1.Identification of high-risk preoperative blood indicators and baseline characteristics for multiple postoperative complications in rheumatoid arthritis patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty: a multi-machine learning feature contribution analysis.
Kejia ZHU ; Zhiyang HUANG ; Biao WANG ; Hang LI ; Yuangang WU ; Bin SHEN ; Yong NIE
Chinese Journal of Reparative and Reconstructive Surgery 2025;39(12):1532-1542
OBJECTIVE:
To explore, identify, and develop novel blood-based indicators using machine learning algorithms for accurate preoperative assessment and effective prediction of postoperative complication risks in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) undergoing total knee arthroplasty (TKA).
METHODS:
A retrospective cohort study was conducted including RA patients who underwent unilateral TKA between January 2019 and December 2024. Inpatient and 30-day postoperative outpatient follow-up data were collected. Six machine learning algorithms, including decision tree, random forest, logistic regression, support vector machine, extreme gradient boosting, and light gradient boosting machine, were used to construct predictive models. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), F1-score, accuracy, precision, and recall. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values were employed to interpret and rank the importance of individual variables.
RESULTS:
According to the inclusion criteria, a total of 1 548 patients were enrolled. Ultimately, 18 preoperative indicators were identified as effective predictive features, and 8 postoperative complications were defined as prediction labels for inclusion in the study. Within 30 days after surgery, 453 patients (29.2%) developed one or more complications. Considering overall accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, the random forest model [AUC=0.930, 95% CI (0.910, 0.950)] and the extreme gradient boosting model [AUC=0.909, 95% CI (0.880, 0.938)] demonstrated the best predictive performance. SHAP analysis revealed that anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody, C-reactive protein, rheumatoid factor, interleukin-6, body mass index, age, and smoking status made significant contributions to the overall prediction of postoperative complications.
CONCLUSION
Machine learning-based models enable accurate prediction of postoperative complication risks among RA patients undergoing TKA. Inflammatory and immune-related blood biomarkers, such as anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody, C-reactive protein, and rheumatoid factor, interleukin-6, play key predictive roles, highlighting their potential value in perioperative risk stratification and individualized management.
Humans
;
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee/adverse effects*
;
Arthritis, Rheumatoid/blood*
;
Machine Learning
;
Postoperative Complications/blood*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Preoperative Period
;
C-Reactive Protein/analysis*
;
Risk Assessment
2.Postoperative laboratory markers as predictors of early spinal surgical site infections: A retrospective cohort study.
Tianhong CHEN ; Renxin CHEN ; Hongliang ZHANG ; Qinyu FENG ; Lin CAI ; Jingfeng LI
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):412-417
PURPOSE:
To screen laboratory markers with predictive value in early spinal surgical site infections (SSI) that are diagnosed within 30 days postoperatively.
METHODS:
Patients who underwent surgical treatment for internal spinal fixation between March 2022 and March 2023 in our hospital were retrospectively studied. The inclusion criteria were aged >18 years, undergoing internal fixation surgery, complete medical records with >30 days of postoperative follow-up, diagnosis was made within 30 days postoperatively, and an informed consent form was obtained. The exclusion criteria were abnormal white blood cell count or neutrophil percentage in the preoperative blood routine and combined diseases that may affect the C-reactive protein (CRP) or procalcitonin (PCT) values, including lower respiratory tract infection, renal insufficiency, and liver disease. We collected patients' personal information, surgical information, and blood laboratory data, including CRP, PCT, lymphocyte-neutrophil ratio, platelet-neutrophil ratio, and routine blood tests on preoperative and postoperative days 3, 5, and 7, from these patients. These data were statistically analyzed to determine which laboratory markers were statistically significant. The diagnostic value and optimal diagnostic threshold of these laboratory markers were further determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.
