1.Factors influencing repeat blood donor lapsing in Guangzhou: based on the zero-inflated poisson regression model
Rongrong KE ; Guiyun XIE ; Xiaoxiao ZHENG ; Yingying XU ; Xiaochun HONG ; Shijie LI ; Yongshi DENG ; Jinyu SHEN ; Jinyan CHEN ; Jian OUYANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(1):73-78
[Objective] To analyze the influencing factors of repeat blood donor lapsing using a zero-inflated poisson regression model (ZIP). [Methods] The blood donation behavior of 12 498 whole blood donors from 2020 was tracked until December 31, 2023. The factors influencing the frequency of blood donations in a given year was analyzed using ZIP, and donors with 0 blood donation in that year were considered to have lapsed. The changes in relevant influencing factors associated with each blood donation were measured and modeled for analysis. [Results] The zero-inflated part of ZIP showed that the risk of lapsing of male blood donors was 2.24 times that of female blood donors (OR 95% CI:1.864-2.696, P<0.001); the risk of lapsing of the 35-44 age group and over 45 age group was respectively 40% (OR 95% CI:0.455-0.790, P<0.001) and 61%(OR 95% CI:0.268-0.578, P<0.001) lower than that of the under 25 age group; the risk of lapsing for those who have donated blood twice and ≥3 times was respectively 50% (OR 95% CI:0.405-0.609, P<0.001) and 81% (OR 95% CI:0.154-0.225, P<0.001) lower than that of first-time donors; the risk of lapsing of those with junior high or high school education was 1.2 times that of those with a college degree or higher (OR 95% CI:1.033-1.384, P<0.05); the risk of lapsing for the divorced group was 2.02 times that of the married group (OR 95% CI:1.445-2.820, P<0.001); the risk of lapsing for those with an income (Yuan) of 10 000 to 50 000, 50 000 to 100 000 and more than 100 000 was respectively 0.67 (OR 95% CI:0.552-0.818, P<0.001), 0.72 (OR 95% CI:0.591-0.884, P=0.002) and 0.67 (OR 95% CI:0.535-0.834, P<0.001) times that of those with an income (Yuan) of less than 10 000. The results of the Poisson part are consistent with the results of the zero-inflated part in terms of age and education level. [Conclusion] Blood donor lapsing is overall related to factors such as gender, age, donation frequency, education, marital status and family income. It's essential to care for those blood donors prone to lapse to retain more regular blood donors.
2.Cost-effectiveness and return on investment of hepatitis C virus elimination in China: A modelling study
Meiyu WU ; Jing MA ; Xuehong WANG ; Sini LI ; Chongqing TAN ; Ouyang XIE ; Andong LI ; Aaron G LIM ; Xiaomin WAN
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2025;31(2):394-408
Background/Aims:
The World Health Organization set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination.
Methods:
Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022–2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths.
Results:
The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022–2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868).
Conclusions
Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost-effective.
3.Cost-effectiveness and return on investment of hepatitis C virus elimination in China: A modelling study
Meiyu WU ; Jing MA ; Xuehong WANG ; Sini LI ; Chongqing TAN ; Ouyang XIE ; Andong LI ; Aaron G LIM ; Xiaomin WAN
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2025;31(2):394-408
Background/Aims:
The World Health Organization set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination.
Methods:
Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022–2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths.
Results:
The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022–2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868).
Conclusions
Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost-effective.
4.Cost-effectiveness and return on investment of hepatitis C virus elimination in China: A modelling study
Meiyu WU ; Jing MA ; Xuehong WANG ; Sini LI ; Chongqing TAN ; Ouyang XIE ; Andong LI ; Aaron G LIM ; Xiaomin WAN
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2025;31(2):394-408
Background/Aims:
The World Health Organization set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination.
Methods:
Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022–2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths.
Results:
The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022–2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868).
Conclusions
Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost-effective.
