1.Factors associated with assistive device satisfaction among persons with disabilities in Sichuan-Chongqing region
Panpan CHEN ; Xuan MI ; Liquan DONG ; Yu LI ; Chenghao LI ; Wenping WANG ; Xidong LIU ; Wu ZHONG
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2026;32(7):841-849
ObjectiveTo investigate the current status of assistive device use and unmet needs among persons with disabilities in Sichuan-Chongqing region, and to identify the key factors associated with satisfaction with these devices. MethodsFrom October, 2024 to February, 2025, quota sampling was adopted to recruit 1 040 persons with disabilities in Sichuan and 260 persons with disabilities in Chongqing. Telephone and online questionnaires were used to collect data on demographic characteristics, status of assistive device utilization and unmet assistive device needs, as well as satisfaction with assistive device use. Correlation analysis, multiple linear regression analysis and structural equation modeling were performed to identify key factors associated with satisfaction. ResultsA total of 1 186 valid responses were collected, of which 942 were from Sichuan Province and 244 from Chongqing Municipality. The utilization rate of assistive devices among persons with disabilities in Sichuan-Chongqing region was 61.9%, and the rate of unmet assistive device needs was 30.6%. The assistive device utilization rate of participants with agricultural household registration (57.98%) was lower than that of participants with non-agricultural household registration (66.86%). The utilization rate showed a J-shaped upward trend with the increase of educational attainment. Educational attainment (P = 0.002), perceived usefulness of assistive devices (P < 0.001), home living environment (P < 0.001), public environment (P < 0.001) and disability type (significant differences were found in visual and hearing disabilities compared with physical disability, P < 0.05) were key predictors of satisfaction with assistive device use. The impact of public environment on satisfaction was exerted through two indirect mediating paths: mediating effect via perceived usefulness of assistive devices (ind1 = 0.357, 95%CI 0.279 to 0.437, P < 0.001), contributing approximately 70% of the total indirect effect; mediating effect via home living environment (ind2 = 0.129, 95%CI 0.006 to 0.242, P = 0.038), contributing approximately 25% of the total indirect effect. ConclusionThere is a structural imbalance between assistive device use and demand in Sichuan-Chongqing region. People with psycho-intellectual disabilities are most likely to be excluded from the service chain because they neither perceive need nor access information. Education exerts a robust positive effect on both adoption and satisfaction, so training content must be tailored to different educational levels. Satisfaction is shaped by disability type, device usefulness and environmental factors. Future product development should therefore integrate functional and psychosocial dimensions. Priority should be given to micro-scale home-and-community accessibility retrofits before extending upward to public transportation and employment settings, to maximize the cost-effectiveness of limited funds.
2.Construction of a COPD risk prediction model based on machine learning and the COPD-SQ questionnaire
Lin CHEN ; Luna ZHAO ; Yue ZHOU ; Panpan WANG ; Jingkun LI ; Wenwen ZHANG ; Xinxin ZHANG ; Chao WU ; Dong LIU
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2026;61(7):1261-1268
ObjectiveTo construct and evaluate various machine learning models for predicting the risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in individuals, thereby providing data support for early screening and intervention. MethodsA total of 823 subjects were selected for this study, comprising 142 individuals in the high-risk group for COPD and 681 individuals in the low-risk group. Data collected included demographic characteristics, smoking history, symptoms (such as cough and shortness of breath), and scores from the Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease screening questionnaire. Four machine learning algorithms—Logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, and XGBoost—were utilized to construct risk prediction models. The performance of these models was assessed using 5-fold cross-validation, with evaluation metrics including accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and average precision (AP). Furthermore, a feature importance analysis was performed. ResultsThe Logistic Regression model exhibited superior performance, achieving an AUC of 0.982 and an AP of 0.939. This was closely followed by the Random Forest model, which recorded an AUC of 0.975 and an AP of 0.890. Feature importance analysis revealed that smoking history, symptoms of shortness of breath, and body weight were significant predictors. All models demonstrated robust performance in identifying low-risk populations; however, variations were observed in their efficacy in identifying high-risk populations. ConclusionMachine learning models have proven effective in identifying individuals at high risk for COPD. Among these, the Logistic regression model exhibits the best overall performance, efficiently identifying high-risk populations and serving as a valuable clinical auxiliary screening tool. Various models, each with distinct performance characteristics, are suited to different clinical screening scenarios, thereby offering targeted decision-making support for the establishment of a hierarchical and intelligent COPD screening pathway.