RESULTS:
A total of 106 patients were enrolled in this study, of whom 8 patients were diagnosed with early SSI. A total of 4 laboratory markers were screened, namely, CRP on postoperative day 7 (optimal diagnostic threshold of ≥64.1 mg/L, sensitivity of 100%, specificity of 76.5%, area under the curve (AUC) of 0.908), PCT on postoperative day 7 (optimal diagnostic threshold of ≥0.2 ng/mL, sensitivity of 87.5%, specificity of 94.1%, AUC of 0.967), lymphocyte count on postoperative day 5 (optimal diagnostic threshold of ≤0.67 × 109/L, sensitivity of 50%, specificity of 95.9%, AUC of 0.760), and lymphocyte count on postoperative day 7 (optimal diagnostic threshold of ≤1.32 × 109/L, sensitivity of 87.5%, specificity of 55.1%, AUC of 0.721).
CONCLUSION
We concluded that CRP and PCT levels on postoperative day 7 and lymphocyte counts on postoperative days 5 and 7 are useful markers in screening for early spinal SSI.
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Male
;
Female
;
Biomarkers/blood*
;
Middle Aged
;
C-Reactive Protein/analysis*
;
Surgical Wound Infection/blood*
;
Procalcitonin/blood*
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Postoperative Period
;
ROC Curve
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Spine/surgery*
3.Effect of Guilu Taohong Formula on semen quality and spermatogenic cell apoptosis in a varicocele model of rats.
Biao WANG ; Yang YANG ; Ze-Rui QIU ; En-Min FENG ; Xiang ZHAO ; Neng WANG ; Xin HUANG ; Qun-Fang LIN ; Qing ZHOU
National Journal of Andrology 2025;31(2):150-156
OBJECTIVE:
To observe the effect of Guilu Taohong Formula on semen quality in varicocele (VC) models of rats, and to explore its possible mechanism.
METHODS:
Forty-eight male SD rats were randomly divided into four groups (sham group, model group, Guilu Taohong Formula group and L-carnitine group). After the establishment of models, the rats were treated with intragastric administration for eight consecutive weeks. The general condition of the rats was observed. After the gavage, the testicular and epididymal indices were calculated. Semen quality was assessed using an automatic semen analyzer. Apoptosis of testicular cells was assessed by TUNEL staining. And the expression levels of B-cell lymphocytoma-2 (Bcl-2), Bcl-2-associated X protein (Bax) and cysteine aspartate protease-3 (caspase-3) in testicular tissue were detected by Western blot.
RESULTS:
Compared with the sham group, testicular index, epididymal index, sperm concentration, the percentage of progressive motility of sperm (PR%) and the expression level of Bcl-2 decreased in model group(P<0.01). An increased apoptosis rate of spermatogenic cells and the expression levels of Bax and caspase-3 proteins were observed in model group as well(P<0.01). Compared with the model group, the testicular index, epididymal index, sperm concentration, PR% and the expression level of Bcl-2 in Guilu Taohong Formula group increased significantly (P<0.05, P<0.01). A decreased apoptosis rate of spermatogenic cells and the expression levels of Bax and caspase-3 proteins were detected in Guilu Taohong Formula group as well(P<0.01). Similarly, the L-carnitine group showed increased testicular index, epididymal index, sperm concentration, PR% and the expression level of Bcl-2 protein (P<0.05, P<0.01), where showed decreased apoptosis rate of spermatogenic cells and the expression levels of Bax and caspase-3 proteins compared with model group (P<0.01, P<0.05).
CONCLUSION
Guilu Taohong Formula improves semen quality in VC model rats and reduces the apoptosis rate of spermatogenic cells in testicular tissue, which may be related to the promotion of Bcl-2 protein expression and the inhibition of Bax and caspase-3 protein expression levels.
Male
;
Animals
;
Varicocele/drug therapy*
;
Rats
;
Apoptosis/drug effects*
;
Rats, Sprague-Dawley
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
;
Semen Analysis
;
bcl-2-Associated X Protein/metabolism*
;
Caspase 3/metabolism*
;
Proto-Oncogene Proteins c-bcl-2/metabolism*
;
Disease Models, Animal
;
Spermatozoa/drug effects*
;
Testis/drug effects*
4.Association of C-reactive protein to albumin ratio with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease stages 3-5.