5.Mechanism of Action of Huangqi Guizhi Wuwutang Against Cerebral Ischemia-reperfusion Injury Based on Bioinformatics and Experimental Validation
Jie HU ; Gaojun TANG ; Ouyang RAO ; Sha XIE ; Ying LIU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(22):10-20
ObjectiveTo investigate the mechanism of action of Huangqi Guizhi Wuwutang (HGWT) against cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury (CIRI) based on bioinformatics and experimental validation. MethodsBiological informatics methods were used to screen for active components of HGWT and their targets. The GEO database was utilized to obtain CIRI-related differentially expressed genes (DEGs), and platforms such as GeneCards were used to identify disease targets. Venn diagram analysis was conducted to identify overlapping targets, followed by protein-protein interaction (PPI), gene ontology (GO), and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) enrichment analysis, as well as immune infiltration and immune cell differential analysis. Core genes (Hub genes) were screened using LASSO regression and ROC curves, and molecular docking was used to validate the binding efficiency between the active components of the drug and the core targets. A rat CIRI model was established, with rats randomly divided into five groups (n=10): Sham surgery group (Sham), model group (MG), and low-dose (LD,5.3 g·kg-1), medium-dose (MD,10.6 g·kg-1), and high-dose (HD,21.2 g·kg-1) HGWT groups. From 3 days before modeling to 7 days after surgery, oral administration was performed daily: Sham and MG groups received physiological saline, while each drug group received the corresponding dose of HGWT. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining, Nissl staining, and terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick-end labeling (TUNEL staining) were used to assess the repair effects of HGWT on neural damage. Western blot analysis was used to detect B-cell lymphoma-2 protein (Bcl-2), Bcl-2-associated X protein (Bax), signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (STAT3), phosphorylated STAT3 [p-STAT3 (Tyr705)], protein kinase B1 (Akt1), and phosphorylated Akt1 [p-Akt1 (Ser473)], among other target proteins. ResultsAfter screening, 56 common target points of DEGs-disease-drug were obtained. GO and KEGG analyses indicated that HGWT primarily functions in pathways such as apoptosis, oxidative stress, and inflammatory responses. Immune infiltration analysis revealed a significant association between HGWT's anti-CIRI activity and immune cells such as Th17 cells and myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs) (P0.01). LASSO-ROC analysis identified Akt1, Caspase-3, glycogen synthase kinase-3β (GSK-3β), and STAT3 as core genes. Molecular docking confirmed that Hub genes exhibit significant binding affinity with the active components of HGWT (binding energy ≤ -5 kJ·mol-1)(1 cal≈4.186 J). Animal experiment results showed that compared with the sham group, the MG group exhibited significant neuronal necrosis, nuclear condensation, and vacuolar degeneration in rat brains, with a significant decrease in Nissl body density (P0.01) and increased neuronal apoptosis in rat brains as indicated by TUNEL staining (P0.01). Compared with the MG, the LD, MD, and HD groups showed reduced neuronal necrosis, nuclear condensation, and vacuolar degeneration in rat brain neurons, increased Nissl body density, and reduced apoptosis (P0.01), with significant differences among the drug groups (P0.01). Western blot results showed that compared with the sham group, the MG group had reduced Bcl-2 and p-Akt1 (P0.01) and increased Bax and p-STAT3 (P0.01). Compared with the MG group, the drug groups showed increased Bcl-2 and p-Akt1 (P0.01) and decreased Bax and p-STAT3 (P0.01). There were no significant changes in total Akt1 and STAT3 protein levels among the groups. ConclusionBased on network pharmacology and experimental verification, HGWT may exert its neuroprotective effects by regulating the phosphorylation levels of Akt1 and STAT3, thereby alleviating cell apoptosis, inflammatory responses, and oxidative stress in rat brain tissue following CIRI. This provides theoretical support for the clinical treatment of CIRI.
6.Celastrol directly targets LRP1 to inhibit fibroblast-macrophage crosstalk and ameliorates psoriasis progression.
