, P=0.196), and 2.22% ( t=1.93, P=0.061), respectively, with no statistically significant differences. Conclusions:The differences in CT values between VNC and TNC images in DECT mainly exist in bony structures, particularly in the skull and vertebrae. For patients with cranial tumors, VNC images can be directly used in photon radiotherapy planning. In contrast, for proton therapy, after being corrected by the regression model, VNC images can effectively replace TNC images for the dose calculations of radiotherapy plan.

Objective To investigate the postoperative efficacy of laparoscopic hiatal hernia repair(LHHR)combined with Toupet or Dor fundoplication for the treatment of esophageal hiatal hernia(HH).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the case data of HH patients who underwent LHHR combined with Toupet(Toupet group,n=53)and Dor(Dor group,n=53)fundoplication between December 2018 and December 2022 in Department of General Surgery of Gansu Provincial Hospital.Intraoperative and postoperative recovery outcomes of both groups were observed.We analyzed and compared the incidence of dysphagia and gastroesophageal reflux disease questionnaire(GERD-Q)scores at preoperative and postoperative intervals of 1 month,6 months,and 1 year.The incidence of postoperative complications and the 1-year recurrence rate were compared between the two groups.Additionally,factors influencing postoperative dysphagia within the first month were examined.Results The differences between the two groups in operation time,intraoperative bleeding,postoperative ventilation time,postoperative extubation time and hospitalization time were not statistically significant(P>0.05).There was no significant difference in the incidence of immediate postoperative dysphagia in two groups(P>0.05).Furthermore,the differences between the two groups in the incidence of postoperative complications,such as bloating,abdominal pain and diarrhea,were not statistically significant(P>0.05).The incidence of dysphagia in Toupet group was higher than that in Dor group at 1 month postoperatively,and the difference was statistically significant(P=0.017);but the difference in the incidence of dysphagia between the two groups at 6 months and 1 year postoperatively was not statistically significant(P=0.767,1.000).The results of binary logistic regression analysis showed that both surgical procedure(OR=2.613,95%CI 1.141-5.983,P=0.023)and esophageal contractile reserve function(OR=2.921,95%CI 1.203-7.095,P=0.018)were independent risk factors for the incidence of dysphagia in patients with HH at 1 month after surgery.Compared with the preoperative period,the GERD-Q symptom scores were lower in both groups at 1 month,6 months,and 1 year postoperatively,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05);but there was no statistically significant difference between the groups at the same time point(Fintergroup=0.334,P=0.565).The difference between the two groups in 1-year postoperative recurrence rates was not statistically significant(P>0.05).Conclusions LHHR combined with Toupet or Dor fundoplication are both safe and effective surgical procedures for the treatment of HH,with excellent reflux control,fewer complications and lower recurrence rates,but Toupet fundoplication is more likely to have postoperative short-term dysphagia than Dor fundoplication.

Objective:A nomogram model for predicting double positivity of microvascular invasion (MVI) and vascular endothelial-to-mesenchymal transition (VETC) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was constructed and its predictive performance was evaluated.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 326 HCC patients who were treated at the Third People's Hospital of Nantong and the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from January 2013 to June 2023, including 240 males and 86 females, with an average age of (58.7±9.0) years. The 326 patients were randomly divided into a training set ( n=228) and a test set ( n=98) at a ratio of 7: 3 using the random number table method. The training set was divided into a double-positive group ( n=54) and a control group ( n=174) based on whether the HCC patients were double positive for MVI and VETC. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the influencing factors of double positivity of microvascular invasion in HCC patients, and a nomogram for predicting double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns was constructed based on the multivariate. The predictive performance and clinical net benefit of the nomogram were evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. Results:There were statistically significant differences in alpha-fetoprotein, gamma-glutamyl transferase, and phosphatidylinositol proteoglycan between the two groups (all P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that LI-RADS category ( OR=8.58, 95% CI: 1.87-39.38), intratumoral hemorrhage ( OR=2.16, 95% CI: 1.14-4.07), and intratumoral arteries ( OR=2.59, 95% CI: 1.19-5.64) were all influencing factors of double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns in HCC patients (all P<0.05). Based on the multivariate results, a nomogram was constructed. In the training set, the area under the ROC curve for predicting double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns in HCC patients was 0.769 (95% CI: 0.720-0.814). In the test set, the area under the ROC curve for predicting double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns in HCC patients was 0.756 (95% CI: 0.622-0.850). The calibration curve showed a good fit between the predicted model and the ideal curve. Decision curve analysis showed that the clinical applicability was good when the threshold was 0.01-0.80 in the training set and 0.01-0.65 in the test set. Conclusion:The nomogram model based on LI-RADS category, intratumoral hemorrhage, and intratumoral arteries can effectively predict double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns in HCC patients and has good clinical applicability.

