Objective To investigate the impact of the triglyceride-glucose(TyG)index on the risk of inflammatory bowel disease(IBD).Methods Based on the data from UK Biobank,participants were allocated into three groups,TyG1(≤4.564),TyG2(4.564-4.808),and TyG3(≥4.808),according to tertiles of the TyG index.Kaplan-Meier curves were established to analyze the cumulative incidence of IBD.Further,Cox proportional hazard regression was employed to analyze the hazard ratio(HR)and its 95% confidential interval(95%CI)of each group.The same analysis was conducted for different subtypes(ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease)of IBD.Sensitive analysis based on the competing risk model was performed after excluding participants who were diagnosed within one year.Results A total of 116 423 participants were included in this study,with the median follow-up time of 12.56 years.The incidence densities of IBD in the TyG1,TyG2,and TyG3 groups were 4.47,5.94,and 6.50 per 10 000 person-year,respectively.The cumulative incidence of IBD increased with the rise in TyG,and Log-rank test results showed differences in cumulative incidence between groups(P<0.001).After adjusting the confounding factors,the HR(95%CI)of IBD in the TyG2 and TyG3 groups was 1.50(1.21-1.85)and 1.71(1.36-2.16),respectively.The results of the subgroup analysis after adjusting the confounding factors revealed that the HR(95%CI)of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease in the TyG3 group was 1.48(1.16-1.74)and 2.27(1.51-3.42),respectively.The sensitive analysis yielded similar results after excluding participants who were diagnosed within one year.Conclusion A high TyG index indicates an increased risk of IBD and its subtypes.
Humans ; Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/blood* ; Triglycerides/blood* ; Incidence ; Blood Glucose/analysis* ; Male ; Female ; Risk Factors ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Crohn Disease/epidemiology*

Objective To investigate the association between gastroesophageal reflux disease(GERD)and the risk of incident chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)and explore potential effect modifiers influencing this association.Methods Clinical data from 476 175 participants in the UK Biobank(2006-2010)were collected.A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the relationship between GERD and the risk of incident COPD.Subgroup analyses were conducted to examine potential modifiers of the primary findings.Results A total of 11 587(2.43%)new COPD cases were diagnosed.The Cox proportional hazards model revealed that GERD was associated with an increased risk of incident COPD(HR=1.59,95%CI=1.46-1.74,P<0.001).GERD was linked to a higher risk of incident COPD in individuals aged<60 years(P<0.001)and non-smokers(P=0.011).No association was observed between GERD and the risk of incident COPD in current smokers with a daily cigarette consumption<10 cigarettes(P=0.261).Conclusion GERD may increase the risk of incident COPD.
Humans ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology* ; Gastroesophageal Reflux/epidemiology* ; Middle Aged ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Incidence ; Male ; Risk Factors ; Female ; Aged

Objective To explore the relationships of cognitive impairment with cardiovascular death and all-cause death in menopausal women with hypertension.Methods A total of 4 595 natural-menopausal women with hypertension screened in Wuyuan County of Jiangxi Province from July to August 2018 were selected as the research subjects,and a follow-up investigation of death information was completed from June to August 2022.According to the baseline mini-mental state examination(MMSE)score,all subjects were allocated into a normal cognitive function group and a cognitive impairment group.The basic characteristics and the cumulative risk of death evaluated by the Kaplan-Meier curve were compared between two groups.The multivariate Cox regression model was adopted to analyze the effect of cognitive function on death,and the relationship between MMSE score and death was fitted by the restricted cubic spline.Results A total of 4 595 subjects with the mean age of(65.1±8.4)years were included in this study,in which and 1 859(40.5%)patients with cognitive impairment were detected.During a mean follow-up period of(3.9±0.4)years,199 all-cause deaths were collected,including 102 cardiovascular deaths.The normal cognitive function group and the cognitive impairment group had the cumulative all-cause death rates of 2.6%and 6.9%and the cumulative cardiovascular death rates of 1.0%and 4.0%,respectively.The Kaplan-Meier curve showed that the cumulative risks of all-cause death(χ²=47.287,P<0.001)and cardiovascular death(χ²=45.169,P<0.001)in the cognitive impairment group were higher than those in the normal cognitive function group.The results of multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that compared with the normal cognitive function group,the cognitive impairment group had increased risks of all-cause death(HR=1.75,95%CI=1.28-2.39,P<0.001)and cardiovascular death(HR=2.56,95%CI=1.61-4.09,P<0.001).The results of the restricted cubic spline curve fitting showed that the MMSE score had linearly negative correlations with the risk of all-cause death(P_all<0.001, P n o n - l i n e a r i t y=0.519)and cardiovascular death(P_all<0.001, P n o n - l i n e a r i t y=0.195).Conclusion Cognitive impairment is an independent risk factor for all-cause death and cardiovascular death in menopausal women with hypertension,and early identification of cognitive impairment in this population is essential for timely intervention.
Humans ; Female ; Cognitive Dysfunction ; Hypertension/complications* ; Aged ; Middle Aged ; Menopause ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Risk Factors ; Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality* ; Cause of Death ; Kaplan-Meier Estimate