Yuyu ZHU ; Lixin ZHAO ; Wei YAN ; Hongyue MA ; Wanjun ZHAO ; Jiao QU ; Wei ZHENG ; Chenyang ZHANG ; Haojie DU ; Meng YU ; Ning WAN ; Hui YE ; Yicheng XIE ; Bowen KE ; Qiang XU ; Haiyan SUN ; Yang SUN ; Zijun OUYANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(2):876-891
Psoriasis is an incurable chronic inflammatory disease that requires new interventions. Here, we found that fibroblasts exacerbate psoriasis progression by promoting macrophage recruitment via CCL2 secretion by single-cell multi-omics analysis. The natural small molecule celastrol was screened to interfere with the secretion of CCL2 by fibroblasts and improve the psoriasis-like symptoms in both murine and cynomolgus monkey models. Mechanistically, celastrol directly bound to the low-density lipoprotein receptor-related protein 1 (LRP1) β-chain and abolished its binding to the transcription factor c-Jun in the nucleus, which in turn inhibited CCL2 production by skin fibroblasts, blocked fibroblast-macrophage crosstalk, and ameliorated psoriasis progression. Notably, fibroblast-specific LRP1 knockout mice exhibited a significant reduction in psoriasis like inflammation. Taken together, from clinical samples and combined with various mouse models, we revealed the pathogenesis of psoriasis from the perspective of fibroblast-macrophage crosstalk, and provided a foundation for LRP1 as a novel potential target for psoriasis treatment.
7.Targeting pattern recognition receptors for cancer therapy: Mechanisms and strategies.
Dengjie OUYANG ; Ruixian CHEN ; Haitong XIE ; Xiwen YANG ; Qintong LI ; Jie CHEN
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(11):5537-5600
Pattern recognition receptors (PRRs) play a crucial role in immune responses, acting as primary sensors for microbial and host-derived signals. PRRs, which include Toll-like receptors (TLRs), retinoic acid-inducible gene 1-like receptors, nucleotide-binding oligomerization domain-like receptors, C-type lectin receptors, and various cytoplasmic DNA sensors, are essential for initiating immune responses that regulate both inflammation and tumor immunity. Recent studies have highlighted their dual roles in cancer, where they can either suppress or promote tumor progression by influencing the tumor microenvironment and modulating responses to immunotherapy. In the context of cancer, PRRs not only activate immune cells but also contribute to immune evasion mechanisms within tumors. Therapeutically, targeting PRRs represents a promising approach for cancer treatment, with related drugs showing potential to enhance the efficacy of existing immunotherapies. Numerous PRR-based agents, particularly TLR agonists, are currently under clinical investigation for their ability to augment antitumor immunity and overcome resistance to immune checkpoint inhibitors. This review examines the molecular mechanisms by which PRRs influence cancer, with a focus on recent advancements in PRR-targeted therapies and their integration with contemporary immunotherapeutic strategies.
8.Chronic HBV infection affects health-related quality of life in pregnant women in the second and third trimesters and postpartum period: a prospective cohort study.
Yueying DENG ; Yawen GENG ; Tingting PENG ; Junchao QIU ; Lijuan HE ; Dan XIE ; Ziren CHEN ; Shi OUYANG ; Shengguang YAN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(5):995-1002
OBJECTIVES:
To evaluate the impact of HBV infection on pre- and postpartum health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in pregnant women.
METHODS:
A prospective matched cohort consisting of 70 HBV-infected and 70 healthy pregnant women was recruited from the Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University between April 17 and September 25, 2023. HRQoL of the participants was assessed at 16-24 weeks of gestation, between 32 weeks and delivery, and 5-13 weeks postpartum. Mixed linear models were used for evaluating temporal trends of HRQoL changes, and univariate ANOVA with multiple linear regression was used to identify the predictors of HRQoL.
RESULTS:
Compared with healthy pregnant women, HBV-infected pregnant women had consistently lower total HRQoL scores across all the 3 intervals, with the lowest scores observed between 32 weeks of gestation and delivery, during which these women had significantly reduced mental component scores (74.27±13.43 vs 80.21±12.9, P=0.009) and postpartum mental (76.52±16.19 vs 85.02±6.51, P<0.001) and physical component scale scores (77.17±14.71 vs 83.09±10.1, P=0.009). HBV infection was identified as an independent risk factor affecting HRQoL during late pregnancy and postpartum periods. Additional independent risk factors for postpartum HRQoL reduction included self-pay medical expenses, spouse's neutral attitude toward the current pregnancy, and preexisting comorbidities (all P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
HRQoL of pregnant women deteriorates progressively in late pregnancy, and HBV infection exacerbates reductions of physical function and role emotion in late pregnancy and after delivery, suggesting the importance of targeted interventions for financial burdens, partner support and comorbid conditions to improve HRQoL of pregnant women with HBV infection.