3.A real-world analysis of cardiovascular adverse events in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma
Chenqi YU ; Fanjie ZHOU ; Jing LI ; Yang YANG ; Panpan LI ; Jiadai XU ; Peng LIU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2026;33(4):569-581
Objective To evaluate the characteristics, related therapeutic regimens, risk factors of cardiovascular adverse events (CVAEs) and prognosis in the current therapy of newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) patients in China. Methods A retrospective observational study was performed on patients with NDMM treated at Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, from January 2013 to October 2021. The propensity score matching at a ratio of 1∶1 was employed to balance baseline confounders between the therapeutic group and the control group, and CVAEs incidences were compared between the corresponding groups. Independent risk factors for CVAEs were identified through Fine-Gray competing risk regression model. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and log-rank tests were used to assess overall survival and progression-free survival of patients. Results A total of 829 patients with NDMM were analyzed, with a median of 33.1 months of follow-up for survivors. CVAEs occurred in 65 patients (7.8%) during first-line treatment, and a total of 74 events were recorded, with 52.7% grade 3 or greater in severity. Arrhythmia (particularly atrial fibrillation), thrombotic event (TE), and heart failure were the most common types. The median time from treatment to the first occurrence of CVAEs was 26 days, while the medium occurrence time of TE was later than the other events (76 d vs 19 d, P=0.003). The exposure to immunomodulatory drugs was related to a higher incidence of TEs, whereas other therapeutic regimens, including bortezomib, didn’t show the effect of cardiovascular toxicity. Results of multivariate analysis showed that Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status >2, symptomatic heart diseases within three months before treatment, and estimated glomerular filtration rate≤50 mL·min−1·(1.73 m2)−1 were independent risk factors for CVAEs. Compared with patients without CVAE, patients who experienced CVAEs had significantly inferior progression-free survival and overall survival, and higher cardiovascular mortality (P<0.001). Conclusions The incidence of CVAE is relatively high during first-line treatment in NDMM patients, and the prognosis of CVAE patients is poor. The risk of CVAE is significantly increased in patients with underlying cardiovascular diseases.
4.Analysis of risk factors for allogeneic blood transfusion and construction of a prediction model in patients with ovarian cancer undergoing cytoreductive surgery
Jia CAO ; Wenyan CHEN ; Panpan MA ; Jin ZHAO ; Hongyue TANG ; Jianhui LIU ; Ruili GENG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(8):1026-1032
Objective: To explore the independent risk factors of allogeneic blood transfusion during perioperative period of cytoreductive surgery in patients with ovarian cancer, and to construct a predictive model to facilitate clinical risk assessment and optimize perioperative blood management. Methods: Clinical data of 156 patients who underwent cytoreductive surgery for ovarian cancer in our hospital from January 2020 to December 2025 were retrospectively collected. The patients were divided into transfusion group (n=51) and non-transfusion group (n=105) according to whether they received allogeneic blood transfusion during perioperative period. The 1∶1 propensity score matching (PSM) was used to correct the confounding factors. Independent sample t test or Mann-Whitney U test was used for measurement data, and chisquare test was used for enumeration data. Variables with P<0.05 in univariate analysis were included in binary logistic regression for multivariate analysis to determine independent risk factors. A nomogram model for perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion risk prediction was constructed based on independent risk factors. Bootstrap method (100 samples) was used for internal calibration verification. ROC curve was used to evaluate the discrimination efficiency, and decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical net benefit of the model. Results: After propensity matching, the baseline data of the two groups were balanced and comparable. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative prothrombin time (PT) (OR=2.666, 95%CI 1.249~5.693, P=0.011), preoperative hemoglobin (Hb) (OR=0.953, 95%CI 0.923~0.984, P=0.003), intraoperative blood loss (OR=1.004, 95%CI 1.001-1.006, P=0.004), preoperative anemia grade (OR=3.052, 95%CI 1.007-9.252, P=0.049) were independent influencing factors of perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion. The nomogram model based on the above four factors was significant (LR χ
=58.617, P<0.001), and the internal calibration curve showed that the predicted probability of the model was in good agreement with the actual probability (mean absolute error=0.042). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.890, indicating good discrimination efficiency. DCA showed that the clinical net benefit of the model was better than that of the unified transfusion/non-transfusion strategy in the 0-0.45 risk threshold range. Conclusion: Intraoperative blood loss, preoperative PT, preoperative Hb and preoperative anemia grade are independent risk factors for perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion in patients undergoing cytoreductive surgery for ovarian cancer. The nomogram model based on the above factors has good predictive efficacy and clinical hierarchical decision-making value, which can provide reference for clinical implementation of individualized blood management for high-risk patients and reduction of unnecessary blood transfusion rate.
