1.International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR): 2017–2024 Status and Progress Update
Désirée LARENAS-LINNEMANN ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Alan ALTRAJA ; John BUSBY ; Trung N. TRAN ; Eileen WANG ; Todor A. POPOV ; Patrick D. MITCHELL ; Paul E. PFEFFER ; Roy Alton PLEASANTS ; Rohit KATIAL ; Mariko Siyue KOH ; Arnaud BOURDIN ; Florence SCHLEICH ; Jorge MÁSPERO ; Mark HEW ; Matthew J. PETERS ; David J. JACKSON ; George C. CHRISTOFF ; Luis PEREZ-DE-LLANO ; Ivan CHERREZ- OJEDA ; João A. FONSECA ; Richard W. COSTELLO ; Carlos A. TORRES-DUQUE ; Piotr KUNA ; Andrew N. MENZIES-GOW ; Neda STJEPANOVIC ; Peter G. GIBSON ; Paulo Márcio PITREZ ; Celine BERGERON ; Celeste M. PORSBJERG ; Camille TAILLÉ ; Christian TAUBE ; Nikolaos G. PAPADOPOULOS ; Andriana I. PAPAIOANNOU ; Sundeep SALVI ; Giorgio Walter CANONICA ; Enrico HEFFLER ; Takashi IWANAGA ; Mona S. AL-AHMAD ; Sverre LEHMANN ; Riyad AL-LEHEBI ; Borja G. COSIO ; Diahn-Warng PERNG ; Bassam MAHBOUB ; Liam G. HEANEY ; Pujan H. PATEL ; Njira LUGOGO ; Michael E. WECHSLER ; Lakmini BULATHSINHALA ; Victoria CARTER ; Kirsty FLETTON ; David L. NEIL ; Ghislaine SCELO ; David B. PRICE
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2025;88(2):193-215
The International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR) was established in 2017 to advance the understanding of severe asthma and its management, thereby improving patient care worldwide. As the first global registry for adults with severe asthma, ISAR enabled individual registries to standardize and pool their data, creating a comprehensive, harmonized dataset with sufficient statistical power to address key research questions and knowledge gaps. Today, ISAR is the largest repository of real-world data on severe asthma, curating data on nearly 35,000 patients from 28 countries worldwide, and has become a leading contributor to severe asthma research. Research using ISAR data has provided valuable insights on the characteristics of severe asthma, its burdens and risk factors, real-world treatment effectiveness, and barriers to specialist care, which are collectively informing improved asthma management. Besides changing clinical thinking via research, ISAR aims to advance real-world practice through initiatives that improve registry data quality and severe asthma care. In 2024, ISAR refined essential research variables to enhance data quality and launched a web-based data acquisition and reporting system (QISAR), which integrates data collection with clinical consultations and enables longitudinal data tracking at patient, center, and population levels. Quality improvement priorities include collecting standardized data during consultations and tracking and optimizing patient journeys via QISAR and integrating primary/secondary care pathways to expedite specialist severe asthma management and facilitate clinical trial recruitment. ISAR envisions a future in which timely specialist referral and initiation of biologic therapy can obviate long-term systemic corticosteroid use and enable more patients to achieve remission.
