Objective:To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) in Weinan City, Shaanxi Province, and study the predictive effect of the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model.Methods:Relevant information on HFRS cases reported by the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System from January 2010 to August 2024 in Weinan City, as well as the epidemiological investigation data on clinical diagnosis and confirmed HFRS cases in Weinan City were collected. Epidemiological characteristics of HFRS were analyzed by descriptive epidemiological methods. At the same time, a SARIMA model was constructed based on the monthly incidence of HFRS from 2010 to 2023, the incidence of HFRS from January to August 2024 was used to test the simulation prediction effect, and the optimal model was used to predict the incidence of HFRS from September to December 2024.Results:A total of 4 373 HFRS cases were reported in Weinan City from 2010 to 2023, with an average annual incidence of 6.39/100 000. The incidence rate showed a cyclical fluctuation trend, reaching two peaks in 2012 (10.25/100 000) and 2021 (12.26/100 000), respectively. The incidence of HFRS presented a seasonal bimodal distribution, with the peak predominantly in autumn and winter (from October to January of the following year), accounting for 67.83% (2 966/4 373), and the peak in spring and summer (form May to July) accounting for 17.27% (755/4 373). HFRS cases were reported in all counties (cities and districts) of Weinan City, and the top 3 annual incidence rates were Huazhou District (17.84/100 000), Linwei District (16.10/100 000) and Huayin City (9.15/100 000). The age of onset was mainly concentrated in the age group of 15 - 59 years old, accounting for 68.31% (2 987/4 373). The male to female ratio was 2.96∶1.00 (3 268∶1 105). The main occupation was farmers, accounting for 82.07% (3 589/4 373). SARIMA (1, 0, 1) (2, 1, 1) 12 model was the optimal model for short-term prediction of HFRS incidence rate in Weinan City, and the residual difference was listed as white noise ( Q = 7.45, P = 0.878), the model could be used for disease prediction. The model was used to predict the incidence of HFRS from September to December 2024, and the predicted values of each month were 0.17/100 000, 0.59/100 000, 1.85/100 000 and 1.61/100 000, respectively. Conclusions:The epidemic range of HFRS in Weinan City is wide, and the incidence has obvious seasonality. The population are mainly males, young and middle-aged adults and farmers. The SARIMA (1, 0, 1) (2, 1, 1) 12 model constructed can be used for predicting the short-term incidence trend of HFRS in Weinan City.

Objective:To analyze the epidemic trend of influenza-like illness（ILI）cases，etiological detection results，and the evolution of the hemagglutinin（HA）gene of the predominant strains in Hanzhong City，Shaanxi Province during the 2018-2024 influenza seasons.Methods:ILI sentinel surveillance data and network laboratory test results during the 2018-2024 influenza seasons in Hanzhong City，Shaanxi Province were collected for descriptive analysis. The HA gene sequences of 25 predominant strains were obtained through whole-genome deep sequencing method，and then compared with the vaccine strains recommended by the World Health Organization in the same period to analyze the evolution of the virus.Results:A total of 37 770 cases of ILI were reported in Hanzhong City during the 2018-2024 influenza seasons，and the proportion of total ILI cases（ILI%）was 2.87%（37 770/1 316 009）. The epidemic trend of ILI showed an obvious epidemic peak in winter and spring（from December of the current year to March of the following year）. The specimens with the highest positive rate were of type A（H3N2）（39.12%，365/933），and the predominant epidemic strains in each influenza season alternated among A（H1N1）pdm09（in the 2018-2019 and 2022-2023 influenza seasons），A（H3N2）（in the 2019-2020 and 2023-2024 influenza seasons）and B（Victoria）（in the 2021-2022 influenza season）. The phylogenetic relationship gradually became more distant over time across different influenza seasons. Among them，the epidemic strains of A（H1N1）pdm09 belonged to the 6B.1 clade，and the evolution mainly occurred in the Sa and Sb regions of the HA epitope. Meanwhile，the epidemic strains of A（H3N2）belonged to the 3C clade，and the evolution mainly took place in the A，B and C regions of the HA epitope. The strains of the B（Victoria）lineage belonged to the V1a.3a.2 clade，and the evolution mainly occurred in the 120-loop，150-loop，and 190-helix regions of the HA epitope.Conclusions:The influenza epidemic in Hanzhong City has obvious seasonality，and the amino acids of the epidemic strains have shown a certain degree of variation over the years. In future prevention and control work，influenza surveillance should be continuously strengthened，and the change trend of the predominant circulating strains should be closely monitored.