5.Cloning and Functional Characterization of UDP-rhamnose Synthases from Ornithogalum saundersiae
Panpan ZHANG ; Kangxin HOU ; Feng ZHANG ; Yue ZHANG ; Jinlong LIU ; Caixia WANG ; Xuemi HAO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(23):196-203
ObjectiveTo screen and identify uridine diphosphate (UDP)-rhamnose synthase (RHM) genes from Ornithogalum saundersiae and verify their UDP-rhamnose (UDP-Rha) biosynthetic functions, thereby providing reliable candidate genes for the efficient biosynthesis of neohesperidin and other rhamnoside natural products. MethodsBased on previously reported plant RHM sequences, two candidate RHM genes, OsRHM1 and OsRHM2, were identified from O. saundersiae through transcriptome screening and sequence alignment. The two genes were cloned and subjected to bioinformatics analysis and multiple sequence alignment. An in vitro RHM-Cm1,2RhaT cascade reaction was established, and the ability of OsRHM1 and OsRHM2 to catalyze the conversion of UDP-glucose (UDP-Glc) to UDP-Rha was evaluated based on neohesperidin production. Real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction PCR (Real-time PCR) was performed to analyze the relative expression levels of the two genes in roots, bulbs, and leaves. ResultsThe open reading frame (ORF) of OsRHM1 was 2 076 bp and encoded 692 amino acids, with a predicted protein molecular mass of 77.97 kDa and a theoretical isoelectric point of 7.25. The ORF of OsRHM2 was 2 019 bp and encoded 673 amino acids, with a predicted protein molecular mass of 75.82 kDa and a theoretical isoelectric point of 7.24. Multiple sequence alignment showed that OsRHM1 and OsRHM2 contained the typical conserved motifs GxxGxxG/A and YxxxK of the plant RHM family and shared high amino acid sequence identity with previously reported RHMs. The in vitro cascade reaction demonstrated that both OsRHM1 and OsRHM2 were capable of catalyzing the conversion of UDP-Glc to UDP-Rha. The neohesperidin production in the OsRHM2 cascade reaction system was approximately 2.58-fold that in the OsRHM1 system. Real-time PCR analysis showed that the relative expression levels of OsRHM1 and OsRHM2 were higher in roots than in bulbs and leaves. ConclusionOsRHM2 exhibited a relatively high capacity for UDP-Rha supply and may serve as a candidate enzyme resource for the subsequent biosynthesis of rhamnoside natural products and the construction of UDP-Rha supply systems.
6.Key Factors of Quality Formation of Fritillariae Cirrhosae Bulbus: An Analysis Based on Group-Lasso and XGBoost
Panpan WANG ; Zhenyu LIU ; Yuhan WANG ; Xueyang REN ; Kai WANG ; Guoxin LAN ; Nong ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(23):219-227
ObjectiveTo improve the quality of artificial cultivation of the source plant of Fritillariae Cirrhosae Bulbus (FCB), an XGBoost regression model was constructed based on the Group-Lasso method to screen the characteristic variables. The key factors affecting the quality formation of the source plant were then analyzed. MethodsFirstly, with the total alkaloid content (TAC) of FCB as the dependent variable, explanatory characteristic variables were screened from the influencing factors of TAC in the literature studying FCB quality from 2010 to 2024 based on the Group-Lasso regression algorithm. The screening results were verified by ten-fold cross-validation. Secondly, the present study established an XGBoost regression model to analyze the influencing factors of the quality formation of the source plant, and calculated the importance score of the explanatory characteristic variables. ResultsGroup-Lasso regression removed 2 numerical independent variables and retained the remaining 5 categorical variables and 6 numerical variables; cross-validation also showed that the number of screening variables is 11, with the corresponding optimal λ parameter value of 0.000 515 225 1. The results of XGBoost regression model confirmed the geographical origin as the most critical factor affecting the quality formation of source plants, followed by growth status and soil type, and then by mean temperature of the warmest month, original plant type, mean annual temperature, and altitude. Climate type, precipitation, frost-free period and relative humidity of the geographical origin exerted little effect. ConclusionThe prediction tools of Group-Lasso and XGBoost regression analysis models were preliminarily established for the quality formation of FCB. These models overcame the multicollinearity among numerical independent variables, and explored the geographical distribution of TAC and its key driving factors. The suitable cultivation areas can be selected or wild-tending bases established based on these key factors, thereby effectively avoiding blind introduction and cultivation. Finally, the present study provided a reference for the development and utilization of FCB, a theoretical basis for the market expansion and quality regulation, and a direction for the sustainable development and protection of new and efficient FCB resources.