Humans
;
Female
;
Pregnancy
;
Quality of Life
;
Prospective Studies
;
Postpartum Period
;
Hepatitis B, Chronic/psychology*
;
Adult
;
Pregnancy Trimester, Third
;
Pregnancy Trimester, Second
;
Pregnancy Complications, Infectious
9.Health status analysis of blood donors: based on the ordinal multinomial logistic regression model
Fanfan FENG ; Guiyun XIE ; Xuecheng DENG ; Jian OUYANG ; Chong CHEN ; Xiaochun HONG ; Sihai ZENG ; Yue ZHANG ; Manyu HUANG ; Jinyan CHEN ; Xia RONG ; Shijie LI
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2024;37(11):1281-1287
[Objective] To explore the characteristics of lifestyle behaviors and mental health status among blood donors in Guangzhou, and to investigate the correlation between donation frequency and these factors. [Methods] A cross-sectional study was conducted among 13 042 whole blood donors from 17 street blood donation sites of Guangzhou Blood Center from May to August 2020. Descriptive analysis was used to describe the characteristics of lifestyle behaviors and mental health status among blood donors in Guangzhou. Ordinal multinomial logistic regression model was used to analyze the correlation between donation frequency and these factors. [Results] It was found that some of 13 042 blood donors had unhealthy habits, such as 6.8% (698/10 214,2 828 missing values) had severe tobacco dependence, 30.6% (3 997/13 042) had low exercise levels, 38.8%(5 056/13 042)had poor sleep quality, and 2.2% (271/12 159,883 missing values) had alcohol dependence. In addition, 2.8% (364/13 042) and 1.3% (172/13 042) of the donors may have moderate to severe depression and anxiety symptoms, respectively. The results of the ordinal multinomial logistic regression model showed that exercise level was significantly negatively correlated with the degree of depression and anxiety among blood donors. With the decrease in exercise level, the possibility of depression and anxiety among donors increased significantly. BMI, household income, education level, marital status, donation frequency, alcohol consumption and smoking had no significant correlation with the mental health status of donors. [Conclusion] Improving the exercise habits of blood donors may help enhance their mental health level. It is recommended that blood station staff strengthen the content of exercise when providing health education to blood donors to maintain a healthy lifestyle. It also suggests that there may be a certain degree of under-diagnosis of mental health problems in the process of health consultation before blood donation, and conducting more comprehensive and effective mental health assessments for blood donors is recommended.
10.Diagnosis and Treatment Strategies for Severe Tumors in the Elderly
Liqiang WANG ; Haiyi DENG ; Ming LIU ; Xinqing LIN ; Xiaohong XIE ; Zhanhong XIE ; Yinyin QIN ; Ming OUYANG ; Chengzhi ZHOU
Herald of Medicine 2024;43(3):365-373
Patients with severe tumors do not refer to the patients with end-stage tumors,but rather to the patients with a performance status(PS)score between 2 and 4 in certain stages due to various reasons,such as acute or chronic comorbidities,tumor itself,or treatment-related adverse events.To these patients,there is a high probability of achieving survival benefit and/or improvement in PS scores after synergistic management of available life-support technologies and anti-tumor therapies based on dynamic and precise testing.Elderly patients with tumors frequently present with one or more chronic illnesses and have poor toler-ance and compliance to treatment.Moreover,their treatment regimens often lack high-quality clinical evidence,making them more susceptible to developing severe tumors.The management of severe tumors in the elderly is based on three basic diagnosis and treatment technologies:dynamic and precise detection,powerful life support technologies,and skillful application of current anti-tumor treatments.In specific clinical practice,the following 7 flexible and individualized treatment strategies should be adopted for different tumor types:1.concurrent management of cancer and comorbidities,2.upgrading and downgrading of anti-tumor drugs based on PS score,3.dynamic accurate detection,4.skillful combinations for increasing efficacy and reducing toxicity,5.complete overview,paying equal attention to systemic therapy and local therapy,6.safety first in medication for the elderly,7.multi-discipli-nary participation,individualized and comprehensive treatment.This article introduced the concept of severe tumors in the elderly and the associated management strategies,to increase awareness and provide feasible guidance for clinical practice.

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