Objective:To analyze the epidemic trend of influenza-like illness（ILI）cases，etiological detection results，and the evolution of the hemagglutinin（HA）gene of the predominant strains in Hanzhong City，Shaanxi Province during the 2018-2024 influenza seasons.Methods:ILI sentinel surveillance data and network laboratory test results during the 2018-2024 influenza seasons in Hanzhong City，Shaanxi Province were collected for descriptive analysis. The HA gene sequences of 25 predominant strains were obtained through whole-genome deep sequencing method，and then compared with the vaccine strains recommended by the World Health Organization in the same period to analyze the evolution of the virus.Results:A total of 37 770 cases of ILI were reported in Hanzhong City during the 2018-2024 influenza seasons，and the proportion of total ILI cases（ILI%）was 2.87%（37 770/1 316 009）. The epidemic trend of ILI showed an obvious epidemic peak in winter and spring（from December of the current year to March of the following year）. The specimens with the highest positive rate were of type A（H3N2）（39.12%，365/933），and the predominant epidemic strains in each influenza season alternated among A（H1N1）pdm09（in the 2018-2019 and 2022-2023 influenza seasons），A（H3N2）（in the 2019-2020 and 2023-2024 influenza seasons）and B（Victoria）（in the 2021-2022 influenza season）. The phylogenetic relationship gradually became more distant over time across different influenza seasons. Among them，the epidemic strains of A（H1N1）pdm09 belonged to the 6B.1 clade，and the evolution mainly occurred in the Sa and Sb regions of the HA epitope. Meanwhile，the epidemic strains of A（H3N2）belonged to the 3C clade，and the evolution mainly took place in the A，B and C regions of the HA epitope. The strains of the B（Victoria）lineage belonged to the V1a.3a.2 clade，and the evolution mainly occurred in the 120-loop，150-loop，and 190-helix regions of the HA epitope.Conclusions:The influenza epidemic in Hanzhong City has obvious seasonality，and the amino acids of the epidemic strains have shown a certain degree of variation over the years. In future prevention and control work，influenza surveillance should be continuously strengthened，and the change trend of the predominant circulating strains should be closely monitored.