7.Pharmacoeconomic evaluation of finerenone combined with standard regimen in the treatment of heart failure with preserved or mildly reduced ejection fraction
Runan XIA ; Xu WANG ; Huijuan CHEN ; Mengyu JIANG ; Panpan DI ; Mengmeng ZHAO ; Li LIU ; Hai LIANG
China Pharmacy 2025;36(14):1770-1774
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of finerenone combined with standard of care (SoC) in the treatment of heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF) or preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). METHODS Based on a phase Ⅲ clinical trial, a Markov model was constructed from the perspective of China’s healthcare system to compare the treatment outcomes of finerenone combined with SoC regimen versus SoC regimen alone in the treatment of different cardiac functional statuses of HFmrEF/HFpEF. Using quality-adjusted life year (QALY) as the health output index, 3 times China’s per capita GDP in 2023 as the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold, a simulation was conducted with a 3-month cycle length and a 10- year time horizon, incorporating an annual discount rate of 5%. The dynamic changes across various stages of HFmrEF/HFpEF treated with finerenone combined with SoC versus SoC alone were simulated to evaluate the long-term effectiveness and costs of the two treatment strategies. Additionally, one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed, to test the robustness of the results. RESULTS The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the finerenone combined with SoC regimen versus SoC regimen alone was 179 504.75 yuan/QALY, which was below the WTP threshold set in this study, indicating that the finerenone combined with SoC regimen possessed certain economic advantages. The results of one-way sensitivity analysis showed that the utility value of NYHA Ⅱ status, the drug price of finerenone, the discount rate, and the probability of hospital transfer for both groups had a great influence on ICER, but did not affect the robustness of the model. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis also confirmed the robustness of the model. CONCLUSIONS Under the WTP threshold set in this study, finerenone combined with SoC is cost-effective in the treatment of HFmrEF/HFpEF, compared with the SoC regimen.
8.Life's Essential 8 scores, socioeconomic deprivation, genetic susceptibility, and new-onset chronic kidney diseases.
Panpan HE ; Huan LI ; Mengyi LIU ; Ziliang YE ; Chun ZHOU ; Yanjun ZHANG ; Sisi YANG ; Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Xianhui QIN
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(15):1835-1842
BACKGROUND:
The American Heart Association recently released a new cardiovascular health (CVH) metric, Life's Essential 8 (LE8), for health promotion. However, the association between LE8 scores and the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains uncertain. We aimed to explore the association of LE8 scores with new-onset CKD and examine whether socioeconomic deprivation and genetic risk modify this association.
METHODS:
A total of 286,908 participants from UK Biobank and without prior CKD were included between 2006 and 2010. CVH was categorized using LE8 scores: low (LE8 scores <50), moderate (LE8 scores ≥50 but <80), and high (LE8 scores ≥80). The study outcome was new-onset CKD, ascertained by data linkage with primary care, hospital inpatient, and death data. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to investigate the association between CVH categories and new-onset CKD.
RESULTS:
During a median follow-up of 12.5 years, 8857 (3.1%) participants developed new-onset CKD. Compared to the low CVH group, the moderate (adjusted hazards ratio [HR], 0.50; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.47-0.53) and high CVH (adjusted HR, 0.31; 95% CI: 0.27-0.34) groups had a significantly lower risk of developing new-onset CKD. The population-attributable risk associated with high vs. intermediate or low CVH scores was 40.3%. Participants who were least deprived ( vs. most deprived; adjusted HR, 0.75; 95% CI: 0.71-0.79) and with low genetic risk of CKD ( vs. high genetic risk; adjusted HR, 0.89; 95% CI: 0.85-0.94) had a significantly lower risk of developing new-onset CKD. However, socioeconomic deprivation and genetic risks of CKD did not significantly modify the relationship between LE8 scores and new-onset CKD (both P -interaction >0.05).
CONCLUSION
Achieving a higher LE8 score was associated with a lower risk of developing new-onset CKD, regardless of socioeconomic deprivation and genetic risks of CKD.
Humans
;
Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Genetic Predisposition to Disease/genetics*
;
Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Adult
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Socioeconomic Factors
9.Early prediction and warning of MODS following major trauma via identification of cytokine storm: A prospective cohort study.