2.International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR): 2017–2024 Status and Progress Update
Désirée LARENAS-LINNEMANN ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Alan ALTRAJA ; John BUSBY ; Trung N. TRAN ; Eileen WANG ; Todor A. POPOV ; Patrick D. MITCHELL ; Paul E. PFEFFER ; Roy Alton PLEASANTS ; Rohit KATIAL ; Mariko Siyue KOH ; Arnaud BOURDIN ; Florence SCHLEICH ; Jorge MÁSPERO ; Mark HEW ; Matthew J. PETERS ; David J. JACKSON ; George C. CHRISTOFF ; Luis PEREZ-DE-LLANO ; Ivan CHERREZ- OJEDA ; João A. FONSECA ; Richard W. COSTELLO ; Carlos A. TORRES-DUQUE ; Piotr KUNA ; Andrew N. MENZIES-GOW ; Neda STJEPANOVIC ; Peter G. GIBSON ; Paulo Márcio PITREZ ; Celine BERGERON ; Celeste M. PORSBJERG ; Camille TAILLÉ ; Christian TAUBE ; Nikolaos G. PAPADOPOULOS ; Andriana I. PAPAIOANNOU ; Sundeep SALVI ; Giorgio Walter CANONICA ; Enrico HEFFLER ; Takashi IWANAGA ; Mona S. AL-AHMAD ; Sverre LEHMANN ; Riyad AL-LEHEBI ; Borja G. COSIO ; Diahn-Warng PERNG ; Bassam MAHBOUB ; Liam G. HEANEY ; Pujan H. PATEL ; Njira LUGOGO ; Michael E. WECHSLER ; Lakmini BULATHSINHALA ; Victoria CARTER ; Kirsty FLETTON ; David L. NEIL ; Ghislaine SCELO ; David B. PRICE
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2025;88(2):193-215
The International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR) was established in 2017 to advance the understanding of severe asthma and its management, thereby improving patient care worldwide. As the first global registry for adults with severe asthma, ISAR enabled individual registries to standardize and pool their data, creating a comprehensive, harmonized dataset with sufficient statistical power to address key research questions and knowledge gaps. Today, ISAR is the largest repository of real-world data on severe asthma, curating data on nearly 35,000 patients from 28 countries worldwide, and has become a leading contributor to severe asthma research. Research using ISAR data has provided valuable insights on the characteristics of severe asthma, its burdens and risk factors, real-world treatment effectiveness, and barriers to specialist care, which are collectively informing improved asthma management. Besides changing clinical thinking via research, ISAR aims to advance real-world practice through initiatives that improve registry data quality and severe asthma care. In 2024, ISAR refined essential research variables to enhance data quality and launched a web-based data acquisition and reporting system (QISAR), which integrates data collection with clinical consultations and enables longitudinal data tracking at patient, center, and population levels. Quality improvement priorities include collecting standardized data during consultations and tracking and optimizing patient journeys via QISAR and integrating primary/secondary care pathways to expedite specialist severe asthma management and facilitate clinical trial recruitment. ISAR envisions a future in which timely specialist referral and initiation of biologic therapy can obviate long-term systemic corticosteroid use and enable more patients to achieve remission.
3.International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR): 2017–2024 Status and Progress Update
Désirée LARENAS-LINNEMANN ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Alan ALTRAJA ; John BUSBY ; Trung N. TRAN ; Eileen WANG ; Todor A. POPOV ; Patrick D. MITCHELL ; Paul E. PFEFFER ; Roy Alton PLEASANTS ; Rohit KATIAL ; Mariko Siyue KOH ; Arnaud BOURDIN ; Florence SCHLEICH ; Jorge MÁSPERO ; Mark HEW ; Matthew J. PETERS ; David J. JACKSON ; George C. CHRISTOFF ; Luis PEREZ-DE-LLANO ; Ivan CHERREZ- OJEDA ; João A. FONSECA ; Richard W. COSTELLO ; Carlos A. TORRES-DUQUE ; Piotr KUNA ; Andrew N. MENZIES-GOW ; Neda STJEPANOVIC ; Peter G. GIBSON ; Paulo Márcio PITREZ ; Celine BERGERON ; Celeste M. PORSBJERG ; Camille TAILLÉ ; Christian TAUBE ; Nikolaos G. PAPADOPOULOS ; Andriana I. PAPAIOANNOU ; Sundeep SALVI ; Giorgio Walter CANONICA ; Enrico HEFFLER ; Takashi IWANAGA ; Mona S. AL-AHMAD ; Sverre LEHMANN ; Riyad AL-LEHEBI ; Borja G. COSIO ; Diahn-Warng PERNG ; Bassam MAHBOUB ; Liam G. HEANEY ; Pujan H. PATEL ; Njira LUGOGO ; Michael E. WECHSLER ; Lakmini BULATHSINHALA ; Victoria CARTER ; Kirsty FLETTON ; David L. NEIL ; Ghislaine SCELO ; David B. PRICE
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2025;88(2):193-215
The International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR) was established in 2017 to advance the understanding of severe asthma and its management, thereby improving patient care worldwide. As the first global registry for adults with severe asthma, ISAR enabled individual registries to standardize and pool their data, creating a comprehensive, harmonized dataset with sufficient statistical power to address key research questions and knowledge gaps. Today, ISAR is the largest repository of real-world data on severe asthma, curating data on nearly 35,000 patients from 28 countries worldwide, and has become a leading contributor to severe asthma research. Research using ISAR data has provided valuable insights on the characteristics of severe asthma, its burdens and risk factors, real-world treatment effectiveness, and barriers to specialist care, which are collectively informing improved asthma management. Besides changing clinical thinking via research, ISAR aims to advance real-world practice through initiatives that improve registry data quality and severe asthma care. In 2024, ISAR refined essential research variables to enhance data quality and launched a web-based data acquisition and reporting system (QISAR), which integrates data collection with clinical consultations and enables longitudinal data tracking at patient, center, and population levels. Quality improvement priorities include collecting standardized data during consultations and tracking and optimizing patient journeys via QISAR and integrating primary/secondary care pathways to expedite specialist severe asthma management and facilitate clinical trial recruitment. ISAR envisions a future in which timely specialist referral and initiation of biologic therapy can obviate long-term systemic corticosteroid use and enable more patients to achieve remission.