Objective:To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) in Weinan City, Shaanxi Province, and study the predictive effect of the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model.Methods:Relevant information on HFRS cases reported by the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System from January 2010 to August 2024 in Weinan City, as well as the epidemiological investigation data on clinical diagnosis and confirmed HFRS cases in Weinan City were collected. Epidemiological characteristics of HFRS were analyzed by descriptive epidemiological methods. At the same time, a SARIMA model was constructed based on the monthly incidence of HFRS from 2010 to 2023, the incidence of HFRS from January to August 2024 was used to test the simulation prediction effect, and the optimal model was used to predict the incidence of HFRS from September to December 2024.Results:A total of 4 373 HFRS cases were reported in Weinan City from 2010 to 2023, with an average annual incidence of 6.39/100 000. The incidence rate showed a cyclical fluctuation trend, reaching two peaks in 2012 (10.25/100 000) and 2021 (12.26/100 000), respectively. The incidence of HFRS presented a seasonal bimodal distribution, with the peak predominantly in autumn and winter (from October to January of the following year), accounting for 67.83% (2 966/4 373), and the peak in spring and summer (form May to July) accounting for 17.27% (755/4 373). HFRS cases were reported in all counties (cities and districts) of Weinan City, and the top 3 annual incidence rates were Huazhou District (17.84/100 000), Linwei District (16.10/100 000) and Huayin City (9.15/100 000). The age of onset was mainly concentrated in the age group of 15 - 59 years old, accounting for 68.31% (2 987/4 373). The male to female ratio was 2.96∶1.00 (3 268∶1 105). The main occupation was farmers, accounting for 82.07% (3 589/4 373). SARIMA (1, 0, 1) (2, 1, 1) 12 model was the optimal model for short-term prediction of HFRS incidence rate in Weinan City, and the residual difference was listed as white noise ( Q = 7.45, P = 0.878), the model could be used for disease prediction. The model was used to predict the incidence of HFRS from September to December 2024, and the predicted values of each month were 0.17/100 000, 0.59/100 000, 1.85/100 000 and 1.61/100 000, respectively. Conclusions:The epidemic range of HFRS in Weinan City is wide, and the incidence has obvious seasonality. The population are mainly males, young and middle-aged adults and farmers. The SARIMA (1, 0, 1) (2, 1, 1) 12 model constructed can be used for predicting the short-term incidence trend of HFRS in Weinan City.

Grooming,as an evolutionarily conserved repetitive behavior,is common in various animals,including humans,and serves essential functions including,but not limited to,hygiene maintenance,thermoregulation,de-arousal,stress reduction,and social behaviors.In rodents,grooming involves a patterned and sequenced structure,known as the syntactic chain with four phases that comprise repeated stereotyped movements happening in a cephalocaudal progression style,beginning from the nose to the face,to the head,and finally ending with body licking.The context-dependent occurrence of grooming behavior indicates its adaptive significance.This review briefly summarizes the neural substrates responsible for rodent grooming behavior and explores its relevance in rodent models of neuropsychiatric disorders and neurodegenerative diseases with aberrant grooming phenotypes.We further emphasize the utility of rodent grooming as a reliable measure of repetitive behavior in neuropsychiatric models,holding promise for translational psychiatry.Herein,we mainly focus on rodent self-grooming.Allogrooming(grooming being applied on one animal by its conspecifics via licking or carefully nibbling)and heterogrooming(a form of grooming behavior directing towards another animal,which occurs in other contexts,such as maternal,sexual,aggressive,or social behaviors)are not covered due to space constraints.

Objective:To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and pathogen spectrum of influenza outbreaks in Shaanxi Province from 2014 to 2023 and provide basis reference for strengthening regional influenza prevention and control.Methods:The data were collected from the Public Health Emergency Management Information System of the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System and the China Influenza Surveillance Information System. On-site epidemiological investigation information and etiological test results of influenza network laboratories reported in Shaanxi Province during 2014-2023 were collected, and descriptive analysis was conducted on the time, region, and location distribution of influenza outbreaks. SPSS 25.0 software was used for statistical analysis.Results:A total of 386 influenza outbreaks were reported in Shaanxi from 2014 to 2023, with a total attack rate of 1.81% (14 880/821 001). The epidemic peaks mainly occurred in winter and spring (November to March of the following year), and there was an alternating pattern of epidemic peaks in different years (the early peak was in December, and the late peak was in March of the following year). The epidemic areas were mainly concentrated in the Qinba Mountains of southern Shaanxi (209, 54.15%) and Guanzhong Plain (173, 44.82%). The epidemic places were mainly distributed in primary schools (239, 61.92%), and the differences of epidemic areas and places were statistically significant (all P<0.001). Influenza A(H3N2) viruses were the predominant pathogen in the outbreak (849, 57.76%), and influenza A(H3N2), B (Victoria) lineage and A(H1N1)pdm09 virus alternately dominated the epidemic peak in different years. Conclusions:The peak of influenza outbreaks in Shaanxi Province was winter and spring during 2014-2023. Primary schools in the Qinba Mountains of southern Shaanxi and Guanzhong Plain should be targeted for prevention and control. In the prevention and control programs, close attention should be paid to the changing trend of dominant strains. Effective intervention measures should be targeted to the high-incidence areas and seasons.