OBJECTIVE: To screen factors affecting the prognosis of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients, and construct a nomogram model for event-free survival (EFS). METHODS: To screen out meaningful variables by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis in CML patients, and construct a nomogram model using R software. The nomogram was validated using consistency index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, area under the ROC curve (AUC), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and risk stratification analysis. RESULTS: This study analyzed data from 116 CML patients. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that age, peripheral blood basophil percentage, BCR-ABL1 ^IS at 3 months, and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) were independent prognostic factors of EFS. Subsequently, a nomogram was constructed based on the above predictors. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.733(95%CI : 0.676-0.790). The AUC values for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year EFS rate were 0.765, 0.855, and 0.827, respectively. The results of the calibration curve and DCA curve showed that the predictive model had good consistency, as well as strong clinical utility. The patients were stratified into high-risk group and low-risk group based on the total score of the model, there was a significant difference in EFS between the two groups (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION Age, peripheral blood basophil percentage, BCR-ABL1 ^IS at 3 months, and RDW were associated with the prognosis of CML patients. The nomogram model constructed in this study can accurately predict the prognostic status of CML patients, but its widespread application still requires external and prospective validation.
Nomograms ; Leukemia, Myelogenous, Chronic, BCR-ABL Positive/mortality* ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Erythrocyte Indices ; Risk Assessment/methods* ; Fusion Proteins, bcr-abl/genetics* ; Basophils ; Leukocyte Count ; Humans

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the clinical characteristics, curative effect and prognostic factors of patients with multiple myeloma (MM) complicated with light chain myocardial amyloidosis (AL-CA). METHODS: The data of 38 patients diagnosed with MM complicated with AL-CA in our hospital from January 2018 to December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed, and the data were comprehensively screened by multiple methods such as positive two-dimensional spot tracking echocardiography (2D-STE). Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox regression models were used to screen for independent prognostic factors. RESULTS: Among the 38 MM patients with AL-CA, 23 were male and 15 were female, with a median age of 60(50,75) years. The 1-year survival rate was 71.05%. Patients who underwent transplantation had significantly better survival outcomes than those who did not (P < 0.01). Additionally, the median survival time of patients with all-negative FISH results at the first visit was statistically different compared to patients with other mutations (P < 0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that all negative FISH results at the first visit and the absence of autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (ASCT) were not independent risk factor for the prognosis of patients with MM and AL-CA (P >0.05). CONCLUSION ASCT may improve the prognosis of MM patients with AL-CA, and negative FISH results may indicate poor prognosis, but the results still need to be verified by larger samples.
Humans ; Multiple Myeloma/complications* ; Retrospective Studies ; Aged ; Female ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Prognosis ; Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation ; Amyloidosis/complications* ; Survival Rate ; Proportional Hazards Models