4.International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR): 2017–2024 Status and Progress Update
Désirée LARENAS-LINNEMANN ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Alan ALTRAJA ; John BUSBY ; Trung N. TRAN ; Eileen WANG ; Todor A. POPOV ; Patrick D. MITCHELL ; Paul E. PFEFFER ; Roy Alton PLEASANTS ; Rohit KATIAL ; Mariko Siyue KOH ; Arnaud BOURDIN ; Florence SCHLEICH ; Jorge MÁSPERO ; Mark HEW ; Matthew J. PETERS ; David J. JACKSON ; George C. CHRISTOFF ; Luis PEREZ-DE-LLANO ; Ivan CHERREZ- OJEDA ; João A. FONSECA ; Richard W. COSTELLO ; Carlos A. TORRES-DUQUE ; Piotr KUNA ; Andrew N. MENZIES-GOW ; Neda STJEPANOVIC ; Peter G. GIBSON ; Paulo Márcio PITREZ ; Celine BERGERON ; Celeste M. PORSBJERG ; Camille TAILLÉ ; Christian TAUBE ; Nikolaos G. PAPADOPOULOS ; Andriana I. PAPAIOANNOU ; Sundeep SALVI ; Giorgio Walter CANONICA ; Enrico HEFFLER ; Takashi IWANAGA ; Mona S. AL-AHMAD ; Sverre LEHMANN ; Riyad AL-LEHEBI ; Borja G. COSIO ; Diahn-Warng PERNG ; Bassam MAHBOUB ; Liam G. HEANEY ; Pujan H. PATEL ; Njira LUGOGO ; Michael E. WECHSLER ; Lakmini BULATHSINHALA ; Victoria CARTER ; Kirsty FLETTON ; David L. NEIL ; Ghislaine SCELO ; David B. PRICE
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2025;88(2):193-215
The International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR) was established in 2017 to advance the understanding of severe asthma and its management, thereby improving patient care worldwide. As the first global registry for adults with severe asthma, ISAR enabled individual registries to standardize and pool their data, creating a comprehensive, harmonized dataset with sufficient statistical power to address key research questions and knowledge gaps. Today, ISAR is the largest repository of real-world data on severe asthma, curating data on nearly 35,000 patients from 28 countries worldwide, and has become a leading contributor to severe asthma research. Research using ISAR data has provided valuable insights on the characteristics of severe asthma, its burdens and risk factors, real-world treatment effectiveness, and barriers to specialist care, which are collectively informing improved asthma management. Besides changing clinical thinking via research, ISAR aims to advance real-world practice through initiatives that improve registry data quality and severe asthma care. In 2024, ISAR refined essential research variables to enhance data quality and launched a web-based data acquisition and reporting system (QISAR), which integrates data collection with clinical consultations and enables longitudinal data tracking at patient, center, and population levels. Quality improvement priorities include collecting standardized data during consultations and tracking and optimizing patient journeys via QISAR and integrating primary/secondary care pathways to expedite specialist severe asthma management and facilitate clinical trial recruitment. ISAR envisions a future in which timely specialist referral and initiation of biologic therapy can obviate long-term systemic corticosteroid use and enable more patients to achieve remission.
