1.A prediction model for mild cognitive impairment risk among the elderly
MA Zongkang ; LIU Xinglang ; LI Huihui ; HE Guowei ; YAN Ping ; ZHANG Chuanrong ; MA Xuan ; CHE Yajie ; YU Shan ; CHEN Fenghui
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(2):124-129
Objective:
To develop a prediction model for mild cognitive impairment (MCI) risk among the elderly, so as to provide a tool for MCI early screening.
Methods :
From July 2022 to September 2024, a multi-stage stratified random cluster sampling method was used to recruit permanent residents aged ≥65 years from the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region as study participants. Data on sociodemographic characteristics, nutritional status, body composition indices, bone mineral density, and handgrip strength were collected through questionnaires and physical examinations. Sarcopenia was defined based on appendicular skeletal muscle index and handgrip strength. MCI was assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination, with adjustments for educational level. Participants were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set in a 7∶3 ratio. LASSO regression and multivariable logistic regression models were employed to screen for predictors and construct an MCI risk prediction model. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA).
Results:
A total of 1 641 participants were surveyed, including 755 males (46.01%) and 886 females (53.99%). The majority of participants were aged 65-<75 years, comprising 1 154 individuals (70.32%). MCI was detected in 517 participants, corresponding to a detection rate of 31.51%. Resultsfrom LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that residence (rural, OR = 2.323, 95% CI: 1.682-3.210), age (75-<85 years, OR = 1.405, 95% CI: 1.019-1.937; ≥85 years, OR = 3.655, 95% CI: 1.696-7.875), educational level (primary school, OR = 0.341, 95% CI: 0.247-0.472; junior high school, OR = 0.255, 95% CI: 0.160-0.408; high school, OR = 0.286, 95% CI: 0.154-0.531; bachelor's degree or above, OR = 0.120, 95% CI: 0.041-0.351), history of alcohol consumption (yes, OR = 3.216, 95% CI: 2.164-4.779), risk of malnutrition (yes, OR = 1.464, 95% CI: 1.064-2.014), sarcopenia (yes, OR = 3.197, 95% CI: 2.332-4.385), and waist-to-hip ratio (abnormal, OR = 1.540, 95% CI: 1.159-2.048) were identified as predictive factors for MCI among the elderly. In the training set, the area under the ROC curve, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.788, 0.719, and 0.712, respectively. In the validation set, the corresponding values were 0.784, 0.913, and 0.542, respectively. DCA demonstrated that the model provided a higher clinical net benefit for predicting MCI risk when the risk threshold probability ranged from 0.124 to 0.764.
Conclusion
The prediction model developed in this study demonstrates good discriminative ability and clinical utility, indicating its substantial value for predicting the MCI risk among the elderly.
2.Research on the prediction of Hepatitis C incidence trend in Taiyuan City based on combination model
Siyao GUO ; Qiyu ZHAO ; Yue ZHANG ; Ping ZHANG ; Xiaowen CHE ; Jinge ZHENG ; Lei WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(2):204-209
Objective:Based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, back propagation neutral network (BPNN), and ARIMA-BPNN model, select the optimal model suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hepatitis C in Taiyuan City according to the characteristics of the data.Methods:The data of reported cases of hepatitis C in Taiyuan from 2008 to 2021 were selected, and the seasonal trend decomposition chart was used to analyze the seasonal characteristics of the monthly incidence rate of hepatitis C in Taiyuan during the period, and the ARIMA model, BPNN model, and ARIMA-BPNN model were established to predict. The performance of the model was measured using four indicators: mean absolute error ( MAE), mean squared error ( MSE), root mean square error ( RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error ( MAPE). Results:A total of 20 025 cases of hepatitis C were reported, and the overall incidence trend was stable. The BPNN model performed well on MSE, MAE, and RMSE indicators, the ARIMA-BPNN model performed well on MAPE indicators, and the ARIMA model performed relatively averagely. Conclusions:The ARIMA-BPNN model is a better model for predicting the trend of hepatitis C in Taiyuan City, with a higher predictive performance than a single model. It has significant prospects in predicting the trend of infectious diseases.
3.Polysaccharide extract PCP1 from Polygonatum cyrtonema ameliorates cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury in rats by inhibiting TLR4/NLRP3 pathway.