Panpan CHANG ; Rui LI ; Jiahe WEN ; Guanjun LIU ; Feifei JIN ; Yongpei YU ; Yongzheng LI ; Guang ZHANG ; Tianbing WANG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):391-398
PURPOSE:
Early mortality in major trauma has decreased, but MODS remains a leading cause of poor outcomes, driven by trauma-induced cytokine storms that exacerbate injuries and organ damage.
METHODS:
This prospective cohort study included 79 major trauma patients (ISS >15) treated in the National Center for Trauma Medicine, Peking University People's Hospital, from September 1, 2021, to July 31, 2023. Patients (1) with ISS >15 (according to AIS 2015), (2) aged 15-80 years, (3) admitted within 6 h of injury, (4) having no prior treatment before admission, were included. Exclusion criteria were (1) GCS score <9 or AIS score ≥3 for TBI, (2) confirmed infection, infectious disease, or high infection risk, (3) pregnancy, (4) severe primary diseases affecting survival, (5) recent use of immunosuppressive or cytotoxic drugs within the past 6 months, (6) psychiatric patients, (7) participation in other clinical trials within the past 30 days, (8) patients with incomplete data or missing blood samples. Admission serum inflammatory cytokines and pathophysiological data were analyzed to develop machine learning models predicting MODS within 7 days. LR, DR, RF, SVM, NB, and XGBoost were evaluated based on the area under the AUROC. The SHAP method was used to interpret results.
RESULTS:
This study enrolled 79 patients with major trauma, and the median (Q1, Q3) age was 51 (35, 59) years (52 males, 65.8%). The inflammatory cytokine data were collected for all participants. Among these patients, 35 (44.3%) developed MODS, and 44 (55.7%) did not. Additionally, 2 patients (2.5%) from the MODS group succumbed. The logistic regression model showed strong performance in predicting MODS. Ten key cytokines, IL-18, Eotaxin, MCP-4, IP-10, CXCL12, MIP-3α, MCP-1, IL-1RA, Cystatin C, and MRP8/14 were identified as critical to the trauma-induced cytokine storm and MODS development. Early elevation of these cytokines achieved high predictive accuracy, with an AUROC of 0.887 (95% CI 0.813-0.976).
CONCLUSION
Trauma-induced cytokine storms are strongly associated with MODS. Early identification of inflammatory cytokine changes enables better prediction and timely interventions to improve outcomes.
Humans
;
Prospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Male
;
Female
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Cytokine Release Syndrome/etiology*
;
Adolescent
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Young Adult
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Wounds and Injuries/complications*
;
Cytokines/blood*
;
Multiple Organ Failure/diagnosis*
;
Machine Learning
10.HOCPCA Exerts Neuroprotection on Retinal Ganglion Cells by Binding to CaMKIIα and Modulating Oxidative Stress and Neuroinflammation in Experimental Glaucoma.
Panpan LI ; Xin SHI ; Hanhan LIU ; Yuan FENG ; Xiaosha WANG ; Marc HERB ; Haichao JI ; Stefan WAGNER ; Johannes VOGT ; Verena PROKOSCH
Neuroscience Bulletin 2025;41(8):1329-1346
Neuronal injury in glaucoma persists despite effective intraocular pressure (IOP) control, necessitating neuroprotective strategies for retinal ganglion cells (RGCs). In this study, we investigated the neuroprotective role of the γ-hydroxybutyrate analog HOCPCA in a glaucoma model, focusing on its effects on CaMKII signaling, oxidative stress, and neuroinflammatory responses. Retinal tissue from high IOP animal models was analyzed via proteomics. In vitro mouse retinal explants were subjected to elevated pressure and oxidative stress, followed by HOCPCA treatment. HOCPCA significantly mitigated the RGC loss induced by oxidative stress and elevated pressure, preserving neuronal function. It restored CaMKIIα and β levels, preserving RGC integrity, while also modulating oxidative stress and neuroinflammatory responses. These findings suggest that HOCPCA, through its interaction with CaMKII, holds promise as a neuroprotective therapy for glaucoma.
Animals
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Retinal Ganglion Cells/metabolism*
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Glaucoma/pathology*
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Oxidative Stress/drug effects*
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Neuroprotective Agents/pharmacology*
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Mice
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Calcium-Calmodulin-Dependent Protein Kinase Type 2/metabolism*
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Mice, Inbred C57BL
;
Disease Models, Animal
;
Neuroinflammatory Diseases/drug therapy*
;
Neuroprotection/drug effects*
;
Male
;
Intraocular Pressure/drug effects*

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