Objective:To observe the effect of moxibustion on angiogenesis-related indicators in knee joint synovial tissue of adjuvant arthritis model rats,and to explore the mechanism of moxibustion in inhibiting vascular endothelial growth factor(VEGF)expression in synovial tissue and further limiting the activation of Rho family proteins Rac1 and Cdc42,thereby inhibiting angiogenesis during rheumatoid arthritis(RA)treatment.Methods:Forty-eight male Sprague-Dawley rats were equally divided into a normal group,a model group,a moxibustion group,and a moxibustion+VEGF agonist group according to the random principle.The complete Freund's adjuvant method was used for modeling.On the 12th day after modeling,the moxibustion group and the moxibustion+VEGF agonist group were subjected to suspended moxibustion at bilateral Zusanli(ST36),Guanyuan(CV4),and Ashi points for 20 min each time,once a day,for a total of 15 times.The moxibustion+VEGF agonist group received VEGF agonist(tirofiban hydrochloride hydrate)injection in the knee joint cavity at the same time.Hematoxylin-eosin staining was used to evaluate the pathological changes of rat synovial tissue in each group.Immunohistochemistry was used to observe the CD31 expression level in rat synovial tissue.Western blotting was used to detect the levels of VEGF,Rac1,and Cdc42 protein in rat synovial tissue,and polymerase chain reaction(PCR)was used to detect the VEGF mRNA expression.Results:Compared to the normal group,the expression levels of CD31 protein and VEGF mRNA and protein in rat synovial tissue in the model group increased significantly(P<0.01),and the expression levels of phospho-Rac1 and phospho-Cdc42 proteins also increased significantly(P<0.01).After moxibustion intervention,the expression levels of CD31 protein and VEGF mRNA and protein in the moxibustion group were significantly lower than those in the model group(P<0.01),while the differences in each indicator between the moxibustion+VEGF agonist group and the model group were not statistically significant(P>0.05).Compared to the moxibustion group,the expression levels of CD31 protein,VEGF mRNA and protein,phospho-Cdc42,and phospho-Rac1 in the moxibustion+VEGF agonist group increased significantly(P<0.01).Conclusion:Moxibustion improved synovial inflammation in RA by inhibiting angiogenesis.The mechanism may be to regulate angiogenesis-related VEGF,restrict the activation of Rac1 and Cdc42,and inhibit pseudopodia formation in vascular endothelial cells,thereby reducing angiogenesis.

Objective To investigate the value of MRI radiomics for the preoperative noninvasive prediction of isocitrate dehydrogenase(IDH)mutation status in glioma.Methods Totally,306 glioma patients were retrospectively selected.All patients were randomly assigned into training group(n=214)and validation group(n=92)at a ratio of 7∶3.Region of interest(ROI)was manually delineated by two radiologists independently on the fluid attenuated inversion recovery(FLAIR)and contrast enhanced(CE)MRI images for obtaining whole volume of interest(VOI)of lesion.A total of 851 radiomics features were extracted from the VOI,respectively.The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)method was used for features dimension reduction combing 10-fold cross validation.Three Radiomics score(Radscore)were calculated by linear combination of retained features and their corresponding coefficients.The optimal Radscore and clinical characteristics were incorporated to perform logistic regression analysis for establishing the IDH mutation status noninvasive prediction model.A nomogram was plotted for realizing the visualization of model.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was plotted to evaluate the prediction performance of model.The calibration and clinical utility of the model were evaluated by calibration curve and decision curve.Results The area under the curve(AUC)of Radscore-combined based on combination of two sequences was 0.856 in the training group,which was superior to the Radscore-CE(AUC=0.821),Radscore-FLAIR(AUC=0.766)from single sequence,with consistent result in the validation group.The addition of clinical characteristics to the model improved predictive value with AUC,sensitivity and specificity of 0.898,79.59％,90.52％in the training group.Conclusion The radiomics model based on FLAIR and CE MRI contributes to preoperative noninvasive prediction of IDH mutation status in glioma.The combination of multi-sequence and the addition of clinical characteristics can improve the prediction performance.

Objective To explore the significance of mitoxantrone hydrochloride injection and carbon nanoparticles suspension injection in endoscopic radical thyroid cancer surgery.Methods A retrospective analysis was carried out on patients who underwent endoscopic radical surgery for unilateral thyroid cancer at the Depart-ment of General Surgery,Gansu Provincial Central Hospital,from December 2022 to February 2024.The patients were classified into two groups according to the intraoperative tracer employed:the mitoxantrone group and the nanocarbon group.After a 6-month postoperative follow-up,the baseline data of the two patient groups were compared.The intraoperative visualization of lymph nodes and parathyroid glands in both groups was observed.Additionally,the hospitalization costs and the incidence of postoperative complications were compared between the two groups.Results In this study,110 cases were included in the Mitoxantrone group and 126 cases in the nanocarbon group.The staining time of the central lymph nodes was significantly shorter in the nanocarbon group compared to the mitoxantrone group(P<0.05).The blue staining rate of MHI reached 97.5%,while the black staining rate of CNSI was 98.3%.The difference between them was not statistically significant(P>0.05).Regarding the number of central lymph nodes dissected,it was 9.34±0.22 in the Mitoxantrone group and 9.88±0.24 in the nanocarbon group,with no statistically significant difference(P>0.05).Similarly,the parathyroid misdissection rates were 1.8%and 0.8%in the two groups respectively,and no significant statistical difference was observed(P>0.05).Postoperative blood calcium and PTH levels measured at 1 day,1 month,and 6 months did not show any statistically significant differences between the two groups(P>0.05).The incidence of transient hypoparathy-roidism and hypocalcemia was comparable in both groups(P>0.05),and no patients developed permanent hypo-parathyroidism or permanent hoarseness.None of the patients in one Mitoxantrone group experienced postoperative hemorrhage,coeliac leakage,or skin staining.In contrast,in the nanocarbon group,there was one case of postop-erative hemorrhage and one case of coeliac leakage,and two case of skin staining.Conclusions In laparoscopic unilateral thyroid cancer radical surgery,when it comes to lymph node tracing and parathyroid gland protection,no significant disparities were detected between MHI and CNSI.Nevertheless,CNSI exhibits a shorter staining time for central lymph nodes.In contrast,MHI is more manageable,features a faster metabolic rate,and has been demonstrated to be more cost-effective.