Jie LIU ; Jin ZHAO ; Jinguo YUAN ; Zixian YU ; Yunlong QIN ; Yan XING ; Qiao ZHENG ; Yueru ZHAO ; Xiaoxuan NING ; Shiren SUN
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():21-21
BACKGROUND:
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) poses a major global health challenge, often foreshadowing poor patient outcomes. The C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CAR) serves as a pivotal biomarker, demonstrating a strong correlation with adverse outcomes in cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study sought to examine the correlation between CAR and the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with CKD stages 3-5.
METHODS:
This study utilized data of CKD patients from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2010, with follow-up to December 31, 2019. The optimal CAR cutoff value was identified utilizing the method of maximally selected rank statistics. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model, restricted cubic splines (RCS) model, and subgroup analysis were employed to assess the association between CAR and mortality among CKD patients.
RESULTS:
During a median (with interquartile range) follow-up period of 115 (112,117) months among 2,841 CKD individuals, 1,893 deaths were observed, including 692 deaths due to CVD events. Based on the RCS analysis, a non-linear correlation was observed between CAR and mortality. Using 0.3 as the optimal CAR cutoff value, the cohort was divided into high and low groups. In the fully adjusted model, CKD patients with high CAR values exhibited an elevated risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.53, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28-1.83, P < 0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.08-2.02, P = 0.014). Compared to the population aged >65 years (HR 1.32, 95% CI 0.99-1.76, P = 0.064), the risk of cardiovascular mortality was significantly higher in those aged ≤65 years (HR 2.19, 95% CI 1.18-4.09, P = 0.014) with elevated CAR levels.
CONCLUSIONS
A notable correlation exists between the elevation of CAR and increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, suggesting its potential as an independent indicator for evaluating the prognosis of patients with CKD stages 3-5.
Humans
;
Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology*
;
Cardiovascular Diseases/blood*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
C-Reactive Protein/metabolism*
;
Aged
;
Biomarkers/blood*
;
Nutrition Surveys
;
Adult
;
United States/epidemiology*
;
Serum Albumin/analysis*
5.Changes in inflammatory composite markers and D-dimer levels in young and middle-aged/elderly patients with hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis and their predictive value for disease progression.
Jing LI ; Jinrong HU ; Yuanyuan GOU ; Long YAO ; Jie CAO
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(2):215-226
OBJECTIVES:
Hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis (HTG-AP) has a rapid onset and is associated with a high risk of progression and recurrence. Early identification of patients at risk of severe disease can help reduce the likelihood of multiple organ failure and mortality. This study aims to investigate the changes in inflammatory composite markers and D-dimer (D-D) levels in young and middle-aged/elderly patients with HTG-AP and to evaluate their predictive value for disease progression.
METHODS:
A total of 230 patients with HTG-AP admitted to Chongqing University Jiangjin Hospital (Jiangjin Central Hospital) between 2017 and 2023 were retrospectively enrolled. Patients were first divided into a young group (≤45 years) and a middle-aged/elderly group (>45 years), and then stratified into mild and severe groups based on disease severity. Inflammatory composite markers, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), C-reactive protein-to-lymphocyte ratio (CLR), systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), systemic immune inflammation index (SII), as well as D-D levels, were compared among groups. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and Logistic regression were used to identify independent risk factors for disease progression in each age group. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the DeLong test were used to assess and compare the predictive performance (area under the curve, AUC) of risk factors. Internal validation was performed using the bootstrap method (n=1 000).
RESULTS:
No significant differences in NLR, PLR, MLR, SIRI, SII, CLR, or D-D levels were observed between the young (n=127) and middle-aged/elderly (n=103) groups (all P>0.05). Among young patients, the severe group (n=59) had significantly higher NLR, SIRI, SII, CLR, and D-D levels compared to the mild group (n=68) (all P<0.05). Among middle-aged/elderly patients, CLR and D-D levels were significantly higher in the severe group (n=49) than in the mild group (n=54) (P<0.05). LASSO and Logistic regression analyses identified elevated D-D as an independent risk factor for disease progression in young patients (P=0.007, OR=1.458, 95% CI 1.107 to 1.920), while both D-D (P=0.001, OR=2.267, 95% CI 1.413 to 3.637) and CLR (P=0.003, OR=1.007, 95% CI 1.003 to 1.012) were independent risk factors in middle-aged/elderly patients. ROC analysis showed that D-D predicted disease progression in young and middle-aged/elderly patients with AUCs of 0.653 and 0.741, sensitivities of 67.8% and 57.1%, and specificities of 72.1% and 88.9%, respectively. CLR predicted progression in middle-aged/elderly patients with an AUC of 0.687, sensitivity of 63.3%, and specificity of 70.4%. DeLong test showed no significant difference in AUC between D-D and CLR for middle-aged/elderly patients (Z=0.993, P=0.321). Internal validation via bootstrap analysis yielded a D-D AUC of 0.732, with sensitivity and specificity of 68.1% and 91.0%, respectively.