Xin ZHAN ; Zi-Xu LI ; Zhu YANG ; Jie YU ; Wen CAO ; Zhen-Dong WU ; Jiang-Ping WU ; Qiu-Yue LYU ; Hui CHE ; Guo-Dong WANG ; Jun HAN
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(9):2450-2460
This study aims to investigate the protective effects and mechanisms of polysaccharide extract PCP1 from Polygonatum cyrtonema in ameliorating cerebral ischemia-reperfusion(I/R) injury in rats through modulation of the Toll-like receptor 4(TLR4)/NOD-like receptor protein 3(NLRP3) signaling pathway. In vivo, SD rats were randomly divided into the sham group, model group, PCP1 group, nimodipine(NMDP) group, and TLR4 signaling inhibitor(TAK-242) group. A middle cerebral artery occlusion/reperfusion(MCAO/R) model was established, and neurological deficit scores and infarct size were evaluated 24 hours after reperfusion. Hematoxylin-eosin(HE) and Nissl staining were used to observe pathological changes in ischemic brain tissue. Transmission electron microscopy(TEM) assessed ultrastructural damage in cortical neurons. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA) was used to measure the levels of interleukin-1β(IL-1β), interleukin-6(IL-6), interleukin-18(IL-18), tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α), interleukin-10(IL-10), and nitric oxide(NO) in serum. Immunofluorescence was used to analyze the expression of TLR4 and NLRP3 proteins. In vitro, a BV2 microglial cell oxygen-glucose deprivation/reperfusion(OGD/R) model was established, and cells were divided into the control, OGD/R, PCP1, TAK-242, and PCP1 + TLR4 activator lipopolysaccharide(LPS) groups. The CCK-8 assay evaluated BV2 cell viability, and ELISA determined NO release. Western blot was used to analyze the expression of TLR4, NLRP3, and downstream pathway-related proteins. The results indicated that, compared with the model group, PCP1 significantly reduced neurological deficit scores, infarct size, ischemic tissue pathology, cortical cell damage, and the levels of inflammatory factors IL-1β, IL-6, IL-18, TNF-α, and NO(P<0.01). It also elevated IL-10 levels(P<0.01) and decreased the expression of TLR4 and NLRP3 proteins(P<0.05, P<0.01). Moreover, in vitro results showed that, compared with the OGD/R group, PCP1 significantly improved BV2 cell viability(P<0.05, P<0.01), reduced cell NO levels induced by OGD/R(P<0.01), and inhibited the expression of TLR4-related inflammatory pathway proteins, including TLR4, myeloid differentiation factor 88(MyD88), tumor necrosis factor receptor-associated factor 6(TRAF6), phosphorylated nuclear factor-kappaB dimer RelA(p-p65)/nuclear factor-kappaB dimer RelA(p65), NLRP3, cleaved-caspase-1, apoptosis-associated speck-like protein(ASC), GSDMD-N, IL-1β, and IL-18(P<0.05, P<0.01). The protective effects of PCP1 were reversed by LPS stimulation. In conclusion, PCP1 ameliorates cerebral I/R injury by modulating the TLR4/NLRP3 signaling pathway, exerting anti-inflammatory and anti-pyroptotic effects.