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the factors associated with mortality after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) in children with severe aplastic anemia (SAA). METHODS: The clinical data of 90 children with SAA who received allo-HSCT in the Department of Hematology, Wuhan Children's Hospital Affiliated to Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology from August 2016 to July 2023 were collected. The clinical features and causes of death were analyzed retrospectively. Cox proportional hazards model was used to screen the risk factors of death. RESULTS: Only 9 children died with a median time of 6.3(2.6, 8.3) months among the 90 children with SAA after allo-HSCT. Among the 5 deaths due to infection, 3 were pulmonary infection, including 2 cases of cytomegalovirus pneumonia. One case developed septic shock due to gastrointestinal infection. One case experienced graft failure, which was complicated by bloodstream infection, and developed septic shock. Three cases died of transplantation-associated thrombotic microangiopathy (TA-TMA). One case died of gastrointestinal graft-versus-host disease (GVHD). The results of multivariate analysis showed that post-transplant +60 d PLT≤30×10⁹/L (HR=7.478, 95%CI : 1.177-47.527, P =0.033), aGVHD Ⅲ-Ⅳ (HR=7.991, 95%CI : 1.086-58.810, P =0.041), and TA-TMA occurrence (HR=13.699, 95%CI : 2.146-87.457, P =0.006) were independent risk factors for post-transplant mortality. CONCLUSION Allo-HSCT is an effective therapy for SAA in children. Post-transplant +60 d PLT≤30×10⁹/L, aGVHD Ⅲ-Ⅳ, and TA-TMA occurrence are independently associated with post-transplant mortality, which may be helpful for early detection of potential high-risk children and optimization of clinical diagnostic and treatment strategies.
Humans ; Anemia, Aplastic/therapy* ; Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/adverse effects* ; Risk Factors ; Retrospective Studies ; Child ; Transplantation, Homologous ; Male ; Female ; Graft vs Host Disease ; Child, Preschool ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Adolescent ; Infant

OBJECTIVE: To detect the expression of methyltransferase-like 7B ( METTL7B) in bone marrow specimens of patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML), and to analyze its influence and significance on clinical diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of AML patients. METHODS: Bone marrow specimens from 60 newly diagnosed AML patients were collected as the observation group, and bone marrow specimens from 20 iron-deficiency anemia (IDA) patients were collected as the control group. Clinical and pathological data of AML patients were also collected. Real-time fluorescent quantitative PCR (qRT-PCR) was used to detect the expression of METTL7B in AML patients and IDA patients. Statistical analyses were performed to investigate the relationship between the expression level of METTL7B and clinical-pathological characteristics in AML patients, as well as the impact of METTL7B expression level on efficacy. Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze the effect of METTL7B expression level on the overall survival time (OS) in AML patients. Meanwhile, a Cox proportional hazards regression model was constructed to identify the factors potentially affecting the prognosis of AML patients. RESULTS: Compared with the control group, the expression level of METTL7B was significantly upregulated in AML patients (P < 0.05). Compared with the low-expression group of METTL7B, the high-expression group had a higher proportion of patients with high white blood cell (WBC) count, poor prognosis, and ineffective treatment, and the differences were statistically significant (P < 0.05). The OS of patients in the high-expression group of METTL7B was significantly shorter than that in the low-expression group (P < 0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that high WBC count, poor prognosis in prognosis stratification, and high expression of METTL7B were independent risk factors for the prognosis of AML patients (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION METTL7B is highly expressed in AML patients, and patients with high METTL7B expression exhibit shorter survival and poor prognosis. METTL7B is expected to serve as a new indicator for evaluating the prognosis of AML patients and may develop into a potential target for targeted treatment of AML in the future.
Humans ; Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/metabolism* ; Prognosis ; Methyltransferases/metabolism* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Proportional Hazards Models

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the clinical characteristics and prognostic factors of elderly patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). METHODS: Clinical data of elderly DLBCL patients diagnosed pathologically between 2010 and 2015 were extracted from the SEER database. Cox proportional hazards model was used for multivariate analysis, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were plotted to explore the prognostic factors affecting overall survival (OS). RESULTS: A total of 11 523 elderly DLBCL patients were included, of whom 58.6% had stage Ⅲ/Ⅳ disease, and 28.8% exhibited extranodal involvement. Besides lymph nodes (68.5%), common primary extranodal sites included the gastrointestinal tract (9.8%) and lip, mouth, and pharynx (4.1%). The median survival time for the entire cohort was 47 months, with a 3-year survival rate of 52.0%, and a 5-year survival rate of 47.8%. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age, sex, race, Ann Arbor stage, primary site, B symptoms, treatment modality, treatment sequence, and whether DLBCL was the first malignant primary indicator were independent prognostic factors affecting OS in elderly DLBCL patients (all P <0.05). CONCLUSION Age≥70 years, male, black race, advanced Ann Arbor stage, primary sites in the lungs, liver, or kidney, presence of B symptoms, and preoperative systemic therapy were independent risk factors for poor prognosis in elderly DLBCL patients.
Humans ; Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, Diffuse/diagnosis* ; Prognosis ; Aged ; Male ; Female ; Survival Rate ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Aged, 80 and over ; Kaplan-Meier Estimate ; Neoplasm Staging