CONCLUSIONS
Differences in inflammatory response and coagulation function exist across age groups and disease severities in HTG-AP patients. Elevated D-D is an independent predictor of disease progression in both young and middle-aged/elderly patients, while CLR also predicts progression in the latter group. D-D, in particular, demonstrates strong predictive value for severe disease in middle-aged/elderly patients with HTG-AP.
Humans
;
Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products/metabolism*
;
Disease Progression
;
Middle Aged
;
Pancreatitis/etiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Adult
;
Biomarkers/blood*
;
Hypertriglyceridemia/blood*
;
Acute Disease
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Aged
;
Inflammation
;
C-Reactive Protein/analysis*
;
Neutrophils
;
Age Factors
6.Evaluation value of C-reactive protein/albumin ratio combined with platelet count and Glasgow coma scale for prognosis of patients with heat stroke.
Shanshan SHI ; Zhengzhen WU ; Yong HUANG ; Xianglei FU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(2):160-164
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the prognostic value of C-reactive protein (CRP)/albumin (Alb) ratio combined with platelet count (PLT) and Glasgow coma score (GCS) in patients with heat stroke (HS).
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of HS patients admitted to the department of intensive care unit (ICU) of Nanchong Central Hospital from May 1, 2020 to October 31, 2023. This included general information, admission GCS, laboratory indicators and 28-day prognosis. The differences in the above indicators were compared between two groups of patients with different prognoses. Statistically significant indicators from univariate analysis were included in multivariate Logistic regression analysis to screen for factors influencing 28-day mortality in HS patients. The predictive value of various influencing factors on the 28 days prognosis of HS patients were analyzed by receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve).
RESULTS:
A total of 73 HS patients were included, of whom 41 survived for 28-day and 32 died. There were no statistically significant differences in gender and age between the two groups of HS patients with different prognoses. The white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEU), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), CRP, and CRP/Alb ratio in the death group were significantly higher than those of the survival group, and the admission GCS score, platelet count (PLT), total bilirubin (TBil) and Alb were significantly lower than the survival group [WBC (×109/L): 14.80 (11.44, 17.15) vs. 11.96 (9.47, 14.82), NEU (×109/L): 13.05 (8.56, 15.67) vs. 9.50 (6.68, 12.09), AST (U/L): 108.00 (52.70, 291.50) vs. 64.50 (38.25, 110.50), ALT (U/L): 62.00 (19.50, 159.00) vs. 34.50 (20.75, 70.75), CRP (mg/L): 22.49 (3.42, 58.93) vs. 3.68 (1.01, 11.46), CRP/Alb ratio: 0.53 (0.08, 1.77) vs. 0.08 (0.02, 0.44), GCS score: 7.0 (5.0, 8.0) vs. 8.5 (7.0, 11.0), PLT (×109/L): 107.00 (73.50, 126.00) vs. 131.50 (107.50, 176.25), TBil (mmol/L): 15.60 (10.00, 25.30) vs. 21.40 (14.80, 30.05), Alb (g/L): 32.65 (32.53, 49.30) vs. 38.70 (36.20, 40.40), all P < 0.05]. Binary Logistic regression analysis showed that the GCS score [odds ratio (OR) = 0.686, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.491-0.959, P = 0.028], PLT (OR = 0.973, 95%CI was 0.954-0.992, P = 0.005), NEU (OR = 1.312, 95%CI was 1.072-1.606, P = 0.009) and CRP/Alb ratio (OR = 7.652, 95%CI was 1.632-35.881, P = 0.010) were independent influencing factors for 28-day mortality in HS patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of GCS score, PLT, and CRP/Alb ratio for single prediction of 28-day prognosis in HS patients was 0.705, 0.752, and 0.729, and the combination of all three predicted the highest AUC of 28-day prognosis in HS patients (0.917), with a sensitivity and specificity of 86.2% and 81.2%, respectively.