Animals
;
Toll-Like Receptor 4/genetics*
;
NLR Family, Pyrin Domain-Containing 3 Protein/genetics*
;
Rats, Sprague-Dawley
;
Rats
;
Reperfusion Injury/genetics*
;
Male
;
Signal Transduction/drug effects*
;
Polysaccharides/isolation & purification*
;
Polygonatum/chemistry*
;
Brain Ischemia/genetics*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
;
Mice
;
Humans
4.Mediating effect of illness uncertainty on the relationship between psychological resilience and spiritual health in cancer patients
Wenjing LIU ; Ning CHEN ; Ping SHU ; Wengqian HONG ; Haidan HU ; Wenhu ZHOU ; Xiaoli TONG ; Hengying CHE
Journal of Shenyang Medical College 2025;27(4):380-384,395
Objective:To explore the relationships among psychological resilience,spiritual health,and illness uncertainty in cancer patients,and to analyze the mediating role of disease uncertainty.Methods:The cancer patients were selected by convenience sampling method from Feb 2024 to May 2024 in the Department of Oncology of a Grade Ⅲ-A general hospital in Wuhu City.Data were collected using a general information questionnaire,the Mishel Uncertainty in Illness Scale(MUIS),the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy-Spiritual Well-being Scale(FACIT-SP-12,Chinese version),and the Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale(CD-RISC-10).Pearson correlation analysis was conducted to assess the relationships among psychological resilience,illness uncertainty,and spiritual health.The mediating effect of illness uncertainty was tested using Hayes'PROCESS Model 4 and the Bootstrap method.Results:The total scores of spiritual health,psychological resilience and illness uncertainty of cancer patients was(25.11±7.19),(24.36±6.75)and(67.75±13.06),respectively.The spiritual health was positively correlated with psychological resilience(r=0.415,P<0.01)and negatively correlated with illness uncertainty(r=-0.398,P<0.01).The psychological resilience was negatively correlated with illness uncertainty(r=-0.668,P<0.01).Illness uncertainty partially mediated the relationship between psychological resilience and spiritual health,accounting for 35.29%of the total effect.Conclusions:The spiritual health of cancer patients is at a moderate level.Enhancing psychological resilience and reducing illness uncertainty can alleviate psychological burden and improve spiritual health,thereby promoting overall quality of life.
5.Research on the prediction of Hepatitis C incidence trend in Taiyuan City based on combination model
Siyao GUO ; Qiyu ZHAO ; Yue ZHANG ; Ping ZHANG ; Xiaowen CHE ; Jinge ZHENG ; Lei WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(2):204-209
Objective:Based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, back propagation neutral network (BPNN), and ARIMA-BPNN model, select the optimal model suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hepatitis C in Taiyuan City according to the characteristics of the data.Methods:The data of reported cases of hepatitis C in Taiyuan from 2008 to 2021 were selected, and the seasonal trend decomposition chart was used to analyze the seasonal characteristics of the monthly incidence rate of hepatitis C in Taiyuan during the period, and the ARIMA model, BPNN model, and ARIMA-BPNN model were established to predict. The performance of the model was measured using four indicators: mean absolute error ( MAE), mean squared error ( MSE), root mean square error ( RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error ( MAPE). Results:A total of 20 025 cases of hepatitis C were reported, and the overall incidence trend was stable. The BPNN model performed well on MSE, MAE, and RMSE indicators, the ARIMA-BPNN model performed well on MAPE indicators, and the ARIMA model performed relatively averagely. Conclusions:The ARIMA-BPNN model is a better model for predicting the trend of hepatitis C in Taiyuan City, with a higher predictive performance than a single model. It has significant prospects in predicting the trend of infectious diseases.
6.Mediating effect of illness uncertainty on the relationship between psychological resilience and spiritual health in cancer patients
Wenjing LIU ; Ning CHEN ; Ping SHU ; Wengqian HONG ; Haidan HU ; Wenhu ZHOU ; Xiaoli TONG ; Hengying CHE
Journal of Shenyang Medical College 2025;27(4):380-384,395
Objective:To explore the relationships among psychological resilience,spiritual health,and illness uncertainty in cancer patients,and to analyze the mediating role of disease uncertainty.Methods:The cancer patients were selected by convenience sampling method from Feb 2024 to May 2024 in the Department of Oncology of a Grade Ⅲ-A general hospital in Wuhu City.Data were collected using a general information questionnaire,the Mishel Uncertainty in Illness Scale(MUIS),the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy-Spiritual Well-being Scale(FACIT-SP-12,Chinese version),and the Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale(CD-RISC-10).Pearson correlation analysis was conducted to assess the relationships among psychological resilience,illness uncertainty,and spiritual health.The mediating effect of illness uncertainty was tested using Hayes'PROCESS Model 4 and the Bootstrap method.Results:The total scores of spiritual health,psychological resilience and illness uncertainty of cancer patients was(25.11±7.19),(24.36±6.75)and(67.75±13.06),respectively.The spiritual health was positively correlated with psychological resilience(r=0.415,P<0.01)and negatively correlated with illness uncertainty(r=-0.398,P<0.01).The psychological resilience was negatively correlated with illness uncertainty(r=-0.668,P<0.01).Illness uncertainty partially mediated the relationship between psychological resilience and spiritual health,accounting for 35.29%of the total effect.Conclusions:The spiritual health of cancer patients is at a moderate level.Enhancing psychological resilience and reducing illness uncertainty can alleviate psychological burden and improve spiritual health,thereby promoting overall quality of life.