Objective:To clarify the infection and epidemic characteristics of the human metapneumovirus (HMPV) in Chinese patients with febrile respiratory syndrome (FRS), and to provide important baseline data for clinical diagnosis, treatment, prevention and control of HMPV-induced respiratory tract diseases in China.Methods:FRS cases from January 2009 to June 2021 in 9 provinces in China, including Beijing, Hebei, Jilin, Shandong, Shaanxi, Xinjiang, Anhui, Guangdong, Hunan were retrospectively analyzed for their respiratory samples, clinical and epidemic data.The respiratory samples were detected for HMPV by quantitative real-time PCR.Results:A total of 11 660 cases were tested for HMPV, involving 296 (2.54%) HMPV-positive cases.Among 296 HMPV-positive cases, 218 were single HMPV infection, and 78/296 (26.35%) were co-infected with one or more respiratory viruses.HMPV mainly affected children under 5 years of age (3.10%), and in this population, the proportion of pneumonia in HMPV co-infection cases was significantly higher than that of single HMPV infection.HMPV could be detected all year round, which was more popular in winter and spring, with the peak of HMPV epidemic in March.Conclusions:HMPV is one of the important pathogens causing acute respiratory infection in children, showing a clear seasonal epidemic.HMPV can be infected alone or in combination with other respiratory viruses, which may increase the risk of pneumonia in children.

Objective: To investigate the effects of metformin on mitochondrial pathway of apoptosis and oxidative stress in cell model of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Methods: An in vitro cell model of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease was established using 0.6 mmol/L oleic acid to induce lipid accumulation in HepG2 cells. HepG2 cells were divided into control (Con) group, oleic acid (OA) group, and metformin-low (1mmol/L) and high (10mmol/L) dose group. Oil Red O stain was used to detect intracellular lipid droplet distribution. The levels of alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase in the culture supernatant were detected by assay kits. DCFH-DA method was used to detect the reactive oxygen species of HepG2 cells. Double staining flow cytometry was used to detect the apoptosis rate of HepG2 cells. Western blot was used to detect caspase-3, B-lymphocyte lymphoma-related protein, B-cell lymphoma 2, and cytochrome c protein. One-way analysis of variance was used to compare the data between groups. Results: Oleic acid-induced HepG2 cells were significantly increased with lipid droplets. Low and high-dose metformin had reduced intracellular lipid droplets accumulation. The effect of metformin in the high-dose group was more significant than that in the low-dose group. Aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase in HepG2 cells of OA group were significantly increased, which were (43.41 ± 7.11) U/L and (29.56 ± 4.11) U/L, respectively. The intracellular aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase were decreased significantly after the treatment with low and high-dose metformin, which were (32.44 ± 4.08)U/L, (19.31 ± 3.03) U/L, (26.00 ± 3.11) U/L and (15.11 ± 4.11) U/L, respectively and the differences were statistically significant (P < 0.05). DCFH-DA test results showed that the fluorescence intensity of reactive oxygen species in the oleic acid group was 41.21% ± 4.23%, while the fluorescence intensity of reactive oxygen species in the low and high-dose metformin groups were reduced to 27.44% ± 3.91%, and 17.55% ± 5.11%, respectively and the differences between the groups were statistically significant (P < 0.05). The results of flow cytometry analysis showed that the cell apoptosis rate of the OA group was significantly higher than that of the Con group (12.12% ± 0.72% vs. 3.04% ± 0.57%, P < 0.05).The apoptosis rate of HepG2 cells was significantly reduced after metformin treatment at low and high doses (8.71% ± 0.71%, 5.71% ± 0.61%, P < 0.05). Western blot results showed that compared with the Con group, the expressions of B-lymphocyte lymphoma-related protein, cytochrome c, and caspase-3 were increased in the OA group, while the B-cell lymphoma 2 were decreased (P < 0.05). The expression of B-lymphocyte lymphoma-related protein, cytochrome c, and caspase-3 protein in HepG2 cells was decreased after treatment with low and high-dose metformin, while B-cell lymphoma 2 was increased (P < 0.05). Conclusion Metformin can effectively alleviate steatosis and improve the HepG2 function in cell model of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. The mechanism of metformin may be related to the reduction of oxidative stress injury, the regulation of protein expression related to mitochondrial apoptosis pathway and the inhibition of cell apoptosis.