CONCLUSION
CRP/Alb ratio, PLT, and GCS score are independent influencing factors affecting the prognosis of HS patients, and all of them have a certain predictive value for the prognosis of HS patients, in which the combination of the three has a higher predictive value for the prognosis of HS patients.
Humans
;
C-Reactive Protein/analysis*
;
Prognosis
;
Glasgow Coma Scale
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Heat Stroke/diagnosis*
;
Platelet Count
;
Male
;
Female
;
Serum Albumin/analysis*
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
ROC Curve
7.Baculovirus expression system-based expression of horseshoe crab factor C and its activity.
Lan LAN ; Huanlei LIU ; Hao NAN ; Sijun HE ; Wangcheng SONG ; Yunlong WANG ; Xinjuan FAN ; Xiangbo WAN ; Xiaodong XU
Chinese Journal of Biotechnology 2025;41(4):1428-1439
Endotoxins are common exogenous pyrogens. Excessive endotoxins in medical devices and injections can lead to serious consequences such as sepsis, septic shock, and even death. Therefore, endotoxin detection plays a crucial role in medical, pharmaceutical, and food sectors. The wide application of Limulus amebocyte lysate (LAL) has led to a sharp decline in the number of horseshoe crabs. Moreover, the LAL assay has limitations such as interbatch variations and difficulty in quantification. The recombinant factor C (rFC) assay is stable between batches, highly sensitive, and capable of quantitation, and thus it can be used as an alternative for the LAL assay. However, the high cost and complex procedures involved in producing recombinant factor C have limited the widespread application of this method. In order to simplify the preparation and reduce the production cost of recombinant factor C, this study focuses on the production of recombinant factor C based on the baculovirus expression system. Multiple measures such as a high-yield and anti-apoptotic vector qBac-IIIG, the optimal signal peptide, and the optimized codon were used to reach the goal of endotoxin detection with cell supernatant. This method simplifies the steps of protein purification. The sensitivity of the supernatant reached 0.05 EU/mL in a 1-L fermentation system, and 500 000 detecting reactions can be supported per liter of fermentation broth. This study increases the yield and activity of recombinant factor C, simplifies the procedures of protein purification, and reduces the cost, laying a foundation for the promotion and application of recombinant factor C in endotoxin detection.
Animals
;
Recombinant Proteins/genetics*
;
Horseshoe Crabs/chemistry*
;
Baculoviridae/metabolism*
;
Endotoxins/analysis*
;
Protein C/biosynthesis*
;
Genetic Vectors/genetics*
;
Arthropod Proteins/genetics*
;
Enzyme Precursors
;
Serine Endopeptidases
8.Assessment of residual symptoms in patients with axial spondyloarthritis with low disease activity and analysis of its related factors.
Jiayu ZHAI ; Jinxia ZHAO ; Zhuo AN ; Rui LIU
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2024;56(6):987-993
OBJECTIVE:
To comprehensively assess the occurrence of residual symptoms in patients with axial spondyloarthritis who have successfully attained the treatment goal of low disease activity, and to conduct a thorough analysis of the related factors.
METHODS:
An analysis was performed on axial spondyloarthritis patients who achieved low disease activity for the first time during their visits at the Rheumatology and Immunology Department of Peking University Third Hospital, spanning from May 1, 2021, to February 29, 2024. Based on the ankylosing spondylitis disease activity score-C-reactive protein (ASDAS-CRP), the patients who achieved low disease activity were divided into a non-remission low disease activity group and a remission group. The occurrence of residual fatigue and pain symptoms in both groups was assessed, and binary Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the related factors.