7.Advances in DNA origami intelligent drug delivery systems
Zeng-lin YIN ; Xi-wei WANG ; Jin-jing CHE ; Nan LIU ; Hui ZHANG ; Zeng-ming WANG ; Jian-chun LI ; Ai-ping ZHENG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2024;59(10):2741-2750
DNA origami is a powerful technique for generating nanostructures with dynamic properties and intelligent controllability. The precise geometric shapes, high programmability, and excellent biocompatibility make DNA origami nanostructures an emerging drug delivery vehicle. The shape, size of the carrier material, as well as the loading and release of drugs are important factors affecting the bioavailability of drugs. This paper focuses on the controllable design of DNA origami nanostructures, efficient drug loading, and intelligent drug release. It summarizes the cutting-edge applications of DNA origami technology in biomedicine, and discusses areas where researchers can contribute to further advancing the clinical application of DNA origami carriers.
8.Establishment of an indirect ELISA for detection of antibodies against Cysticercus pisiformis infection based on TPO18 protein
Zexiang WANG ; Yonglu LUO ; Ping XUE ; Liang CHE ; Yousen WANG ; Huitian GOU ; Xia-Olin SUN
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2024;44(6):1213-1222
Cysticercosis,caused by the larval stage of the tapeworm Taenia pisiformis,known as Cysticercus pisiformis,is a parasitic ailment affecting lagomorphs,particularly domestic rabbits,posing a threat to the rabbit industry and the safety of rabbit meat products.This study aims to i-dentify the distribution of the TPO18 antigen in Cysticercus pisiformis and Taenia pisiformis and establish an indirect enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA)for detecting antibodies against rabbit cysticercosis.The research involved the prokaryotic expression of the 18 kDa antigen of rabbit Cysticercus pisiformis and the isolation of soluble TPO18 protein post-purification.Immuni-zing rabbits with the TPO18 protein resulted in the production of polyclonal antibodies with a titer of up to 1∶51 200.Western blot analysis validated the antigenicity of the polyclonal antibodies a-gainst total proteins from rabbit Cysticercus pisiformis,Taenia pisiformis and the recombinant TPO18 protein.Immunohistochemistry revealed the distribution of the TPO18 antigen in rabbit Cysticercus pisiformis and Taenia pisiform is,indicating the effective reactivity of the polyclonal antibodies with total proteins from both parasites and the recombinant TPO18 protein.TPO18 an-tigen in rabbit Cysticercus pisiformis predominantly localized in the germinal layer and the paren-chyma,while in Taenia pisiformis,it was mainly present in the suckers,sucker peripheries,collec-ting duct upper cells,and parenchyma.An indirect ELISA based on the TPO18 antigen was devel-oped using the recombinant antigen,and its technical parameters were optimized.The optimized ELISA conditions included a serum dilution of 1∶100,antigen coating concentration of 5 mg/L,coating for 1 h at 37 ℃ followed by overnight incubation at 4 ℃,blocking with 1%BSA for 60 min at 37 ℃,serum reaction for 60 min,secondary antibody dilution at 1∶1 000,secondary antibody incubation for 60 min,substrate reacting for 15 min,with a cutoff value of 0.295.Sensitivity,speci-ficity,and repeatability tests of the ELISA demonstrated high sensitivity and specificity without cross-reactivity with positive sera of rabbit hemorrhagic disease virus,Hepatic coccidiosis,Eimer-ia stiedae,or Toxoplasma gondii.The intra-and inter-assay coefficients of variation were both less than 7%,indicating excellent repeatability.Application of this ELISA,compared to postmortem ex-amination,on 86 clinical serum samples showed a concordance rate of 97.7%.In conclusion,this study successfully established an indirect ELISA for detecting antibodies against rabbit Cysticercus pisiformis,presenting a novel monitoring approach for assessing rabbit infections with Cysticer-cus pisiformis.