Central venous catheters (CVCs) are now widely used in critical care for critical care, fluid resuscitation, drug infusion, parenteral nutrition, hemodynamic monitoring, chemotherapy, and continuous blood purification treatment. Although the application of CVCs can facilitate clinical medical care work, the proportion of patients with various catheter complications will exceed 15%, and the incidence of catheter blockage is about 25%. At present, adequate flushing and effective sealing are considered to be important means to reduce and prevent catheter blockage. This article reviews the prevention of central venous catheter occlusion with different sealing fluids, in order to provide reference for clinical nurses to prevent central venous catheter occlusion.

Objective:To investigate the surgical indications of gallbladder polyps.Methods:The retrospective case-control study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 2 272 patients with gallbladder polyps who underwent cholecystectomy in 11 medical centers from January 2015 to December 2019 were collected, including 585 in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University, 352 in No. 215 Hospital of Shaanxi Nuclear Industry, 332 in the First People′s Hospital of Xianyang, 233 in Shaanxi Provincial People′s Hospital, 152 in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University, 138 in Xianyang Hospital of Yan′an University, 137 in People′s Hospital of Baoji, 125 in Hanzhong Central Hospital, 95 in Baoji Central Hospital, 72 in Ankang Central Hospital, 51 in Yulin No.2 Hospital. There were 887 males and 1 385 females, aged (48±12)years, with a range from 12 to 86 years. Observation indicators: (1) surgical treatment, pathological examination and hospitalization; (2) follow-up and complications; (3) comparison of clinicopathological data between patients with non-neoplastic polyps and neoplastic polyps; (4) comparison of clinicopathological data among patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 7 to 9 mm, 10 to 12 mm, or ≥13 mm without cholecystolithiasis; (5) analysis of influence factors for the incidence of neoplastic polyps in patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis; (6) construction and evaluation of nomogram prediction model for neoplastic polyps of patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis. Follow-up using outpatient examination or telephone interview was conducted to detect complications and survival of patients up to April 2020. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean± SD, and comparison between groups was analyzed using the t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M (range), and comparison between groups was analyzed using the rank-sum test. Ordinal data was analyzed using the rank-sum test of multi-samples. Analysis of influence factors for the incidence of neoplastic polyps was conducted after excluding missing data of CEA and CA19-9. Univariate analysis was conducted using the chi-square test or rank-sum test of multi-samples, and multivariate analysis was conducted using Logistic regression model. Based on Logistic regression model multivariate analysis, the nomogram prediction model was constructed using the R 3.6.0 version software. Results:(1) Surgical treatment, pathological examination and hospitalization: of the 2 272 patients, 2 199 cases underwent laparoscopic cholecystectomy, 43 cases underwent open cholecystectomy, 28 cases underwent radical resection for gallbladder carcinoma, and 2 cases underwent laparoscopic gallbladder preservation and polypectomy. There were 1 050 of the 2 272 patients undergoing intraoperative frozen section examination. Results of pathological examination showed that 1 953 of the 2 272 patients had non-neoplastic polyps including 1 681 cases with cholesterol polyps and 272 cases with inflammatory polyps; 319 cases had neoplastic polyps including 274 with benign polyps (93 cases with adenoma, 66 cases with adenomyoma, 81 cases with adenoma-like