RESULTS:
In the study, 201 patients achieved low disease activity during treatment. The gender distribution was skewed towards males, with 151 male patients (75.1%) and 50 female patients (24.9%). The median age of the patients who achieved low disease activity was 32.0 (28.0, 37.0) years, and the median disease duration was 6.7 (3.8, 11.5) years. Notably, 140 patients (69.7%) achieved low disease activity but did not experience complete remission, while 61 patients (30.3%) attained remission. A substantial proportion of the patients, 45.8%, reported residual fatigue visual analogue scale (VAS) ≥4, with a marked difference between the non-remission low disease activity group and the remission group (53.6% vs. 27.9%, P=0.001). Similarly, 24.4% of the patients had residual pain VAS ≥4, with a significant disparity between the non-remission low disease activity group and the remission group (30.0% vs. 11.5%, P=0.005). Binary Logistic regression analysis revealed that C-reactive protein levels had a notable negative influence on residual fatigue symptom (B=-0.142, P=0.008, OR=0.868), whereas ASAS-HI had a positive effect on residual fatigue (B=0.288, P < 0.001, OR=1.334). Gender was found to have a significant impact on residual pain symptoms, with females exhibiting a higher risk (B=1.135, P=0.002, OR=3.112).
CONCLUSION
The residual fatigue and pain symptoms are common in axial spondyloarthritis patients who have achieved low disease activity, particularly among female patients. More assessment and recognition of the residual disease burden in these patients will be needed to optimize the treatment strategies.
Humans
;
Female
;
Male
;
Adult
;
C-Reactive Protein/analysis*
;
Axial Spondyloarthritis
;
Fatigue/etiology*
;
Severity of Illness Index
;
Spondylitis, Ankylosing/physiopathology*
;
Remission Induction
;
Pain/etiology*
;
Logistic Models
9.Predictive value of plasma heparin-binding protein combined with albumin for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis.
Jiangping LIU ; Yajun LI ; Yawen ZHENG ; Cuijie ZHANG ; Lihua HUANG ; Xiaopeng NING ; Wenfei WANG ; Qingli DOU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2024;36(12):1233-1237
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the predictive value of plasma heparin-binding protein (HBP) combined with albumin (Alb) for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis.
METHODS:
The clinical data of patients with sepsis admitted to the emergency intensive care unit (EICU) of the People's Hospital of Shenzhen Baoan District from March 2020 to March 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. The study began at the time of the first diagnosis of sepsis upon EICU admission and ended upon patient death or at 28 days. The gender, age, length of stay in EICU, underlying diseases, and infection sites were recorded. Within 24 hours of sepsis diagnosis, blood culture results, white blood cell count (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), blood lactate acid (Lac), HBP, Alb, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), mortality in emergency department sepsis score (MEDS), modified early warning score (MEWS), number of organ failures, use of vasopressors, application of mechanical ventilation, renal replacement therapy, and 28-day prognosis were recorded, the differences in these indicators between two groups were compared. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the risk factors of 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the early predictive value of various risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis.
RESULTS:
A total of 300 patients with sepsis were included, with 16 excluded, resulting in 284 patients being analyzed. Among them, 191 survived and 93 died within 28 days. There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in terms of gender, age, underlying diseases, infection sites, blood culture positivity rate, number of organ failures, and length of stay in EICU. Univariate analysis showed that the rate of vasopressor use, the rate of mechanical ventilation, HBP, PCT, CRP, Lac, SOFA score, APACHE II score, MEDS score, and MEWS score were significantly higher in the death group than those in the survival group, while Alb was significantly lower in the death group than that in the survival group. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that HBP and Alb were independent risk factors for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis [odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were 1.093 (0.989-1.128) and 1.174 (1.095-1.259), both P < 0.05]. ROC curve analysis showed that both HBP and Alb had certain predictive value for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis [AUC and 95%CI were 0.820 (0.717-0.923) and 0.786 (0.682-0.890), both P < 0.05]. When the critical value of HBP was 117.50 μg/L, the sensitivity was 85.90%, and the specificity was 70.50%. When the critical value of Alb was 28.30 g/L, the sensitivity was 69.30%, and the specificity was 81.20%. When the two indexes were combined for diagnosis, the AUC was 0.881 (95%CI was 0.817-0.945, P < 0.001), the sensitivity was 92.70%, and the specificity was 76.80%.