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to investigate the risk factors of prognosis in patients with early-onset prostate cancer treated without surgery. A nomogram will be constructed and validated to predict overall survival (OS) of patients with early-onset prostate cancer treated without surgery. METHODS: The clinical data was obtained from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database on prostate cancer patients aged 18－55 years who were treated without surgery between 2010 and 2015. The clinical data set was divided into training set and validation set according to 7∶3 ratio, including age, race, marital status, Gleason score, prostate specific antigen (PSA) and other 8 factors. And significant variables were screened by univariate Cox regression analysis. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify the influence factors. Stepwise regression method was used to select the most influential factors on the total OS, and R software was used to build a nomogram model. The accuracy and prediction ability of the model were verified by drawing receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Calibration Plot. The clinical benefit of the model was evaluated by decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: A total of 8 212 patients who met the criteria were randomly assigned to the training set (n=5 752) or validation set (n=2 460), with no statistical difference between the two groups (all P>0.05). Six factors were identified through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis including marital status, N stage, M stage, radiotherapy, PSA and Gleason score, which were most closely associated with the OS of prostate cancer patients, and a column graph model was constructed based on these factors. The Consistency index (C-index) of the model in the training set and the verification set were 0.802 and 0.794, respectively. And the apparent diffusion coefficient (AUC) was 0.851, 0.855 and 0.855 for training sets 1, 3 and 5 years, and 0.694, 0.860 and 0.832 for verification sets 1, 3 and 5 years. The calibration chart showed a good agreement between the predicted and actual values of the model. In the analysis of decision curve, the model showed good clinical application value. CONCLUSION The prediction model based on marital status, radiotherapy, M stage, N stage, PSA and Gleason score for early-onset prostate cancer patients without surgical treatment has certain reference value which is expected to become an effective tool for clinicians to treat in future prospective studies on large and multi-center samples.
Humans ; Male ; Prostatic Neoplasms/diagnosis* ; Middle Aged ; Nomograms ; SEER Program ; Prognosis ; Adult ; Prostate-Specific Antigen ; Risk Factors ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Neoplasm Grading ; ROC Curve

BACKGROUND: As research progresses, there is a growing body of evidence indicating that urinary metallothionein (MT) levels may be elevated in individuals exposed to cadmium (Cd). This study aimed to investigate the potential association between urinary MT levels and causes of mortality among residents of the Kakehashi River Basin who have been exposed to Cd. METHOD: The study involved a total of 1,398 men and 1,731 women were conducted between 1981 and 1982, with follow-up until November 2016. The study employed the Cox proportional-hazards model to examine the association between higher urinary MT concentrations and the risk of all-cause or cause-specific mortality within the population. Furthermore, the Fine and Gray competing risks regression model was used to evaluate the links between specific causes of death. RESULTS: The findings revealed that elevated urinary MT concentrations were linked to increased all-cause mortality and higher mortality rates from renal and urinary tract diseases across all participants. Specifically, in men, higher urinary MT levels were associated with elevated all-cause mortality, while in women, increased concentrations were linked to higher mortality from endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases, as well as cardiovascular diseases. Even after adjusting for competing risks, higher urinary MT concentrations were associated with tumor-related mortality in men and continued to be associated with cardiovascular disease mortality in women. CONCLUSIONS In conclusion, the results suggest that women may face a greater risk of adverse health effects due to prolonged exposure to Cd. Urinary MT levels could potentially serve as a biomarker for mortality from these diseases in populations chronically exposed to Cd.
Humans ; Male ; Female ; Cadmium/urine* ; Japan/epidemiology* ; Metallothionein/metabolism* ; Middle Aged ; Cause of Death ; Adult ; Follow-Up Studies ; Aged ; Environmental Exposure/analysis* ; Proportional Hazards Models