5.International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR): 2017–2024 Status and Progress Update
Désirée LARENAS-LINNEMANN ; Chin Kook RHEE ; Alan ALTRAJA ; John BUSBY ; Trung N. TRAN ; Eileen WANG ; Todor A. POPOV ; Patrick D. MITCHELL ; Paul E. PFEFFER ; Roy Alton PLEASANTS ; Rohit KATIAL ; Mariko Siyue KOH ; Arnaud BOURDIN ; Florence SCHLEICH ; Jorge MÁSPERO ; Mark HEW ; Matthew J. PETERS ; David J. JACKSON ; George C. CHRISTOFF ; Luis PEREZ-DE-LLANO ; Ivan CHERREZ- OJEDA ; João A. FONSECA ; Richard W. COSTELLO ; Carlos A. TORRES-DUQUE ; Piotr KUNA ; Andrew N. MENZIES-GOW ; Neda STJEPANOVIC ; Peter G. GIBSON ; Paulo Márcio PITREZ ; Celine BERGERON ; Celeste M. PORSBJERG ; Camille TAILLÉ ; Christian TAUBE ; Nikolaos G. PAPADOPOULOS ; Andriana I. PAPAIOANNOU ; Sundeep SALVI ; Giorgio Walter CANONICA ; Enrico HEFFLER ; Takashi IWANAGA ; Mona S. AL-AHMAD ; Sverre LEHMANN ; Riyad AL-LEHEBI ; Borja G. COSIO ; Diahn-Warng PERNG ; Bassam MAHBOUB ; Liam G. HEANEY ; Pujan H. PATEL ; Njira LUGOGO ; Michael E. WECHSLER ; Lakmini BULATHSINHALA ; Victoria CARTER ; Kirsty FLETTON ; David L. NEIL ; Ghislaine SCELO ; David B. PRICE
Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases 2025;88(2):193-215
The International Severe Asthma Registry (ISAR) was established in 2017 to advance the understanding of severe asthma and its management, thereby improving patient care worldwide. As the first global registry for adults with severe asthma, ISAR enabled individual registries to standardize and pool their data, creating a comprehensive, harmonized dataset with sufficient statistical power to address key research questions and knowledge gaps. Today, ISAR is the largest repository of real-world data on severe asthma, curating data on nearly 35,000 patients from 28 countries worldwide, and has become a leading contributor to severe asthma research. Research using ISAR data has provided valuable insights on the characteristics of severe asthma, its burdens and risk factors, real-world treatment effectiveness, and barriers to specialist care, which are collectively informing improved asthma management. Besides changing clinical thinking via research, ISAR aims to advance real-world practice through initiatives that improve registry data quality and severe asthma care. In 2024, ISAR refined essential research variables to enhance data quality and launched a web-based data acquisition and reporting system (QISAR), which integrates data collection with clinical consultations and enables longitudinal data tracking at patient, center, and population levels. Quality improvement priorities include collecting standardized data during consultations and tracking and optimizing patient journeys via QISAR and integrating primary/secondary care pathways to expedite specialist severe asthma management and facilitate clinical trial recruitment. ISAR envisions a future in which timely specialist referral and initiation of biologic therapy can obviate long-term systemic corticosteroid use and enable more patients to achieve remission.
6.Machine Learning-Based Prediction of COVID-19 Severity and Progression to Critical Illness Using CT Imaging and Clinical Data
Subhanik PURKAYASTHA ; Yanhe XIAO ; Zhicheng JIAO ; Rujapa THEPUMNOEYSUK ; Kasey HALSEY ; Jing WU ; Thi My Linh TRAN ; Ben HSIEH ; Ji Whae CHOI ; Dongcui WANG ; Martin VALLIÈRES ; Robin WANG ; Scott COLLINS ; Xue FENG ; Michael FELDMAN ; Paul J. ZHANG ; Michael ATALAY ; Ronnie SEBRO ; Li YANG ; Yong FAN ; Wei-hua LIAO ; Harrison X. BAI
Korean Journal of Radiology 2021;22(7):1213-1224
Objective:
To develop a machine learning (ML) pipeline based on radiomics to predict Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity and the future deterioration to critical illness using CT and clinical variables.
Materials and Methods:
Clinical data were collected from 981 patients from a multi-institutional international cohort with real-time polymerase chain reaction-confirmed COVID-19. Radiomics features were extracted from chest CT of the patients. The data of the cohort were randomly divided into training, validation, and test sets using a 7:1:2 ratio. A ML pipeline consisting of a model to predict severity and time-to-event model to predict progression to critical illness were trained on radiomics features and clinical variables. The receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC), concordance index (C-index), and time-dependent ROC-AUC were calculated to determine model performance, which was compared with consensus CT severity scores obtained by visual interpretation by radiologists.