OBJECTIVE: Emerging evidence suggests that exposure to ultrafine particulate matter (UPM, aerodynamic diameter < 0.1 µm) is associated with adverse cardiovascular events. Previous studies have found that Shenlian (SL) extract possesses anti-inflammatory and antiapoptotic properties and has a promising protective effect at all stages of the atherosclerotic disease process. In this study, we aimed to investigated whether SL improves UPM-aggravated myocardial ischemic injury by inhibiting inflammation and cell apoptosis. METHODS: We established a mouse model of MI+UPM. Echocardiographic measurement, measurement of myocardialinfarct size, biochemical analysis, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), histopathological analysis, Transferase dUTP Nick End Labeling (TUNEL), Western blotting (WB), Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) and so on were used to explore the anti-inflammatory and anti-apoptotic effects of SL in vivo and in vitro. RESULTS: SL treatment can attenuate UPM-induced cardiac dysfunction by improving left ventricular ejection fraction, fractional shortening, and decreasing cardiac infarction area. SL significantly reduced the levels of myocardial enzymes and attenuated UPM-induced morphological alterations. Moreover, SL significantly reduced expression levels of the inflammatory cytokines IL-6, TNF-α, and MCP-1. UPM further increased the infiltration of macrophages in myocardial tissue, whereas SL intervention reversed this phenomenon. UPM also triggered myocardial apoptosis, which was markedly attenuated by SL treatment. The results of in vitro experiments revealed that SL prevented cell damage caused by exposure to UPM combined with hypoxia by reducing the expression of the inflammatory factor NF-κB and inhibiting apoptosis in H9c2 cells. CONCLUSION Overall, both in vivo and in vitro experiments demonstrated that SL attenuated UPM-aggravated myocardial ischemic injury by inhibiting inflammation and cell apoptosis. The mechanisms were related to the downregulation of macrophages infiltrating heart tissues.
Animals ; Apoptosis/drug effects* ; Particulate Matter/adverse effects* ; Mice ; Male ; Inflammation/drug therapy* ; Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use* ; Mice, Inbred C57BL ; Myocardial Ischemia/drug therapy* ; Cell Line

Objective:To compare the clinical and laboratory characteristics and survival between Chinese and Western patients with myelodysplastic neoplasms (MDS) .Methods:Clinical and laboratory data were collected from 1,464 primary adult patients diagnosed with MDS at the Institute of Hematology & Blood Diseases Hospital from August 2016 to June 2024. Collected data were retrospectively analyzed and compared with 2,191 patients from the International Working Group for the Prognosis of Myelodysplastic Syndromes (IWG-PM) .Results:Chinese patients were significantly younger (median age: 56 years vs. 72 years, P<0.001) and experienced more severe hematopenia ( P<0.001) compared with patients from the IWG-PM. Further, Chinese patients exhibited a higher percentage of isolated del (20q), +8, and complex karyotypes as well as a lower percentage of normal karyotypes, del (5q), and -Y ( P<0.001). Higher U2AF1, NRAS, and NPM1 mutation rates and lower ASXL1, SF3B1, and RUNX1 mutation rates were observed in Chinese patients than in participants from the IWG-PM ( P<0.05). No significant difference in overall survival (OS) was found between the two groups (median OS: 48 [95% CI: 40 - 56]months, vs. 45[95% CI: 40 - 49] months; P=0.449). Among participants aged ≤45 years, Chinese patients demonstrated more trisomy 8 ( P=0.070) and U2AF1 mutation ( P<0.001) and higher 4-year OS rate compared with those from the IWG-PM (75.5% vs. 62.1%, P=0.001). Among participants aged ≥70 years, Chinese patients exhibited more complex karyotypes but fewer del (5q) as well as more NPM1 but less SF3B1 and TET2 compared with those from the IWG-PM ( P<0.05). Chinese patients demonstrated shorter survival (median OS: 20 [95% CI: 13 - 27] months vs. 37 [95% CI: 32 - 42] months, P<0.001) . Conclusion:Chinese and Western MDS patients differ in age of onset, clinical features, and cytogenetic or molecular genetic abnormalities, with significant differences persisting in age-matched groups. Although the OS is similar, disparities exist in survival for younger and older patients between the two populations.