hyperplasia, 34 cases with adenoma combined with intraepithelial neoplasia); and 45 cases had malignant polyps including 43 cases with adenocarcinoma, 1 case with adenosquamous carcinoma and 1 case with sarcomatoid carcinoma. The duration of postoperative hospital stay of 2 272 patients was 3 days(range, 1 to 27 days). (2) Follow-up and complications: of the 2 272 patients, 1 932 were followed up for 3.5 to 63.5 months, with a median follow-up time of 31.0 months. During the follow-up, 180 patients had short-term complications and 170 patients had long-term complications. (3) Comparison of clinicopathological data between patients with non-neoplastic polyps and neoplastic polyps: cases with age ≤50 years or >50 years, cases with time from first discovery of polyp to operation <1 year, 1-3 years, >3 years and ≤5 years or >5 years, CEA, CA19-9, CA125, cases with single or multiple polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with diameter of polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination as 1-6 mm, 7-9 mm, 10-12 mm or ≥13 mm, cases with pedicled or broad based polyp wall in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with polyp morphology in preoperative ultrasono-graphy examination as nodular, papillary, globular or mulberry-like, cases undergoing or not undergoing intraoperative frozen section examination, cases with diameter of polyps in postoperative pathological examination as 1-6 mm, 7-9 mm, 10-12 mm or ≥13 mm, cases with gallbladder wall thickness in postoperative pathological examination as ≤4 mm or >4 mm of the 1 953 patients with non-neoplastic polyps were 1 118, 835, 1 027, 422, 230, 274, 2.0 mg/L(range, 0.2-8.6 mg/L), 14.5 U/mL(range, 2.6-116.4 U/mL), 10.5 U/mL(range, 1.2-58.7 U/mL), 658, 1 295, 674, 741, 413, 125, 1 389, 564, 407, 1 119, 292, 135, 832, 1 121, 698, 774, 385, 96, 1 719, 234, respectively. The above indicators of the 319 patients with neoplastic polyps were 160, 159, 204, 55, 26, 34, 2.9 mg/L(range, 0.2-28.8 mg/L), 19.7 U/mL(range, 3.5-437.1 U/mL), 15.0 U/mL(range, 1.0-945.0 U/mL), 203, 116, 49, 59, 100, 111, 154, 165, 92, 153, 49, 25, 218, 101, 53, 85, 90, 91, 263, 56, respectively. There were significant differences in the above indicators between the non-neoplastic polyps and neoplastic polyps patients ( χ2=5.599, Z=-3.668, -2.407, -3.023, -3.403, χ2=104.474, Z=-13.367, χ2=65.676, 12.622, 73.075, Z=-11.874, χ2=7.649, P<0.05). (4) Comparison of clinicopathological data among patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 7 to 9 mm, 10 to 12 mm, or ≥13 mm without cholecystolithiasis: after excluding 311 of the 2 272 patients with cholecystolithiasis, there were 706 cases with gallbladder polyp diameter of 7 to 9 mm, 459 cases with gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm, and 205 cases with gallbladder polyp diameter ≥13 mm, respectively. Cases with time from first discovery of polyp to operation <1 year, 1-3 years, >3 years and ≤5 years or >5 years, CEA, CA19-9, cases with single or multiple polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with pedicled or broad based polyp wall in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with polyp morphology in preoperative ultrasonography examination as nodular, papillary, globular or mulberry-like, cases with echo intensity of preoperative ultrasonography examination as slightly strong, medium or weak, cases undergoing or not undergoing intraoperative frozen section examination, and cases with pathological types of polyps as non-neoplastic polyps, benign polyps or malignant polyps of the 706 patients with gallbladder polyp diameter of 7 to 9 mm were 291, 170, 107, 138, 2.2 mg/L(range, 0.5-8.6 mg/L), 21.0 U/mL(range, 2.8-116.4 U/mL), 207, 499, 620, 86, 118, 463, 75, 50, 252, 410, 44, 379, 327, 657, 49, 0, respectively. The above indicators of the 459 patients with gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm were 267, 85, 43, 64, 1.6 mg/L(range, 0.4-9.3 mg/L), 10.4 U/mL(range, 3.3-354.0 U/mL), 