Results:
Among 981 patients with confirmed COVID-19, 274 patients developed critical illness. Radiomics features and clinical variables resulted in the best performance for the prediction of disease severity with a highest test ROC-AUC of 0.76 compared with 0.70 (0.76 vs. 0.70, p = 0.023) for visual CT severity score and clinical variables. The progression prediction model achieved a test C-index of 0.868 when it was based on the combination of CT radiomics and clinical variables compared with 0.767 when based on CT radiomics features alone (p < 0.001), 0.847 when based on clinical variables alone (p = 0.110), and 0.860 when based on the combination of visual CT severity scores and clinical variables (p = 0.549). Furthermore, the model based on the combination of CT radiomics and clinical variables achieved time-dependent ROC-AUCs of 0.897, 0.933, and 0.927 for the prediction of progression risks at 3, 5 and 7 days, respectively.
Conclusion
CT radiomics features combined with clinical variables were predictive of COVID-19 severity and progression to critical illness with fairly high accuracy.
7.Comprehensive functional annotation of susceptibility variants identifies genetic heterogeneity between lung adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma.
Na QIN ; Yuancheng LI ; Cheng WANG ; Meng ZHU ; Juncheng DAI ; Tongtong HONG ; Demetrius ALBANES ; Stephen LAM ; Adonina TARDON ; Chu CHEN ; Gary GOODMAN ; Stig E BOJESEN ; Maria Teresa LANDI ; Mattias JOHANSSON ; Angela RISCH ; H-Erich WICHMANN ; Heike BICKEBOLLER ; Gadi RENNERT ; Susanne ARNOLD ; Paul BRENNAN ; John K FIELD ; Sanjay SHETE ; Loic LE MARCHAND ; Olle MELANDER ; Hans BRUNNSTROM ; Geoffrey LIU ; Rayjean J HUNG ; Angeline ANDREW ; Lambertus A KIEMENEY ; Shan ZIENOLDDINY ; Kjell GRANKVIST ; Mikael JOHANSSON ; Neil CAPORASO ; Penella WOLL ; Philip LAZARUS ; Matthew B SCHABATH ; Melinda C ALDRICH ; Victoria L STEVENS ; Guangfu JIN ; David C CHRISTIANI ; Zhibin HU ; Christopher I AMOS ; Hongxia MA ; Hongbing SHEN
Frontiers of Medicine 2021;15(2):275-291
Although genome-wide association studies have identified more than eighty genetic variants associated with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) risk, biological mechanisms of these variants remain largely unknown. By integrating a large-scale genotype data of 15 581 lung adenocarcinoma (AD) cases, 8350 squamous cell carcinoma (SqCC) cases, and 27 355 controls, as well as multiple transcriptome and epigenomic databases, we conducted histology-specific meta-analyses and functional annotations of both reported and novel susceptibility variants. We identified 3064 credible risk variants for NSCLC, which were overrepresented in enhancer-like and promoter-like histone modification peaks as well as DNase I hypersensitive sites. Transcription factor enrichment analysis revealed that USF1 was AD-specific while CREB1 was SqCC-specific. Functional annotation and gene-based analysis implicated 894 target genes, including 274 specifics for AD and 123 for SqCC, which were overrepresented in somatic driver genes (ER = 1.95, P = 0.005). Pathway enrichment analysis and Gene-Set Enrichment Analysis revealed that AD genes were primarily involved in immune-related pathways, while SqCC genes were homologous recombination deficiency related. Our results illustrate the molecular basis of both well-studied and new susceptibility loci of NSCLC, providing not only novel insights into the genetic heterogeneity between AD and SqCC but also a set of plausible gene targets for post-GWAS functional experiments.
Adenocarcinoma of Lung/genetics*
;
Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/genetics*
;
Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/genetics*
;
Genetic Heterogeneity
;
Genetic Predisposition to Disease
;
Genome-Wide Association Study
;
Humans
;
Lung Neoplasms/genetics*
;
Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
8.Correction: Analyses of oligodontia phenotypes and genetic etiologies.
Mengqi ZHOU ; Hong ZHANG ; Heather CAMHI ; Figen SEYMEN ; Mine KORUYUCU ; Yelda KASIMOGLU ; Jung-Wook KIM ; Hera KIM-BERMAN ; Ninna M R YUSON ; Paul J BENKE ; Yiqun WU ; Feng WANG ; Yaqin ZHU ; James P SIMMER ; Jan C-C HU
International Journal of Oral Science 2021;13(1):35-35
9.Analyses of oligodontia phenotypes and genetic etiologies.