9.Mechanism of effect of rosiglitazone on pancreatic cancer in diabetic mice based on impact of PPARy on glucose transport and metabolism
Rui-Ping HU ; Li-Feng SHANG ; He-Jing WANG ; Hong-Xia CHE ; Ming-Liang WANG ; Huan YANG ; Yuan-Yuan JIN ; Fei-Fei ZHANG ; Jian-Ling ZHANG
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(7):1325-1334
Aim To explore the mechanism of the effect of rosiglitazone(Rsg)on the pancreatic cancer in diabetic mice based on the impact of PPARγ on glu-cose transport and metabolism.Methods A high-fat and high sugar diet combined with STZ was used to construct T2DM model;T2DM mice and normal mice were subcutaneously injected with PANC02 cells to construct a transplanted tumor model.T2DM trans-planted tumor mice and normal transplanted tumor mice were divided into the following groups:Rsg,PPARy inhibitor(PIN-2),rosiglitazone+PPARγ in-hibitor(Rsg+PIN-2),and normal transplanted tumor mice(NDM)and T2DM transplanted tumor mice(DM)were used as control groups,respectively.Tis-sue samples were collected after intervention.Tissue pathological changes were observed by HE staining.The expressions of Ki67 and PCNA proteins were de-tected by immunohistochemistry.Cell apoptosis was detected by TUNEL assay.The expression of PPARγwas detected by immunofluorescence.The expressions of Glucokinase,GLUT2,Nkx6.1,PDX-1RT-PCR were determined by Western blot.Results Rsg could significantly reduce the tumor mass,pathological chan-ges,Ki67 and PCNA expression of transplanted tumors(P<0.05),increase cell apoptosis and the expression of PPARγ,Glucokinase,GLUT2,Nkx6.1,PDX-1 proteins in NDM and DM mice(P<0.05).PIN-2 could reverse the indicator changes caused by Rsg in NDM and DM mice.However,compared with NDM mice,the above related indicators of the DM group mice were more sensitive to Rsg and PIN-2.Conclu-sions Compared to non-diabetic pancreatic cancer,rosiglitazone can more sensitively inhibit the prolifera-tion of pancreatic cancer with T2DM,induce apopto-sis,and reprogram the metabolism of pancreatic cancer with T2DM by activating PPA Rγ and altering the ex-pression of glucose and lipid metabolism genes,there-by exerting an anti-cancer effect.
10.Advances of ENPP1 in tumor and its inhibitors applied in tumor therapy
Xiao-Yu CHE ; Xiao-Ying QIN ; Yan CHEN ; Yu-Ping LIU
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(10):1830-1836
Ecto-nucleotide pyrophosphatases/phosphodiesterases(ENPPs)are involved in the hydrolysis of different purine nu-cleotides in a range of physiological processes.In recent years,it has also been found to be involved in tumor progression,with ENPP1 often overexpressed in local recurrence and tumor metas-tasis,which is associated with poor prognosis and survival in a range of solid tumors.The role of ENPP1 in tumors is mainly fo-cused on tumor proliferation,metastasis,immunity,recurrence,etc.,and it is speculated that ENPP1 can be used as a prognos-tic indicator for a variety of tumors.ENPP1 promotes the immu-nosuppressive tumor microenvironment by being obliquely in-volved in the regulation of ATP/adenosine homeostasis by com-bining with other components,which crosses with interferon gene stimulators to impair its potent immune response through the hy-drolysis of the effector 2',3'-cyclic GMP-AMP.Therefore,EN-PP1 blockade has become an effective means to induce immune remodeling and inhibit tumorigenesis and development.The ex-isting ENPP1 inhibitors mainly include natural small molecule compounds,nucleotide ENPP1 inhibitors,non-nucleotide EN-PP1 inhibitors,and novel small molecule ENPP1 inhibitors.So far,a small number of ENPP1 inhibitors have been developed and are rarely suitable for in vivo experiments,and they are still in the stage of developing effective compounds or lead com-pounds,and the research on ENPP1 inhibitors needs to be fur-ther studied.This review summarizes and discusses the role of ENPP1 in tumors,and summarizes the current research progress of various ENPP1 agents and their current research progress,in order to provide a reference for further research on the prepara-tion of drug candidates.


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