205, 254, 237, 222, 158, 223, 51, 27, 222, 213, 24, 263, 196, 373, 79, 7, respectively. The above indicators of the 205 patients with gallbladder polyp diameter ≥13 mm were 128, 38, 20, 19, 2.1 mg/L(range, 0.6-28.8 mg/L), 10.2 U/mL(range, 3.6-307.0 U/mL), 120, 85, 75, 130, 68, 97, 22, 18, 98, 95, 12, 148, 57, 113, 71, 21, respectively. There were significant differences in the above indicators among patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 7 to 9 mm, 10 to 12 mm, or ≥ 13 mm ( χ2=46.482, 8.093, 39.504, 66.971, 277.043, 60.945, 19.672, 22.340, 197.854, P<0.05). (5) Analysis of influence factors for the incidence of neoplastic polyps in patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis: of the 459 patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis, there were 373 cases with non-neoplastic polyps, and 86 cases with neoplastic polyps, respectively. Results of univariate analysis showed that CEA, CA19-9, the number of polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination, diameter of polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyp wall in preoperative ultrasonography examination were influence factors for the incidence of neoplastic polyps in patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis ( χ2=10.342, 5.616, 20.009, Z=-4.352, χ2=6.203, P<0.05). Results of multivariate analysis showed that CEA>5.0 mg/L, CA19-9>39.0 U/mL, single polyp in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyp diameter of 11 mm in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyps of broad base in preoperative ultrasonography examination were independent risk factors for the incidence of neoplastic polyps in patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis ( odds ratio=8.423, 0.082, 0.337, 3.694, 2.318, 95% confidence interval: 1.547-45.843, 0.015-0.443, 0.198-0.575, 1.987-6.866, 1.372-3.916, P<0.05). (6) Construction and evaluation of nomogram prediction model for neoplastic polyps of patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis: CEA, CA19-9, the number of polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination, diameter of polyps in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyp wall in preoperative ultrasonography examination were imported into R 3.6.0 version software to establish the nomogram prediction model for neoplastic polyps. The results showed the score for CEA>5.0 mg/L, CA19-9>39.0 U/mL, cases with single polyp in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with polyp diameter of 10 mm in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with polyp diameter of 11 mm in preoperative ultrasonography examination, cases with polyp diameter of 12 mm in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyps of broad base in preoperative ultrasonography examination were 25, 27, 100, 0, 26, 72, 98 in the nomogram prediction model, respectively. The C-index of nomogram prediction model was 0.768. Result of nomogram prediction model showed that the incidence of tumor polyps was 0, 6% and 10% in patients with multiple and pedicled gallbladder polyps with diameter of 10, 11, 12 mm and with CEA ≤5.0 mg/L and CA19-9 ≤39.0 U/mL, the incidence of tumor polyps was 43%, 53% and 70% in patients with single and broad base gallbladder polyps with diameter of 10, 11, 12 mm. The calibration curve showed that the probability of the nomogram prediction model predicting neoplastic polyps was nearly consistent with the actual probability. Conclusions:CEA>5.0 mg/L, CA19-9>39.0 U/mL, single polyp in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyp diameter of 11 mm in preoperative ultrasonography examination, polyps of broad base in preoperative ultrasonography examination are independent risk factors for the incidence of neoplastic polyps in patients who had gallbladder polyp diameter of 10 to 12 mm without cholecystolithiasis. Cholecystectomy should be performed in time for patients with single and broad based gallbladder polyps with diameter of 10, 11, 12 mm.