CONCLUSIONS
HBP and Alb are independent risk factors for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis. The combined prediction efficiency of HBP and Alb for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis is superior to a single indicator.
Humans
;
Sepsis/diagnosis*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Blood Proteins/analysis*
;
Prognosis
;
Antimicrobial Cationic Peptides/blood*
;
APACHE
;
Male
;
Female
;
Organ Dysfunction Scores
;
ROC Curve
;
Middle Aged
;
C-Reactive Protein/analysis*
;
Emergency Service, Hospital
;
Aged
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Serum Albumin/analysis*
10.Quantitative analysis of chest CT in coronavirus infected patients and its correlation with clinical features.
Yan WANG ; Jiao LI ; Yan QU ; Sumei WANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2024;36(12):1238-1243
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the quantitative analysis results of different patterns of chest computed tomography (CT) in patients with coronavirus infection and its relationship with viral load and pathophysiological status.
METHODS:
A retrospective clinical cohort study was conducted. Patients with coronavirus infection admitted to Qingdao Municipal Hospital from June 9 to 15, 2023 (all patients underwent chest CT examination within 24 hours after diagnosis) were enrolled. The patients were divided into coronavirus infection non-pneumonia group and coronavirus infection associated pneumonia group according to CT findings. Relevant baseline data, such as demographic characteristics, chest CT characteristics, and laboratory indicators within 12 hours before and after CT examination were collected from each group. Spearman correlation test was used to quantitatively analyze the correlation between CT features and laboratory indicators. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of each laboratory index for pneumonia in patients infected with coronavirus. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to explore the relationship between different CT patterns such as ground-glass opacity (GGO) and consolidation and ventilatory oxygenation status.
RESULTS:
A total of 171 patients were enrolled, including 44 patients in the coronavirus infection non-pneumonia group and 127 patients in the coronavirus infection associated pneumonia group (the incidence of pneumonia was 74.3%). Compared with patients with coronavirus infection alone, patients with coronavirus infection associated pneumonia had significantly lower lymphocyte count (LYM), oxygenation index (PaO2/FiO2), total lung capacity, GGO volume and GGO ratio, and significantly higher C-reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), D-dimer, fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) level, real volume variation and consolidation ratio, the differences were all statistically significant. There were no statistically significant differences in the nucleocapin protein (N) gene cycle threshold (Ct) value and open reading frame (ORF) gene Ct value between the two groups. ROC curve analysis showed that, after adjusting for age, gender, CRP level and other related factors, compared with N gene Ct value, ORF gene Ct value, N gene Ct value+LYM, ORF gene Ct value+LYM, the LYM had the most potential diagnosis power for coronavirus infection associated pneumonia. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of LYM for predicting coronavirus infection was 0.703. When the cut-off value of LYM was 0.7×109/L, the sensitivity was 55.5%, and the specificity was 79.5%, respectively. Multiple linear regression analysis showed that, when adjusted for consolidation ratio, age, gender, Hb and D-dimer levels, the GGO ratio in patients with coronavirus infection associated pneumonia was correlated with PaO2/FiO2 (β = -2.18, P < 0.001). When adjusted for GGO ratio, age, sex, Hb and D-dimer levels, the proportion of consolidation in patients with coronavirus infection associated pneumonia was correlated with PaCO2 (β = 0.36, P = 0.004). When adjusted for GGO ratio, the proportion of consolidation in patients with coronavirus infection associated pneumonia was also associated with NLR (β = 0.79, P = 0.006).
CONCLUSIONS
LYM could be a potential marker for predicting coronavirus associated pneumonia, and the correlation seems to be independent of viral load. In addition, in the analysis of imaging features, GGO is associated with hypoxia, while consolidation is associated with PaCO2 level and inflammation. The increased proportion of consolidation in the whole lung may be detrimental to lung ventilation.
Humans
;
Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
COVID-19/diagnostic imaging*
;
Viral Load
;
Coronavirus Infections/diagnostic imaging*
;
ROC Curve
;
Male
;
Lung/diagnostic imaging*
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
C-Reactive Protein/analysis*

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail