1.Predictive modeling of efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer using ultrasound and immunohistochemistry
Zhaoyun LI ; Yue PANG ; Cuijing CHEN ; Jingning MAO ; Rui DU ; Wanqing HAN ; Hongli TIAN ; Yuejuan GAO ; Ling BAI
Military Medical Sciences 2025;49(9):687-693
Objective To establish a model that integrates ultrasound features and immunological characteristics for predicting the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy(NAC)in breast cancer patients.Methods A total of 203 breast cancer patients undergoing preoperative NAC at the Fifth Medical Center of the PLA General Hospital between July 2021 and July 2024 were screened.In line with the inclusion/exclusion criteria,177 patients were included.Data on ultrasound and immunohistochemistry was collected.These patients were divided into pathological complete response(pCR)and non-pathological complete response(non-pCR)groups based on postoperative pathology.Factors with P<0.0 1 in univariate analysis were evaluated using multivariate Logistic regression.Independent predictive factors were used to construct and validate the ultrasound-immunohistochemical model via Bootstrap.Results The reduction rateof the maximum diameter of lesions,posterior echo attenuation,PR status and HER-2 status were identified as independent predictors of pCR(all P<0.05).The model proved to be highly accurate and stable.Conclusion The model that combines ultrasound and immunohistochemical features can effectively evaluatep CR after NAC in breast cancer patients.
2.Vector analysis for evaluating the effect of rotation on myopic astigmatism correction after V4c toric collamer lens implantation
Bo ZHANG ; Wenwen DU ; Hao WANG ; Chenjiu PANG ; Jing YANG ; Shulin WANG ; Zaohe SUN ; Jin LI ; Yuwei GU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Ophthalmology 2025;43(2):144-152
Objective:To evaluate the effect of toric collamer lens (TICL) rotation on myopia combined with astigmatism correction after V4c TICL implantation using standardized vector analysis.Methods:An observational case series study was performed.A total of 152 patients (268 eyes) who underwent V4c TICL implantation for the correction of myopia and myopic astigmatism were enrolled at Henan Eye Hospital from January to December 2021.The preoperative spherical diopter, cylindrical diopter, and spherical equivalent (SE) were -15.00 to -3.25 D, -5.00 to -0.50 D, -16.50 to -3.88 D, respectively.Postoperative TICL vault and axis were measured by anterior segment optical coherence tomography, and postoperative TICL rotation was calculated.Uncorrected visual acuity (UCVA), best corrected visual acuity (BCVA), spherical diopter, cylindrical diopter, SE, and target astigmatism vector were recorded before and 1 month after surgery.The effectiveness index, safety index, surgically induced astigmatism vector (SIA), margin of error (ME), absolute value of the difference vector |DV|, correction index (CI), and achievement index (IS) were calculated based on the subjective refraction results 1 month after surgery and the cylindrical axis of the V4c TICL.Vector analysis parameters was compared among patients with different preoperative astigmatism, intraoperative TICL fixation, postoperative TICL rotation, and postoperative vault.The correlation between postoperative TICL rotation and TICL fixed angle deviation, postoperative vault, visual acuity and refraction, and vector analysis parameters were evaluated.This study adhered to the Declaration of Helsinki.The study protocol was approved by the Ethics Committee of Henan Eye Hospital (No.HNEECKY-2021[13]).Written informed consent was obtained from each subject.Results:At 1 month postoperatively, the mean safety and efficacy indices were 1.27 and 1.29, respectively.There was no statistically significant difference between the predicted SE of (-0.11±0.13)D and the postoperative SE of (-0.07±0.52)D ( t=-0.994, P=0.321).UCVA, BCVA and cylinder diopter in the operative eyes were all improved after surgery compared to before surgery and the differences were statistically significant ( t=17.854, 5.446, -25.634; all P<0.001).The rotation of V4c TICL was 0° to 25°, with a mean of (5.41±4.35)°, which was positively correlated with the V4c TICL fixed angle deviation ( rs=0.461, P<0.001), negatively correlated with postoperative cylindrical diopter and positively correlated with postoperative UCVA, |DV| and SIA ( r=-0.360, 0.191, 0.205, 0.142; all P<0.05).Vector analysis between groups showed that vault, SIA and |DV| were higher and CI and IS were lower in low astigmatism group than in high astigmatism group ( Z=-3.017, -13.569, -2.793, -2.761, -4.779; all P<0.05).V4c TICL rotation and |DV| were lower in low fixation angle difference group than in high fixation angle difference group ( Z=-7.865, -2.080; both P<0.05).Preoperative cylindrical diopter, intraoperative V4c TICL fixed angle deviation, SIA and |DV| were lower in low rotation group than in high rotation group ( Z=-2.104, -4.578, -2.456, -2.090; all P<0.05).There were no statistically significant differences in the TICL rotation or in each vector between patients with different vault after the surgery (all P>0.05). Conclusions:V4c TICL implantation can achieve good results for the correction of myopia and myopic astigmatism.There is a slight difference between the fixation axis and the target axis of V4c TICL, which affects the rotation of V4c TICL and |DV|.Postoperative V4c TICL rotation is related to TICL fixed angle deviation, postoperative UCVA, SIA, |DV| and postoperative cylindrical diopter.Postoperative vault has no significant effect on TICL rotation and differences in each vector.
3.Adiposity-related anthropometric parameters, indoles and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in Chinese adults: a prospective cohort study
Jiahui SI ; Si CHENG ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Yuanjie PANG ; Pei PEI ; Huaidong DU ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Liming LI ; Jun LYU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):65-72
Objective:To investigate the relationship of several adiposity-related anthropometric parameters, including BMI, waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), body fat percentage (BFP) and indoles in plasma with the incidence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in adults in China.Methods:In China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) study, blood samples were collected from 2 183 participants in the first resurvey in 2008 to detect indoles. Participants' body weight, body height, WC, hip circumference, and BFP were measured at baseline survey in 2004 and resurvey in 2008, the BMI and WHR were calculated with standardized methods. The long-term follow-up of all participants started from the completion of the resurvey in 2008 until the occurrence of incident ASCVD, death, loss to follow-up or until December 31, 2018. CKB ascertained outcome status (incident ASCVD) through death and disease registries and national health insurance databases, supplemented by active follow-up. Multivariate linear regression model was used to estimate the associations of anthropometric measurements at baseline survey and the first resurvey, and changes in these measurements with 3 indoles [indole, indole-3-acetic acid (IAA), and indole-3-propionic acid (IPA)]. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate the associations between indoles and the risk for ASCVD.Results:Anthropometric measurements at baseline survey or the first resurvey were negatively associated with plasma IPA level. The regression coefficient ( β) of baseline BMI (per 1.0 kg/m 2) with 0.1 standard deviation ( SD) IPA was -0.23 (95% CI: -0.36 - -0.10) (false discovery rate=0.004). After adjusting for baseline BMI, the β of baseline WC, WHR and BFP with 0.1 SD IPA were -0.09 (95% CI: -0.18 - -0.01), -0.12 (95% CI: -0.19 - -0.05), and -0.20 (95% CI: -0.32 - -0.08), respectively. The annual change in BMI (difference between BMI in 2008 and 2004 divided by the time interval) was associated with indole and IAA, with β of 1.40 (95% CI: 0.58 - 2.21) and -1.07 (95% CI: -1.91 - -0.23), respectively, at each 0.1 increase of SD. Over a median ( Q1, Q3) follow-up of 10.46 (10.36, 10.53) years after 2008 resurvey, 236 cases of ASCVD were recorded. IAA and IPA levels were negatively associated with the risk for ASCVD, with hazard ratios for one SD increase of IAA and IPA of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.76 - 0.99) and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.73 - 0.96), respectively. Conclusions:Our results suggested that anthropometric measurements and their changing trends affect the levels of plasma imicrobial tryptophan metabolite levels, decreased levels of IAA and IPA levels are associated with increased risk of ASCVD and indoles in plasma including IPA and IAA might be the mediating factors for adiposity-induced ASCVD.
4.Prospective association between liver biomarkers and mortality risk in Chinese middle-aged and elderly populations
Shuyao SONG ; Ting WU ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Pei PEI ; Huaidong DU ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Jun LYU ; Liming LI ; Yuanjie PANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):549-556
Objective:To analyze the prospective associations between liver biomarkers and mortality among Chinese middle-aged and elderly populations and to evaluate the mortality risk predictive value.Methods:A total of 22 758 participants from the 3 rd resurvey of the China Kadoorie Biobank were included. Cox proportional hazard models were used to analyze the prospective associations of 5 liver biomarkers with mortality. These liver biomarkers included two liver imaging biomarkers (liver fat attenuation parameter, liver stiffness measurement) and three serum liver enzyme biomarkers [gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), ALT, and AST]. Restricted cubic spline was used to assess the nonlinear associations between biomarkers and mortality. The area used the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) to evaluate the predictive ability of the models after incorporating liver biomarkers into traditional prediction models for mortality. Results:The mean age of the participants was (65.2±9.1) years, with a median follow-up of 1.5 years, during which 307 deaths occurred. Compared to individuals without hepatic steatosis, those with severe hepatic steatosis had a 79% higher risk of mortality, with a HR of 1.79 (95% CI: 1.06-3.03). Compared to individuals without hepatic fibrosis, those with advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis had higher mortality risks of 48% and 91%, respectively (both P<0.05). For each standard deviation increase in GGT, the mortality risk increased by 10% ( HR=1.10, 95% CI: 1.05-1.15), with the positive association plateauing at higher GGT levels. AST exhibited a U-shaped association with mortality risk. The AUC of the prediction model adding liver biomarkers into traditional prediction factors was 0.718 (95% CI: 0.679-0.757), with an increase of 0.030 ( P<0.001) compared with the traditional model. Conclusions:Severe hepatic steatosis, higher levels of hepatic fibrosis, and elevated GGT levels are significantly associated with higher mortality risk. AST shows a U-shaped nonlinear association with mortality risk. Incorporating liver biomarkers into traditional risk prediction models enhance the ability to predict mortality.
5.Associations of plasma metabolites with mortality in Chinese adults: a prospective study
Ting WU ; Shuyao SONG ; Yuanjie PANG ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Pei PEI ; Huaidong DU ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; An PAN ; Jun LYU ; Liming LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):557-565
Objective:To investigate the prospective associations between plasma metabolites and the risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortality among Chinese adults.Methods:This study analyzed plasma metabolomics data from 2 183 healthy adults in the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB), measured using targeted mass spectrometry. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the associations between 630 metabolites and the risk of all-cause mortality. Cause-specific hazard regression models evaluated the associations between metabolites and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks, cancer, and other-cause mortality. Stepwise regression was used to identify key metabolites independently associated with all-cause mortality, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to assess the improvement in predictive performance when these metabolites were added to traditional risk prediction models.Results:The mean age of the participants was (53.2±9.8) years, 65.1% of whom were female. During a median follow-up of 14.5 years, 231 deaths occurred. A total of 44 metabolites were significantly associated with the risk of all-cause mortality [false discovery rate (FDR)-adjusted P<0.05], primarily including triglycerides, ceramides, and amino acids. Additionally, 29 and 15 metabolites were found to be associated with cancer and other-cause mortality, respectively, but no metabolites were significantly associated with CVD mortality after FDR corrections. Adding 14 metabolites independently associated with all-cause mortality into the traditional prediction model significantly improved its predictive performance. Specifically, incorporating metabolites into the traditional model, which already included laboratory biomarkers, increased the AUC to 0.798 (95% CI: 0.755-0.843), an improvement of 0.088 compared to the traditional model ( P<0.001). Conclusions:Multiple metabolites are significantly associated with mortality risk and can substantially improve the accuracy of mortality risk prediction models. These findings provide new insights into the physiological mechanisms of aging and offer valuable clues for personalized health risk assessment.
6.Vector analysis for evaluating the effect of rotation on myopic astigmatism correction after V4c toric collamer lens implantation
Bo ZHANG ; Wenwen DU ; Hao WANG ; Chenjiu PANG ; Jing YANG ; Shulin WANG ; Zaohe SUN ; Jin LI ; Yuwei GU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Ophthalmology 2025;43(2):144-152
Objective:To evaluate the effect of toric collamer lens (TICL) rotation on myopia combined with astigmatism correction after V4c TICL implantation using standardized vector analysis.Methods:An observational case series study was performed.A total of 152 patients (268 eyes) who underwent V4c TICL implantation for the correction of myopia and myopic astigmatism were enrolled at Henan Eye Hospital from January to December 2021.The preoperative spherical diopter, cylindrical diopter, and spherical equivalent (SE) were -15.00 to -3.25 D, -5.00 to -0.50 D, -16.50 to -3.88 D, respectively.Postoperative TICL vault and axis were measured by anterior segment optical coherence tomography, and postoperative TICL rotation was calculated.Uncorrected visual acuity (UCVA), best corrected visual acuity (BCVA), spherical diopter, cylindrical diopter, SE, and target astigmatism vector were recorded before and 1 month after surgery.The effectiveness index, safety index, surgically induced astigmatism vector (SIA), margin of error (ME), absolute value of the difference vector |DV|, correction index (CI), and achievement index (IS) were calculated based on the subjective refraction results 1 month after surgery and the cylindrical axis of the V4c TICL.Vector analysis parameters was compared among patients with different preoperative astigmatism, intraoperative TICL fixation, postoperative TICL rotation, and postoperative vault.The correlation between postoperative TICL rotation and TICL fixed angle deviation, postoperative vault, visual acuity and refraction, and vector analysis parameters were evaluated.This study adhered to the Declaration of Helsinki.The study protocol was approved by the Ethics Committee of Henan Eye Hospital (No.HNEECKY-2021[13]).Written informed consent was obtained from each subject.Results:At 1 month postoperatively, the mean safety and efficacy indices were 1.27 and 1.29, respectively.There was no statistically significant difference between the predicted SE of (-0.11±0.13)D and the postoperative SE of (-0.07±0.52)D ( t=-0.994, P=0.321).UCVA, BCVA and cylinder diopter in the operative eyes were all improved after surgery compared to before surgery and the differences were statistically significant ( t=17.854, 5.446, -25.634; all P<0.001).The rotation of V4c TICL was 0° to 25°, with a mean of (5.41±4.35)°, which was positively correlated with the V4c TICL fixed angle deviation ( rs=0.461, P<0.001), negatively correlated with postoperative cylindrical diopter and positively correlated with postoperative UCVA, |DV| and SIA ( r=-0.360, 0.191, 0.205, 0.142; all P<0.05).Vector analysis between groups showed that vault, SIA and |DV| were higher and CI and IS were lower in low astigmatism group than in high astigmatism group ( Z=-3.017, -13.569, -2.793, -2.761, -4.779; all P<0.05).V4c TICL rotation and |DV| were lower in low fixation angle difference group than in high fixation angle difference group ( Z=-7.865, -2.080; both P<0.05).Preoperative cylindrical diopter, intraoperative V4c TICL fixed angle deviation, SIA and |DV| were lower in low rotation group than in high rotation group ( Z=-2.104, -4.578, -2.456, -2.090; all P<0.05).There were no statistically significant differences in the TICL rotation or in each vector between patients with different vault after the surgery (all P>0.05). Conclusions:V4c TICL implantation can achieve good results for the correction of myopia and myopic astigmatism.There is a slight difference between the fixation axis and the target axis of V4c TICL, which affects the rotation of V4c TICL and |DV|.Postoperative V4c TICL rotation is related to TICL fixed angle deviation, postoperative UCVA, SIA, |DV| and postoperative cylindrical diopter.Postoperative vault has no significant effect on TICL rotation and differences in each vector.
7.Recombinant human CC16 protein inhibits cigarette smoke extract-in-duced senescence-associated secretory phenotype in human bronchial epi-thelial cells and lung tissues from COPD mice
Kaiyan DU ; Ting LI ; Chaofeng LIU ; Xinyang LI ; Jingyu ZHANG ; Min GUO ; Zhaoyang CHEN ; Min PANG ; Hailong WANG
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 2025;41(2):294-302
AIM:To investigate the impact of recombinant human CC16 protein(rhCC16)on cigarette smoke extract(CSE)-induced senescence-associated secretory phenotype(SASP)in human bronchial epithelial cells(HBECs)and in the lung tissues of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)mice,and to explore the underlying mechanism.METHODS:HBECs were induced into cellular senescence using 5%CSE.The senescent HBECs were treated with 250 ng/mL rhCC16,and the levels of reactive oxygen species(ROS)were assessed using the 2',7'-dichlorodihydrofluorescein diacetate(DCFH-DA)method.The levels of trimethylated histone H3 at lysine 9(H3K9me3),a marker of senescence-associated heterochromatic foci(SAHF),were detected using a Western blot assay.RT-qPCR and ELISA were utilized to measure the mRNA expression and protein levels of SASP components including interleukin-1 beta(IL-1β),IL-6,IL-8,chemokine(C-X-C motif)ligand-1(CXCL-1),matrix metalloproteinase 1(MMP1)and MMP3.Passive smoking was con-ducted for six months to induce COPD in mice.RhCC16(2.5 μg/g body weight)or an equal volume of PBS(20 μL)was intranasally administered from the 16th week of smoking in the COPD+rhCC16 group or COPD+PBS group,respectively,with administration 2 hours before smoking.ROS levels in lung tissue cells were investigated using DCFH-DA staining.H3K9me3 levels in lung tissues were tested using Western blot assay.RT-qPCR and ELISA were performed to examine the mRNA expression and protein levels of IL-1β,IL-6,IL-8,CXCL-1,MMP1 and MMP3.RESULTS:DCFH-DA staining results showed that CSE stimulation increased ROS levels in HBECs,while rhCC16 treatment reduced them(P<0.01).Western blot results indicated that CSE stimulation elevated H3K9me3 levels in HBECs,which were decreased with rhCC16 treatment(P<0.01).RT-qPCR and ELISA assays demonstrated that CSE stimulation upregulated the mRNA and protein levels of IL-1β,IL-6,IL-8,CXCL-1,MMP1 and MMP3 in HBECs,which were reduced with rhCC16 admin-istration(P<0.05).DCFH-DA staining results showed an increase in ROS levels in the lung tissues of COPD mice,which were decreased with rhCC16 administration(P<0.01).Western blot data revealed an increase in H3K9me3 levels in the lung tissues of COPD mice,which were reduced with rhCC16 treatment(P<0.01).RT-qPCR and ELISA assays demon-strated an upregulation of the mRNA and protein levels of IL-1β,IL-6,IL-8,CXCL-1,MMP1 and MMP3 in the lung tis-sues of COPD mice,which were reduced with rhCC16 treatment(P<0.05).No statistically significant differences were ob-served in the above-mentioned indicators between the lung tissues of COPD and COPD+PBS mice(P>0.05).CONCLU-SION:rhCC16 can effectively inhibit CSE-induced SASP in HBECs and in the lung tissues of COPD mice,with its under-lying mechanism potentially related to the inhibition of the ROS-H3K9me3 signaling pathway.
8.Percutaneous coronary intervention vs . medical therapy in patients on dialysis with coronary artery disease in China.
Enmin XIE ; Yaxin WU ; Zixiang YE ; Yong HE ; Hesong ZENG ; Jianfang LUO ; Mulei CHEN ; Wenyue PANG ; Yanmin XU ; Chuanyu GAO ; Xiaogang GUO ; Lin CAI ; Qingwei JI ; Yining YANG ; Di WU ; Yiqiang YUAN ; Jing WAN ; Yuliang MA ; Jun ZHANG ; Zhimin DU ; Qing YANG ; Jinsong CHENG ; Chunhua DING ; Xiang MA ; Chunlin YIN ; Zeyuan FAN ; Qiang TANG ; Yue LI ; Lihua SUN ; Chengzhi LU ; Jufang CHI ; Zhuhua YAO ; Yanxiang GAO ; Changan YU ; Jingyi REN ; Jingang ZHENG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(3):301-310
BACKGROUND:
The available evidence regarding the benefits of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) on patients receiving dialysis with coronary artery disease (CAD) is limited and inconsistent. This study aimed to evaluate the association between PCI and clinical outcomes as compared with medical therapy alone in patients undergoing dialysis with CAD in China.
METHODS:
This multicenter, retrospective study was conducted in 30 tertiary medical centers across 12 provinces in China from January 2015 to June 2021 to include patients on dialysis with CAD. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and non-fatal stroke. Secondary outcomes included all-cause death, the individual components of MACE, and Bleeding Academic Research Consortium criteria types 2, 3, or 5 bleeding. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the association between PCI and outcomes. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and propensity score matching (PSM) were performed to account for potential between-group differences.
RESULTS:
Of the 1146 patients on dialysis with significant CAD, 821 (71.6%) underwent PCI. After a median follow-up of 23.0 months, PCI was associated with a 43.0% significantly lower risk for MACE (33.9% [ n = 278] vs . 43.7% [ n = 142]; adjusted hazards ratio 0.57, 95% confidence interval 0.45-0.71), along with a slightly increased risk for bleeding outcomes that did not reach statistical significance (11.1% vs . 8.3%; adjusted hazards ratio 1.31, 95% confidence interval, 0.82-2.11). Furthermore, PCI was associated with a significant reduction in all-cause and cardiovascular mortalities. Subgroup analysis did not modify the association of PCI with patient outcomes. These primary findings were consistent across IPTW, PSM, and competing risk analyses.
CONCLUSION
This study indicated that PCI in patients on dialysis with CAD was significantly associated with lower MACE and mortality when comparing with those with medical therapy alone, albeit with a slightly increased risk for bleeding events that did not reach statistical significance.
Humans
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/methods*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Coronary Artery Disease/drug therapy*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Renal Dialysis/methods*
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
China
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Treatment Outcome
9.Adiposity, circulating metabolic markers, and risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity.
Si CHENG ; Zhiqing ZENG ; Jun LV ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Pei PEI ; Ling YANG ; Yiping CHEN ; Huaidong DU ; Li GAO ; Xiaoming YANG ; Daniel AVERY ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Liming LI ; Yuanjie PANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(8):991-993
10.A phenome-wide spectrum of morbidity and mortality risks related to the number of offspring among 0.5 million Chinese men and women: A prospective cohort study.
Meng XIAO ; Aolin LI ; Canqing YU ; Yuanjie PANG ; Pei PEI ; Ling YANG ; Yiping CHEN ; Huaidong DU ; Yujie HUA ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Jun LYU ; Liming LI ; Dianjianyi SUN
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(22):2925-2937
BACKGROUND:
Prospective evidence on how offspring number influences morbidity and mortality remains limited. This study investigated the associations between number of offspring and morbidity and mortality risks among 0.5 million Chinese adults.
METHODS:
By using data from the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB; n = 512,723, an approximately 12-year follow-up), sex-stratified phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) analyses were conducted to investigate associations between offspring number (without vs . with offspring; more than one vs . one offspring) and risks of ICD10-coded morbidity and mortality. Sex-specific adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated by Cox proportional-hazards models.
RESULTS:
Among 210,129 men and 302,284 women aged 30-79 years, 1,338,837 incident events were recorded. PheWAS results revealed that offspring number was associated with disease risks across multiple systems. Cox models showed that childless men ( vs . one offspring) had higher risks for nine of 36 diseases, while childless women for five of 37. Each additional offspring was associated with reduced risks of mental and behavioral disorders in men (aHR [95% CI] = 0.93 [0.87-0.98]) and both mental and behavioral disorders (aHR [95% CI] = 0.93 [0.89-0.97]) and breast cancer (aHR [95% CI] = 0.82 [0.78-0.86]) in women. However, each additional offspring was associated with a 4% increase in the risk of cholelithiasis and cholecystitis in women (aHR [95% CI] = 1.04 [1.02-1.07]). Among 282,630 patients, 44,533 deaths were documented. Childless patients had higher mortality risk in both men (aHR [95% CI] = 1.37 [1.28-1.47]) and women (aHR [95% CI] = 1.27 [1.15-1.41]). For men, each additional offspring reduced mortality by 4% (aHR [95% CI] = 0.96 [0.95-0.98]), while for women, the lowest risk was observed among those with three to four offspring ( Pnonlinear <0.0001).
CONCLUSIONS
Offspring number is closely linked to morbidity and mortality risks. Further research is warranted to verify our findings and clarify the underlying mechanisms involved.
Adult
;
Aged
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Morbidity
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Prospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
Family Characteristics
;
Mortality
;
East Asian People

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