Mengqi ZHOU ; Hong ZHANG ; Heather CAMHI ; Figen SEYMEN ; Mine KORUYUCU ; Yelda KASIMOGLU ; Jung-Wook KIM ; Hera KIM-BERMAN ; Ninna M R YUSON ; Paul J BENKE ; Yiqun WU ; Feng WANG ; Yaqin ZHU ; James P SIMMER ; Jan C-C HU
International Journal of Oral Science 2021;13(1):32-32
Oligodontia is the congenital absence of six or more teeth and comprises the more severe forms of tooth agenesis. Many genes have been implicated in the etiology of tooth agenesis, which is highly variable in its clinical presentation. The purpose of this study was to identify associations between genetic mutations and clinical features of oligodontia patients. An online systematic search of papers published from January 1992 to June 2021 identified 381 oligodontia cases meeting the eligibility criteria of causative gene mutation, phenotype description, and radiographic records. Additionally, ten families with oligodontia were recruited and their genetic etiologies were determined by whole-exome sequence analyses. We identified a novel mutation in WNT10A (c.99_105dup) and eight previously reported mutations in WNT10A (c.433 G > A; c.682 T > A; c.318 C > G; c.511.C > T; c.321 C > A), EDAR (c.581 C > T), and LRP6 (c.1003 C > T, c.2747 G > T). Collectively, 20 different causative genes were implicated among those 393 cases with oligodontia. For each causative gene, the mean number of missing teeth per case and the frequency of teeth missing at each position were calculated. Genotype-phenotype correlation analysis indicated that molars agenesis is more likely linked to PAX9 mutations, mandibular first premolar agenesis is least associated with PAX9 mutations. Mandibular incisors and maxillary lateral incisor agenesis are most closely linked to EDA mutations.
Humans
;
Phenotype
;
Wnt Proteins
10.Machine Learning-Based Prediction of COVID-19 Severity and Progression to Critical Illness Using CT Imaging and Clinical Data
Subhanik PURKAYASTHA ; Yanhe XIAO ; Zhicheng JIAO ; Rujapa THEPUMNOEYSUK ; Kasey HALSEY ; Jing WU ; Thi My Linh TRAN ; Ben HSIEH ; Ji Whae CHOI ; Dongcui WANG ; Martin VALLIÈRES ; Robin WANG ; Scott COLLINS ; Xue FENG ; Michael FELDMAN ; Paul J. ZHANG ; Michael ATALAY ; Ronnie SEBRO ; Li YANG ; Yong FAN ; Wei-hua LIAO ; Harrison X. BAI
Korean Journal of Radiology 2021;22(7):1213-1224
Objective:
To develop a machine learning (ML) pipeline based on radiomics to predict Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity and the future deterioration to critical illness using CT and clinical variables.
Materials and Methods:
Clinical data were collected from 981 patients from a multi-institutional international cohort with real-time polymerase chain reaction-confirmed COVID-19. Radiomics features were extracted from chest CT of the patients. The data of the cohort were randomly divided into training, validation, and test sets using a 7:1:2 ratio. A ML pipeline consisting of a model to predict severity and time-to-event model to predict progression to critical illness were trained on radiomics features and clinical variables. The receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC), concordance index (C-index), and time-dependent ROC-AUC were calculated to determine model performance, which was compared with consensus CT severity scores obtained by visual interpretation by radiologists.
Results:
Among 981 patients with confirmed COVID-19, 274 patients developed critical illness. Radiomics features and clinical variables resulted in the best performance for the prediction of disease severity with a highest test ROC-AUC of 0.76 compared with 0.70 (0.76 vs. 0.70, p = 0.023) for visual CT severity score and clinical variables. The progression prediction model achieved a test C-index of 0.868 when it was based on the combination of CT radiomics and clinical variables compared with 0.767 when based on CT radiomics features alone (p < 0.001), 0.847 when based on clinical variables alone (p = 0.110), and 0.860 when based on the combination of visual CT severity scores and clinical variables (p = 0.549). Furthermore, the model based on the combination of CT radiomics and clinical variables achieved time-dependent ROC-AUCs of 0.897, 0.933, and 0.927 for the prediction of progression risks at 3, 5 and 7 days, respectively.
Conclusion
CT radiomics features combined with clinical variables were predictive of COVID-19 severity and progression to critical illness with fairly high accuracy.

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